---
title: 'Sharp, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies'
source: 'https://youtube.com/watch?v=5y9OsTpJa_8'
video_id: '5y9OsTpJa_8'
date: 2026-08-19
duration_sec: 2335
channel: 'OddsJam: Sports Betting, Free Picks & Best Bets'
---

# Sharp, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies

> Source: [Sharp, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies](https://youtube.com/watch?v=5y9OsTpJa_8)

## Summary

The video is a live sports betting stream where the host, Alex Monahan, shares his cross-market arbitrage betting strategy, which involves comparing odds across different sportsbooks to find value bets. He demonstrates how to identify plays where two books have significantly different odds, allowing for a guaranteed profit or a high-confidence bet. The stream covers multiple sportsbooks, including Underdog, FanDuel, Hard Rock, and PrizePicks, and emphasizes the importance of using data and understanding market dynamics.

### Key Points

- **Introduction and Sportsbook Selection** [00:18] — The host asks viewers to suggest which sportsbook to analyze, indicating a live, interactive format. He mentions having multiple sportsbooks logged in, including Hard Rock, BetMGM, and FanDuel.
- **Cross-Market Betting Explained** [01:44] — The host introduces the 'OddsJam sharp money tool' for cross-market betting. He explains that on peer-to-peer exchanges like Profitex, you're betting against market makers and trading firms, not other bettors. He uses Geno Smith's over at +116 as an example, noting that if the over is offered at +116, the under is the favored outcome.
- **Optimal Slip Types on Underdog** [02:29] — The host mentions that six-pick entries are optimal on Underdog Fantasy, referencing his previous YouTube videos for the math behind this claim. He emphasizes that cross-market EV bets provide the highest confidence in your edge.
- **Baseball and Football Plays** [04:09] — The host discusses a Kevin Gausman under 4.5 hits allowed play for the Blue Jays game, noting that every sportsbook has his under heavily favored. He also mentions a six-pick flex play on Underdog Fantasy as the best type of slip.
- **Using Data from Major Sportsbooks** [05:38] — The host points out that FanDuel, a $40 billion company, has a player's over as a -146 favorite, which he considers valuable data. He stresses that all odds are data and should be used to inform betting decisions.
- **Hard Rock as a Beatable Book** [06:41] — The host identifies Hard Rock and BetMGM as the most beatable sportsbooks. He notes that there are many crossed markets, but he is heavily limited on most books, with Underdog giving him only $25 per bet.
- **Arbitrage Betting Example** [07:41] — The host explains that when two books like Hard Rock and Novig have significantly different odds, you can arbitrage bet by taking the over on one and the under on the other to guarantee a risk-free profit. He calls Hard Rock 'dumb as a brick' and Novig 'super sharp.'
- **Mainline Markets and Limits** [09:17] — The host notes that filtering for mainline markets like money lines can yield better betting limits. He mentions a Saints -3.5 play against the Patriots, but notes he's still limited to $10 bets.
- **Chiefs vs Lions Analysis** [10:08] — The host expresses surprise that the Chiefs are -130 against the Lions, given their performance this season, but says the data suggests betting on them. He takes this play on BetMGM.
- **Betr and PrizePicks Value** [11:30] — The host discusses finding value on Betr and PrizePicks. He mentions that on Betr, the optimal slip type is a five or six-pick flex play, and he has made videos explaining the math behind this.
- **Tua and Other Plays** [12:26] — The host highlights a Tua rushing attempts play, noting that every sportsbook has his over heavily favored. He also mentions a Sterling Shepard play and a Trey McBride play, whose under is heavily favored on every book.
- **Line Movement and Final Plays** [14:27] — The host notes that a Calvin Ridley line moved from 42.5 to 48.5 in their favor. He locks in a Bolton over 8.5 tackles play and mentions a Betr limit of $100 per day.
- **Kenneth Walker No Touchdown Play** [16:26] — The host highlights a Kenneth Walker to not score a touchdown play on Dabble, which is a cross-market with Novig. He explains that higher liquidity means higher confidence in the edge, and that Dabble is a fixed-payout sportsbook.
