---
title: 'Sharp, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies'
source: 'https://youtube.com/watch?v=PQGMlAZgqNo'
video_id: 'PQGMlAZgqNo'
date: 2026-08-19
duration_sec: 2498
channel: 'OddsJam: Sports Betting, Free Picks & Best Bets'
---

# Sharp, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies

> Source: [Sharp, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies](https://youtube.com/watch?v=PQGMlAZgqNo)

## Summary

This live stream transcript features a sports bettor sharing his strategies for finding value in sports betting, focusing on cross-market arbitrage opportunities and the use of multiple sportsbooks. He demonstrates his approach by building several slips across different platforms, explaining his reasoning for each pick and highlighting the importance of using sharp books as a reference.

### Key Points

- **Stream Introduction** [00:23] — The streamer starts the live stream, greeting viewers and mentioning his intention to start streaming earlier in the day.
- **Sportsbook Selection** [01:04] — He discusses the variety of sportsbooks available in Virginia, calling it the best state for online sports betting, and asks viewers which book to start with.
- **Hockey Pick: Ilia Makachev** [02:32] — He highlights a hockey play on Prize Picks: Ilia Makachev over 1.5 shots on goal, noting that the under is offered at +124 on sharp exchanges, indicating the over is favored.
- **Football Pick: Jake Ferguson** [03:44] — He considers Jake Ferguson over 4.5 receptions, noting the Cowboys will likely be trailing, which could lead to more passing.
- **Correlation in Picks** [04:11] — He explains the importance of correlation when pairing plays, using Jaden Daniels over 1.5 passing touchdowns and Jake Ferguson over receptions as positively correlated overs.
- **NBA Preseason Pick: Cam Thomas** [05:09] — He adds Cam Thomas to the slip, but the line is later removed, prompting him to find a replacement.
- **College Football Value** [07:00] — He identifies college football value, mentioning Kaylin Black and noting that FanDuel offers his over at +125, making him an underdog to score.
- **Hard Rock as Beatable Book** [09:11] — He calls Hard Rock the most beatable sportsbook, claiming a 40% ROI is achievable, and highlights a play on Jordan Mason under 16.5 rushing attempts.
- **Dabble Shield Exploit** [10:24] — He explains that Dabble's shields sometimes don't correctly adjust payouts, offering an exploitable edge, and shows a play with a 6x payout.
- **Arbitrage Opportunity** [13:15] — He points out an arbitrage opportunity between Novig and Hard Rock on the Rams-Jaguars game, where betting the over on Novig and the under on Hard Rock guarantees a profit.
- **Touchdown Bet: John Mechy** [14:40] — He highlights a touchdown bet on John Mechy at +4000, noting that no other book offers better than +2500, making it a plus EV play.
- **Underdog Slip** [16:27] — He builds a slip on Underdog Fantasy, including Jordan Love over 19.5 completions, emphasizing the use of cross-market opportunities.
- **FanDuel Promos** [19:32] — He stresses that FanDuel promos are easy money and encourages viewers to take advantage of them.
- **Parlay Strategy** [21:36] — He explains that if each bet in a parlay is plus EV, the parlay itself is plus EV, and he runs a parlay on FanDuel with a profit boost.
- **Michigan Play** [24:14] — He discusses a Michigan spread bet as a cross-market arbitrage opportunity, noting the sharp books' odds.
- **Geno Smith Pick** [26:17] — He adds Geno Smith over 2.5 rushing attempts to a Prize Picks slip, noting the under is offered at +123 with high liquidity.
- **Tennis Pick: Daniil Medvedev** [28:07] — He considers Daniil Medvedev under 13 games, noting the sharpness of tennis markets.
- **DraftKings Pick Six** [31:03] — He highlights Bryce Miller under 11.5 outs on DraftKings Pick Six, noting high liquidity on the over at +131.
- **State Switching for Lines** [34:09] — He explains that he switches his state to New Jersey on FanDuel and DraftKings to access college football player props not available in Virginia.
- **Sleeper's Juice** [35:12] — He warns that Sleeper charges high juice, making it hard to beat, and gives an example of Carson Beck's line being worse than other books.
- **Parlay Tax Tip** [38:04] — He advises keeping parlays below 300-to-1 odds to avoid tax forms and complications.
