--- title: 'Nifty Prediction and Sensex Analysis for Monday, July 27, 2026 | Saste Options' source: 'https://youtube.com/watch?v=UGGSIKzJrKo' video_id: 'UGGSIKzJrKo' date: 2026-07-26 duration_sec: 530 --- # Nifty Prediction and Sensex Analysis for Monday, July 27, 2026 | Saste Options > Source: [Nifty Prediction and Sensex Analysis for Monday, July 27, 2026 | Saste Options](https://youtube.com/watch?v=UGGSIKzJrKo) ## Summary In this video, the speaker provides a detailed analysis of Nifty for the upcoming Monday, focusing on key support and resistance levels, option premiums, and the concept of value price. He emphasizes avoiding breakouts and instead waiting for premium to reach value prices for potential 2x gains. ### Key Points - **Market Overview** [00:02] — Market shows slight uptick but still trading below base. Decisive place. - **Make or Break Level** [00:41] — Level 23787 is critical; above it could go up 100 points. - **Support and Resistance Levels** [01:23] — Base level at 23600.40, two key levels: 23600 and 23880. - **Premium Analysis** [02:01] — Looking at premiums of 23,800 and 23,900; breakout failures can give opportunities. - **Put Option Strategy** [03:46] — Put of 23500 at ₹24; breakdown below ₹12 signals opportunity. - **VIX Increase** [04:57] — VIX increased by 4%, indicating potential volatility. - **Value Price Importance** [05:12] — It's crucial to know at what price to take a strike; public often buys at wrong prices. - **Value Price Leads to 2x** [05:51] — When premium reaches value price, it typically goes to at least 2x. - **Real Purpose of Option Trading** [07:39] — Capture premiums that go 2x or 3x, not just 10-15 points scalping. ### Conclusion The key takeaway is to focus on value prices for option premiums and avoid chasing breakouts. Understanding support and resistance levels combined with premium behavior can lead to profitable trades. ## Transcript Monday. The Dons showed a slight uptick. The chances of gap up are being high but nothing like that is visible. One thing you have to understand here is that we are in a very decisive place and here we are still trading below the base. So if the market goes downwards then we may see a good opportunity which we have to pay attention to here. As our false breakdown area was around premium of the call of Rs 23800 was thing you have to note is that it is not necessary that the premium of the call itself can be 2x here. There are full chances that if the market falls from here, then we may if the market falls from here, then we may see, there is a level mark here, friends, which is 23787. This is a make or break level, friends. If closing is seen above this then it is go up by another 100 points. But friends, this level is a very important level and it is very important to understand this level. It very important level and it is very important to understand this level. It you all should understand one thing that this green candle which is visible in front of us, the value of this green candle is very important for us. And cutting this low means going below this low means that the market can go down further. So here if we understand the premiums, we will know which premiums we have to work on. Before that, it is important to understand how far the market can go. Look, first of all we will see that this base level is around 23600.40, let us assume it to be safe and if it goes above then we know that brother 23880, these are the two levels on which we have to pay special attention. The chances of breakout failure will give us the biggest opportunity because you all know that on the CE side the premium increases slowly. Right? If it moves slowly, then what happens is that the movement is not captured very well. If it opens higher first, the premium increases slowly. Like here, if it first goes down and then comes up, the premium increases well. So here if you notice that if we look at any premium, if we look at the premium of 23,800 or 23,900, then you will see that the that we see a breakout here But again it goes below ₹100. So we know then we have to take special care that it does not get trapped here. Secondly, if it already starts going below 64-65, then trading should be done in it only when it again comes above 75 and starts trading. Otherwise it will be risky. Ok ? I have made a video in a friends members channel. As you all know, gradually I keep putting all the strategies there. So if you go here, you will see that this is a member above a master candle, this is for basic members. In fact, everyone can see this. So here there is a complete concept of a master candle. And this actually changes how you trade. So all the members must go and watch this. And if you start working on this, then I think the problem of your big losses or big stop losses will get solved automatically and you will start knowing where you are, where you are in the trend, how soon you have to exit, how long you have to sit. You will know all this from this master candle concept. So go and see it. I am telling you this now because many people do I will tell them here so that they can go and check it. Ok? So if you Ok? So please is very important. Meaning, the more I emphasize on this, the less