---
title: 'Crypto Bottom In? Prediction Markets Say This…'
source: 'https://youtube.com/watch?v=5M55fbmxVCE'
video_id: '5M55fbmxVCE'
date: 2026-08-01
duration_sec: 2163
---

# Crypto Bottom In? Prediction Markets Say This…

> Source: [Crypto Bottom In? Prediction Markets Say This…](https://youtube.com/watch?v=5M55fbmxVCE)

## Summary

This live stream analyzes the current crypto market uncertainty, questioning whether the local bottom is in while other risk assets like gold hit all-time highs. The host also covers a pumping gaming altcoin sector, highlights Hyperliquid's strong fundamentals, and dives deep into the growing prediction market space, sharing personal trading strategies and platform insights.

### Key Points

- **Bottom Not Confirmed** [00:28] — The host is skeptical of calls for a local crypto bottom because tariff deals with NATO countries are unconfirmed and other asset classes like gold are still running hot, which could pull capital away from crypto.
- **Macro Crypto Landscape** [03:06] — Gold hits new all-time highs, Kansas introduces a Bitcoin strategic reserve bill, BlackRock calls tokenization the future, and the host says we are in the 'middle ground'—not early, not late.
- **Hyperliquid Growth vs Price** [03:53] — Hyperliquid (HYPE) trades at the same price as 365 days ago, yet users are up 367%, open interest up 123%, trading pairs up 77%, with $1B in buybacks and $1B in TVL portfolio margin.
- **Hyperliquid Revenue Metrics** [04:55] — According to DeFiLlama, Hyperliquid's annualized revenue is ~$660 million, and it earned $3.4 million in the last 24 hours—a business generating profit regardless of market conditions.
- **Trove Token Crash** [05:37] — The Trove token, an RWA platform selling Pokemon cards with leverage, raised $11 million and crashed 95% immediately, scaring people away from altcoins and crypto.
- **Gaming Sector Pumping** [09:34] — Gaming coins are the current narrative: AXS +200%, SAND +40%, MANA +36%, SLP +34%. However, newer tokens like Ronin and Prime aren't moving much, and the host's long-term conviction is low.
- **MicroStrategy 'Best Ponzi'** [14:38] — MSTY pays ~4% monthly/quarterly, capped at $99–100, with excess cash used to buy Bitcoin. MicroStrategy stock is up 641% since September 2022, outperforming BTC, ETH, SOL, Metaplanet, and Google.
- **Leverage Trading Brutality** [19:14] — Crypto has been range-bound in a 20% band, repeatedly flushing leverage longs at the $90K level. Unless you're a full-blown expert, leverage trading in this chop has likely been disastrous.
- **Prediction Market Edge** [21:13] — The host made $141 today on mentions markets (excluding sports), emphasizing that you can find an edge in any niche, and mention markets are where he finds consistent profitability.
- **Prediction Markets Going Mainstream** [23:31] — The New York Times published an article about prediction market traders making millions. Robinhood's CEO predicts a super cycle, and Coinbase, MetaMask, and Phantom are integrating prediction markets.
- **Top Traders on Leaderboard** [26:47] — Mention market leaderboards show Tyrell made $1,200 today, anonymous Kenobi has made $433,000 total, and Mr. Moonlight turned $1,000 into $300,000. The host suggests 3–4% daily returns are great, 10% is professional.
- **Basketball 'No Buzzer' Strategy** [30:27] — The host is betting 'no buzzer' in NBA mention markets because announcers rarely say 'buzzer'—only about 1 in 5 games hit the buzzer mention, even in close games.
- **Final Crypto Outlook** [34:27] — The host is not convinced the crypto market is in the clear yet. With stocks, gold, copper, and silver doing well, people aren't rushing into crypto. He'll treat any rally as a pump fake unless a leg down happens.

### Conclusion

The host remains cautious on crypto despite optimism around tariff deals and local-bottom calls, preferring to wait for risk assets to cool before adding positions. Meanwhile, prediction markets offer a genuine edge, especially in mention-based markets where the host is consistently profitable.

## Transcript

All right. What is up, everybody? Today we're&nbsp; going to be diving into the crypto markets.&nbsp;&nbsp; Obviously, yesterday we had a big update across&nbsp; potential tariff deals with NATO countries. A&nbsp;&nbsp; lot of people see optimism in that for the&nbsp; markets. I'm not really sure we should be&nbsp;&nbsp;
overly bullish yet. I still do think we need to&nbsp; see a few things play out and other asset classes&nbsp;&nbsp; maybe even cool off off the backs of this. And&nbsp; also it's just the early stages of a deal. So,&nbsp;&nbsp;
we have no confirmation yet. We'll talk about&nbsp; if the local bottom is in and if because other&nbsp;&nbsp; assets are running that risk assets like&nbsp; Bitcoin and crypto could take a little bit&nbsp;&nbsp; of a leg down. On top of that, I'm going to go&nbsp; over the one altcoin sector that is pumping at&nbsp;&nbsp;
this point in time and long-term people on&nbsp; this channel will know exactly what that&nbsp;&nbsp; is. And then we will dive into prediction&nbsp; markets at the end of the show. And look,&nbsp;&nbsp; I mean, the New York Times is literally publishing&nbsp; about the top traders on prediction markets making&nbsp;&nbsp;
millions and millions of dollars utilizing&nbsp; platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. So,&nbsp;&nbsp; let's just dive in to everything.&nbsp; Without further ado, let's jump into it.
