--- title: 'MS11 Trading Strategy: 75-80% Success Rate Explained' source: 'https://youtube.com/watch?v=pqNMbc52MgI' video_id: 'pqNMbc52MgI' date: 2026-07-12 duration_sec: 3124 --- # MS11 Trading Strategy: 75-80% Success Rate Explained > Source: [MS11 Trading Strategy: 75-80% Success Rate Explained](https://youtube.com/watch?v=pqNMbc52MgI) ## Summary This lesson introduces the MS11 trading strategy, which claims a 75-80% success rate. The strategy emphasizes following news and events, identifying trends on weekly and daily timeframes, and using closing prices and price levels for entry signals. It is designed for larger timeframes and requires patience and practice. ### Key Points - **Strategy Success Rate** [00:02] — The MS11 strategy has a personal success rate exceeding 75-80%, verified through live sessions. - **Importance of Trading Strategies** [00:44] — A clear strategy defines entry/exit points, manages risk via stop-loss, and prevents emotional decisions. - **Starting Tips** [02:12] — Define goals, start with a demo account, manage capital, and follow news to avoid random market moves. - **MS11 Strategy Name** [04:34] — MS11 stands for MS Academy, a trading style developed over years for predicting market movements. - **First Condition: Follow News** [04:58] — News directly identifies market direction; understanding economic data and events is crucial. - **Trend Following Principle** [07:07] — Always trade with the trend: if the market rises, buy; if it falls, sell. Never go against the trend. - **Timeframe Alignment** [10:23] — Check weekly, daily, and four-hour timeframes. All must align; if not, skip the market. - **Identifying Trend via Closes** [15:50] — Use positive/negative closing prices on weekly and daily charts to determine trend direction. - **Price Levels Importance** [21:43] — Psychological levels (e.g., every $25 for gold) act as support/resistance; breakouts confirm direction. - **Four-Hour Confirmation** [36:44] — Wait for a positive/negative close on the four-hour chart at key price levels before entering. - **Setting Targets** [42:10] — Targets are based on support/resistance: first target is the last broken level, second is the last peak. - **Stop-Loss Management** [43:03] — After first target hit, move stop-loss to entry price to eliminate risk; then aim for second target. ### Conclusion The MS11 strategy combines news analysis, trend identification on multiple timeframes, and price level breakouts to achieve high-probability trades. Consistent application on larger timeframes and disciplined risk management are key to success. ## Transcript Welcome to this lesson. In this lesson, we will learn a strategy that I have personally used for learn a strategy that I have personally used for many years, and its success rate exceeds 75-80%. Its results are proven through the live sessions we conduct every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday at 12 noon. Of course, if you would like to verify these results, you can go to the channel's live sessions section and see the previous sessions. The success rate of this strategy is very accurate. We will learn it together today, God willing. If you would like to further develop your skills in this strategy, you must attend our live sessions to gain practical experience. gain practical experience. By trading with this strategy, you can predict price movements and market movements with very high accuracy, reaching 75-80%, God willing. Now, we will learn together about the importance of trading strategies. Of course, with this together about the importance of trading strategies. Of course, with this strategy, we can clearly define our goals, knowing where to enter and where to exit. What are the logical goals? All these things help us when we have a clear strategy. Of course, risk management means reducing losses by using tools like stop- loss orders. This is something you, as a trader, whether you are a beginner, intermediate, or professional, must use. It's essential to minimize losses as much as possible while still profiting from the market. Commitment, of course, helps you stay committed when you have a clear strategy. Our buying and selling decisions aren't based on emotions; they are more precise and based on clear conditions. This way, we avoid randomness and improve our performance. It increases the chances of successful trades. When we're not working randomly, it helps us develop continuously. When we review our trades, we can improve our trading style and performance. It helps us a great deal. In short, a trading strategy protects the trader from risks and increases their chances of success. Without a trading strategy, you can't make profits in this field, so it's only natural to have one. Clearly, we know when to enter and when to exit. All these things help us make very sound and things help us make very sound and successful decisions. Tips for starting correctly: First, we must define the goals and strategies we want to work on. What are the goals we want to work on—weekly, monthly, and daily? Second, of course, we must start with a demo account so that we reach the stage where we have mastered the strategy, the work plans, and the conditions. After that, we move to real accounts and start making profits, God willing. Capital management is essential in all strategies. As we discussed in previous lessons on risk management, we shouldn't raise the risk too much. This leads to consistently random results. You might make a lot of money, but a week or two later, you might lose all your profits and even your entire capital. At the same time, it's very important to follow the news. Of course, in all trading strategies, it's mandatory to follow the news because the market moves randomly when the news is released. Of course, the market doesn't move randomly. When it wants to go up, it goes down. The idea here is that it moves randomly based on the data that appears. Let's say the data is positive, so it starts moving positively; if the data is negative, it starts moving negatively. But here, if your analysis is very accurate and you have a buying opportunity, and the data turns out to be negative, then the market will naturally go selling, contrary to your expectations. This is where you start to see the results. That's why it's very important to follow the news. Based on the news, if the news is positive and I have a buying opportunity, then we have the Sometimes, as we said, there can be a conflict between the news and the strategy. The strategy might be telling me to buy, but the news is negative. So, of course, I have to avoid the negative because there has to be harmony between technical and fundamental analysis. Some strategies might work in opposite directions, but their success rate is low. We are now talking about a very high success rate. We will learn this strategy in the same way. It's important to be patient because we might not reach the stage of mastering the strategy quickly. We need practice and patience. Apply it consistently on a demo account to reach a good level before moving to a real account. Now let's move on to the conditions and learn about the strategy's requirements and start practical application. The first thing we'll start with is the strategy's name. The