---
title: 'Sharp, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies'
source: 'https://youtube.com/watch?v=IdknUfW7LI8'
video_id: 'IdknUfW7LI8'
date: 2026-08-19
duration_sec: 1423
channel: 'OddsJam: Sports Betting, Free Picks & Best Bets'
---

# Sharp, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies

> Source: [Sharp, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies](https://youtube.com/watch?v=IdknUfW7LI8)

## Summary

This live stream focuses on identifying profitable sports betting opportunities across multiple platforms, primarily NBA and some NFL and NHL games. The host shares specific player prop picks, explains the reasoning behind each selection, and highlights value discrepancies across different sportsbooks.

### Key Points

- **Live Stream Introduction** [00:11] — The host starts a live stream about NBA betting, mentioning three streams in one day due to the NBA season start.
- **PrizePicks Value** [01:43] — The host emphasizes that NBA is the best sport to bet on and plans to create a PrizePicks play, noting the platform's value.
- **Harrison Barnes Pick** [03:06] — The host picks Harrison Barnes over 13.5 points+assists, citing Profitex's sharp line and the under being a big underdog.
- **Aaron Holiday Under** [03:48] — The host selects Aaron Holiday under 6.5 points+assists, calling it the lowest line in history and suggesting he may be sent to the G League.
- **Derek Lively Rebounds** [04:12] — The host picks Derek Lively over in rebounds, noting high liquidity as a positive factor.
- **Kisser and Porzingis Picks** [05:31] — The host adds Kisser under 12.5 points+rebounds and Porzingis over 24.5 points+rebounds, emphasizing cross-market bets as high-confidence plays.
- **Tua Touchdown Bet** [07:28] — The host suggests Tua to score a touchdown at +650 on FanDuel, noting the odds are 5x better than other books, calling it 'touchdown value'.
- **Dabble Value** [08:07] — The host highlights Dabble as a fixed-payout book with potential value, mentioning a play on Jaylen Williams under 4.5 rebounds.
- **Dabble Beatable** [13:13] — The host states Dabble is the most beatable sportsbook possibly in history, citing a 30% ROI potential.
- **Celtics Line Discrepancy** [13:44] — The host points out a line discrepancy with Celtics at -120, calling it arbitrage to Novig and Circa, and suggests hedging on Novig due to no limits.
- **Kevin Durant Steal** [17:16] — The host picks Kevin Durant to get a steal at +125 on Hard Rock, noting arbitrage to Profitex and copying Citadel Securities' homework.
- **Hard Rock Success** [18:02] — The host claims to be up $1,600 on Hard Rock this month with $10 bet sizes, calling the book easy to beat.
- **Underdog Slip** [19:07] — The host creates an Underdog slip, including Derek Lively under at +120, and mentions moving quickly due to line bumps.
- **Hockey Six-Pick** [21:24] — The host discusses a hockey six-pick entry on Underdog, noting it as the optimal slip type based on payout math.

### Conclusion

The stream provides a rapid-fire series of sports betting picks across multiple platforms, emphasizing value and line discrepancies. The host encourages viewers to act quickly and leverage cross-market opportunities.

