---
title: 'Crypto Down Again? What''s Happening with Bitcoin, XRP, BNB and Alts'
source: 'https://youtube.com/watch?v=2Mp-gqiIJuk'
video_id: '2Mp-gqiIJuk'
date: 2026-07-31
duration_sec: 1631
---

# Crypto Down Again? What's Happening with Bitcoin, XRP, BNB and Alts

> Source: [Crypto Down Again? What's Happening with Bitcoin, XRP, BNB and Alts](https://youtube.com/watch?v=2Mp-gqiIJuk)

## Summary

A Russian crypto analyst reviews the current market, explaining why Bitcoin, Ether and major altcoins are sliding. He shares regulatory news about his site being blocked by the Central Bank, walks through on-risk/off-risk dynamics and halving cycles, and gives specific long and short setups for coins like SRK, ON, ZEC, DOGE and BNB.

### Key Points

- **Central Bank blocks trading resources** [00:17] — Resources were blocked due to mentions of crypto exchanges Binance, OKX, and Bybit. Violations were removed within 3 hours, but a weekend delay led to the block. Lawyer reviewed 120 pages; unblocking expected in 1.5–2 months. VPN is recommended in the meantime.
- **On-risk/off-risk dynamics** [04:34] — Investors move capital from risky assets like crypto into conservative instruments (bonds, treasuries) during bad times, inflating the debt market bubble. Calm periods trigger on-risk and capital flows back into risk assets.
- **Geopolitics and halving determine bull cycle** [05:13] — No sustainable bull market until geopolitical events pass and the Bitcoin halving occurs. Negative war events during a bull cycle would kill the rally.
- **Halving cycle pattern** [06:25] — In previous cycles (May 2020, April 2024), the market dropped from highs to lows about a year before halving, then went sideways and pumped. Currently at a similar bottom; possibly 3–4 more months of sideways before growth if history repeats.
- **Long-term accumulation opportunity** [07:46] — Long-term crypto purchases are profitable now despite geopolitics, with an investment horizon of over 2–3 years. The speaker bought near September–October 2023 at $27 and sold at $88.
- **Bitcoin range and bearish outlook** [09:26] — Bitcoin trades sideways between $66,400 and $61,000; volumes are falling and ETF-driven capital is exhausted. Expects continuation lower to $58,000.
- **Bitcoin weekly: bearish rollback** [10:59] — The weekly timeframe shows a bearish trend with declining volumes; the structure is a rollback against the larger downtrend, with no reversal prerequisites.
- **Ether weekly and daily analysis** [11:28] — Ether bounced off a volume level three times, signaling demand, but current volumes are falling. On the daily, it tests $2,000 with a strong seller wall; likely short-term squeeze then drop to $1,400 demand zone.
- **Ether liquidity capture setup** [13:22] — On the 2-hour chart a triangle is forming; upward movement likely to capture seller liquidity, then collapse under its own weight to $1,400, where maximum demand sits.
- **SRK: not for spot, short to 0.15** [14:47] — SRK is a weak altcoin; spot purchase not recommended. Short signal with stop at 0.33 and target around 0.15, roughly 1:3 risk-reward.
- **ON: spot long candidate** [17:06] — Weekly structure looks bullish with volume-bought dips; potential target 0.60. Recommended to wait for a correction to 0.44 for entry, stop near 0.26.
- **ZEC: head and shoulders short** [20:22] — Daily chart shows a head and shoulders pattern after a failed upward movement. Short setup with a stop order and take-profit at the demand area around 36.2 (described as 362 in the transcript).
- **Dogecoin: bearish, key level 0.57** [22:39] — Weekly key level is 0.57; no reversal or takeoff prerequisites. Daily is a blatant bearish trend; target 0.57 with a stop above recent structure.
- **BNB: same pattern as DOGE** [24:50] — BNB shows a downward movement; key target 520. Possible short with stop around 589 and take-profit 516; no long-term short signal yet.
- **Risk management reminder** [26:17] — Practical trading only with stop orders; no analysis is 100%. Control losses and use a small part of capital; long-term portfolio investing is different.