- **Dabble Shields and Payouts** [17:54] — The host discusses Dabble shields, which are similar to PrizePicks' 'Goblins.' He tests various player touchdown props as shields, but notes that many don't work as expected. He eventually locks in a play with Kenneth Walker, Tooten, and Sterling Shepard.
- **FanDuel Promos and Parlays** [21:10] — The host mentions FanDuel's MLB and NFL profit boosts, calling them 'the easiest money you will ever make sports betting.' He explains that if every bet in a parlay is +EV, the parlay is +EV.
- **Kendre Miller Play** [22:37] — The host highlights a Kendre Miller over 68.5 rushing yards play, which is crossed with Novig. He notes that the under is being offered at +116, indicating the over is favored.
- **Spencer Rattler and Other Plays** [24:51] — The host mentions Spencer Rattler at +850 and a Kendre Miller play. He continues to emphasize the simplicity of cross-market betting, stating that you just follow the data.
- **Simple Strategy and Data** [28:03] — The host reiterates that sports betting is simple: you follow the data. He mentions several plays, including DeAndre Hopkins under 1.5 receptions and Travis Hunter under 3.5 receptions, calling them 'no brainer' arbitrage plays.
- **Tennis and Other Sports** [29:59] — The host explores tennis value on PrizePicks, mentioning a play on Gelloo Zepari over 12.5 games. He notes that every book has his over heavily favored.
- **Trusting Data Over Intuition** [31:04] — The host stresses that you are not smarter than multi-billion dollar companies with teams of data scientists. He uses FanDuel and DraftKings as examples, noting they are heavily favored on certain props, and says if you're not using data, you're 'dumb.'
- **PrizePicks Optimal Slip Type** [33:17] — The host reiterates that the optimal slip type on PrizePicks is a five or six-pick flex play. He warns against three-pick flex plays, calling them 'stupid.'
- **Sack Plays and Other Bets** [34:27] — The host mentions he rarely misses on sack plays and discusses a Harrison Butker over 1.5 field goals play. He also comments on college football, noting Northwestern beat Penn State.
- **More Value Plays** [36:07] — The host mentions a Michael Carter play that moved from +210 to +185, still looking like good value. He also highlights a Noah Gray receptions play at +142 as a cross-market play.
- **Arbitrage and Crossed Markets** [37:23] — The host explains that out of millions of odds, only about 0.01% of plays are crossed, but when they are, you know one bet is +EV. He gives an example of a player to score at +200 and not score at -183, which is arbitrage.
- **BetMGM as a Soft Book** [38:17] — The host identifies BetMGM as a 'stupid, dumb as a brick' sportsbook, and says the value is on the BetMGM side when it's arbitraged against a sharp book like Novig. He recommends typing the concept into ChatGPT to verify.

### Conclusion

The video demonstrates a data-driven, cross-market arbitrage strategy for sports betting, emphasizing the importance of comparing odds across multiple sportsbooks to find value. The host consistently identifies plays where a soft book's odds are out of sync with a sharp book, allowing for high-confidence or risk-free bets.

## Transcript

me know in the chat what sports book you guys want to look at. Yo, guys, what sports book? What sports book? What sports book? What sports book? What sports book? What sports
book? What sports book? Yo, what's up, guys? Let me know in the chat what sports book you guys want to look at. That's a gameworn, signed look at. That's a gameworn, signed [ __ ] legend Kobe Bryant jersey.
But anyways, we got to get some bets locked in. So, I'll try to keep this brief. I know it's late, so let's get some plays locked in. What's up, everyone? How you doing? Damn, we got [ __ ] going crazy. Let's uh
let's get some plays locked in. So, I have a ton of sports books logged into. Hard Rock. Maybe I'm not logged in yet. We got Bet MGM. We got FanDuel. Maybe I'm not logged in yet. No, I'm logged in.
So, let's see what we can find, boys. What book do we want to do? Let me know in the chat. I'm always looking to see what people want. I'm not ignoring you guys, dude. And we got some good plays
available. So, let's put in underdog. Let's put in dabble. Let's put in better. And let's just kind of see what's out there, man. Yo, so this first play seems very good. So, this is the odds jam sharp money tool for cross
market betting. So, basically like if these betting exchanges, you can see profitex. Yo, why am I so big? Somebody make me smaller. You can see on Profitex, this is a really sharp peer-to-peer betting exchange.
