---
title: 'The ULTIMATE 2026 Crypto Portfolio STRATEGY!!'
source: 'https://youtube.com/watch?v=_qVWp3C0D2g'
video_id: '_qVWp3C0D2g'
date: 2026-06-28
duration_sec: 1212
---

# The ULTIMATE 2026 Crypto Portfolio STRATEGY!!

> Source: [The ULTIMATE 2026 Crypto Portfolio STRATEGY!!](https://youtube.com/watch?v=_qVWp3C0D2g)

## Summary

The video analyzes the 2025 market performance where international stocks, gold, and silver significantly outperformed US stocks and crypto. It explores the global capital rotation away from the US and argues that this trend could eventually lead to liquidity flowing into crypto, particularly altcoins and tokenized assets, by 2027-2028. The presenter outlines a strategic portfolio for 2026 focused on Ethereum, stablecoins, and tokenized real-world assets.

### Key Points

- **2025 Market Performance** [00:00] — US stocks +16%, international stocks +30%, gold +70%, silver +150%, crypto -10%.
- **Global Capital Rotation** [01:31] — Capital rotated out of US due to falling dollar, tariffs, and geopolitical concerns.
- **Historical Outperformance Cycle** [02:18] — International stocks outperformed US at levels not seen since early 2000s.
- **Risk Spectrum Allocation** [03:19] — Risk capital went into international stocks and commodities instead of crypto and US small caps.
- **European Investor Preferences** [08:40] — EU's MiCA regulation and travel rules make on-chain DeFi difficult; European investors favor large altcoins like ETH, SOL, XRP.
- **South Korean Investor Preferences** [10:37] — South Koreans invest almost exclusively in altcoins; XRP is most traded.
- **OTHERS/BTC Misinterpretation** [13:55] — OTHERS/BTC may rise due to stablecoins and tokenized assets, not altcoins.
- **ETH/BTC Uptrend** [14:56] — ETH/BTC has been in an uptrend since April 2025, suggesting rotation into ETH.
- **Bearish Outlook for 2026** [17:24] — Historical cycles suggest 2026 could be bearish for crypto; US dollar may rise.
- **Optimal 2026 Portfolio** [18:02] — Optimal portfolio: focus on ETH, stablecoins, and tokenized assets; watch altcoins for 2027-2028.