- **Hard Rock Plays** [39:40] — He highlights Colston Loveland to score a touchdown at +750, noting arbitrage with Novig, and calls Hard Rock easily exploitable.

### Conclusion

The streamer emphasizes the importance of using multiple sportsbooks, focusing on cross-market arbitrage, and leveraging promotions to find plus EV bets. He encourages viewers to be strategic and avoid single-book reliance.

## Transcript

We got anyone in here yet? We will see. What's up, guys? I'm trying to start live streaming earlier in the day. I'm trying to, but we'll see. We'll see if I can keep it up. What's up, guys?
How's everyone doing? Happy um Happy Friday. What is up, guys? You guys ready to ride some dudes?
some dudes? You guys ready to find some bets? Sleeper Alex, can I be your best man if you cash a slip tonight? Respectfully, you cash a slip tonight? Respectfully, no. But let's see what we can do.
Um, what book do you guys want to start out on? So, it is Prize Picks Flex books. There are so many sports books, man. There are so many [ __ ] sports books in Virginia, dude. Let's see what we can
do. It is literally the best state for online sports betting. It is absolutely insane. So, let's see what we can do. Maybe we start out on prize picks. We try to rip the promo. There's a lot of value available. Oh, [ __ ] Why isn't
FanDuel logging me in? Dude, why aren't you remembering my password? with prize picks. So, they have a flex Friday booth. Should we do a fiveman or a sixman? My favorite white person. Yo,
what's up, Kyle Hamilton? What do you think about Bet Rivers? I like Bat Rivers. I got no problem with Bat Rivers. I'm just limited on Bat Rivers. If you guys want me to start giving out Bat Rivers
want me to start giving out Bat Rivers plays, I will give out Bat Rivers plays. plays, I will give out Bat Rivers plays. Fiveman, we are not busy. Six, what's the difference? Anyways, let's get into it. Let's see what we can do.
Um, so I'm going to start out on prize picks. Let's see what we can do. Okay, let's see what we can do. Dude, there is a lot of value on prize pick. Should we start out with hockey? So, this play looks absolutely insane.
Hey, boys. We're starting out with hockey. Who the [ __ ] is this guy? Nobody knows who he is. If any of you even act like you know who this guy is that we're betting on. Um, you're a liar. So, let's see here. We have Ilia
Makasavv. Yo, we got our boy Ilia Makachev over one and a half shots on gold. This play looks crazy. Again, prize picks even like um yo, Alex, play two slide early
stream. I love it. So, you can see Profitex and Novig, which are, you know, probably the two sharpest books. They are peer-to-peer betting exchanges. That your [ __ ] friends, bro. In general, the people offering liquidity, setting
markets on Profitex and Novig, they are hedge funds, they are quant funds, they are trading firms, they're syndicates, they're really smart people. So, long story short, this Ilia dude, his under is being offered at plus 124. So,
obviously his over is the favored or the more likely outcome. Dude, I ran this Jake Ferguson play. I feel like he's been going crazy. The Cowboys are obviously going to be down against the Commanders at halftime. You guys like
Jake Ferguson over four and a half receptions. Do we like it? bro. All right, so we got three picks so far,
picks. There's a lot of value on underdog. It's like a problem, dude. Anyways, yo, we also have JD for this game. What do we think about Jaden Daniels over one and a half passing touchdowns? The one thing you just got
to think about is the correlation. Do these plays make sense to pair together? these plays make sense to pair together? So, so because you can see JD like even to look at their odds, their lines as a source of information. So, both overs
are positively correlated. I mean, if you look at receiving yards, which is a proxy obviously for receptions, the odds on the over and the under are the same. If you pair both overs together, you're getting plus 194 versus the under, they
give you a better payout. So, this is actually positively correlated, which works out nicely. I love Jaden Daniels, dude. As many of you know, he's my neighbor. Oh [ __ ] man.
Oh [ __ ] man. Dude. All right, boys. I think I'm ready. I think I'm ready. So, we have Tony Pard under in rushing attempts. Do we like that?
