[00:01] my first million in sports betting. Now, it's a strategy that I have claimed as it's a strategy that I have claimed as the line maker method. Reason why I've claimed this is because it's exactly what the name of everything dictates.
[00:15] You're making the line and adjusting it according to what you want it to be and what's going to give you an edge rather than what the sports books are just going to be putting out there for you, which are the sucker bets. So, is going
[00:27] to be implied probability. Okay, implied probability is the odds that the sports book gives you straight up. So let's say for example minus 150 minus 150 has a
[00:39] for example minus 150 minus 150 has a 60% implied probability. Okay. So if you just played minus 150s all the time, you should hit around 60%. That's the break even mark. Now compare this to true probability. True probability means
[00:54] what's the actual chance that this is actually going to occur? the actual chance of this occurring. Okay? Because it is different from this number right it is different from this number right here. And this is where the line maker
[01:07] method comes into play. And this is where you're able to make your own line to give yourself an edge. So the true probability, let's say, for example, let's say the true probability of this play right here is actually 66%. Okay,
[01:23] that means that the odds should actually be minus 200. There's a discrepancy there. As you can see, here's your discrepancy. Okay, the sports book has it at minus 150 where it actually should be listed as minus200. Now, people
[01:38] that? Wouldn't they realize that, you know, there's a discrepancy there, that there's an actual probability of, you know, 6% edge there of something happening? Why would they do that? Well, they don't. Okay, they don't do that.
[01:51] The reason why is because this number here, you're most likely making that number on an alternate line for a player prop. Okay, this is literally being able to make your own lines, hence being the line maker. Okay, you are making your
[02:08] own line to adjust it to give yourself an edge here. So, we adjust this number for example right here. We take our implied probability, but we adjusted it to where we're actually getting a better true probability there, thus giving us a
[02:21] plus 6% edge. And just like that, longterm, you're able to profit because you're giving yourself an edge longterm by making your own lines and setting
[02:33] your own lines on alternate lines rather than just going with what the sports of questions of people asking like, "Does this work with totals? Does it work with money lines? Does it work with spreads? It is very hard and you have to
[02:47] have literally an AI system to be able to find the edge within the actual total spreads and money lines of plays. This is much easier with player props. Okay,
[03:00] That one player either doing something or he's not. Not a whole team combined having to be able to do certain things. So, it's way easier with player props to adapt this method to to be able to give
[03:12] ahead and use an example here. All right, let's use the NFL. Let's use passing yards for Patrick Mahomes. Okay, let's say Patrick Mahomes his implied let's say Patrick Mahomes his implied probability to go over 225 plus passing
[03:27] probability to go over 225 plus passing yards is minus 150. Okay, which is 60% implied probability. Now, if we go and actually look at the statistics of Patrick Mahomes for, let's say, the current season or the year before, you
[03:42] when you're watching this video, obviously. And if you look, and let's obviously. And if you look, and let's just say, for example, that he ends up being able to surpass this number in certain matchups because that's what it
[03:56] overall. It comes down to certain matchups that he's going against. Okay? That's where the difference comes. It's that give you overall probability of stuff, but that's just overall in
[04:10] general. You have to find within the matchup that makes sense. Okay? So, let's say within the matchup that makes sense, he hits this actually at 66% of the time. So, like I said up here, that line should obviously be minus 200, but
[04:25] it's not. Okay? You found it a sports book at -50. So you take the over 225 plus yards and you give yourself a plus 6% edge just like that. And when you
[04:37] replicate that over and over and over over the course of years, that is exactly how you're able to stack your bankroll and literally get on the blueprint and the path to making a million dollars. Now, I've made a set of
[04:51] rules that literally you need to apply to be able to get to that million-doll mark and actually be successful with sports betting. And I'm about to reveal those to you right now. If you guys want the plays that fit this criteria day in
[05:04] you directly, make sure you guys click the link in the description. Now, these are my rules to success when it comes to sports betting on your climb to make a million dollars within sports betting. Now, the first rule was only bet plus
[05:21] edge plays. Those are plays that literally give me a shot at the best opportunity of winning. All right, what that means is you're taking implied probability and true probability and putting those together to give yourself
[05:35] a plus edge. If that doesn't happen, then I wasn't playing it. Okay, I was not playing it because some of the times I would think a play is going to win just in my gut, but real life on paper with math there was a negative edge
[05:49] behind it and then longterm that would make me lose. So, I realized I had to make that transition to realizing what plus edge was and what that meant and that the odds give you from the sports book to the true probability of that
[06:02] event actually occurring and giving myself a plus opportunity to be able to set myself up for the best bet possible. Number two was making sure that I'm playing all sports throughout the year. A lot of the times, like back when I
[06:18] football just like everybody else. And everybody's like, "Oh man, like football's the best. That's the best sport to bet. It's most exciting, right?" Well, when you realize football actually only happens once really a week
