[00:01] All right, what is up everybody? Welcome in&nbsp; to today's stream. We have some big speeches&nbsp;&nbsp; today later in the afternoon and I want to go&nbsp; over both of them. We have a Coinbase event&nbsp;&nbsp; which is expected, or should I say predicted,&nbsp; to be almost entirely about their prediction&nbsp;&nbsp;
[00:16] market product, as well as tonight we&nbsp; have Trump addressing the nation. So,&nbsp;&nbsp; we're going to give out all of our trades for&nbsp; both of these events. And also, I have some,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[00:28] you know, more niche markets that I'm&nbsp; looking into right now that I see big value,&nbsp;&nbsp; especially as one of them appears to be&nbsp; getting towards resolution and you can still&nbsp;&nbsp; get a good multiple on this trade. So, without&nbsp; further ado, let's go ahead and jump into it.
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[01:44] Let's just jump into it. As I said, we have two&nbsp; major events today. And I want to pull both of&nbsp;&nbsp; those up at this point. And we'll start with the&nbsp; one at 5:00 today, which is the Coinbase. It's&nbsp;&nbsp;
[01:57] kind of like a keynote, kind of like last night.&nbsp; So last night, if you saw, Robinhood actually had&nbsp;&nbsp; a keynote speech going over their prediction&nbsp; market product, which is called Yes No. Now, I&nbsp;&nbsp; think that's obviously huge that we see Robinhood&nbsp; jumping into it, but we also do have Coinbase&nbsp;&nbsp;
[02:14] jumping into the prediction market arena. So,&nbsp; we see here today, they have their system update&nbsp;&nbsp; 2025 at 2:00 p.m. Pacific and that is at 5:00 p.m.&nbsp; Eastern Standard Time. And we can see across the&nbsp;&nbsp;
[02:26] board here a ton of different items that could be&nbsp; said. So, we'll go over this right now. Now, you&nbsp;&nbsp; know, you can always do your research on these.&nbsp; There's plenty of tools to be able to utilize like&nbsp;&nbsp;
[02:38] Mention Metrics or Event Quant. You can actually&nbsp; jump in here and type in different people,&nbsp;&nbsp; what they've said in previous speeches and be able&nbsp; to find value across multiple different markets. actually I want to go over just like&nbsp; the full process almost. So let's just&nbsp;&nbsp;
[02:56] pull up a brand new tab here. Let's go&nbsp; to ChatGPT. And we can just say here,&nbsp;&nbsp; "What will the main topic of the Coinbase product&nbsp; showcase on December 17th be?" So let's see if&nbsp;&nbsp;
[03:17] ChatGPT knows here so we can also just confirm&nbsp; that information, but for the most part, it is&nbsp;&nbsp; yeah exactly it's going to center on launching a&nbsp; prediction market platform and in-house tokenized&nbsp;&nbsp;
[03:30] equities. So this is very important during&nbsp; the research process that we jump in here&nbsp;&nbsp; and make sure we understand exactly what they are&nbsp; going to be talking about during these speeches. So will he say Bitcoin? Likely. Will he&nbsp; say prediction market? Absolutely. But&nbsp;&nbsp;
[03:47] the problem with this right now is at 95%. So&nbsp; unless you, you know, are really bullish on&nbsp;&nbsp; this and you are just guaranteed like he is&nbsp; going to say Bitcoin or prediction markets,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[03:59] it is one of those things in the prediction&nbsp; market space they call it bonds. So,&nbsp;&nbsp; you're almost buying a 5% gain instead of&nbsp; putting your money in an account for 3%&nbsp;&nbsp; savings over the course of a year. So, $100&nbsp; on this only nets you $4 in return. And the&nbsp;&nbsp;
[04:17] same thing with prediction market. If we go&nbsp; to prediction market, $100 only nets you $4. What's up, Adrian in the chat? What's up, Sam?&nbsp; Wish there was some mentions for Base app. Yeah,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[04:29] I thought that was pretty interesting&nbsp; that there's nothing regarding Base.&nbsp;&nbsp; We hope to see that as we hope he pumps&nbsp; our bags. The one thing is Base token,&nbsp;&nbsp; but is he gonna say Base token during a&nbsp; product keynote around prediction markets?&nbsp;&nbsp;
[04:44] Literally almost guaranteed that he's not&nbsp; going to. That's a no play for me. In fact,&nbsp;&nbsp; that is a load of rubbish. How is this 27% now&nbsp; that we're looking at it here? How in the heck&nbsp;&nbsp;
[04:59] can they justify that this is 27% likely&nbsp; to happen during a showcase of tokenized&nbsp;&nbsp; equities and prediction markets? That's&nbsp; an interesting one. I'm not going to lie.
