--- title: 'Good Morning Market | Live Analysis | June 24, 2026 | Stock Market, Dollar, Stocks and Indices | 8:30 AM to 9:45 AM' source: 'https://youtube.com/watch?v=7JBh_kh3g3M' video_id: '7JBh_kh3g3M' date: 2026-07-27 duration_sec: 3310 --- # Good Morning Market | Live Analysis | June 24, 2026 | Stock Market, Dollar, Stocks and Indices | 8:30 AM to 9:45 AM > Source: [Good Morning Market | Live Analysis | June 24, 2026 | Stock Market, Dollar, Stocks and Indices | 8:30 AM to 9:45 AM](https://youtube.com/watch?v=7JBh_kh3g3M) ## Summary This is a live market analysis broadcast from June 24, 2026, hosted by André Moraes along with analysts Paco Mur, Túlio Montes, and Guilherme Blegon. The show covers Brazilian and global market movements, technical analysis of indices, dollar, commodities, and a detailed discussion of a structured product for Itaú shares. ### Key Points - **Opening banter and market context** [01:07] — The hosts start with casual talk about Cristiano Ronaldo vs Messi before transitioning to market analysis. They note the market went up yesterday and suggest a potential bottom on the daily chart around 174,250. - **World markets overview** [04:08] — Global markets are calmer after a sharp drop; US markets were down 2.5% yesterday. Brazil is more commodities-focused and can decouple from US tech sell-offs. COPOM minutes were released with a mixed tone, pushing inflation target to early 2028. - **Upcoming data and current futures** [06:32] — Key data: US new home sales at 11:00 AM, oil inventory at 11:30 AM. Asia mixed, Europe mostly negative. US futures near flat after yesterday's drop. DXY (dollar index) continues to appreciate, breaking above 10,000. - **Commodities under pressure** [07:52] — Gold is melting down, nearing $4,000 support not seen since November 2025. Precious metals weak. Brent crude at $75.10, WTI at $71.46, both falling. Iron ore underwater. - **Interest rate expectations** [09:13] — US interest rate futures show 35% probability of a rate hike in July. The VIX fear index falls 2.70%. Brazilian stocks: Bradesco -0.58%, Itaú -0.77%, Petrobras -0.35%, Vale -0.48%. EWZ pricing in a gap-down open. - **Technical analysis: DXY and Dow Jones** [10:13] — DXY broke through resistance at 10,000 and eyes target at 103,800. Euro is falling to levels not seen since August 2000. Dow Jones is stuck in a range, support at 51,680. - **Nasdaq and S&P weakness** [11:36] — Nasdaq fell sharply and is trying to hold, target around 28,700. S&P 500 also suffered due to tech exposure. Bitcoin trading sideways, up 0.37%. Gold close to losing $4,000; if broken, next support at $3,890. - **Dollar vs Real and index outlook** [13:13] — USD/BRL rising 0.39%, suggesting a gap-up for dollar and slight gap-down for index. Iron ore rising may support Vale and help EWZ reverse. - **Dollar intraday levels** [15:11] — Dollar has support at 5,186 and resistance at 5,200. Break below targets 5,171; break above targets 5,225. - **Index technical view** [16:10] — Ibovespa showing respect for support at 174,000. Upside target at 175,330. If that breaks, potential for further rally. Downside break below 174,000 opens 173,400 and lower. - **Swing trading strategy** [18:47] — Host prefers to wait for a bullish pivot on the 60-minute chart before buying. Mentions a 'flow diffuser' indicator that signals potential trend reversal when fast line crosses above average line. - **Itaú day trade and 'furafila' setup** [22:24] — Highlighted Itaú as a day trade opportunity with a 'furafila' setup: bullish pivot on 60-min chart breaking above moving averages. Targets previous highs. - **Structured product for Itaú (fence)** [25:18] — Guilherme Blegon presents a long-term fence structure for Itaú: participates in upside up to 38% (capped at 16%) but has 15% downside protection. Suitable for those wanting safety margin. - **Other stock analyses** [34:40] — BBDC4: potential entry at R$18.23 if pivot forms. Alpargatas (ALPA4): buy on breakout above R$13.65 with stop below R$13. BMGB4: long position entered at R$5.23, stop at R$4.90, targets R$5.56 and R$6.22. B3S3: not yet buyable, wait for pivot above averages. - **Host becomes B3 influencer** [41:08] — André announces he has become an official influencer of B3 (Brazilian stock exchange), a personal achievement. He plans to record his first visit to the trading floor. - **Automation of strategy portfolio** [45:43] — Within two months, the Strategia Timing portfolio will be automated with XP, allowing clients to auto-follow recommendations. Currently 10% allocation per signal. - **BMGB4 position update** [50:18] — BMGB4 is up 2.49% after entry at R$5.23. Stop loss at R$4.90, partial exit R$5.56, final target R$6.22. - **US tech stocks: Apple and Netflix** [52:21] — Apple is trending up but at all-time high resistance; buy only above $80. Netflix (NFLX34) is in downtrend; not ideal for buying now. Best to wait for a break of recent bottom to consider shorts. - **Closing remarks and final bias** [53:48] — Host concludes with a bullish bias on futures index, prefers to sell dollar at higher levels, and watching Bitcoin for a potential short. Thanks viewers and promotes Strategia Time portfolio. ### Conclusion The live broadcast provides a comprehensive technical analysis of Brazilian and global markets, with specific entry/exit levels for stocks and indices. It also introduces a structured product for Itaú with downside protection, and announces the host's new role as a B3 influencer and upcoming automation of the strategy portfolio. ## Transcript Starting another Good Morning Market on this beautiful rainy morning of June 24, 2026. Cristiano Ronaldo. The first round is over, right? He's not the same anymore, 41 years old and all that, I don't know what you mean, you know? We get annoyed because every now and then a hater shows up to talk badly about us, right? People thought Cristiano Ronaldo was finished with football, but then he did you like it? I thought it was great because it shut all the haters up. So, [laughs] the guy [clearing throat] is really , André. That's it . That's it. Hey Paco, what did you think, man? They're comparing you to Cristiano Ronaldo, André, did you know that? Saying that the older you get, the better you get, and so on. So what that guy does is a joke, man. I really like Cristiano Ronaldo. I prefer Cristiano Ronaldo to Messi. That's when the fighting starts. We're going to start like this, understand? Good