## Transcript

What is up, guys? This is going to be a live stream about the NBA, dude.
Are we live? We are live. We are live, right? Hi, Pops. What's up, Anonymous 420? Dude, you guys are getting three live streams today, man. You guys are getting three live streams.
You guys are getting three live streams in one day. I apologize. It's the start in one day. I apologize. It's the start of the NBA. Also, I've had like of the NBA. Also, I've had like Dude, I gotta
do. What books do you guys want to look at? Ooy. Let's get this rolling and let's see if Let's get this rolling and let's see if we can put some good plays together.
guys want to look at? We don't have a We don't have a prize picks taco yet. We do have football today. We have some college football bets open. But what I really want to do is make sure this stream is working real quick and then we
can get into some bets. So, we are working. What's up, guys? Follow me on YouTube, follow me on Twitch, wherever you're watching. But what I'm going to do in this video is very simple.
It's very simple, man. We're just going to hit some plays. daddy. Better boosted. Do we have a nuke of the day? I don't know. Who is the
nuke of the day? Are the Lakers favored against the Warriors? I didn't even check. Is the game in LA? Where's the game? Warriors are favored. So, Warriors are small favorites tonight. I don't have a
bet on that game personally. What do you guys want to do first? So, I did the prize picks. Um, I did the prize pick promo on the last stream, but I dude, I said this previously, there is a lot of value on prize picks today with
lot of value on prize picks today with the NBA back. NBA is by far by far, okay, the best sport to bet on. So, I'm going to put together a prize pick play. If you've already ran a prize picks play,
um, or if you've already run, if you haven't run the prize picks taco, that's a better way to put it. If you haven't already used the prize picks discount, they got a discount on Kevin Durant
square. Maybe, you know, replace one of the picks or make a sixman. You could make a six-man. I haven't shown any of you guys my fancy spreadsheet. Okay, my math behind prize picks. Five and six pick flex plays are mathematically
we're going to go with is Harrison Barnes. I [ __ ] love Harrison Barnes. I love betting on Harrison Barnes. He always comes through. Over 13 and a half Pas. This game's not tonight. We only got two NBA games tonight, but there's
like 50 billion NBA games tomorrow. Harrison Barnes over 13 and a half pas. You can see Profitex. Profitex is an extremely sharp book. Profitex has his
extremely sharp book. Profitex has his under as a big underdog. So his over is obviously the more likely outcome. Who sets lines on these books? Very smart And this game's actually starting pretty soon.
We have Aaron Holiday under six and a half Pas. That is the lowest P line possibly in history. He's got a big [ __ ] smile. What is this dude so
happy about? He's just happy he made it to the NBA. You can tell this scrub's going to be in the GLeague in like probably a week and a half. And you have a ton of liquidity. Higher liquidity is a good thing. It's what we want to see.
It's what we want to see as a sports better. Derek Lively over in rebounds. Damn, man. Is there anything else for tonight though? Yo, three streams in one day. I just nutted.
not hating. I'm not hating. I hope he succeeds. I'm just playing the probabilities game. If your P line is three and a half or sorry, six and a half. If your P line is six and a half, you may not be NBA
material. Maybe he's a rookie or something though. Yo, what do we think about fading DLO? Fading DLO is scary. I mean, as many of you probably heard on the Stephen A. Smith show this morning,
uh, Stephen A. Smith said that DLO has MVP potential this year. I don't know. MVP potential this year. I don't know. I don't know.
I don't know if I love some of these plays. I don't love pairing DLO. Like I don't love pairing DLO's under. Anyways, let's just finish this slip. Kisser let's just finish this slip. Kisser under and Porzingis over. Okay, let's
go. Here's the slip. Get it locked in if you want to play it. Kisser under 12 and a half PRs, points plus rebounds. And then the final play we're going to go with is Porzingis. Kristoff's Porzingis over 24 and a half
markets. Again, crossed market bets are the plays you have the highest confidence in your edge in. Yo, somebody put the link in the chat, man. Somebody put the link in the chat. Do some rocket bets, bro. I got a Rockets
