[00:01] market by yourself, you could see exactly where the sharpest prediction market traders are putting their money? Not random bettors, not some guy on Twitter posting a screenshot after the game starts, right? I'm talking about
[00:13] placing real positions, and showing a history and ROI of actually being profitable. It's exactly what the new built to do. In this video, I'm going to show you exactly how this tool works,
[00:26] what the numbers actually mean, how to decide which trades are worth following, importantly, how to avoid making a lot of these mistakes that some people make when they're first trying this out, trying to tail sharp action. The edge is
[00:39] trader is on. The edge is knowing whether you could still get a good price. That one difference can be the real difference between making a smart trade and just donating money because you were late. So, let's break it down.
[00:51] show you exactly how to decipher it, you need to understand why these new right now. Platforms like Kalshi in the United States and Polymarket outside the United States, now Polymarket USA, are starting to become popular as well.
[01:05] of sports markets in general. Instead of betting your traditional sports book format against the house, you're buying and selling contracts. So, instead of seeing your typical plus-minus odds, 150, plus 120, minus 150, whatever odds
[01:19] When you're just casually sports betting, you're going to see these prices listed in cents. So, here's an example, if a team is trading at 60 cents, that basically means the market's implying around a 60% chance that that
[01:32] outcome is going to happen. If the contract wins, it pays out at $1. So, if you buy at 60 cents and it wins, your profit is 40 cents per contract. That's the basic idea. The reason this matters is because prediction markets can give
[01:45] you more control over your entry price. You're not always forced to just take traditional sports book, right? You can actually create limit orders, choose the exact price that you want, and decide whether or not you're willing to enter
[01:59] the market. It's a massive advantage when used properly. And this is where OddsJam already has the tools to help you find value across traditional sportsbooks. The positive EV tool helps you find mispriced bets. The arbitrage
[02:12] opportunities where you can lock in a profit by getting both sides across tools are built around price differences. They answer the question, "Where is the market giving us a bad number?" However, the prediction
[02:26] trader's tool answers a slightly different question. It asks, "Where are proven profitable prediction market traders putting their money right now?" Because sometimes there may not be a massive price discrepancy across
[02:39] sportsbooks. You might look at the game, see most books priced very similarly, there's a lot of action, everyone's kind of very similar across the board, nothing really jumping out the page, no obvious arbitrage opportunities, no
[02:52] major positive EV bet you want to smash. Behind the scenes there may be a taking a large position on one side. This tool helps us find those, right? The information that is needed to find in order to surface these bets and these
[03:05] opportunities for us to take with these sharp prediction traders. So, we're not at a behavior, right? You're looking at the trades from people who have shown markets. And these markets we're talking about are main markets, right? Before we
[03:19] go any further, we're talking moneyline, spreads, totals. You're not going to be using this for random player props, niche alternates, alternate spreads, or liquidity. And that's kind of a good thing. Main markets matter because they
[03:32] usually have more liquidity. They're the more popular bet to the masses. So, you money down at a price that you want. So, that creates opportunity. It also means generally healthier and more scalable. If you're trying to grow a bankroll, you
[03:46] usually do not want to build your entire strategy around thin, low liquidity move the whole thing. That's how people can sometimes get bad fills, bad limits, and bad habits. The Prediction Traders Tool keeps the focus on the markets
[04:00] where the real money is moving. So now, I found a trade that I like, but I'm not Kalshi or Polymarket and smash the available price, right? Another huge are only two options. We're going to bet it or we're not going to bet it. But
[04:14] Prediction Markets gives you a third option. You can become the market maker. available price, you could place a limit order at the price you actually want. For example, let's say the tool shows that a trader entered at 62 cents. And
[04:28] Axiom is recommending that that trade is still playable up to 64 cents. The current market sitting at 65 or 66, I do not have to take that price. I can create a limit order at 64. If it fills great, I got the price I wanted. If it
[04:42] missed the trade, but I didn't force in at a bad entry. That discipline is extremely important. The goal is not to bet everything. The goal is to make good trades. That's the massive difference. And this is where the Axiom Prediction
[04:55] Markets Calculator becomes very useful. Because if you're used to American odds, the cents pricing is a little weird at first, certainly. You might look at 64 cents and not immediately know what that translates to in American odds. So
[05:07] inside Odds Jam. You can enter the prediction market price, like 64 cents. It'll show you the equivalent American odds, decimal odds, fractional odds, and implied probability. So if your brain thinks in traditional sports book odds,
[05:21] translate the prediction market price into something familiar. It makes it understand whether the number you're getting still makes sense. So let's talk of the biggest advantages of using prediction markets correctly. [music]
[05:36] saying I only want this trade if I can get in at this specific price [music] or accidentally taking a bad number. And when you're following sharp traders, trader may have gotten a great entry, right? But by the time the trade
[05:51] appears, price might have moved. Instead of chasing, you could say, "Hey, okay. I'm going to take it." That's how you keep yourself from becoming exit liquidity for everyone else. Now, one important setting to pay attention to
[06:04] markets is when the order expires. In sports trade, you want the order to expire at a scheduled event start. That before the game begins, the order is canceled and your money is returned.
