[00:00] do you want to know how to always win sports&nbsp; betting if you do this is the only video you'll&nbsp;&nbsp; ever need to watch there are no others like it so&nbsp; give it a chance to get going because i guarantee&nbsp;&nbsp; you will not regret it this video doesn't contain&nbsp; any bs and i'm not going to hold anything back so&nbsp;&nbsp;
[00:16] please return the favor tap that like button&nbsp; down below and don't forget to subscribe&nbsp;&nbsp; to this channel once you see the value unfolded&nbsp; cheers oh and also this is not about match betting&nbsp;&nbsp;
[00:28] or arbitrage this is purely about winning sports&nbsp; betting quick disclaimer before we get started&nbsp;&nbsp; though this is not to glamorize betting this is&nbsp; just to show you and everybody else a way in which&nbsp;&nbsp; anybody can beat the bookmakers over and over&nbsp; again repeatedly okay now they don't like this&nbsp;&nbsp;
[00:44] so after a short while they will limit or restrict&nbsp; your betting account just to be aware of that it's&nbsp;&nbsp; not illegal and they will pay out but i think it's&nbsp; important to mention that they will restrict your&nbsp;&nbsp; account in some way after a while unfortunately&nbsp; that's just a fact but by the end of these five&nbsp;&nbsp;
[00:59] steps you'll understand why so before i show you&nbsp; how to game the system and consistently win i want&nbsp;&nbsp; you to understand why this works and why it's so&nbsp; different to what the media channels and pundits&nbsp;&nbsp;
[01:11] tell you to focus your attention on you see the&nbsp; tv channels form guides newspapers are all part&nbsp;&nbsp; of the betting industries illusion they divert&nbsp; your attention away from what really matters&nbsp;&nbsp; in order to make money from you the viewer i&nbsp; mean what's more important the players form or&nbsp;&nbsp;
[01:25] the price of their bet these two statements give a&nbsp; very clear answer first of all tv channels pundits&nbsp;&nbsp; affiliates etc direct your attention towards&nbsp; form whereas the bookmakers make their money from&nbsp;&nbsp;
[01:38] and pay those tv channels and affiliates from&nbsp; the prices that they offer but it doesn't just&nbsp;&nbsp; stop there it applies to the events that&nbsp; you choose to bet on too so the tv channels&nbsp;&nbsp;
[01:50] bookies affiliates and social media and so forth&nbsp; will often send you to events where there's poor&nbsp;&nbsp; value and you're far less likely to win because of&nbsp; that poor value rather than sending you to places&nbsp;&nbsp; where the sports book may have got their pricing&nbsp; incorrect so i'll show you exactly where and lay&nbsp;&nbsp;
[02:06] out in these five steps in just a second but to&nbsp; highlight what i'm trying to say here paddy power&nbsp;&nbsp; offers usa horse racing of an evening on their&nbsp; sports book where the prices are often wrong&nbsp;&nbsp; as are the prices on greyhounds with multiple&nbsp; providers but what you really need to get around&nbsp;&nbsp;
[02:22] into your head here is that winning on sports&nbsp; betting is not about picking the winner it's&nbsp;&nbsp; about getting the right price and then letting&nbsp; variance do the hard work for you as explained&nbsp;&nbsp; on a previous video betting strategy will put on&nbsp; the screen here that was previously published on&nbsp;&nbsp;
[02:37] the channel last year now if that's lost you look&nbsp; at this brief excel explanation on screen here&nbsp;&nbsp; if there's a 50 chance of something happening it's&nbsp; odds are as follows any bets that you strike above&nbsp;&nbsp; that price is your overall margin so sure the next&nbsp; bet might not come in it might not be the winner&nbsp;&nbsp;
[02:55] in your favor but overall a wider sample of bets&nbsp; means that you come out on top and you always win&nbsp;&nbsp; through taking value in the marketplace it's&nbsp; extremely simple in theory but the harder part&nbsp;&nbsp; is finding those odds which are above their&nbsp; true value because bookmakers and sportsbooks&nbsp;&nbsp;
