[00:01] bought during periods exactly like the period we're in right now. When prices are depressed, when people are fearful, and when literally nobody wants to buy, that's usually the time when the market is presenting its biggest opportunity.
[00:15] Like the great Warren Buffett quote goes, be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful. But there's actually a lot of nuance and strategy when it comes to buying dips like this or when it comes to trying to
[00:27] buy the bottom and doing it well. Most people do it completely wrong. And on top of that, small caps, mid caps, and large cap investments are three completely different games. They have different odds, they require different
[00:39] position sizes, and they should never be managed the exact same way. That's something that I've had to learn the hard way across multiple crypto cycles and multiple massive, massive mistakes. For example, to show you exactly what I
[00:51] mean, last cycle 52 of the 69 different projects that I talked about at least doubled in value. 44 of the 69 at least quadrupled in value. Meaning they did at least a 4x. 44 out of 69 of them did at least a 4x. And at least one of them did
[01:06] a 500x. But even with that, most people will end up losing money because most people are going to treat those types of plays as if they're buying and holding Bitcoin. They're treating a small cap or a mid cap investment as if it's a large
[01:19] cap investment. So strategy is really, really important, especially when it which is a really risky is really risky business, it's really difficult to do. time the bottom is important. And then the strategy employed in how you
[01:33] position in each type of asset is extremely important. So in this video, well as going to be sharing some different new ideas of tokens and projects that actually I'm not personally buying. Instead, these are
[01:45] some fresh ideas from other people who have really consistent track records of finding projects early that end up going on to become major winners. And I'll be couple weeks where some of those investors are placing their highest
[01:58] bear market. All right, Bitcoin is currently sitting at $65,500 and suddenly a lot of people on X have flipped bullish on Bitcoin saying that Street Bets here who says Bitcoin pullback already done, we're definitely
[02:13] said, "I've been cautious on crypto since we broke below 100k in Bitcoin. I of a short squeeze and we have one more retest lower print in us." For this to be a bottom, I would like to see a large pickup in spot volume or a large
[02:28] increase in inflows. But I think the time to be bearish is now over. I don't see Bitcoin going materially below 60 to 65k from here. And in general, it just shift in the market where more and more people are starting to feel like maybe
[02:44] the bottom is finally in and maybe now is the time to start accumulating positions in certain high conviction bets. And you guys know that my position has been since around February that the relative bottom is already in and we're
[02:57] though a lot of the bears have been calling for 30k, 40k levels. It just how much fun has been thrown at the market and how strong price has been
[03:09] last video how a lot of people accumulated during what they thought was the bottom in this 19k area only to kind of get rug pulled later as FTX collapsed. But the end result was price dropped down to around 15k which really
[03:23] these holders because we ended up going up to around 125k going to rehash it all here, but my take and many people's take based on the four-year cycle is around October we should start to see strength. I also
[03:37] until after midterms given midterms are such time of uncertainty and the markets you know, it takes until right after midterms before we really start to see that price action. But basically Q4 should be bullish in terms of crypto.
