---
title: 'You''re Playing PrizePicks Wrong (Here''s Why You''re Losing)'
source: 'https://youtube.com/watch?v=pa842_zjCwg'
video_id: 'pa842_zjCwg'
date: 2026-08-19
duration_sec: 957
channel: 'OddsJam: Sports Betting, Free Picks & Best Bets'
---

# You're Playing PrizePicks Wrong (Here's Why You're Losing)

> Source: [You're Playing PrizePicks Wrong (Here's Why You're Losing)](https://youtube.com/watch?v=pa842_zjCwg)

## Summary

The video explains how to profit from daily fantasy sports (DFS) apps like PrizePicks by treating them as markets with mispriced lines rather than relying on gut feeling. The creator shares a system using three tools from Odd Jam—fantasy optimizer, sharp money tool, and positive EV tool—that helped him earn 69.2 units (23.16% ROI) in 30 days.

### Key Points

- **DFS Apps Are Beaten with Math, Not Vibes** [00:02] — Casual players use gut feeling, but sharps use math, volume, and finding edges. The creator made 69.2 units (23.16% ROI) in 30 days using a repeatable system.
- **Casuals Treat DFS as Opinions, Sharps as Markets** [00:42] — Casuals pick favorite players; sharps find mispriced lines, use math to identify value, and place high volume when edge exists.
- **Three Tools on Odd Jam** [01:25] — Fantasy optimizer, sharp money tool, and positive EV tool. The creator used all three to find profitable plays.
- **Optimal Slip Types on PrizePicks** [02:31] — Five-man flex play is optimal (avg odds -118). Two-man power plays are losing long-term (need 60% win rate). Three-man power play is a sweet spot (-122 odds).
- **Using the Fantasy Optimizer** [03:13] — Filter for at least three data points (comparing lines to three books). Look for lines juicier than -122. Example: Darius Garland and Victor Wembanyama over 4.5 made threes, with FanDuel at -130 and Pinnacle at -133.
- **DFS Apps Offer Even Odds on Over/Under** [05:48] — Unlike sportsbooks, DFS apps give same payout for over or under, creating arbitrage opportunities. Example: Devin Booker over 5 first-quarter points at -122 vs FanDuel -140.
- **Positive EV Over Winning Record** [06:29] — The creator had a losing record but positive ROI because every slip had positive expected value. Volume is key.
- **Sharp Money Tool** [07:10] — Shows crossed market EV opportunities. Example: Chase Walker over 13.5 points, with sharp liquidity of $10,600 on ProfitX and FanDuel at -130, while getting -122 on PrizePicks.
- **Positive EV Tool** [09:58] — Filters for positive EV plays. Example: Jalen Green under 17.5 points at -122 on DraftKings Pick Six vs FanDuel -166.
- **Combining Tools for Maximum Volume** [12:43] — Mix and match plays from all three tools to get as many slips as possible. Avoid double-dipping to reduce risk.
- **DFS is a Volume Game** [14:02] — Stack enough value over time to flip odds in your favor. The three tools help find edges by comparing mispriced lines.

### Conclusion

The key to profiting from DFS apps is treating them as markets, finding mispriced lines, and placing high volume with positive expected value. Using tools like Odd Jam can provide a real edge, but the mindset shift from 'being right' to 'getting good prices' is essential.