Peer-to-peer, like you got to remember, you're not betting against your neighbor, dude. On these peer-to-peer sites, you're typically betting against market makers, trading firms, like [ __ ] hedge funds and [ __ ] So, they
[ __ ] hedge funds and [ __ ] So, they have Gino Smith's over offered at plus 116. If you go through the math behind underdog, six pick entries are optimal. I've literally done YouTube videos, you can look me up on YouTube, Alex Monahan
YouTube, Underdog Fantasy, if you really want to get deep into the math behind why six pick entries are optimal on underdog. But basically, if like these trading firms are offering Goss over at plus
116, then you know his under is the favored or the more likely outcome. But can actually get some slips locked in. Otherwise, you guys are going to kill Otherwise, you guys are going to kill me. So, we have Cole KT over right on
Profitex. His under is being offered at plus 117, which means these sharp trading firms, these market makers are trying to bet his over at minus 117 if trying to bet his over at minus 117 if they're offering his under at plus 117.
they're offering his under at plus 117. But anyways, we got to get going. Yo, so But anyways, we got to get going. Yo, so we're rolling, bro. So, longest rush. I mean, dude, sometimes the values in the markets you maybe least least least
markets you maybe least least least expect. we really want to do a six pick flex play. If you don't trust me, that's okay. You can literally watch my videos going through the math
behind underdog fantasy that explain why sex entries are optimal. So cross market EV bets, you just have the highest confidence in your edge, right? Like
whenever the market is crossed, you know, one of the two bets has to be plus EV. So long story short, let's just see what we can put together, boys. Let's see what we can put together.
What do we want to go with? Oh [ __ ] Kevin Gausman under four and a half hits allowed. Blue Jays game tomorrow. You can see here every sports book has his under heavily favored. Or so that's a baseball play. Kevin Gausman, you guys
like that play. Yo, who do we like tomorrow for Blue Jays Mariners? Also, what do you guys think for tomorrow, man? Six pick flex play. Here's the play. Sorry. Sorry. Sorry. Sorry.
Here's the play. Underdog fantasy six pick flex play. That's the best type of slit. You don't believe me? Run a twoman. Let me know how that works out for you. Run three twoman's. Do that with all my six flexes. You'll lose
money as everyone else makes money. Don't do that. Don't do that. bumped one of the props. Dude, why do they do this?
So, we'll just replace this with um Eddie Pinero over six and a half kicking points again. I don't know, man. Can somebody please put the link in the chat? Yo, has someone put the link in the chat? Also, please let me know what
sports book you guys want to look at next. So here's a play and you can see here I mean any sports book you look at like even if you don't use FanDuel it's a $40 billion company you probably want to put some weight
maybe if you're not stupid into their odds they have as over as a minus 146 favorite. So that's data right? This is favorite. So that's data right? This is all data. It's all data. It's all data.
[Music] What the [ __ ] dude? Throwing my water bottle backfired. I think I broke this.
Anyways, six flex play. Get it locked in. Lit as [ __ ] All right. What book do you guys want to look at next?
There we go. I got it that time. [ __ ] yeah. yeah. Yo, guys, what sports book?
see. Let's see what else is out there. So, again, Hard Rock is a super beatable sports book. I mean, it's probably one of the most beatable. Hard Rock Bet MGM are probably the two most beatable sports books. There's a ton of crossed
markets. I mean, this play is crazy, dude. It's [ __ ] crazy. The issue is I'm heavily limited on basically every book. Underdog gives me $25 per bet. But so they're giving me 24 bucks on Caleb Williams and then they tell me, "Nope,
you can actually only play 10." But this is an incredible play. Same thing with receptions. I mean, you can literally just go down the list. So, that play I think I already bet. But, um, again, it's a very simple, like, it's a very
simple strategy. Cross market sports betting. It's not complicated. betting. It's not complicated. It's not complicated, man. Um, it's not complicated. So, basically for this play on Javvante
Williams, which maybe we already locked in, right? Like here, Hard Rock and Novig. Novig is a super sharp book. These two books have such different odds. Every sports book wants to be unique. They all set their own odds. So
whenever two books get super out of sync, you can arbitrage bet, right? You could you could bet the over on Novig, the under on Hard Rock because their prices, their odds are so out of sync and guarantee a risk-free profit, right?
