--- title: 'Only 1 Goal from the Favorite to Guarantee a Return' source: 'https://youtube.com/watch?v=oRu83C7xKXk' video_id: 'oRu83C7xKXk' date: 2026-08-06 duration_sec: 704 --- # Only 1 Goal from the Favorite to Guarantee a Return > Source: [Only 1 Goal from the Favorite to Guarantee a Return](https://youtube.com/watch?v=oRu83C7xKXk) ## Summary This video presents a sports betting strategy that requires only one goal from the favorite team to secure a return. The strategy uses high odds (above 2.0) and an 'unfolding' format to create multiple combinations, reducing risk. The presenter demonstrates the strategy with five games during the World Cup period, showing how to set up the bets and manage the multiplier. ### Key Points - **Strategy Overview** [00:02] — The strategy requires only one goal from the favorite team to feel secure. It is applied in a league with higher quotes, and the presenter will test it at higher prices. - **High Odds Selection** [01:11] — The presenter selects odds of 1.60 or more, but today most odds are above 2.0, such as 2.40, 2.10, 2.37, 2.25, and 2.70. The lowest is 1.66 for América de Natal to win, but both teams to score is at 2.37. - **Unfolding Format** [02:43] — The bookmaker combines results across both teams for five games, but the presenter changes from single to multiple to create an 'unfolding' format, resulting in 10 separate criteria (two per game). - **Five Multiples Explained** [04:04] — Out of 10 criteria, if you get five right, the house pays according to the odds of those five. Each red card (miss) reduces the full value, so you need at least five correct, with at least one from each game. - **One Goal Logic** [05:16] — If the favorite scores one goal, either they win (paying the win bet) or they concede (paying both teams to score). This protects the bet. Ideal scenario is a win with a conceded goal (e.g., 2-1, 3-1). - **Multiplier Warning** [06:53] — The multiplier is 32 for five games. If you enter 50, the total bet is R$16,600, so divide by 32 to get the per-combination stake (e.g., 50/32 = 1.57). For six games it's 64, four games 16, three games 8. - **Results and Return** [08:15] — Despite red cards in every game, the strategy yielded a small positive return. For example, América won 3-0 but didn't concede, so that bet was removed. Aparecidense missed a penalty, reducing the payout, but the strategy still profited. - **High Odds Advantage** [10:04] — With high odds, even with multiple reds, the return is positive. If odds were low, the investment would be at a loss. The strategy also beat another multiple bet in the leverage group. ### Conclusion The strategy of using high odds and an unfolding format can secure a return with just one goal from the favorite, even with multiple misses. It's a low-risk approach that can be applied during the World Cup and future entries. ## Transcript Today I'm going to show you a strategy where you only need one goal from your favorite team. All it takes is for the favorite to score a goal for you to feel secure here at B365. I'm going to apply this strategy today in a league that tends to have higher quotes. So let's test this strategy at higher prices. Beauty? And during this World Cup period we're in now, it's going to be really remain active even while the World Cup is going on. And then you'll be able to apply it to future entries as well, okay? I even sent this tip to the free group, the link is in the description, in the pinned comment, the link to my website, you go to this tab, see, free group, and join there. Is it closed? So, without further ado, let's roll that intro and get to the video, folks. Today I'm going to show you a strategy where I only need one goal from the favorite to feel comfortable. What makes us different today? I'm using quotes way up high, I'm not picking those lower quotes; those lower quotes; I usually pick quotes of 1.60 or more here. Today I'm getting most of my quotes here above two, look. This applies to the result of the favorite as well as to both brands. Look how cool. Results: 2.40, brands. Look how cool. Results: 2.40, 2.10, 2.37, 2.25, 2.70. The lowest odds here are for América de Natal to win at 1.66, but both teams to score are at 2.37. So, I'm only working with high quotes here, quotes above two, most of them, right? So this will allow me to just have two here to feel secure, it will already generate a nice profit for me. Because I'm working with higher quotes. even explaining it right here. See ? America to win and both brands. Look, in the same game that's separated, this is the format I'm going to show you. Aparecid to win and both score. São Luís wins and both teams score. Vitória wins and both teams score. Everything is