--- title: 'How to Crush Player Props on NoVig & ProphetX (Complete Strategy Guide)' source: 'https://youtube.com/watch?v=yiOXtp6MTZQ' video_id: 'yiOXtp6MTZQ' date: 2026-08-04 duration_sec: 475 --- # How to Crush Player Props on NoVig & ProphetX (Complete Strategy Guide) > Source: [How to Crush Player Props on NoVig & ProphetX (Complete Strategy Guide)](https://youtube.com/watch?v=yiOXtp6MTZQ) ## Summary This video reveals how professional bettors use exchange liquidity on platforms like ProphetX and NoVig to identify sharp action in player prop markets, contrasting it with traditional sharp books like Pinnacle that have low limits. The presenter demonstrates a strategy for evaluating and placing bets based on exchange liquidity multiples and price ranges, using the OddJam Sharp Money Tool. ### Key Points - **Sharp money is on exchanges** [00:01] — Professional bettors are placing large wagers on exchanges like ProphetX, NoVig, and Cowshi, which most bettors haven't heard of, rather than traditional books. - **Pinnacle's low limits signal** [00:28] — Pinnacle's $250 max wager on player props indicates they lack confidence, while exchange liquidity shows where sharp money is actually going. - **Example: Moritz Seider prop** [00:42] — On Hard Rock, Pinnacle accepts only $250, but an individual posted $4,500 on ProphetX for the under 1.5 shots on goal at +160 odds, showing 20x more confidence. - **Place bets at the recommended book** [02:25] — When the sharp money tool recommends a book like Hard Rock, place the wager there if available, as it offers the best price. - **Accept a price range** [02:50] — If you can't bet at the recommended book, accept 5-10 cents worse odds to get in on the action at other books like DraftKings or FanDuel. - **Example: Victor Wembanyama prop** [03:33] — Someone posted $5,800 at +120 odds on NoVig for Wembanyama under 26.5 points, 23x Pinnacle's limit. You can bet up to -125 or -130 and still be profitable. - **Spread bets across books** [04:19] — Large bankroll bettors can spread their action across multiple recreational books to get down hundreds or thousands of dollars. - **Use 5x liquidity rule** [05:13] — Treat exchange liquidity as sharp when it's 5x or higher than Pinnacle or Circa limits. For example, if Pinnacle's limit is $250, look for at least $1,250 on the exchange. - **Bet sizing based on multiplier** [06:25] — For 5x-10x multipliers, bet one unit; for 10x or higher, bet 1.5 to 2 units. Use flat units like 25, 50, 100, 150 to appear casual. - **Conclusion: profitable roadmap** [07:16] — The sharp money tool provides insight into exchange liquidity, offering a profitable roadmap for player prop betting, and the presenter promotes his other strategies for prediction markets. ### Conclusion The key takeaway is to use exchange liquidity as a signal for sharp action, accept a price range, and use flat unit sizing to maximize profits in player prop betting. ## Transcript sharp money, but they're looking in all the wrong places. While everyone's professional betterers are quietly posting tens of thousands of dollars on exchanges that 99% of sports betterers have never even heard of. I've been months, and what I discovered completely changes how I approach player prop betting. The real sharp action isn't happening where you think it is. Today, I'm going to show you how AGM Sharp Money Tool reveals where multi-million dollar bankroll professionals are actually placing their bets and how you breakthrough came when I realized that Sharp Money was wrong when it came to player props. Pinnacle might be Sharp, but their $250 player prop limits tells a different story. Let me show you what get unlimited action on that same market. Here's a perfect example of what recommended to us from Morit Cider over under one and a half shots on goal over here on Hard Rock. Now, as you can see, Pinnacle's only accepting a max wager Pinnacle's only accepting a max wager size of $250. So, one of the most widely regarded sharp sports books in the world is only taking a max limit of $250. We could see that one individual person has posted $4500 of liquidity over at profit X. This better has posted 20 times the amount of money that Pinnacle is willing to accept on this prop. Here's what most betterers betterers and syndicates know about these exchanges. The average better has never heard of Profitex, Novig, or Cowshi. So, when you see massive liquidity posted on the Sharp Money tool from an exchange, it's a sign that it's coming from some of the smartest money in the world. So, let's think about this logically. If Pinnacle's only accepting $250 and this person's accepting $4,500, who do you think has more confidence in their line? So remember, this person posted on Profitex the under one and a half shots on goal at plus 160 odds, They want the over one and a half at minus 160 odds. When we take a look at the pricing here that's being offered by the books, minus 160 is slightly better than what most books are offering, but it's not a crazy egregious price. In fact, when you look at the under one and a half, they're offering the best price at plus 160. No other sports book comes even close to that. This person wants their order filled at plus 160 cuz they have extreme confidence at minus 160 odds. So, in this example, we