All right. And before we dive in, be sure&nbsp; to drop down below, hit that like button,&nbsp;&nbsp; and subscribe to the channel for more every single&nbsp; day here on In The Game. We have you covered top&nbsp;&nbsp; to bottom everything you need to win across the&nbsp; crypto and prediction markets. Of course, crypto&nbsp;&nbsp;
has been hard to navigate over the last 6 months,&nbsp; but I do see greener pastures coming up around the&nbsp;&nbsp; corner. And just a big shout out quickly to our&nbsp; sponsors, Blofin, Gravity, ZKsync, Aikido, Kalshi.&nbsp;&nbsp;
You can check out all of those down below in the&nbsp; description. But we're just going to jump right&nbsp;&nbsp; into it as right now we are looking at a market&nbsp; that is showing a lot of uncertainty. And guys,&nbsp;&nbsp; ask questions in the chat. Any tokens you want&nbsp; to talk about, anything like that. What's going&nbsp;&nbsp;
on locked in? Good to see you here as always,&nbsp; my friend. Uh from not too far away from me,&nbsp;&nbsp; actually. Uh and if you know, you know. But hope&nbsp; you're having a good day, brother. Uh let's just&nbsp;&nbsp; go ahead and jump into the markets, guys. Right&nbsp; now, uh we're kind of in this middle ground. You&nbsp;&nbsp;
know, Trump's talking about a deal with NATO&nbsp; countries about pausing the tariff situation&nbsp;&nbsp; and anytime tariffs is a topic of conversation.&nbsp; We really do uh you know, kind of the market just&nbsp;&nbsp; becomes a really hard place to trade. We have&nbsp; a lot of people on crypto Twitter saying, "Oh,&nbsp;&nbsp;
this is a local bottom." And then we have a lot&nbsp; of people kind of skeptical, myself included. I'm&nbsp;&nbsp; pretty skeptical about this. And and you know,&nbsp; if we just take a look across the board, this is&nbsp;&nbsp; so true right here. Boomers watching their stocks&nbsp; hit all-time highs while you're going in debt for&nbsp;&nbsp;
a hamburger. That's most the world right now if&nbsp; you're trading crypto. It's really hard out there&nbsp;&nbsp; unless you're in the trenches catching new tokens,&nbsp; but you really have to be locked in to be in those&nbsp;&nbsp; circumstances. So, at this point in time, we still&nbsp; see gold today, new all-time high. Also, we see,&nbsp;&nbsp;
you know, a lot of developments in the crypto&nbsp; space with stuff like Kansas introducing a bill&nbsp;&nbsp; to create Bitcoin and strategic reserves. We see&nbsp; BlackRock out here saying, you know, tokenization&nbsp;&nbsp; is going to be the future with Citadel's CEO being&nbsp; visibly irritated. So, we are not early anymore,&nbsp;&nbsp;
but we are definitely not late. We are in this&nbsp; middle ground. And like you're saying in the chat,&nbsp;&nbsp; uh, Shiba Mac, a lot of people just have no clue&nbsp; what to do in this market, but I feel like we're&nbsp;&nbsp; in that in between time period where crypto is&nbsp; kind of establishing this massive base. And I feel&nbsp;&nbsp;
like once we get over this little hurdle we've&nbsp; had since August, I do think that there's big&nbsp;&nbsp; time upside in the crypto markets going forward.&nbsp; We can just look across the board at some of these&nbsp;&nbsp; prices. I mean, SOL just dipped below 130. We have&nbsp; Hyperliquid at $21. And I thought that this tweet&nbsp;&nbsp;
was phenomenal. Hype's trading at the exact same&nbsp; price it did 365 days ago, which is actually kind&nbsp;&nbsp; of crazy. Uh the users have gone up by 367%. Open&nbsp; interest has gone up by 123%. Trading pairs have&nbsp;&nbsp;
increased by 77%. And then we have Hyperliquid's&nbsp; native stable coin launched. A billion dollars&nbsp;&nbsp; they've done worth in buybacks which takes that&nbsp; supply off the market. Multiple HIP-1 markets.&nbsp;&nbsp;
30 plus builder codes and apps. A billion in TVL&nbsp; portfolio margin. I mean things have developed&nbsp;&nbsp; so far, but right now altcoins have just been so&nbsp; suppressed. And I think if you're still out there&nbsp;&nbsp; buying quality alts, I think you will come out on&nbsp; top in the long haul. Undoubtedly, in my opinion,&nbsp;&nbsp;
one that I'm absolutely eyeing. If it goes below&nbsp; $20, I don't know how someone can logically say&nbsp;&nbsp; they're not going to take a stab at Hyperliquid.&nbsp; And if we just move over to a metric side of&nbsp;&nbsp; things, uh, let me just pull up DeFiLlama here. If&nbsp; you just look at the metrics on things like this,&nbsp;&nbsp;
you know, Buller Bear projects like Hyperliquid,&nbsp; for example, are just absolutely printing from a&nbsp;&nbsp; business perspective. If we look here uh at&nbsp; their fee structure over the last 24 hours,&nbsp;&nbsp;
uh let's see, revenue annualized is&nbsp; about $660 million. And if we see here,&nbsp;&nbsp; uh I think I can go to fees and revenue over&nbsp; the last 24 hours, they have made $3.4 million.&nbsp;&nbsp;
That's the type of business you want to be backing&nbsp; in these types of climates. Find the ones that are&nbsp;&nbsp; making profit regardless of market conditions that&nbsp; aren't folding, that aren't running away. I mean,&nbsp;&nbsp; literally this week also, uh, if you have been&nbsp; paying attention to crypto Twitter at all,&nbsp;&nbsp;
you've seen this drama with this Trove token, for&nbsp; example. I mean, this is the reason people still&nbsp;&nbsp; are so hesitant with crypto. They see these&nbsp; big promising projects that come out of the&nbsp;&nbsp;