## Transcript

In 2025, US stocks rallied by over 16%.
International stocks rallied by almost
30%, gold rallied by around 70% and
silver rallied by a whopping
150%. Meanwhile, the crypto market fell
by 10%. This therefore has everyone
wondering, is there any point to holding
crypto in 2026, or is it better to stick
to last year's winning assets? And if
there is a point to holding crypto,
which ones make the most sense to hold?
That's why today we're going to figure
out what an optimized crypto portfolio
for 2026 looks like. Allin, all out, or
somewhere in between. My name is Guy,
and if you hold crypto, this is a video
you can't afford to miss. Before we
begin though, you need to know that I am
not a financial adviser, and nothing in
this video is financial advice. It's
educational content intended to inform
you about the factors driving the
markets and which cryptos, if any, could
perform well in 2026 given these
factors. If that sounds good, smash that
like button and let's get into it. Now,
I want to start off with something you
may have noticed in the intro, and
that's the fact that international
stocks rallied twice as much as US
stocks last year, and precious metals
rallied twice as much as international
stocks. Yes, some US stocks rallied more
than international stocks and even gold,
but the trend is clear. Global capital
is rotating out of the US and into other
countries and commodities. This is due
to a combination of factors, including
the US dollar, which fell by almost 10%
in 2025, and concerns around things like
Trump's tariffs and America's
reliability as an ally. Whereas a
falling US dollar provides a boost to
international economies, concerns around
the US's political and geopolitical
stances have caused capital to flow
elsewhere, boosted by the narrative of
booming emerging market economies. As
you can see, the outperformance of US
stocks versus international stocks
follows a cycle just like everything
else in the markets. This image is from
early 2025, but we can draw in what
happened. International stocks
outperformed US stocks at a level not
seen since the early 2000s. Now, believe
it or not, but this could be why crypto
and US small cap stocks struggled in
2025. You see, all the world's assets
exist on a risk spectrum. At one end of
the spectrum, you have safe assets like
government bonds, and at the other end
of the spectrum, you have riskier assets
like penny stocks. As investors feel
more confident about the future of the
economy and the markets, the more they
start allocating further down the risk
spectrum. The catch though is that not
all assets across the spectrum are
equal. For example, since the reserves
of Russia's central bank were frozen
following Russia's invasion of Ukraine
in 2022, many countries decided to
accumulate gold in lie of Western
government bonds as reserves. In other
words, more of the capital being
allocated into the low-risk part of the
market started finding its way into
gold. It's possible that something
similar happened on the opposite end of
the risk spectrum. As more capital
started going into the high-risk part of
the market, it was allocated to
international stocks and commodities
instead of crypto and US small cap
stocks. Some would argue that this
capital went into AI stocks and there's
certainly some truth to that when it
comes to retail investors, but most of
the money is with the institutions and
it looks like they went into foreign
stocks and metals in 2025. If this is
indeed the case, then it begs the
question of whether any of this risk on
capital will find its way into crypto in
2026. Before I give you the answer
though, I need to tell you about the
Coinb Club. That's where we do weekly
deep dives into promising crypto assets
of all kinds, provide daily updates
about what's going on in the markets,
and reveal how we are personally
positioned. So, if you want to know
which cryptos we're holding in 2026 and
which ones we're considering buying,
then become a member of the Coin Bureau
Club using the link down in the
description. Now, let's go back to that
chart showing the historical
outperformance of US stocks versus
international stocks. As you may have
noticed, there's never been a period in
crypto's history where international
stocks significantly outperformed US
stocks, at least not until 2025. Besides
the fact that this supports the idea
that international stocks drained
liquidity from crypto, it could be the
start of a bigger trend. As you can see,
every decade has had its own investment
theme. In the 1950s, it was European
stocks. In the 1960s, it was US stocks.
In the 1970s, it was emerging markets
and commodities. In the 1980s, it was
Japanese stocks, i.e. international
stocks. In the 1990s, it was US stocks.
In the 2000s, it was emerging markets
and commodities again. And in the 2010s,
it was US stocks again. Again, there
seems to be a cycle. And this cycle
suggests that the 2020s will likely be
dominated by international stocks and
commodities. At first glance, you might
think that this means the crypto market
is going to struggle. After all, these
international stocks and commodities
appear to be competing for the same risk
capital as crypto. The caveat, though,
is that these flows into international
stocks and commodities could kickstart a
new riskon wave. You see, international
stocks and commodities are seen as risk
assets by investors in developed
countries, namely the US. However, this
isn't the case in many other countries,
especially emerging markets. This makes
sense when you consider that for most
investors, the safest assets are those
found in their own countries. And in
many countries, lots of these assets are
tied up in commodities. Take the
Canadian stock market for instance.
Resource and commodity companies make up
more than a third of the TSX. That's
Canada's version of the S&P 500. To put
things into perspective, resource and
commodity companies make up less than 5%
of the S&P 500. By this point, you're
probably wondering how any of this is
related to crypto. Well, it becomes
clear when you look closely at the
capital flows at play. Some US investors
looking to allocate further out along
the risk spectrum will invest in the
Canadian stock market. This will cause
the Canadian stock market to rise, and
the TSX went up by 30% in 2025, by the
way. Whereas Canadian stocks are seen as
riskier by US investors, they're seen as