[03:12] are doing the complete opposite and offering you&nbsp; odds far below their true value in the alternate&nbsp;&nbsp; direction effectively giving you shorter odds than&nbsp; the probable chance of something happening which&nbsp;&nbsp; is where these five steps come into things so here&nbsp; we go let's get on with it run through them on&nbsp;&nbsp;
[03:25] screen with some examples starting with step one&nbsp; which is looking in the right place now obviously&nbsp;&nbsp; that and i'll tell you the places where and why&nbsp; it happens so you know usa horse racing paddy&nbsp;&nbsp;
[03:40] power already mentioned that lots of different&nbsp; providers on greyhounds and that's because it's&nbsp;&nbsp; a fast-moving marketplace there's often lots of&nbsp; changes and it's less interest for them and their&nbsp;&nbsp; traders and their trading room so you can pick up&nbsp; on the changes before they do and skin them for it&nbsp;&nbsp;
[03:57] so if we're talking about horse racing you want to&nbsp; look at the lower quality horse races particularly&nbsp;&nbsp; on all weather maybe later in the evening places&nbsp; like dundalk if we're talking about football you&nbsp;&nbsp; want to look at the far lower leagues the less&nbsp; interesting events or they'll be honest with you&nbsp;&nbsp;
[04:13] it can be a little bit tricky on football because&nbsp; there's less opportunities for this greyhounds is&nbsp;&nbsp; a brilliant one because there's races every few&nbsp; minutes particularly in the evening in the summer&nbsp;&nbsp; and a lot of the time they're not focused and&nbsp; dialed in on that but the point here is they are&nbsp;&nbsp;
[04:28] not focused on the event as much as the general&nbsp; public is not focused on the event and it is a&nbsp;&nbsp; fast-changing marketplace now that seems really&nbsp; simple you'll see in a moment with an example but&nbsp;&nbsp; that is an extremely powerful thing to know and&nbsp; focus on the second step is a direct comparison&nbsp;&nbsp;
[04:45] and we'll show you one on screen here so you&nbsp; have betting exchanges and sports books exchanges&nbsp;&nbsp; very close to the starting time at start&nbsp; and time in particular is even better&nbsp;&nbsp; uh there is the wisdom of crowds there's thousands&nbsp; of people placing bets against each other and&nbsp;&nbsp;
[04:59] therefore that's the closest you're going to get&nbsp; to the true value of true price of something so if&nbsp;&nbsp; you can find a direct comparison where the sports&nbsp; book odds are bigger than the exchange odds then&nbsp;&nbsp; that is to your favor the bigger the disparity&nbsp; the better and therefore the bigger the disparity&nbsp;&nbsp;
[05:14] between the two the larger you should stake so&nbsp; look at this example on screen here with the&nbsp;&nbsp; greyhounds the prices have changed very quickly&nbsp; and we're managing to back the greyhound at a&nbsp;&nbsp; price it previously was far bigger price despite&nbsp; the price crashing late on now there is a little&nbsp;&nbsp;
[05:30] bit more to this as we're going to discuss in step&nbsp; three which is be in the line so we've found this&nbsp;&nbsp; situation where there's fast moving odds on a you&nbsp; know relatively obscure event that the bookies are&nbsp;&nbsp; not keeping their eye on and we're going to get&nbsp; a value bet on however we are also looking for&nbsp;&nbsp;
[05:46] significant volume on the selection very close to&nbsp; or at the start of the event or the starting time&nbsp;&nbsp; for the events you can see this one on the screen&nbsp; here uh on BETDAQ we backed it on sportsbook odds&nbsp;&nbsp; of 3.75 the starting price was actually 3.0 a very&nbsp; similar one that was over on bet365 we got to back&nbsp;&nbsp;