woodworks and they say, "Hey, we're going to be&nbsp; a prediction or no, this one was a RWA platform&nbsp;&nbsp; selling Pokemon cards and other collectibles uh&nbsp; onchain with leverage. How does that work?" Like&nbsp;&nbsp;
like when you think about that RWA's Pokemon cards&nbsp; with with leverage, what in the heck how does that&nbsp;&nbsp; even function? You know what I mean? So people&nbsp; subscribed $20 million into the or they raised $11&nbsp;&nbsp;
million and the token crashed 95% immediately. I&nbsp; mean these are the type of things that keep people&nbsp;&nbsp; away from altcoins and crypto and this is a big&nbsp; time part of exactly why crypto and altcoins have&nbsp;&nbsp;
been so suppressed for so long. So, you know, when&nbsp; we look across the future and what we can expect&nbsp;&nbsp; in the markets going forward, I think we really&nbsp; need to wait on stocks and other risk assets like&nbsp;&nbsp;
gold and stores of value like gold to simmer down.&nbsp; I think that as long as we see gold continuing to&nbsp;&nbsp; hit all-time highs and I mean we can just go pull&nbsp; up uh TradingView really quick and we can take a&nbsp;&nbsp;
look at the gold chart because the gold chart&nbsp; is absolutely disgusting to the upside. Let's&nbsp;&nbsp; just go look at the gold XAU launch chart. Let's&nbsp; see it. I mean look at that. This is exactly why&nbsp;&nbsp;
people are trading these types of assets over&nbsp; crypto and altcoins. Whereas altcoins even&nbsp;&nbsp; Hyperliquid the probably one of the if not the&nbsp; top altcoin in the cycle the last two years last&nbsp;&nbsp;
year or so is trading at the same price it was a&nbsp; year ago. You see gold just absolutely printing&nbsp;&nbsp; green candles over the course of I mean forever.&nbsp; Just look at this thing. Of course, people are&nbsp;&nbsp;
gonna want to buy gold because this thing just&nbsp; goes up infinitely. So, crypto is in this middle&nbsp;&nbsp; ground. Uh, but I think we're establishing the&nbsp; regulations. States like Kansas, Texas, bunch&nbsp;&nbsp; of other institutions and banks are establishing,&nbsp; you know, their footing from a strategic reserve&nbsp;&nbsp;
perspective. We see people buying it as just part&nbsp; of their balance sheets, whatever the case is. To&nbsp;&nbsp; me, I think it's a gold rush to get as much&nbsp; Bitcoin as humanly possible. And once we do&nbsp;&nbsp; kind of break out of these doldrums, we every time&nbsp; we hit those $90,000 levels, we just get rejected.&nbsp;&nbsp;
I think it's going to be a big time for crypto&nbsp; and altcoins. What I'd be looking at at this time&nbsp;&nbsp; period would be stuff like SOL under 130. I think&nbsp; that's a great price to me. Even I I'm not an XRP&nbsp;&nbsp;
guy, but XRP under $2, you're probably going&nbsp; to come out on top taking that proposition. I'm&nbsp;&nbsp; looking for Hyperliquid underneath 20. I'm also&nbsp; looking at TAO in these areas. I mean 230 to me&nbsp;&nbsp; is super cheap. I've seen some people online&nbsp; saying it can go to $60. If TAO went to $60,&nbsp;&nbsp;
I would be utterly shocked. Even if Bitcoin goes&nbsp; below 80K. I I would really be surprised if we saw&nbsp;&nbsp; that far of a leg down at this point in time. And&nbsp; then on top of that, I do love KAS. KAS holding up&nbsp;&nbsp;
well. It's still up 20% on the weekly chart. And&nbsp; that is one I'd also be looking at as far as a&nbsp;&nbsp; uh a potential DCA. Jorge, what's going on, my&nbsp; friend? Um, Solana. Yes, absolutely. Solana,&nbsp;&nbsp;
I I think this dip is is something that I would&nbsp; be eating up at this point in time, but I I did&nbsp;&nbsp; see that the uh the new uh the the Seeker token,&nbsp; right? It went live today. Um I don't know if we&nbsp;&nbsp;
have it even yet on Nexus because it's so new.&nbsp; Um or like it just launched. I did see that huge&nbsp;&nbsp; airdrop for anyone that got the Seeker phone.&nbsp; I did not because I have the original Solana&nbsp;&nbsp; phone and um I just stuck with that and yeah uh&nbsp; I I kind of got rinsed on that nonetheless. But&nbsp;&nbsp;
it is what it is. And uh one narrative I want to&nbsp; talk about funny enough that you're here Jorge is&nbsp;&nbsp; uh gaming. I mean this is if you still&nbsp; park money. Okay, so here's the problem is&nbsp;&nbsp;
nobody's out here holding Axie Infinity actively&nbsp; right now. Um, I think Godzilla token, luckily,&nbsp;&nbsp; I'm a pre-investor in that, so I have a little&nbsp; bit of a bag there. Um, as we see, you can go&nbsp;&nbsp; to the monthly chart here. Gaming is legitimately&nbsp; the king narrative right now, but only if you're&nbsp;&nbsp;
holding dinosaurs outside of Godzilla. So, we see&nbsp; AXS up 200%. But newer school tokens like Ronin or&nbsp;&nbsp; Prime not really doing that much over the monthly&nbsp; time period. We see stuff like Sandbox up 40%.&nbsp;&nbsp;
Uh Rollbit up 30%, MANA up 36%, SLP up 34%. So&nbsp; this is literally like what's happened in the&nbsp;&nbsp; privacy sector recently. We saw um what Monero,&nbsp; Zcash, coins that have been around for quite some&nbsp;&nbsp;
time just take random legs up and that's exactly&nbsp; what we are seeing with the gaming sector. So to&nbsp;&nbsp; me my conviction in the gaming side, especially&nbsp; tokens has lowered. I mean that there's no doubt&nbsp;&nbsp;
about that. I if like just the developments in&nbsp; gaming have been crazy to the negative side,&nbsp;&nbsp; but I mean, you know, you can't really knock&nbsp; yourself for missing on AXS uh in 2026. I I&nbsp;&nbsp;