[05:15] You know, and honestly, before we jump into&nbsp; this, first of all, I do want to show last night,&nbsp;&nbsp; we actually swept the board on the&nbsp; Trump mentions, which are fantastic.&nbsp;&nbsp; But what I'm starting to figure out is, you know,&nbsp; some of these other events I don't need to go as&nbsp;&nbsp;
[05:31] heavy on. Like the NBA one, for example, I got&nbsp; cooked during the NBA Cup for like only $65,&nbsp;&nbsp; but you're just giving money back. So, we won&nbsp; 120 during Trump's speech and then we just give&nbsp;&nbsp;
[05:43] back 60 for no reason. And also, I traded a JD&nbsp; Vance speech yesterday. Definitely shouldn't,&nbsp;&nbsp; you know, I shouldn't have put the money that I&nbsp; did on that. I only lost 12 bucks because I got&nbsp;&nbsp;
[05:55] lucky on a few strikes. But at the same time,&nbsp; it just prediction markets are what you make&nbsp;&nbsp; them. And this goes to everyone. Like don't trade&nbsp; markets that you're unfamiliar with and stick to&nbsp;&nbsp; your edges. So the fact that Coinbase is majority&nbsp; crypto I feel a little more comfortable than just&nbsp;&nbsp;
[06:11] like the Robinhood keynote or you know stuff&nbsp; like JD Vance. But the Trump mentions we've&nbsp;&nbsp; been absolutely crushing and I do agree Sam. I&nbsp; think that the Base token feels uncomfortable&nbsp;&nbsp; for them to mention. Why would he mention the&nbsp; Base token tonight? That's not a tokenized&nbsp;&nbsp;
[06:26] equity. A tokenized equity would be the Coinbase&nbsp; stock. So yeah, I don't know what I'm going to do&nbsp;&nbsp; here. I'm actually going to take no on the Base&nbsp; token. Why the heck during their product showcase&nbsp;&nbsp;
[06:40] is he going to mention the Base token when it's&nbsp; about prediction markets and tokenized equities? So, I'm going to go smaller size on these just&nbsp; because, like I said, I'm much more cozy doing&nbsp;&nbsp; the Trump prediction markets. And also, they&nbsp; need to pay me out on these Trump prediction&nbsp;&nbsp;
[06:54] markets. I have like $58 locked up for&nbsp; my portfolio from this last night. So,&nbsp;&nbsp; they need to go ahead and pay that out so&nbsp; we can also put it in play for tonight. But,&nbsp;&nbsp; so I'm taking the no on Base token. I just see&nbsp; no reason for them to talk about that. That seems&nbsp;&nbsp;
[07:11] like low-hanging fruit to me. However, last night&nbsp; during the Hanukkah event, low-hanging fruit,&nbsp;&nbsp; a lot of people took the no on Christmas because&nbsp; it was a Hanukkah event and Christmas ended&nbsp;&nbsp;
[07:23] up being said. It was a yes. So sometimes this&nbsp; low-hanging fruit doesn't actually end up being,&nbsp;&nbsp; you know, easy money as they would call it. But&nbsp; at the same time, I do feel like Base token,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[07:35] I think it's a safe play. I just&nbsp; don't see why this would be mentioned&nbsp;&nbsp; in tonight's keynote. So, I'm going to&nbsp; take that at I think I got in at 78 cents. Sam, you took the no on that. And yes,&nbsp; on acquisition, they have acquired&nbsp;&nbsp;
[07:50] quite a bit of companies this year.&nbsp; And also, you know, the Cobie thing,&nbsp;&nbsp; Echo, I know that Polymarket has that listed. I&nbsp; wouldn't touch a specific product being named,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[08:02] but I do think acquisition is a pretty good one&nbsp; at yes at 35 cents. I actually think that's a&nbsp;&nbsp; pretty solid play. Just looking here. Perpetual&nbsp; futures or perps. Does they probably mention&nbsp;&nbsp;
[08:15] perps tonight at 70 cents? It's a little high for&nbsp; like 77 cents for something like Base token. I'm&nbsp;&nbsp; pretty comfortable with taking that. But at 70% on&nbsp; perps, they probably mention perps as I see here.
[08:29] Solana and Solana decentralized exchange token&nbsp; sale. That could be something to do with their&nbsp;&nbsp; acquisition of Echo as well. But as we see&nbsp; here, tokenized equity Ethereum. Honestly,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[08:42] the only one I love is no to Base token.&nbsp; And I think it's smarter for me because&nbsp;&nbsp; some of these alt markets with mentions have been&nbsp; treating me up and down, I would say. So for me,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[08:55] I'm just going to take one on this Coinbase&nbsp; speech. Yeah, Solana does feel really specific.&nbsp;&nbsp; I do agree. And I don't know. I mean, hang on.&nbsp; Let's see here. Use ChatGPT. Does Coinbase have&nbsp;&nbsp;
[09:12] a Solana DEX product? Like why is it now offers a&nbsp; Solana product? Okay. Yeah, it is their built-in&nbsp;&nbsp; decentralized exchange. Oh yeah, they can&nbsp; trade all it's the one they launched like a&nbsp;&nbsp;
[09:26] couple weeks ago regarding that you can trade all&nbsp; on-chain tokens on Solana on Coinbase. So, yeah,&nbsp;&nbsp; they might mention it, but why would they say&nbsp; Solana DEX? Why wouldn't they just say like our&nbsp;&nbsp;
[09:38] built-in DEX? And what is the other option? Solana&nbsp; DEX or Solana decentralized exchange? I don't&nbsp;&nbsp; know. Why wouldn't they just say like our on-chain&nbsp; DEX? I feel like that's just way, way easier.
