--- title: 'Ринок прогнозів на Binance — ставки на події прямо на біржі (ІНСТРУКЦІЯ)' source: 'https://youtube.com/watch?v=Xz6fBj_9Qfg' video_id: 'Xz6fBj_9Qfg' date: 2026-07-24 duration_sec: 363 --- # Ринок прогнозів на Binance — ставки на події прямо на біржі (ІНСТРУКЦІЯ) > Source: [Ринок прогнозів на Binance — ставки на події прямо на біржі (ІНСТРУКЦІЯ)](https://youtube.com/watch?v=Xz6fBj_9Qfg) ## Summary ## Transcript we will analyze a new feature that has already been added to the Binance exchange, but many people do not yet understand it or have not even seen that it was added. This is about Predictive Markets. In simple words, forecasts for various events right inside the exchange. I'll say it right away, if you are a very gambling person, it's better to refrain from this type of trading. And if you know how to control yourself, then now I will tell you what the Binance race prediction market is and what the earnings mechanics are. In the meantime, subscribe to the channel so you don't miss interesting videos, and let's get started. In short, Binance is now not only about trading crypto, stocks, metals, commodities, spot and futures. And another format has appeared, where you do not open a deal in the classic style with leverage, but place a bet on the outcome of the event. For example, will Bitcoin be above a certain price by the end of the day or not, or even whether Jesus Christ will return to Earth by the end of 2026, and other political, crypto, gaming, and sports events. So, if you are a pro in one of the areas, you can test yourself. It works quite simply. To get started, you must already have an account on the Binance exchange. If it is not there, Binance exchange. If it is not there, in the description under this video. They don't give such bonuses directly. Next, top up your deposit and go to the forecasts section via the markets button. The platform works automatically with your web 3 wallet. Just click and the exchange will automatically create your wallet for you. Next, select the event, after which we see two options: yes or no. Each of these options has its own price. And this price actually shows what probability the market is currently assuming. If it's worth 0.7 or 0.9, for example, then the market estimates the chance at 70%. If you buy this option and it works out, you receive a certain payout. If it doesn't come true, you lose your bet. From the point of view of use, everything is made as simple as possible. Everything is integrated directly into Binance. In fact, they made it as simple as opening a regular deal. I think many of you have bet on sports and so on, so it's all very similar, but it's all the more interesting because there is one very interesting and useful difference that increases your chances of making money and not losing your money. And so, unfortunately, I didn't have time to write down this segment, but you'll understand, I bought a $1 bet that bitcoin would be lower than the specified rate by the end of the day . The probability was about 20%. And what am I leading to? After just 5 minutes, something has changed in the market or in the information space and I can sell my bet with a higher coefficient. That is, if I bought a 20% probability for a certain amount of money, I can sell it at a higher price without waiting for the completion of this forecast. You can sell the bet either more or less. As a result, in a few minutes I made a couple of Xs. Of course, this is luck, but the principle itself is interesting, that we can sell our bet without waiting for it to complete. That is, if we bought with a probability of 20%, our probability rate has increased, we can sell it at a higher price. To buy, click the appropriate button, enter the amount that will be taken from your spot exchange wallet, and below will be a calculation of how much you will earn. To sell early, click in the same way as when buying or selling. Next, the sales section and enter the maximum number of lots. Below will be the calculation of the profit received. Please note that you can also place a limit order with a coefficient. But there will be a recalculation. It is advisable to use limit orders so that there is no slippage and you do not lose money on forecast fluctuations. In principle, everything works very simply. You read events, analyze, and buy the number of slots. You can also place a limit order to buy at the coefficient and wait for the result or sell the number of lots before completion. Looking at the situation. There are quite a lot of events here. There were also presidential elections, and so on. There are even sections by interests. Now the important point is where this came from in the first place. Looking more broadly, Predictive Markets has been around for a long time in crypto, especially on decentralized platforms. And Binance added this for a reason. They have invested in similar projects on the BNB Chain network and are now logically pulling this story straight into their ecosystem, the goal of which is to attract more activity, more volumes, and keep the user within the platform, because in fact, the more we interact, the more the exchange earns. simplicity. Anyone can come in and figure it out in a few minutes. The second is speed. No need to wait long. The result of the event comes quite quickly. And thirdly, this is a new format for those who don't want to get into complex trading, but want to interact with the market in some way. But there are also disadvantages, and it is important to understand them. In fact, it is very close to the rates. If you are wrong, you lose the entire amount. The second point is psychology. Most people will make decisions emotionally, not logically. And this is what the platform's main profit is built on . From a trader's point of view, it is more interesting to look not at guessing, but at the behavior of the market, because the price, yes or no, is, in essence, a reflection of the mood of the crowd. For example, when Bitcoin was mentioned above, I went against the crowd purely for interest. And when the course reversed, everyone suddenly began to bet again on a more likely scenario. And so, of course, this is all gambling, and only a few will be able to earn money here, because most people simply cannot emotionally and psychologically control themselves. But let me remind you once again about one of the biggest advantages - it is that you can sell a number of your lots for a certain event ahead of time, which increases the chances that you will support, both in terms of strength and moral, I invite you to my Telegram channel and the community chat, where everyone will be heard. And that's all I have. Good luck to everyone and see you in the next videos. Don't forget to like and Don't forget to like and subscribe to the channel. Yeah.