So one of the two bets has to be profitable. And Hard Rock is the stupid sports book. So it's a very simple strategy. Novig is very sharp. You have these trading firms, these quant hedge funds setting lines, peer-to-peer site
with no limits. Hard Rock is literally dumb as a brick, bro. Like my your [ __ ] grandma, dude, can make money on Hard Rock. So, one of these two bets has to be profitable by definition because you could bet both outcomes to guarantee
a risk-free profit. That's arbitrage. So, it's very clear that the values on Hard Rock. I mean 99% of the time whenever Hard Rock is arbitrageed to sports book literally in the world. Yo,
Patrick Mahomes score a touchdown, I got to bet it. Yo, we were on this last week. I think we were on Mahomes plus 430. He rushed for one. And as usual, they're only going to give me 10 bucks because I'm max limited on
all these [ __ ] cheap ass sports books. Are there any mainline markets, though? So what I can do is I can filter for mainline markets oftent times like money lines and [ __ ] You just get better betting limits on Saints minus
three and a half against the Patriots. Dude, the Saints are kind of nice. This play though, it's still same [ __ ] 10 bucks. Cross market very simple arbitrage. Stupid book. Hard Rock Arbitrage to
Profitex. A very sharp book which has a lot of liquidity. [ __ ] betting limits right now. So, here's a tennis play. But regardless,
what do we want to do? What book do you guys want to look at, man? I don't want to waste your guys' time. What a waste of time, dude. What a waste of time. All these $10 bets, bro. I know. Don't do hard rock, Alex. You're
know. Don't do hard rock, Alex. You're boring us. Oh, I'm sorry. Give me a sec. boring us. Oh, I'm sorry. Give me a sec. Oh [ __ ]
feel like the Chiefs I mean I'm on them. That's what the data is saying to bet. But I am a little surprised that they are minus 130 against the Lions. I feel like the Chiefs have looked like ass all
season. But they will take this on Bet MGM. So again, typically even these soft books where I'm limited, I get better betting limits on these mainline markets. But regardless, let's see what else we can do.
What is my girlfriend texting me about? Katie, what up, girl? So, better, there's no value right now. Let's put in uh some other books. Prize picks. Uh,
let's see. That can't be right. Oh, that's because I removed player props. Market player props. Now, I got to put player props back in. prize picks is obviously it's a player prop onlyly sports book. Oh [ __ ] Yo, so look at
this play right Tua. You guys want a better slip? I know you guys love your better slips.
So let's see what we can do because there is some good value on better and prize picks. So, let's see what we can put together very briefly.
mean, give me a sec. I got to deposit a tiny bit more money into better real quick. Yo, I know. So, on better, the optimal slip type. I mean, again, I've done videos. I try to
be very educational, hopefully help you guys. I try to do videos on um on all these different DFS sites and [ __ ] like what is the best slip type
because they all have like a 3x payout prize picks better underdog for two mans but they start to diverge you know after two picks. So long story short let's see what we can do. Yo yo yo yo shut the [ __ ] up [ __ ] So let's go
here. Nope. Um, so check this out, boys. first play we're going to be on is Toutin.
What a stupid ass name. Under eight and a half, longest rush. I mean, on Profitex. That's definitely a trading firm offering his under at plus 129, which means they're trying to bet his over at minus 129. And on better, you
should just assume everything you're betting when you break down the math, betting when you break down the math, you're just getting minus 121 odds. So the second play we have is we have Tua, not Tua passing touchdowns. This is Tua
rushing attempts. Yo, so you look here at Tua, right? Every sports book has his overheavily favored. It's a cross market. Not a ton of data points on like Tua rushing yards. Mr. CTE probably is not
going to be running the ball too much, but still that's a very solid play. We got Sterling. Dude, why are we all over Sterling [ __ ] Shephardd, bro?
man? Can anyone explain that to me? Can anybody explain that to me? So again, what's amazing about these um crossed market bets is you just have such a high confidence in your edge, right? Whenever there is arbitrage, whenever the market
is crossed, like you know for a fact if I can bet both outcomes and make a guaranteed profit. Trey McBride, I definitely like this play. His unders heavily favored on every [ __ ] sports book. Minus 156 minus 147 on DraftKings.