[06:32] actually happen. It's nearly impossible to just rely on that. You have to be able to bet on all the sports. You have to you have to bet on all them because every day. Which brings me to actually
[06:44] number three. Number three is being consistent. Because if you're not consistent, then you might miss days where there were plays that you should have been betting. You have to be consistent with it. You can't be lazy,
[06:56] okay? If you're lazy with it and you don't treat this like an actual job or like another business, guess what? You are going to end up losing money and happens time and time again because when you don't stay consistent, and that's
[07:09] betting, but when you don't stay consistent with something, you become lazy. You slack off, and guess what? Negative results end up happening. Negative results end up happening. Number four was don't tilt. This is a
[07:22] tilting/chasing losses. This is the biggest part because even if you have the right plays and you're staying consistent, one day where you tilt and you chase a bunch of losses
[07:36] because you can't handle taking a losing day, that's the day where you lose everything. And me coming up in sports betting, that's happened to me time and time again where I chased a bunch of losses literally within one day and blew
[07:51] a ton of money just trying to chase the one loss that I occurred because I couldn't handle the emotion of taking a losing day. So you have to master this part of the process which is not tilting. You have to because if you
[08:06] don't master that part, you will lose a bunch of money. None of the other stuff matters if you can't control the emotion of not tilting. I had to make sure that I realized there's going to be losing days. You can't win every single day.
[08:19] can't win every single month. There might be a month where you actually take a loss and you have to work 30 31 days of doing this to end up actually losing that's real life. And that's actually what happens when you're doing this at a
[08:34] professional level is you have to understand how to lose. If you can't take losing and understand how to lose, that is going to kill you. Winning is feel like you're on top of the world when you keep winning. But when you're
[08:46] losing, that's what defines you. Number five was sports books. Now, you need to have multiple sports books to do this at a high level. There's no if ends or buts to it. There's just none. You have to have multiple sports books because if
[09:01] you're trying to literally be a professional sports better at one sports million at one sports book because they're not going to allow you to do that because a sports book will cut you off. And I learned that the hard way
[09:13] because coming up, I was sticking to one or two sports books. Then my unit size bigger and next thing you know, they completely shut me off because I was getting too high of a unit size and consistently winning. They don't want
[09:26] your action anymore. So they just kick you off the platform or they limit you till you don't want to play it anymore. So you have to have multiple sports multiple accounts. Whether the accounts
[09:38] siblings name, anything like that. You have to have multiple accounts to do this at a high level. To think you even have a shot to make $1 million doing this. Now number six. Not only do you need a bunch of accounts, but you need
[09:53] to prime those accounts. Now what does that mean? priming my accounts for sports books. So, what this means is you literally have to bet within the sports book, but you also have to make stupid bets here and there. So, what I mean by
[10:07] that, so to connect the dots here, now this might sound a bit silly, but this let's say you're betting, you get to the point you're betting $1,000 a game, okay? And you have a split up between multiple sports books, but you're, you
[10:21] doing 250 a piece at each sports book on a bet. Well, even at that level, you could trigger a certain flag within the sports book if that's all you're doing. So, to prime that account, what you have to do is like if you're betting $1,000
[10:35] unit size, you would take $5. All right? Take $5 and you would do one of those 10 team long shot parlay. That's going to lose. Okay? It's going to lose. But what that does is that makes the sports book algorithm make you look like a amateur
[10:50] cuz like no professional sports better is betting this. Okay? They're not doing those. So if you throw a couple of those in here and there, they think, "Oh, this guy's he's still trying to hit those parlays, like he's still an amateur
[11:02] better or whatnot." So it throws the algorithm off a little bit on the sports That's what it does. It primes your account to make you seem like you're an amateur rather than a sharp better. Now number seven is compounding your
[11:17] bankroll. Now, this is the key to making that million dollars. This right here. Okay, this is the key to making that million is compounding your bankroll. Because if, let's say, you start out with $1,000, $2,000, I mean, it's going
[11:30] to take you literally years, decades to be able to get to the level where you're betting to make a million dollar, okay? Because if you stick to a same unit $2,000, I mean, you're only betting $20 a game, $30 a game. Think how long
[11:45] that's going to take for you to get up to that level. So, compounding your bankroll is what you have to do month in and month out. Now, I'm going to show you guys exactly using a calculator how that works and how the different bank
[11:58] you to be able to make a million dollars. All right, so I want you guys to see here. This is a calculator that I literally made. It's a compound interest calculator. All right, this is to pretty much get your projection of how long
[12:11] make a certain amount of money. So, let's say you're starting out with a say you're starting out with $1,000 bankroll and let's say your unit size is 2% of that. You know, that's $20 per unit. Okay, units gained per month.