[09:52] but I'm afraid he'll just say bridge and other&nbsp; terms. And even if he says like our in-house DEX&nbsp;&nbsp; where you can trade Solana tokens, that doesn't&nbsp; qualify as Solana DEX knows at 65 cents. Yeah,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[10:10] DEX on that's what that's the tricky part about&nbsp; these mention markets is that we actually it's&nbsp;&nbsp; hard to you know know exactly the word flow like&nbsp; our DEX on Solana. Is that a Solana DEX or we&nbsp;&nbsp;
[10:24] have built on Solana with a DEX or our in-house&nbsp; DEX? That becomes a little tricky. I don't know.&nbsp;&nbsp; Solana DEX no at 65 cents. It is very specific for&nbsp; them to be saying that. And at the end of the day,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[10:42] does their DEX do anything multi-chain? I&nbsp; don't. Is here we go. Is it a multi-chain&nbsp;&nbsp; DEX? Let's see. Yes, Coinbase's DEX&nbsp; integration is becoming multi-chain,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[11:03] so it's not yet. Interesting. I don't know.&nbsp; Solana DEX, I might come back to that one.&nbsp;&nbsp; I that's an interesting one. I might take&nbsp; the no on it before 5:00 and before this&nbsp;&nbsp;
[11:18] show is over. I might dive in and take the no&nbsp; on that, but for now the only our multi-chain&nbsp;&nbsp; exact. I'm taking it. I'm taking it. That just&nbsp; seems super super specific. I'm just going to&nbsp;&nbsp;
[11:30] put 25 on it. Like let's just see. And they need&nbsp; to pay me out for my Trump markets last night. Ruleboy, can this be manipulated? Yeah. So, one&nbsp; thing especially with Brian Armstrong himself,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[11:46] he's aware of these markets and he knows the&nbsp; strikes and the strikes are the words that are&nbsp;&nbsp; yes or nos. He has been in an interview and he&nbsp; said he is familiar with the markets and he's&nbsp;&nbsp;
[12:00] seen the words. So hopefully he doesn't just cook&nbsp; us with a yes fest just to be that guy. But at the&nbsp;&nbsp; end of the day, that's like federal investigation&nbsp; waiting to happen if he was just to look at the&nbsp;&nbsp;
[12:13] Kalshi words and try to strike it. So, yes,&nbsp; it could be manipulated, but at the same time,&nbsp;&nbsp; unless the participant really is just a scumbag,&nbsp; then I don't think they're going to manipulate&nbsp;&nbsp;
[12:26] it. Yeah. Like Brian Armstrong straight up&nbsp; said that he knows the Kalshi strikes and&nbsp;&nbsp; Polymarket strikes and he's willing, you know,&nbsp; and it's interesting that it could be insider&nbsp;&nbsp; traded and all this stuff. It's like, okay,&nbsp; that is kind of nerve-wracking taking two nos&nbsp;&nbsp;
[12:41] against the guy who said he's very aware of&nbsp; the markets. But you know what? I don't think&nbsp;&nbsp; Base token gets mentioned and Solana DEX. I'm&nbsp; only going to put 50 on this market. I just,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[12:53] But with tonight's nation address with Trump, I&nbsp; think there's a lot of value on the board. And&nbsp;&nbsp; look, these national addresses, same thing with&nbsp; last week's Trump rally. I think that it's one&nbsp;&nbsp;
[13:08] of those nights where he's probably just gonna&nbsp; be yapping. This guy's gonna yap all night. And&nbsp;&nbsp; Tyrell, who is actually one of the smartest&nbsp; mention market traders on Crypto Twitter,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[13:20] I think his P&amp;L is like 60,000 or something like&nbsp; that. He posted here that the biggest mention&nbsp;&nbsp; market today is the address to the nation. It&nbsp; should be a yes fest, but he's never seen a&nbsp;&nbsp; market weighed so heavily towards yes buys. So&nbsp; the yeses are heavily favored tonight. 17 out&nbsp;&nbsp;
[13:37] of 22 strikes are priced above 50%. So and&nbsp; he's saying he will be on primary yes here,&nbsp;&nbsp; but also looking at overvalued plays to take the&nbsp; no on. So that is a very interesting point. Like&nbsp;&nbsp;
[13:52] you look at all of these only literally only&nbsp; five strikes are under 50%. And yeah, when you&nbsp;&nbsp; look across the board here, I think there's some&nbsp; simple ones. They've been saying affordability. I&nbsp;&nbsp;
[14:07] think he says Christmas. I think he obviously&nbsp; says Biden. The guy loves loves talking about&nbsp;&nbsp; sleepy Joe Biden. Those are easy low-hanging&nbsp; fruits. Like if you want a bond for tonight,&nbsp;&nbsp; which is like we said like a low-interest&nbsp; or like a high-interest savings account,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[14:24] this would be the one. I mean, you get 7% on&nbsp; every hundred. But for those of you looking for&nbsp;&nbsp; a little more ROI, that's where we're going&nbsp; to try to dig in here and find some value. I think that when we look across the board, he's&nbsp; probably going to say a lot of stuff. If we look&nbsp;&nbsp;
[14:40] at the, you know, just the Google searches on this&nbsp; latest on the Trump administration, the president&nbsp;&nbsp; to address the nation amid Venezuela tensions&nbsp; and healthcare battles. Now we can also just go&nbsp;&nbsp;
[14:53] back here and take a look across different sources&nbsp; what to expect, you know, why is Trump addressing&nbsp;&nbsp; the nation? Let's just go look here. Prime time&nbsp; address. And we can see the topic isn't super&nbsp;&nbsp;
