[00:01] complicated. Charts and financial indicators and jargon and it scares them away, but trading is actually one of the simplest ideas in the world. And in the next few minutes in this video, I'm going to show you exactly how trading [00:15] works from the ground up. By the end of this video, you'll understand what traders actually do, how markets move, and why most people lose money. But once you see it explained properly, it's actually surprisingly simple. So we're [00:28] going to start with what trading actually is. Trading simply means buying something with the intention of selling it later at a higher price. So if you buy a stock at $100 and then the price of that stock rises and you decide to [00:45] sell it at $110, then you come away with a $10 profit. Now the same happens in markets. If you're buying the British pound against the US dollar and the same thing happens and you buy at one price and you get out at a higher price and [01:00] you're making a profit on those incremental changes in the currency market. A lot of people think, well, it's going to take you ages to make any money in a currency market cuz the moves are so small every day. But that's where [01:13] they're wrong. We're not making money in massive moves in the market. We're actually making moves in tiny incremental decimal point moves in the market. So for instance, if you go to the airport and you go to the exchange [01:27] booth at the airport, you'll see that they're presenting a price to you. Uh but what you'll also see is a few more digits on the right hand side. So it will say something like the euro is 1.3582, [01:43] okay? Now when you return from the holiday, it might be 1.36 or 1.3592, right? But that doesn't matter to us as traders because what we're looking at is the last decimal point. We're actually making money on these incremental [01:58] changes right here, and we are betting a proportion of our total trading account to these numbers, okay? So, as a currency changes maybe 0.1 or 0.2 or 0.5 [02:11] currency changes maybe 0.1 or 0.2 or 0.5 of a percentage each day, we can still of a percentage each day, we can still make money by betting say 1% or 2% of our our total account balance against these two numbers here. And now you can [02:23] start to see that there there's infinite opportunity because the financial opportunity because the financial markets are about 5.3 trillion dollars in volume traded every single day. They're gigantic. So, what trading is is [02:36] speculation on price movement. Traders don't care what the asset is, they care whether the price will move up or down, and that's it. Imagine buying concert selling them later when the demand increases. A profitable trader isn't [02:51] someone who predicts the market better than everyone else, it's someone who develops an edge. Now, an edge is something that I'm going to go over in this video briefly, but my definition of an edge is expectancy, knowing your [03:04] expectancy, having discipline, having a game plan, a set of rules, and then having the emotional control to execute on that plan consistently. Now, the difference between trading versus investing, this is really important [03:20] because beginners confuse the two. Investing is long-term, where you you're buying assets expected to grow over the years. For example, things like index funds or property retirement accounts. And what trading is, trading is shorter [03:34] time horizons, focus on price movements rather than fundamentals. Trades can rather than fundamentals. Trades can last minutes or hours, days, or weeks, whereas an investor might buy Apple stock and hold it for 10 years. A trader [03:48] is using their skill to predict an incremental price movement and then speculating on that price movement over a short period of time. They want to get in and out and make money in the short term. So, the activity of an investor [04:01] over a long period of time, an investor is looking to just get in and let the stock go up, whereas a trader is looking to make money like this on the way up. traders make money, you first need to [04:14] understand what actually moves markets. And in a moment, I'll show you what exactly what a real trade looks like, but let's talk about how markets move. So, the reason markets move is cuz there's buyers versus sellers. That's [04:27] the foundation of price action. Price moves because of supply and demand. If more people want to buy than sell, then price rises. If more people want to sell than buy, then price falls. So, for an example, in an auction, someone offers [04:41] £100, someone else offers £105, and another offers £110, the price moves up. And without getting too bogged down in mathematics, a simple supply and down in mathematics, a simple supply and demand diagram here is if demand [04:56] demand diagram here is if demand increases moving this way, okay, then the price gets higher, right? Now, if the price gets higher, right? Now, if supply increases and goes this way, then [05:08] price goes back down. And where supply and demand meet, that's what we call equilibrium. But if demand goes up like we have here and supply goes down and goes backwards to here, that's when the price is at its highest. Basically, all [05:22] supply and demand is is buyers versus sellers bidding on the best price at any Forex market, this is going on at incremental levels across the globe, across every currency, every single second, which is quite difficult to [05:37] understand is there's tons of opportunity. Now, when you add