morning, everyone. Good morning, folks. Good morning. Good morning. Now, if you'll excuse me for a minute, let's discuss this, shall we? Well, I think Messi is much more brilliant, right? Now there's something brilliant at practically anything I've done in my life, have I? Now, when I put in a lot of effort, when I really behaved myself quite a bit, the result was, right? And I ended up reaping good things. Cristiano Ronaldo, in my opinion, is the guy who has Ronaldo, in my opinion, is the guy who has prepared himself the most for football in history, right? In other words, he also won because of his talent, because you can't say he isn't talented, right? But mainly because of the effort. And that way, the story becomes much more beautiful, right? That's why I admire Cristiano Ronaldo even more than Messi. It's OK? Let's go. Uh, I'm selling a coaching course right now, it costs R$428. [laughs] Then deposit it into my account and everything will be fine, okay? Now I'm going to talk about the market. Let's go. Well, the market market. Let's go. Well, the market went up yesterday. Uh, I think that's what I went up yesterday. Uh, I think that's what I said in class yesterday, okay? I'm thinking we might have hit rock bottom. And of course, what I think is that five bucks gets you a 600ml Coke at the bakery, okay? But anyway, I does what I'm predicting, I'll want to take advantage of it. Well, I think we hit a bottom on the daily chart. If that hit a bottom on the daily chart. If that happens, uh, starting at 174,250, we'll pivot on the 60-period chart and we'll start thinking about the market in a different way. Until that happens, pay close attention, especially since tomorrow has been a great day, right? The IPCA 15 here in Brazil is based on American inflation data, so not much will be resolved overnight, OK? Okay? Well, the world is a little calmer today than it was yesterday. For those of you who don't remember, right? Yesterday at this time, the American market was down 2.5%, the NASDAQ was down 1.5%, and the SP500 was down, okay? Today things are closer to a 0-0 draw, but to talk about that, I'll call upon Paco Mur, the man with the beautiful quiff. Look there, look. Come on, Paco. Tell us about this Come on, Andrezão. Let's understand what's happening at the very beginning of this happening at the very beginning of this trading session. That little market there is pretty crazy, isn't it? And one thing we talked about yesterday, I don't remember if I said this what I did say is this: you have to understand that Brazil is not the United States, that while there's so much that I'm going to show you, what 's falling is the technology stock market, right, NASDAQ and obviously SNP, which also has a lot of technology involved. Here in Brazil, we are a country much more focused on commodities. And if we have a valley rising sharply, if we have a rock rising sharply, even if the banks are buoyant, we can go completely in the opposite direction from what's happening in the world. And that's what happened. The banks went up, Petrobras went up, everything that opened with a gap down, then gained strength, ended up pulling upwards, okay? Another important detail from Brazil yesterday was the release of the COPOM minutes , right? Well, and then there was a kind of mixed tone, okay? It's a kind of " bite and blow" situation. They did give signals that they closed the door to any acceleration of interest rate cuts. Well, in other words, they're not going to cut interest rates rapidly, since everything is rapidly, since everything is unpredictable, the data is unpredictable, the data is very uncertain, and inflation is still unpredictable. And another bad factor is that they pushed the inflation target, which was originally set for 2027, to the first quarter of 2028. So if they 're postponing hitting the target until 2028, it means we could indeed see inflation at slightly higher levels for a while longer, okay? Today, at 11:00 AM, we'll have new home sales data from the United States, which could bring some volatility. At 11:30 there's oil inventory , and anything related to oil that can cause volatility can also happen, okay? From then until now, it's more about these data points that can bring a look at what's have Asia, which has been working on a more mixed terrain, one going this way, another that way. Europe is currently experiencing a decline, with Germany falling by 1.20%. I have the UK and France going up. So it's also kind of in mixed territory with more negatives than positives in Europe at the moment . Already in America, and the SNP rises, there. And Jones is down a little, nothing too drastic, very close to 0-0 after a sharp drop, almost 3% yesterday. The dollar index (DXY) continues to appreciate. The dollar broke through an been talking about, I'll show you in a moment. And it continues its climb towards the movement's target , okay? So, with a 0.2 increase, we have a stronger dollar. And when we look at it, compare this dollar to gold, gold is melting down, folks, it's getting very close to losing 4,000. I'll show you that in a moment on the chart, but it's a point it hasn't lost since November point it hasn't lost since November 2025. Gold has been falling by 2%, and all precious metals have been losing strength. Petrobras' BR-type crude oil also falls by 75 per barrel. And WTI is already at $71 a barrel. Iron ore this morning at the port of Dalia underwater. Wait a minute . And what's the price of WTI? And how much is Bren? For how much is Bren? For WTI it's $71.46 WTI it's $71.46 and for brandy it's $7510. heaven. It's step by step, kid. Yeah, I don't know if you guys remember, right? But Buleg and I were talking here about a structure that was betting on the fall in oil prices, right? Exactly. Finally, it was used. I remember that, okay? Regarding interest rates in the US futures market, long- also close to zero, while short-term rates have risen slightly. So we also have a US interest rate there working kind of haphazardly, in a real mess. Well, what this shows is the US interest rate , 35%, betting on an interest rate hike now for July. So, we already have an upward trend in the prospect of interest rate hikes in the United States at the next meeting. SNP, at this moment, SNP VIX, the Fears index falls 2%, 2.70. Bradesco, 0.58, Itaú is down 0.77, Itaú is down 0.77, Petrobras is down 0.35, and Petrobras is down 0.35, and Vale is currently down 0.48. With