strategy is called MS11, which stands for MS Academy. In this academy, I predict market movements for the week, I predict scalping trades, I learn how to read charts, what to pay attention to, and how to analyze. This is my trading style, which I've developed over the years. If you've reached this stage, the first condition of the strategy is to follow the news very closely. Of course, if you don't understand much about news, if you don't understand much about news, you can watch the lesson where we explained how to follow the news, what the important news is, how to analyze the news, when the data arrives, how to know if a piece of news is positive or negative, and what the most important news is that we should always follow. That's the first thing. The second thing, of course, is... We discussed events discussed events in detail in the news lesson, explaining how we can benefit from them. Even if we don't understand technical analysis very well, we can still benefit from the market. It's crucial to have a comprehensive understanding of current events while also having a basic grasp of comprehensive understanding of current events while also having a basic grasp of news analysis, economic data analysis, how to track data releases, what the past has been, and what's expected. This allows us to build very good forecasts. Why is it so important to follow news and events in this analytical style or strategy? Because it directly identifies the direction. When I have significant events happening or important news about to be released, I can directly identify the direction. After that, everything becomes much simpler. Ultimately, as we mentioned, there are always three market movements: upward, downward, and sideways. There's always three market movements: upward, downward, and sideways. There's down, or moves sideways. So, when... I need to be familiar with the news and current events. This allows me to directly identify the trend. It's not difficult at all to identify the trend; once you grasp the trend—whether we're currently experiencing an upward, downward, or sideways movement—we'll see how to identify it on the chart. This is the most important condition of the strategy: you need to be aware of the directly identify the trend based on them. This trend might last for a week, 10 days, or 15 days. We stay in the same direction, never going against it. If the market is rising, we rise with it; if the market is falling, we fall with it. This is the principle of the strategy, the principle of the MS1 strategy. We always go with the trend. The principle of the strategy is that you hold the trend and keep moving with it consistently. We never go against it. So, if it's rising, we rise with it; if it's falling, we fall with it. This is the first principle, or the first condition, of the strategy: following the news and current events. We take the trend. Okay, when I don't have any news or current events happening, I take the previous movement. I take the previous movement. What was the last movement that happened? Let's say I had a clear trend on the four-hour timeframe, the daily timeframe, and the weekly timeframe. I have a clear trend, which is an upward trend. Then the market entered a sideways range with a sideways movement. Here, I know that the trend is upward. This is the first condition. I don't have any current news or events telling me, "Go ahead and buy now." No, tomorrow we will have positive news, or positive news will be released, or a positive event will happen that will push me to buy, so I don't buy. I positive news, or positive news will be released, or a positive event will happen that will push me to buy, so I don't buy. I we said, I know there is movement in an upward direction. Always, always on the four-hour timeframe, the daily timeframe, and the weekly timeframe. We don't go below that. That is, the maximum, the maximum possible timeframe. We only work and monitor on the four-hour timeframe. Okay, our work and monitoring are always on the larger timeframes. Why on the larger timeframes? Because we take the trend from them very accurately. So as soon as I saw a clear trend on the four-hour timeframe, the daily timeframe, and the weekly timeframe. They all need to be consistent. The weekly timeframe is giving me a buy signal, the daily timeframe is giving me a buy signal, and the four- hour timeframe is also giving me a buy signal. So, I have a clear trend. The current sideways movement is clear trend. The current sideways movement is causing me confusion because there's no clear trend right now. But I'm following the previous trend. As we said, if I don't have any news or events happening, I go back to the last movement before the sideways range. The last movement was a strong upward trend on the weekly, daily, and four-hour timeframes. Once I identified the sideways range, why am I identifying it? I'm identifying it so I don't get caught in it. So, I draw a line from the top and a line from the bottom. If it breaks downwards, I don't enter. Why don't I enter? Because my trend is already upward. I have to go with the trend. I wait for the upward breakout. As soon as it breaks upwards, that's when I start trading. trend is beginning to form, aligning with the primary trend, which is upward. At that point, I start looking for buying opportunities. We'll discuss entry conditions shortly, but this is the principle for determining the trend. As we mentioned, we have an upward trend, a downward trend, and simultaneously, sideways fluctuations. A sideways trend occurs when the market is unclear, there's no news, no events happening. Where do I determine the trend? I take it directly from the last movement before the sideways range formed. As soon as a sideways range forms, I draw the range to simply wait for the price to keep moving up and down until it reaches to simply wait for the price to keep moving up and down until it reaches the price falls, I don't look for a sell because my underlying trend is upward. I simply follow the trend. Once I see an upward breakout, I start taking buy orders. There's also something very important: if I move to the condition that After that, the method of drawing the chart is clear. I first opened the condition. Now, I opened the condition to see what I'm looking at. Which market am I following? Of course, the system and the strategy work on all markets. I use it on all markets. The first thing I have to look at is the weekly timeframe. Why? To determine if we are in an uptrend or downtrend. After that, I move to the daily timeframe to determine if we are in an uptrend or downtrend. After that, I go to the four- hour timeframe to determine if I am in an uptrend or hour timeframe to determine if I am in an uptrend or downtrend. As soon as I have a downtrend. As soon as I have a discrepancy between the timeframes, I put an X on the chart, saying that this market is not suitable for today. You will sometimes find me saying in the live stream that we don't have a clear trend because the weekly timeframe is giving me a buy signal, the daily timeframe is giving me a sell signal, and the four- hour timeframe is showing no clear trend. So why should I enter? Why should I buy? Why should I sell? My goal is to make profits. So, if