[03:52] caps. I'm going to kind of just bundle tiny caps and small caps together because they're relatively about the same in the ways that you play them. Although, you know, most people tend to play tiny caps a lot faster than they
[04:06] play small caps, but small caps and tiny caps would be anywhere from $0 in market cap all the way up to about $99 in market cap. Although, different people might say 50 million to 100 million is mid caps. It really doesn't
[04:20] matter. The these do kind of bleed and blend into one another. For the purpose of this video, I'm just saying anywhere below $100 in market cap, I'm going to call a small to tiny cap. And this would be most meme coins. This would be most
[04:32] moon shot plays. They would be sitting in this category because they're just really, really small tokens that are extremely risky. And most people will most of these tokens will not end up going anywhere. And I call these types
[04:46] of investments VC style investments because when you're a VC investor, most fail. So, most of the money that you're paying out, that you're seeding into to come home. You know that if you're making 20 bets out there, maybe 15 of
[05:02] You're never going to see that money again. Most of your money is going to come from a few outsized bets. And I've talked about this before. With tiny cap tokens, I expect seven out of 10 to literally go to zero. I expect one out
[05:15] of 10 to do like all right, one to do good, and hopefully one to do amazing. And in very specific terms, that might be, you know, one of them does like a 2x. One of them does maybe like a 3 or 4x. And then hopefully one of them does
[05:30] 4x. And then hopefully one of them does like a 10 to 20x plus play out of those 10 different plays. And personally, just to be honest, I played a little bit too heavy in the tiny to small cap tokens over this past cycle. They really have a
[05:43] lot of issues. And one of the biggest issues is just liquidity. If you want to a lot of money, you have 5,000 to put in, 10,000 to put in, you know, like anything around that area or higher, 50,000, 100,000, you really can't play
[05:57] in these tiny cap tokens without massively moving the price. You put that are this small and you're going to really move the price. And this is where million token, you're not going to move the price at all. If it's a $50 million
[06:11] token, maybe you won't move the price, it depends on liquidity. But certainly when you get to like this 1 million to 10 million to 20 million range, you're going to have a significant impact on the token price. And this is going to
[06:23] your bang for your buck when you do that investment. On top of that, if you go to sell, like say you you invest in something that's like $10,000, $20,000 market cap, or that's that's really small, let's say 100,000, and it goes to
[06:35] And let's say like on paper you ended up making like $500,000. Reality is at that scale and size, the liquidity for that token is going to be really small. It's going to be like $50,000, $100,000, like it's it's not
[06:49] let's take Research Coin. I love Research Coin. It happens to be sitting That was I didn't prepare this ahead of time. You can see the liquidity for it is $84,000. So if you had made $500,000
[07:03] [snorts] buying it early and there's only $84,000 in liquidity, if you wanted to sell, you could not cash out $500,000. The most you could cash out isn't really even 80k. Um it's going to be less than that.
[07:18] you know, if there's a lot of volume on the token, you could sell into that volume and still, you know, maybe get somewhere close to that. The point is with tokens like this, you have to be really aggressive in taking out at least
[07:31] take profit along the way, taking out your profits along the way. And you can only play it with a really small amount of capital. You can't do anything crazy you're going to run into issues later down the line. And my personal belief
[07:45] investment advice, is on these types of tokens, these tiny tokens, when it does a two to four X, somewhere in there, you should be taking out your initial every like the the amount of money you put in there originally, that should come out
[07:59] table when that token does a two to four X, which it's a lot easier for those really, really tiny. And if you're investing in these really tiny cap really don't know what to say to you. And this is exactly what I was saying at
[08:12] people that treat these things like they're Bitcoin. They put money in and next Bitcoin. I'm going to make a fortune. I'm just going to buy and hold okay if you want to do that. But at the bare minimum, you should take out your
[08:25] initial investment so you're not making this really risky bet because that's a really risky assumption to make. So for small or tiny caps, 99% of these will not age well. They are usually short bursts of profit. You need to take at
[08:38] bare minimum your initial out when it does a two to three X. But a lot of the playing these type of plays, especially sub 10 million, they're it's just really fast. When that thing does some profit, they scoop it off the table and they're
[08:51] up winning when it comes to those really tiny small plays like that. And this is Turbo. He's a guy in the Obsidian Council Discord and he has a track record of the last couple years at being insanely profitable and good at doing
[09:05] things that he gets into are going to be really obscure things. He did a lot of made a fortune off of that. He does a lot of really tiny things that maybe They're really, really tiny. And he's really good at making money because he's
[09:20] really good at taking profit as those things go up. For example, he got into this one, I don't know what it was, but it was a 115 X gain. He got into another one called Perch, that was a 100 X gain. He got into Puff which did a 27 X, Ponky
[09:35] which did an 18 X, Idle which did an 18 X, and a ton more. Those are really more started keeping track of when people would post in the Obsidian Council and how consistent and how good they were at, you know, finding plays early that
