[00:01] video of this girl who is Tory Trades, okay?  It's perhaps the strangest video I 've seen in recent years in terms of trading strategies.  You 've been asking me for quite some time now, via email and social media, to
[00:14] react to this girl, Tony Trades, explaining that she had a trend-following swing trading strategy that was truly incredible.  I've read that he has a win rate of over 80%, that he has a very positive ratio, I don't know, I've
[00:26] regarding that he's someone who has grown a lot on social media lately regarding whether I think it's legitimate, so to speak, whether he to find out what kind of trading he does and
[00:41] found is good.  It seems she really does trade well, and what she shows are account statements, showing her track record, so it seems she is indeed a real trader. But I was surprised when I
[00:56] hers, one of her most famous, where she explains her trend-following swing trading strategy in detail in quite surprised because what you're about to see throws me off. I don't know, I've
[01:12] never seen such a simple or easy strategy that can be as profitable as she claims, because it has made her a lot of money.  I will give you my opinion, as honestly as possible, regarding what I see, which does
[01:25] my opinion and I would like to see it implemented as well to see if we can learn a simple and that has made her so much money.  Let's see what we can get out of so much money.  Let's see what we can get out of there.
[01:42] will.  I truly just trade with trend lines and some support and resistance. of the strategy.  The support and resistance gives me some confirmation,
[01:54] some confidence about how to trade based on my strategy. Okay, it's three minutes, as you can see.  I'm going to slow down little by little.  He says it's very has trend lines and support and resistance levels.  OK?
[02:09] watching this video has used support and resistance levels and convinced that most of you who have used trend lines exclusively, and support and resistance levels, haven't had
[02:23] Some of you probably do, but understand that in general it's quite complex to find trend line strategies using such incredible results as those shown.  So let's see what
[02:47] Platinum has been just respecting these trend lines to a T. Absolutely beautiful price action here.  We've got one, two, three, almost four touch points here on this upward trend line.  I would get into this position only because trend line
[03:01] was broken.  So we'll just say for example purposes, we've got one, two, three touch points on this downward trend line.  Three touch points on this I have to stop here for a moment because some things are starting to bother me a little
[03:13] .  These are the things I don't understand because what I've really seen from her when she's shown her results is that she makes money.  So, uh, for example, what I want to tell you, excuse me for getting a
[03:26] little stuck because it's mentioning that it's detecting swings, right?  In other words, touches on the trend line and that will somehow mark its mark the trend line through higher swings if it's
[03:41] bullish and lower swings if it 's bearish.  And here he is making a completely arbitrary or discretionary decision based on how he marks those points, isn't he?  Because it touches the trend line, because
[03:55] 've marked here on the upward trend line is not at all the same as the next one. Notice that here the touch point, the swing is indeed solid and we can establish objective criteria to determine that this is a swing.  This one
[04:09] pullback, a pullback that even cancels out the last candle of the movement. Therefore, it may be a solid swing, but the ones above are already starting to be a here, and another from there.  These are already starting to get a little weaker.  I don't understand
[04:25] what criteria they use to mark them, but this here makes absolutely no sense. Okay, this one here, right? We could mark it as a bearish swing, but on what basis, why not this one
[04:38] here, this one here that has also marked, which says that it is the second one. rejection candlestick, it's also an interaction point.  This here, this small even cancel out the last downward movement, is also part of it.  Why does
[04:52] the criteria for marking this one change? These are one criteria, these here are another, and these here are yet another?  So how do you determine where a trend begins and ends interaction?  Is it a discretionary decision?  That's what I don't know, it seems kind of
[05:07] strange to me.  If I saw this from someone else who hadn't seen that it had results, I would honestly say that they were lying, that they were saying something completely outrageous.  But anyway, let's see.  I'd