## Transcript

market overview based on your requests.  We will also consider the main PVDs and key events.  My name is Zvezn Artem Anatolyevich.  I have been trading in the markets since 2008, which makes it 18 years.  Qualified investor, Central Bank certificate.  Here is my
yield chart.  Let's go, friends.  Before we start our journey, a short announcement.  Our resources were blocked by the Central Bank due to mentions of cryptocurrency exchanges, namely the Bhaance cryptocurrency exchange
and OKX.  I can also say that we had Bbit there too.  In general, all these cryptocurrency exchanges are unlicensed. And it turns out that there is some provision according to which merely mentioning, even just mentioning, perhaps even without
references, is illegal on the territory of the Russian Federation. territory of the Russian Federation. reasons.  That is, they simply wrote a denunciation against us .  And the Central Bank found nothing simpler than to
simply block our resources.   They would have given me some kind of, I don’t know, punishment, a fine, something else.  Well, we just decided to [ __ ] and that's it, goodbye .  Initially, we were given 24 hours to correct these violations.  We
removed these violations within 3 hours of receiving the notification.  Well, either they removed the wrong thing, or they didn't remove everything, or it just happened on the weekend, because we were given the notice on Friday evening, and the regulator, accordingly, doesn't work on weekends.
And it turns out to be, well, some kind of legal, I don’t know, absurdity. They give you a day to make the correction, a calendar day, Friday evening, and it turns out that the calendar day falls on the weekend, when the regulator is not working.  And,
naturally, it turns out that they couldn’t check this, and we were blocked for this .  In total, at the moment the lawyer has viewed about 120 pages on our website, that is, the main key ones. Naturally, we
have edited these pages.  At the moment, the administrator is making various corrections, edits, inaccuracies, and so on.  All this is removed.  We will then submit a notification to the Central Bank and Roskomnadzor requesting unblocking.
Of course, they will unblock us, I think, but it’s just a matter of timing; it will take about one and a half to two months.  It's clear that sooner or later we will be unblocked.  If they don't unblock it, we will, naturally, go to court, because these are simply financial sites
without any politics, without any mention of Putin, his mistresses, illegitimate children, and so on.  There is nothing political or extremist about it.  Well, it's a regular website, a regular website about threads and investments.
Nothing outrageous at all. Therefore, I think that we will be unblocked, it’s just a matter of time.  Until we are unblocked, please use Virn.  With Vm access is resumed.   It is not prohibited to use Virus in Russia
.  It is not prohibited to buy, download, configure, and use it. We haven't been banned from doing this yet.  They will ban it after the elections, but when they ban it, then we will return to this issue. Please also subscribe to our
Telegram channel and to "Sorry, Lord, Max" to receive new analytics and notifications.  And I will also report there about post-unlocks.  We will probably start with some key events.   There
probably start with some key events.   There same events connected with Iran continue, events connected with Ukraine continue.  In general, fortunately there was nothing new.  I say fortunately, because
each new event is worse than the previous one.  You don't even know where all this will end.  And while I'm writing this down, someone wrote me a comment here , and in the last review, Bair Badmaev
wrote: "You can safely say that FLT, well, we're currently in a sideways market on the cryptocurrency exchange , until next season, and listening to you every day, it's like some kind of global apocalypse."  Well, to say the least, of course, we are in many ways
a bit hyped up, but I would like to point out something else here.  At the moment, it really does seem like some kind of global apocalypse, because there's either a war with Iran or a situation where this half-witted drunken scumbag, I'm talking
about Maduro, is being taken out of the country, you understand, completely illegally. This is the situation with Ukraine, it really does seem like some kind of global apocalypse, but you need to understand the logic here.  So, the logic,
what's the logic?  Investors are a very timid bunch, and naturally, even a small event is enough to force capital out of risky assets—which, unfortunately, cryptocurrency still is—and into more
conservative instruments.  In economics, in investments, this is also economics, in investments, this is also called on or o.  That is, when we have a relatively calm period, the so-called on-risk is activated.  That
is, money is leaving bonds, leaving conservative instruments and entering risky instruments, which, accordingly, causes subsequent pumps, subsequent movements, subsequent good growth and all that stuff.  Well, just like the
other way around, in bad times money leaves risk and moves into so-called risky, that is, conservative instruments.  And this thereby inflates the bubble associated with the debt market, that is, with bonds,
treasuries, and so on, and so forth. Why am I saying all this?  Something you should keep in mind even if we have some kind of bullish season. We are still waiting for the usual season until all these geopolitical events have passed and
until the Bitcoin Halving occurs. Even if we have this halving, these geopolitical events will pass , and a bullish cycle will begin.  If during this bull cycle there is something negative connected with war, with military
actions, then, of course, we simply will not have any bull cycle.  Well, that is, maybe he will be, you know, there, but what about you after soro, that is, this half-wilt, when, my respects be given, it’s possible that the same thing will happen.  That is, the