[15:08] clear. And we'll also use ChatGPT here as well.&nbsp; "What is Trump's national address tonight expected&nbsp;&nbsp;
[15:22] to cover?" So, we can see here, consolidate all&nbsp; these news sources and see exactly what we're&nbsp;&nbsp; expecting. So, preview of 2026 agenda and&nbsp; plans for the remainder of his terms. Yeah,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[15:35] he wants to talk about his achievements. That&nbsp; is another thing I've seen. He wants to go over&nbsp;&nbsp; everything that he's done. A total, you know, my&nbsp; fiance is a Gemini and she always says, you know,&nbsp;&nbsp; Geminis were kind of crazy. You know, look, we&nbsp; Kanye West and Donald Trump are Geminis. I'm like,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[15:53] oh, that's all you got to say. So, you know, she's&nbsp; like, you know, that's why Trump is the way he is,&nbsp;&nbsp; he loves to talk about himself, loves&nbsp; to talk about his accomplishments. So, I agree. He's probably going to&nbsp; go in here and yap about tariffs and&nbsp;&nbsp;
[16:10] affordability under Trump and how inflation and&nbsp; interest rates and the different things going on&nbsp;&nbsp; in the Middle East. I think a lot of these&nbsp; strikes are actually super valuable. Let's&nbsp;&nbsp;
[16:22] just go through one by one. Drug cartel too&nbsp; expensive. Tariff too expensive for me. Biden,&nbsp;&nbsp; that's a guaranteed yes because especially if&nbsp; he's going to talk about his accomplishments,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[16:34] he is going to diss Biden. That is a given. So,&nbsp; I think that's an easy one. If you're willing to&nbsp;&nbsp; stick out any of the 90-centers, I would go with&nbsp; Biden personally. I think that he's guaranteed&nbsp;&nbsp;
[16:46] to say this, especially if he's going&nbsp; to be talking about his accomplishments. "Merry Christmas," at the end of his speech.&nbsp; Fentanyl has been a topic of discussion with&nbsp;&nbsp;
[17:00] the border recently. Big beautiful bill just rose&nbsp; to 91. Now it's back at 88. He definitely will&nbsp;&nbsp; mention this as well. This is a big accomplishment&nbsp; in that first 12 months. But kind of going down&nbsp;&nbsp;
[17:12] into this mid 80s section, I think Middle East is&nbsp; interesting to me. Eight war I think is definitely&nbsp;&nbsp; mentioned if we're going to be talking about, you&nbsp; know, his accomplishments over the year. That is&nbsp;&nbsp;
[17:24] one that I am probably going to take. And I'll&nbsp; just put 25 on that one because it is high-priced.&nbsp;&nbsp; I don't like uncomfortable risk on like super&nbsp; high price items, especially when it comes to&nbsp;&nbsp;
[17:36] mention markets. Like I said, the only thing that&nbsp; I would be willing to really go hard on as far as&nbsp;&nbsp; the Trump mentions here in the 90s would be Biden,&nbsp; but you're only getting 7% on your dollar. So,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[17:49] let's go ahead and see some of these other&nbsp; strikes. We have China, Middle East. I feel&nbsp;&nbsp; like he's probably going to say something about&nbsp; the peace in the Middle East. I think that that's&nbsp;&nbsp; a pretty good strike there. We'll come back to it.&nbsp; Hottest is like the it term as far as Trump right&nbsp;&nbsp;
[18:07] now. He's been saying we're the hottest country.&nbsp; We, you know, all the stuff we have on our side.&nbsp;&nbsp; He has really been tooting his own horn as far&nbsp; as that. So hottest is interesting here. Does&nbsp;&nbsp; he say Hanukkah the day after a Hanukkah event?&nbsp; Like that's one I might even look towards the no,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[18:25] but I'm not going to touch it because&nbsp; he for sure could go ahead and say it. Crypto and Bitcoin at no at 84 cents is&nbsp; interesting to me. And if you want a no strike&nbsp;&nbsp;
[18:38] that's guaranteed to hit the Epstein one, he's&nbsp; not going to talk about the Epstein files. No way&nbsp;&nbsp; that Trump is willingly going to talk about the&nbsp; Epstein files. So, if you want a no high strike,&nbsp;&nbsp; that would be Epstein to me. But I think that you&nbsp; know affordability I think that Biden I think that&nbsp;&nbsp;
[18:56] when you look at tariff you know stuff like the&nbsp; big beautiful bill healthcare potentially you&nbsp;&nbsp; know he's been talking sometimes about the&nbsp; Obamacare and the way that it was set up.&nbsp;&nbsp; China, he loves mentioning his good friends in&nbsp; China. Like a lot of this is yes he's about to&nbsp;&nbsp;
[19:14] get up here and just yap in front of the nation&nbsp; and you know Kalshi announced that they're doing&nbsp;&nbsp; combos. I wish I could combo these mention markets&nbsp; because this is the prime time example of a market&nbsp;&nbsp;
[19:30] where I would literally combo tariff, Biden,&nbsp; affordability, war, healthcare, no on Epstein,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[19:44] China yes. Like if we to I know they announced&nbsp; combos, but you can't obviously do it&nbsp;&nbsp; on mentions currently. That is something&nbsp; if the liquidity is there to do it,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[19:57] I would 100,000% be comboing like 20&nbsp; of these terms together and cooking&nbsp;&nbsp; up basically what people would call a&nbsp; parlay in the traditional betting realm.