separate. It's OK? How do I separate this? I 'll show you. When you do exactly what I just showed you here, look. Let's take an example here . Vitória from Espírito Santo playing against Betim. I'll put it directly here on his victory. He is the favorite. guys? But he's the favorite. That's why this price is so high here. Result. And in the goals market, I'm going to pick both teams to score. See? When I do this here, I just showed you the results of both brands, the house note here, look. She doesn't do that. I'm the one who has to do it . I'll show you how to do it. She does it like this, look. She combines results across both brands. five games together. I only have five multiplied OD. This OD here, if I put any value in it, I have to get everything right, I can't get anything wrong. And that 's not what I want, because the change that? You'll come here, to show options, click here and create a bet, change from single to multiple. And then it will remain in the broken format, just like my ticket there, a format better known as unfolding, which you probably already know, many people probably already know it from Mic's channel, Darlan's channel, who are the pioneers in this unfolding thing. These guys are pros at this format, okay? Okay, let's go, way here. If you like it, leave a like and subscribe to the channel so you can keep receiving everything, okay? Let's go. Now you see, I no longer have the games together. I have 10 separate criteria here. Why 10 criteria, Eduardo? It wasn't five, because he separated them. See? I had her there, she had multiplied the two games. Now, for each game, I have two criteria. Piracicaba and both score. Oh, Vitória, and both teams score. São Luís and both score. They separated. So it became 10 criteria because each game had two criteria. There are two [music] criteria. It's OK? See, I don't have any more multiplied audio here. I only have the option of five multiple choices. Hey Eduardo, what does "five multiples" mean? This means that out of the 10 criteria that remain, if I get five right, the house will pay me according to the odds of those five correctly . I have to emphasize this because sometimes people want to get the maximum return even if they make mistakes. There is no way to. Each time I take a red card, if I take a head here, that red card I took reduces full value. So with each red, it will decrease, okay? And since I'm working with high odds, if I get a few right here, I'll be fine. I have to get at least five of these 10 right. And remember, it has to be at least one from each game. I can't let any game go by without scoring, can I? It's no use me being here, look. I nailed both, I nailed both, I nailed both. Okay, so I've already nailed six, I've nailed both, I've nailed eight. Then it came to 0 here. It's a total red. I lost everything. It's OK? Just to be clear, you have to get five right, but it has to be at least one from each game. A, or Parcidense VC or both brands, America VC or both brands or both, of course. It's OK? Why do I say I only need one goal? Let's go. Victory in Espírito Santo. He got there and scored 1-0. Wow, I know this game is going to bring me a return. Why? Either Vitória will win with this 1-0 lead until the end. If he doesn't win with this 1-0 lead until the end, it's because he conceded a goal. He conceded, he conceded a goal. Having already scored one, protected. Then both teams pay. He scores a goal, or he pays for this victory with that one goal. He arrived at the end, he scored a goal. Oops, it's not both brands do. I'm protected. It's OK. So if he concedes a goal, Eduardo, first Betin goes there and scores a goal, it's still a red card, he's not scores a goal, I know he's already guaranteed a win records, okay? And the ideal scenario is for him to win and concede a goal. 2-1, 3-1, 3-2, 4-1, any score where he wins and concedes a goal. The expectation for these games is not that there will be an over/under. I spreadsheet, the ones with the highest chance of winning and scoring goals, so I could create this strategy here, okay? And of course, just scoring a few is enough to put your mind at ease. Oh, here's another point to pay attention to. I'm highlighting the ease so you can make your next entries. Or you can get it from the group; I even sent this one to the free group, for free. You can join here, the link is in the description and in the pinned comment, you go here and participate there, okay? Okay, just to wrap things up here, guys, I have a multiplier here. Be very careful with that multiplier. Whatever value you put here, it will be multiplied by 32, because there are five games. So, for example, I used 50 there, I can't put 50 here, otherwise it will be a bet of