I don't have a clear trend, why should I enter? profits. So, if I don't have a clear trend, why should I enter? Just because I want to enter? So, you want to enter, and then you If you go in, you'll only lose yourself, that's all, guys. What we're buying and selling based on is the chart. You're analyzing the chart, and based on that, you're making buy analyzing the chart, and based on that, you're making buy and sell decisions. So you need to be very aware, extremely focused, and highly conscious of this. and sell decisions. So you need to be very aware, extremely focused, and highly conscious of this. on what you see in front of you. So when you don't have anything clear, ignore it, ignore the whole market, exclude this day, exclude this week. When you don't have anything clear, sometimes, as we said, we don't have anything clear, then just exclude that market and go look for another one. Why? Because our goal is to profit, not to open trades. No, our goal has to be clear. Our goal is to achieve profits, to grow our portfolio. So my goal is very clear: I want to take risks to achieve profits, not to open trades. When do I have something clear? When the weekly timeframe is aligned with it, and the daily timeframe, weekly timeframe is aligned with it, and the daily timeframe, if the four-hour timeframe isn't aligned with it, I wait for it to. We'll talk about the entry conditions in a bit so you understand me, but the weekly and daily timeframes must always align. The weekly timeframe is a sell signal, the daily timeframe is a sell signal, and the four-hour timeframe, if it looks like a buy signal, turns into a sell signal, and I sell with it. It's that simple. Why? Because we always take the trend from larger timeframes. When you take the trend from a larger timeframe, the market moves much more in your favor. That's why you find that most of my predictions show the market moving 500 points, 1000 points, and sometimes 2000 points. Sometimes we even hold the trend for a whole month. Go back and look at the live sessions; the US indices have been buying for more than a month. Can you imagine, a whole month of holding the trend from the lowest point up to the highest point? Why? Because we know how to hold the trend, how to hold the trend from the weekly and daily timeframes. Once you hold the trend, you know your task becomes very easy and simple. Why? Because ultimately, you only have three options, as we mentioned. Let me go back a bit. You have an uptrend, a downtrend, and a sideways trend. Once you've identified the trend you want from these three options— uptrend, for example—and eliminated the downtrend and sideways options, you know what to do. My entire focus is now on buying only. entire focus is now on buying only. I wait for buying scenarios and then I start trading. This way, you're much more comfortable in the market; you're not constantly distracted and anxious, wondering what will happen next. Your the market; you're not constantly distracted and anxious, wondering what will happen next. Your focus is entirely on buying. If the market gives you buying conditions, you buy. If it doesn't, you don't want to keep buying and selling. Believe me, this is the biggest mistake traders make. They keep buying and selling on the same day, buying and selling every half hour or two. This is the biggest mistake you can make. So, let's get back to the lesson on the weekly and daily timeframes. We conflict between the weekly and daily timeframes, what do I do? I'll exclude this market... I'm fine with it, I don't want to start with it. I have a conflict between the weekly and daily timeframes, but there's a discrepancy. So what do I do? I just wait for them to start aligning. four-hour timeframe is only positive. What do I wait for? I wait for them to turn negative, and then I start going with the trend. Simply put, I have a conflict between the weekly and daily timeframes, so I'm avoiding a bad situation. Okay, my daily and four-hour timeframes are also negative, so I'm avoiding a bad situation. The more advanced I become, the more you can disregard the negative. Why? Because I'm combining it with the news, not because I'm predicting how the candle will close, but because I'm combining it with the events and news that are happening. So, as you refine your experience with the news and your sense of what's happening, you become stronger in your strategy. Also, sometimes you can disregard it. Atlases, but first, let's proceed step by step as we discussed to ensure we're on the right track. The more experience we gain, the more we'll develop. The weekly and daily timeframes must always be aligned. I wait for the four-hour chart to overlap and align with the four-hour charts. From there, I can correctly determine the trend. Additionally, there's a high probability of news or events that support a downward move. Positive closes are key to the next step. Regarding chart reading, we discussed how to identify the trend. Let me add a small point: how to identify the trend. As soon as I see a clear trend—sideways, upward, or downward—I need to determine my current position: am I in a sideways range, in a downtrend, or in an upward trend? This helps me understand the next step. Once I accurately identify the trend, I know the next move. As we discussed, it's through the closes. Once I identify the trend... Regarding closing prices, I know where I am currently in the market. We will see many practical patterns now. Let's look at practical patterns to make things much easier. Okay, let's move on to the next condition, which is closing prices. Positive and negative closing prices. So, how can we know if a closing price is positive or negative? Simply put, I need a candle with a positive closing price, like this, so I can determine if it's a positive closing price. Or, a candle with a small body and a long tail would also be considered a positive closing price. Of course, we won't look at many patterns for positive closing prices. I want you to focus only on the very clear patterns. The weekly closing price is a very clear pattern. This is the first pattern. The weekly closing price is a very clear positive pattern. I have the second pattern like this: I have a very strong reversal, a very strong rejection with a positive closing price. It then bounced back and closed higher. Okay, these are the exact same patterns. We need to look for them. When I have a sell order, I need a sell order with a large, long candle like this, or I have... A candle with strong rejection is a sell candle. The candle's body is small, but its tail is long. It might have a its tail is long. It might have a slightly longer tail at the bottom, which isn't a problem, but it shouldn't be too long. The conditions are exactly the same for both buying and selling. The closing price we're discussing now is the same for both buying and selling. Focus only on these two patterns; they're sufficient. We won't delve into other patterns. A very large negative close, a long candle, a candle with very high liquidity, or a candle with a small body and very strong rejection, indicates very strong selling. very strong rejection, indicates very strong selling. After this pattern, more than 60% to 70% of the time, there will