it is. And I have put the link of this video in the first comment in the comment section. So you can go and see it there. From there, the members can also access it directly. Right? So take a look at that. Got the call of 23,900 ? If it comes out below this then we know that it can only go down. Now let us look at the put and if we want, we can also look at the put very out of the money. If we look at the put for once, let us consider the put of 23500. Running at ₹24. Ok? You should keep one thing in mind on this. If we look at this put of ₹24, we will So what happens if we get a little bit of a gap up ? This put of ₹2,500 will give us the breakdown. Ok? Whether this breakdown comes at eight or at 12, it will give a breakdown and it will start moving from here. So when it starts moving from here, there will be only one breakdown anywhere below ₹12. Two will not come. Only one will come even if it comes below ₹12. It may come from here or from further down. ₹6, ₹4, ₹5, ₹8 may come anywhere. But only one breakdown will comes from here and starts coming out from here, then we can see a very good opportunity in this also. Hey brother, if the premium of ₹6 becomes 10, 12, 14, then it is a huge value creation in itself. Ok? So we will take care of this here. Ok? Both are levels where we can because the market trend has just started going downwards. If it goes down further, you know that VIX will increase. As you can see, VIX has increased by 4%. So if VIX increases, And as I tell you guys, it is Firstly, it is important to know where we should not get trapped. Secondly, it is important to know at what value and price we have to take a strike price. Ok? It is also very important to know that there is a strike price, like we just talked about 23500, then at what value price will you start looking at it. Now what the public does is that they go and buy things at any price and what happens in such a situation is that the price they have never come back again. Scalping is a different thing. Scoring a few points is a different thing. You can withdraw it anywhere. But as you saw in the previous video, whenever the value price comes, whenever the value price comes, just like the value price came in this. see price action at the value price, then that premium we have seen as per the records as per the strategy that premium goes towards at least 2X. Ok? So if you look at and understand the value price, you will see a lot of good work being done. Ok? 23,500 you guys have seen it. If you want, you can look at 23,600 and the value price of 23,600, friends, we can consider it at two places. Ok? First of all, if the level of ₹22 gets reclaimed again, then we will look at it here and by chance there is a big gap up opening, then what will we do with this also, what will we do with this also, seen in this premium around ₹14, then we will look at it, if we want to trade 23500, then we will keep an eye on that, okay, but we will look at this, even if the market opens a little flat from here, even if it opens a little gap up, then also the gap down becomes a big gap down, so then we know that if by chance it goes above ₹56, then we will look at a continuation. Ok? If a big gap down opens, that is, the market opens at 23700, 23650, then in that case, if this happens to us, then in that case, we will do a simple bounce, pullback and continuation from here. Otherwise these are two levels. The level at which we have to work in the put. I will give you the review again in the call. Ok? Pick up any call. Which one did we pick? Pick any one, 700, 800, 900. Pick up 700. Ok ? So what do you have to keep in mind in this also ? So what do you have to keep in mind in this also ? If the bounce comes from here. Ok? So But if it comes below this again then we know that we will not trade it on breakout here. Whether you take 800 or 900, not trade on breakouts. This breakout will come, we will not trade on this breakout. Ok? If we have to see it, then we will see it from the lower level only. Ok? You can definitely get a scalping opportunity from here in which you can definitely get 10-15 points but that is not our purpose to take out only 10-15 points. Ok? Our purpose is to tell such a premium whose value appreciation at least shows its premiums increasing quite well. 10-15 points can be taken out anywhere. But the real purpose of option trading is to capture such premiums which go towards 2x or 3x in case of big moves. Ok? So for that you should work at value price only. Ok? So do subscribe to the channel if you are new because you will get to know about the premiums here. If you choose the right premiums, you will get good results. If you do not choose the right premium, you will fail again and again. And your expectation is that yes brother the premium should go in my favor. He will not be able to come. Because you are choosing the wrong premium. If you choose the wrong premium, it may not react the way you expect it to. Ok ? So keep in mind friends and we will meet in the next video and as I told you all the members, please go and watch this video which we have just uploaded, this master candle video is very important. Ok? Take care. All the best. See you in the next video. [Music]