don't think anyone really had AXS pumping January&nbsp; 2026 on their bingo card. So, uh same uh you know,&nbsp;&nbsp; Sheba, I'm I'm also looking at Xborg. To me, Xborg&nbsp; still has some of the most upside from the low cap&nbsp;&nbsp;
side of gaming and they they operate like a top&nbsp; tier project. You know, $10 million market cap.&nbsp;&nbsp; I just feel like the liquidity is not there for&nbsp; low market caps yet. So, I'm just kind of waiting&nbsp;&nbsp; on that alongside you. What's going on, Mumo&nbsp; Evans? Good to see you as always in the chat. Um,&nbsp;&nbsp;
but yeah, for me, that's the same thing.&nbsp; I'm looking at uh Shiba. I'm also looking at&nbsp;&nbsp; Xborg. And I think that if gaming can get a more&nbsp; well-rounded pump, I think like if if dinosaur&nbsp;&nbsp; coins like AXS and SAND and MANA are pumping,&nbsp; you could probably end up expecting pumps into&nbsp;&nbsp;
the next wave of gaming coins, uh, kind of going&nbsp; down that ladder. Maybe stuff that, you know, at&nbsp;&nbsp; one point had crazy runs that people know about,&nbsp; uh, like Heroes of Mavia, for example. Absolutely&nbsp;&nbsp;
not a great long-term project, but that's one of&nbsp; those things that's probably going to get a scam&nbsp;&nbsp; pump if liquidity remained in gaming. So, it's&nbsp; not even the good projects that would be pumping.&nbsp;&nbsp;
It's more so the uh the projects that have these&nbsp; crazy liquidity backings uh that just inject their&nbsp;&nbsp; charts alongside, you know, people making money&nbsp; on AXS and kind of going down the ladder saying,&nbsp;&nbsp;
"Hey, um I made money here. What's the next gaming&nbsp; coin down the ladder?" And they kind of just start&nbsp;&nbsp; picking off narratives in the gaming sector. Have&nbsp; I met with the Xborg team by chance? Yeah, I have.&nbsp;&nbsp; Uh that is actually one of my great friends in the&nbsp; crypto space. They're amazing guys. They they work&nbsp;&nbsp;
with Swissborg, one of the biggest uh institutions&nbsp; over in the European side as far as investing and&nbsp;&nbsp; in crypto. So yeah, I I love what they do over at&nbsp; Xborg. They operate like pure professionals. And&nbsp;&nbsp;
um you know, right now it's just a hard time&nbsp; in the market for a project of their size,&nbsp;&nbsp; but I think they'll come out on top, hands down.&nbsp; Um and then Investor Jordan, I I agree with a&nbsp;&nbsp; few of these. I still love Wagmi Games as a low&nbsp; market cap. Uh they're cooking behind the scenes,&nbsp;&nbsp;
and it's just such a small project. Nobody really&nbsp; still takes a look at it. Uh and then Superverse&nbsp;&nbsp; at $120 million market cap. The reason I'm still&nbsp; bullish Super a little bit is the fact that&nbsp;&nbsp; uh Ellio is teasing a little bit of a change in&nbsp; utility. Let me see if I can find this tweet that&nbsp;&nbsp;
he put out. Um, and you know, these live streams&nbsp; are fun for crypto because on a normal show,&nbsp;&nbsp; I'm able to pre-establish what I'm going to&nbsp; talk about and kind of just move along. However,&nbsp;&nbsp;
um, in a live stream, I can kind of bounce back&nbsp; and forth and actively find things that I've seen.&nbsp;&nbsp; Here we go. So, early days, but we've been kicking&nbsp; around some crazy plans for what Superverse can&nbsp;&nbsp; become. There's been three prior iterations of the&nbsp; protocol. Uh but already this next one would be&nbsp;&nbsp;
the one that sticks long-term. At any rate, it's&nbsp; uh each time it's gigasent, I've sold nothing.&nbsp;&nbsp; Let's do it again. So hopefully we do see that. I&nbsp; would love to see Super kind of have a resurgence&nbsp;&nbsp; and I would love to be able to take some trades&nbsp; on similar gaming aligned projects like a Super,&nbsp;&nbsp;
like a Beam or a Prime, whatever the case&nbsp; is. Seeing those types of tokens run would&nbsp;&nbsp; be really rewarding after such a long period of&nbsp; time. Uh and then what we're seeing in the the&nbsp;&nbsp;
stock market is actually really interesting too.&nbsp; Uh MicroStrategy is coming out with all these&nbsp;&nbsp; diverse assets in their ecosystem. So even if you&nbsp; don't hold MicroStrategy, you can put your money&nbsp;&nbsp; into MSTY and you get 4% I think it's monthly or&nbsp; or quarterly, whatever the case is. So 16% and the&nbsp;&nbsp;
price is capped around $99 to $100. So whenever&nbsp; you're investing in it, it's more like a mutual&nbsp;&nbsp; fund. Every time it goes over a hundred, they use&nbsp; that excess cash to buy Bitcoin in their reserves,&nbsp;&nbsp;
which then pumps the MicroStrategy stock. To&nbsp; be honest, MicroStrategy is probably the best&nbsp;&nbsp; Ponzi on Earth. And uh if you actually looked at&nbsp; the performance, I saw Pio talk about this. Pio,&nbsp;&nbsp;
let's see, I saw Pio tweet about this today,&nbsp; which is crazy to kind of visualize. If we see the&nbsp;&nbsp; MicroStrategy chart uh against Bitcoin, ETH, SOL,&nbsp; Metaplanet, and Google ever since September 2022,&nbsp;&nbsp;
uh MicroStrategy is up 641% since that time&nbsp; period. So, uh definitely something if you're&nbsp;&nbsp; into crypto, make sure you diversify. And even&nbsp; if you're a new investor, seasoned investor,&nbsp;&nbsp;
seasoned investor, you would know this. But&nbsp; make sure during these time periods when gold,&nbsp;&nbsp; copper, silver, uh, Nvidia, MicroStrategy,&nbsp; Robinhood stock, Tesla stock are doing crazy&nbsp;&nbsp;