be selling. When we have this candle in this shape, or when we have this candle in this shape, we're talking about the weekly close. What happens after that? When the next candle opens, the markets open. Here, what happens? There's strong selling. When we're talking about the weekly outlook... The weekly candlestick... What happens when I see a decline? There's a significant movement, maybe 100, 200 points, 500 points, or even up to 1000 points. This happened, for example, this week on the gold chart. The week closed very negatively. So what happened to gold? We discussed this in detail; you can go back to the live session and see why we predicted such a large decline. Firstly, because of the events, and secondly, because of the negative closes. We had two excellent conditions: we predicted gold would drop to 2600, and thankfully, it did. We've been discussing this in the last three sessions, focusing on negative and positive closes. As we mentioned, these are very important because when I have a close like this—a large, long candlestick like this— or a negative close with a small body and a long candlestick like this, and a wick from below (which shouldn't be too large, should be small or medium), it's crucial. The candlestick pattern above gives me evidence of what? It indicates the current market uncertainty. Neither sellers nor buyers are in control, so there's a stalemate. However, when the candlestick pattern is small and selling pressure is present, the market rose. There was candlestick pattern is small and selling pressure is present, the market rose. There was buying, but sellers overcame buyers, causing a rapid and sharp decline. The week then closed lower, indicating a negative close. Sellers are currently in control. That's why the next pattern, next pattern, as we mentioned, usually shows a 50% to 70% selling percentage. The second pattern, as we discussed, involves a control the market by a significant percentage—not just 70%, 50%, or 70%, but over 90%. So, what do you expect next week? We're not suggesting you open the weekly chart and immediately sell after seeing a negative close. We're identifying the trend, then we move on to the remaining conditions. There are many more conditions to consider. Positive and many more conditions to consider. Positive and negative closing prices are determined in this way. After that, I start comparing the weekly and daily closing prices. I say both are positive, okay, that means the trend is upward. I say the weekly closing is very negative, the daily closing is very negative, so I wait four hours for the market to break out. Why? Because the trend is clearly either selling or buying. Based on what I determined, it's based on the closing prices and the trend. I have a clear trend: a buy trend and a sell trend. Then, of course, I have the current events and news happening. We always have events and news. Not two or three days go by without a major event happening. Not two or three days go by without important news. Okay, it's very rare to important news. Okay, it's very rare to find a week without any news on the market. Okay, that's very rare. And if it happens, as we said, how do we deal with it? We deal with it through the closing prices. If I don't have events, if I don't have news, I go and determine the trend. Is the trend currently upward? Or is there no clarity? The daily closing is one thing, and the weekly closing is another. Here, there is no clarity, so that means... A sideways market? No, if there are no means... A sideways market? No, if there are no events or news, and I have a clear direction right now, events or news, and I have a clear direction right now, four-hour chart is unclear, then I'll follow it. If, let's say, these are negative, then I'll wait for the four-hour chart to turn negative and then follow it. Negative and positive closes in this way were also important. Another very important thing is price levels. Price levels are less important than the other conditions because you'll always find that every $50 (this is for gold, of course) numbers ending in zeros are very important psychological numbers for all markets, regardless of the market. But what reacts to them the most is regardless of the market. But what reacts to them the most is gold. Every $25, every $25, every $25. Let's say gold. Every $25, every $25, every $25. Let's say 2400, this is considered a level number ending in zeros, or 2425, 2400, 2450, 2475, 2500, 2525. Every $25, what do we do? We must We draw a line. Why do we draw a line? Because there's a very high probability that the price might be rising like this. From these levels, it might start to turn into a sell, From these levels, it might start to turn into a sell, or it might have already been strongly selling. Then what happened? It reached this level and started to turn into a buy, or it might have already reached these levels. We expect what will happen: a break of these levels and a strong rise to the next $25. The levels are very important because we use them to identify areas. Above these areas, we'll start looking for buy opportunities. A break of these price levels is a buy opportunity. Below these levels... The price levels, once broken, give me confirmation that the market is about to collapse, confirmation that the market is about to collapse, meaning it's going to fall to the next $25. If we take gold as an example, what happened last week, let's assume last week. As soon as what happened—and this is all part of the analysis, thankfully we were expecting it— gold was hovering around the 2750 level. So, once it broke the 2750 level, what would happen? It's perfectly natural. Given the negative closes, the negative closes, the negative events and news, and the break of the price levels—the negative events and news, and the break of the price levels—the third condition being a break of price levels—what would happen? Naturally, gold would go to the next $25, which is around the around the 2725 level. Okay, we said 2725, it broke through. Where would it go? To the 2700 level. It did indeed go there on the same day. These are the levels we were all talking about. It reached all three targets in one day. Gold dropped more than 500 points. The next example is the last session we did. Yes, we came to Monday. On Monday, the market was around these levels, so we said... In the session, directly from the 2000-2700 levels, we consider the 2700 level to be very important. As long as the price is trading below 2700, it means it will go to the 2675, 2650, 2650, 2625, and 2600 levels. This is literally what happened in our last analysis. The price was trading at these levels, and we said that from these levels, you can start taking selling opportunities because the market is asserting its presence. 