[06:19] It's usually what you want. What you probably do not want is a good till canceled order sitting out there during the game because then the market moves gets filled, right? Under completely different circumstances than what you
[06:31] intended. Maybe a player gets hurt. Maybe one team goes down huge early. The now your pregame order gets filled during a live situation you never wanted to enter, right? So, that's not the same trade. If you're placing limit orders
[06:44] before a game, be very careful with the expiration settings. For most beginners, option. So, now let's compare the prediction traders tool with some of the where people can also get confused. The positive EV tool is about pricing
[06:58] looks for bets where one book is offering a number that is better than fair market price. The arbitrage tool is about locking in profit by betting when the price is allowed, right? The books are out of sync. You can make a
[07:11] risk-free profit. The sharp money tool is about tracking sharp market movement and high liquidity signals on specific exchanges. The prediction traders tool specific profitable traders in prediction markets. That's the key
[07:26] distinction. You're not just seeing that money moved. You're seeing that trader with a track history make that specific move. That context matters. It's less individual trader who made the trade.
[07:39] trades have they made across that profitable stretch? How large was this position compared to normal? How can I get this entry? And that is the basic is magic? No, no tool is magic. This is not a button you press to print money.
[07:55] right? Sports are still very chaotic. A team could blow a lead. A total could can look like the best player on the earth and then all of a sudden forget sports betting, right? The goal is not to win every trade. The goal is to
[08:08] consistently put yourself in better positions than the average person. And helps with. Instead of tailing random picks, you're tracking profitable betting behavior. Instead of forcing bets, you're using price discipline.
[08:21] That combination is extremely powerful. So, let's walk through a sample process the tool. I see a high-scoring trade on the NBA money line. The trader placed a large position. Their historical ROI is very strong. The relative bet size is
[08:35] 2.5x. They got in at 61 cents. Current market at 62 and a half cents. Slippage is low. Immediately checks a lot of boxes. So, great. I'm interested. I range and compare it to what is available on Cal sports polymarket. If I
[08:49] can get filled near the trader's entry, I may take the position. If the market is slightly above where I want it, I may place a limit order. For example, maybe I don't want 65 cents, but I'm fine with 63 cents. So, I set a limit order at 63.
[09:03] problem. There's going to be more trades. And that last sentence is very trades. You do not have to force every biggest advantages of using a tool like this is you can be selective. You can
[09:16] let bad prices go. You can skip high slippage. You can wait for cleaner entry trades. That's how you avoid turning a good tool into a bad strategy. So, let's talk bankroll. When people see profitable traders betting large amounts
[09:28] of money, they sometimes think they need to go ban for ban, right? Uh that's not what the trader bets. You need to scale the trade to your own bankroll. That's why relative bet size can be very useful. If the trader's normal position
[09:41] is one unit and this trade is 3x, you might treat that as a stronger conviction signal, but your unit is your unit. So, let's say your normal unit is $25, then a bigger play might constitute a $50 bet or a $75 bet. If your normal
[09:55] unit is $100, then maybe it's 200, maybe it's 300. The actual dollar amount your risk tolerance. Do not see a trader bet 20K and think that means you should completely different bankroll from you, different strategy, different risk
[10:11] profile. You're using their trade as a signal, you're not trying to be them, right? That distinction matters. Now, here are the biggest mistakes I would avoid when using the prediction traders tool. Mistake number one, ignoring
[10:24] slippage. This is the most common and probably the most expensive mistake. If the trader got a great price and you take a much worse one, you may not have the same edge. Mistake number two, blindly betting every high score. The
[10:36] it's not the whole process. You still need to look at trader ROI, bet size, relative size, current price, [music] and liquidity. Mistake number three, not using limit orders. Prediction markets give you the ability to be very price
[10:49] sensitive. Use that to your advantage. Mistake number four, leaving orders open too long. Be careful with good till canceled orders around live sports. If make sure your order reflects that. Mistake number five, betting too big
[11:02] because the trader bet big. Always scale to your own bankroll. Mistake number six, chasing after the move already happened. Sometimes the best trade is it's true. So, let's zoom out. Why is this tool such a big deal? Because
[11:16] space for a lot of bettors. A lot of people understand sportsbooks, they understand money lines, spreads, totals, but maybe not fully understanding how to use prediction markets efficiently. And because of that, there are opportunities
[11:29] the right process. The prediction traders tool gives you a way to see where proven traders are already taking positions. Then OddsJam gives you the calculator to price in context, the slippage data, and the market details