want to go ahead and place this wager over at Hard ahead and place this wager over at Hard Rock. But here's the next part that most betterers completely miss. Where most betters completely screw this up is the sharp money tool is telling you where the professional better wants this play at. They're recommending you a book that's offering either the same odds or better odds. Most people are going to see that, well, you know, I'm either hard rock available to me, Billy, so this plays off the board for me. Well, not so fast, my friend. Be willing to accept a range. Most professional bers when they're looking to place bets, they have a certain range that their model tells them bet it between this price to this price and it's going to be very solid plus EV. So I know that this better wants this price filled at minus 160 odds. I'm willing to take 5 to 10 cents worse of a price to get in on the action. So even if you don't have Hard Rock or you're limited on Hard Rock, I can still go over to DraftKings or Fandal. This is 8 to 10 cents off the still get my order filled. These are the two most popular sports books in America. I know that they'll allow me to at least bet $100 to maybe $200 on this play with no problem at all. So, in this example with Victor Wmanyaba betting his under 26 1/2 points, someone's posted $5,800 at plus120 odds on Novig. This is 23 times the limit that Pinnacle's taking on this play. Well, that means that this person wants it at minus1 120 odds. I'm willing to go up to minus125 or minus1 130. And what do you know? Profitex, Fandal, Hard Rock, The Score, Bet MGM, Sports, these are all recreational sports books where I can get this play down. Or if you're someone that has a very large bankroll and you're looking to get down hundreds or thousands of dollars, you can now spread this out between multiple sports books and get in on the action. So, if you can't get the perfect price, don't stress. We're only going a few cents off of what this better wants their order filled at. And this allows you to have your action down across a lot of different wreck books. If you want to try OddJam Sharp Money Tool one week for free, click the link in the description below. Using code Billy35 will give you a oneweek free trial and then 35% off your first month after the oneweek trial ends. If you found value in the content subscribe button. Click that thumbs up button and tap that bell notification so you don't miss the next video that we release. Because player props have such low liquidity, anytime the liquidity on an exchange is 5x or higher compared to Pinnacle or Circa, you want to treat the exchange as your sharp sports book. going to be very quick and easy for you to start evaluating your plays. First, accounts with or the books that you're looking to place your wager. For that's 5x or higher. here. So, if Pinnacle's limits at 250, we want this at at least 1250 or higher. For Pinnacle Circus limits, again, I have it at 250. We're looking at player props and just games for today. Now, in this example with Cooper Flag, when Circa has their limits at 500, again, 500 * 5 is 2500. We were looking at almost $6,000 in liquidity here. That's over 5x the evaluating this play. Maybe you're limited on the score. >> Maybe you can't bet this over here at minus 110 odds. Well, remember this person wants this play at minus 112 odds. You can get this at FanDuel, DraftKings, Caesars, Fliff, Hard Rock. Plenty of books, plenty of options that you can get this play down 5 to 10 cents beyond what this better wants it at. So, if they want it at -12, that means minus 117 [music] or -122. As we scroll through the rest of these plays, Wmanyama, Max Christie, Jonas Valenunis, all of these plays are in consideration. Pinnacle's limit is at $250. This is well above and beyond 5x Pinnacle's limit. If you want to take this a step further, anything that's maybe a 5x to 10x multiplier of Pinnacle, you can bet one unit. If you want to go beyond one unit, then look at 10x multipliers or higher of Pinnacle's limit. That means that you could bet one and a half to maybe two units on a play. When it comes to your wager range size, I like to use to your wager range size, I like to use flat units, basic numbers, 25, 50, 100, 150. Don't get deep in the weeds betting $67 over at DraftKings or $43 at Bet Rivers. Just keep your bet sizes ending in zeros and fives. Again, you want to appear like a casual sports better. So, keep a very simple unit system. One, one and a half, two, three units max. The sharp money tool now gives us insight into where these exchanges have their largest liquidity posted for player props, where the sharpest sports books in the world are only accepting $250 to $500. This completely changes the game on how to attack player props is going to provide you a profitable road map for future success. When it comes to exchanges and prediction markets, this is just one of my highly profitable strategies that I love to utilize to attack books like Koshi and Novig. Click walk you through my three other favorite strategies I love to use to attack the prediction markets and exchanges. These markets and exchanges have no caps and limits to how much money that you can earn. This is the future in 2026 where you want to get in before everyone else follows.