2650, 2625, and then 2600. Thank God, our 2650, 2625, and then 2600. Thank God, our prediction was 100% accurate, and the market imposed its will on us, gaining more than 700 points. The market dropped with us. Why? Because we knew that the trend was very clear: it was negative. See how the first thing we looked at was the negative close. See how a negative close on the weekly timeframe on the weekly timeframe means? It means a very high probability that what follows will be selling. I have negative news; this is the first condition. Negative news, negative events; this is the first condition. Negative events, news. The negative signals are causing a significant drop, so I took the first condition. The second condition is a negative close on the weekly timeframe, meaning the following week will be a sell signal. I also combined this with the daily timeframe, which is also considered a negative close. You see how I have a negative close on both the daily and weekly timeframes. Both the daily and weekly timeframes are negative. So now what am I waiting for? I'm only waiting for confirmation from the price levels and the four-hour timeframe. If this scenario were playing out, I would have, let's positive candles on the four-hour timeframe. What am I waiting for? I'm just waiting for it to turn negative. Then I'll start taking I'm just waiting for it to turn negative. Then I'll start taking selling opportunities, simply put, and go down with it. Okay, why? Because of negative news, negative closes, and the weekly and daily timeframes. I've clearly identified the trend. Now I just need confirmation on the four-hour timeframe, which is when it becomes negative like the daily and weekly timeframes. Then I'll immediately start selling. The which is when it becomes negative like the daily and weekly timeframes. Then I'll immediately start selling. The price levels are broken. So, everything I have is telling me to sell. Everything is telling me to sell. have is telling me to sell. Everything is telling me to sell. So, I'm actually getting a very high success rate because I'm following the events, following the trend, following the negative closes, and following the price levels. As we mentioned, when all these conditions are met, we can build a very, very high when all these conditions are met, we can build a very, very high success rate prediction. Let's take other examples of what happened recently when we were at these levels. We were at these levels, didn't we just talk about the closes? We have two types of closes. We talked about the first type: a types of closes. We talked about the first type: a large, positive candlestick, right? And the second type: a long wick and a small body. So, what does it give me? long wick and a small body. So, what does it give me? positive. The following week, when it opens, will be very positive. We might see it for three, four, or five days, all upward. What should I look for? I should only look and focus solely on buying. From this exact moment, from this exact moment, because this pattern This is the same pattern we're talking about. Go back to the live sessions, you'll find the same prediction, the same analysis. How we read the chart, how we read the events, how we read the closing prices. Based on that, we predicted this week would be very positive, and it was indeed very positive. We took many good buying opportunities, and there was a break of a new historical high. It was an excellent week, with the same pattern we're talking about now, which is this closing price. This is a positive closing price, and from it, we predicted a rise. Another positive closing price followed, which is this closing price. We also predicted a rise. When this closing price came up, we expected a rise. As soon as we started talking about rise. As soon as we started talking about selling, we said we could start taking selling, we said we could start taking selling opportunities from the 2800 and 2790 levels. Why? Because right here, I have very important price levels that end at very important price levels that end at zero or at $25. After that, the second thing is... This is the first thing. The second thing is what I have. I have negative news that started to appear around the elections. So, whoever takes office, what will they say? They will say positive news... Positive news for the dollar will negatively impact gold. That's the second point. The third point is, gold. That's the second point. The third point is, what's the confirmation of a negative close? Didn't we talk about negative patterns? When we discussed negative patterns here, we mentioned closes like this, and closes with long tails like this. We have two types: this one, which is what we expected to happen, and this drop, and it happened. The week happen, and this drop, and it happened. The week before, we expected this close to cause this drop. We covered all of this drop. Go back to the live segment; you'll find it all there. We covered all of this drop. Go back to the live segment; you'll find it all there. How we predicted, how we talked, how we analyzed the news, how we analyzed the events that are happening. It's not about memorization, you understand? The most important thing is that you need to understand that the system we're learning is n't about memorization. So, you memorized these closes, and now you expect the worst, right? No, it's not like that. You gather all the information together. The good thing is that you're analyzing live, meaning you're analyzing live, what's happening right now. You're going along with it at all. It's very, very, very rare for a market to go against the trend. Why? Because you're analyzing the events happening: the data, the closing prices, who's currently controlling the market (sellers or buyers), plus psychological price levels. By combining them, you've gathered all the information, which tells you that there's an 80% chance of a sell-off. The idea here is that the closing prices we've been drawing are the ones we've been looking at. Now, let's do a simple redraw of the other closing price; it might be positive. This candlestick pattern is the third type. Okay, this is the first pattern. This is the second pattern. We have a third pattern. What is the third pattern? The candlestick pattern might be the same. The candlestick's closing price is green. Okay, so the same candlestick might close. Let's draw it with a green balloon like this. Let's draw it with a green balloon like this. This is the third pattern. Okay, but I have a trade like this. This is the third pattern. Good. So, these are This is the third pattern. Good. So, these are considered three negative patterns. When I see these, I know that next week there's a very high probability of a sell-off. We have three patterns. The first pattern is the easiest, guys. So, what I'm giving you now is... The easiest thing is not to delve into complex patterns, nor those that confused. Let's stick to the simplest. If you don't see them, just scan the market and move to another one. The first pattern is this one: a very clear bearish pattern with a negative close. Where is the second pattern, which is this one? Currently, it does n't meet the criteria, but we can identify it now. Now, the third pattern is this one: a negative close with a small candle body, but the candle's color and close are green. This also indicates a negative close, just like this one. This is considered a negative close. But what happened? The candle closes in green, but it's still considered negative. It's exactly the same; there's no difference. However, the color of the exactly the same; there's no difference. However, the color of the considered a negative close. We have three types of