## Transcript

fantasy sports apps like PrizePicks, Underdog, and Better the same way that everyone else is playing, you're probably not profiting long-term. Because the truth is DFS apps are not beaten by vibes, gut feeling, or
building that one perfect slip a day. They're beaten with math, volume, and finding edges the average person doesn't even know exist. Over the last 30 days, even know exist. Over the last 30 days, I made a 69.2 units of profit off of DFS
apps. That's good for a 23.16% ROI. And no, this was not some random hot stretch, this wasn't luck, and this wasn't me randomly guessing right. These profits came from a repeatable system built around data and market pricing.
And by far the biggest mistake that casual DFS players make is treating DFS apps like opinions, where they pick their favorite players every day instead of viewing DFS apps like a market. Casuals think winning comes from really
liking a prop or pairing your two favorite props of the day together. Casuals simply research a player and hope their lineup's going to hit. But profiting off of these [music] apps. Sharps find mispriced lines, they use
math to identify real value, and they get a ton of volume down when the edge is there. In this video, I'm going to break down how I've been attacking daily start building a system for yourself instead of just firing off random picks
heading over to Odd Jam so that I can show you the software that I used to make 69.2 units of profit in the month of March off of daily fantasy sports apps. I used three different tools that Odd Jam has to offer to make these
all three of them. The first thing we're going to do on Odd Jam is go over to the fantasy optimizer. So, in the top, we're going to click on fantasy here, and boom, we have now loaded the fantasy optimizer on Odd Jam. Now, let's break
down what this tool is. We can see here at the top, we have all of our different Picks. You can click into more books and see a ton of different I'm personally a big fan of Dabble and DraftKings Pick Six. My 69.2 units of profit all came
off of Dabble, DraftKings [music] Pick Six, Better Picks, Underdog, and PrizePicks. Those are the five books that I really enjoy using, and those are the five books that I found a great edge over in the month of March. And of
course, this isn't an edge that goes away in March, this will continue until these apps. Now, let's break down what exactly we're looking at. So, right now, we have filtered PrizePicks to a five-man play.
That's technically the optimal slip type that you should be taking on PrizePicks. Average odds are minus 118. Now, big mistake that casual bettors make is thinking a PrizePicks two-man power play is the easiest slip type to make profit
on. Now, it may be easiest to hit one lineup because you only need two picks, but two-man power plays are a losing bet long-term. You have negative EV when you're taking these because you need a 60% win rate on each individual pick in
five-man flex play, you need a much lower win rate on each individual pick to be able to profit long-term. Now, a sweet spot that I've found is taking a PrizePicks three-man power play, which is valued at minus 122 odds. We can
often times find much better value than minus 122 on PrizePicks. And here's [music] how I go about the process using the fantasy optimizer. So, the first data points. So, I want at least three
data points, which means we're comparing the line to three different books. Three different books need to have the line more juicy than minus 122 for a play to pop up on this. And we can see here, we have a lot of value on the board. So,
let's take a look at this Darius Garland, Victor Wembanyama over made threes combo. They need to combine for over four and a half made threes, and here is why this play is an optimal play on PrizePicks. We can see first and
foremost that FanDuel has this at minus 130 odds. Now, we're getting this at I'm on five-man flex play, so minus 118. But really, if I'm taking a three-man power play, minus 122 odds. Well, that's still 8 cents better than what FanDuel, the
sharpest player prop book, is going to give us. And we can look over here, DraftKings [snorts] not huge value, MGM not huge value, but we can see Pinnacle minus 133. So, we're getting two very sharp books valuing this prop in the
minus 130s when I'm getting it at minus 122 on PrizePicks. Now, I always like to keep up the the five-man flex play on these because it is the optimal slip type, and because I'll see a bit more props. If I were to filter down to
going to see there's not as much value on the board because not as many books are going to have minus 122 with three books having more juicy odds than that. you can still find incredible plays using the five-man flex play tab. That's
where I personally stick with, even if I'm making a three-man slip. So, if I now, [music] I would be taking this made threes, and I would look to pair it
Booker over first quarter points at five minus 122, when we can see right here, FanDuel values it at minus 140, and then we have Caesars at minus 132. And we can even see here, Fliff, not a great book