[20:09] But yeah, like looking here, I think that China&nbsp; is a yes. Actually, I'm going to take China.&nbsp;&nbsp; I'm not going to go huge on this. And also, I'm&nbsp; still wait, like I said, I have $500 just pending&nbsp;&nbsp;
[20:23] on this one to pay out from last night's Trump&nbsp; event. So, that's really aggravating me right now,&nbsp;&nbsp; actually. But I guess I could deposit more.&nbsp; I might just deposit more because I like this&nbsp;&nbsp; market. I'm going to do it on my phone, obviously,&nbsp; so I don't have to do it in front of the camera&nbsp;&nbsp;
[20:41] here, obviously. But I'm gonna add a little&nbsp; funding to the account because at the end of the&nbsp;&nbsp; day, I do like this market quite a bit. We will&nbsp; throw. All right. So, that should pop up here in&nbsp;&nbsp;
[20:54] just a second. I like China yes. I like eight war&nbsp; yes. America first. Nuclear. Dividend stimulus.&nbsp;&nbsp;
[21:06] Gulf of America. Water is interesting. You know,&nbsp; the other day water was one of those terms that&nbsp;&nbsp; was on his mention market, but he always says by&nbsp; sea. When he talks about the fentanyl epidemic,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[21:23] when he talks about drugs coming into the country,&nbsp; he doesn't say it's coming by water, he says by&nbsp;&nbsp; sea. Water, no, is an interesting one. That is&nbsp; one that I definitely might take a look at here.
[21:37] But first of all, let me go back up here. I'm&nbsp; absolutely going to double down on China as&nbsp;&nbsp; I did deposit a little bit since they're holding&nbsp; some of my funds hostage. So we have 62 shares on&nbsp;&nbsp;
[21:50] China yes. We have 29 shares on eight war yes. Um&nbsp; to be honest it's one of those things like I think&nbsp;&nbsp; all these 90-centers hit. No doubt about it. But&nbsp; I don't want to take just a bunch of 90s and I'm&nbsp;&nbsp;
[22:06] going to be on a lot of yeses tonight. So, we have&nbsp; China, eight war. I think it's going to talk about&nbsp;&nbsp; the Middle East. And how we've kind of restored&nbsp; a little bit of peace in the Middle East. So,&nbsp;&nbsp; I'm going to take Middle East yes. ICE, National&nbsp; Guard. I wish border was on here, but I think&nbsp;&nbsp;
[22:25] it's probably a guarantee that he says the word&nbsp; border. So, that is not a strike option here,&nbsp;&nbsp; unfortunately, for us tonight. Hanukkah, hottest,&nbsp; America first, nuclear, Maduro, dividend stimulus,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[22:39] Gulf of America, water. I'm going to say water no.&nbsp; Because yeah, his rhetoric recently has literally&nbsp;&nbsp; just been, you know, by sea. Yeah, I like that&nbsp; a lot actually. He coming in by boat, by sea,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[22:55] across the ocean, you know, across the&nbsp; Gulf of America. That could be your Gulf&nbsp;&nbsp; of America strike right there. So I do like&nbsp; that. So, so far I'm on eight war yes at 83&nbsp;&nbsp; cents. I'm on Middle East yes at 82 cents. I'm&nbsp; on China yes at 79 cents. I am on water no at&nbsp;&nbsp;
[23:17] 61.8 cents. Yeah. And then if you're one of those&nbsp; people that wants kind of these markets where&nbsp;&nbsp; it's 90 something percent and you're willing to&nbsp; go out there and get a 5% return on your money,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[23:31] I would do no on Epstein for 91 or I would roll&nbsp; through and do yes on probably Biden. This guy&nbsp;&nbsp; loves to just destroy Biden on his speeches and&nbsp; just what Biden did to this country. Sleepy Joe&nbsp;&nbsp;
[23:47] Biden. How he ruined this country. I'm&nbsp; here to restore it to greatness. Yes,&nbsp;&nbsp; that's exactly what Trump is probably thinking&nbsp; in his mind every single time that he speaks. What's up, Blamey1? I don't know where to divide&nbsp; that, but how's it going today? Good to see you&nbsp;&nbsp;
[24:04] in the chat. And yeah, anyone who has questions&nbsp; across YouTube, X, throw them in the chat box and&nbsp;&nbsp; we're 100% going to dive into any questions that&nbsp; we get here. I renewed my subscription on Mention&nbsp;&nbsp;
[24:17] Metrics, but it hasn't updated yet. So, I want to&nbsp; use this to kind of go through here and be able to&nbsp;&nbsp; chat about some analytics on what he said before.&nbsp; It always helps to be able to type in some of&nbsp;&nbsp;
[24:31] these terms, how often he talks about it. Like&nbsp; he says the words Biden 2.3 times per speech,&nbsp;&nbsp; so Biden's a pretty good prop there, even&nbsp; at 92%. Ruleboy, between ChatGPT and Grok,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[24:43] which can predict the market with more accurate&nbsp; data? I think that's like an evergreen video&nbsp;&nbsp; idea that I need to go through like set aside&nbsp; 200 bucks, 100 for Grok predictions and 100&nbsp;&nbsp;
[24:56] for ChatGPT predictions. That's actually a really&nbsp; good video idea. I actually like that a lot but I&nbsp;&nbsp; haven't tested it enough. I only ask questions&nbsp; to ChatGPT regarding the topics of events, and&nbsp;&nbsp;