[09:47] had a legendary reputation, especially when meme coins were really, really big, at tracking wallets just like a pro and getting in and out of these things and fact, out of the calls that I tracked, he has a 53% hit rate, meaning one out
[10:02] of every two of the tokens that he talks about ends up doing extremely well. And right now, sitting in his highest conviction spot is Spetero. He's already up 115% on it. It has something to do with AI and agents coding. A lot of his
[10:14] plays lately have been more AI-focused. For example, his second highest conviction bet is something called Leon. Uh I've never heard of this one, either. your virtual brain. Leon is your open-source personal assistant who can
[10:27] you ask him to. And his third highest which unfortunately I currently don't have the contract address for this one, is. Another guy who's done really, really well in the Discord over the past
[10:39] has been Pasky. He called PO actually a lot earlier than this. This This whole setup is a lot newer. So, this is just him adding to it uh a few days ago. Uh but he called it way earlier when it was well under sub a million. He called this
[10:52] one around 90K and it's since gone to as high as 4.6 million dollars, which would be around a 51X from bottom to top. He's Turbo and quite a few guys in the Discord at the moment. It's another AI
[11:06] on Open Router. It's sitting currently at number five under productivity and and it's got some real revenue coming in. It's still very early and still very excited about it. But like I said, most of these are tiny cap to small cap
[11:20] plays, and what's allowed someone like Turbo to win with these types of plays meaning he doesn't play these things typically for too long. I sometimes in rare instances, he's ridden out things for a couple months, but most of
[11:34] the time he's taking his profit pretty early and pretty aggressively, which is tokens. And that's really one of the only ways you can consistently win with is mid cap tokens. That'd be anything around 100 million or higher. You guys
[11:48] market bets. It would also sit in mid cap territory sitting at around 157 million in market cap. And the big thing about mid cap tokens is that mid cap tokens tend to have bit of a more of a proven track record. They've been around
[12:03] know who the team is. You know what they've done with their time. And established. So people tend to trust them a bit more. And I shared this in a past video where I looked at 2018 and 2022, and I looked at the tokens that
[12:17] ended up going from the bear market to be like the big winners. And typically the biggest 10 to 30x return came from strong mid caps already alive. There was winners. This would still fit in that mid cap territory or maybe kind of bleed
[12:30] It'd be like the perps platforms back then or the things that were, you know, cool AI stuff in 2022, you know, right as everything was taking off. they happen to fit into the perfect narrative that ended up taking off that
[12:44] cycle. The 100x plus tokens ended up being small caps with a brand new narrative. This would be those things that sit anywhere from 500k to 100 million. Typically, these things are around 5 to 20 million in market cap.
[12:57] And the 1000x gains were typically mostly new launches after the bottom. So just meme coins and just kind of silly stuff like that because those are the very rare that it's something outside of that, although there are cases of mid
[13:11] doing that. It's a lot rarer. And my personal take is mid caps tend to be the the bear market. I don't like to put them in tiny small caps because it's
[13:23] you're tending to play it like a little bit quicker. So if you're playing it a making sure to be aggressive and take out your initial, they can be massive, massive winners. In fact, there could be some small AI tokens right now that are
[13:36] just going to absolutely blow up. But, predicting those is really difficult. I'm saying, "Okay, I want some I want a team that I know is not going to go away. I know they've been kind of gone through multiple cycles or, you know,
[13:48] before. And I know I can put my money there and it's not going to just go to zero overnight." And this is more of the category where Tilburg likes to invest. season and currently his max conviction bet is Pepe, which is just an old meme
[14:02] coin. Uh a lot of people bet on it uh in bear markets because uh a lot of times they'll say, "Hey, they're going to be more like Bitcoin beta um or maybe return to meme coins, that kind of thing." His second highest conviction
[14:16] bet is Soul. And I would put Soul more in in the large cap uh territory. I wouldn't put it in mid cap. But, then he has Track, which would sit firmly in the around. I feel like it's been around for a couple cycles. Under that is Tao. Tao
[14:29] almost fits in the large cap territory. It's actually pretty big, uh but also really, really hyped um last cycle and I would expect really hyped this cycle, pretty well for him just because BitTorrent Tao um
[14:42] I I hear it talked about outside of the crypto space all the time uh as people are just really hyped on AI. And then finally, in his scout category is VVV. a lot of you guys are really familiar with Venice. There's a lot of people
[14:54] right now that they hold Venice. They hold hype. Um they hold lit. Um that that a lot of people are talking about and holding. And to give credit, around late 2022, I remember a lot of people talking about Soul. Like, they were just
[15:08] down like crazy. Everyone was talking about how Soul was going to be massive. It was going to be huge. And it ended up just doing multiples that cycle. It best performing uh mid cap to large cap tokens of the cycle. So, these people
[15:21] talking about lit and um Zcash and VVV, things in the middle of a bear market and things end up aging pretty well. Finally, you have large cap tokens.