[11:41] follow. That is the full picture. It's not just a picks feed. It's not just a bet this team. It's a decision-making tool, and that's how you should treat the people who blindly click every trade. The best users are going to be
[11:55] the people who use the tool to identify those strong signals, compare prices, their bankroll intelligently. That's how you actually create a repeatable Prediction Traders Checklist. Number one, find a high-quality trade. Number
[12:09] two, check that trader's track record, write their ROI. Three, look at the size of the position. Four, compare the relative bet size. Five, check slippage. Six, use the calculator to understand the price. Seven, place a limit order
[12:25] when needed. Eight, only enter if the price still makes sense. So, that's the putting yourself in a much better position than the average sports better betting whatever looks fun 5 minutes before tip-off. I need a play. I got to
[12:39] Tool is giving you access to a completely different layer of market information. You can see what profitable traders are doing. You can see how much aggressive they are compared to normal, and you can see when the market is
[12:52] already moved too far from that advantage spot. And then you can also that actually makes sense. So, that's the edge. Not blindly tailing, not chasing steam, not betting every single play. The edge is combining sharp trader
[13:05] data with price discipline. That's how you attack prediction markets the right user, go check out the Prediction Traders Tool and start getting familiar cents pricing feels strange at first. I certainly understand. Use the Prediction
[13:19] Markets Calculator, compare the numbers, and focus on getting comfortable with yet, this is the tool that could completely change the way you look at asking what do I think is going to happen, you're going to start asking a
[13:32] much better question. What are the most profitable traders doing and can I still get a good enough price to follow them? That's the much smarter way to trade. markets start to make a lot more sense. If you found this helpful, hit the like
[13:46] check out the next video where I break down more prediction market strategies you can use with Odds Jam. Because between understanding how to find sharp traders, how to price your entries, and how to use limit orders correctly,
[13:58] average person entering these markets. And in sports betting, that's the entire game. Find better information, get better prices, make better decisions. That's how you win long-term. Now, let's get into how to actually use this tool.
[14:11] So, when you open the prediction traders tool, you're going to see a list of Timberwolves, 76ers, we're in the heart of NBA post-season. You're going to see see the game, you're going to see the market, the side, and you'll also see
[14:24] the platform where this trade exists. In this case, you're going to see the PolyMarket logo, but you also will see Kalshi on here as well. The real value Timberwolves or 76ers, you're going to go over here and you're going to see a
[14:36] couple of numbers. And this is where people either use the tool correctly or look over here first actually, and of course it pops up over here too, but if you can see under my camera here, this is the score, the overall score, right?
[14:49] This is a confidence signal from Odds Jam. The higher the score, the stronger the opportunity based on the factors that this tool is tracking. Now, what that you should blindly bet Timberwolves here? In this case, the highest score
[15:02] starting point. It helps you sort through the better opportunities very thing you should look at. So, think of the score as like a flashing sign that, "Hey, this is something I bet you want to look into, right?" Timberwolves 89 at
[15:17] investigate this one. It gets your attention, but it does not replace the rest of the process. So, let's go over here to trade size, right? Bet size. In this case, it's 7.6K on the Timberwolves. And this is Timberwolves
[15:30] money line, right? Shows you exactly how much this person has put on this position. In this case, Timberwolves money line. And so, like a $200 position nearly eight grand position, right? There's more confidence there. When a
[15:43] proven trader puts a serious amount of money into this market, they usually us, right? Uh it does not guarantee that they're always going to be right. It's this case are going to win game three. Nobody wins every trade. But definitely
[15:57] size matters, right? The higher the bet size, the bigger the bet size, obviously proven better. So, if someone has a long track record of profitability, right? betting. You can throw a win-loss record out the window. Someone placing an eight
[16:13] grand bet size, right? With an ROI over 6%, definitely something I want to pay attention to. So, this brings us to probably the most important number, right? It's relative bet size. It shows how large the trade is compared to the
[16:25] trader's usual unit size, right? If you see 2x, that means it's going to be double their normal size. If you see 3x, triple their normal size, right? Really useful because not every trader has the same bankroll. So, one trader might
[16:37] normally bet 2,000, right? Another might normally bet 25 grand. You're going to see some big bets here. It's not uncommon to see, you know, 100 grand tool. So, the raw dollar amount certainly matters, right? You're
[16:49] actually seeing capital flow. And the relative bet size gives you context for, really loves the Timberwolves here, obviously, as a home dog in game three.
