[0:00] All right. So, if I were to tell you [0:02] that pedestrian fatalities were on the [0:04] rise in the United States, you'd [0:06] probably think the cause was some kind [0:08] of distracted or impaired driving, [0:10] right? Texting, touch screens, talking [0:13] to passengers, buzzed driving, drunk [0:16] driving, bad driving, all of the typical [0:20] causes. [0:21] Except smartphones are everywhere. [0:24] Modern tech is pervasive in cars [0:26] throughout the world, and bad or [0:28] irresponsible drivers aren't exclusive [0:31] to one nation or region. [0:34] But you know what is? [0:36] The statistic that pedestrian deaths [0:39] have increased by 75% [0:43] since 2009. [0:46] And that statistic that exists nowhere [0:49] else in the world belongs to the good [0:52] old red, white, and blue, because of [0:55] course it does. [0:57] But why? [0:59] Well, a new study suggests that the [1:02] American auto industry's obsession with [1:05] larger vehicles is contributing to an [1:08] inescapably bleak landscape of [1:11] pedestrian danger. [1:14] And that sounds pretty ominous, but this [1:16] is also just what one study is saying, [1:19] and you know me, I can never just look [1:21] at one study. Okay, maybe not never, [1:23] just rarely. [1:25] So, we're going to get to the bottom of [1:27] this. Is the blame on large trucks and [1:30] SUVs for pedestrian fatalities [1:33] misplaced, or is it squarely where it [1:37] belongs? And is this ultimately the [1:40] fault of the drivers whose appetite for [1:42] these cars increases every year, or is [1:46] this on an industry that prioritizes [1:49] size at the expense of pedestrian [1:52] safety? [1:54] Or is it something else altogether? [1:58] >> Submit report at the end of the month [2:01] and I make what I want when I feel like [2:04] discussing cars. [2:06] >> On June 21st, the New York Times [2:09] published an extensive investigative [2:12] study on the cause of the 75% [2:15] increase in pedestrian motor vehicle [2:18] deaths in the United States since 2009. [2:22] And they came to the same conclusions as [2:25] far many people on Hinge. Size, or more [2:30] particularly height, matters. [2:33] As the report notes, quote, "After [2:37] analyzing federal and industry records, [2:40] including never-before-examined [2:42] data on vehicle dimensions, we found [2:45] that the rise of large pickups and SUVs [2:48] is an important factor. Our estimate is [2:52] that about 200 to 400 pedestrians a year [2:56] would not have died if vehicles had [2:58] remained approximately the same size [3:02] over the past quarter century. That [3:05] represents about 10% of the recent [3:08] increase in pedestrian deaths." [3:12] End quote. [3:14] I've linked the article in the [3:16] description, and I highly recommend [3:17] checking it out. It's fairly interactive [3:20] with 3D recreations and a drop-down menu [3:24] for you to put in your height to see how [3:25] much likelier you are to get knocked [3:28] down by today's cars and how much lower [3:31] that likelihood would have been roughly [3:33] 25 years ago. So, for me, I'm a short [3:36] king at 5'7" and 1/2, so let's round [3:40] that up to 5'8" because shut up. And I'm [3:42] likely to be knocked down by about 43% [3:45] of vehicles today. In 2002, the same [3:49] model year as Estelle, my Toyota [3:53] that I drive every single day, that [3:56] number would have been 31%. [3:59] Either way, I am clearly in peril, but I [4:01] was in considerably less peril in 2002 [4:05] than I am today. And I really hope I'm [4:07] not jinxing anything by saying that. [4:10] Regardless, it's a dramatic increase [4:12] caused by what the report found was the [4:15] even more dramatic increase in the [4:18] average hood height of American cars [4:20] today. And they're talking all cars, not [4:23] just trucks and SUVs, as the average [4:26] passenger vehicle today has a hood [4:29] that's roughly 3 ft high, meaning that, [4:32] as the study notes, quote, [4:35] "Anyone shorter than 5 ft 6, about half [4:39] of American adults, would frequently be [4:42] rammed to the pavement. So would most [4:46] children." [4:48] End quote. [4:51] Basically, in instances where a [4:53] pedestrian is struck by a vehicle with a [4:55] lower hood, the chances are better for [4:58] the person to be sent rolling over top [5:00] of the car rather than the car rolling [5:03] over top of them. The hood essentially [5:05] absorbs a lot of the momentum, so that [5:07] by the time the pedestrian falls off of [5:10] the car, they're hitting the ground at a [5:12] lower speed than they would have been [5:14] had they been struck by a vehicle with a [5:16] higher hood line that caught them higher [5:19] on the body and just, you know, planted [5:22] them straight onto the ground at full [5:24] speed. But then, taller hoods aren't the [5:27] only issue here with regards to [5:29] visibility. [5:30] There's another aspect of large trucks [5:33] and SUVs that make them uniquely [5:36] dangerous to pedestrians and even to [5:39] drivers themselves. And it's something [5:42] we complain about a lot on this channel. [5:46] And that's [5:47] thick A-pillars. [5:49] I mean, really, with a lot of the [5:51] contemporary trucks we've done recently, [5:54] it's a huge problem. When the A-pillars [5:57] are big and chunky, they hamper [5:59] visibility so that it feels like you're [6:01] driving with one eye closed or wearing a [6:04] dope eye patch like some kind of pirate [6:07] of the turnpike. [6:09] Just from the vehicle you chose, you're [6:12] starting off with a smaller visual space [6:15] than you might have had in a smaller [6:17] passenger car. [6:19] Your vision is as limited as the [6:21] availability of the McRib, and your [6:24] experience is hardly ever better for it [6:27] because the entire reason those [6:29] A-pillars are so thick has nothing to do [6:32] with improving visibility or sightlines [6:36] or anything like that. Rather, it's [6:38] because of laws enacted in 2009 that [6:41] required automakers to build roofs that [6:44] could support three times the weight of [6:47] the car in response to an increase in [6:49] rollover deaths. Except reinforcing the [6:53] roofs meant they had to also reinforce [6:56] the A-pillars to support them. And, [6:59] ironically, in trying to solve the [7:01] problem of rollover deaths, they created [7:04] a new problem that shifted the mortality [7:07] rate to a different cause while also [7:10] potentially contributing to exactly the [7:12] kinds of deaths they were trying to [7:14] prevent in the first place. [7:17] Because those taller hoods and [7:19] reinforced roofs with the chunky [7:21] A-pillars are going to have a center of [7:24] gravity that's a whole hell of a lot [7:26] higher than your average Camry or [7:28] Corolla, all the heavy front end [7:31] components necessary for the car's [7:33] operation are going to be higher off the [7:36] ground than they would be in that [7:38] aforementioned Camry or Corolla. So, at [7:42] best, you're at increased risk of body [7:45] roll, and at worst, you're increasing [7:48] the possibility for a rollover. And [7:52] worse than that, by being higher off the [7:54] ground, a collision with a smaller car [7:58] could lead to a sort of monster truck [8:00] effect, where you're overriding their [8:02] engine or trunk components, rather than [8:05] having that energy dispersed through [8:08] crumple zones. And now you're risking [8:10] causing fires, causing explosions, all [8:13] the ridiculous action movie BS that [8:16] leaves investigators checking dental [8:18] records. [8:19] And this is to say nothing of the [8:22] psychological effect of larger vehicles [8:25] on their drivers, namely the false [8:28] illusion of security that being higher [8:31] off the ground will give you. I mean, [8:33] it's true that in some ways you are [8:35] safer than the hypothetical car that [8:38] your truck would be hitting, but you are [8:41] not invincible up there in your Chevy [8:43] Colorado. Pickup truck drivers have [8:46] reported instances of speed blindness, [8:48] which is theorized to be a byproduct of [8:51] command seating, because the height can [8:53] create a disconnect from the sensation [8:56] of speed, so that you don't feel how [8:58] fast you're really going. And in fact, [9:01] while researching this topic, I read a [9:03] 2006 traffic injury prevention study [9:08] that actually measured this by putting [9:10] test subjects in a driving simulator. [9:13] One group had their simulator set to the [9:16] ride height of a sports car, while the [9:18] other group had their set to one of [9:20] these Mount Everest-ass