DraftKings 20 billion dollar company. You want to put some weight into their You want to put some weight into their odds. You know what I mean? want to waste your guys' time. I seriously don't. I like I promise. So we
seriously don't. I like I promise. So we have Bolton. He's kind of goated over. So Calvin Redley. They bumped that from the previous stream. We bet him 42 half. Now he's at 48 half. So, that actually kind
of worked out for us. The line moved in our favor. But anyways, here's the play again. The final play is just going Yo, can somebody put the link in the chat? The final play again is just going to be Bolton over eight and a half tackles
Somebody please put the link in the chat. phone. My stream always like [ __ ] with it. But regardless, I got it locked in.
What is my girlfriend texting me? Photos of NFL players. I'm not a girlfriend. [ __ ] Fiance. [ __ ] My bad. I'm engaged now. I can't be saying girlfriend. I apologize, Katie. My girlfriend's in this live stream chat. Yo, Katie, make
some friends. So, now I'm done for the day on better. They only give me a max of $100 a day, which means when I live stream tomorrow, I will not be giving out a better play, I guess, which kind of sucks, but is
what it is. What book do you guys want to look at? What book do you guys want to look at? What book do we want to do?
Let's see. Yo, so did somebody put this better link in the chat? Yo, sorry better link in the chat? Yo, sorry Katie. I gotta text my my fiance.
what else there is. Let's see if there's any crossmarket [ __ ] Any prize picks? There is some prize picks value. We could do a prize pick slip, but I Otherwise, people would be spamming prize picks in the chat. Oh [ __ ]
Yo, we got a better play. Or sorry, Dabble. Yo, so check out this play. This Walker. I love this play,
dude. This play is actually crazy. You guys are going to love this play. Okay, Kenneth Walker to not score a touchdown. You guys like it or no? So, you can see here, dude, this play's insane. First of all, it's a cross market with Novig.
Novig has a ton of liquidity too. Higher liquidity means better like higher confidence in your edge. If these market makers are offering more money on his over at plus 124, they want a bigger position on him to not score at minus
124. You have a higher confidence in your edge. Granted, Dabble is janky as [ __ ] on my phone right now. So, unfortunately, I'm gonna have to do it on my other phone and tell you guys to slip. So yo, [ __ ] pay attention. Pay
attention. Pay attention. Pay attention. So the first play we're going with is Kenneth Walker to not score a touchdown. Dabble is a fixed payout sports book. You take him to score, not score, you get the same payout. So you look at
every sports book, a lot of these books like FanDuel, DraftKings, they're only offering one-way markets, but they have his over at like plus 120, betting 100 his over at like plus 120, betting 100 to profit 120. So that's underdog odds.
So, you know, even though it's only a one-way market, that his under is the more likely the favored outcome. Pinnacle, a really sharp book. Circa, a books give you two-way markets. All these books have his under heavily
these books have his under heavily favored. So, anyways, Kenneth Walker, to not score a touchdown is a crazy good play. Let's [ __ ] go. What are the best dabble shields? Somebody text me the best dabble shields. Whoever the
dabble guy is who spams me with the best dabble shields, can you text that to me? again, but I will run this Tooten guy. I love his name. So, we have Tooten under
eight and a half longest rush. Yo, what are the best dabble shields? So, again, basically on dabble, it's very fascinating. It's actually you guys
are gonna [ __ ] love this [ __ ] There we go. Baker, thank you. Whoever just texted me that notification was a text message that said Baker Mayfield over one and a half passing touchdowns. I love you, whoever that is.
had a payout shift. Yo, so again, you can copy my dabble play once I get it locked in directly on the app. Yo, they're adding in a payout shift. What the [ __ ] dude?