all this, our index, the EWZ traded abroad, is down 0.44 at the moment, pricing in a [clearing throat] gap- down opening today. Looking at the currencies that have appreciated the most, the US dollar is followed by the US dollar and the Canadian dollar. Who falls the most? New Zealand dollar, followed by the Swiss franc and the British pound. Let's take a look at the graph to understand what's happening in this big, big world. Starting with DXY. Look, there he is! [snoring] DXY went to Alvito, guys, managed to break through that structure, that 10,000 barrier, and then he was gone. My primary target for the movement is right where Dxy is. And if it passes, it opens up a target of 103,000 for the 103, okay? 103,800, which would be a resistance region a little higher up. Who's going to get screwed over with the dollar rising? The euro. The euro has been falling into a kind of downward spiral, losing some of its net gains, something that hasn't happened since August 2000, that hasn't happened since August 2000, and it's likely to pull down a little further now. Open target at 1:12. Looking at Dal Jones here, man, Dalzinho is something else too. What a mess he's making here. It almost looks like a marshmallow barbecue that you put on a skewer. It's right up here. No, it ca n't fall, but it can't go up either. They keep leaving these electric fence patterns here. Well, let's see. There's plenty of support here at 51680, where buyers are trying to stay present. Remember that the D fell yesterday, then came back. Yeah, he was the guy who suffered the least yesterday. Now look at Dak. He took the lollipop and pushed it down, then it fell firmly. Nasdak is now trying to hold on a little, but still has a target around the 28th with the 700. The SNP, the SNP 500, also suffered because it has many technology-related stocks on its exchange, and as a result, it lost strength along with the Nasdak. Hold on a little bit at this moment too. The liquid bit, the Bitico Laco is over there working sideways. For now, working sideways. For now, at this moment it's up 0.3. 37 after falling yesterday, Orito is taking a beating, he's thinking about losing those 4000 regions. So he's getting very close to a support point, crowd. And if we lose those little regions around 4000, I see the gold coming in at 3890, okay? Something that hasn't happened here since okay? Something that hasn't happened here since November 2025. But November 2025. But Brent crude oil has already arrived at the Black Arrow, it's right here . At this point, for those who don't know, Black Arrow is a black hole. And now it might come down here to close the gap that's near 73 and 30. Oil is losing strength, okay? The 10-year US interest rate cooled down a bit yesterday , failing to break above the 4500 range, and is now hovering around 4470. So we have a cooling of interest rates, which is good for the equity market. And lastly, but no less important, our Real versus the dollar, which at the moment is continuing to falling 0.39, which suggests a possible opening, including an upward gap for the dollar and even a small downward gap for the index, okay? Although there are things here in iron ore going up and Vale going down, okay? I believe we can have a turnaround here at Vale. It's falling here, but soon it'll start falling here, but soon it'll start pulling upwards, and this EWZ here will also start to cool down in that fall and open up again with an upward gap, okay? But for now, in one scenario, if we follow exactly what EWZ is doing, I believe in a small gap-down opening, nothing too drastic for the index, and a small gap- up for the dollar. Mr. André Moraes, how's it going? Yes, it's "buraco" (hole) in English, which I didn't quite understand. It's a black arrow. Black hole arrow. It's an arrow, okay? Oh there. I understood. No, not now, [laughs] dude. No, now I understand. No, okay. Now it's very well explained. I think that's what you were wondering about, right? No, okay. Now it's a no, because we're learning as we go, right? So, culture, right? Culture. Besides everything else, black roll, roll, roll, right? H o L e, né? He spoke. It's the "É" because it brings everything together, you understand? That's because mine is British, it's the Texan one, so sometimes it's hard to understand. I understand, I understand. Okay, then. Oh, oh, oh, oh, Túli, help me forget about that episode from a little while ago where you were okay? Come on, André. Starting here with the Come on, André. Starting here with the dollar and oops, it didn't work. Wait a minute. Let's go. Ready. Let's do a macro analysis here first. Well, we were talking about this point yesterday, right, the 5200. And it got to this point here, which we discussed. I'm going to zoom in now and put it up to 5 minutes. Just look. And he showed put it up to 5 minutes. Just look. And he showed great respect for that region. And what did he do here just now, folks? He left a support here, at 5186, and a resistance at 5200. So, he needs to break through one of these two extremes, okay? If it breaks below 516, it has a target here at 5171, which is a support level and will also be the low of the previous day. And up here, if it breaks through 5200, we have a target of 5225. So, the two most important points for the dollar today are these: a break below 516 and an upward break above 5200. Perfect, understood. Let 's look at the index now, doing a macro analysis here. He showed respect down there . And, look, the target we talked about for the . And, look, the target we talked about for the index to rise, 175,330, 330 is heading towards that region. Let's zoom in here as well so our index continues to rise to the next target of 175,330. and down, it leaves a region here, which is the 174,000 mark, okay? If you lose that region of 174,000 balls. He's coming to test 173 test 173 e400. And folks, if you pass the 173 400, he has a target further down here. I strongly believe that this index can continue its upward trend, test this region, and break through, because once it breaks through this 75,330 level, it should move very well upwards here, André. These are the most important points go to the game. Dude, I'm rooting for you to be right about that. pack of stickers right here. Okay? Oh, I really need that to complete the Look, uh, if you guys keep getting it right, okay? I'll be giving you guys stickers here, okay? So, It's a misery, but it's okay. Let's go. Hey, you