closes, and that's the only way to focus on them. Don't focus on anything else. Let's take another example of positive closes. Didn't we say we have positive closes? Let's look at some patterns. Here's a pattern: three patterns. Okay, now we'll look at the three patterns in front of us. You've probably started to see them, right? Let's look at them together. The first close... what's the first close? We both agree on that. I have a very clear positive candle. We don't disagree on that either. The second pattern... we also won't disagree on that because it's very clear. I have a candle like this. The pattern you need to focus on now... what you're learning now... what's considered a negative close like this? considered a negative close like this? Okay, but the tail is very long, very long, and the tail is very short at the top. That's the first pattern. Where is it? This pattern... okay, this pattern... this pattern... see how it is? This is the first pattern. Where is the second pattern? first pattern. Where is the second pattern? This is the second pattern... see how it is? This is the This is the second pattern... see how it is? This is the pattern. It's very clear. The third pattern... where is it? The third pattern... this is it. See this candle? It's very clear. This is it. For me, it's a positive close, even though... even though the candle is red. But it's still considered positive. And look what happened after that... actually, look what happened after that... actually, what happened was... I have a price explosion. You see a small candle right now, but the market has risen see a small candle right now, but the market has risen 700 points. Gold has risen more than 3%. Let's 700 points. Gold has risen more than 3%. Let's look at them more closely, okay? Let's focus on them one last time. Yes, I have the first close. It's very simple, guys, very simple. There's nothing complicated about it. You see how I have this first close? As soon as I see it, what do I expect for the following week? I expect it to be positive if the events happening are positive and the news being released is positive for gold. So I expect it to be a positive week, and it will rise be a positive week, and it will rise immediately. I start focusing only on buying. And the second pattern, right before it, is this second pattern. You see this second pattern, which is this one, and we can consider this one as well. Both of them are considered positive. The third pattern, which we saw below, which came about a month and a half ago, is here. Okay, you about a month and a half ago, is here. Okay, you see this? This is the third pattern. This is, of course, suitable for selling and suitable for buying. We've taken the sell patterns, we've taken the buy patterns. Now, I want to look at them on the daily timeframe and I want to look at them on the If you see this pattern on the weekly timeframe, then the trend is clearly trend is clearly buy. If the daily timeframe is sell, wait for the daily close to be buy. Let's say the trend is clearly buy. On the same day, I looked at the market opening, the weekly opening, and the daily closing. What? The daily closing is negative. Wait for it to turn positive. If it turns positive the very next day, then you can confirm it. We're talking about the market opening on Monday. The markets open on Sunday night, meaning at the beginning of Monday night, as soon as it turns into Monday, the market opens. I looked at the weekly timeframe. The weekly timeframe, after analyzing the market (we don't analyze the market at night, we analyze the prices), I looked at the weekly timeframe. The weekly timeframe is very positive. Then I looked at the daily timeframe. The daily timeframe is still unclear. Okay, no problem, I'll give it another day, Tuesday. If the closing price is positive, and it's positive along with the weekly closing price, then it's considered a buy. For me, I'm ready now. I have a clear trend, and I can start looking for buying opportunities. I need to focus on the other things, specifically the events happening in the next two days. What's going on? Is there any important news? Are there any significant events? Do these events support an upward trend or not? Are the emerging data positive or negative? If they support an upward trend, then I'm all set. I immediately start by drawing price levels. If a certain price level is broken, it means it will rise to the next price level. This means I can immediately start looking for buying opportunities. So, if the four-hour chart, let's say, shows a sell signal, I'll look for a buy signal. The four-hour chart should align with the daily and weekly timeframes. I immediately start taking buy orders because I now know the direction clearly. It will be positive, so I start looking for buying opportunities. This strategy, and everything we've discussed so far, is the same. It only works on large timeframes, as we mentioned. Don't try it on small timeframes because its direct success rate will be much lower. Why? Because the analysis becomes more difficult there, requiring more experience. It might work for you, but I honestly don't recommend it. Stick to large timeframes to achieve a very high success rate and very good results. Now, let's move on to the next thing, which is closing prices on the four-hour timeframe. Before we look at the four-hour timeframe, which uses the same patterns we studied on the weekly and daily timeframes, I want to do it on the four-hour timeframe as well. Why do I want it on the four-hour timeframe? Because after these closing prices appear, I can take buying opportunities. Before these opportunities appear, I can't take buying opportunities. These closing prices have to appear so that I can start entering sell orders and buy orders. So, let's move on to the last condition. Which is the four-hour timeframe. We need to look at a pattern on the price levels. As we said, the price levels must be drawn precisely. Let's assume, for example, that I have a sell signal at the 2400 level. The weekly and daily timeframes are showing sell signals, and I'm already expecting a sell signal at the 2400 level. So, what do I need? I just need confirmation by a break below the 2400 level. After that, I start taking selling opportunities. If I have a very important and very strong price level, and the weekly and daily timeframes are showing sell signals, and the price is very close to these levels, it's best to wait for a break of the levels, it's best to wait for a break of the important price levels. Then, I take selling opportunities. If the market is very close to these levels, and everything is negative and supports a decline, it's best to wait for confirmation by a break of these levels. What does this mean? A close below these levels on the four- hour timeframe. I've tried it. If I don't get a close below the price level on the four-hour timeframe, then price level on the four-hour timeframe, then I'm sure everything has become negative for me, so I have to look for a sell signal. Everything is telling me to sell. Everything is telling me to sell. Selling events, data, closing prices, price levels—everything tells me to sell. price levels—everything tells me to sell. Price levels, as we mentioned, are