trucks. And [9:23] while you would think that the people [9:25] with the sports car ride heights would [9:28] be going faster, the study found that [9:31] while ride height ultimately didn't [9:34] influence things like follow distance or [9:37] driver aggression, they did influence [9:39] speed and consistency. [9:43] Quote, [9:44] "When viewing the road from a high eye [9:47] height, drivers drove faster with more [9:51] variability and were less able to [9:54] maintain a consistent position within [9:57] the lane than when viewing the road from [10:00] a low eye height." [10:03] End quote. [10:05] But okay, what about the visual [10:07] obstruction of tall hood lines? [10:10] Well, the New York Times study compared [10:13] the hood height on current models to [10:16] their counterparts from 25 to 30 years [10:19] ago. In this case, the Chevrolet [10:22] Silverado, the Ford F-150, the GMC [10:25] Sierra, and the Toyota Tacoma. [10:29] Their findings, [10:30] quote, [10:32] "The Silverado's blind zones have nearly [10:35] doubled. The Sierras and the Tacomas [10:38] grew by about 60%. [10:41] The smallest increase was the F-150's. [10:45] Its blind zones grew by about 25%." [10:51] End quote. [10:54] Per their example, there's been an [10:56] alarming Jack and the Beanstalk kind of [10:59] growth in production cars the past two [11:02] decades and change. [11:04] As they put it, a 2002 Toyota Corolla [11:07] had a 26-in hood. 12 years later, the [11:11] 2014 Ford Escape would have a 36-in [11:14] hood. By 2022, the Chevrolet Silverado [11:19] had a 47-in hood. And now, options like [11:22] the Ford F-250 and the Chevrolet [11:25] Silverado 2500 [11:28] have hoods in excess of 50 in. [11:33] Now, while I appreciate the Times as [11:36] study, I find it kind of dumb to compare [11:38] completely different classes of vehicles [11:41] as if a sedan transformed into an SUV [11:44] and then into a pickup. But even just by [11:48] looking at, say, a 2002 Toyota Tacoma [11:52] rather than a Corolla, the hood height [11:54] was around the mid-30s in inches, while [11:58] the current Tacoma has a hood height [12:00] around 48 in. And frankly, that [12:04] difference is stark enough to be a [12:06] problem because at 4 ft high, that truck [12:10] is not hitting you in a way that safely [12:12] disperses anything except brain matter. [12:16] It's hitting you higher up on the body, [12:18] and your likelihood of survival is [12:21] likely to drastically decrease as a [12:24] result. [12:25] But I think what's most troubling about [12:27] all of this is how none of it is new. [12:31] Yeah, the information gleaned from the [12:33] New York Times study is new, but the [12:35] concept of higher ride height vehicles [12:38] being a nightmare for pedestrian safety [12:40] is about as far from new information as [12:42] we can get short of an email blast about [12:45] the color of the sky and the price of [12:48] printer ink. [12:49] Researchers allegedly met with senior [12:52] officials from the National Highway [12:54] Traffic Safety Administration to warn [12:57] about the dangers to pedestrians as far [12:59] back as November 2022, [13:02] only for no action to be taken, [13:05] supposedly. Worse, there was outright [13:08] denial as a senior official for the [13:11] NHTSA argued that safety was already [13:14] improving thanks to pedestrian sensing [13:17] technology in cars. And while I'm sure [13:21] that's true, it's bad enough that we [13:23] rely on technology for as much as we do. [13:26] But if we're really expecting sensors to [13:29] replace our own eyes, then I'm not even [13:31] sure why cars need drivers in the first [13:35] place. Because as we've learned through [13:37] years of experimentation with autonomous [13:40] driving, sensors fail. And even when [13:43] they don't, they're not exactly batting [13:46] a thousand when it comes to detecting an [13:48] object in the road before it's too late. [13:51] But even ignoring the New York Times [13:53] article completely, we can find [13:55] instances going back nearly 30 years of [13:59] height being an issue on American cars, [14:01] starting with a report in 2022 by the [14:04] Insurance Institute for Highway Safety, [14:07] which researched causes of 14,000 fatal [14:10] pedestrian accidents, and found that [14:13] pickup trucks were 51% more