[0:01] Mosul Dam rises 370 feet or 113 meters above  the Tigris River in northern Iraq as one of   [0:09] the tallest dams in the Middle East. The dam was  built in the 1980s, but, in a way, construction   [0:16] never really stopped. That’s because ever since  the reservoir filled behind Mosul Dam, the ground   [0:22] has literally been dissolving, nonstop, below  the structure. Almost immediately on filling,   [0:29] water started flowing through the foundation of  the dam and back out on the downstream side. Just   [0:35] a year later, the volume of seepage was measured  at 800 liters or about 200 gallons per second. [0:42] I usually hate to use the olympic-sized  swimming pool equivalent, but in this case   [0:46] it makes sense because it was enough  to fill one every hour of every day.   [0:52] And the issue is that, once a process like this  gets started, it’s pretty hard to stop. So,   [0:58] for the past 40 years or so, the problem at  Mosul Dam has been ongoing, scrutinized by   [1:04] some of the most preeminent engineers across the  world and complicated by politics, bureaucracy,   [1:09] and, of course, armed conflict. Failure of a  structure this large would be catastrophic;   [1:15] towns along the Tigris River would be fully wiped  off the map, and some estimate that the breach   [1:20] wave would be so massive that even major parts of  Baghdad, hundreds of miles downstream, would be   [1:27] submerged. In 2006, the US Army Corps of Engineers  called it, unequivocally, “the most dangerous dam   [1:34] in the world.” That was 20 years ago, and Mosul  Dam is still standing, in better shape than ever.   [1:40] And the story of how it got there is fascinating.  I’m Grady, and this is Practical Engineering. [1:55] Mosul Dam is an earthen embankment dam  not far from the City of Mosul in Iraq,   [2:00] built to generate hydropower and store water  for irrigation and drinking. The hydro plant   [2:05] is on the west side of the dam with four turbine  generators. You can see the massive surge tanks   [2:11] sticking up from the plant that absorb changes in  pressure when the units are started and stopped.   [2:16] The dam has an outlet structure through the  embankment here. It has a service spillway with   [2:21] radial gates here. And an auxiliary spillway with  earthen fuse plugs here. Check out my videos on   [2:27] spillway gates and fuse plugs if you want to learn  more about those types of structures after this. [2:32] The dam itself is impressive, but the rock that  serves as its foundation is extremely complex,   [2:38] and in many ways, far from ideal. The geology  of northern Iraq includes a lot of gypsum,   [2:45] a sedimentary rock that is widely used  for things like fertilizer, plaster,   [2:49] and drywall. What it’s not widely used  for is the foundations of dams. In fact,   [2:55] the consensus of experts involved on Mosul  Dam throughout the years is that it was,   [2:59] all around, a terrible idea. One  consulting group said that, quote,   [3:04] “the decision to locate such a major and important  dam on the foundation rock mass which exists at   [3:10] the Mosul Dam site was fundamentally flawed.”  [3:15] That’s because of a critical property of gypsum,   [3:18] one that it doesn’t share with many other types  of rock formations: it dissolves in water. [3:24] You might be familiar with limestone caves and  karst geology, where water creates voids in the   [3:30] subsurface. Some of these can be quite dramatic  like Carlsbad Caverns in New Mexico or Mammoth   [3:36] Cave in Kentucky. They’re formed because the  limestone is just a tiny bit soluble in water,   [3:42] as long as it’s a bit acidic, which rainwater  usually is. So over the course of millions of   [3:48] years, that water kind of carves away the earth  from the inside. Gypsum, on the other hand,   [3:54] is roughly 200 times more soluble in water than  limestone. It’s not quite like a spoonful of   [4:00] sugar or salt that dissolves almost instantly, but  processes that usually take centuries in limestone   [4:07] are accelerated to human timescales in gypsum.  And that’s especially true in the subsurface,   [4:13] because dissolution isn’t a linear process.  More dissolving means more space for water   [4:19] which means more dissolving and so  on. It’s a positive feedback loop. [4:23] Many dam failures have resulted from internal  erosion, where water seeping through the soil or   [4:28] rock carries away particles, leaving voids. This  process is what led to the demise of Teton Dam,   [4:34] which I covered in an earlier video. But  where internal erosion can be combatted   [4:39] by designing filtration systems that  catch waterborne particles before they   [4:44] escape the subsurface, you can’t easily  filter dissolved gypsum out of seepage. [4:49] The designers of the dam knew the  gypsum was going to be an issue,   [4:53] and they had a few ideas to address it. One was  to install a blanket of bentonite clay lining   [4:58] the bottom of part of the reservoir. This would  block seepage from flowing into the subsurface,   [5:03] at least in the dam’s immediate vicinity,  lengthening the flow paths and thus reducing   [5:08] the total volume of the flow. However, the volume  of material would be enormous, and the blanket   [5:14] layer would be fairly fragile to damage from  boats or even strong currents. Another idea   [5:19] was to use a cutoff wall, basically a continuous  subsurface diaphragm of some impervious material.   [5:26] The problem was that there were no machines that  could trench deep enough to get below the worst   [5:31] of the gypsum. The idea they landed on was  the same as at Teton Dam: a grout curtain. [5:37] Mosul Dam’s design included a continuous concrete  tunnel running along the bottom of the structure.   [5:43] It had one purpose: to provide access to the  dam’s foundation for drilling rigs and grout   [5:48] pumps. Political and schedule pressures  pushed the government to finish the dam   [5:53] before the grouting was complete, but  they knew they would have the access   [5:56] to the gallery tunnel to continue that process  after the dam was in operation. Unfortunately,   [6:02] they underestimated how serious and complex a  challenge they were setting themselves up to face. [6:08] As soon as the reservoir filled up, the problem  became obvious. I mentioned the olympic swimming   [6:13] pools of seepage in the intro, but it wasn’t  just that. Sinkholes opened up downstream of   [6:19] the dam as caverns formed in the geology below  causing the surface to collapse. As time went on,   [6:25] those sinkholes started appearing closer  to the dam, an aboveground hint at how   [6:30] the solution cavities were migrating in the  subsurface. Essentially since its construction,   [6:36] operators have maintained a continuous grouting  program, injecting a mixture of sand, cement,   [6:42] bentonite, and water into the rock below  through drilled holes to try and plug up   [6:47] the voids. It’s basically a nonstop  race between logistics and chemistry,   [6:53] because grout doesn’t fare well in flowing water  and the foundation rock is constantly dissolving. [6:59] Recognizing the hazard they had created  in the 1980s, the Iraqi government came up   [7:04] with a backup solution. Since it was clear that  there really was no permanent fix for Mosul Dam,   [7:10] they would just build another dam downstream  that would capture the flood if (and maybe   [7:16] when) Mosul Dam failed. Badush Dam  started construction in the late 1980s.   [7:22] It would have a hydropower plant and store water  for irrigation, but also include a huge empty   [7:28] storage pool to protect downstream cities from  a breach of Mosul Dam. The project got about   [7:35] halfway finished before the geopolitical  situation in Iraq ground it to a halt. [7:43] In 2003, a US-led coalition invaded Iraq as  part of a larger war on terror in response   [7:50] to the September 11th attacks. As a major piece  of infrastructure in the country, Mosul Dam had   [7:56] the coalition worried. Some early reports hinted  that Iraqi forces might detonate the structure   [8:02] as an act of sabotage. But it didn’t take long to  realize that the dam might fail on its own accord.   [8:09] They started coordinating with the US Army  Corps of Engineers to assess the structure,   [8:14] whose report concluded that the risk  was astronomical. That’s the source of   [8:18] the “most dangerous dam in the world” quote  that has plagued the structure ever since.   [8:23] The truth is that the “danger” of a dam is  a pretty complicated thing to characterize,   [8:28] and it’s not a statistic that’s widely tracked,  especially at a global scale. But the fact that   [8:33] a government agency was willing to say it means a  lot. And Iraq’s Ministry of Water Resources took   [8:39] the situation seriously and started working with  a panel of experts to review the conditions of   [8:45] the dam. That panel largely came to the same  conclusion: Mosul Dam needed serious help. [8:52] Coalition forces had bases and equipment  along the Tigris River. The situation was   [8:57] concerning enough that they decided to  move everything out of the potential   [9:01] inundation area if the dam were to breach. At  the same time, a major part of the war effort   [9:07] was helping the new Iraqi government  shore up the country’s infrastructure,   [9:11] including improving the grouting program at  Mosul Dam. Even though it was really only   [9:16] considered a temporary solution, the consensus  seemed to be that it was the only feasible way   [9:22] to address the foundation problems beyond  the stalled Badush Dam project downstream. [9:27] Initial efforts by the US government to help at  Mosul Dam turned into somewhat of a disaster.   [9:33] A few notable examples: The winning contractor  for the grout plants submitted a concrete (not   [9:39] grout) mixing plant design, and somehow  the review committee didn’t notice,   [9:44] despite it being printed on the front page of  the submittal. By the time someone realized it,   [9:48] the concrete plants had already been delivered,  and the US government had to pay the contractor   [9:53] to try and convert them into grout mixing  plants. The material silos were poorly designed,   [9:59] with no ladders or braces. Some weren’t even  bolted to the foundation. The loading ramp   [10:05] for the hoppers had no retaining walls,  causing the slopes to slough off. Drills   [10:10] and pumping equipment couldn’t even fit into  the grouting galleries below the dam. And the   [10:15] dam operations staff meant to run all this  new high-tech equipment had only received   [10:20] a few weeks of training. The oversight  report about the project was scathing.   [10:25] Millions of dollars had been spent on 21  contracts for almost no benefit to the dam. [10:31] Coalition forces continued efforts to improve  the situation at Mosul Dam, but by 2010,   [10:37] the US was withdrawing troops from the country  and handing off the reconstruction projects   [10:43] back to the Iraqi government. Unfortunately, that  handoff was only temporary, as sectarian violence   [10:49] continued to plague the region. In mid-2014,  the Islamic State (also known as ISIS, ISIL,   [10:56] and Daesh) took over several cities in Northern  Iraq, disrupting the supplies of materials to   [11:03] Mosul Dam, which was still relying on nearly  24/7 grouting operations to keep the structure   [11:09] safe. That August, ISIS seized control of Mosul  Dam, sparking new fears that the structure would   [11:16] collapse. For more than a week, the dam was out of  the hands of the Iraqi government, and no one knew   [11:22] what the militants might do (or what they might  not do). It was the same situation as before:   [11:28] Even short-term neglect presented a serious  safety risk. Fortunately, the dam was recaptured   [11:34] by Kurdish and Iraqi forces, with the help of US  air support, 8 days later. The dam was back in   [11:40] Iraqi hands, but the surrounding areas weren’t.  With equipment looted during the brief seizure,   [11:47] the disruption of the workforce at the dam, and  without regular shipments of cement, the grouting   [11:52] operation wasn’t being maintained. Equipment  installed during the Iraq war wasn’t being   [11:58] used. Voids were going untreated, and concerns  about the dam’s failure continued to grow. [12:04] Realizing that the Iraqi government was too  fractured to manage the situation alone,   [12:09] the US decided to stay involved as  Mosul Dam’s de facto engineer. In 2015,   [12:15] the Army Corps of Engineers led a task  force to assess the condition of the dam,   [12:19] and the results were alarming. The US Embassy  released a fact sheet based on their findings,   [12:25] saying that the dam had an “unprecedented risk  of catastrophic failure” endangering between   [12:30] half-a-million and 1.5 million people along the  Tigris River. A collapse would be a humanitarian   [12:37] crisis unlike almost anything in modern history.  The situation was further complicated by the   [12:43] ongoing occupation by the Islamic State, making  it difficult or impossible for residents to be   [12:49] able to evacuate to safer areas. Electrical  blackouts, lack of government coordination,   [12:55] and poor communication would make things  even worse in the event of failure. [13:00] The Iraqi government tried to downplay the alarm a  bit. In an interview on TV, the Minister of Water   [13:06] Resources said, quote, “The looming danger to  Mosul Dam is one in a thousand. This risk level   [13:12] is present in all the world’s dams.” I don’t  know if he made that number up, or if it was   [13:17] actually supported by some kind of analysis, but  anyone involved in risk management would find it   [13:23] hilarious if it weren’t such a serious situation.  Assuming that’s an annual probability, which is   [13:29] what we normally use, and multiplying it by the  consequences of failure estimated by the Corps   [13:34] of Engineers, you get an expected annual fatality  rate of 500 to 1500 people. Nowhere in the world   [13:43] would anybody consider that acceptable. This is a  graph often used to communicate tolerable risks on   [13:49] large dam projects. This green area generally  means there’s not a lot of justification for   [13:55] making a structure safer. Yellow, you have to be  more thoughtful. Red means unacceptable. Taking   [14:01] the minister’s estimate of probability, and the  embassy's estimates of fatalities at face value,   [14:07] Mosul Dam would plot somewhere around here on  the chart. That “most dangerous dam in the world”   [14:13] moniker doesn’t seem like hyperbole when you  look at it like that. To quote Lieutenant-General   [14:18] Sean MacFarland, “If this dam were in the United  States, we would have drained the lake behind it.” [14:24] The urgency finally spurred action in 2016.  [14:29] Iraq awarded a contract to an Italian company   [14:32] to rehabilitate the structure, including a  massive operation to expand the foundation   [14:38] grouting program. It was one of the most  unique civil engineering projects on the globe,   [14:43] with participation from the Iraqi government,  the US (through the Corps of Engineers), the   [14:48] Italian military, and a number of international  consultants. I actually talked with a few of the   [14:54] engineers involved on the project, and  some of their stories are pretty wild.   [14:58] In the early days of the project, they were  inserting engineers at night, by helicopter,   [15:03] to support the Iraqis who were operating  the dam and install equipment that would   [15:08] let them monitor the situation remotely while  ISIS was operating only a short distance away. [15:14] The entire project had to happen near the front  lines as the conflict with the Islamic State   [15:20] continued to unfold in Iraq. Security forces  were needed for the entire duration to protect   [15:25] the dam and supply routes for materials and  equipment. That took some time to get set up,   [15:31] but eventually, the project team was able  to establish a permanent camp at the dam.   [15:35] Over the next few years, all the grouting  infrastructure, including batch plants,   [15:40] piping, electrical systems and drill  rigs were replaced with modern equipment.   [15:45] Crews drilled more than 5,000 boreholes with  a total length of drilling at more than 400   [15:51] kilometers or 250 miles. 41,000 cubic meters  (50,000 cubic yards) of grout were injected   [15:59] into the foundation along the entire length of the  dam. Generally the way it works is this: you can   [16:05] inflate a rubber device called a packer using air  or hydraulic pressure, creating a seal between the   [16:11] borehole and injection pipe. Or you just grout  the injection pipe directly into the borehole.   [16:17] Then you can pump grout at very high pressure  into the borehole, forcing it into voids, cracks,   [16:23] fissures. You just keep pumping until you reach  a refusal criterion, a certain maximum pressure   [16:29] that you hold until the grout stops flowing. And  you just keep doing it over and over and over. [16:35] All this work was done using a sophisticated  computer system to keep track of pressure,   [16:41] depth, mix design, flow rate, and quantity of  grout for every borehole, allowing the team to   [16:46] track progress, identify issues, and visualize  the performance of the operation. From material   [16:53] delivery to batching to drilling and injection,  every step of the process became a data point. [16:59] I love unique measurement units, and this project  had a good one: As a quality control test,   [17:05] the contractor would try to inject water into the  foundation rock after it was grouted up. A Lugeon   [17:11] is the loss of water of one liter per minute  per meter of borehole length at an overpressure   [17:18] of 1 megapascal or about 145 psi. For all the  permeability tests performed for the project,   [17:26] 98 percent had values below 3 Lugeons, a massive  improvement over the conditions beforehand. [17:34] The project finished in 2019. It was a 3-year  effort that cost more than half-a-billion dollars,   [17:40] but Mosul Dam lost its most dangerous  dam title as a result. By all accounts,   [17:45] the dam is in a much less precarious position.  The project won an award from the Deep   [17:51] Foundations Institute in 2022, highlighting  the complexity and the danger of the work. [17:57] But this wasn’t like a typical construction  project, because the work isn’t over. The   [18:02] goal was to get the Iraqi government set up to  continue the process of maintenance grouting.   [18:08] The rock below Mosul Dam may have a lot more grout  than it used to, but the gypsum is still soluble,   [18:15] and there’s still a massive reservoir constantly  trying to push water through it. A major part of   [18:20] the rehabilitation project was training Iraqi  staff to continue the fight. In that way,   [18:27] despite its magnitude, the project was sort of a  half-a-billion-dollar bandaid. The grouting has   [18:33] never been considered a permanent solution, and  even though this project resulted in an enormous   [18:39] improvement in the long-term prospects of the  structure, it’s still a major, ongoing obligation. [18:46] Iraq is still planning for a more permanent  fix. You can still see the half-finished   [18:51] Badush Dam on the map, downstream from  Mosul, and finishing the job is still on   [18:56] the table if anyone can figure out how to come  up with the billions of dollars it would take.   [19:00] Another option is that deep foundation cutoff  wall considered during the original design. It   [19:06] would provide a continuous barrier for seepage  passing through the porous rock below the dam.   [19:11] These are used on a lot of dams across the  world, but it’s never been done on the scale   [19:16] and depth as would be required at Mosul. In 2018,  the estimated cost for a cutoff was between 3 and   [19:23] 5 billion dollars, an almost unimaginable  investment into a dam that already exists   [19:29] and functions today. Whether the electricity and  water from Mosul Dam is even worth that scale of   [19:36] capital is something that will probably  take a long time to decide. Until then,   [19:41] the government will keep pumping grout and Dinars  into the rocks below in the nonstop race against   [19:47] a flawed foundation, but now with much more  confidence that they can keep up the pace. [19:54] One of the trickiest  parts of Mosul Dam is that you can’t just see what the subsurface looks like. The Army Corps   [20:01] of Engineers did a really detailed investigation,  but even then, a lot of it is guesswork based   [20:06] on very limited observations from individual  boreholes scattered across the site. This is   [20:12] a challenge for all kinds of engineering projects  too: understanding the things we can’t easily see.   [20:19] My friend Brian at the Real Engineering  channel has a solution in his new series,   [20:24] “The Anatomy of.” He’s putting everyday  objects and devices into a CT scanner,   [20:29] so we can literally see inside. This is  such a cool exploration of what makes   [20:35] up our favorite gadgets, and if you want to  check it out, it’s only available on Nebula. [20:40] You probably know about Nebula now, even if  you’re not subscribed. It’s a streaming service   [20:44] built by and for independent creators. No studio  executives deciding what gets the green light, no   [20:51] advertisements driving the content into a single  style. 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