[06:04] it at 7 and it went off nearer to 5.5 so you can&nbsp; see that there's a significant gamble or there's&nbsp;&nbsp; a little bit flurry of money coming down on this&nbsp; selection it has shortened in odds significantly&nbsp;&nbsp; and we've got a far bigger price than what it was&nbsp; actually valued at the start which takes us nicely&nbsp;&nbsp;
[06:19] into step four which is the confirmation so when&nbsp; you see these confirming signals that's when you&nbsp;&nbsp; want to hit them harder so like i say the bigger&nbsp; the disparate in the odds the bigger the gamble&nbsp;&nbsp; the closer it is to the start preferably on the&nbsp; start or even if it's slightly delayed after the&nbsp;&nbsp;
[06:34] start they are three ticks in our box and that's&nbsp; when we place a bet over the longer period of&nbsp;&nbsp; time you will emerge a consistent winner when&nbsp; you do that now the biggest problem for anybody&nbsp;&nbsp; that should try this is bankroll because there&nbsp; is gonna be a sequence of losing events at some&nbsp;&nbsp;
[06:48] point in time it's like flicking the coin you're&nbsp; gonna have heads tails heads heads heads for so&nbsp;&nbsp; many rows however if you take value on those bets&nbsp; over a period of time that are being bet at their&nbsp;&nbsp; best point in time where they're closest to their&nbsp; true odds or true value then you will emerge a&nbsp;&nbsp;
[07:04] winner you'll be stunned at how many times these&nbsp; types of situations happen on multiple different&nbsp;&nbsp; sports it could be cricket tennis uh it could also&nbsp; be horse racing like i said the all weather events&nbsp;&nbsp; but greyhounds is the example here because it's&nbsp; a very easy and clear one on screen but you'll be&nbsp;&nbsp;
[07:18] amazed at how often this actually happens and&nbsp; last of all this takes us on to step five so&nbsp;&nbsp; understanding the process understanding the why is&nbsp; extremely important and then repeating this over a&nbsp;&nbsp;
[07:30] longer sample okay so you've got to allow variance&nbsp; to play out with that probability allow those&nbsp;&nbsp; losers to happen allow the winners to happen and&nbsp; see the difference track it ideally on spreadsheet&nbsp;&nbsp; excel something like that and realize that that&nbsp; is part of the process so although you remain&nbsp;&nbsp;
[07:46] always a winner over the longer term there will&nbsp; be some losses on route but what you're doing&nbsp;&nbsp; there is quite sensible calculated and you're&nbsp; understanding that short-termism isn't the way&nbsp;&nbsp; in which that you win through sports betting now&nbsp; also one last thing just to add in there as well&nbsp;&nbsp;
[08:01] is you're gonna need some different accounts&nbsp; with different bookmakers different sports books&nbsp;&nbsp; i'm not a condoning multi-accounting but you're&nbsp; gonna need to do that because in the modern world&nbsp;&nbsp; a large problem for any anybody who's a&nbsp; professional better or trader is avoiding&nbsp;&nbsp;
[08:16] the losing of accounts and the various commissions&nbsp; that you rack up on route because these providers&nbsp;&nbsp; don't want to keep shelling out they don't&nbsp; want to keep paying you they were there to&nbsp;&nbsp; make money from you not to give it to you okay&nbsp; so i've given away something absolutely massive&nbsp;&nbsp;
[08:30] there and i appreciate not everybody will have got&nbsp; it first time around so you may need to go back&nbsp;&nbsp; re-watch the video to digest it fully but&nbsp; please remember i've given this away for free&nbsp;&nbsp; on youtube so repay the favor by tapping the like&nbsp; button down below subscribing to the channel and&nbsp;&nbsp;
[08:44] checking out one of these videos in the end screen&nbsp; here so we've got two videos which are directly&nbsp;&nbsp; related to this video first one is about betting&nbsp; strategy previously mentioned the second one&nbsp;&nbsp; is about match betting a different method which&nbsp; anybody can use to follow steps in order to turn&nbsp;&nbsp;
[08:59] bookmakers promotional offers into withdrawable&nbsp; cash thanks for watching check them out