cryptocurrency market will grow a little, yes, that's my sincere respect, but you won't get any X's. Our next halving is scheduled for April 17, Our next halving is scheduled for April 17, 2028.  In theory, we need to take
long-term positions in cryptocurrency with a holding period, because we're currently at a very serious low.  If you look at the Halving cycles, here we have, pay attention, here we have a halving.  It's May 11th of the
attention, here we have a halving.  It's May 11th of the twentieth year.  Before this halving, it was possible to gain position.  That is, our market
plus or minus about 1 year.  After this, the market, accordingly, went sideways, halving occurred and, accordingly, a pump began.  Next example. Our next halving is on April 17, 2024,
April 19, 2024.  And pay attention, the same thing.  That is, pay attention, the same thing.  That is, our market has dropped from highs to lows in about a year.  After that, the market went sideways, grew a little,
and in about a year a large sideways movement formed and the movement towards the halving began.  And so now we have , that is, we have a high , that is, we have a high in the twenty-fifth year in October.  It
should take about a year from now.  That means we'll be hanging around within the confines of this bottom for about another 3-4 months, right?  And after this, the market will either start to grow, if we assume that history will repeat itself, or it will go sideways with a
subsequent upward movement.  Therefore, if we are talking about long-term purchases of if we are talking about long-term purchases of cryptocurrency specifically from the point of view of maintaining the maximum price, now, of course, is profitable, even despite the fact
that we have such a geopolitical situation.  But as everywhere, there is an investment period here, of course, and here the investment period is more than 2-3 years. If we talk about my example, and you all know, I made a fairly
large purchase.  That is, I bought myself a house using cryptocurrency.  Well, it’s clear that not all the money there was from cryptocurrencies, but nevertheless, almost 90% of it was there.  If we are talking about me, I acquired the lion's share around
September-October of 1923. That is, approximately here.  All of this has grown very strongly.  That is, I bought at 27 and sold at 88. And it like a hamster.  right here, right in the loy.  For a very long time afterwards, you know, well, I have a
very long time afterwards, you know, well, I have a photo when it all grew to 122. But, after all, you need to understand that what are we doing all this for?  In order to earn some things, to buy, to improve our quality of life.
But getting rich just for the sake of getting rich, well, let's leave that to the young people who look up to the infidels on Instagram, who travel around the city as escorts who are supposedly their wives and pretend to be
pretend to be cool, in general, cryptocurrencies.  But in essence, they are infocygans, beggars who spend a huge amount of money simply on renting all this crap.  Here.  Yes, for us, for people over the age of
thirty, it is, of course, more important to acquire something material for ourselves than to have some numbers in some foreign account.  So, if we return to cryptocurrency again and look at this, well,
medium-term perspective, let me remind you that we have a short-term sideways trend here.  We are short-term sideways trend here.  We are trading between the level of 66400 and, accordingly, 61,000 dollars.  At the moment, we see
our volumes falling.  At the same time, we are experiencing a gradual drain.  This indicates that the capital that came in before this, and we remember that our capital came in here and it came through the ETF.  At the moment, this capital has already been
exhausted.  We see it slowly trickling down .  And then, accordingly, we have a continuation of this sideways movement with subsequent trading lower to the level of subsequent trading lower to the level of $58,000.  At the moment we
have traded off the upper limit of the range.  This upper limit of the range large volumes.  They were focused on this big, big movement.  What does this tell us?  This suggests that
we are currently in a bearish trend.  This bearish trend continues in our country .  There are no prerequisites for a reversal yet. If we had any preconditions for a reversal here, we would have
seen a picture like, for example, in February of 1926.  That is, we would see a sharp acceleration followed by a rebound.  It is still too early to talk about any kind of rebound or reversal here.  You can
compare, for example, these volumes and their subsequent implementation. Note that there was little volume here and no follow-up followed.  This means that we do not have a reversal, we are further in a bearish trend.  If
we switch to the weekly time frame, we see the same bearish trend here.  And here we see a decline in volumes against the backdrop of this growth.  So, if we talk about the weekly time frame, this structure, this
structure is called a rollback.  Well, let's ask another question.  If this is a rollback, then a rollback to what?  It is clear that this is a rollback to this bearish trend. Let's look at the next instrument - this is, of course, ether.  We'll start with the
weekly timeframe.  Please note that we have moved very far away from this volumetric level.  Here we have a volumetric level. The market bounced off this volume level once, bounced off this volume
level twice, and three times we get a rebound off this volume level.  We keep this in mind, we understand that we have good demand here, and therefore, at this very level.  But please note that we don't have good volumes at the moment
.  That is, look, we had a rebound, and then we had the appearance of volume, yes, and after that the market turned around from this volume level. At the moment we see a decline in volumes, there is no growth.