[25:11] like when they're happening, what it's going to be&nbsp; about, etc. So, that's how I use AI in my research&nbsp;&nbsp; process, more so about details about the events&nbsp; and the speeches. But I think that's a really good&nbsp;&nbsp;
[25:25] idea. Can AI provide you profitable prediction&nbsp; markets picks over a set period of time? We'll&nbsp;&nbsp; have to see. What's going on, Griff? It was&nbsp; awesome hanging with you at this point. What,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[25:37] two weeks ago almost. But yeah, that was a great&nbsp; time, man. It was nice to meet you in person. Yeah. So, for now, I'm going to stick&nbsp; with those. I'm going to be honest,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[25:49] I'm probably going to be on so many of&nbsp; these tonight. Like even affordability,&nbsp;&nbsp; like it's only going to make you two bucks&nbsp; on 25 or you know affordability makes you&nbsp;&nbsp; 8% on a hundred. Doesn't sound like a lot but&nbsp; would you rather put $1,000 in an account for&nbsp;&nbsp;
[26:06] 2% for the year or would you rather make 8% in&nbsp; 30 minutes when this guy's speaking tonight and&nbsp;&nbsp; yapping about all this different stuff? So to&nbsp; me like yeah these 90s are probably free money&nbsp;&nbsp; tonight. But nothing in life is free. I am&nbsp; not a financial adviser. I am just a Degen on&nbsp;&nbsp;
[26:23] prediction markets. I think for my official plays&nbsp; though, I like those. So, eight war, Middle East,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[27:25] China yes, and water no. That is what I'm&nbsp; going to start the day with on this market. And another one that I actually love currently,&nbsp; I want to just go to the homepage here. And&nbsp;&nbsp;
[27:38] I follow, and one thing I want to mention&nbsp; here is when I talk about this next market,&nbsp;&nbsp; I am not putting money on a game. I am not&nbsp; I think that for prediction market purposes,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[27:51] and I'm going to honestly remove the screen when&nbsp; I say this. A lot of people look at prediction&nbsp;&nbsp; markets like gambling. And to an extent, part&nbsp; of it is if you're going to do sports just on&nbsp;&nbsp; a winner and loser of a sporting event, that&nbsp; to me is the stereotypical definition of sports&nbsp;&nbsp;
[28:08] betting. There's no difference in you using&nbsp; FanDuel at that point. That's not a prediction&nbsp;&nbsp; market bet. That is a literal sports bet. Okay?&nbsp; So, I want to get that very, very clear. So,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[28:21] if you're literally going to come in here and&nbsp; only try to predict the outcome of matches,&nbsp;&nbsp; I think that that's very much borderline&nbsp; on the edge. Not even on the edge. I think&nbsp;&nbsp;
[28:33] that's the definition of gambling. However, if&nbsp; you go to some of these alternate markets and&nbsp;&nbsp; you follow sports and you have a little bit of&nbsp; an edge and you see what's going on. Actually,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[28:47] this is one on the homepage currently of Kalshi.&nbsp; And as we can see here, "Who will be the next&nbsp;&nbsp; permanent head coach of the Michigan Wolverines&nbsp; football team?" Now, I love this. I love this&nbsp;&nbsp;
[29:02] prop right now. So, this is an interesting&nbsp; one. We've seen this market move quite a bit. So, Kalen DeBoer is the current coach of the&nbsp; Alabama Crimson Tide. I don't think he's leaving&nbsp;&nbsp;
[29:15] that job. I don't think Michigan's a better job&nbsp; than Alabama. SEC is a little tougher right now.&nbsp;&nbsp; There's so many playoff caliber teams in the&nbsp; SEC, but I don't think you leave a prestigious&nbsp;&nbsp;
[29:27] job like Bama just to hop over to something&nbsp; like U. Michigan. I don't see that happening.&nbsp;&nbsp; Jedd Fisch the other day was the favorite&nbsp; at about 34%. Let me see here. Jeff Brohm,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[29:41] he's not getting this job. Kyle Whittingham just&nbsp; left Utah. He's 77 years old or something. He's in&nbsp;&nbsp; his 70s. He's not taking this job. And if you're&nbsp; Michigan, you want a coach that's young that's&nbsp;&nbsp;
[29:54] going to be there for the long haul. And there's&nbsp; one obvious answer to this. And he's sitting there&nbsp;&nbsp; right in front of you at a 3x return. And that's&nbsp; Kenny Dillingham. So, money has been pouring in&nbsp;&nbsp; in the order books here on Dillingham. And I&nbsp; think that he is the most obvious head coach&nbsp;&nbsp;
[30:12] selection for the Michigan Wolverines. And by&nbsp; the way, if you guys didn't see this, Vlad last&nbsp;&nbsp; night said that we're in a prediction market&nbsp; super cycle, so take that for what you will. But Kenny Dillingham is the current head coach of&nbsp; the Arizona State Sun Devils. And while he's very&nbsp;&nbsp;