Where's MLB? They don't even have MLB lines posted for tomorrow. are going to kill me, but Sterling Shepard under three and a half receptions. Again, if you find a better shield or if someone posts one in the
chat, let me know. So, Dabble again, I just got it locked in. They limit me to just got it locked in. They limit me to like some $10 a play, but
texted me that. So, this is Kenneth Walker, no touchdown know. It's like glitching out. I don't know if the phone's too old. Kenneth Walker, no touchdown. Tutin under eight and a half, longest rush, but you can
copy it directly on the app. I can already see 59 people already copied. And then Sterling Shepard under three and a half receptions. But let's see FanDuel, dude. Oh my god,
But let's see FanDuel, dude. Oh my god, look at this play. if you [ __ ] text me Baker one and a half passing touchdowns.
Oh [ __ ] someone said Kiran Williams touchdown works. So let's see if this person's right. Kairen Williams touchdown. Does that work as a shield on Dabble? Basically like the same way prize picks has
Goblins. Nope. That doesn't work. That doesn't work, dude. Yo, Jordan Kirn doesn't work. McCaffrey Yo, Jordan Kirn doesn't work. McCaffrey touchdown someone sent. Does that work?
Does Macaffrey touchdown work? Does Macaffrey touchdown work? Nah. Still a 5.4x 4x payout. Anyways, I'm moving on. Yo, so let's get in some
touchdown bets on FanDuel. Does FanDuel have any promos? Let's see. back and get some [ __ ] So, they have MLB profit boost, NFL profit boost.
Again, these promos are the easiest money you will ever make sports betting.
Let's see if this person's right. So, we have Jordan Love. Someone just passing touchdowns. I'm getting a payout shift. 5.4x. I'm done. I'm done reading
texting me shields that don't end up [ __ ] working, bro.
yo, so check out this play, right? You have a cross market with a ton of liquidity. Ton of liquidity. Higher liquidity, higher confidence in your edge. This is a cross market. You can't have the under be minus 1,800
and the over be plus,900 because you could just arbitrage bet it. Bet the over on FanDuel, under on the exchanges to guarantee a profit. So, this is a crazy good play. The question is, do we parlay it or do we run it as a straight
bet? So, the Kendre Miller, not Kendall Jenner. Kendra Miller. I read that Jenner. Kendra Miller. I read that wrong. My bad.
We may have to rip a parlay. Yo, so this is the FanDuel profit boost. FanDuel is a sports book that's very popular. Everybody loves it. Everybody has access to it basically. Unless you live in a stupid ass state and in that
case move from your stupid ass state. Verify my location. So if every bet in your parlay is plus EV, then your parlay is plus EV, right? Like dude, there's so many people who are like, you can't make money betting on parlays. You you can
in your parlay is plus EV, then your parlay will be plus EV. All right. So, this is my profit boost play. But sometimes I also like to uh
limits? But we can also, it's because of this touchdown score, but I can also just run him as a straight bet. That's a crazy good play. Spencer Rattler is also solid, but we already played that on the
previous stream. Again, you're a hedge fund manager. If you are a sports think. When I was a quant trader on Wall Street, I placed tens of thousands of trades every single day. Every trade has a small edge. You let the math work
itself out. It is no. God damn it, dude. I spilled water all over my [ __ ] I spilled water all over my [ __ ] computer.
It is the same thing as a sports better. God damn it, dude. computer's wet as [ __ ] dude. I hate when [ __ ] is wet as [ __ ]
Yo. Um, anyways, that's so stupid. Why am I so stupid sometimes? Damn. All right,
that was such a waste of time. Um, Spencer Rattler plus 850. Yo, what else do we have? So, this Kendry Millie or sorry, why am I pronouncing this guy's name like he's [ __ ] transgender? Where is Kendry Miller? Um, let me get
rid of Hard Rock. Dude, Hard Rock is such an insane book. So whenever there's whenever you can literally whenever two books have such different prices minus 1114 plus 116 that you can hedge that the
over on one book under on a different book to guarantee a profit. You know, one of the two bets has to be profitable. If this computer breaks in like 4 seconds, I'm not going to be happy. FanDuel is a very soft a
very stu dude. Dude, no way. dude. Dude, no way. No way.