[05:19] how you define trend lines, how you determine that a swing robust or solid enough to be repeated over time.  Because perhaps this candlestick pattern you're seeing here, or even this one, at another time when you're
[05:34] not psychologically winning and are doubting yourselves, you won't negative streak, if you're not very clear on how to determine the marking trends in a totally subjective and arbitrary way, and they'll be different each time
[05:48] So, it seems to me, I don't know, something strange. As you can see, traders, the trading, the experience when it comes to seeing with trend lines is not as simple as it seems.  No, I'm sure it has
[06:02] nothing to do with setting a trend, catching the exact movement we next one start.  That happens in books, it happens in theory, but in the .  That's why I've been trying for many years to make you reflect on
[06:16] your trading.  It is extremely important that you protect your capital.  I don't know how trying to make you understand the same thing.   That's why I always show you that I Freedom 24, a well-regulated platform where I invest in ETFs.  It has over
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[07:55] investing so many years ago."  And he also mentioned that he does it in platinum.  And asset selection is also very important when trading trends, because trading a trend in a currency, for
[08:07] commodity, a futures contract, or a stock.  So, it depends a asset, right?  What type of movement does it have and generate?  And I don't know how the platinum is, but we'll see.  Okay, here we have the price of platinum, the CFD
[08:20] on platinum.  In this case, you'll see future ones, but oh well, it's no good.  And these are from 2015, okay?  2015, the last 10 years for platinum has been quite a range, hasn't it?  In other words, in the end, all this movement, all this
[08:35] here, doesn't seem like a very large trend.  Okay, let's measure it. very large trend.  Okay, let's measure it. For example, the biggest
[08:47] right?  Of 120%.  Hm.  And it took him a whole year to do it, didn't it?  And it was very vertical.  The rest is not so much a trend, higher timeframes, as we have seen her do, uh, looking for certain
[09:04] patterns like the ones she mentions, seem quite complex to me. Furthermore, as we see here, this is December 26, 2023 in H4.  Okay.  Uh, December 26, 2023 in H4.  Okay.  Uh, here we have December 2023, which
[09:18] is what she has taken this movement to.  And if you look closely, this entire range here doesn't generate any trend movement.  In other words, she has taken exactly this to teach us her strategy, this
[09:32] upward movement here and this downward movement. it, uh, it's a loss if it comes back in
[09:46] In other words, most of the time this asset is within a range. Notice, it has already selected this exact inverted V movement, but
[09:58] most of the time it doesn't generate such large movements.  It's quite a lot, it 's not a trending movement.  Platinum does not have a very clear trend.  Do you understand?  Notice, this is all an absolute range in the long term.
[10:10] So, selecting movements that avoid traps in that trend and constantly triggering stops is quite difficult. So, I understand that the whole legend about it having a very high win rate must
[10:22] be false.  This cannot be because a trend-following strategy of this type has many false breakouts and therefore many accumulated stops, which leads to very low win rates, just like any
[10:34] ask Chat GPT directly, so we can see it objectively, whether the platinum asset, the platinum futures, is really a trending asset or more of a range-bound asset.  And here you can see that he does
[10:47] a general analysis of the last 10 years, he shows you the prices here and tells you 2015 to 2020 platinum fluctuated between 800 after the COVID-19 crash in 2020, the price
[11:02] rebounded but continued to fluctuate between 850 and eventually fell to 600. Unlike gold, and even palladium, platinum hasn't had a sustained okay?  It only showed short upward trend impulses at specific times such as 2016 or early
[11:16] 2021 , but these movements followed by long phases of consolidation.  The conclusion is that long-term trending asset; rather, most of the time it has moved within
[11:29] a range.  This makes trend-following strategies more difficult and favors oscillator resistance support.  This is the point.  You know, traders, that to assess whether the asset we select really fits the
[11:43] people, from my point of view, make a mistake in that, operating trend-following strategies on non-trend assets, which hinders their success and vice versa.  And that's what surprises me about this case, about what Kittory Trades shows.   I
[11:56] a winning trader because she's proven it, but it surprises me that these kinds of things happen because at least I don't see the point.