likely than [14:17] cars to be involved in a fatal [14:19] pedestrian hit-and-run than an average [14:21] car. While SUVs were 25% more likely. [14:26] And the likelihood of a pedestrian [14:28] accident occurring during a left turn [14:31] jumped through the roof if you aren't [14:34] driving a run-of-the-mill passenger car [14:36] like a sedan or a coupe, as SUVs saw [14:39] double the accident rate of cars, vans [14:42] and minivans nearly triple, and pickup [14:46] trucks nearly quadruple. [14:50] A year prior to that study, Consumer [14:52] Reports found that the average hood [14:54] height of passenger trucks has seen an [14:56] 11% increase since 2000, with some [15:01] heavy-duty trucks having hoods as tall [15:04] as the roof of some sedans. A completely [15:08] different study by economist Justin [15:11] Tyndall of the University of Hawaii, [15:13] which analyzed traffic fatalities [15:16] between 2000 and 2019, [15:19] theorized that had all light trucks [15:22] involved in those accidents been [15:24] replaced by standard cars, over 8,000 [15:28] pedestrian deaths could have been [15:30] avoided. [15:32] And we can keep going further back, like [15:35] a different traffic injury prevention [15:38] study, this one in 2009, that found that [15:42] the risk of fatal injury for pedestrians [15:44] is 50% greater in collisions with light [15:48] truck vehicles than in conventional [15:51] cars. [15:53] And this is backed up by a 2003 report [15:56] by the Association for the Advancement [15:59] of Automotive Medicine, citing that [16:02] light truck vehicles have greater [16:04] instances of severe injury or death than [16:07] standard passenger cars. Meanwhile, a [16:11] study on pedestrian injuries by vehicle [16:14] type in Maryland between 1995 and 1999 [16:19] noted that, quote, at lower speeds, [16:22] pedestrians struck by sport utility [16:25] vehicles, pickup trucks, and vans were [16:28] approximately two times as likely to [16:31] have traumatic brain, thoracic, and [16:34] abdominal injuries. At higher speeds, [16:38] there was no such association. [16:42] End quote. [16:44] So, at higher speeds, you're pretty much [16:46] boned either way, but at lower speeds, [16:49] the danger is evident. And look, I can [16:52] keep going on, but at a certain point, [16:55] the past becomes prologue and then main [16:58] story and then epilogue and then sequel, [17:01] because we've been warned about this [17:03] forever while virtually nothing is ever [17:06] done about it. I mean, I guess you could [17:07] say that pedestrian detection technology [17:10] is something being done about it, but I [17:13] don't know that it accounts for the [17:15] basic problem that people have less [17:18] visibility now than they did a quarter [17:20] century ago. And while I like giving [17:22] both potential sides to the story and [17:25] even considered trying some kind of [17:27] devil's advocacy for taller trucks and [17:30] SUVs, you know, really making an [17:32] argument on their behalf, I kind of feel [17:35] like that would have been irresponsible. [17:37] But even if I were to go through with [17:39] it, I couldn't find a single scholarly [17:41] source that could point to this fear [17:43] being overblown in any way whatsoever. [17:47] Bigger vehicles impose bigger dangers [17:50] and greater risks for pedestrians and [17:53] for drivers. And so, if the dangers are [17:56] not being overblown, then that leaves us [17:58] to question who's at fault here. Is it [18:01] automakers for producing these taller [18:04] vehicles, or is it consumers who buy [18:07] these vehicles that compel automakers to [18:10] continue making them? [18:12] After all, the F-Series pickups are [18:14] routinely among the top-selling vehicles [18:17] in America in any given year, in [18:20] addition to being among the tallest. And [18:24] the companies that have abandoned [18:26] internal combustion sedans might not [18:28] have done so had people still bought [18:31] them, or had tall crossover SUVs and [18:34] pickup trucks not been as popular at [18:37] high dollar values as they became. At [18:40] least theoretically, right? [18:43] But think about it. Consumers are often [18:46] at the mercy of what's advertised to [18:48] them and how it's advertised to them. [18:51] There's more than a little manipulation [18:53] involved in talking people into a car. [18:56] Our buttons are pressed and our strings [18:59] are pulled, and sometimes we're [19:00] compelled into cars we didn't know we [19:03] wanted. And it's because [19:06] we didn't want them. [19:08] >> [laughter] [19:08] >> Not at first, anyway, but we got talked [19:10] into them by seductive advertising, [19:13] celebrity endorsements, or just the envy [19:16] that goes along with keeping up with the [19:17] Joneses. Like, "Oh, my neighbor has the [19:20] new Tacoma. I want the new I want the [19:22] new Tacoma because that guy sucks and [19:25] I'm better than him. So, why shouldn't I [19:27] have it, too? Hell, why shouldn't I have [19:29] better?" It's a confusing rat race that [19:32] has the potential to affect even those [19:35] who consider themselves immune to [19:37] targeted advertising. People who feel [19:40] their brains can never be touched by the [19:42] subliminal or the overt. But as [19:45] advertising becomes more sophisticated [19:48] and more integrated into our everyday [19:51] lives, [19:52] I don't actually know how to finish this [19:54] sentence because I realize now [19:56] >> [laughter] [19:56] >> that there's a non-trivial chance [19:58] YouTube interrupts it with an ad and [20:01] torpedoes any kind of point I'm trying [20:04] to make. So, the question, back to the [20:06] question, the central question that [20:09] remains and it's this. [20:12] If we say grace, eat the meal, and then [20:16] go up for seconds, do we need to say [20:19] grace for the seconds? Wait, sorry. Uh [20:22] wrong notebook. That is [20:25] my notebook for toilet seat [20:27] observations. [20:29] Um [20:30] All right, you know what? Just [20:33] Oh oh okay here. [20:35] The real question. Who is truly to blame [20:39] for cars getting larger? [20:42] And at the risk of having already made [20:44] my own argument for myself just now, I [20:48] do think this is a corporate issue. [20:51] People defending the auto makers might [20:54] say that they had large, tall vehicles [20:56] imposed upon them by legislation that [20:59] required them to start making reinforced [21:02] roofs by legislators who have no idea [21:06] what goes into making a car or what the [21:09] trickle-down effects of such a mandate [21:12] would be. [21:13] That by being forced to build sturdier [21:16] hoods, they would need to obstruct [21:18] visibility through chunky A-pillars, and [21:21] that the hoods would rise to meet all [21:23] these dimensional changes over the years [21:26] once people actually started buying [21:28] these bigger cars en masse to where the [21:32] American automotive industry couldn't [21:34] have survived without them. And maybe [21:37] there's something to that since the law [21:40] about the rollover prevention was [21:42] instituted on the back of the near [21:44] collapse of the entire industry in 2009. [21:49] But even if we allow that, I don't think [21:52] it absolves automakers from nearly two [21:55] decades of concerted advertising [21:58] intended to get consumers into [22:00] ever-growing monstrosities to justify [22:04] profit margins. Because while these [22:06] trucks aren't cheap to make, it's always [22:09] been my understanding that the [22:10] production cost difference with a [22:13] smaller crossover isn't that extreme. [22:16] Yet because these sell at such a high [22:19] dollar value, these bigger vehicles [22:22] stand to be more profitable. And so we [22:25] see trucks with dollar values and hood [22:28] lines that reach [22:32] while consumers in search of smaller [22:34] options find slim pickings among new [22:37] offerings unless they want to get an EV. [22:39] And EVs aren't always practical in [22:42] certain regions because the [22:44] infrastructure might not be there yet. [22:47] So pedestrian bodies stack like flaccid [22:50] hotcakes while ads convince emotionally [22:53] stunted gas pump sticker vandals that [22:56] they need a heavy-duty road hulk just to [22:59] go see their divorce attorney or [23:01] convince a married mother of one that [23:03] she needs a three-row boulder of [23:06] Sisyphus just to get her son to karate [23:08] practice. But by instilling in consumers [23:12] the desire for these cars, automakers [23:14] have reinforced the belief that they [23:17] deserve these cars, which