Accordingly, here, just like in Bitcoin, we understand that we are in a bearish trend.  And since we are in this very bearish trend, we are now experiencing a pullback structure.  Here, the volumes are falling
, then growing, this is a rollback, it turns out, of this big bearish trend. Let's move on to the daily timeframe.  At the moment we are testing the 2.000 level.  It is clear that this level is quite beautiful.  We see how
he tries to hold on to it.  Here we have an increase in volume against the background of flowing down. This indicates that there is a powerful seller here.  That is, the seller places a large limit order, the market cannot break through it, and a
that is, an analogy of some kind of wall, yes, and a ball.  When you throw a ball at a wall, the energy that is in the force of this throw makes the ball bounce off that very wall and
see this now.  That is, we are now seeing how our market is in a short-term upward movement.  After this, our upward movement turned into a sideways movement.  And we see how we are now trading at the upper boundary of this sideways trend
.  They jumped away from it with an increase in volume.  Now let's move on to 4 hours, let's see, even to 2 hours, let's see some ultra-short entry points.  At two o'clock everything looks bullish, that is, at two o'clock we see that a
triangle is forming.  This means that the most likely situation here is as follows. We're keeping this forecast that we expected, but we'll adjust it a little, so that we might have a liquidity squeeze, meaning the market will break through 2,000,
because at the moment we see that we have the potential for an upward movement, meaning that this triangle is forming, and every downward movement is bought out. So, we have a buyer here.  That is, if we show the positions of the
participants here, here we have a seller, and below us we have a buyer, and he raises the bids accordingly each time.  Here, it is most likely that when the market goes up, it will fulfill this seller, that is, it will eat
him up.  When he runs out of money, the market will collapse under its own weight .  Classic liquidity capture structure .  Therefore, there is an upward movement with the capture of liquidity, followed by a downward flow to the level of
followed by a downward flow to the level of 1.400.  But at the level of 1400, let me remind you, we have maximum demand.  Here I put a question mark.  Much will depend on the conditions.  Zer 998 asks about the SRK coin.  Well, let's
see what kind of coin it is, what it represents.  We'll probably start with the weekly timeframe.  Well, it's clear that buying such crap here at the spot is definitely not worth it.  Well, this is a classic situation, and that alt-shit that you've been
stocking up on in your portfolio, expecting it to be the all-season now.  Well, that is to say, there is nothing to do here.  The only thing that can be done here is Okay, let's not get ahead of ourselves, let's move on to the daily time frame.  According to the daily log, we see that there were some
attempts to buy it back here, it turns out, in the twenty-fifth year.  There were also those on April 26 and May 26.  At the moment, this coin has grown along with Ethereum and also with Bitcoin.  And the
drain happens again.  The drain occurs at increased volumes.  So, there are two such positions here.  The first position is the spot position.  If we talk about spot, we see that we closed, it turns out, in this case, this
big bullish impulse.  And let's determine, in principle, at what levels we can expect the emergence of some kind of new impulse.  Usually our market collapses by two or three times after it reaches the
point of this surge.  For this reason, on the spot we can expect a move somewhere around 0.15.  And here we will try to look for some purchases specifically on the spat. You can also get about x2 here.  If
accordingly, we are currently moving down to a level of 1 somewhere around 0.15.  That is, approximately here. Let's designate these levels.  And let
me sign.  I will sign her point as the turning point.  It is clear that in this case this is not a global reversal, it is just some kind of short-term reversal.  Well, I think you get the idea.  That is, at the moment we are short-selling here to
0.15.  Please do not use big shoulders directly.  If we are talking about A with a stop, in principle, the stop here is quite clear - it is 0.33.  And here we have a potential for a deal of approximately one to three.  In principle, there is already a
short situation here, that is, we have already seen a signal appear here.  This is the very drain.  The draining occurs in volumes, it occurs directly into the loy.  Well, accordingly, we move further towards 0.15.  But this is if we are talking about
short-term shorts.  In the long term, it is clear that we will look for a turning point here .  The next commenter with a picture of the cat Okwai asks about the On coin.  Let's see what kind of coin this is.  You know, it looks good to me
, and it looks good specifically for this kind of spot long, and on the weekly charts, well, it looks good, because we have the following structure here.  So, it turns out that we had a downward movement, then another