important to filter out certain levels or zones. At the same time, I have entry conditions. Let's look at time, I have entry conditions. Let's look at some of these conditions now. If we move, for example, to the Dow Jones to see the entry conditions, this is the last analysis we did. So why did we do this analysis we did. So why did we do this analysis, why did we make this prediction, and how did we build this prediction that it would be positive? What conditions are we waiting for now? First, we went to the weekly timeframe. We identified it. You see, we have a very positive closing price. Right, the closing price is clearly positive. So, what do we expect? We expect an upward trend. expect? We expect an upward trend. That's number one. Number two, when I looked at the That's number one. Number two, when I looked at the daily closing prices, it's very clear that we currently have a clear upward trend. Okay, just before this clear upward trend. Okay, just before this today? I was waiting for a very simple confirmation that the price was currently... I think it was there. Yes, it was there. In an area not suitable I think it was there. Yes, it was there. In an area not suitable for buying, if you say it will drop a little to these levels and for buying, if you say it will drop a little to these levels and retest them, then you only need a positive close on the four-hour timeframe. After that, we can start looking for buying opportunities. Simply put, in this pattern and the example we talked about, we know on the weekly timeframe it's a buy, and we know on the daily timeframe it's a buy, but on the four-hour timeframe it's a sell. So we wait for it to buy, but on the four-hour timeframe it's a sell. So we wait for it to turn sell, drop, drop, drop until it retests the required levels. After that, we only need confirmation with a close on the four-hour timeframe. After that, I can start taking buying opportunities. Now, why can't I look for buying opportunities directly? Why do we usually wait for a positive close on the areas and levels positive close on the areas and levels we talked about? What's the reason? The reason is simply that we didn't determine the direction of the levels. We determined the direction to be buy, but when it's down on the four-hour timeframe, it might continue to correct, correct, correct to much lower levels. That's why what we do? We levels. That's why what we do? We we wait for a positive close. If the price falls below the price levels we've falls below the price levels we've identified and closes negatively below them, then the buying scenario ends for me. So what do I need? I need a positive close at the positive close at the price levels I've identified. I need positive closes. Let's say in this example, I've identified a buying opportunity on the weekly and example, I've identified a buying opportunity on the weekly and events, data, and everything else support an upward move, so everything is perfect. However, technically speaking, the current price range isn't suitable for an immediate buy entry. The price needs to drop a little, but immediate buy entry. The price needs to drop a little, but during this drop, I've identified a specific price level, say during this drop, I've identified a specific price level, say 34,000. From this level, I only need confirmation of the buy, which is a positive close on the four-hour timeframe, using the same closing patterns we learned about on the daily and learned about on the daily and weekly timeframes. I need a clear candlestick pattern. I have three types of candlesticks; these are the clearest. As soon as you see one of these three these are the clearest. As soon as you see one of these three patterns, you can immediately start looking for buying opportunities. patterns, you can immediately start looking for buying opportunities. Let's say in this example, as we said, the price has closed at these levels. I have a positive close here, so I buy immediately. I can take buying opportunities. How do I set targets? Setting targets is very simple. I set targets based on what? On support and resistance. Here, I have the last support level that was broken. So, I set this as my first target because I consider it a market rebound point. Whenever the market reaches these levels, there's a possibility of a rebound because it's currently a resistance level. So, this is my first target. The second target is the last peak that formed. So, I set targets based on support and resistance. Simply put, this is the on support and resistance. Simply put, this is the first target, and this is the second. Of course, money management here is something you can do yourself. Simply put, as soon as I enter a buy position, I place my stop-loss order below the area, exactly below the area. I place the stop- loss order there, and then I start buying. I took the buying opportunity for the first area, which is the first buying opportunity for the first area, which is the first resistance level. The target hit here, of resistance level. The target hit here, of course, means it's mandatory, or let's say absolutely necessary, that you place your stop-loss at the entry price. Why? Because the first target has already been hit, and Why? Because the first target has already been hit, and your prediction was correct. You worked hard, read the chart correctly, made the right prediction, anticipated the events, and did everything right. So, you can't risk more than that. You took the risk, entered, placed the stop- loss correctly, the market moved in your favor, your prediction was correct, and everything is fine. As soon as the first target is hit, the stop- loss is immediately placed at the entry price. So, I have no more risk. I remove the stop-loss from those levels and place it at the entry price. There's no risk left. If the market reverses, it will take me back to zero. I have no risk now. I have two options. The first option is that in all predictions, I always have two targets, not just one. I always have two targets. Why? Because, as we said, when we read the chart on the weekly timeframe... On the daily timeframe, we anticipate a significant rise and a significant fall. Therefore, on larger timeframes, we usually follow the trend, and it often moves in our favor, resulting in many points. That's why we should always target two objectives to maximize our gains. So, what do we do? We can always stick to the first objective and exit at it. Why? Because the success rate is very high. The second option is to close 50% of the position at the first objective, having moved the stop-loss to the entry point, and wait for the the stop-loss to the entry point, and wait for the second objective to be hit. You'll find that in most cases, over 80% of the time, the second objective to be hit. You'll find that in most cases, over 80% of the time, the second objective will be reached, not the first. The remaining 20% ​​will reach the second objective will be reached, not the first. The remaining 20% ​​will reach the first objective and then reverse. So, you can do this, which, as we've always said, is to always work on the second objective precisely. However, you should n't ignore the 20-25% that occurs when the price rises, hits the first