bet. We're on Aaron Holiday under six and a half Pas. Again, cross market betting. Really simple prize picks. They're just simple prize picks. They're just charging you minus19 minus19 juice for
any pick on the board. Uno trace.
players. We got Kristoff Porzingis's washed ass in our play. So, we got a lot of random plays, but I got this locked in. I don't want to take too long. Someone said there's good dabble value. Are they telling the truth?
Damn. But everyone in the everyone in the Facebook chat right now is asking for Bet MGM and Hard Rock. So, we could check him out. check him out. Yo, what do we think about this play?
Jaylen Williams, not the good Jaylen Williams, the scrub one, the one who's always like smiling and cheering on SGAA when it's like, "Dude, your ass is gonna get traded. You're not that good." Um, well, actually, FanDuel just bumped
that line, so never mind. Let's see. What do we have? Yo. Yo, this is the most random early value
in the world, but I kind of [ __ ] with it. Tua to score a touchdown. Dolphins, dude, Mike McDaniel may just [ __ ] QB sneak to it to get rid of him. Sneak him
into the end zone. worst case he gets even more CTE and you guys can go to the backup quarterback who may be better than Tua. So across market also like every other book this is plus 650 on Hard Rock. You are getting above four.
You're getting like 5x the odds playing this on FanDuel which is pretty touchdown value. I don't know what they're doing right now. It's absolutely they're doing right now. It's absolutely insane. But let's check out Dabble
underdog unlimited profit boost please. Oh my gosh. Yo, check out this play. We Oh my gosh. Yo, check out this play. We have a play for the Thunder game. available. Wow. Wow. Wow. Wow. Wow. Wow. Wow. What is the best dabble shield?
shield? Does anybody know the best dabble shield? Yo, this play is crazy. Oh my gosh. So, the first play we're going to go with Jaylen Williams under four and a half rebounds. Why are we taking this play? Nobody likes him. He's
always smiling. Thunder win the championship. He's smiling like he did something. He didn't do anything. Um, but what was I gonna say? Wow, there's so much value. I don't even know what to do right now.
Man, man, man. So, here we have Jacob Poetal. Jacob the poet. Dude, there is a lot of stuff. Second play I'm gonna go with. It's also a cross market again. Dabble fixed payout sports book. That's why you see the same price, the same
odds for the over and the under because it is a fixed payout book, right? You take Conor McDavid to go over, under, same payout. So, the odds are the same when you go through the math. Yo, what's the best shield available?
What's the best shield available right now? Does anyone know the best shield? Jeff Skinner over one and a half shots. Let's see. I want to make sure. Obviously, that play's not in the same game. There's no correlation. Is there a
payout shift? Let's see. No payout shift. Yo, thank you so much. so much. Again, you kind of got to like hunt for them, but
you know, Dabble says they're going to add on a.7x multiplier. So, they're add on a.7x multiplier. So, they're supposed to they're supposed to reduce your payout from uh 6x to 5.4x, Forex, but they
just, bro, they just like forget to do it sometimes. It literally is insane, it sometimes. It literally is insane, bro. It's insane. It's like when your psycho exgirlfriend forgets to take birth control, forgets
to, and then next thing you know, you have a kid, you have to drop out of college, you start [ __ ] abusing heroin, next thing you know, your life is shot. Anyways, on prize picks, they don't [ __ ] it up. All right? If you
start including these goblins, they reduce your payout from 6x to 3.25x. Dabble is literally insane. And this Jaylen Williams play, by the way, it's crazy. He's literally a plus 148 underdog
underdog to go over. wanted to make sure we took the under. So, what I'm going to do, listen, listen, listen, is I'm going to give you guys a five pick as well. Dude, who the
[ __ ] is texting me? Yo, stop texting me random plays. Some of you guys in the chat. Yo, Colin Gaseppi, what a last name. Uh,
who is he? Jared Allen. No double double. This play's crazy. He's a massive favorite to go under. He's literally minus 180. You don't just have to look at one data point. Every data point in the market, all these
these books have Jared Allen's under every What were we talking about? Where's our boy Colin Jeppi? Colin, calling Colin.