numbers in the market. Make sure you have that&nbsp; diversification because it definitely feels good.&nbsp;&nbsp; Me as a complete crypto native, I look at my&nbsp; stock portfolio and sometimes it gives me just&nbsp;&nbsp; a little bit of a sigh of relief. Uh, sovereign,&nbsp; I didn't even see your uh your comment there. Uh,&nbsp;&nbsp;
these are all gaming coins more likely to be&nbsp; tradable with leverage on CEXs. Exactly. Uh,&nbsp;&nbsp; that's why I wouldn't really buy into this&nbsp; pump unless the next level of gaming tokens uh,&nbsp;&nbsp; started pumping. I absolutely 100% agree with&nbsp; that. Uh, that this is a lot based off of open&nbsp;&nbsp;
interest and leverage uh, rather than people just&nbsp; going down the line and buying spot tokens. That&nbsp;&nbsp; is certainly true uh, at this point in time. Uh&nbsp; and yeah, anyone else with questions X or YouTube,&nbsp;&nbsp;
let me know down below in the comment section&nbsp; and in the chat box and we will absolutely&nbsp;&nbsp; uh absolutely dive into it. I'm also live trading&nbsp; this uh AOC market, but the topic of conversation&nbsp;&nbsp;
is not X-friendly. Okay, I cannot be talking&nbsp; about the um the topic of convo here without&nbsp;&nbsp; getting basically taken off YouTube. So, just so&nbsp; you know, I will not be I will not be diving in&nbsp;&nbsp;
too hard here. Uh, but what I have done Oh,&nbsp; did I just snipe that correctly? I did. Huh. I did. They just set Oh, they they just ended.&nbsp; Okay, cool. Cool. This market's ending. All&nbsp;&nbsp;
right. Awesome. Um, so this one here, I actually&nbsp; just came out on top, it looks like. Very nice.&nbsp;&nbsp; Uh if we see here on this one here, I made 17. And&nbsp; then on my two positions that I just fully closed,&nbsp;&nbsp;
I made 50. So 67 on that one. I made 30 on&nbsp; Aston Villa this morning. Uh I made 30 on&nbsp;&nbsp; Mombani this morning. And then on top of that,&nbsp; uh Elon Musk's speech is not showing up here,&nbsp;&nbsp;
but I made about 136 there. So, uh, as you can&nbsp; see, the portfolio has been doing really good&nbsp;&nbsp; here on, uh, on Kalshi the last few days and,&nbsp; uh, trying to keep up that momentum. Really&nbsp;&nbsp; just sticking mainly to the mention market side&nbsp; of things instead of delving into, you know, just&nbsp;&nbsp;
strictly sports. Like, if I do a sports one, I&nbsp; better have high conviction in it. Uh, otherwise,&nbsp;&nbsp; it's it's really been good on the mention side&nbsp; of things. So, just keeping it objective with&nbsp;&nbsp; that. Um, Cooper's definitely getting ready to run&nbsp; hard playing options on them right now. Uh, oh,&nbsp;&nbsp;
in the stock market. I would need to take a look&nbsp; at that. I don't really trade options too much. I&nbsp;&nbsp; think that's something I really need to dive into&nbsp; because like if I'm just going to be honest and&nbsp;&nbsp; obviously um for me, I am not I'm not a leverage&nbsp; trader when it comes to crypto as and honestly,&nbsp;&nbsp;
if I was leverage trading this freaking price&nbsp; action, I'm just going to go like the 4 hour.&nbsp;&nbsp; If I was leverage trading this price action the&nbsp; last six months, I probably from here to here. Oh,&nbsp;&nbsp;
copper. Copper. Yeah, okay, that makes sense. Uh,&nbsp; options on copper probably absolutely cooking at&nbsp;&nbsp; this point in time. If I had been leverage trading&nbsp; crypto throughout this time period, we've just&nbsp;&nbsp;
bounced between this 20% range infinitely. Like,&nbsp; let me let me zoom it up and then redo that. So,&nbsp;&nbsp; this range has probably drove so many people away&nbsp; from crypto that they don't want anything to do&nbsp;&nbsp;
with it. And I completely understand. Every&nbsp; time you do a leverage long and you feel like&nbsp;&nbsp; the market's about to break through that $90,000&nbsp; level, you get flushed. Same thing, flushed. And&nbsp;&nbsp;
then we see a big downturn here down to those&nbsp; low 80,000 levels. We slow grind up. Gives you&nbsp;&nbsp; that big hope. Okay, back to 94. Wicks you back&nbsp; out to 89, comes back up to 96 97 on these wicks,&nbsp;&nbsp;
and then even brought us back down as low&nbsp; as 87 just a few days ago. So, if you've&nbsp;&nbsp; been trading this chop leverage in crypto,&nbsp; unless you are a full-blown expert, I mean,&nbsp;&nbsp; you've probably gotten eaten alive over the last&nbsp; few months. So, that's something I need to get&nbsp;&nbsp;
uh in my repertoire because I I don't know that,&nbsp; you know, leverage trading crypto, that's not my&nbsp;&nbsp; thing. But options is something and I I know you&nbsp; can even just sell uh you know sell puts on your&nbsp;&nbsp;
existing stock portfolio and it's basically if you&nbsp; know what you're doing you can print money in your&nbsp;&nbsp; uh options count in your brokerage account. So&nbsp; I definitely need to take a look at that um as&nbsp;&nbsp; far as a strategy but uh yeah this market just did&nbsp; conclude and it looks like some people are getting&nbsp;&nbsp;
screwed on a few buzzer beaters. So, I'm just&nbsp; glad I sold all my positions before except for one&nbsp;&nbsp; um which was Trump, which is trading at 97, which&nbsp; means there's a little bit of controversy on it&nbsp;&nbsp;
potentially. Um I'm going to go ahead and just&nbsp; get out of it and just fully resolve that. Um but&nbsp;&nbsp; yeah, nice 70 bucks on a speech I didn't listen&nbsp; to. I could have gotten absolutely cooked here.&nbsp;&nbsp;
Uh my original risk on this was a couple hundred&nbsp; bucks. Uh but I did downsize it because I was&nbsp;&nbsp; starting to stream. I probably should have left&nbsp; all my positions and this would have been probably&nbsp;&nbsp; a little over a hundred bucks profit. But it is&nbsp; what it is. Uh we will take a win where we can get&nbsp;&nbsp;