R$ 16,600, okay? So, be very careful with that. Hey smaller amount? Use 50. For example, you'd take 50, divide it by example, you'd take 50, divide it by 32, and you get 1.57, okay? That came to R$50. Always do that calculation, okay? If there are six games, that'll be 64. If there are four games, that'll be halved, giving 16. Three games, 8. This is to pay you, guys. Making 32 possible combinations will get you paid very careful with this. Ah, Eduardo, I want to use a slightly larger amount. I have a good bankroll, I want to use R$100. Putting this many bets here will give me R$ 3.15, you see? It'll be 100. Oh, I want to use it even more. I want to use 200, 6.25. Okay, so there you go. No, my minimum value. Go ahead and pay 50 cents, multiply that by 32, and you get R$16. Be careful with that. The amount that will always be withdrawn from your bankroll is the amount shown here, okay? So, always keep an eye on that little value there, okay? Tip sent in the group. As soon as we have the return, cashout, whatever it is , we'll get back to you and show you , okay? I got games at pretty much the same time there, look. 3 PM, there's a game at 4 PM, right? So they should be simultaneously paying out cashout, and whoever is paying, we'll come back to show you everything. Stay here, I'll be right back. Back here, guys. Let's go then to our return. The return is pretty small, isn't it? But you can see that even with the red card, oh, we took a red card in every game, oh. Here, América won 3-0, they beat them. If he'd conceded a goal, it would have been perfect. Here, we were getting this OD of 2.37. Since it didn't match, it's removed from our ticket. Both teams scored in the Aparecidense game, and they started by winning. I preferred his victory, it was 2.70, he started winning 1-0. Guys, this game had a penalty right at the end and Aparecidense managed to miss that penalty, so, guys, just this OD here, look, 2.70. If that goal had happened, the entrance fee would have already been over 200, but since it did n't happen, we reduced our price. As soon as the penalty was awarded, the bookmaker started paying out around 160, which I had even mentioned in the group a little earlier. As soon as she scored a goal, it went up to 137. when I saw it , but it paid a little more because the bookmaker already understood that there might be a chance there. This game was already guaranteed for us; either his victory would pay off, or both sets of scores would go our way. paid for both, OD brand, smaller. It's OK. Here too, in the São Luís game, look, they but they conceded a goal at the very end. This also interfered with another one of our tickets, but here we have protection. Oh, Vitória also won, they paid for his audio recording, they didn't break both records. Look guys, all the games only met one of the met both. The 15 de Pirascaba team drew, they were winning too and then drew. drew, they were winning too and then drew. So look, 1 2 3 4 5 red. And even so, we managed to get a return. It's small, yes, very small. A very small profit return there, but we ended up with a positive result. Not to mention that it even paid out a pretty nice amount with this strategy. Here I am again to show you the difference with high OD. If this OD (oddspot) were low, investment, I would be at a loss. But since the OD (Offered Delivery) was quite high, it guaranteed a return with a profit for us. Beauty? These same games here, World Cup period, we managed to beat our other multiple bet that was launched in the leverage group. This one here, look, gave a refund. They also gave a refund here. In that São Luís game, they were winning 1-0 until the very end. Ours was over 400. I ended up closing it, I don't know if the guys in the group closed theirs too, but here we managed to get 310 in a big green in our leverage group. Okay, guys? so you can receive all of this description, in the pinned comment; you can join the groups there. I even sent this one to the free group; you can join there and receive the entries, okay? The important thing is that it's a really cool strategy, and we're going to usually bring this up on the channel to reinforce who we're still using this strategy for, and you can check it out in the group, okay? If you still have any questions about any other strategy, leave a comment here and I'll directly. My contact information is on the website if you have any questions, okay? And do n't forget, most importantly, if you've made it this far and have n't left a like yet, go ahead and like and subscribe to the channel to keep receiving everything, okay? I'll stay here for now, until next time. Thanks, everyone. Until later. 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