Let's see. Or sorry, this is under in receiving yards. Do we like Tony under 10 and a half? I'm fine with it. But let's uh let's finish this slip. NBA preseason. Yo, boys, get this locked in. And I expect the link in the chat in 12
seconds. All right, we have Cam Thomas, who is All right, we have Cam Thomas, who is NBA Young Boy's biggest fan, dude. Biggest fan. I'm a big Cam Thomas fan, dude. If if NBA Young Boy ever goes to a
a Brooklyn Nets game, Cam Thomas is dropping literally 80 million points. He's dropping 80. Anyways, here's the play. A lot of overs, but this is the play. A lot of overs, but this is the play. This is the play.
chat? This is just a simple little six pick flex play. Simple little six pick flex play. You can also get this Ilia line on Dabble. So, it's kind of up to you.
copy my plays on prize picks now if you follow me? Shout out to the Bengals for making me like 10k. You guys should really be in the Sava Discord again. Yesterday I had to spend time with my mom. It was a little family
day. You can tell I'm thrilled about. No, I I'm just kidding. It was fun. I love my mom. Um, but regardless, sometimes, are you
[ __ ] kidding me, dude? So, they just removed Cam Thomas, bro. Why are they like this? Why are they like this, dude? These NBA preseason picks, I mean, they These NBA preseason picks, I mean, they do seem to move kind of fast.
But on the bright side, we have some really good college football value. Dude, there is so much value right now. So, you look here, Kaylin Black again, prize picks when you break down the math. Five six pick flex plays are
mathematically optimal. Right. FanDuel is offering his over at plus 125. So he's an underdog to score a touchdown. FanDuel $40 billion company. Doesn't
You want to put some weight into their odds. They have him at plus 125 to score a touchdown. So I guess I'll go with this because they bumped Cam Thomas,
right? How does this look, boys? I think pretty solid. Get it locked in. Can somebody please put my uh prize picks username in the chat so other people can tail. Yo, can somebody put the link in the chat? Man, if you can't
play college football, I would probably run Videll to not score a touchdown, but I already gave out that play, but he's a heavy underdog to score a touchdown. heavy underdog to score a touchdown. Jaden Daniels, it's my [ __ ] guy, bro.
Hey, what book do you guys want to look at, man? Alex, I love riding dudes with you. I love riding dudes with you guys, too. It's a very fun activity. Nothing is
It's a very fun activity. Nothing is better than gambling, man. Better flip, please. I gave out a better play yesterday on Twitter. You should probably follow me on Twitter. I don't know why you don't, but
random times, dude. 2 a.m., can't sleep, shirtless in bed, watching forensic shirtless in bed, watching forensic files. I'm [ __ ] on it, man. files. I'm [ __ ] on it, man. Um, did you hear Jackson Dart and Cam
Scataboo were talking [ __ ] on Instagram yesterday? Uh, no. I have a life. No, I didn't. Um, Um, hey, let's do some underdog maybe.
Rock is the most beatable sports book in the world. I'm dead serious when I say the world. I'm dead serious when I say that. If you can't get like a 40% ROI on Hard Rock, I'm glad I'm glad everyone begged me to add it to the stream
rotation because damn, dude. But there's also a lot of value on underdog. Oh my gosh. So like look at this play on Jordan Mason. Yo, what's the best Dabble shield available right now? Maybe we rip this
right now? Maybe we rip this doggy style. Yo yo yo yo yo. What's the best shield available on Dabble? So Dabble has a little shield glitch that you can exploit. So the first play I'm going to go with
is Jordan Mason under 16 and a half rushing attempts. You can see on Profitex, Novig, the super sharp exchanges, his over is being offered at plus 133. If they're offering his over at plus 133, they want to bet the under
at minus 133. So, you're essentially copying these market makers, these trading firms, they want to be on the under at minus 133. We're getting minus 122 and a dabble slip. It's a cross market. What is the best shield?
shift for a threeman? I should clarify. So basically like Dabble doesn't really price in their shields correctly oftent times. And I can kind of show you that.
So they're still giving us a 6x payout, it appears. Yeah, that's [ __ ] crazy, dude. That's crazy. So again, this is a book I'm like I'm max limited on it, but you can copy my
plays directly from the app. Barger Shield works too. How is the holds? They're completely different tools. Um I'm not really sure how to
answer that question because they're completely different tools. But um so here's what I just got locked in. Again, I'm heavily limited on this app, but you can copy these plays directly. So, basically, like these shields are
supposed to reduce your payout, but sometimes they just like forget to they forget to add in the payout shift. But if you want to learn why sharp money is that YouTube video. But sometimes what you can do, even if you're limited, is
it's like, okay, we already ran this Ilia dude. So, what you can do is you really good pick like Ferguson, but we're already on that. So, let's try to we're already on that. So, let's try to find some new blood.