[12:26] Let's do modest. All right, modest. This is something that's obtainable by everybody, which is five units. All right, five units can be obtainable by anybody. So, let's take a look at the year plan here. This is over five years.
[12:39] You take that $1,000 bankroll, you compound it each month. So that means every single start of every single month, you take your overall bankroll and now you're betting 2% of that. Okay? And over the time frame of 5 years,
[12:53] you're at $300,000. Now, let's see. 6 years. 6 years, you've made it up to nearly that million dollar mark. Now, the biggest part of this is obviously consistent. You have to do this for six years. But imagine taking what literally
[13:08] what investment is going to take you $1,000 and in six years produce a Not too many. But you have to have the right strategy and you have to know exactly what you're doing to be able to produce five units per month. Now, let's
[13:22] go ahead and use an example of a $5,000 bankroll. Okay? Say a $5,000 bankroll at a 2% unit size. Same thing here. Five units per month, which is modest. Look at the six-year time frame here. You're taking 5,000, you turn that into $4.7
[13:36] going to take that long to get to a million dollars. So, it's going to take you about four and a half years. Okay? Because at 5 years, you're at 1.5 million off a $5,000 bankroll. So, about 4 and 1/2 years, you're able to
[13:50] literally get to that level. Okay? As you can see here, year four, you'd be at a half a million dollars and then probably around right here in the middle. Okay? 4 and a half years, you'd reach that million dollar mark. But this
[14:02] is literally at the most modest level, okay, of making five units per month. Anybody can make five units per month if you just have the right basic strategy together. If you have any strategy that I've taught you whatsoever, literally
[14:15] you could make five units a month just off of that. Now, let's go ahead and discuss the mind, okay, along this journey because this is huge as well. Like I said, the emotion that comes into play here, what you're going to deal
[14:28] with, you're going to deal with the ups and the downs of sports betting. The winning, the losing, that's what it is, right? This is winning and this is losing. That's how it goes. You have to deal with the ups and downs, the
[14:40] emotional roller coaster. What is sports betting, okay? Because that is really what's going to define you and be able to keep you on the train to stay the most important part of this process. Because if you're not consistent, guess
[14:54] what? You're going to lose everything. Okay? And if you're not emotionally in control of your mind, you're going to lose everything. It's very important. Okay? So to control this emotion, you have to realize this number one thing.
[15:08] Okay? Number one thing right here. There's always tomorrow. Okay? Realize that there's always tomorrow. You have to realize this. There's always going to be another set of games tomorrow. So, there's no reason to empty the tank
[15:23] today. As long as you realize that and you literally bake this into your brain, guess what? You're going to survive and you're going to be able to literally take any size bankroll and build it up to more money than you ever seen doing
[15:37] anything else. But you have to remind yourself there's always tomorrow. Because most of the time when I was coming up in sports betting, I would have that feeling on a day where there's like you would think you have to make
[15:50] everything back in that one day or you have to make a ton of money in that one have to make a ton of money in that one day and then like oh maybe you know there is no tomorrow. But guess what? There's always more games to play.
[16:02] next day. So, as long as you bake this into your brain that there's always another game tomorrow, that it may take you a week to get back, maybe some losses, but guess what? As long as you stay with the system and you stay
[16:16] literally consistent and don't let the emotion and the ups and downs take control of your mind, you will be successful. There's no doubt about it. But you have to literally follow the exact rules that I taught you and the
[16:29] strategy that I taught you in this video because that is how you will be because that is how you will be successful.