[00:00] before Trump triggers a full-blown recession." Headlines are screaming disaster, and everyone is asking the same question,
[00:13] But there's more to this than meets the eye. who's obsessed with the stock market. because of my videos,
[00:27] to give you my honest take on the situation. and look at the bigger picture together. and this one isn't random.
[00:40] And all of them tie back to one man, Now, before anyone jumps to conclusions, And as a British investor looking in,
[00:54] like you and me. behind this crash, and what you can do to benefit from all this mayhem.
[01:06] Trigger one is Trump's trade war. He's the guy who fights for American jobs could increase your weekly shopping bill
[01:21] The last time the US tried this, wiping out jobs and wrecking the economy. Stocks are already crashing,
[01:34] it won't just hurt Wall Street, your bank account. the US government decided to slap massive taxes
[01:48] to protect American businesses It was called the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act, one of the worst economic mistakes in history.
[02:00] American companies wouldn't have to compete and more products would be made in the USA. other countries fought back.
[02:12] started raising their own tariffs, to sell products overseas. businesses collapsed and millions lost their jobs.
[02:25] it helped turn a regular recession one of the worst financial crises ever. and Trump has brought back tariffs in a big way.
[02:39] Trump announced a 10% tariff and a 25% tariff on other Canadian goods. In retaliation, Canada imposed a 25% tariff
[02:53] Then in March, Ontario implemented a 25% surcharge affecting states like New York, However, in my opinion,
[03:06] that wouldn't have seriously damaged the US economy. he fired back by increasing tariffs Unlike Canada's move,
[03:21] it hit Canada's manufacturing industry hard, for American businesses Well, this is where the real problem starts.
[03:35] as they're meant to punish foreign businesses, But in reality, As a business owner
[03:47] who manufactures products in imports from China myself, to pay more for materials, they pass it on to their customers.
[03:59] appliances and electronics. because supply chains get disrupted, stretching household budgets even further.
[04:13] while Trump raises tariffs, China is leading the charge partnering with Brazil, Russia, India and South Africa
[04:28] So the more the US isolates itself, So what's my opinion on all of this Well, if Trump goes all in on this trade war,
[04:42] While some industries might get a short-term boost, such as higher prices, weaker global ties could far outweigh any benefits.
[04:56] I don't think Trump actually wants high tariffs. Trump is at his core, a businessman and a deal maker,
[05:08] as a negotiation tactic, So if that's true, Well, I think he's after free global trade,
[05:21] And if he pulls that off, his approach is creating massive uncertainty. new tariffs and mixed signals
[05:35] because investors hate unpredictability. it could shake confidence so much Something even Trump's own administration
[05:48] Right now, the market isn't just reacting to tariffs, And in investing, (keys clacking) (upbeat music)
[06:03] Trigger two is Trump's stance on NATO. the military alliance that protects Western countries. shouldn't keep defending allies
[06:16] While that might sound like a fair demand, it could create a power vacuum Markets hate uncertainty.
[06:31] they panic. to push further into Europe as countries try to adjust to a world
[06:44] More conflicts mean higher military spending, and spikes in energy prices, (keys clacking) (upbeat music)
[06:59] There's been a theory circulating I know that sounds crazy, Trump has never been a fan of high interest rates.
[07:13] and has openly attacked the Federal Reserve Now, here's where it gets interesting. to cut interest rates,
[07:27] If the stock market crashes but to step in and slash interest rates But why does Trump want lower rates?
[07:43] slow down the economy, people stop spending as much, and hates anything that makes America look weak,
[07:56] it's way bigger than that. The US government is drowning in $36.5 trillion of debt. the cost of that debt goes through the roof.
[08:10] Imagine you owe $36,500, That means before you even start
[08:22] you're being charged $3,650 every single year suddenly slashes the interest rate to 3%.
[08:35] Instead of paying $3,650 per year, your interest drops to just $1,095 annually. That's a saving of $2,555 every single year.
[08:50] instead of just keeping up with interest payments. but on a $36.5 trillion scale.
[09:02] the government can refinance its debt saving billions, if not trillions, something like this has happened.
[09:14] it could go down as one of the smartest economic power moves we're not looking at a long-term economic collapse, before a massive rebound.
[09:29] "How can you benefit from this crash?" aren't rare disasters. Every few years, the stock market takes a hit.
[09:42] "The end is near," Every crash of the US market The people who panic and sell usually lose money,
[09:55] often come out on top. make smart moves, when the market bounces back.
[10:08] however, I have made millions on what you can do to prepare. Step one is to invest
[10:22] Before you even think about investing, I know I've said it before, That means building an emergency fund
[10:35] and eliminating any debt if you've never invested before, Stocks are essentially on sale.
[10:50] I was still investing at the bottom However, many of my friends panicked and sold, No one can perfectly predict
[11:05] but if you invest consistently while prices are low, then Trading 212 are currently giving you when you use the code TILBURY in the app
[11:20] If you've been waiting for a good time to do this, if you're interested. Step two is to stay disciplined
[11:34] Market crashes aren't random, There are three types of crashes. These happen frequently
[11:46] Bear markets, which is a 20% to 40% drop. and last about 289 days on average. which are more than 40% drops.
[12:01] by huge recoveries in the USA. is letting emotions dictate their decisions. fear kicks in and people sell at a loss.
[12:15] and then they buy at inflated prices. So if you're already investing, Selling while the market is down
[12:30] and keeps you from benefiting from when stocks recover. while stocks are cheap. Invest in a fixed amount every month
[12:44] This reduces the risk of buying in at the wrong time Remember, the best investors (upbeat music)
[12:57] Step three is to diversify your investments. is a recipe for disaster. is diversification.
[13:10] My portfolio includes stocks, real estate, and even cryptocurrency. as they actually perform well during downturns
[13:26] Just remember, market crashes aren't the end of the world. you won't be the one panicking, while everyone else is running for the exit.
[13:42] It's the time to prepare, The ones who make the smartest moves now If you wanna know how to invest in 2025,
[13:56] But don't click on it just yet, (cheek clicking) I'll see you over there.