know why, man? Yeah, it's not easy to make money in swing trading with short selling, is it? Well, and of course, the first wave of decline, which was the wave we experienced with that intensity, it think it's just a correction. When you realize things are getting stronger than you imagined, a good part of the wave has already passed, right? I imagine that if we bottom out in that region and pivot from there, it will be much better for swing trading. But of course, the market doesn't have to respect my wishes, it has to do what it wants. [snoring] Guys, look, it's 8:50. Today I don't even want Paco to talk about anything else. I want to wish anything else. I want to wish you all a wonderful day of trading, okay? Go ahead and smash it in the living room. Uh, ah, I'm here, I'm thinking that today might be a good day. Come on, hopefully I'll get it right , okay? In short, it doesn't even need to go up to have good volatility. Beauty? So, Paco Mur Túlio Montes, thank you very much. Let me Thanks, Andrezão. Good morning. Good morning, everyone. May God be with you. Good luck with the trade, everyone. Buleganhudo. Let's go. I'm waiting for you. It cost. Hey everyone, good luck with your operations! Have a great day. Let's go to the game. Thanks, colleague. Goodbye. Goodbye. Thanks, right? Hey, let me show Thanks, right? Hey, let me show you my screen, everyone. Oh, ta-da! That's you my screen, everyone. Oh, ta-da! That's fine here. Beauty. Okay. Okay, let's go. Uh, uh, uh, uh, and I don't want it to sound crazy, because here's the thing, man, there's nothing wrong, that's okay, alright? At most, I'll buy something and I'll take a stop-loss order when that bottom is broken, right? What did we discuss with you all, right? Look, wait for the pivot point on the 60-minute chart before buying. That's when it started to fall. He tried to pivot, but couldn't. He tried to pivot, but couldn't. He tried to pivot, and we don't know if he'll be able to or not. If it doesn't work , and this goes down, the first support point is 159,314. first support point is 159,314. I'd rather find it, okay? Well, that's the downtrend, right? Well, the most likely scenario is a continuation of the trend. However, some signs are starting to emerge that this time it might be different, okay? Oh, André, but what are we going to do? Nothing, really, there's not much to do for now, okay? But if a signal of a breakout from that high comes, we might see, after a long time, a bullish pivot on the 60-minute chart, which will be the first symptom that something is changing. Come here with me to the 60-minute chart, okay? It comes from up there. What have we been talking about, man? It's falling, isn't it? It's falling. Beauty. Wait for it to form a bullish pivot on the 60-minute chart so we can start thinking about buying again. He tried here, failed, made a new attempt, fell, and came here. He tried here, failed, made a new attempt, fell, and came here. So now it tried again, it came to the previous bottom, it even broke by 1 mm, okay? So, in other words, we're going to call this a double background now, okay? And it's starting to go up again. Perfect, man. Just getting back up isn't enough for us , okay? It needs to start climbing again, right? and break through that peak. When that happens, we'll have a 60- minute chart, man, completely different from what we've had since April 14th, okay? Since today is June 24th, we're talking about 70 days, right? Well, now by studying, because that's the only way we change our convictions about certain things, right? You're looking and all you see is things falling. Damn, at some point this is going to change. I want to see this change as soon as possible , okay? I created an indicator called a flow diffuser, which shows me in advance, before the breakout of the top, the possibility of a trend reversal. Well, this signal appears when this red line, which is the fast line of the indicator, is above the average line of the indicator, which is this orange line. And the orange line, which is the average, is above the black line, which is exactly the long line of the indicator. This shows us that there's a strong possibility of a that there's a strong possibility of a trend reversal, okay? That's what trend reversal, okay? That's what we have at the moment. In other words, we have at the moment. In other words, for some assets I don't even need to wait for the Ibovespa confirmation to start thinking about entries, okay? Oh André, but which assets? Yesterday we talked about a lot of things . Okay? Including Itaú, okay? . Okay? Including Itaú, okay? Hey Itaú, look here! Hey, nicer that way, okay? Yesterday I did one hell of a day trade with Itaú, okay? And if it resets, then that's why it's here, uh, uh, when I say I did it, right? My clients did it, okay? [snoring] Yeah, yesterday, okay? So, forget about this, okay? This happened inside the room and stuff, it has nothing to do with you guys, okay? Yesterday we were talking about Itaú, which is like this , look. Itaú messed up, didn't it? Well, it came down below the moving average, right? I don't want to, I don't want to, I don't even want to do it here, okay ? But there's a setup we call " furafila," which says the following: when you have a bullish pivot happening above these averages, a bullish pivot on the 60-minute chart, okay? Which is what we have here, right? So what is this? It's a bullish pivot, okay? When we have a bullish pivot occurring on the 60-minute chart, and on the daily chart this pivot breaks through both moving averages, it's very likely that we'll have an upward movement, okay? At least come here and lick the previous tops, which is exactly the double top that's left here. And we've talked about this quite a bit in the past, remember? Look, the banks left a double-top sign , all of them, okay? BBAS didn't even reach the top, it reached it but didn't break through, and BBDC even made a triple top there, okay? Finally, this is where we look at the chart, right, and think about it and see if, of course, this thing called " furafila" works out, right, folks, for the moment of an upward trend, okay? It has been working very well. For example, Itaú was just here a little while ago, and look at that drop, right? It plummeted. Let's that drop, right? It plummeted. Let's go. the averages, went there to test the top, okay? So, this is the kind of movement So, this is the kind of movement we want to