on top of this the fact that there are the different participants like hedge funds and institutions and retail traders and you have to understand that retail [05:51] these big institutions that actually move the majority of the markets. And understand any of this. Trading looks complicated, but it's not. You don't need to understand economics to understand trading. You just have to [06:06] understand a few simple things. The first thing is charts. So this is where beginners usually feel overwhelmed. So what you want to do is you want to start simple. A chart is simply a visual representation of price movement over [06:20] time. The vertical axis up here is the price and the horizontal axis is time. Now, depending on what chart you're looking at, if this is the daily chart, then each of these candlestick sessions represents one day. [06:35] Okay? So each of these is one day. If this is the hourly chart, then each of these candlesticks represents one hour. And each of the candlesticks tells us a story of what's happened during that session. And there's four pieces of [06:49] information you need to know. So this green candle here, we have an open, a green candle here, we have an open, a close, a high, and a low. Okay? So this is the open, this is the close, this is the high, this is the low. On a red [07:02] candle, it's the same thing except it just means that the bearish candle or the the the downward candle where we had a downward movement session, okay? Means that the close is down here. And we opened higher than we closed, so we have [07:17] And then we have the high, and then we have the low, and then we have the close. So this is the open, this is the close. Exact same information, just the open and the close is different because a green candle means we closed higher [07:30] than we opened, and a red candle means we closed lower than we opened. Now, if instance, it's still the same information. You still got the high here, the low here, we got the open here, and the close here. And on this [07:43] red candle, we still got the high here, the low here, the open here, and the close here. And the reason candles form in different shapes is because they tell us a story. So, if this is a downward move, what we've seen here during this [07:56] session, let's just say this was a a daily session, during the day, price and then it got pushed down, and we closed right down here. Okay, which can represent a bearish pressure, which means we're likely to push down [08:10] following that candle. Same on the green. If this was 1 day, what happened here is the price pushed down, and then the bulls pushed up. And we had a rejection to the downside, which means on the next day, we're likely to see a [08:24] move up, cuz it tells us a story. Now, an important concept that you need to grasp here is markets move in patterns and trends. In fact, all trading is is pattern recognition with a set of rules applied to it, and then some discipline [08:40] happen frequently. There's tons of these patterns going on every day, and you can just pinpoint one pattern, and you just go and trade that with military precision. Okay, so let's take a look at what a trade actually looks like. Now, I [08:54] use a four-step process called IPDE. When I'm looking at a trade setup, I use a IPDE process, which stands for identify, predict, decide, execute. And that just keeps me very objective in these subjective markets. Now, the [09:09] these subjective markets. Now, the purpose of the I is to form a bias or a thesis, basically looking at the market and seeing what it's doing overall, what it's done recently, what it's likely to do next, and then the prediction [09:24] is how it's likely to go there, okay? How it's likely to move. So, first of all, you open up a chart, and you might look at the pound dollar, and you say, "Okay, I think this is going to go up." Now, when markets move up, they either [09:39] go straight up or they have a pullback and then they go up. So, the next step in the I IPDE is decide and this is where you're looking at your setup. Where what setups do you have? What set of rules do you have that you can pull [09:54] out of your trading toolbox that will allow you to get involved here or here. So, you can catch the straight move up or the pullback. And once the rules this is where you have rules for these setups. Once the rules for those are [10:09] met, then you look at getting your entry criteria met and then you execute the trade, which is E. Execute. So, you're basically deciding choosing an entry point, you're setting your risk, you're setting your target, [10:24] and then you execute the trade. So, let's just say on the pound-dollar here, you're expecting the price to move up and the current price is 1.2500. two decimal points, this is going to be one pip, this is going to be 10 pips, [10:39] we're going to make the money. And we're going to predict that the market's going target at 125 20. So, 12520. [10:51] trade, the market pushes up, we trigger our 1.2520, and we take 20 pips off the table, we bank that, and the amount that you earn on that trade will depend on how many pounds or dollars or euros you bet on [11:08] every single one of these pips. So, if you bet one pound per pip, you'd walk away with 20 pips. If you bet 10 pound per pip, you'd wake walk away with 200 pounds. Now, let's talk about risk versus reward. Now, risk reward is going [11:22] to be a really important part of your trading plan because a lot of traders, when they go into trading, they think about