[12:11] that trend begins.   It is clearly a stationary chart and it has squared up exactly where the movement begins.  I don't know, I don't know.  Now we are following up.  We're going up up up .  I would stay in this position for as
[12:26] long as the trend is happening.  So a lot of people will ask me where do my take profits go?  When I get into a position I do n't know how long the price is going to trend in this direction for.  I don't actually have take profits.  So when I
[12:38] trying to stay in for the entirety of the move, the entirety of the trend.  And my indication for when it is no longer trending in that direction is when price breaks that trend.  So, the price of platinum was trending upward along this
[12:53] platinum was trending upward along this line from December 7th all the way until line from December 7th all the way until January 2nd.  Did I know January 2nd was longer trended up?  I don't know.  So, I will close my position and take my
[13:06] profit when the price of platinum is no longer trending along the current trend that I'm in.  This is also an excellent place for an entry.  Closing my position position.  Now let's look for another downward
[13:20] trend.  I'm going to take this downward trend line.  We've got point A and point trend line.  We've got point A and point B here.  Now this is another trend B here.  Now this is another trend where touch points here.   Do
[13:39] decision involves many things, really.   That's why it grates on me.  Uh, the is created, the chart is created, is easily identifiable.  This second point here fits, it seems correct to me, very vertical, also for
[13:53] a trend line, but again I think it has marked this one here and this one here.  These four points do seem solid to me, 1, 2, 3 and 4 seem to me to be coherent trend points , but according to the criteria
[14:07] she has determined here in this drop, this here could be another here.  In other words, why hasn't it established a much more vertical trend line you had marked the trend line
[14:20] touching this one here or this one here, which are absolutely similar to these ones you marked before, this pullback here would have taken you out, would have closed your position, do you understand?  So, when it's marked in
[14:34] such a convenient way for your decision-making and for your example, I don't know, it seems very reductionist to say, no, all you have to do is mark two or three support points of bullish
[14:47] there enter and it's that simple, right?  I don't know, there are many things here simple, right?  I don't know, there are many things here that don't add up at all.  I don't
[15:16] but I want to stay in for as long as I can.  I want to collect as much profit as I can.  Now, I'll never reach these highs and these lows, but I will be able to get at least the meat of the trend.  I'll be able to get in for the majority of
[15:29] movend.  What gets me in and what gets me out is going to be the trend line.  So, what got me into this short position of an up trend.  Of course, it says this here, it says, it's not that I leave when the market changes, such and such, and
[15:43] great, really, that's fantastic. But the problem is that, I repeat, in But the problem is that, I repeat, in this movement that has taken a clean bearish turn, in reality, in a
[15:56] surely have happened that, since you don't see what is happening, you keep marking trend line much more vertical. You would mark this one, you would mark this one, you would start to make it more vertical by marking this one.  Based on your
[16:10] previous criteria, you would mark these.  Here you would already have a stop, you would close.  Therefore, would you go long again according to their criteria ?  Would you go long on an ?  Would you go long on an uptrend?  I don't understand why this would
[16:22] so she would enter bullishly again here. You would have a bearish stop, you would have to wait again.   I don't know , I don't know.  In other words, I don't think the long trade that resulted in it would be met in a real-world environment.  Out of every 100 times,
[16:36] the trade exactly like this ?  I don't know, I don't really know, guys. a little dense,
[17:01] trend trade.  But as soon as breaks, which it did on January 18th, I am closing my position and taking my profits.  That is essentially my strategy in a nutshell.  So, thanks for tuning in. And that's it, time to make money, right?  Uh,
[17:16] so, I don't know, traders, I don't know what to think about this.  Well, as I said, this girl, this trader, has really proven that she makes money.  So, I don't simply to, I don't know, uh, like a viral video, right?  Because it lasts 3
[17:30] just wanted to share the most basic idea, but with the basic ideas we have, I would like to put on the table all the doubts I've had, right?  Which is to say, damn, these support points and
[17:43] the trend lines are somewhat discretionary and arbitrary.  I haven't seen a logical pattern that he follows when marking them, and that's dangerous on a mark all the points you consider important when you're very euphoric and
[17:56] lose those points, they start to doubt more, they fade away , they're going to doubts.  Therefore, it is necessary to clearly define the key points or
[18:08] objective rules that you will use to identify those trend points. Uh, then also select an asset that has been in range for so long, having n't know, much more trend-oriented movements.  It seems strange to me,
[18:21] honestly, it seems strange to apply in a trend-following strategy, high win rate.  If you tell me, "No, look, I'm very aggressive when it comes to very vertical trends and when they break out I always try to initiate the first moves. I'm not
[18:35] going to hit a lot of stops, a lot of false breakouts, but I already accept that." I'd like to know what you think, what you think of that strategy, if it's really that good, because I invite you to see the results
[18:48] truly spectacular.  She shared her broker statements and something doesn't add up for me , something doesn't seem right, or rather, it doesn't make sense .  So, I'd like to know what strategies of this type, whether they are really as successful as they claim,
[19:02] or not.  And the great thing about this is that we see a very successful Swing Trader who, by applying only trend lines, is achieving incredible results.  So I guess we have to learn from her.  I'm going to keep an eye on it and see
[19:16] for being there for one more video.  I hope you liked this reaction.  If you want us to do this, to objectively and calmly analyze what especially in English, where there are many traders who have
[19:29] truly incredible results, overwhelming in some cases.  I'm really keen to do say, what they do, in order to learn, but also to be critical and understand that perhaps we either don't understand things or there's something here that does
[19:42] n't add up and smells fishy. And little else.  I hope you had a challenged you.  I'll read your comments. Don't forget to also visit the link to it will greatly help the channel to continue growing.  And remember not to spend
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[20:08] account with them, top up the one you already have, and use the codes I've okay, traders?  So don't think twice about it .  Thanks as always, and see you in the .  Thanks as always, and see you in the next video.