objective, and then falls back, hitting the entry price. The breakout price must be within the stop-loss. Entering, or you can work on two targets, profiting from each. Once the price reaches the first target, I take half my profits and set a stop-loss order at the entry price. I wait for the second target to be hit. You can work this way or that way, and both are perfectly successful, as we discussed. As soon as we open the chart, I identify the weekly timeframe and the chart, I identify the weekly timeframe and the daily timeframe, noting the current closing prices. If there are daily timeframe, noting the current closing prices. If there are four-hour chart and at price levels. I'm already reading the events and data that will happen. If there's news coming out and I have an entry opportunity, I stay away from it. If there's positive data, negative data, or news happening that's important for the market, I don't trade or search for anything. If you're already in a position, continue with your current trades. But if I want to open a sell position now, or a buy position now, and there's very important news coming out, no, that's not right. That's why we always... Let's assume we read the current events and news, and at the same time, I have positive weekly and daily closings. If the daily closings from the beginning of the week weren't positive, then the following day, and so on, until the third day, when they become positive, the conditions are met for me, indicating a clear trend to buy. So what do I do? I draw the buy. So what do I do? I draw the important price levels that the price is close to and look at the four-hour timeframe for positive closings. I start monitoring closings. I start monitoring positive closings. Why? To start entering a buy position. In this example, and to clarify further, I have events that support an upward move, a positive closing, and a daily closing on the daily timeframe that supports an upward move. So in this example, what am I waiting for? I'm simply waiting for a positive closing on the four- hour timeframe. Simply put, once there's a positive closing, I immediately start looking for a buy opportunity. If I have negative closings like this, I avoid buying and don't take buying opportunities. Now, there's something very important, which is this example we're discussing. A hypothetical example: In this example, what's happening to me? Here, in this example, I have a negative close on the daily timeframe, which completely invalidates my analysis. We're now taking a hypothetical example that must be as we discussed, with the conditions we mentioned. Of course, we have many examples and patterns available in the live session so that the explanation isn't available in the live session so that the explanation isn't too long. We'll cover many examples, so let's say it's a practical application with hundreds of patterns available in our live sessions. You can... patterns available in our live sessions. You can... So, you've just started learning this strategy and reached a good level. Of course, if you have any questions or inquiries, you can come to the live stream and ask me, and I'll answer you directly, God willing. We'll look at examples together during the live stream. As we said, the live stream is every Monday to Friday. You can come and we'll chat together, look at practical examples, opportunities, events—everything practical experience we'll discuss during the live stream, God willing. Okay, there's something important we've already explained, but let's explain it again. Let's say on the weekly timeframe, I have positive closes. On the daily timeframe, I have positive closes. Okay, on the four-hour timeframe, there's no clarity. So, where does the price go? I have a sideways range. We've covered that already. You can go back to the live stream; it's still there. As we said, I won't explain many examples because we've already explained them during the live stream. You can see them in the live streams. So, watch the recorded videos if you'd like to join us. Feel free to watch the recorded videos. There are hundreds of patterns, meaning the four- hour chart isn't clear right now. Why isn't it clear? Because there's currently price fluctuation. Didn't we say in previous lessons that there are always three previous lessons that there are always three trends: up, down, or sideways? So, in an uptrend, I'll look for a breakout. In a downtrend, I'll look for a breakout. In a rise. I wait for the price to give me the confirmation I want. If the confirmation matches what I'm thinking and what my analysis is, then I'll buy. What is it? I have an uptrend on the weekly timeframe and an uptrend on the daily timeframe, so I take the four-hour chart for confirmation by a breakout prediction we've already considered. Why can't I buy here? Because I have an unclear trend, a sideways trend. The price is currently just fluctuating. So, as soon as the breakout is completed upwards, not downwards, I don't buy anything. Why? Because it's against the trend, against the weekly timeframe, against the daily timeframe. If it breaks downwards, I want to buy. I do n't want to sell, I just need confirmation to buy. The confirmation came through the four- hour chart breaking the sideways range. At that point, all the conditions were met immediately, and I could start taking the conditions were met immediately, and I could start taking buying opportunities easily. This is the model for the conditions, which we'll summarize quickly. These conditions are right here, as you can see: following the news and events, identifying the trend directly. I determine the trend: upward, downward, and sideways, so I can draw the price levels. If I have a clear upward trend, and then the four- hour chart shows a sideways trend, I refrain from entering it. I just need confirmation with an four-hour chart. After that, we have the price levels, which are no less important than the other conditions. We must pay close attention to the price levels, and of course, the level... The price action works for all price levels, and of course, the level... The price action works for all markets. The entry conditions are very simple. Once I've identified the levels and zones I want to buy from, I just wait for confirmation of a close on a four-hour chart in the direction I want. For example, if I'm expecting an upward move, I just need a positive close in the patterns we discussed earlier. There are three patterns. As soon as one of the three patterns appears, you can immediately place your trade. This will be confirmation of the buy. And that concludes our explanation of the MS1 strategy. It's a very powerful strategy, and I hope everyone benefits from it. If you have any questions or inquiries, you can join us live to watch the recorded sessions and gain practical experience. You can learn many patterns simultaneously. If you have any questions or inquiries, you can join us live chat with me directly. I hope everyone will support this video by sharing it with their friends, liking it, and subscribing to the channel. See you in the next lesson! New ideas and new strategies. Best of luck to you all. Greetings and have a blessed day. luck to you all. Greetings and have a blessed day. Peace.