[00:02] Today we're going to play the Little Tiger game, or something similar. But look, Tiger game. We're going to show that this is evil math, that it's programmed so that in the end we lose. Or even more
[00:19] win, some people will lose, but if you average the people, the company profits. So, in fact, some people win, but in the end, it's
[00:31] not worth it. The dice aren't worth it, the probability isn't worth it. the probability isn't worth it. Let's see this. Look, I brought a little diagram for you. Here are the nine pieces of the Little Tiger game. And
[00:44] can be a Little Tiger that can land in this slot here, right? We call it in this slot here, right? We call it a slot. There can be a little star. So, there can be four figures that can land here, let's say. So, to
[00:58] you want four stars to land, to multiply frequently offers, right? To multiply your money by 10.
[01:10] We want a star to fall here, a star here, and a star here. Speaking now in mathematical terms, if you have four figures, what is the chance of getting a star as a result? The chance of getting a
[01:25] star as a result is 1/4. Because there's one in four figures, perfect. The chance of getting a star on the second figure is also 1/4. The chance of getting a is also 1/4. The chance of getting a star on the third figure is also 1/4.
[01:40] So if you want to multiply your money by 10, you're going to get three stars. money by 10, you're going to get three stars. There, you'll take 1/4 x 1/4 x 1/4. So There, you'll take 1/4 x 1/4 x 1/4. So I do 1/4 and 1/4 and 1/4, which is 1/4, and
[01:55] we multiply this, right? In total, if you do the multiplication there, it will be if you do the multiplication there, it will be 1 x 1 x 1, which is 1/4 x 4 x 4, which is 64. So you have a 1/4 chance here. It's not worth it because if
[02:10] you wanted to multiply your money by 10, you'd want a 1/4 chance. probabilistic equilibrium. If you want to multiply money by 10, you'd want a 1/4 chance.  10, there's a chance there,
[02:22] you have to have a 10% chance of equilibrium, you see, it's a chance of 64. Ah, Professor, but you're being unfair because you're only analyzing the first line. Well, we're going to analyze the other lines, but what happens is
[02:36] you can't add the probability of one line to the other, you can't add the probability of one figure, a combination of figures, to the other. That's not how math works, okay? That's not how probability works, and I
[02:50] can give you an example of this. Imagine here: two coins. If you have a 50% chance of getting heads with this coin and a 50% chance of getting heads with this other one, you have a 100% chance of getting heads when you flip
[03:06] chance of getting heads when you flip both. You add 50 to 50, right? This 1 over 64 here, I'm going to add it to the 1 over 64 from the second line and say that my chances are now 2 over 64. No, no, that 's not how math works, and it's in this trick,
[03:21] this fallacy, that many people lose money. That's what this is sometimes turning into.  There's a social problem in Brazil where people lose a lot of money, or where, on average, people are losing more than they're winning. The
[03:36] this cruel coin toss trick! Our brain will say it's not Our brain will say it's not 50/50, so we add 1, so 64, 64. Then we add another number if there are more figures, depending on the event
[03:51] more figures, depending on the event happening, right? No, you don't add them, okay? Let's go, I we want to have here, oh, star, star, star, star, star, on everything, woohoo! Okay, I have here my chance of one over 64, one over 64 on the second
[04:08] line, okay? And more than that, it also gives you the chances of winning on the diagonal, right? In the old slot machines, which the Tigrinho game is certainly inspired by, you had to pay extra for
[04:21] additional screens or especially for the diagonals to count, right? You paid extra, for example, in the Tigrinho game, no. They give you that chance already included. You put the two diagonals here. This will give you 1 more, so...  64 and on the other side
[04:35] also 1 more, so 64, ready here too, 1 so 64. And then I repeat here, let's see if we understood this problem in this video. You can't add all these chances, it's a total of 5 over 64, it does
[04:51] n't work, that's how it works. Okay, but I'll show you the math behind this so you can still see that it doesn't match the result of 10 times, okay? Let's go, look, to be able to make these combinations, I did the complement of
[05:06] each chance. The chance of you winning here with the three stars to multiply your money by 10, which is what you're betting there, is 1 over 64. So the chance of you not winning on this line is 63 over 64, right? It's the other chances,
[05:21] 63 out of 64. So here I'm analyzing what the chance is of me not winning in any combination. The chances of me not winning in any not winning in any possible combination is 63 out of 64 and 63 out of 64, the five
[05:35] possible combination is 63 out of 64 and 63 out of 64, the five times there, right? So this down here for me will give 1 billion 73 million. 71,000 741.00 we have a cheat sheet for this here, okay?
[05:51] 824 ready, so this here is the multiplication of 64 x 64 x 64 x 64 five times, okay? The odds on top will be here, look,
[06:06] 436,000 and a few more change here, look, 543 ready. So, when I because it's a complex math, you see, a math that's well rules that we can add and change our calculation here, right?
[06:22] Additional things that the Tigrin game offers, right? We're leaving that aside, let's do the most basic version here. This is the probability of not winning in any slot, in any combination, any line, any diagonal, okay? So
[06:34] any line, any diagonal, okay? So the probability of you not winning is the probability of you not winning is 0.92. What would the probability of you not winning have to be to have
[06:47] probabilistic balance? It would have to be not winning, right?
[07:00] If the chance of you not winning is 92%, the chance of you winning is 88%. 88% chance of winning, and what would break even? It would have to be 10%. That's why they offer this "10 times" thing so much.
[07:14] The biggest advertisement is choosing a certain figure to win 10 times. Look, why would you have a 10% chance of winning? It's in that 2% that the company profits from
[07:29] everyone, from many Brazilians out there. Oh, but there was that case of the person who won R$2,000, there was that case of the person who won R$15,000, R$60,000. Yes, because if you multiply by 10, you reach R$60,000. For some
[07:43] 10, you reach R$60,000. For some rare people, you put in R$0, multiply by 10, R$600, multiply by 10 again, you won another R$6,000, again, you won another R$6,000, multiply by 10 again.  60,000. Okay,
[07:56] Tigrinho's game for free because they're happy for everyone, they're going to get the whole family to bet, they're going to get their friends to bet, they're going to become an influencer for Tigrinho's game, so pay attention because, as they say in Las Vegas, in the end the
[08:09] house wins, right? And I say this very seriously because there are people in Brazil who are becoming addicted, there have been people in Brazil who have lost their lives because of this, so please spread this message to others too because in the end nobody is winning