--- title: 'Lucrative World Cup Betting Strategy (Only the Pros Know)' source: 'https://youtube.com/watch?v=79KY8eNBXNg' video_id: '79KY8eNBXNg' date: 2026-08-04 duration_sec: 438 --- # Lucrative World Cup Betting Strategy (Only the Pros Know) > Source: [Lucrative World Cup Betting Strategy (Only the Pros Know)](https://youtube.com/watch?v=79KY8eNBXNg) ## Summary The video presents a sports betting strategy for the 2026 World Cup, claiming a 20% ROI. It centers on using the Plus EV tool from OddsJam to identify favorable bets by comparing odds against Pinnacle, the sharpest sportsbook. The presenter demonstrates how to configure the tool, select markets, and manage bankroll with a quarter Kelly criterion. ### Key Points - **Claim of 20% ROI** [00:02] — The presenter claims to have achieved a 20% ROI using a simple five-minute setup for World Cup betting. - **Introduction to Plus EV Tool** [00:15] — The tool used is the Plus EV tool from OddsJam. Users select sportsbooks they have accounts with. - **Setting DVIG Method** [00:27] — Set DVIG book to Pinnacle. Choose between 'power default' (aggressive) or 'worst case' (conservative) methods, which affect edge calculation and bet sizing. - **Selecting League and Markets** [01:05] — Select FIFA World Cup as league. Focus on mainline markets: money lines, total goals, and Asian handicap (goal spreads). - **Why Pinnacle is the Sharp Book** [01:33] — Pinnacle takes the most money, e.g., $200,000 on US vs Australia money line, compared to $16,000 at another sharp book. This makes Pinnacle's lines the most accurate. - **Example of Edge: Scotland vs Brazil** [02:35] — Scotland at +650 has an edge over 12% compared to Pinnacle, but only a 15% chance of winning. Recommended bet size is $40. - **Example of Edge: Curacal Over 3 Goals** [03:17] — Bet365 offers -112, but Pinnacle's fair price is -137, giving a 58% chance of winning. This is a play the presenter likes. - **No EV Range Filter** [04:10] — Due to the World Cup's massive popularity, the presenter does not set an EV range and is willing to take plays with even small edges. - **Bankroll Settings and Kelly Multiplier** [05:04] — Set bankroll amount, but crucially use a Kelly multiplier of 0.25 (quarter Kelly) to avoid risking bankroll ruin. Higher multipliers like 0.50 or 0.75 are too aggressive. - **Final Workflow** [06:16] — Select sportsbooks, set parameters, find plays with an edge, and stick to Kelly recommended bet sizes. Spend only 10 minutes a day on this. ### Conclusion The strategy is to use the Plus EV tool to find bets with positive expected value relative to Pinnacle's lines, focusing on mainline World Cup markets, and to manage risk with quarter Kelly staking. The presenter emphasizes efficiency, suggesting a 10-minute daily routine. ## Transcript The 2026 World Cup is here and I'm sitting on a 20% ROI using one simple five minutes, I'm going to show you my exact setup so you can copy and paste this and start earning right now. Let's dive in. The tool that I've been using to crush the World Cup is the Plus EV tool. We're going to come over here to First, you're just going to want to select the sports books that you're looking to make money on when betting on the World Cup or the books that you have accounts with. The most important part of this step right here, the DVIG settings, we want to use our DVIG book as pinnacle. And just in a few seconds, I'm going to explain why that's so important. For our DVIG method, you have two options. You could use the power default method or the worstase method. taking a more conservative approach. If you want to lean a little bit more aggressive, this is the power default. The reason that that matters is because it's going to then spit out the edge that we have on a specific play. Power edge on a play, which means you're going to wager more money. If you go worst edge on these plays and you're going to wager less money. So, it just depends if you're more aggressive or conservative. Next, when it comes to league, we're FIFA World Cup selected. For the markets, I'm only focused on the mainline markets, which is money lines, total goals, maybe Asian handicap, which is goal spreads plus minus one and a half. And then we're focused on the date preference whether you want it to be for today, the next 24 hours. Currently, we're in the group stage. So, we have four matches going on every single day bet on right now. The reason that we're using Pinnacle as our Sharp Sportsbook or our tour guide is because they are taking the most money when it comes to even close. Look at this match up between the US and Australia. US money line Pinnacle's taking $200,000 where another sharp book bet online's taking $16,000. Pinnacle's literally taking $200,000 a pop for either US, Australia, or a draw. Which means the max wager that you can put down on Pinnacle for any one of these plays is $200,000. No other book in the industry is taking limits that Pinnacle is taking, which their projections. And