--- title: 'Equity or Gold? Will Gold Stop Growing?! #voiceoftraders' source: 'https://youtube.com/watch?v=tyVBvCmnmmE' video_id: 'tyVBvCmnmmE' date: 2026-08-10 duration_sec: 851 channel: 'Trade Achievers' --- # Equity or Gold? Will Gold Stop Growing?! #voiceoftraders > Source: [Equity or Gold? Will Gold Stop Growing?! #voiceoftraders](https://youtube.com/watch?v=tyVBvCmnmmE) ## Summary In this episode of Voice of Traders, the host and guest discuss the future of gold versus equities as investment options. The guest provides a detailed analysis of gold's cyclical behavior, predicts a price range for the next few years, and explains why equities, particularly Nifty 50 stocks, may offer better long-term growth. The conversation also clarifies the difference between equity and mutual funds, emphasizing the importance of analysis over blind faith in investments. ### Key Points - **Gold vs. Equities: The Core Question** [00:03] — The episode opens with the central question: should everyone buy gold? The guest suggests that while gold is a valid alternative, it's not the best choice for every investor. - **Gold's Cyclical Nature** [00:32] — The guest explains that gold, like silver, tends to stagnate after completing a cycle. A rally will occur, but it will eventually end and enter a period of sideways movement. - **Gold Price Prediction for 2030** [01:03] — Based on cyclical analysis, the guest predicts gold's price range for the next four years (around 2030) will be between 3600 and 5600, with the rally likely already complete. - **Gold's Role as an Inflation Hedge** [02:40] — Gold is primarily used as a hedge against inflation. When inflation is high, big institutions shift to gold, but they return to equities when inflation subsides. - **Why Gold Underperforms Equities** [03:25] — Historically, gold does not perform as well as equities over the long term. After a rally, gold tends to stagnate for 4-5 years, whereas equities can continue to grow. - **Diversification Strategy** [04:50] — The guest advises that during a sideways market, investors should look for other investment options and diversify their portfolio, using gold as a hedge rather than a primary investment. - **Nifty 50 Prediction: 30,000** [05:22] — The guest predicts that the Nifty will definitely reach 30,000 in the next few years, citing that the current market is in a stock base and a huge move is expected when it rises. - **Market Corrections and Rallies** [06:08] — The guest explains that market corrections of 15-20% are normal, and after such corrections, rallies can turn into 100-200% booms. The current situation is similar to post-Covid times. - **Equity vs. Mutual Funds Explained** [08:13] — The guest clarifies that equity refers to buying and selling stocks directly in the market, while mutual funds involve investing in a portfolio managed by professionals who analyze and suggest stocks. - **Recommendation for New Investors** [10:03] — For those entering the market, the guest recommends investing in Nifty 50 stocks, which are top companies with lower risk, and emphasizes the importance of confidence in the asset. - **Gold vs. Business: The Need for Analysis** [11:57] — The guest compares buying gold to starting a business, noting that gold requires no analysis, but a business (or stock) requires understanding the company, its potential, and its operations. ### Conclusion The episode concludes that while gold is a safe and easy asset for hedging against inflation, equities, particularly Nifty 50 stocks, offer greater growth potential for investors willing to do proper analysis. The guest encourages a diversified approach, using gold as a hedge and equities as a primary growth vehicle. ## Transcript What would be the best opportunity for me, sir? Whatever everyone's mindset is right now, let's . That's not wrong. Even if I own gold, it's still an alternative to that. You can buy gold freely. But from an investor perspective, if you ask me, should everyone buy gold? if you look at the history, silver always stagnates after completing a cycle . Gold will also give a rally that goes to a certain range. Once the rally ends, it So my expectation is that Nifty will definitely go up to 30,000 in the next few years. I have 30,000 in the next few years. I have How can you have confidence in gold? Similarly, if you know that a company is a good company and next 10 or 20 years. This market will be there. When I analyze the cyclical moments, it is almost certain. [Music] So what is the most likely range for gold in the [Music] So what is the most likely range for gold in the next 4 years? Maybe 2030 or so? From 3600. welcome to Voice of Traders. We have many doubts and questions about the markets. welcome them and get into the show. Hello, sir. Sir, if you look at the last couple of years, there has been a good rally in gold. Even range, and many people are suggesting things like that. Now, I think whether I am save and invest my money, sir. What would be the sir? If you're looking at gold right now, there's an important point to note in the recent rally that a decision was made by the people this year is a huge improvement from last year? If you compare gold and silver, silver, which was trading at almost 100-110, If you look at gold, we have a market trial from 8000 to 9000 to 16000 . So, what is everyone's mindset now? Let's sell it, that's not a mistake. Whatever gold is to me, it is an gold is to me, it is an You can buy gold freely. But from an investor perspective, if you ask me, should everyone buy gold? No. There are different classes of asset classes to gold used for? It's for inflation. When there is high inflation, all the big institutions will automatically shift to gold. You will go to gold but when come back to equities. Why do you consider leaving this rally now? You are 10 years out of date, 20 years out of date. If you you will see that gold does not perform as well as equity. Why does gold not perform as well as equity? If you look at silver, everyone has If you look at history, silver always completes a cycle and then stagnates. Gold will also go in a range. A rally will be held. . It will almost stagnate after 4 to 5 years. Even now, Gold has returned and that face is gone. I think the rally is completely done okay. As for what I'm looking at, based on , the almost rally is coming so most likely gold's range . For the next 4 years, the price of gold is probably around 2030, around 2030, from 3600 to 5600. It is within this 2000 that you have a chance of getting gold and staying for the next four years If you look at this as a rally, my expectation is that this range will be this much, and the travel within this range. So now go back to gold and buy it. rally from there. It is better to back to 5600 and turn