the safest option by most Canadian
investors. The huge rise in the TSX will
inevitably increase risk on sentiment
among Canadians. So where will Canadian
investors allocate their capital if
they're looking to invest in riskier
assets? Sure, they could invest in other
international stocks and commodities,
but it's not as easy for Canadians to
invest internationally. And commodities
aren't anything exciting. They're the
boring old backbone of the Canadian
economy. It's possible, therefore,
keyword possible, that some of this
capital goes into crypto. In other
words, liquidity started off by flowing
into US stocks, then it flowed into
international stocks and commodities
instead of flowing into crypto and small
cap US stocks as it had in previous
cycles. As such, you could say that
liquidity from US investors took a
detour. It went overseas instead of
online. The thing is that this overseas
capital will need to flow somewhere once
foreign markets are flooded with
liquidity. And one of the places it
could flow into is crypto. Aside from
the fact that crypto also lies further
out along the risk spectrum for
international investors, it's also much
easier for international investors to
access compared to say the Polish stock
market, which was up 45% in 2025. By the
way, this begs a bigger question though,
and that's when foreign investors will
buy crypto and which ones they will buy,
if any. And the answer here is
fascinating because it ultimately
depends on a combination of two factors.
Which countries are opening their doors
to crypto and which particular cryptos
investors in those jurisdictions are
interested in. Suppose we're dealing
with a European investor. The DAX, the
German stock market index, is hitting
new all-time highs, and they want to
invest some of this capital out along
the risk spectrum into crypto. Now, as
some of you will know, the EU recently
introduced its markets in crypto assets
or MIA regulation, which creates clarity
for crypto, particularly altcoins
listing on exchanges. What you may not
know though is that the EU also
introduced strict travel rule
regulations which make it very
inconvenient to move crypto off
exchanges. At the same time, many
European investors are environmentally
conscious, if you catch my drift. This
means that European investors are likely
to stay away from crypto niches like
DeFi and could even steer clear of
proofof work cryptos like Bitcoin due to
their resource inensive mining.
Logically, this means that most of the
risk on capital from European investors
will probably find its way into larger
altcoins which are easily accessible on
exchanges, including on traditional
centralized exchanges. As it so happens,
there are a lot of altcoin ETPs listed
in Europe. Beyond Bitcoin, the largest
ETPs by assets under management are
those for Ethereum, Salana, and XRP. So,
it stands to reason that ETH, Soul, XRP,
and other large altcoins will start to
get investment once European stock
indices are saturated with enough
liquidity that European investors start
going further out along the risk
spectrum, whenever that may be. If we
had to guess, the boom in European stock
markets will probably happen once the
war in Ukraine is over, which will
hopefully be by the end of 2026. It goes
without saying that it would take time
for liquidity in European markets to
rise after that. And it would also take
time for that liquidity to find its way
into crypto. But we'll come back to the
time it will take for that to happen a
little bit later on. First though, I
want to drive the point home. Suppose
instead we're dealing with a South
Korean investor. The Cosby, the South
Korean stock market index, is hitting
new all-time highs and they want to
invest some of this capital out along
the risk spectrum into crypto. Similar
to Europe, South Korea has incredibly
strict regulations that make it very
difficult to do onchain things like DeFi
and invest in cryptos that aren't on
centralized exchanges. The difference is
that South Koreans invest almost
exclusively in altcoins, presumably
because they have smaller price tags and
are perceived as having more upside
potential. As a fun fact, XRP is the
most traded cryptocurrency in South
Korea by a wide margin. And if you look
at the top trading pairs on South Korean
crypto exchanges like Upbit, it's mostly
obscure small cap altcoins we've never
even heard about. Once again, the main
question here is time. When will South
Korean capital flow into the crypto
market in size? Well, believe it or not,
but it could be a decline in tensions
with North Korea. To bring you up to
speed, the new South Korean
administration wants to become
friendlier with North Korea and has even
asked the Chinese government to help.
So, a decline in tensions would likely
result in more investment and
speculation. And regarding which cryptos
South Koreans would buy, trading volume
suggests XRP and ETH top the list.
Though this list is subject to change,
and everything else that comes after it
is, well, anyone's guess. By now though,
it should be clear that investors in
many countries seem to be primarily
interested in altcoins. Be it because of
environmental sensibilities or the
perception that altcoins offer higher
returns. And this brings me to the big
question and that's how we can use all
of this information to construct a
crypto portfolio for 2026. The answer
depends on where we are in the process
we just discussed. Specifically, how
long it will take for global liquidity
to finish flowing into international
markets and commodities and when this
international liquidity would start
flowing into crypto, if at all. Well, if
the DAX and Cosby are anything to go by,
many international stock markets have
only just started breaking out, which is
remarkable when you remember that they
already beat US stocks in 2025.
Unfortunately, this means that
international liquidity is unlikely to
flow into crypto anytime soon, but there
are signs that the altcoin bias of
international investors is already
starting to reflect in the charts. If
you're addicted to social media, then
chances are you've seen this chart of
others BTC. To refresh your memory,
others measures the combined market cap
of cryptos outside of the top 10. So,
altcoins. So, what others BTC shows us
is the strength of smaller altcoins
relative to Bitcoin. As you can see,
altcoins were weakening against Bitcoin
until recently, and it looks like this