What are we doing, man? Uh, Caris Levert. I do love Caris Levert. Yo, come here, Dabble. Let's see what Yo, come here, Dabble. Let's see what you got for me. Jacob Poetal. Jacob
Poetal. I know his last name is Ple. I'm just [ __ ] with you guys. A lot of you guys don't understand. I enjoy [ __ ] with you guys. It's part of my enjoyment in my day. Yo, this is a crazy play. This would be a five pick entry. Again,
unfortunately, I'm max limited on Dabble because it's the easiest sports book literally in human history to get a 30% ROI on, except for maybe Hard Rock. Hard ROI on, except for maybe Hard Rock. Hard Rock's pretty easy, too.
slept for tonight. No, same game parlays are the most negative EV [ __ ] you can bet. Dude, there's tons of DraftKings pick six value in the chat. But listen, been saying, "We don't want DraftKings pick six." So, I'm not going to give you
guys DraftKings pick six. You guys need to unite as a united force.
Boy, where are we going, man? That's crazy. So, there's a ton of dabble value. Again, I truly believe this is on a serious note, this two of play is crazy, but I truly believe Dabble is the most
beatable sports book possibly in history.
for tomorrow? Did Joel Embiid retire? I haven't heard that name in a minute. Um, it seems like everyone in the chat wants Hard Rock, so we can take a look. I understand. I don't want to ignore you guys, of course. Dude, what is going on?
How do they have the Celtics minus 120? Did some lineup news just come out in the game? How do you have a line discrepancy this big? Again, the NBA line movement is ridiculous. It's honestly,
it's honestly like um uh you know, the first time you try bread pudding and you realize there is no dessert that can pause. It's very similar to that. Yo,
like what is going on here, dude? They have minus 120. That's arbitrage to Novig. That's arbitrage to Circa. This looks ridiculous to basically every single sports book. Celtics minus 120 for tomorrow. Again, this is a cross
market. So, we have 100% confidence in our edge. You know, we can buy the stock our edge. You know, we can buy the stock at 120 and sell it at 130. That's essentially what you're doing. So, one of the trades has to be plus EV. Why do
they only give me $12? Like, bro, this is a mainline NBA bet and they're only is a mainline NBA bet and they're only giving me $12. could also just arbitrage bet it if you get solid limits. I mean, NBA bets money
get solid limits. I mean, NBA bets money line like Orbit, you could, you know, however much you can get on Hard Rock 250. Go hedge bet 200, 1992 on Novig. Novig is a sports book. They have no betting limits. And the people setting
lines on Novig are really smart. They are trading firms, quant hedge funds, not your gardener, not your neighbor, not Peter Gazer, not these high school kids in the chat who are gambling on their dad's credit card because their
And the mom is out of the picture, bro. forever ago. So now they're in my live they think I'm a father figure. I'm not your dad, bro. Not your dad, bro.
your dad, bro. Not your dad, bro. Oh, man. Peter, where are you, bro? needed him in this chat. I mentioned that guy's name. Yo, where is Peter?
Somebody make sure he's all right. If you wanted to run a better slip again on better, they recently improved their three pick entries to having a 6x payout. So now instead of finding five good picks because they only you you
only have to find three. So you could just run these together. But I hit my just run these together. But I hit my I hit my um uh Where is Cozy Trash Fire, dude? Where is Cozy Trash Fire? Where you at, bro?
please? Yes, I can. Because you ask nicely. I am a big fan of people asking nicely. You know, you never you never say like, "No, don't make sexual jokes."
Um, what do we want to do? There is a lot of value on Underdog Fantasy. Oh [ __ ] we did the FanDuel promos on the previous stream. the previous stream. Again, I love I live in Virginia. You
have to remember there are a lot of pros of this state. on top of being 46%, you know. Damn it, I [ __ ] it up. It's 64% female. That's the fake number I'm
supposed to give. Yo, Kevin Durant to get a steel is crazy on Hard Rock. If you want plays for the Rockets game, you got to lock in. Some of you guys are not locked in. I am locked in. Kevin Durant to get a steel. How many of you guys
want Hard Rock plays? Raise your hand. Make sure the teacher can see you. I'm your teacher in this example. I I bet you wish I was your teacher. Yo, so plus 125 for Kevin Durant. That's arbitrage to uh Profitex. They have the under with