to use, minus 145, though incredibly juicy. And here we go at Parlay Play, minus 172. So, they widely expect this prop to go over when we're getting a set payout on PrizePicks if we take the over or under. That's the beauty of daily
fantasy sports apps. Unlike a sports book, where the over on FanDuel is at minus 140, the under may be plus money for this prop. While on PrizePicks, it's an even weight whether you take the over or under, and that right there is why
DFS apps can be so incredibly profitable. Now, I have my two plays right here. I need my third play. Right now, I would probably go with Anderson here, under five and a half points. Why? I know I'm getting minus 122 if I'm
doing a PrizePicks three-man power play, or minus 118 odds if I'm using a five- or six-man flex play. And I can see here again, FanDuel minus 132. That's giving me value. And over at MGM, we have minus 145. So, I'm getting two books that are
giving me incredible value compared to PrizePicks, and that would be a three-man slip that I would be very comfortable and confident playing. Now, >> it does not matter to me if this pick individual slip hits or not. I know if I
place enough of these slips long-term, I am going to profit. And there's a reason that when I made 69.2 units on DFS apps, I didn't have a winning record. You're placing parlays, you're going to have a losing record, but your ROI can be
incredibly positive because you're getting positive expected value on every single slip that you're taking. I don't regret one of the slips that I took last month because all of them had positive expected value. Now, that's how the Odd
Jam fantasy optimizer works. We're now going to move on to the next tool that I Jam sharp money tool. Now, I already have it filtered to give me all the could do is you could go into sports books, [music] you could clear it, and
you could say, "Okay, I have Better Picks, I have Dabble, I have Underdog, I Pick Six." Select those, and it's going to show you results where there are crossed market EV opportunities on daily fantasy sports apps. So, let's take a
look at this top play right here, Chase Walker over 13 and a half points. This is in the Illinois State Auburn game. Well, what we can see here is that one, a sharp better on ProfitX is putting down $10,600.
There's just over 10.7K in total liquidity on this prop on the exchanges, and we can see here again, I know I'm getting this at minus 118, minus 122 odds, whether I'm placing a five-man or three-man slip on PrizePicks. And look
here, we can see FanDuel, again, the sharpest player prop book, has this at minus 130. We can see Bovada minus 130. So, anything under that range of minus 125, which is what the sharp is looking to get this matched at, is a good
profitable bet. So, right now, I know a sharp wants this play at minus 125. I know if I'm using a three-man power play on PrizePicks, I'm getting this at minus 122 odds. And we can [music] see here that anything under minus 125 is a
profitable play long-term expected value. And we can also see that the sharpest player prop book has this juiced to minus 130. This is a play that I 100% would be taking every single time. Now, if I was making a PrizePicks
over 16 and a half outs. Again, [music] I'd see we have over a thousand dollars of sharp liquidity on this. We can see Pinnacle minus 125, DraftKings minus Pinnacle minus 125, DraftKings minus 135, Bovada minus 140. This is juiced
>> to the over on sports books, and I'm getting a set payout on the over and under on PrizePicks. This is a very profitable play on PrizePicks to take outs. Now, I'd keep scrolling and taking a look, and we see Sam Merrill here.
We'll see if I like this play. It's not as good a value, but we're still seeing almost $600 worth of sharp liquidity. And again, MGM minus 130, Bovada minus 125. It's a play that I would throw in a slip. Not every single play is going to
be minus 140, minus 150 on FanDuel, but as long as we're getting expected value on these slips, I'm taking as many slips as possible using both the fantasy optimizer and the sharp money tool. Every single one of these plays that
there's $10,000 worth of liquidity or $589 worth of liquidity, we still know it is a profitable side of an arbitrage bet. It is the positive expected value side of an arbitrage bet on PrizePicks or your
DFS app that you're filtered to, compared to ProfitX and Novig, very sharp betting exchanges. Now, that's how I would use the sharp money tool to find my plays. And the The method that I use on Odd Jam is with their positive EV
tool. So, quickly, we're going to filter again to the books that we want. So, I want Better Picks, I want PrizePicks five or six man, I want DraftKings Pick Six, and Dabble. We'll stick with that for right now. We can show results, and
here we can see we're going to get some overlap with other plays that we may have already seen, but we're also going to see a lot of new plays that we haven't seen before. So, on DraftKings Pick Six right here, I can see
Jalen Green under 17 and 1/2 points is valued at minus 122 [music] odds. Now, sharpest player prop book has this at minus 166. Immediately, I am adding
Jalen Green under 17 and 1/2 points into my slip, and I'm working to find more value. Now, as we scroll, we can see there's not other value over on DraftKings Pick Six. So, what I would do if I can't make a lineup just using this