[15:33] These would be things like Bitcoin, Ethereum, BNB, XRP, Solana, Tron, Ethereum, BNB, XRP, Solana, Tron, Hyperliquid, Dogecoin, Zcash. Uh really these kind of like major tokens um I wouldn't even give it a price range. I
[15:47] everyone always talks about. Sui, Litecoin. They're the ones that have the like if you talk to somebody who doesn't really know crypto very well, they're likely to know those tokens when you mention them versus if you mention VVV,
[16:02] about?" You mention XRP, they'll be like, "Oh, yeah. I I own some of that or these tend to have much, much smaller returns. So, something like XRP is not going to do anything crazy in terms of returns. Something like Bitcoin like the
[16:15] the best you're going to hope for this cycle is like a 2x, maybe a a 3x or 4x or something crazy if things get out of control. ETH, most people like their dream is like a 5x from here from current prices. You get the idea like
[16:28] crazy. Hyperliquid could do something crazy. It's only sitting at 15 billion. If it were to do a 10x, that'd be 150 billion. That seems totally like doable Even 300 billion at the top of the cycle, that'd be a 20x. So, you know,
[16:43] stuff. Um Zcash, a lot of people compared it to like the next Bitcoin. So, you know, if that holds true and that we're able to create enough like uh momentum with it and a lot of people believed it was the next Bitcoin, you
[16:56] Bitcoin's at 1.3 trillion dollars. So, there's a lot of upside for something like that. But, you get the idea. Not as much upside on, you know, typically as something like a mid cap. Definitely not as upside as something like a tiny cap,
[17:08] upside for a lot less risk. If you were to stick your entire life fortune into I think most people would tell you you're probably going to be This is not probably work out for you. You're
[17:23] tripling your money or something like that." And I would even agree with that. totally fine. This is like just a safe, stupid, easy place to stick your money, your entire life fortune into one of those tiny cap tokens, I think most
[17:37] probably going to lose every dime you have." Like, the consensus view, and they'd be right, is that the the most likely outcome is you lose absolutely everything. And even a mid-cap token like VVV, I think most people would say,
[17:51] lose everything." Like, uh or at least you you lose a lot of money. Not that I going to crash. I just It's just not a wise decision to stick your entire life savings into something like that, where there's a lot less risk with uh some of
[18:06] there's there's risk with everything, but there's a lot less risk. And I actually personally feel like most people probably investing in crypto should have like 80 or 90% of their investment in a large-cap token. If
[18:18] invest in a crypto, 80 or 90% of it should probably be in a large-cap token. and mid-cap stuff, it should probably be 10% but 10 to 20% max um that you're
[18:30] because, like I said, they're really risky. Unless you really know what a little bit more into the mid-caps, and you could take a little bit more risk uh money, and and I get that. It's just most people come into the crypto space,
[18:44] money in this stupid small token." They don't really even understand the relative size of that token, and they end up losing it. Or they throw it even outdated mid-capper. I I don't know. The narratives rotate so quick in crypto,
[18:57] they end up losing their money. I mean, I've been doing this since 2017, and I got wrecked last year in 2025. I I had so many years of just like making money, It's just a really risky, kind of volatile, crazy space, and that's why
[19:11] most people should have the majority of their funds in something like a large cap token. And then they set aside some money to invest in that smaller stuff. they either take like a big loss and they start to kind of spiral and they
[19:24] just pour more and more money into that token and it just that's always a stupid much money doing that. Or they do the opposite. They actually have a big win. token. They end up doing a 100x. It's like
[19:36] their first one and they're like, "What the heck?" And then they think they more money and try it again and they end up losing because it's just really rare to do that and that's why you got to play that game as a game. That's where
[19:49] you put small amounts, you're really specific about it, you take your initial your profits quick. Anyways, I'm going to make this a regular thing where I verified track records and what they're investing into right now during the bear
[20:02] market. And this gives me a chance to share new interesting ideas that maybe out in the market. So although I didn't share with you the amount of tokens this each week I'm going to be sharing a new set of different ideas in small batches.
[20:17] ideas to you, other weeks they might be stupid and boring and just something that's your decision to make. As always, none of this is investment advice. None with your money. I'm obviously not your financial advisor and you should always
[20:29] see more videos like this, make sure you hit that subscribe button and the little I release a new video. Thanks for watching and I'll see you next week.