it. But guys, I know a lot of you uh who are new&nbsp; to the channel or have been with us for a while&nbsp;&nbsp; have been seeing a lot of this prediction market&nbsp; content and you're wondering, you know, is this&nbsp;&nbsp; here to stay? Is prediction markets something that&nbsp; you can legitimately find an edge in? And I'm here&nbsp;&nbsp;
to tell you absolutely. Um I'm I'm just speaking&nbsp; from someone who I come from crypto and I used to&nbsp;&nbsp; be you in college and and to this day I still do&nbsp; uh sports bet here and there, but there's so low&nbsp;&nbsp;
edge in sports betting. Whereas, if you actually&nbsp; do the mention market side of things here,&nbsp;&nbsp; you can make legit money from just knowing what&nbsp; people are going to talk about in speeches. Um,&nbsp;&nbsp;
so yeah, today I've made 141 just on mentions,&nbsp; not even including not even including my sports&nbsp;&nbsp; pick that I did this morning. And then, um, there&nbsp; was one other. So, just in mentions, I'm up 140&nbsp;&nbsp; today. I think including sports, I'm up a little&nbsp; over 200 on the daily. Yeah. So, uh, get buff,&nbsp;&nbsp;
get better. You can find your edge in anything,&nbsp; you know, whether it's weather, Netflix, Oscar&nbsp;&nbsp; nominations for today, uh politics, who's going to&nbsp; be the next governor of a of a state or a mayor of&nbsp;&nbsp;
a major city. Uh you can find your edge on these&nbsp; things. And for me, the uh mention markets have&nbsp;&nbsp; definitely been where the money is. So, just&nbsp; sticking to that and not burning money in other&nbsp;&nbsp; niches. And it goes the same thing with crypto. In&nbsp; crypto, if you trade a chart or a coin that you're&nbsp;&nbsp;
unfamiliar with, you're not going to have as much&nbsp; of an edge. Whereas, if you just watch if you&nbsp;&nbsp; trade Ethereum chart all day long, you're going&nbsp; to know that much better than just hopping into a&nbsp;&nbsp; random chart. It's the same thing with prediction&nbsp; markets. You can find an edge in anything. And&nbsp;&nbsp;
if you don't believe me, well, today the New York&nbsp; Times posted this article, Clash Picks, huh? Okay,&nbsp;&nbsp; interesting. Yeah, there is esports on here. I&nbsp; mean you can do League of Legends, CS GO, Clash,&nbsp;&nbsp;
Call of Duty, everything is on Kalshi. It is a&nbsp; beautiful you can trade everything. But today the&nbsp;&nbsp; New York Times posted an article uh about betting&nbsp; on prediction markets is their job. They make&nbsp;&nbsp;
millions. And this is Prediction Market Trader&nbsp; on Twitter. I've recommended his account to you&nbsp;&nbsp; guys a few times here on different videos. And we&nbsp; see uh Robinhood CEO saying there's going to be a&nbsp;&nbsp; prediction market super cycle. Robinhood has them&nbsp; now. Um Coinbase is integrating with uh prediction&nbsp;&nbsp;
markets. MetaMask has prediction markets. Phantom&nbsp; has prediction markets. It's crazy. I mean some&nbsp;&nbsp; of these guys uh D0r here on Polymarket alone&nbsp; $2.6 million in profit just on one platform. And&nbsp;&nbsp;
they're majority doing things like he says here,&nbsp; Academy Awards or uh Netflix markets or you know&nbsp;&nbsp; he was uh he he made a lot of money that uh Vance&nbsp; was going to be the vice presidential elect for&nbsp;&nbsp;
Donald Trump before anyone knew that uh in PMT his&nbsp; profit just surpassed 144k and his next goal is&nbsp;&nbsp; um 500,000 and I absolutely agree with this is my&nbsp; win rate should not be as high as it is but that&nbsp;&nbsp;
means he's not taking spots where he shouldn't.&nbsp; Right? So, this is all about knowing your niche.&nbsp;&nbsp; And for me, I've burnt money on I I watch a lot of&nbsp; movies. I watch a lot of Netflix. I I feel like I&nbsp;&nbsp;
pay attention. I I I feel like low-key I could be&nbsp; like a movie critic, okay? But for some reason,&nbsp;&nbsp; I can't do the movie markets worth of garbage.&nbsp; Netflix ratings, Rotten Tomatoes scores. I always&nbsp;&nbsp;
get screwed. But it almost feels like they're&nbsp; manipulated in a way. You can't manipulate&nbsp;&nbsp; dimensions because they're live speeches. You&nbsp; know, Donald Trump, AOC just spoke, Elon Musk,&nbsp;&nbsp; uh you could do Jamie Dimon, Jerome Powell will be&nbsp; live next Wednesday trading Jerome Powell's speech&nbsp;&nbsp;
uh for the Fed, whether he's going to cut rates&nbsp; or not. So, these are the types of things if you&nbsp;&nbsp; do your research and you know what's going on in&nbsp; current events and you watch like if you watch&nbsp;&nbsp; 10 Trump speeches, you're going to know exactly&nbsp; what he's going to say. Um I got a few questions&nbsp;&nbsp;
to get here. Uh any suggestions on best people to&nbsp; follow for prediction markets? Yeah, of course.&nbsp;&nbsp; Um this is a great list to start with. First&nbsp; of all, Prediction Market Trader I I think is&nbsp;&nbsp; probably near the top of the list because he also&nbsp; uh like myself, he'll stream prediction markets&nbsp;&nbsp;
uh on major speeches and stuff like that. He's a&nbsp; great follow. Um, another one I would recommend&nbsp;&nbsp; who and these guys you you can get on their&nbsp; streams and you could see what they're selecting,&nbsp;&nbsp;