capture. And look, for me, this is the most beautiful role, okay? Well, today I wanted to talk a little more about it for those who want to try something beyond just swing trading, okay? For those who are seriously thinking about owning Itaú stock, okay? So I'm going to ask for two minutes of your time because I want to call Guilherme Blegon here to speak with us. Bulega, to speak with us. Bulega, good morning. Good morning, doctor. Are you alright, sir? Good morning, Flavião. before the market opened, André took a stop loss, man. How is that possible? [laughs] I said, "André called me, I couldn't see myself." I said, "Well Thanks, thanks, thanks. Okay, okay. Okay, so, yesterday we arrived, and I said, "Hey, for swing trading, the guys have already sorted it out, I've already sent it, I'll send it sometime, and so on." Yeah, and yesterday we had a ton of people going into SpaceX, right? Actually, since the call wasn't mine, I joined, my daughter Marília joined, my wife Lídia joined, we all joined SpaceX. Okay, so now we wanted to talk a little bit about this Itaú issue, okay? Well, this Itaú issue, okay? Well, basically, for those who are basically, for those who are to do, okay? Now, for the guy who's going to do it, let me put my screen back up, okay? He wants to, in a way, try something to turn things around, you know, and become a partner of Taú, right? Hey, did you prepare anything for us here? So, describe it. Let's go. Perfect, André. So, folks, for those who want to buy Itaú but are a little hesitant about the current stock market situation, or for those who want to buy Itaú but with a safety margin within their structure, you know, a little safety cushion, we've managed to put together a fence, a long-term one, an operation for one year, a fence where the client participates, buys Itaú shares, participates in the one-to-one rise Itaú shares, participates in the one-to-one rise up to 38% in the stock price, and if it exceeds 38%, the client is limited to 16%, right? This also surpasses the Selic rate for 1 year. And in a scenario of decline, it has a 15% safety cushion that doesn't disengage. Unlike some of the operations we've done, right? Well, that's crazy, there was a defense up to a certain point, if it touched that point it wasn't it touched that point it wasn't defended anymore. In the case of Fence, no, it literally has a bearish spread attached to the purchase of the stock that protects 15% of purchase of the stock that protects 15% of the entire drop. In other words, if the bond falls 15% or less, if it's devalued by 15% or less at maturity, the client at maturity, the client exits, right? 100% protected. If the stock is undervalued by more than 15%, it will only suffer the difference of the devaluation. In other words, it fell 20%, but the client only participates in 15%, a 5% drop, sorry. It fell by 25%, but the client only suffers a 10% loss. It fell 35%, but the suffers a 10% loss. It fell 35%, but the client only suffers a 20% loss. So, those 15 will always be there, precisely to defend the client. And one more thing, Andrezão, which is very important. In a scenario of devaluation, that is, the client bought Itaú now and on the maturity date the bond is devalued. No matter how much it is, the structure doesn't sell its automatic paper, okay? In other words, you won't immediately suffer a loss. What will happen on due date? The structure will return the 15% depreciation to your portfolio. And then you'll decide if you want to improve your average price, if you want to buy more, you know, other stocks, if you want to buy another put option, if you want to buy a call option to perhaps try to we managed to put together a structure that turned out really great. So, with this safety cushion in the defense strategy for Itaú, a good margin for participation in the upside, and a limit that we consider very adequate for the period. Wow, if it goes over 38% high, the client gets 16, which is 38% high, the client gets 16, which is above 1% of the CD. Well, the thing is, above 1% of the CD. Well, the thing is, man, Itaú isn't a small cap, right? For you to have more than a 38% increase, the Ibovespa needs to be soaring, yes, but soaring like, I don't know, like Elamusk's rockets, right? Perfect. Well, on the other hand, it's Itaú, right? In other words, if everything goes wrong, you're an Itaú shareholder and everything's fine, okay, man? Oh, that's a wonderful suggestion. Hopefully, we've passed this on to everyone correctly. And I just wanted to know if anyone liked the structure, and how to participate, okay? If anyone liked the design, feel free to contact us on WhatsApp, okay? I'll also ask Flavião to put our team's direct WhatsApp number here , okay? For those who don't have the contact information for the agency there, clients who already speak with their own advisor should contact their advisor. Clients who are already speaking with their equity trader should contact their broker, okay? But for those who are, well, it'll be there in a little while, I just do my operations, I don't talk much with the advisor, there's also a direct contact that goes through our advisory team here, you can call directly to get things done. It 's also important, Andrezão, that anyone who is already an Itaú shareholder can participate as well, okay? So, those who already have it in their portfolio can do it under custody; there's no cash outlay to set up this structure, okay? For those who aren't already customers, our WhatsApp number is below so you can get in touch. Let's go. Thanks, Andrezão. Let's show these operations. Let's make things Thank you very much for being here. Perfect. That's it, André. Thank you once again next time. That's it . That's it. Let's go, everyone. Let me take this away and I'll start talking. Tal mesa, just a minute with Whoa, whoa. Let me take the bulgegon off here, and I'll be ready. Okay. Uh, the futures index is open, okay, folks? Hey, this is from yesterday, okay? I'm going to talk about a structure we put together yesterday; in fact, we discussed purchasing here at this point, okay? And then we talked about buying on the breakout of this structure here, and it turned out to be good trades, okay? We 're opening now with a slight drop, 0.42. Uh [clearing throat] uh, I'll tell you guys upfront, okay? My buying point for the index is yes, I want to buy the index, it's right here, okay? If it comes below that line and crosses up, I'll buy