viral ratio has bottomed out. Naturally,
this has led to speculation that there's
going to be a massive breakout in
altcoins relative to Bitcoin in the
coming weeks and months, which seems
impossible given where we are in the
crypto market cycle, as well as the
liquidity cycle. That is until you
realize that others doesn't just include
altcoins. It also includes stable coins
and tokenized assets, notably tokenized
gold. So then what happens if precious
metals keep rallying and we start seeing
tokenized silver, tokenized platinum and
other tokens for precious metals?
Obviously others would rise in both fiat
terms and relative to BTC. This is
incredibly important to understand as
it's something that everyone seems to be
missing. Others BTC could rise
significantly in 2026, but it may not be
because of growth in altcoins. It could
be because of the growth in stable coins
and tokenized assets which happen to be
of interest to investors in the US right
now and have been highlighted as key
themes for 2026 by institutions. In
practical terms, this means that the
optimal crypto portfolio in 2026 could
be one that's focused on stable coins
and tokenized assets simply because some
of the risk on capital could go into
these niches. And of course, most of the
stable coins and tokenized assets
currently exist on Ethereum. It should
come as no surprise then that ETH BTC
has been rising since last summer when
the Genius Act regulating stable coins
was passed in the US. What is surprising
is that ETH BTC has technically been in
an uptrend since April of 2025. As crazy
as it sounds, this means there's been
rotation into ETH beneath the surface.
Things get even crazier when you
consider what this means for altcoin
rotation. In case you forgot, it's
assumed that any money that goes into
crypto first gets invested into BTC,
then it rotates into ETH, and then into
other altcoins. Upon closer inspection,
though, you realize this rotation is a
bit more complicated, but it nonetheless
suggests that the rotation from BTC into
ETH could have only begun in the spring
of 2025. Again, it sounds crazy, but
recall the nuances I just explained.
Stable coins and tokenized assets were
key themes for institutional investors
in 2025 and have been underscored as key
themes for 2026. Most stable coins and
tokenized assets exist on Ethereum. So,
it makes sense that ETH has strengthened
relative to BTC in recent months. And
the same is true for others BTC rising
due to stable coins and tokenized
assets. So, does this mean go allin on
ETH stable coins and tokenized assets
for 2026? Not so fast. You see, for
starters, ETH BTC and others BTC don't
tell us anything about the prices of any
of the assets in question. If BTC fell
by 55% and ETH fell by 50%, ETH BTC
would rise. Similarly, if BTC fell by
55% and most altcoins fell by 70%,
others BTC could still rise if the
market cap of others is growing from
stable coins and tokenized RWA. Well,
historical crypto cycles and the
liquidity cycle suggest 2026 is going to
be a bearish year for BTC, ETH, and
altcoins regardless of what ratios like
ETHBTC and others BTC suggest. But
before you go all into stable coins
though, there's another nuance to keep
in mind. Whether it makes sense to go
into stable coins or not fundamentally
depends on how the US dollar's value
will change in 2026 versus the currency
that you use. If you use the euro and go
all into stable coins and the US dollar
falls in 2026, you'll lose money in real
terms. Conversely, if you use the euro
and go all into stable coins and the US
dollar rises in 2026, you'll make money
in real terms. Before you ask, we're not
sure where the US dollar will go in
2026, but historically bare market years
corresponded to a rise in the US dollar
and therefore this could happen in 2026.
And what about tokenized assets then?
Well, it's a similar story to stable
coins. If you go all into tokenized US
bonds and US bond prices fall, you'll
lose money and vice versa. Fortunately,
we're likely to see new natively issued
tokenized assets like companies
launching their stocks as digital tokens
instead of physical shares. So getting
in early on these opportunities could be
lucrative. You'll have to dy about
those. So then what does the optimal
crypto portfolio for 2026 look like
given these dynamics? Well, at the end
of the day, it depends on your risk
tolerance and time horizon. If you don't
mind holding ETH for a couple of years,
even if prices fall another 50 to 70%,
then it could potentially be a better
portfolio anchor than BTC. If you can't
stand that volatility and can't stand
waiting, then stable coins may be a
better anchor. Just keep in mind though
that US dollar stable coins could still
lose you money depending on exchange
rates. The same goes for tokenized gold,
which could be another potential anchor
depending on your time horizon and risk
tolerance. In a perfect world, it would
be possible to invest in companies that
are involved in stable coins and
tokenization, but most of these
companies are highly correlated to
crypto. In theory, stocks like Circle
and Coinbase would be good bets for 2026
since Circle issues USDC and Coinbase
will offer tokenized RWA trading and
presumably issuance. In reality though,
they could get dragged down with the
rest of the crypto market if crypto
enters a bare market later this year,
which is likely historically speaking.
The silver lining though is that the
2027 2028 period is shaping up to be
explosive. By that point, most countries
should have reasonable crypto
regulations in place. And factors making
international investors hesitant to
allocate into risk assets like the war
in Ukraine, tensions in the Middle East,
and issues in Asia will hopefully be
resolved. This will make it possible for
liquidity to flow from international
markets into crypto by the end of the
decade when international stocks will
likely peak. So, TLDDR, pay attention to
assets related to stable coins and
tokenization in 2026, and watch altcoins
closely as we approach 2027, starting
with Ethereum. And be sure to watch the
Coin Bureau so you know where we are in
this process. And if you want to know
what other themes investors are watching
in 2026 and which cryptos could benefit,
then be sure to check out this video
here. And if you made it this far, thank
you so much for watching and I'll see
you in the next one. This is guy. Over
and out.