but that's never going to build you an edge. So,&nbsp; your edge is going to be built off of things that&nbsp;&nbsp; you're digging into, right? Um, Tyrell, he's great&nbsp; at prediction markets and also mention markets.&nbsp;&nbsp; And he just mainly posts information like what&nbsp; the markets are, uh, things going on, if someone&nbsp;&nbsp;
has a major win, how they kind of dug into that&nbsp; and and made it happen. Uh, this is a really&nbsp;&nbsp; good follow on Twitter for prediction markets.&nbsp; Uh, yeah, there's a lot, but I would start with&nbsp;&nbsp; PMT and Tyrell. And if you look at the mentioned&nbsp; leaderboards, um, go back to leaderboards here.&nbsp;&nbsp;
I know on um, if we can get this to load. Here&nbsp; we go. I know, for example, on the daily, I saw&nbsp;&nbsp; him on the list earlier. I don't see him now. What&nbsp; about the monthly? Oh, this is on all categories.&nbsp;&nbsp;
Hang on. Mentions. Yeah, here's Tyrell. He's made&nbsp; 1,200 today um on mentions. Kenobi is insane,&nbsp;&nbsp; but he's kind of anonymous, so you can't really&nbsp; um you can't really even follow him anywhere, but&nbsp;&nbsp;
he's made $433,000 just on mentions. Uh and today&nbsp; he made 4,000. So, you can just see there's money&nbsp;&nbsp; to be made here. Mr. Moonlight, he took $1,000&nbsp; and he's now up 300 grand. So, uh, he's made&nbsp;&nbsp;
$900 today. For him, that's a bad day, right? So,&nbsp; you can build your bankroll here. Take appropriate&nbsp;&nbsp; size. And a lot of people are happy with like if&nbsp; you make 3 to 4% on your total portfolio every&nbsp;&nbsp; single day, that's great. If you're making 10%&nbsp; on your total portfolio a day, you're a literal&nbsp;&nbsp;
professional at prediction markets. Uh, let's see&nbsp; here. Prediction market growth about to be crazy.&nbsp;&nbsp; Bigger than sports betting. Yes, absolutely.&nbsp; Everything altcoin. I I think people who are early&nbsp;&nbsp;
in the prediction market space legitimately it's&nbsp; going to end up being like sports betting five to&nbsp;&nbsp; 10 years ago people and this is a I think this is&nbsp; kind of schemy uh we're about to build something&nbsp;&nbsp;
for free which is going to be amazing for you&nbsp; guys by the way and we have something that we're&nbsp;&nbsp; building here uh for all the prediction market&nbsp; fans that like the streams want to learn more&nbsp;&nbsp; figure out an edge we have something coming for&nbsp; free that you can join get tools picks etc live&nbsp;&nbsp;
chat hats, you know, be able to stream these uh&nbsp; even like with a group of people, trade them live,&nbsp;&nbsp; and you know, be able to have an edge. Uh we're&nbsp; going to have that coming for you guys very soon.&nbsp;&nbsp; But um you know, back about 10 years ago, people&nbsp; thought that sports betting was never going to&nbsp;&nbsp;
be legal. People were selling picks online&nbsp; for a price and they were getting laughed at,&nbsp;&nbsp; but they would tell people sports betting is going&nbsp; to be one of the biggest industries in the world.&nbsp;&nbsp; Fast forward to 2026. You can't turn on the TV&nbsp; without a DraftKings FanDuel um Hard Rock app&nbsp;&nbsp;
uh you know advertisement on your phone or on the&nbsp; on the TV. So it's it really has gotten to that&nbsp;&nbsp; level and I do think prediction markets are the&nbsp; exact same way. Uh so I agree. George said this&nbsp;&nbsp; morning that uh Kalshi and Polymarket both reached&nbsp; out uh about a collaboration with Clash Picks.&nbsp;&nbsp;
Interesting. Uh yeah, we we work with Kalshi here&nbsp; on the channel. I love working with Kalshi. Um,&nbsp;&nbsp; and it is my favorite exchange simply because&nbsp; of the amount of mention markets that they they&nbsp;&nbsp; have. Polymarket seems to be a little bit uh tame&nbsp; on what they offer for mentions, but uh Kalshi is&nbsp;&nbsp;
the king of earnings calls, debates, state of the&nbsp; unions, World Economic Forum. They have everything&nbsp;&nbsp; here for you to trade. Yeah, you can even do&nbsp; the weather, which is just absolutely crazy.&nbsp;&nbsp;
Um, and just looking at my portfolio right now,&nbsp; things I'm holding on to. I think most of my&nbsp;&nbsp; active trades are done for today. Um, I do have&nbsp; Coinbase to advertise during the Super Bowl. Uh,&nbsp;&nbsp; small position, but I think that that's&nbsp; absolutely assertain. They always do these&nbsp;&nbsp;
crazy psychological advertisements. Whenever they&nbsp; uh there's a big event, they have like these,&nbsp;&nbsp; you know, if we were to fit all $21 million of&nbsp; bit or 21 million Bitcoin in a shipping container,&nbsp;&nbsp;
you just need one. Uh if you want to do the amount&nbsp; that the Fed prints every day, it's like so much&nbsp;&nbsp; uh shipping containers in cash. So, they always&nbsp; do these like deep psychological commercials. So,&nbsp;&nbsp;
I definitely think this is still good value at 68&nbsp; cents for Coinbase during the Super Bowl, but you&nbsp;&nbsp; do have to wait about three more weeks for that&nbsp; to come through. Um, and if we look at markets&nbsp;&nbsp;
out there right now, I go to mentions here. One&nbsp; that I've really been liking at nighttime has been&nbsp;&nbsp; basketball markets. Um, these basketball ones to&nbsp; me have been very, very solid. So, this one starts&nbsp;&nbsp;
in four hours. And you know, you have the obvious&nbsp; ones. Uh, injury, injured. They're going to say&nbsp;&nbsp; that because Jimmy Butler just tore his ACL. I&nbsp; believe it was his ACL, not his Achilles. Um,&nbsp;&nbsp;