tool, I can go check sharp money, and I can clear my filter and just put to see there's other results. So, I would be adding and actually on DraftKings Pick Six, you have to stay within the same sport. So, I'd be adding
points to this slip because it's at minus 144 on FanDuel. It's a minus 144 on FanDuel. It's a cross-market EV play on DraftKings Pick I've used, and now we're seeing there's no other NBA props available. So, I
would go over to the fantasy optimizer, and I would just filter to DraftKings have the Jalen Green prop already, and everything else is in the red. So, to this point. I don't want to place a two-man slip because I know I'm going to
lose long term if I just take two-man slips on DraftKings Pick Six. So, I want this slip go and leave the value of Jalen Green and don't have a third pick, or I can start filtering through these red plays. Now,
red and yellow plays on the fantasy optimizer, but I have also hit many optimizer, but I have also hit many slips using one leg from the red section personally found value that I liked and was comfortable taking. So, we can see
right here, I like this play, Naz Reid under 12 and 1/2 points. I know it's in the red, but we can still see that it's minus 122 on DraftKings Pick Six, that it's minus 136 on both FanDuel and Pinnacle, two of the sharpest books in
sharpest player prop book in the world. Now, just because DraftKings has it at minus 118 doesn't scare me away from taking this prop because I know if I'm using a direct positive EV comparison from DraftKings Pick Six to FanDuel, I'm
getting great value. This prop is available at minus 136 on FanDuel, and [music] odds. So, that would complete my three-man parlay on DraftKings Pick Six right there [music] using a combination of all of these tools. Now, a common
want to use the fantasy optimizer, the sharp money tool, or the positive EV tool? Well, the reality is, if I'm on the fantasy optimizer like we were on PrizePicks, and I can see that there are a plethora of plays that I can make, I
would make a slip just off of the fantasy optimizer right now. Then, what I would do is I would head over to the sharp money tool, to the positive EV tab, [music] and see where I can make more plays without double dipping too
I'll double dip in a prop if I really love it, but ideally, I don't want to stack multiple props in different parlays because if that leg loses, every slip I used it in is absolutely cooked. So, my main strategy is to mix and match
as many of these profitable plays on all three of these tools as possible and to get as many slips in on every single DFS app that I use >> every day. Daily fantasy sports is a volume game where you want to get as
much expected value as possible. I could just stick with one parlay that I made on a DFS app that I absolutely loved, and if I did that every single day, I don't think I would be profitable long term because at the end of the day, the
odds are still stacked against you that you're going to hit a three-man parlay. However, if you stack enough value together long term, the odds then flip over into your favor. Like I said, daily fantasy sports is a volume game. When
that edge, and you need to get as many bets down as possible using that edge. And these three tools over at Oddjam, the fantasy optimizer, the sharp money tool, and the positive EV tool will absolutely help you find an edge
comparing mispriced daily fantasy sports lines over to the lines at sportsbooks, and that's where you can profit long term in the daily fantasy sports world. So, at this point, you now have two options. You can keep playing DFS apps
the same way most people do, building one lineup a day, trusting your gut, and hoping that you get a lucky hit every now and then. Or you can start treating these apps like what they actually are, markets with mispriced lines that can be
exploited. What I showed you in this video isn't a random theory. It's what helped me make 69.2 units in the last 30 days off of DFS apps. And the biggest shift for me wasn't doing more research on my props or finding better picks. It
was realizing that DFS isn't about being right. It's about constantly getting good prices. Once you understand and buy into that concept, everything changes. plays, and you start using a system that actually compounds over time. The three
the sharp money tool, and the positive EV tool, aren't magic, but when you use them together, they give you something most people never have, a real edge over profiting off of DFS apps and not just playing for fun and donating to these
books, I highly recommend you check out Oddjam and the tools that I use. And you can use promo code TA X for a free week trial and 35% off your first month. of this [music] episode. And if you got value from this video, make sure you
and let me know in the comments how this helped you and how your DFS results have been since viewing this video. I hope today marks the day that you switch your because there's a way bigger edge than most people realize, and these apps are
most people realize, and these apps are very much beatable.