Did it [ __ ] with Anyways, get the Kendry Miller play locked in. 684. They're going to give me What just happened, dude?
I'm trying to reconnect my camcorder. Dude, I hope I didn't spill water on that. But anyways, this is Kendry Miller over 68 and a half rushing yards. There we go. So, I'm back. Yo, can you guys
see me? Okay. What What other books do you guys want to look at? There's a lot of value on FanDuel. So, I played Miller over 28 half rushing, right? It is crossed with Novig. An extremely sharp book. the under is being offered by some
trading firm at plus 116. If the under is being offered at plus 116, they want is being offered at plus 116, they want to be on the over at minus 116. receptions. What do you guys think about
that shitty ass quarterback thrown to the running back kind of checks out. How much are you going to give me? 200 bucks. So, Kendry Miller over in rushing bucks. So, Kendry Miller over in rushing yards
receptions, which is obviously I mean it's the same as four plus receptions, DeAndre Hopkins under one and a half receptions.
Yeah, seems right. So, I'm gonna play this as well. It's very simple. It's very simple. Sports betting is very simple. I mean, it truly is very simple. You literally just follow the data. Um, I'm not trying to
go to chat GPT. Why did I just type in chat GPT? Why am I so stupid sometimes? sports book. Literally whenever it is crossed with a sharp book, the value is
crossed with a sharp book, the value is going to be on Hard Rock. Bashard Smith under one and a half receptions. Like no brainer plus 110 arbitrage, [ __ ] ton of liquidity, $3,000. Travis Hunter under
three and a half receptions. He's overrated as [ __ ] Easy. Slam. Again, just max limited on this [ __ ] ass sports book. Iva under five and a half
receptions. It just like it takes 20 seconds to lock these bets in because Odds Jam has one click bet. So, it just kind of takes you right there. It just takes you right there. Um,
Um, but what did I want to do, man?
Again, it's why you got to be using multiple books. You just you don't know.
Yo, what are you guys thoughts on Villanova?
fantasy or something. I don't want to bore you guys with sports book. If you don't want to do sports book, owners box has a promo, but there's not much value. Let's see if there's anything on prize picks.
enough. I mean, there's this like sachs play, but let's see. Dude, there is some tennis value. I mean, I know a lot of you guys, you don't care about tennis, but
value. So, like, guoppy. This guy sounds like he's in the [ __ ] mob. He is in the mob, bro. That guy's in the mob. You can't convince me otherwise. I'm not running Sterling
otherwise. I'm not running Sterling Shepard again. I promise. Gelloo Zepari. What a name. Over 12 and a half games. One. This game is this morning. I hate these Sunday
morning games. I wake up, I want to live stream. I already have [ __ ] $4,000 stressful to live stream in the morning. That's why I love live streaming. I love live streaming for you guys at night. Follow me. Every book has his
overheavily favored. Again, prize picks is a fixed payout sports book. You take his over, you take his under, you get the same payout. His over is heavily favored. You are not smarter than these multi-billion dollar comp companies.
multi-billion dollar comp companies. Kyle use FanDuel $40 billion company teams of data scientists. Is heavily favored? DraftKings 20 billion dollar company teams of data scientists taking hundreds of millions of dollars in
betting volume. They're probably better at pricing things than you are. They have asunder as a minus 150 favorite. If you're not using data to your advantage, you're not using data to your advantage, you're just dumb, bro. You're just dumb.
You know what I mean? Respectfully. Respectfully. Dumb. Dumb as a brick. If you guys are going to be up all night, here's a tennis play that starts at 4:30 a.m. Hopefully, I'm not up. Hopefully, I'm literally in bed so I actually wake
up to live stream when I want to live stream because I know myself. If I decide to go out and black out tonight, I will not be up. And why is this [ __ ] not loading now, dude? Why is prize pick so janky? Okay, so
here we go. Now it seems to be working. Nope, it's not working. right now or just me? Hey, Alex, can you refresh your picket? Sure.