Kre Miller. I feel like we're riding Miller hard, but [ __ ] it. It is a really good play. His line has been absolutely steaming towards the over. It's crazy.
So, like this and that's gone now. Someone said Barger hit Shield. Yo, Someone said Barger hit Shield. Yo, who's winning in the MLB tonight? Are
bumped his line in the wrong direction. So, this is lit as [ __ ] too. replacement because they already bumped the previous one. Man, are the Brewers really getting swept, dude?
really getting swept, dude? Are the Brewers getting swept?
Are the Brewers getting swept, boys? Boys, who's winning tonight? who's winning tonight? Are the Brewers who's winning tonight? Are the Brewers getting swept?
Should we rip some Hard Rock plays? Comment in the chat. out whatever book you want to see because there's some insanely good plays available right now. So, check out this first play. This is the under in the Jags game. This is Hard
Rock. I try to do a bunch of books in these live streams. Obviously, located, you probably have different sports books. All of these states have sports books. All of these states have different sports books. Um, so let's see
how much they actually let me bet. They say 14062. We'll see if they actually take it cuz usually they tell me, "Oh, actually you can't. You can only bet 46 bucks." This is a crazy good play. Very high amount of liquidity. The over is
high amount of liquidity. The over is being offered at plus 127, which means they want to be on the under at minus 127. And this is more importantly, where 127. And this is more importantly, where is this? So this is the Rams game.
Better social sports book, right? So here you have an arbitrage opportunity. Damn, we have another early game this Sunday. This time it's actually a pretty Sunday. This time it's actually a pretty good early game. Rams Jags. Rams Jags is
the early game this weekend. No Puka. But right, this is arbitrage. You could bet the over on Novig, the under on Hard Rock to make a guaranteed profit. It's very simple. There's millions of odds across sports books.
Sometimes they get out of sync. So, one of these two bets has to be profitable. And Novig is a super sharp book. Hard Rock is a dumbass [ __ ] sports book. Puka has been cashing us out. He has, but he's injured now. Yo, so
has, but he's injured now. Yo, so Underdog has more value than Oh my god, dude. What is this touchdown bet? Yo, check this out. John Mechy touchdown. We hit Tim Patrick last week at plus 5,000. Yo, was Tim Patrick plus 5,000 or
plus4,000? So, they only give me $10. I'm max limited on all these books, but it's a cross market, so you have 100% confidence in your edge. The over at confidence in your edge. The over at plus 4,000 or the under at minus 3750.
One of those two plays is plus EV. Um, and if you look at the other sports other books kind of as market indications, you have hundreds of sports books. Every other book, no other book's giving you better than plus 2500. So,
Matchy TD actually seems pretty solid. That's for the Eagles game. Alex, could we please get a six-man on underdog? Yes, we can. Dude, there is a lot of value available right now. What the [ __ ] dude?
Bowling Green minus three and a half cross market. Let's try to rip 112. They're only going to give me $10. That's a problem. But yo, if you go That's a problem. But yo, if you go check my Pickicket account, bro,
I'm up like 1.5K on Hard Rock and Bet MGM this month just betting this [ __ ] for the max limit. It's literally insane. But um limit. It's literally insane. But um anyways, let's go to Underdog Fantasy.
Let's go to underdog, man. Let's hit underdog. More hard rock. I'll do more underdog. More hard rock. I'll do more hard rock. Just give me a sec, man.
dude, why is there so much value? Oh my god. Um, I got to focus. So, give me a sec. We're going to rip an underdog slip. So, let me remove all this other stuff except underdog and we'll try to zone in on Oh my gosh,
we'll try to zone in on Oh my gosh, dude. play I'm going to go with is Jordan Love over 19 and a half completions. Cross
market. Again, cross markets are great because you just have the highest confidence in your edge. You know, one side of the ARB opportunity has to be a plus EV play. So, we got two plays so far, but again, you really want to ride
six guys all at the same time, and you want to do it really hard, and you want to make sure you're really sharp. So, what are we doing, man? We got some uh preeason, bruh.