a [ __ ] ton of liquidity. You know who's not offering that line? Your neighbor. You know who is offering that line? [ __ ] Citadel Securities, bro. Um, so they're offering KD's under at minus 117, which means they want to bet the
over at plus 117. So we're essentially just copying their homework. Aaron Wiggins over three and a half rebounds. Dude, why is there so much value chat down the list. You just click the buttons. Man, I'm up $1,600 on Hard Rock
this month. I'm up 1,600 bucks on Hard Rock this month on $10 bet sizes. It's beyond me. It is beyond comprehension how easy to beat the sports book is. It is the hot girl at the bar. You always want to follow that.
Amen. Thompson over one and a half steals. There's a lot of plays, but I don't want to dwell on the girl with the short skirt on. We got to look at some other books, too. You know what I mean? Let's see what we can do. Let's go here
and let's see. Uh FanDuel and Underdog. I did promise an underdog slip. I'm not going to lie, this line is trippy.
Dude, Bears plus 265. Lamar coming back from injury. He was with that, you know, from injury. He was with that, you know, white girl on Instagram.
probably not going to get a better line. It's also a cross market. Again, you have extremely high confidence in your edge, but I promised an underdog slip, so let me do that again. You have to move quickly on underdog because they
bump things faster than all you [ __ ] cokeheads in the chat. Bump your lines off the key and steal the bag from your best friend of all time cuz you're all in high school. Kids in high school are not drug addicts. They're the opposite
high school and focused on gambling. He's focused on the wrong things. So, we got two picks so far. This play, Derek Lively, absolutely insane. His unders offered at plus 120. And we're
math behind underdog fantasy, I go through the math on a ton of YouTube videos. You should check them out. Alex, do you still invest in the stock Alex, do you still invest in the stock market? No. After I sold Odds Jam, I put
all the money under my mattress. I hope you never find my house. you never find my house. Um, where do we want to go?
finish this underdog slip. Dude, I post so much good content on YouTube. There's like literally a billion people who have told me I have changed their lives from just making them better sports betterers.
And now for the first time they can they can afford trips to Amsterdam. Yo, plays. So if you can't play college football,
So if you can't play college football, play this uh hockey play, but I already play this uh hockey play, but I already ran that play, so I'm not going to be able to rerun it for some reason. Jordan Clarkson Jordan
Clarkson got traded. He's on the Knicks now. now. I love Jordan Clarkson.
seconds to lock this in. Is there any correlation I need to worry about? And I don't really love that DLO play thrown in again. Why is there so much shots on goal. I like that. That's also
for tonight. So, this is hockey six pick entry on underdog fantasy. Again, when you go through the math behind these payouts, you will see that that is the optimal slip type riding Alex Monahan. Yo, can somebody please put the link in
the chat? How many massages per day are you giving Jaden? and then Jaden Daniels is my neighbor on that side. You don't believe me? You
know, that's us together. He gets me seats sometimes. Field passes to the He just says I'm a reporter and then I get to go down to the field.
replacement play for the college one. I have no idea who this is, but apparently have no idea who this is, but apparently this is a hockey goalie.
Ah, I already hit my daily limit. I didn't realize I've streamed too many times today, man. I'm not going to be able to bet this FML. But this is a really solid play. There's a lot of plays.
Sam Bennett the same way a lot of you guys [ __ ] bump lines like crazy coke fiends we have in the chat. It's embarrassing, dude. I would never in my
life do a single drug. An illegal drug, dude. Are you kidding me? No, we are not doing that. I will never. No, we are not doing that. I will never. Dead serious, bro. What do we want as an
as as a replacement play? I mean, this hockey play is not horrible. Um, except the game's starting like now. So, you need to move faster. need to move faster. You need to move faster
than anything you've seen in your life before. Anyways, I have a group therapy session, so I'll see you guys. Maybe I'll stream
so I'll see you guys. Maybe I'll stream again