Whoever just texted me, I'm refreshing my picket. So again, you can literally see any bet I ever place because I give out a lot of bets in the SEAB Discord, which by the way, you guys should join. Why is this
way, you guys should join. Why is this app so [ __ ] janky, dude? loading for you guys? Yo, can somebody text me? Is prize pick loading or am I
text me? Is prize pick loading or am I wasting my time? picks. Dude, what is going on?
Okay, so now it seems to be back. I apologize. Kyle, use check. I don't care what sport I'm betting on. You got a bunch of multi-billion dollar companies. behind prize picks, I've made a ton of videos doing the math behind prize
videos doing the math behind prize picks, you'll see the optimal slip type is a is a five or a six pick flex play, which you don't believe me, I don't really care, dude. You can go through the math
yourself, or you can just look at the spreadsheet that I've made tons of videos on. Whenever you are placing a bet, if you run a three pick flex on prize picks or you ever see somebody recommend a three
flex, they're literally stupid. So, you probably shouldn't be tailing them because they're [ __ ] stupid. It's really that simple. Harrison Bucker over one and a half field goals. Every Buck has his overheavily favored. It's also a
has his overheavily favored. It's also a cross market. Yo, boys. We're almost done with the slip, boys. Yo, check it out. I do like these sack plays. I feel like
I never miss on my sack plays. So, let's see. Yo, boys, somebody put the link in the chat. What? Northwestern beat Penn State at Penn State. It's crazy. It's crazy, dude. Anyone on Northwestern,
dude. Anyone on Northwestern, dude? Penn State kind of fell apart. We all thought they were good and then they turned out to be [ __ ] turned out to be [ __ ] Kind of like the Chargers
and the Eagles. It's crazy, dude. I was worried about the Commanders. They are the best team in the NFC East. None of you guys in the chat can make an argument. Eagles Commanders, it's going to be a blowout. 200 halftime. Jaden
Daniel is just going to run train through all these nerds who by the way is my neighbor and you know my best friend. Here's us uh last know my best friend. Here's us uh last night at dinner.
I love that picture. Yo, get this [ __ ] locked in, boys. What do we want to do? What do we want to do? So, there is some more dabble value. Is there any more underdog value I missed or what? Nope.
Let's see. Dude, there's limitless underdog value.
Limitless. Limitless. already on the Chiefs minus 130. Again, I think it's a solid play if you haven't
already run it. Michael Carter. Yeah, I already gave that out on Twitter. Plus already gave that out on Twitter. Plus 210. Now he's down to plus 185. And plus 210. Now he's down to plus 185. And plus 185 still looks like good value. Sorry.
Um, Noah Gray receptions. That's a very good play. Plus 142. Another cross good play. Plus 142. Another cross market.
in the prize pick slip. Somebody put the link in the chat. Dude, I'm not your link in the chat. Dude, I'm not your slave. One of you guys got to put the link in the chat, man.
Good. Like there's millions of odds available across these sports books. only a fraction of the plays. Two books are so out of sync where you can arbitrage bet
them. Bet the over one book, bet the under a different book. Just following a hedge calculator to guarantee to ensure a profit.
E Fanuel parlay. What the [ __ ] dude? Fanuel parlay. What the [ __ ] dude? But whenever it happens, here's the FanDuel play. But whenever it happens,
it's obviously an amazing thing. Out of the millions of odds, maybe 0.1.01% of plays are crossed. And then you just know for a fact, okay, lad to score plus know for a fact, okay, lad to score plus 200 or him to not score minus 183. One
of those bets is plus EV because again you could literally bet him to score plus 200. Bet him to not score minus 183. That's arbitrage
And I can almost guarantee you because BMG is a stupid dumb as a brick sports book. I mean, yeah, clearly the value is on the BM MGM side. Bet MGM is the soft book. If a soft book is arbitrage to a sharp book, no is a very sharp book.
Novague, Profitex, Pinnacle, Circa, Bookmaker. If you don't believe me, type it into chat GPT. All you AI nerds know chat GPT smart. So, type it into chat GPT. Right. Cross market looks ridiculous to every other book. So, lad
plus 200 on MGM. Like, this is a slam, bro.