Or actually, that's just a regular these are regular NBA games, but [ __ ] it. I don't really mind doing that. AJ Brown, what do we think about AJ Brown? AJ Brown has been cashing us the [ __ ] out, dude. Him and Puka, obviously Puka got
injured, but And then here's the Cam Thomas play that I tried to bet, but unfortunately they bumped it on um uh they bumped it. Yo, so here's the play. Can somebody please put the link in the
Can somebody please put the link in the chat? I'm trying to go fast. the dabble play again. You should be able to copy these plays. You should be able to copy these plays directly on the app.
You're goated for always putting these links in the chat, bro. Yo, links are in the chat. Who's going yard for the Dodgers? Who's going yard for the Dodgers? Dude, is Otani washed?
When was the last time Otani went yard, man? He's like plus 200 every single night and then he just doesn't do anything. Anyways, yo, they're not really bumping anything.
him. Um, he's actually subscribed to Odds Jam or we have a show at Odds Jam or we have a show at Dodgers.com, bro. Sleeper, please. Fliff Dodgers.com, bro. Sleeper, please. Fliff five sleeper promos.
again. I've never done Coke. Shut the [ __ ] up, Peter. Bro, Peter, why are you the problem child of this chat, bro? Why? Anyways, some of you guys are asking to see the better value. Better is pretty insane right now, but it's a
lot of the same picks. Ferguson. I mean, again, because all of these fixed payout DFS apps work in roughly the same way, obviously. There we go. Now, FanDuel, we're logged back into. So, FanDuel has a ton of
promos. I say it literally all the time. These [ __ ] promos are the easiest money you're going to make. So, just like don't be a [ __ ] dumbass and that complicated.
Um, dude, FanDuel is kind of popping, bro. dude. [Music]
a ton of books in this live stream. So, let's see what we have. What do we think let's see what we have. What do we think about Ohio State tomorrow? I feel like I feel like sharps are fading the [ __ ] out of Michigan.
I want you to hook me up with your sister, dude. What are we talking about? Um, yo, so this Ferguson play, I mean, if you guys don't use the DFS apps, it's also available on Prize Picks or sorry, on FanDuel. Cross market makers are
offering his under at plus 115. There's a lot of liquidity, which means they think the over at minus 115 is a good bet. It also looks amazing relative to other sports books. Higher liquidity obviously. Are you [ __ ] kidding me?
Why are you texting me, dude? Carson Wentz under. Usually I'm just Carson Wentz under. Usually I'm just playing [ __ ] to the max. Oh, baby. I playing [ __ ] to the max. Oh, baby. I think I got a home run bet, boys.
postseason hitter for the Dodgers. He's going yard basically every night. That's a joke, by the way, if you're too dumb to understand sarcasm, bro. Your chest is so hairy I can sniff it. Sorry, sorry,
sorry, sorry. Um, so check this out.
What we're going to do, boys, is we're going to run a parlay. Again, if both bets in your parlay are are plus EV, then your parlay will be plus EV. It's that simple, dude. Did they bump Pah? Are you [ __ ] kidding me, dude?
It's already down to plus 630. I hate these books sometimes. I was so excited to bet that. Why are they like this? Tommy Edmond isn't horrible. Plus 680. So, I'm going to run this as my FanDuel
parlay. I'm gonna throw the profit boost on it. Why don't you just run a straight bet? It's like, I don't know. Why don't you shut the [ __ ] up? You can bet them bet on. I literally don't care. Some of you guys think I care, dude. I don't
care. You can run it as a parlay. You can run a straight bet. I don't care. I'm showing you what I'm betting in this live stream. I don't [ __ ] care what you bet, dude. I don't care. I don't care. I don't care. Um,
why is it only the Twitch chat that is gay and cringe? It's a libtard platform. run, Parlay? Well, I was dreaming last night and I hit it. And I'm also up $60,000 this month. So, I don't really give a [ __ ] if I'm making
money on home runs or point spreads or money lines because if you're making money, it's it's money. Um, [ __ ] dumbass. Yo, what book do you guys want dumbass. Yo, what book do you guys want to look at?