[17:01] So, with a trader who puts down one unit suddenly, in this case, puts down, you know, 4.8, nearly five units here, that tells me they've got stronger conviction going to automatically mean that you yourself should bet five units on this,
[17:14] but it does help you understand like, "Hey, this is a pretty solid play. And right? We just talked about relative bet size. This is this is the key metric, uh traders, right? You want to be following these proven successful profitable
[17:29] bettors. In this case, almost 6 and 1/2% total ROI, 288 trades. So, this tool shows you the uh historical ROI based on the trades that Odd Jam has tracked. of the tool is not just following random volume, right? You want to follow
[17:43] profitability over time. In this case, uh guy definitely [music] clearing over 6% nearly 6 and 1/2. If someone has a thousand trades, right? Again, 288 not insignificant. That's a meaningful signal. But again, we need to be smart,
[17:57] necessarily indicative of his future results a guarantee to win it by any means, but it does certainly mean that this person shown ability to find a pretty significant edge over nearly 300 trades, right? It's not just 20. That's
[18:10] trying to follow vibes, you know, some guy who likes the Timber Wolves cuz he's who's clearly a success betting in these prediction markets on sports with a evidence. So, now we got to talk about the single most important part of the
[18:25] in the top right. If you take nothing else from this video, remember this. The trader side matters. The price you get matters more. Slippage is the difference the price you can currently get. Let's say a profitable trader bought a team at
[18:38] right here, right? The trader entry at 37. In this case, the market has actually gone against the trader. You can get in at a better number here. Let's take the 76ers example here. This is plus two. So, right? He got in at 50
[18:50] cents. It's now trading at 51 cents. So, this again still we'll get into slippage profitable plays you can get in a better position here with a guy big bet size successful ROI. And then uh of course, you got an even better ROI here specific
[19:05] NBA money line category and 24K 50 times is relative bet size, right? So, there's prediction trader tool currently as we're recording this. So, again, you pay attention to slippage. If this said plus eight, it's probably not going to
[19:20] be up here cuz the edge is gone, right? But, still if it's only slipped 2%, you But, still if it's only slipped 2%, you can see here under 3% ideal, right? 51% compared to 50% when this insider came in and laid absolute nukenheimer size
[19:33] 25k. Really strong conviction here. You don't see too many 50x relative bet people get crushed, right? They just see a play, they want to get in, they rush original trader. You're not really tailing the trader anymore, right? It's
[19:48] play, right? Price matters. You're tailing direction after the value may the first thing most of us check when we're seriously considering a trade. If the 76ers, I'm interested, right? If it's moderate, let's see if we This is
[20:03] live. This is for tomorrow. Again, no slippage here, but you'll see sometimes 3 to 5% use your discretion. Over 5%, the edge is likely gone, right? You framework as you could see kind of does the work for you here. It tells you
[20:16] under 3% usually the cleanest range. Sometimes you can get zero. Sometimes in even better, right? Between 3 and 5% as we said becomes kind of a judgment call and then 5% usually not a solid play. Again, you're probably buying into the
[20:29] move after it's already happened in the over 5% range. And remember price is side and still make a bad trade if you get the wrong number. That's in true in sports books and also in prediction markets. So, now I also want to put your
[20:42] here. Another cool part about the prediction traders tool gives you this entered. You can see 50 cents here and where it currently is at 51, right? The closer the better here. Current price is still close to that original sharp
[20:56] entry. The wider the gap, the more careful you need to be. If the trader still around 63 or 64, that's interesting to us. But, But the trader entered at 62 and right now it's at 71, probably something you want to pass on,
[21:10] Doesn't mean the trade's not going to win, right? It certainly could, but at profitable, right? Price matters. You don't want to chase after the good price, the price you want to be on disappears. So, let's talk about how I
[21:22] up. Here's my usual day-to-day operations here. I see the Timberwolves, here. It's actually, you know, moving the other way against this guy, but the 76ers, this is like the flag. Okay, good plays, but do some more digging, right?
[21:37] The 76ers one is very intriguing to me cuz we're seeing this relative bet size, and what the bet size is, right? 25 grand. Low slippage. This guy crosses NBA money lines, 441 trades, bigger than what we were looking at on this
[21:49] really like, and actually I'm on it, right? 76ers. You can follow my picket. it's sharp money, whether it's prediction traders tool, what have you. So, again, I'm really looking for bet size, relative bet size. You want to
[22:02] make sure you're in the green zone for slippage, and of course, ROI matters, for when I'm sorting through these plays. And again, you don't have to use through this, right? It does the work for you. It flags these plays, and you
[22:16] can check the chart, how it's been moving, and it really keeps it time concise and allows you to lock in and find these profitable trades. Fast means for me, the checklist is strong trader, strong position size, low slippage, good
[22:30] market liquidity, and reasonable price. That's literally it.