it, okay? Otherwise, let it go up and then I'm out, okay? Okay, let's talk about the dollar, shall we? Tulio talked about these points that are here, okay? Guys, Because when I look down, you know, I realize there's a gigantic level of decline coming up, okay? If it comes down from this region here, okay? Or even in the event of a breach at that bottom. I just don't want to do that right now. I want to understand a little more about this strong dollar yesterday and today, even with the market going up, before even thinking about the trade, okay? And to finish up, let's take a look at Bit, okay? Bit, in my opinion, is in a region of high resistance, okay? So, for me, Bit, well, he's already broken through that point, okay? If he comes back here, I might even consider selling that guy's business in this area, okay? So, we're looking at these three, we're taking a look at these three. Let's see if any opportunities arise soon, and we can do the operations here together with you. Perfect. Okay , so I've already talked about Tub, let me talk about the other Bruips, right? Well, like I told you, I'm waiting for her to do what Itaú is already doing. I mean, he's an above- average pivot, right? Until that happens, you can raise it however much you want. I'm out, right? I don't I don't want to sell because it's still far from the average, and I'm not interested in buying either, okay? Well, it's worth three, uh, what we talked about yesterday, right? If the Ibovespa were in a beautiful upward trend, we would bet three on the breakout from this high here, because, wow, right? If everything is going up, if the Bovespa is going up, damn, there's a huge chance this will come to test the top of this consolidation. But for now, that's not what we have. So, for now, I don't want to do So, for now, I don't want to do anything with Vale either, okay? Uh, BBAS, uh, I'm do anything, like I showed you, it's in sales, okay? Why? Because BBAS is the weakest bank, I'm not going to want to buy something even weaker, okay? Hey André, how's it going? So, if it goes up, what do I do? If the price goes up, you can buy it, I don't know , there are some nice things, right? It has BMGB4, it has tub. BBDC will look beautiful soon tub. BBDC will look beautiful soon too, okay? BBAS needs to pivot far from that. We're going to be much more attentive to things like, what if the market crashes? Well, if the market falls, the weakest bank is BBAS, so we'll sell the weakest one and not even think about buying, okay? Finally, think about buying, okay? Finally, BBDC4, you know I'm really excited, right? Yeah, with BBDC4. We even proposed a structure like this tubing one for you, betting on BBDC coming to this region, okay? It hasn't happened yet. Yeah, but I hope it goes, okay? And if that happens, the point at which to consider entering the trade will be R$ 18.23, will be R$ 18.23, okay? Well, the steel industry continues its correction. GGBR even left a nice candle, okay? Yesterday, just another candle, right? One swallow doesn't make a summer, one candle alone. Unless we're in a really good position, okay? It's not very representative. Okay, so for now there's nothing to do, right? In Minas Gerais, it's the same thing. Yes, you need to create a pivot on the 60-minute chart. And CSNA3, as I've always said, has never had an upward trend, right? We never thought about buying. We could have considered selling, but we didn't, okay? Oh, that's a shame. If we had thought about n't think about it. So we decided to stay out of it, patience, okay? Eh, we're still out of CSNA3. So, let's go , shall we? Well, speaking of retail, Riachuelo, it's all there in terms of alphabetical scale, there's not much you can do and all that. Now you can make it in alpa, okay? Alpa 4, if it gains strength and breaks through this high here, it will break through the 60-minute chart pivot in a wonderfully beautiful way, in a wonderfully beautiful way, okay? So this is a buy option on a breakout above 1365 with a stop loss below R$13. Perfect. stop loss below R$13. Perfect. Partial balance at R$0.36, final balance at R$15.78. EG is pivoting on the 60- minute chart. I want to mark veg here, Okay, 46 46 and 27 is the entry point, the stop loss is 44 and 27 is the entry point, the stop loss is 44 and 34, a partial exit at 48.20 and a final exit at 5206, alright? These are the points for the vegetable, okay? Yeah, it's the same thing, it's making a pivot above the point we like, okay? So, uh, in BRAER, okay? okay? Well, there is a buying opportunity, it's Well, there is a buying opportunity, it's at 8109 with a stop at 76.47, at 8109 with a stop at 76.47, a partial exit at 85.71 and a final exit here at 94.95. You might ask me: "Hey, André, but until two weeks ago you were short on BRAER, short on Veg, But when I asked you here, you said it wasn't worth buying. That's said it wasn't worth buying. That's true, okay? That's true. And it's easy to weeks ago this guy had a downward trend. Now the trend is changing. And this ability, right, that the trader has to change his opinion from time to time is what keeps us alive, okay? There are things that we won't change our opinion on, right? For example, the political aspect, okay? It's very difficult and that's why I don't like to debate about is to make a right-wing person understand the arguments of the left and to make a left-wing person understand the [clearing throat] It's difficult after a certain point to Flamengo can do whatever it wants, it can tragedy if I didn't change teams because of that, right? Well, life has a lot of that, but in the market, what matters isn't my will, it 's the chart. When it changes, I need to change with it, okay? Because otherwise, well, I won't last long here, and I want to spend a lot of time looking at the chart here with you guys. Okay? Speaking of which, right? you guys. Okay? Speaking of which, right? I'm at the beginning, okay? Oh, André, but it's falling, I see. It's really falling, okay? Let it fall, let it, let it. If it falls, okay, everything's fine. Let the short sellers make we have to win. No, that doesn't make sense, right? Let the short sellers make money, there's no problem at all, okay? Now, if it goes up, then I'll want to buy, okay? If it goes down, everything's fine. Let them make money, they deserve it, okay? Now, if it goes up here, I'll want to buy, period. 