Edmond. Sorry, the screen kind of got cut off. Rip some better, uncle, please. Yo, do you guys want to do more prize picks or what? Pick six, please. Let's see if there's any value. Again, I already gave
out all the pick six promos on Twitter. We can see if there's any value. There's a couple plays. I mean, MLB hockey, if you can find some pairs, go crazy. This Ilia play, I mean, it's like these
these peer-to-peer betting betting exchanges. Do prize picks, good sir. Yo, you guys got to like unite as one and like pick a sports book because I'm and I'm hearing Hard Rock and I'm hearing Fliff and I'm hearing Rebet.
It's [ __ ] frustrating. Yo. Oh [ __ ] Oh [ __ ] Um, give me a sec.
Michigan. I do think this Michigan play is pretty solid. Bryce [ __ ] Underwood if he can have a good game. Yeah. What do we think It's a cross market. It's arbitrage. And again, the reason I prefer to focus on
cross markets first is again, you know, in every ARB opportunity, this bet is Hard Rock is the dumb as [ __ ] sports book. So like obviously Tony Pard to
really good bet on Hard Rock. Let me lock that in real quick. They tell me 33, but they're only going to give me 1125. Tony Pard to score a touchdown plus 220. It's arbitrage to Novig. It's arbitrage to Circa. one of the two bets.
Him to score plus 220 or him to not score minus 200 as a plus EV bet. Dude, [ __ ] Michigan. So, I'm a wizard with these calculators,
bro. Also, you guys need to use more sports books. A lot of people think I'm joking when I say I've used a 100 sports books. I'm not. If you only use one book, you're [ __ ] stupid. I mean, respectfully
or Yo. Okay, so we're running Michigan on the spread. That's across market. Go. Okay, so they're going to take one grand. Let's see how much they take. Rebet is like the only book I don't have absolutely trash betting limits on. Oh
[ __ ] they're going to take two grand. Take three. Dude, they're going to let Take three. Dude, they're going to let me put it inside Bryce Underwood. What the [ __ ] Yo, how much do you guys like Michigan
And now they're going to hit me with the limit. So, I play in Michigan for about 3.8K. Um, prize picks has a promo 40% profit
boost. Well, we did do that to start the live stream, but I'm very happy to rip another prize pick for you guys. Um, let's see. So, let's go to prize picks.
[ __ ] another NFL play just showed up. Yo, Gino Smith over two and a half rushing attempts. That looks pretty damn good.
So, people wanted a prize picks play. So, the first play we're going to go with is Gino Smith. Oh, baby. Gino Smith over two and a half rushing attempts. Dude, Gino Smith is awful,
but he has been running the ball. So you can see his unders offered at plus123. There's $977 in liquidity. Obviously this Ilia play, higher liquidity, higher ARB percentage means higher confidence, but like who
the [ __ ] is calling me, dude. Stop calling me. Um, so let's go. So, the Jaden Daniels play. I mean, some of you guys like, again, I already gave out a play for Flex Friday, but I'll
some people weren't in here because you have jobs and lives and girlfriends and kids and I'm so glad I don't have kids. Some of you guys are way too young to have kids, bro. [ __ ] 24 year olds posting pictures of families of three on
Instagram. It's depressing. You guys are literally embarrassing. Get a life. Why literally embarrassing. Get a life. Why are you having kids at 23, dude? Um anyways, so we have Danielle Medvidev under 13 games. You only have one data
extremely sharp book, especially for tennis. Like tennis. Like [Music]
yo, so check this out. So I'm gonna actually try to do a fiveman this time. Let's go, man. And where are we? Where's NBA preseason, dude? Or is this just regular NBA? Yo, what the [ __ ] Well, let's see.
So, we have Porzingis. Injury-prone. Porzingis. No, this is just regular NBA. obviously far away. You don't have to include it if you don't want to. So, where are you? Come on. So, we have Porzingis over 14 and a half points.
That is solid. Yo. So again, you want to use data as a source of information. Pinnacle is not legal in the US. I do not bet on legal in the US. I do not bet on Pinnacle personally. It is simply a data
Pinnacle personally. It is simply a data point. Anyways, shut up. Finish the point. Anyways, shut up. Finish the slip, bro. New Jersey because Oh [ __ ]
Um, try to see some college plays if there are any, but we're good. Okay, so here's the play. Six pick flex play. Can somebody please put a link in the chat?
want. Did you drink something before the stream, bro? I mean, I'm drinking coffee like a normal person. You got a problem with that? Archie the second, man. Some of you guys
I I really do wonder how you create your Twitch usernames. everyone follows me on prize picks. Can somebody just not be lazy and just put
somebody just not be lazy and just put the link in the chat? Damn. the link in the chat? Damn. Absolutely ridiculous.