bottom.  At this bottom we had a buyer and there was a rebound upwards. accordingly, on volumes.  This indicates that we have had purchases entering the market.  When this happens, the market reaches a point where
correction occurs.  And by the magnitude of this correction we can usually understand what will happen next.  Now we have started to experience a correction.  We see that the situation has kind of repeated itself, right?  That is, the market has also reached rock bottom.  And now we are
starting to grow again.  Moreover, growth is accompanied by volumes.  On the weekly timeframe, everything looks quite normal, quite good.  The potential here could be somewhere around 600, up to 700. Let's set this
target for ourselves and move on to the daily timeframe.  On the daily timeframe, we see how our volumes entered the market, but we see that we were unable to make a higher high.  Right now our volumes are falling, so in the short term we
may experience a run-off and a correction.  Again, correction to what?  correction to this bullish trend that is emerging here.  But I would also like to draw your attention to the fact that our current volumes as a whole are smaller than
before.  This means that less capital is now required for purchases.  The situation is weekly timeframe everything looks bullish, but on the daily timeframe everything looks like the beginning of a pullback. What can you expect here?  Now we can
expect a slight downward movement, because the correction will, accordingly, continue.  If somewhere at 0.34 we see the emergence of a buyer, and we can see him through a new growth cycle, that is, the one we had here, and through an
increase in volume.  Then we move on to 0.60.  This is the first scenario that can be seen here.  And one more nuance. That is, in the short term, in the very short term, there is a small, moderate short here.  Long term here are longs.
You can also make a small spot long, but here a small spot long, unfortunately, will have a wide stop.  There is no other way to go here yet.  Here a good stop would be approximately, well, where shall we put it?  About
approximately, well, where shall we put it?  About 0.26, right?  Let's try to close with this splash.  And we have potential here.  That is, our deal is one to one and a half.  Well, I don’t know, it looks like this.  Because
if the market goes down and someone, for example, accidentally shorts here, a liquidity grab will begin and you will be stopped out .  Therefore, it is most reasonable to wait for a small correction and try to
correction and try to enter at 0.44 during the correction.  Let's call it a correction here.  Well, and, accordingly, further. And Makar is asked about the ZЕc USDT coin. We'll start with the weekly timeframe.  Here we have a figure formed called a
converging triangle.  Here we have, accordingly, two rays.  We are trading within this converging triangle. I would like to say that in general this coin some kind of pattern, that is, she does this constantly.  What else would you like to
say?  I'll remove it with your permission, but you understand, right?  OK.  What else would you like to say?  We are now seeing a drop in volume. And the fall in volume is accompanied by subsequent drainage.  This means that there
or something like that.  Let's move on to the daily time frame and look at it on the daily time frame.  On the daily time frame, we see how we have experienced a downward movement.  Then our market corrected, that is, a sideways movement appeared here
.  From this sideways movement, there was an upward movement, and the capital that was in this sideways movement has already been realized.  Therefore, this sideways movement does not particularly interest us.  Next we had a standard Head and
Shoulders pattern.  We had a serious downward decline.  The attempt by buyers here to somehow resist led to us rebounding a little.  And at the moment the market has tried to rise upwards through some uncertain movement,
please note.  And it even culminated inside.  And of course, you rarely see something like this.  However, since we started this video with something flaccid, there is a phrase like: "Finish on something flaccid."  This is the same thing .  That is, this
.  That is, this trend ended with a sluggish upward movement.  Moreover, there was no volume or anything like that .  And notice how the market accelerates its downward movement.  So here, of course, it's definitely shorts.  And
right now, of course, it would be possible to enter with a short stop order, it turns out, up to about 555 and a take profit somewhere up to 30080. You can still increase the stop loss, and
then you can increase the targets. That, I think, would be very reasonable.  We have maximum demand for 362. This is where we have demand.  We expect that 362. This is where we have demand.  We expect that some demand will emerge in the market and,
accordingly, demand for these instruments.  And we will see something similar in the future.  Sasha Picard asks about Dogecoin.  Let me remind you that in this case we are conducting a review exclusively based on your requests.