being right a lot and they want a high strike rate, a high win rate, when in actual fact, another massive [11:34] component to your overall performance as a trader, your come down to your reward to risk profile. And the higher the reward to strike rate. Now, I'm going to show you a chart in a moment that's going to give [11:48] you a real good reference on all this stuff. But, the way risk reward works is is how much you're betting or risking in your account and how much you're gaining on any one trade. So, for instance, if you're entering here and your your stop [12:03] accept that you're wrong and your target's here, this is about a two to one, okay? So, this is a two to one reward to risk profile. If you're entering here and your stop loss is here and you're buying and your target's [12:16] here, this is more kind of a a one to one. Now, if you're selling an instrument or a a currency and this is your risk and this is your reward, this when you're right, you're going to win five times the amount that you lose when [12:31] you're wrong. So, if you've risked 1% of your account balance here, this means that this is going to be 5%. If you've risked 2% of your account balance here, this is going to be 2%. And if you've risked 1% of your account balance here, [12:43] this is going to be 2%, right? Now, if your trade setups look like this, your strike rate will be lower, okay? If your trade setups look like this middle higher. And actually, if you look at this diagram here that I've put on the [12:56] screen, you're going to see that you want to be about a 55 for you. That's where you're going to have the most opportunities. You're and you're going to win more when you're right than you lose when you're wrong. [13:11] is comfortable for most people. Now, when you're weighing all this up in your to understand is probability. The probability of being right. And all probability is is the number of favorable outcomes divided by the number [13:24] of total outcomes. And in order to know that, you have to test variables. So, you have to have a strategy that's got an edge already, and then you have you have to test it, and you have to find these figures out for yourself. [13:38] This is the bit here that most traders fail to do because they can't be have to do that, and they think there's another way, and that's the reason that most people fail. Now, the other main reason people lose at trading, which is [13:51] what we're going to talk about right now, is down to three main things. One, they don't have the tools, okay? So, they don't have the right They're not using the right platforms, they don't have the right access to a decent [14:04] broker, they don't know how to use indicators and things like that, they don't have access to those things to give them that edge. Number two is accountability, so they over-leverage, they over-trade, they risk too much per [14:17] trade, they're forcing trades, they're in trades that they shouldn't be in, and don't have a strategy with an edge. So, what they usually trying to do is they're trying to get rich quickly, they fall into a leverage trap, they've got [14:30] leverage, they have a thousand-pound account or a thousand-dollar account, they're risking five hundred pounds per trade, and that leads to rapid account blow-up. At this point, I want to say trading is a skill, it's not gambling. [14:43] And just like flying a plane or performing surgery or playing professional sports, it requires some effort and some work and some discipline, which leads us nicely onto the right way to learn. Now, there's six [14:57] from here. The first one is learn market charts, okay? You need to learn how to read charts and how to read price action. The second one is building a trading strategy or learning a trading strategy [15:12] that has an edge already. The next thing is to go and test that and demo that so that you can verify and repeat the process of that strategy. The next step is to learn risk management, how to apply all of this stuff to that trading [15:26] you're right than you lose when you're wrong, and you're right more than you're wrong, and you protect your capital in drawdowns, and you boost your position size in winning streaks. Then, you track and journal everything you do. What gets [15:40] measured gets mastered. And then finally, you use that data to improve and optimize your performance as a trader, and that cycle continues on and on and on, and it never ends. You don't just one day get to the point where [15:53] into the sunset and never have to do any work again. This is a This is a continuous cycle of refinement, optimization, cycle of refinement, optimization, effort, and like maintaining your [16:07] edge. But, the key mindset is you have to think like a business owner, not a gambler. Each trade is one small business decision. Trading isn't about predicting the future, it's about managing risk in an uncertain market. [16:21] And I want to reinforce that in order to do well at this, you need patience, discipline, you need to develop a skill, and then you need to execute on that very, very consistently. If you're serious about learning trading properly, [16:34] I've created a full beginner road map video that you should go and watch next. if you want to continue down this path, the next thing you have to understand so that you don't make these mistakes is the seven big reasons why traders fail [16:47] so that you don't. You can go and watch that video here. And until next time, take care, and I'll see you in the next one.