[00:00] This betting strategy allows anyone to make a low risk profit from cricket. I'll prove it in this video with a logical 3 step example. Sharing all the numbers as we go because good betting is not based on luck. By the end you'll understand how a profit can be locked in regardless of which betting brand you use or where you are in the world.
[00:22] The IPL is perfect for this strategy, especially when you know where to look. Sound good? Don't forget to smash the like button down below. Step 1 is simple. So we need to solve by looking at which run lines are available in any given cricket match.
[00:39] Now I'm showing you an example with Bet365, but it could be any sports betting company. In particular, we're looking at the run lines which we think the game is likely to come close to. historical data for the IPL shows that there's usually 170 to 190 runs in the opening innings
[00:56] depending on the venue for individual players run lines it's worth checking out the data on relevant sites for those unaware when we bet on run lines it involves betting on the total number of runs
[01:08] that will be scored by an individual team or both teams in a match typically there will be an over or under figure for each of these bets bets. For example, these matches only run lines as set at 187.5, both under and over a price of
[01:25] 5 to 6 in fractions, which is 1.83 in decimal odds. But it's worth remembering if you're using them in exchange, the odds are usually 2.0. Now, don't panic and think if you have to predict the
[01:37] match outcome you certainly don The objective here is just to identify something that is close to what is expected Finding the right bet isn that hard with this strategy because run lines are a secondary bet type in cricket and there are a lot of different options
[01:54] The following steps will allow us to minimise risk and maximise profit to create a mathematical advantage regardless of what happens. It's the only way to ensure that we win repeatedly as you're about to see.
[02:08] An important thing to remember here is that we're only going to bet when the situations fit our betting strategy. If not, it's a no-bet situation and we move on. Cricket betting is largely a game of 1v1.
[02:20] It's bowler versus batsman. Unlike some other sports, the game structure means that there aren't many natural points where the betting market offers more upside than rich. Now because of this, professional cricket bettors are typically focused on
[02:35] statistics, player traits, recent performance and ground type. Unbalanced situations in the beta usually centre around the matches in the level of play or a player who has made a mistake under pressure.
[02:47] As you know, some players, being human, have preferences for various services and opposition. However, our strategy doesn't care if it's a green, dusty or flat pitch. It works regardless.
[02:59] That said, watching the match and combining these elements with statistics and in-play performance can improve profits. Obviously green pitches assist bowlers, dusty favour spin bowling and flat pitches are typically
[03:12] good for batting, whereas slow and low pitches can be tough to score on. The next step is where this cricket betting strategy gets really interesting. Step 2 is crucial because we going to create some insurance for our initial bet turning the potential outcomes into a positive expected value Now for clarity a positive expected value in betting is a technical term that refers to a bet where the payoff of winning exceeds the
[03:39] probability of losing mathematically over the long term will always win because of this there's a separate video explaining in detail linked in the description down below now to maximize profit you
[03:51] you need to ensure that you're getting the very best prices when doing this. For this, platforms like betting agents, Black is ideal. They provide a single point of access to multiple sharp betting brands
[04:03] and exchanges without restricting winning accounts. If they're available in your location, it's worth checking out. Getting the best value with this strategy is crucial for maximum bottom line profit because the second stage involves placing another bet
[04:18] with another provider on a very similar outcome. For example, if our original bet was on the under 187.5 runs throughout the match, then our second bet with another provider might be to bet on the over 180.5 runs.
[04:32] It creates a unique situation where potentially we get a big win or face a small loss. In some cases, there's no loss at all. Confused? Don't panic. I'll break it all down with the exact numbers for you just now on the screen.
[04:48] How much we win depends on the prices on offer and the run line bet that we can find. As a simple illustration, if we choose to bet on under 195.5 runs with provider A for €100 at a price of 2.0, we stand to win €100 or lose €100.
[05:06] If we choose to bet on over 187 runs with provider B for at a price of 1 we stand to win or lose But if we choose to bet on both of them at the same time
[05:25] then the two opposing bets reduce our maximum risk to €9.29. This is because if the run line finishes at 196 or more, the first bet will lose but the second will win.
[05:38] And if the run line finishes at 187 or less, The first bet will win, but the second will lose. However, if the run line ends with the total runs coming in between 188 and 195,
[05:51] then both bets win because the final outcome is in the middle. The combined profit being €190.71. Which is pretty cool when you consider that the risk was minimal, right? But there's more.
[06:04] Depending on which bet you have made before the match and what's happening in play, it's possible to enhance the bottom line with step 3. You see, the problem that many in-play cricket bettors face is also a benefit if you're able
[06:24] to look at the match objectively, and having a no-lose position already locked in is the best way to look at things. Placing an additional bet is risky, so it should be considered an extra, although in-play
[06:37] cricket betting is all about momentum. When individual players are under pressure, the situation often escalates. To us as objective viewers, with a no risk position locked in, it's possible to strategically
[06:49] place additional bets in play or cash out the existing position. Now it's down to you how you play it, but personally I prefer taking the risk free option every time, just like this strategy here in the next video.
[07:02] Check it out now.