around from there again? When this rally of cycles is over, people will get stuck. So at this time, when a market sideways starts, we should look for investments and more over that inflation. You can hedge an amount and diversify. It's not wrong, because I'm not saying you shouldn't buy gold. our allocation and diversify it. It will be better then, where will everyone turn to next option? Equities are the ones that will boom Now, for the past 2 years, gold has given you heavy momentum. If you look at the Indian markets, Nifty did not perform well. because the US SM 500 broke all-time highs and market did not perform that much but that does not mean that it is not going to stock base, when the market rises, it will be a huge move, so my expectation is that Nifty will definitely come and go up to 30,000 in the next few years. My go up to 30,000 in the next few years. My Okay, so those who invested in a Covid time you think there is a similar situation now, where we can there a similar situation now, now that Covid time has come and now there are some small changes, but what happens is that the pandemic comes to almost 40-50% comes, and Nifty comes The crash from that peak was a big one, but now the Nifty has crashed. You can actually see that the top is a 15-20% max correction. The Nifty has made this correction within that 15-20% rally. So you always have a 40%, 50% rally. When you get a correction, the rally also comes and becomes a 100%, 200% boom. But when we have to give 20%, 15%, there is a rally like that, but if we almost had an all-time high like a speed because expect that much power now. But the reasonable is 30,000 because 30,000 is very reasonable. This is almost 20% from 26,000. 31,000, okay, so I'm expecting that this is the Doctor, okay, we are trarava, we teach people the market? What are the information behind this? What are the charts? So we have been teaching many things like this . If you look at the trade path, So, classes start every Monday in all the franchises within Tamil Nadu Classes start every Friday when I arrive in Bangalore. If you're watching from Malaysia, we'll are starting for me. In case you can't come to France, we also have online classes. If you're watching the online classes, we'll have online classes coming up on July 31st. So incase you can't come directly, attending our classes. From Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, many other countries, we have online classes in Tamil. They are are taking it. So incase you are thinking of joining it, call our number and ask for all the details. So when we people have misunderstandings. There is equities? Why does a common man know that? Sir, okay, now when we talk about many people can get confused with mutual funds and equity. Equity is pure stocks. Okay, one. Stocks are bought and sold in the equity market. If you go there and see that terminology, let's call it equities. If you buy and sell like debentures. Now let's say government bonds. If come to you and give you a fixed annual percentage. So equities are buy those stocks yourself, you are case, you are an investor. Instead, they analyze which stocks I can invest in and suggest them to you. They That's called mutual funds. In mutual funds there will be traders so people confuse mutual funds with equity actually equity general market stocks where you buy stocks you buy you sell you call it as equities market mutual funds no I am direct those who do it ourselves some time there are also those who do trade ourselves investors they invest themselves Warren Buffett you have seen investor he does not go forval he knows ok so n't have big confusion like that sir I will go to jeweller I want gram I'll ask if you ask if it's a jewel, I'll buy you all the designs you want. What are some C Gold is a very easy asset, as you said. Because go up . Equities are not like that. My suggestion to those who want to enter the market is to go for the Nifty 50 stocks. If you Nifty 50 stocks. If you take a lot of risk in the top companies. If you buy and invest in good companies, like we buy and invest in our gold, there think about it now. You buy a gold coin, go to the daily market, buy it, put it in the bank, go to the No, I'm buying it for my daughter, I'm buying it for my son. We talk like this. But if you buy a stock, you just go to the daily market and look at the monitor and think about whether it will go up even if it goes up a little. It shows a lack of confidence in the asset. Munger, and all these people like them The value of that can only go so far . They saw the business. Just like there is confidence in gold, if you know a company is a good company and invest in it, then you don't have to worry about whether This company has potential. What are they doing? What kind of business are they in? Once easy. Then, as you said, I just put it in an investment without knowing anything, and I'm do it knowingly. Now that we answer you gave me, Sir, has made many things clear to me. Sir, has made many things clear to me. know that there is a time when equities are also an important asset to consider. But equities are understandable. It will take a little time or a process like that. Definitely. Now, you can compare equities with gold. Because gold is not a commodity. It is a material metal. If you buy it, it will go up. So, there is no analysis. It is just for confidence and faith. If we come to gold, we will go up. If we come to gold, we will go up. If we plan ahead. We need to have some time on that. So, if this comes, a business, now can you compare gold and a business now I've decided that I can go and open a tea shop. . I want to set up a tea shop here for ten lakhs and a stall for one. How can I compare both of them? I have put 10 lakhs in this too. I am confident in this. Will it work or not? I know how to outsource, how to make good, flavorful tea, how to do marketing, there are so many things. So, in the same way, business is related. Stocks are stocks of existing companies, and then I know how to start a new business. No, I have money, I invest in those who have already done so. . That's what the stock market is for . So that's how we get into Someone must have done something good for me back then. Now the Tata Groups have come and are performing well Do you know how many years they've been around since our Tata era? So So grow . So, I really need to analyze this a bit. This is not a faith paste like gold Tata Company . Where is Ambani going? But even so, it will be better if we do a little proper analysis and invest . Okay. Thank you very much, sir. You have explained the markets, equities in a way that people can understand . Thank you, sir. Thank you. So, I'll meet you all again on another episode of Voice of Traders. Thank you until then.