all-star. They might mention this. Steph Curry&nbsp; just earned his x amount of all-star, you know,&nbsp;&nbsp; consideration. American Airlines is probably&nbsp; going to hit. That is the name of the stadium&nbsp;&nbsp;
for the Dallas Mavericks. And usually they end&nbsp; up saying this. So American Airlines is probably&nbsp;&nbsp; pretty decent. The ones I've been loving to play&nbsp; are Buzzer. Buzzer. No. Which is kind of crazy.&nbsp;&nbsp;
You would really think that um you know you&nbsp; would think that this would hit almost every&nbsp;&nbsp; single time, but uh it has not been I really it's&nbsp; like one out of every five games that I've been&nbsp;&nbsp;
trading hits buzzer and especially if the game&nbsp; is not close. You would think if the game's like&nbsp;&nbsp; a one possession game, they're going to shoot&nbsp; a shot, they're going to say at the buzzer,&nbsp;&nbsp; but for some reason these announcers have kind&nbsp; of been changing their rhetoric a little bit and&nbsp;&nbsp;
not saying the word buzzer. Um, and even if we&nbsp; split them tonight, we're up on the day because&nbsp;&nbsp; of our early day um, selections. So, if we go&nbsp; back to mentions here, the second game on the&nbsp;&nbsp; slate tonight is Los Angeles Lakers at Los Angeles&nbsp; Clippers. And I'm also going to go no buzzer here.&nbsp;&nbsp;
And I think this one's at the Intuit Arena. Um,&nbsp; so that's probably going to hit as well. I wish&nbsp;&nbsp; it was Crypto.com Arena. I feel like they always&nbsp; mention Staples Center or Crypto.com Arena used to&nbsp;&nbsp;
be the Staple Center. Um, Intuit I would probably&nbsp; take, but it's a little expensive at 80 cents. Uh,&nbsp;&nbsp; regardless, I do like Buzzer here as well. No, I'm&nbsp; going to buy 50 contracts of that. So, uh, those&nbsp;&nbsp;
are my two selections tonight. Just no Buzzer in&nbsp; both basketball games. And as the game goes on,&nbsp;&nbsp; I might end up building positions, especially if&nbsp; the game if they're both blowouts. Like if the&nbsp;&nbsp;
games are 10, 15, 20 point margins, I'm going to&nbsp; probably stack up Buzzer so long as it hasn't been&nbsp;&nbsp; said by like the third quarter. That's really&nbsp; it for today, guys. Um I do just want to like&nbsp;&nbsp; I think for me uh if we just go I'm going to&nbsp; pull up my own channel here, CB in the game.&nbsp;&nbsp;
I think um one thing I do want to do a little more&nbsp; of is content where I go over edges. Uh this one,&nbsp;&nbsp; you know, it has a decent amount of views, but how&nbsp; to find your edge on prediction markets beginner&nbsp;&nbsp;
strategy. Like not everyone's going to go back&nbsp; and watch these live streams because they're&nbsp;&nbsp; live. They may think that we were, you know,&nbsp; only trading live, but I do feel like we went&nbsp;&nbsp; over some high level stuff as to how to find&nbsp; an edge in this video and in this stream. So,&nbsp;&nbsp;
uh, what I want to do as well is incorporate&nbsp; a few more pre-records like this, just general&nbsp;&nbsp; how to find your edge in prediction markets&nbsp; or whatever the case is. Uh, mention markets,&nbsp;&nbsp; etc. tools to use, software products, people to&nbsp; follow, all that stuff. So, you can definitely&nbsp;&nbsp;
expect more of that. And look, with prediction&nbsp; markets blowing up and New York Times out here&nbsp;&nbsp; saying, you know, betting on prediction markets is&nbsp; their job. They make millions. I feel like it is a&nbsp;&nbsp;
good industry to kind of cement ourselves in early&nbsp; and kind of be one of those hopefully uh leaders&nbsp;&nbsp; in the space as far as on YouTube contentwise also&nbsp; the tools that we're building behind the scenes&nbsp;&nbsp;
that you guys will be able to join uh here in just&nbsp; a few days probably heading into early next week.&nbsp;&nbsp; So that's going to be it for today. Uh not a lot&nbsp; of stuff going on as far as speeches currently in&nbsp;&nbsp;
the prediction market space. I'm on no buzzer in&nbsp; both of tonight's basketball games. And as far as&nbsp;&nbsp; crypto, I'm just kind of uncertain right now. Um&nbsp; I know a lot of people calling for local bottoms&nbsp;&nbsp;
and I don't think that that's hypothetically a&nbsp; bad call, right? But with risk assets doing so&nbsp;&nbsp; or other risk assets doing so good, gold, copper,&nbsp; silver on top of that with stuff like the stock&nbsp;&nbsp;
market. I checked my stock portfolio today and&nbsp; all my stuff in my portfolio is green. Literally&nbsp;&nbsp; everything I'm holding was in the green. So when&nbsp; that's happening, people aren't just going to&nbsp;&nbsp; be rushing to the gates to buy crypto. Um, so&nbsp; so for me, I tweeted this today. I'm not sure&nbsp;&nbsp;
the crypto market's in the clear yet. Obviously,&nbsp; I'm very happy to be wrong because if I'm wrong,&nbsp;&nbsp; my bags will pump, but uh if it it does feel like&nbsp; a pump fake to me for crypto prices, and I'm going&nbsp;&nbsp; to probably play it that way, not add too much&nbsp; to any positions unless we do take a leg down.&nbsp;&nbsp;
And if we take a leg up, I'm going to be very&nbsp; happy and actively looking uh for different trades&nbsp;&nbsp; to take and also uh for take-profit levels on&nbsp; certain coins. So guys, that'll be it for today's&nbsp;&nbsp; stream. If you enjoyed the content on YouTube,&nbsp; like and subscribe down below. On Twitter,&nbsp;&nbsp;
just hit that like button, hit the heart button&nbsp; down below, and we will see you guys on tomorrow's&nbsp;&nbsp; video to wrap up the week. As always, trade&nbsp; well, my friends, and stay bullish, my friends.