515 stop. Let me put it here, see. Uh, at 090, partial 940 and final at 175 475. Perfect. Great. Let's go. Uh, know now. Is it over? No, no, okay, we have to continue. Ah, no, now from now on I want to answer your questions. Let me see here. Uh, Flávio is helping me today, look, marking it here. André, I'm short marking it here. André, I'm short on Cirela. What stops? Si 3. Cire 3. CR E3. Man, it's so simple to see this stop, okay? And, and it's a beautiful stock to be short, okay? I'm in love with Cirela. I don't have it buy it, okay? If we have a pivot here, I need to sell something of mine to have money. I'm out of capital, it's all invested. have money here to buy, among other things. For the long term. Timeframe. When I think it's the perfect time, okay? Now for swing trading, I agree that for now it's a sell, okay? Come here to the 60-minute chart. Look, if you sold here, okay? Your stop would be here. I think the stop remains here, okay? Above 22.70. It's no longer worth it, in my opinion, to continue the trade. Perfect. If it falls, great, okay? Uh, partial exit 19:33 and finally, let me show you, it's 16.13. Perfect. But above 22.70 I really wouldn't stay in the trade anymore. OK. Let's go. André, I'm thinking of buying B3, B3S3 for swing trading, right? I don't know, there are some things that I... I don't know if I can tell you, but I think I can now, because I've already signed up, right? Uh, I think I can tell you now, okay? Uh, I... I... since last week, okay? Uh, I I've become one of the influencers at B3, okay? And I say this with great pride, okay? Because at some point, 25 years ago, right? at some point, 25 years ago, right? My dream was to one day be able to go to a live trading floor and see it all running, okay? In a way, from now on, when I arrive at the entrance gate, I 'll put on a badge and be able to enter B3 without needing to be announced, okay? Of course, this has nothing to do with you guys, but it has to do with me, okay? It's an achievement that I really find very valuable. In addition, I 'll get a seal from B3 that simply says: "Hey, you 're starting in the market, and B3, the Brazilian stock exchange, thinks this guy is trustworthy, okay?" So, uh, maybe it's worth starting by listening to what he has to say, right? Well, anyway, it 's something that made me very happy. 's something that made me very happy. Yeah, and soon, okay? I'm going to record my arrival at B3, I'm going to record my arrival at B3. I want to click that little bell for the first time, you know? Well, it's like what we do when we go I'll want to share this with you guys, okay? Let's go. Okay, with that said, let's talk about B3, okay? Hey Gui, I don't think it's time to buy that paper yet, okay? both averages on the daily chart. Let's do something here. Let's hope he does what Tau did, okay? Oops, that's not the tool. Let's go. Let's hope he does what Taú did, okay? Wait for him to make a pivot, wait for B3 to make a pivot above those averages, okay? Because it's above those averages, like here, okay? It was low, then it pivoted upwards, so we went in buying, and you end up catching the best part of the trade, okay? and not the most complex part. The most complex part, right? When she's below average, she doesn't know what to do and so on, it's very difficult, okay? God forbid, wait for this to become clearer, and I think it becomes clearer above these becomes clearer above these moving averages. Perfect. André scored, any moving averages. Perfect. André scored, any sign of a comeback? No, okay? Oh, there's a little sign in Gerdal that's, we saw it there, I don't know what it's called, it's a little hammer and stuff, the same thing, anyway. But it's very little, okay? In other words, before considering a purchase, wait for a pivot point, okay? Hey, wait for a pivot, I think that makes more sense, okay? Well, it won't work. And so we can try this first, okay? Yes, you can repeat the name of the indicator. Yes. It's a flow diffuser. Type "flow diffuser" here, Type "flow diffuser" here, okay? He's going to show up here, When I made this indicator, I thought that machine from Back to the Future was called a flux diffuser, but it has another name, something about flux, right? And I named it a diffuser, and then I found out that a flow diffuser is something that goes on the hair dryer that women use, right? Well, I'd told everyone, it's now called a flux diffuser, okay? So the indicator is good, it's just the name that's wrong, okay? Let's go. André, could you analyze CP, CPLE, and CPLE A3 or A6? I never remember. I think it's number three, right? CPLE3, right? Wow, she looks beautiful, doesn't she? Listen to what I'm telling you here. The weather forecast expects to pivot above average. Look at this , isn't it beautiful? What is she doing? A center player who is above average. So, come here to the 60-period graph so we can mark the points, okay? Okay, let's go. It only goes above yesterday's high because it helps, okay? Hey, here, look, okay? yesterday's high because it helps, okay? Hey, here, look, okay? Okay, after 11, right? Buy at 158, Okay, after 11, right? Buy at 158, stop at 1421, partial exit at 15.95 and stop at 1421, partial exit at 15.95 and final exit at 1769. By the way, Flavião, I'm going to send you this thing , okay? Uh, 11 o'clock. want to add a little bit of it. Just a second here, folks. I need to send a second here, folks. I need to send Cal to Flávio, okay? Hey Cal to Flávio, okay? Hey Flávio, let's go. Control C, control V. Flávio, let's go. Control C, control V. Eh, 10%, okay? 10%. [cough] 10% of the capital, okay? Yeah, this goes into our timing strategy portfolio. By the way, you should know that in a very short time, you should know that in a very short time, okay? Well, I'll even give you a projection. Well, in less than 2 months, it will be automated with XP, meaning, these calls that we have in the Strategy Timing portfolio, you'll give an "I agree," like, "I want to participate in all the recommendations that André gives," and from then on, this will happen automatically, as if it dividend portfolio you have, something similar, okay? Okay, give me two months and it'll be ready, alright? Okay, let's go. Okay, let's go. IT SA 4 or ITube. Okay, man, the graphs are very similar, okay? So where do I go then? Where there's more liquidity, right ? And there's more liquidity in tubing, okay? That's why I preferred to go in there, That's why I preferred to go in there, okay? But that's all, that's all, man, very