[30:28] comfortable there, as he says here, "I love&nbsp; it here. I've said that since day one. They&nbsp;&nbsp; absolutely that's never going to change. That&nbsp; piece is never changing." He's kind of hinting&nbsp;&nbsp; there like if he leaves that he still loves this&nbsp; place. To me, that's like he's talking in the past&nbsp;&nbsp;
[30:46] tense. And we go back and we, you know, look at&nbsp; the searches here and we can actually just go&nbsp;&nbsp; through X. And what the conversation is is right&nbsp; now he doesn't have the budget to build up the&nbsp;&nbsp;
[30:59] Arizona State football team. And at this point&nbsp; in time his players are leaving. Like some of&nbsp;&nbsp; his players are transferring out because Arizona&nbsp; State is not giving him the money to compete in&nbsp;&nbsp;
[31:11] the NIL transfer portal. NIL is where you pay&nbsp; college players. Crazy times. They used to gift&nbsp;&nbsp; college players Hellcats and give them bundles&nbsp; of money to their family under the table. Now&nbsp;&nbsp; they just pay them out out in the open. But at&nbsp; this point in time, I think he will be 100% the&nbsp;&nbsp;
[31:29] next head coach of the Michigan Wolverines. I&nbsp; think it's the most obvious selection. I think&nbsp;&nbsp; it's from a young coach perspective, it makes the&nbsp; most sense. Everyone else is a little older than&nbsp;&nbsp; him. He has so many years ahead of him. He could&nbsp; build up Michigan to be a powerhouse. I mean,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[31:44] he got Arizona State to the College Football&nbsp; Playoff last year. So, to me, I love this one.&nbsp;&nbsp; And another reason I really love it is on the Yes,&nbsp; it's almost 3 to one. So, 25 will net you 70. So,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[31:59] you're almost tripling your money on this&nbsp; currently. And he is the overwhelming&nbsp;&nbsp; favorite. And he's risen since 10%. So, I love&nbsp; this one in the sports markets as far as today.
[32:12] Otherwise right now that's what I'm looking&nbsp; at currently. I'll go over to my portfolio.&nbsp;&nbsp; I wish I could go live tonight during the&nbsp; address that he has to the nation. I will be&nbsp;&nbsp;
[32:26] away from the computer, so unfortunately&nbsp; I probably won't be able to do that. But&nbsp;&nbsp; let's just take a look here&nbsp; at my selections tonight. So,&nbsp;&nbsp; for the night we have during the Brian&nbsp; Armstrong Coinbase product showcase,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[32:42] I have no to Base token at 77 cents and I have no&nbsp; to Solana DEX or Solana decentralized exchange at&nbsp;&nbsp; 63 cents. During the Trump address to the nation&nbsp; at 9:00 p.m. I have yes to China, yes to eight,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[32:57] yes to Middle East, and no to water. That is&nbsp; what I am looking at at this point in time. And also just checking in on some of our&nbsp; longer-term plays here. I have who will advertise&nbsp;&nbsp;
[33:09] during the Super Bowl 2026. I have Coinbase and&nbsp; OpenAI. Yes, I think those are fantastic prices&nbsp;&nbsp; here at 66 and 71. OpenAI has been doing tons&nbsp; of advertising recently and Coinbase always does&nbsp;&nbsp;
[33:23] these high-level psychological ads that like hit&nbsp; you in your core about crypto every single year.&nbsp;&nbsp; And then the first prediction market stream we&nbsp; did, I did take Dak Prescott to lead the league&nbsp;&nbsp;
[33:35] in passing. This is in profit currently. And he is&nbsp; still in the driver's seat for this. There's only&nbsp;&nbsp; really, you know, two other people with prices&nbsp; currently. And that's Matthew Stafford and Jared&nbsp;&nbsp;
[33:47] Goff. We can actually just go and take a look&nbsp; here. I think I should have this NFL pass yards.&nbsp;&nbsp; Let's see. And just take a look at this. No, not&nbsp; all-time passing leaders, but whatever. We will&nbsp;&nbsp;
[34:04] make it there. Stats, offensive leaders, passing.&nbsp; So, right now, Dak Prescott has a 209-yard lead&nbsp;&nbsp; on Matthew Stafford. They have the exact same&nbsp; amount of games left on the schedule. If anything,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[34:22] Matt Stafford could sit week 17 or 18&nbsp; if their playoff seeding is, you know,&nbsp;&nbsp; lined up and kind of solidified. So, for me, Dak&nbsp; Prescott is in the driver's seat for the leading&nbsp;&nbsp;
[34:35] passing yards. And we actually got in on this at&nbsp; 39 cents. So, you can see here, we bought this&nbsp;&nbsp; at 39 cents at 72 cents. We've already almost&nbsp; doubled our position by the end of this. Then,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[34:47] we should be able to almost triple our money on&nbsp; Dak Prescott to have led the league in passing. So, that's kind of a portfolio update and what&nbsp; we're looking at for tonight's mentions. Like I&nbsp;&nbsp;
[35:01] said, I wish I could go live during the mentions&nbsp; themselves, but I just won't be around this&nbsp;&nbsp; evening. We will have a lot of upcoming streams.&nbsp; So, we have I think four on YouTube in the next&nbsp;&nbsp;