presumably [23:20] would make this a lot harder for the [23:22] industry to walk back if they ever did [23:24] try and shrink their collective [23:26] automotive output. [23:28] It's getting to the point where we're [23:30] going to need to start putting amusement [23:32] park ride height signs by the front door [23:34] of every home. You need to be this high [23:37] to go outside unless you're cool with [23:39] getting flattened playing the world's [23:41] most dystopian version of Frogger. [23:44] It's like the solution to the danger is [23:47] to simply retreat from it, or to get a [23:50] tall vehicle of your own. You know, if [23:53] you can't beat them, join them. And it [23:55] got me thinking, there have been a lot [23:57] of comedians over the years who have [23:59] made a mint on talking about the old [24:01] days and how parents didn't care where [24:03] you went as long as you were back by [24:06] dark and how soft current generations [24:08] are because their parents only let them [24:10] play between the front porch and the [24:12] family car in the driveway. And all [24:15] because they're afraid of their kid [24:17] being swiped by some weirdo in an [24:20] unmarked van. And maybe that's true, but [24:23] honestly, I don't think it's entirely [24:25] implausible to suggest that there's a [24:27] parent out there who tells their kid to [24:29] stay close, not simply because of some [24:32] vague threat of a weirdo in an unmarked [24:35] van, but because that weirdo's unmarked [24:38] van is too high to see their kid in the [24:41] first place. [24:43] But okay, that is all just worst-case [24:47] scenario dooming. It's outlandish, it's [24:51] over the top, and it's probably [24:53] unnecessary. [24:55] But then maybe it's not. [24:57] Maybe the thing that's really [24:59] unnecessary is pretending that tall [25:02] cars, trucks, and SUVs aren't a problem. [25:06] Either way, it does seem that the likely [25:09] outcome for this, sadly, is that [25:12] pedestrian injuries continue unabated, [25:15] and people find that they have to adjust [25:18] by exhibiting an abundance of caution. [25:21] Call it [25:22] an evolutionary adoption of additional [25:26] precaution. [25:27] But, the reason these studies and their [25:30] results matter is because they suggest [25:34] that not everybody has the information [25:36] available to them to be cautious. I [25:39] mean, if a driver doesn't have visual [25:42] evidence of your presence, if their eyes [25:44] are not taking in that visual [25:46] information because they've been [25:48] physically impeded from doing so, then [25:51] they can't adjust their speed. They [25:53] can't adjust their movement. And by the [25:56] same token, the pedestrian can't adjust [26:00] their behavior to account for the sudden [26:02] acceleration or turning of a driver who [26:06] doesn't even see that they're there. [26:09] Is the solution shorter cars? [26:13] Probably. [26:14] But I also feel like putting the [26:16] toothpaste back in the tube is harder [26:19] than just brushing with the excess, [26:22] which is to say, we need to make the [26:24] best of a less-than-ideal situation. And [26:28] while fighting for lasting change is [26:30] always going to be the best route [26:33] forward, sometimes you kind of have to [26:35] figure out how to exist in a world that [26:38] resists change. Then again, [26:41] maybe I'm just bitter because I'm 5'7 [26:44] and 1/2 and 1/2. [26:48] But what do you think? Are taller trucks [26:50] and SUVs really the bane of pedestrian [26:53] existence, or do you think that there's [26:56] an argument that this has all been blown [26:57] out of proportion? I really want to hear [26:59] your thoughts. Hit me up in the [27:01] comments. I'll be in there, too. Keep an [27:04] eye out for me. My screen name is [27:05] Limited Time Roman. If you enjoy this [27:07] video like comment subscribe share [27:11] the video, or join us on Patreon for [27:14] just a dollar, where you'll get [27:15] exclusive content and videos just like [27:18] this early and ad-free, including my new [27:21] 2-hour RCR stories on the complete [27:25] history of the drive-in movie theater. [27:28] But, regardless, I just want to say your [27:30] viewership is enough, and thank you for [27:33] giving it. Have an outstanding [27:36] rest of your week.