close, okay? Yeah, everything's very, very peaceful. It's OK. Oh, let's go . Then, about animation, okay? NIM TR is good. Anima is in a downtrend, and I had said that if by chance a candle appeared pointing upwards here, we could say: "Wow, Anima found support at a support point. We can think about buying." Man, I talked about it yesterday, okay? But it didn't work out, okay? It ended badly, right? It ended saying: "Look, I'm really weak." I don't think Eh, so I don't see what to do with Apple for now." Eh, let me see, Kepler. Okay, it's the same thing, right? It's in a downtrend. Eh, ah, André, but okay, it Okay, man. But let's go. There are much more obvious things than buying Kepler, right? So, I'm much more inclined to say this, man. If this slips and falls, we sell Apple below 6.30, okay? To try to catch a sell, but buying here, I think it's really not possible for now, okay? Eh, ah, let's go. André, you can analyze VBBR3 for buying, sure, right? Eh, no, I can analyze it, but not for buying yet , okay? Why? Because for me, it needs to do what I'm telling you here, okay? It's that little pivot above the averages, okay? So, to think about buying, you need a little more patience. Okay? Let's go. V 3. Vuk 3. Vook 3. Hey Let's go. V 3. Vuk 3. Vook 3. Hey , Márcio, it's not ready to buy yet, okay? Uh, for buying, uh, Vuk 3 has descending tops and bottoms, okay? If you like retail, okay? If you like retail, its sister, Alpa 4, okay? Alpargatas, uh, it's more ready, okay, it has a it's more ready, okay, it has a nicer chart at the moment. Okay. Uh, the, the, the Back to the Future was flux capacitor. And I don't know why, uh, flux capacitor. And I don't know why, uh, I thought of flux diffuser, okay? 's not, man, it's another name." So I typed flux diffuser. Do this, okay? Uh, want to see? Look, diffuser, okay? Uh, want to see? Look, diffuser, flux diffuser, okay? Uh, uh, that's cool, look. There's even a video teaching how to use the indicator, okay? But before, when uh, when I clicked here, it's a hair thing, look. See? Damn, now it's gone. Wow, look at all the videos about the indicator! Ah, here, look. This is the flow diffuser, for hair, you see? Uh, from Taif and stuff. Anyway, I already gave the name, everyone already so many videos, right, explaining how to use the indicator, right? I'm going to watch the video because who knows, maybe scalping with a flow diffuser. Wow, that's cool, man. Uh, to learn how to use the indicator . Are you crazy? I can't stand getting . Are you crazy? I can't stand getting angry anymore. BMGB4. Ah, BMGM4. We're positioned, okay? Let me show you what... positioned, okay? Let me show you what... Ah, guys, look, look. One fell here, you see? Uh, man, you're watching until now, it's almost 9:30, right? Don't subscribed to the channel, subscribe because we're really aiming to reach 350,000. Okay? Yesterday we grew by almost 400 new subscribers, okay? If we keep going like this, So, if you're not subscribed to the channel, hit that button and subscribe, okay? And let's move on to this guy here, okay? We're long on BMGB4, okay? At We're long on BMGB4, okay? At 5:23 AM, it closed the day at 5:36 AM, we're up 2.49%. Our stop loss is at R$0.90, the Our stop loss is at R$0.90, the partial exit is at R$0.56, and the final exit is at R$ partial exit is at R$0.56, and the final exit is at R$ 6.22. Okay? That's the condition here for BMG B4. Perfect. So, just keep going, okay? And the tech stocks in the United States... Rodrigues, uh, tell me one, okay? Uh, because there are tech stocks that are trending down, there are stocks that are trending up, there are stocks that are moving sideways, right? Uh, and as I up, selling what's going down, and forgetting all this nonsense about the whole world saying that tech stocks are going to crash, that the world is going to tech stocks are going to crash, that the world is going to end, and so on. These guys have been saying for 20 years that the American market won't crash, man. And they've been wrong for 20 years. One day they'll be right, okay? Uh, but don't pay attention to that, okay? Let them talk, right? Let's focus on making money. So, if you want me to look at any specific one, oh, that's great, okay? Uh, Di Minas, we've already talked about it, it's trending down, even trending up, going through a correction, uh, we need some stronger signal to think about trading. And then, uh, Apple, okay, tech stock. Apple is trending upwards, okay? Uh, it just hit its all-time high. I really respect that, okay? Because all-time highs are a place to bang your head against the wall, to suffer, to a place to bang your head against the wall, to suffer, to not move forward, okay? Uh, so I would only think about buying Apple again if it closes above 80, okay? Uh, because this is a resistance point and we ca this is a resistance point and we ca n't stay here, okay? We need to break through this for us to start thinking about buying this asset again, okay? Netflix NFLX34. Okay okay? But at this moment it's not near the average, right? I think the best selling point for it was the break of this bottom, but it's already passed. So what would I expect? A sideways movement. And then, after a break of the bottom, we would think about the operation, okay? At this moment, man, the trend is downward. If we have to do something Okay, it 's a sell order, but I don't think this is the best time, okay? Uh, yeah, the important thing is that it works. Great, man. I think I answered all the questions you asked, all the questions you asked, okay? Uh, the futures index is order here, I'm not going to take it out under any circumstances, okay? If by chance the market starts to go up again, I want to do this trade , okay? The dollar, right, it came way up and of course, if my intention today is to sell dollars, I prefer to sell here at this level rather than here at this level. So I'm keeping an eye on it, okay? And Bitcoin is struggling with that point I mentioned, to think about a sell trade , okay? I'm going to stay because I'm more optimistic about this situation with the futures index. This is the one I want for myself. So, having said that, thank you all for being here. I wish you all excellent trades and tomorrow, God willing, I hope to be back. Here with you for another Good Morning Market. A hug and want to invest in the stock market without wasting time with charts? 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