[35:13] 10 days or so. And then on top of that, I am going&nbsp; to be spontaneously just going live on X for some&nbsp;&nbsp; of these mentions. I think going live during&nbsp; the speeches is so much more engaging than just&nbsp;&nbsp;
[35:26] hearing me ramble and rant about the things that&nbsp; I'm looking at and the markets that I'm trading. I&nbsp;&nbsp; think it's much more engaging when we have a Trump&nbsp; speech or a Jerome Powell speech or during the&nbsp;&nbsp; Coinbase event, for example. So, those are some&nbsp; things that we're definitely going to be doing,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[35:42] whenever the time comes and those&nbsp; speeches pop up over the holidays. This is good stuff. I was late and didn't&nbsp; see you were going on. Have to go back and&nbsp;&nbsp; speech. We talked about head coach market&nbsp; and football that I really like. So, yeah,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[36:02] a lot of topics on today's show. And like&nbsp; I said, we're going to have a lot more of&nbsp;&nbsp; these. And for those of you on X, follow me.&nbsp; I know right below it says 0x Hustlepedia,&nbsp;&nbsp; but they did just grant me the OG Hustlepedia&nbsp; X handle. So, it's just Hustlepedia on X. I&nbsp;&nbsp;
[36:20] post my up-to-dated predictions there. And also,&nbsp; I'm going to be going live there spontaneously&nbsp;&nbsp; because it's much easier to just click go live on&nbsp; X than having to set up a full YouTube show. So,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[36:32] we will be bouncing around and do some&nbsp; spontaneous streams on X throughout the holidays. I love this show. We love you, Ruleboy. And,&nbsp; Scotty, Sheba, Trump speech is gold tomorrow.&nbsp;&nbsp;
[36:45] Should be fired up over Venezuela and China.&nbsp; Yeah, it's tonight. That's what I was going&nbsp;&nbsp; to say. It's actually tonight at 9:00 p.m. So,&nbsp; that's what I'm really excited about actually&nbsp;&nbsp; is that Trump speech. I think there's going&nbsp; to be a lot of yeses. Let me just go to the&nbsp;&nbsp;
[36:59] portfolio here. There's going to be a lot of&nbsp; yeses tonight. This man's about to get up there&nbsp;&nbsp; and absolutely rant. So, I'm definitely going to&nbsp; dive deeper into this market and potentially take&nbsp;&nbsp; some more yes strikes. But, yeah, I'm really&nbsp; excited for this. If you missed it, Scotty,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[37:15] Sheba, we are on eight war, Middle East, China&nbsp; yes, and water no. I think he's going to say by&nbsp;&nbsp; sea or ocean or across the Gulf of America. Those&nbsp; are my thoughts for tonight. And we're going to&nbsp;&nbsp;
[37:31] cut it here because there's no live speeches going&nbsp; on. I wish there were, but wanted to get these&nbsp;&nbsp; out. There's a big day of mention markets today,&nbsp; so take full advantage of it. And like I said,&nbsp;&nbsp; over the holiday season, we will be going&nbsp; live a ton here on YouTube and also on X.
[37:46] So guys, everyone in the chat, thanks for hopping&nbsp; in, asking questions as well. Like the video down&nbsp;&nbsp; below, subscribe to the channel. And as I said,&nbsp; if you aren't already using Kalshi, Kalshi to&nbsp;&nbsp;
[37:58] me is the best user interface. They have the best&nbsp; product in all of prediction markets. Their team,&nbsp;&nbsp; they are the sharpest. They're the quick to&nbsp; innovate. They're now fully on chain with Solana.&nbsp;&nbsp; You can earn 10 free dollars on your account&nbsp; by signing up down below. Deposit and trade&nbsp;&nbsp;
[38:14] $10 and Kalshi will hand you $10 in your account&nbsp; to do whatever you want to do with it. So,&nbsp;&nbsp; And the last thing I'm going to say is on Friday,&nbsp; I believe we will have a very special launch here&nbsp;&nbsp;
[38:32] for prediction markets completely free. Okay?&nbsp; So, don't get ahead of yourselves that, oh,&nbsp;&nbsp; what are they launching? No. On Friday, we're&nbsp; launching something community-based that is 100%&nbsp;&nbsp;
[38:47] free to jump into and is 100% focused on building&nbsp; an edge in prediction markets. A lot of people&nbsp;&nbsp; lack the tools, lack the ability to do research.&nbsp; We're gonna put all of this into one place for you&nbsp;&nbsp;
[39:00] guys to jump in, trade alongside myself, ask me&nbsp; questions, get all the data you need across all&nbsp;&nbsp; these markets, 100% free, does not cost you a&nbsp; dollar. So, we're going to announce that later&nbsp;&nbsp;
[39:12] this week, and I think it's going to be something&nbsp; that the community is going to love here for,&nbsp;&nbsp; you know, it's a burgeoning industry. I&nbsp; think prediction markets are like getting&nbsp;&nbsp; into crypto early or being like in the in a&nbsp; ton of these early niches, AI even. I mean,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[39:28] prediction markets won't be as big as AI, but I&nbsp; think it's like being early in these comparable&nbsp;&nbsp; industries. So, watch for that on Friday, and&nbsp; we'll see you guys on the next one. As always,&nbsp;&nbsp; play well, my friends. Stay bullish, and of&nbsp; course, trade responsibly, my friends. Peace.