the crazy part is they're taking 200,000 on a minus 155 and then 200,000 on a plus45. Pinnacle as our tour guide and pick off the rest of the books that aren't taking confidence in their lines as Pinnacle does. If you notice in my filter setup, that comes down to your personal preference, your risk tolerance, if you're aggressive or conservative. So if you can see right here, Scotland on the match up against Brazil. You can see that we can get an incredible edge here. So let's first talk about this. This edge compared to Pinnacle is over 12%. edge compared to Pinnacle is over 12%. This is obviously a plus 650 odds. So we're talking about a massive underdog here, which means we only have a 15% chance of winning this play. That's why you can see that my recommended bet size is only $40. But if we go one play down to this over three goals on Curacal, what you're going to notice here is that we're receiving odds at bet 365 at minus we're receiving odds at bet 365 at minus 112. Well, we have a 58% chance of winning this bet. Once we remove the vig from the sports books odds, Pinnacle thinks that this fair price should be minus 137 and that gives us a 58% chance of winning this wager. Pinnacle thinks that the fair price on Scotland should be roughly plus 568, which means that we only have a 15% chance. So, this is where your personal risk tolerance is going to come into play. Are you comfortable betting on a play that really realistically only has a 15% chance of winning? If not, then just remove any play that has plus 200 odds or higher. If you like this play, like I do on Curacal over at Bet 365 at minus12, we have almost a 60% chance of winning this bet. According to Pinnacle, this is a play that I definitely want to attack. You also noticed that in my filter setup, I didn't have an EV range. This is the most popular sporting event in the world. No matter the season, no matter the year, the World Cup is by far the biggest sporting event. So, when it comes to an EV edge, I don't set up any type of parameters. I'm willing to go after plays that are in the low 1 percentile range. Why? There's such massive popularity and money flowing into these mainline markets that any play that has even a small edge, I am willing to go after and attack. So, select the sports books that you have accounts with and then simply just go after plays that have an edge dev to pinnacle. Now, again, the next step that we want to focus on is all right, we want to make sure that we're putting the appropriate amount of money down on each play. Let's go over to the profile settings so I can show you how to set value in the content thus far, do me a favor and smash that subscribe button, click that thumbs up button, and tap that bell notification so you don't miss before we jump into the bankroll settings, if you want to try Odds Jam your first month after the oneweek trial ends, use code Billy35. It'll be linked is going to be going on all throughout the month of June and July. Plenty of matches, plenty of opportunities, and we haven't even jumped into the best part of the sports betting calendar, which is fall and winter for the NFL and NBA. This is a wonderful time to get a oneweek free trial. Test the software out. Use this strategy, start making money off of it, and then receive an you're into your profile settings, come in the number that you're comfortable wagering on. Now remember, your bankroll is separate from your personal finances, but most importantly, click on the Kelly multiplier and use 0.25. If you use any number that's higher than 0.25, like 050 or 75, your recommendations for your wager sizes are going to be very high. intact for as long as we can because taking a higher Kelly multiplier really puts your bankroll at risk of being ruined. So just stick to quarter Kelly, spot. Finally, click save changes. And then we can come back over to the plus EV tool. Back over here on the plus EV tool. It's very simple. Select the sports books that you have accounts with. Then set up your parameters just like I did in the filter setup. Find plays that have an edge and then figure out what's worth it to you in terms of your odds range. Are you want to go in the plus 200s, plus 600s? Do you want to keep it maybe between a minus 150 plus keep it maybe between a minus 150 plus 150 or a plus -25 odds range? And then stick to these bet recommendations to a remember these are mainline markets, very popular markets. Stick to the Kelly recommended bet size for you. Just fire off every single play here that has an edge and that's it. In less than 5 identify plays that have an edge, lock in the value, and then move on with the rest of your day. Most betterers using a software have it backwards. They spend hours and hours in front of the screen, which is completely wrong. Check out that's going to show you my 10-minute the screen for 10 minutes every day, lock in value, make money, rinse and lock in value, make money, rinse and repeat. Simple and easy.