And now you're stuck with a fiveman regardless because they removed Pard. removed Pard, so you're stuck with a fourman. fourman. What do you guys want to look at, man?
What do you guys want to look at, man? What book nobody gives a [ __ ] about hockey, dude. Canadian [ __ ] [ __ ] dude. No
hockey questions in the chat. Nobody gives a [ __ ] about hockey, dude. Only gives a [ __ ] about hockey, dude. Only like strange people or Canadians um or Russians. Let's see, bro.
Um wow. So, DraftKings, this would be a great play on DraftKings pick six. Bryce Miller under 11 and a half outs. I mean, there's a [ __ ] ton of liquidity offered on his over up to plus 131 on pick six.
Three mans are optimal on underdog. I've gone through the math in so many videos. gone through the math in so many videos. You should check them out on YouTube. Yo, but what you guys should check out more importantly is the SA Discord.
head shot. Can we get an NHL nuke? Yo, give me a sec. Dude, I have way too many because I'm getting a little overwhelmed. Um, overwhelmed. Um, so let's see what we can do.
Okay, so there's a soccer profit boost. There was a college football profit boost. So usually for these college football profit boosts, pretty sorry, pretty simple. I just obviously try to find some college football value.
So where does FanDuel have something halfway decent? What about this over 24 half in Coastal Carolina versus Appalachian State? Man, the biggest college football game this weekend, bro. You know what it is? ODU versus JMU. My
mom went to JMU. Shout out JMU. You guys should A lot of you guys should apply to should A lot of you guys should apply to JMU. It's um again, it's uh Oh [ __ ] I mean, this is such a random bet, but I don't even care. Yo, where's
my profit boost, dude? any NCA football games.
do a couple other sports books in the meantime. Yeah. So, DraftKings pick six again. A lot of value right now. Better. I lot of value right now. Better. I already gave out a play, so
already used the pick six discount. I gave it out on Twitter. But you can see better. I'm done for the day. So don't ask for better plays. They only let me bet $100 per day because I made too much money on them.
But you can see there's some good value. Ferguson over. Gino over two and a half rushing attempts. Ferguson over four and a half receptions. Jordan Mason under 16 and a half RAS rushing attempts. Ilia Makakov over one and a half shots on
goal. Hockey, that hockey play is probably the best. Um, yo, but where is my FanDuel profit boost, dude? Oh [ __ ] it's showing me in New Jersey. I'm not it's showing me in New Jersey. I'm not in New Jersey. I'm in Virginia.
Sorry. So now this should work. Update my state to Virginia. Odds jam. Why do I change my state to New Jersey sometimes? Great my state to New Jersey sometimes? Great question because that's the only state
question because that's the only state where you get states for some reason on FanDuel and DraftKings they don't have college football player prop lines in Virginia. So long story short if I want to look at
them I just switched the state to New Jersey. So I'm going to run Vanderbilt. Oh [ __ ] Against LSU on the first quarter point spread. Fliff, bro. Hey yo, don't bro me, bro.
post in the Discord? Yeah, you guys should join that again. Do any of you guys have problems with the Discord? It should work very easily. So again, should work very easily. So again, usually these are absolute trash.
I love how they're they keep making the payout smaller so you can't even tell what odds you're getting. But usually these discounts are I mean dude that's only a fouryard discount, bro. But I'll see if there's any value on Sleeper.
Again, I've said this in literally a billion live streams, so I don't want to dwell on it, but it's a very hard book to beat in general because they charge a lot of juice, right? They have 55 cent spread in their
market. They are giving you worse odds on Caleb Williams over and his under compared to basically every book. FanDuel 35 or 31 cents. MGM 3 like minus FanDuel 35 or 31 cents. MGM 3 like minus 123. Like that's crazy. It's crazy.
