[00:03] released, is the MACD crossover strategy with the 260-period moving average. One of our valued followers, Mr. Fayez Al-Anzi (may God bless him), requested that we test it with 100 trades to see its success rate.
[00:15] I've been using this strategy for a very long time; in fact, it's one of the strategies I've relied on and worked with until now, thanks to its simplicity, high success rate, and most importantly, the
[00:27] profit it generates. We'll see all of this in the test. I'll test it in front of you with 100 test. I'll test it in front of you with 100 trades, and we'll see the results and discuss them together. I'll also mention some techniques I personally use with it that improve its performance. Follow me!
[00:44] use with it that improve its performance. Follow me! [Music] [Music] Peace, mercy, and blessings of God be upon you. Welcome
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[01:39] we look for sell signals. The second indicator in the strategy is the materiality indicator.  This gives us entry signals and confirms reversal points because this strategy involves entering reversal points because this strategy involves entering with the trend after a price rebound at
[01:52] the end of a correction. For long buy trades, the price must be above the 200-period moving average. The crossover is positive below the zero line, as in
[02:04] positive below the zero line, as in this example. Here, the blue line this example. Here, the blue line crosses the red line,
[02:35] strategy and also a good ratio for determining the target when the previous peak is for determining the target when the previous peak is close to the entry area or unclear. close to the entry area or unclear. Here's another example of a buy entry trade: here, we have a
[02:49] positive takeover crossover below the zero line, and the candle where the crossover occurred zero line, and the candle where the crossover occurred closed above two moving averages. We
[03:02] can only enter a buy trade, as I mentioned, with the first loss below the last low, and mentioned, with the first loss below the last low, and
[03:41] the target is 1.5 to 1. We will test the strategy in the US market
[03:53] I will take both long and short trades together to shorten the testing time a bit. Let's begin the shorten the testing time a bit. Let's begin the testing. See you later.
[04:11] [Applause] [Music]
[05:34] Applause] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music]
[06:59] Okay, we finished the 100 trades. The success rate was 59%, and the return on investment was approximately 95%. We managed the capital, and this result is not a surprise to me at all because, as I
[07:12] mentioned before, I personally use this strategy, and I even have a higher success rate than this when using it and combining it with some techniques that I will mention shortly, as usual. First,
[07:25] let's look at the profit graph. The graph is excellent, and its upward trend is excellent. This is the best graph among all the tests I did. Now, let's look at the final report. The
[07:44] number of trades we took was 59 winning trades and 416 losing trades, with a success rate of 59%. This is a very excellent rate considering the risk-to- This is a very excellent rate considering the risk-to- return ratio we used, which is 1.5 to 1.
[07:59] return ratio we used, which is 1.5 to 1. This is evident in the profit rate, which was 95% of the capital.  The initial phase was in the thousands, and now it's 19,500, meaning we've lost a
[08:11] the thousands, and now it's 19,500, meaning we've lost a significant percentage of our capital, especially for small teams. It's like a clockwork period of about three years and eight months. This is due to
[08:23] about three years and eight months. This is due to the scarcity of impactful signals, and we're only using the few available.
[08:36] follow a well-researched group of companies or currencies and apply a strategy to them simultaneously, we'll get many relatively accurate signals, thus significantly reducing the timeframe. The maximum signals, thus significantly reducing the timeframe. The maximum number of consecutive trades
[08:51] was only 5, while the number of consecutive successful trades was 12. These figures are excellent and allow for a higher risk percentage. excellent and allow for a higher risk percentage. Here, we're using only 2% of our
[09:07] Here, we're using only 2% of our capital, which yielded a 95% profit. If we increase the risk, the profit will naturally increase because the relationship between them is direct. I recommend watching the rest of the tests because in a previous test, I don't recall mentioning the Superslow strategy.