And even then, I think it won't be for long, because in the near future, I think you'll simply be jailed for trading cryptocurrency .  put in prison, and from there, after prison, a contract with the Ministry of Defense and forward to the assault on
Konstantinovka.  Somewhere near Konstantinovka you will be doing a market review.  So, Dogcoin.  Let's turn to Dogecoin.  Let's look at the weekly time frame first.  This is where the gift-giving takes place.  Our key level is
0.57.  We, accordingly, will get to it for now .  So far there are no preconditions for any kind of reversal here.  There are also no prerequisites for any take-off. Therefore, further movement is correspondingly downwards.  Here, just like everywhere else,
volumes are falling.  But the drop in volume at the bottom indicates that we will move further, below this very bottom, because there is no demand here.  If we switch to the daily time frame, then on the daily time frame we have a blatant bearish
trend.  That is, there is a trend here.  Next we have our next target of 0.57.  If you trade here, you should definitely set a stop at 0.80 and move the price approximately below the low in order to capture liquidity.  That is, the tag is approximately
0.5075. Please don't be greedy with stops, because this dog has a tendency to enter such narrow corridors, accordingly, continue some further movement.  Or you can then,
if you plan to be greedy, be greedy, but then wait for the next return, and then re-enter, as one of the options.  That stop, don’t enter right away, wait until the market reverses again and then
enter here at the reversal, and you will have either a knee or some kind of structure here.  Then you will become attached to it, and then, accordingly, you will have such a take profit.  It cannot be said that trading like this is impossible; it is possible
.  Many people trade like this, so for God's sake.  Let's add demand here.  Demand. We will write a request, yes.  Well, and accordingly, here we will see what, why and how.   A couple of people wrote about BNB.  Let's look at BNB too.  Guys, BNB is
exactly the same as, and therefore, Doges.  Well, that is, it’s a one-to-one situation, of course, the prices are a little different, the structure is different, but the essence is the same .  That is, here we have a downward movement.  This is a weekly timeframe, there was growth,
accumulation, then another growth cycle.  And so, accordingly, we now have a drain.  Let's define key goals with you .  The key target is 520. We see that a sideways trend is emerging here.  Nothing much is happening in this sideways trend
lack of trading activity.  The market is currently in balance, so a break from this balance may occur in the very near future.  In this case, a short position can, in principle, be made with a stop at about 589
and a stake at about 516. That is, approximately here.  We don't have a long-term view here.  It is clear that below here, just as it should be, there is a great demand for doge, but here we will return to discussing this coin with you in due course.  There's
no sign of long shorts here yet, friends.  What you see on this channel is called practical trading.  That is, here we are looking at securities.  I tell you with my own examples, I show you what
works and I show it in the live market.  That is how it all works.  Of course, we are not advocating that you copy these signals, but I know that many of you do this.  And if you do this, please set a stop order,
some probabilities, nothing is 100%, and any analysis fails.  You should keep this in mind and be sure to place a stop and control your losses.  Without this, trading is only possible within the framework of
long-term investment, portfolio investment.  You are , so you definitely need to control, fix losses and use a small part of your capital in all these
things.  Please subscribe to our Telegram channel and also to our, notifications, and also receive some additional coins that most importantly, there is live communication, that is, a small community.  I hope
you will support me and this community will grow over time .  Write what valuable coins and papers to look at next time. coins and papers to look at next time. All the best.  earn money.