123. Like that's crazy. It's crazy. Anyways, That's going to be my pair for this discount. actually think it's very
discount. actually think it's very solid. Um, and we can try to run it with another discount if there's any halfway decent discount if there's any halfway decent ones. Again, I'm just not sure.
usually you can just kind of bet on promos and they're almost always profitable, but Sleeper, that's definitely not the case. So, just be careful out there, dude. For example, they have Carson Beck at 251 half
passing yards. We checked this yesterday. Dude, his line is literally 243 half on all these other books. So, this not only isn't even it's not even like it's h it's okay. It's horrible, dude. Every other book has this line at
dude. Every other book has this line at like 241 half. at? Let's see what we can do, man.
Let's see. FanDuel, you got anything for me, dude? Ohio State. I feel like the me, dude? Ohio State. I feel like the market is just loving Ohio State. So, sometimes I like to put together parlays. Why? Because it's just a
combination of bets. If every bet in your parlay is plus EV, then your parlay is plus EV. It's very simple. There's nothing that matters. What if it's an NHL parlay? Doesn't matter. What if it's a UFC parlay? Doesn't matter. What if
a UFC parlay? Doesn't matter. What if it's a UFC NHL parlay? Doesn't matter. it's a UFC NHL parlay? Doesn't matter. Um,
tonight. Over 54 half in the Louisville, Miami, Florida game. Do we like it? Do Miami, Florida game. Do we like it? Do we like it?
these together. So, here you have arbitrage minus 102 plus 106. Jaylen Wadd, dude, I'm done with Jaylen Wadd. Jaylen Wadd [ __ ] me out of like a billion dollars. Yo, so as a very helpful little random
pro tip, as a very random pro tip, I can put the this is long as [ __ ] but if you want some crazy [ __ ] to ride, as a pro tip, I
try to keep my parlays below. Never bet a parlay above like 300 to one because if you win it, then you start getting all these like tax forms and [ __ ] which is just a pain in the ass to deal with. Just as a little note, that's a little
pro tip. That's why you'll never really see me. Anyways, let me log in. And dude, we're gonna have a crazy weekend again. I feel it, dude. Last weekend was [ __ ] insane. Um, let's see here. So, let me go here and let me do share bet
and let me actually try to copy this link and put it in the chat. All right. So, I think this works. I don't know. I've never shared a bet don't know. I've never shared a bet link, but that's a fun sweat.
Again, sometimes it's nice. It's still plus EV. The only thing parlays do is they introduce more variance. You have more ups and downs. But I may actually just run this play as a straight bet for tonight cuz like why not? It looks
really good. It looks good relative to other books as well. So this was again other books as well. So this was again the over. Sometimes these alt lines have better value. You know, all these books want to offer these alt spreads, alt
want to offer these alt spreads, alt lines, and [ __ ] like that. Let's see. Hard Rock. Everyone's begging for Hard Rock in the chat. That's crazy. I'm down to do it. So, Colston Loveland, that's a beautiful
last name, dude. You can probably convince girls he cares about their feelings easier than other people. Um, Colston Loveland to score a touchdown plus 750. Bro, literally every other book, look at this
[ __ ] They have his line like you know plus 400 it's arbitrage heavy liquidity plus 400 it's arbitrage heavy liquidity at minus 320 on him to not score right so arbitrage [ __ ] ton of liquidity you could bet both guarantee a profit
hard rock is the dumb as [ __ ] easily exploitable easily beatable sports book novig is very sharp so you have basically 100% confidence that the plus EV bet is on Hard Rock place a billion of those track your bets I'm literally
like a billion% % confident that you will be up money. Jordan Addison to going to give me 30, which means they're going to give me 10. But again, it takes like two seconds to lock these bets in because Odds Jam has
like oneclick bet that just kind of takes you right there. Coen Loavland. Who the [ __ ] is this guy? Malachi Corley. He has a sick first name. I bet his mom was [ __ ] stoned when she came up with that [ __ ] I'm
just kidding. I have no idea. Um maybe it's actually a popular name. Hollywood Brown plus 375. So again, Hard Rock's the most beatable book. It's known to be a very soft book. The only problem is this. Like if you start making money on
Hard Rock, you got to get creative. I have like 14 phones. Where are all my phones? I got like four others out there, too. You got to be scheming, there, too. You got to be scheming, dude. What do we want to do? Um,
about. So, we had flip. Dude, there's a lot of [ __ ] we could bet on.