[09:21] previous test, I don't recall mentioning the Superslow strategy. This section is for those interested in testing strategies with me to achieve a more accurate testing strategies with me to achieve a more accurate success rate.  I've launched an initiative to test any
[09:34] strategy I present. You can test this strategy, or any other, using the same method I used in the market, timeframes, and ratios. You can
[09:48] test it on at least 100 trades and send me the final report directly, God willing. you'll send me in this box. If you have any additional comments or conditions, you can
[10:05] attach them in the comments section here so I can review the tests. Thank you very much. The link to this test page is in the description. There's also an Excel file that performs the same function; it's available in the Telegram group files. Based on my
[10:22] extensive experience with this strategy, and if we use the fundamentals of strategy, and if we use the fundamentals of technical analysis and some techniques, we can increase winning trades and maximize profits, potentially achieving a success rate approaching
[10:37] potentially achieving a success rate approaching 70%. The first technique involves using its indicator, which I've 70%. The first technique involves using its indicator, which I've previously discussed in a video (link in the previously discussed in a video (link in the description). It's an indicator that provides the average candlestick pattern and helps
[10:49] description). It's an indicator that provides the average candlestick pattern and helps us avoid certain situations. This example was one of the
[11:01] trades that...  We took it, and unfortunately, it was a loss. The reason for the loss was that we set a stop- loss. The reason for the loss was that we set a stop- loss time, but it dropped by a touch and immediately reversed, and the indicator remained at loss time, but it dropped by a touch and immediately reversed, and the indicator remained at
[11:27] 66. If we look at the by two and subtract the result from the stop-loss we set, which is 46.66. This
[11:46] becomes 0.42 multiplied by two equals 0.84. This is the value. Or, subtracting it from 46.66, the result is 45.82. This is the new stop-loss, which 45.82. This is the new stop-loss, which allows room for price fluctuations before a loss. And indeed,
[12:01] we see here that the price blocked the stop-loss before it reached it, and therefore the trade became successful. Here, too, therefore the trade became successful. Here, too, the target will change according to the ratio of 1.1. Of course, it will be a little
[12:13] farther away, and the trade will take a little longer, but the result is that it was successful. The factor that is multiplied by the ETR value may differ between those who use it as is, those who multiply it by 1.5, and those who...  They multiply by three, but in my experience, I've found that
[12:30] two is the best number to multiply the ICR value by to absorb the house loss without it to absorb the house loss without it being too far off. You can also try different values ​​and find the best one for you and your style. The
[12:44] second technique is using the trend. We can use both regular and hidden divergences, but I rely more on the hidden one since entry is primarily with the trend. I entry is primarily with the trend. I prefer using the brides indicator to identify it.
[12:59] prefer using the brides indicator to identify it. For example, here's a note: the
[13:11] strategy signal, and the trade has a higher success rate. Of course, regular divergences can also be used when the correction is a bit large. For example, after the drop, it bounces back, but it's normal and
[13:23] positive, and then I don't want to give it a boost. In this case, the success rate of this trade will be high.
[13:35] The trend and the idea is to combine the strategy, and of course, the same idea is used even for trades, and of course, the same idea is used even for trades, but we used the negative one, whether regular or hidden. but we used the negative one, whether regular or hidden. I've already covered everything related to the above in a separate video, and I'll
[13:47] put it in the description. The third technique is to avoid times when the average...  A 200 SC horizontal line generally means fast movement and is n't always accurate. It's known that indicators aren't always precise in
[14:03] Arab markets, so it's best to avoid entering them. This can give us many false signals, leading them. This can give us many false signals, leading to consecutive losses. It's better to to consecutive losses. It's better to enter when the moving average is trending in a certain direction.
[14:18] Of course, you can combine it with other technical analysis tools we've seen before, such as technical analysis tools we've seen before, such as support and resistance levels, trend lines, price channels, support and resistance levels, trend lines, price channels, technical patterns, candlestick patterns, and moving averages.
[14:31] technical patterns, candlestick patterns, and moving averages. increase your chances of success and avoid private trades as much as possible, which will reflect on the
[14:43] success and profitability of the strategy. Do I advise you to take this strategy and these tips without trading? Of course not. Any strategy or technique you learn, whether from me or someone else,
[14:55] test it first. Then invest enough time trying it out on a demo account, and then try it on a real account with a limited amount of capital. That's when you'll reach the channel. You'll see if it suits you or not. By the way, this is the
[15:08] You'll see if it suits you or not. By the way, this is the method we use when learning any new principle. And finally, even though it uses this  I've been using this strategy for a long time and I consider myself proficient in it. However, you saw how I handled risk management and adhered to the agreed-upon ratios. Therefore, I advise you
[15:25] not to neglect risk management and emphasize the importance of complete commitment to it. Secondly, I trade in the same way you see me testing various strategies, but I can't integrate technical analysis into the tests because it's difficult to solve 100 trades. Besides, the analysis would have a personal bias and
[15:43] subjective perspective, and I want the test to be free of this bias. That's why the test focuses on the same factors and their interaction. Those who have followed me from the beginning heard me say that the secret to
[15:56] success in trading isn't technical analysis and strategies, but rather self-control, setting clear guidelines, adhering to them, and disciplined application. If you have these factors,
[16:08] application. If you have these factors, believe me, you'll profit from any strategy. I hope I've conveyed all the information clearly and simply. As always, if you have any questions, write them in the comments, and I'll do my best to answer them all. You can also contact me on Twitter and Telegram.
[16:22] All the information is in the first pinned comment. I've reached the end of the video. If you benefited, please subscribe, like, leave a comment, and activate the bell icon.  You'll receive updates, and please remember us
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