[00:01] The whole world is focused on the World Cup&nbsp; at this point in time, and there are millions&nbsp;&nbsp; and millions of dollars going into these markets&nbsp; on Poly Market every single day. In this video,&nbsp;&nbsp; I'm going to go over how I plan to profit&nbsp; and my strategy on the knockout stages. So,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[00:17] we are heading into the knockout matches.&nbsp; We have the bracket set for the entirety&nbsp;&nbsp; of the rest of the World Cup. So, how are&nbsp; we planning to profit on this? There are&nbsp;&nbsp; people making tons of capital by trading the&nbsp; World Cup. I'll show you in this video. So,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[00:33] Guys, if you're new to the channel, drop down&nbsp; below, hit the like button, subscribe to the&nbsp;&nbsp; channel. My name is Johnny. This is In the&nbsp; Money, and we go over everything you need to&nbsp;&nbsp; win in crypto prediction markets and more Monday&nbsp; through Friday on this channel. And of course,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[00:49] a big shout out to our sponsors down below in the&nbsp; description. Let's just go ahead and jump right&nbsp;&nbsp; into it. I had posted this video here two and a&nbsp; half weeks ago: How to Profit on the World Cup&nbsp;&nbsp;
[01:01] using Poly Market. Now, you all really enjoyed&nbsp; this video. The feedback, the views, the likes,&nbsp;&nbsp; and the comments. It feels like you guys really&nbsp; took advantage of the information that was shared&nbsp;&nbsp; there, which is awesome to see because the&nbsp; strategy actually worked out quite well.
[01:18] Looking at goal totals against big teams versus&nbsp; some of the weaker teams, we saw some of these&nbsp;&nbsp; teams put up crazy amounts of goals from France to&nbsp; Norway, which had some high-scoring games. Spain,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[01:31] Germany, etc. Some of these teams ended up going&nbsp; over those team totals and those goal totals. And&nbsp;&nbsp; then also, most importantly, we really profited&nbsp; on the "no." So there were no major upsets during&nbsp;&nbsp;
[01:45] the World Cup rounds, the group stages, should I&nbsp; say. There were ties. There were not big upsets,&nbsp;&nbsp; not wins by the lesser side. We had some shocking&nbsp; draws from Cape Verde. We had a couple of draws&nbsp;&nbsp;
[02:01] for some of these big clubs, but otherwise,&nbsp; they didn't win. So, if you traded the "no"&nbsp;&nbsp; on those positions against the weaker team, you&nbsp; were hedging. And so many people lost money by&nbsp;&nbsp; just putting money on the popular squad. England&nbsp; when they drew, I believe it was against Ghana,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[02:18] I think it was. And then also, especially Spain&nbsp; versus Cape Verde. So going "no" on the underdogs&nbsp;&nbsp; was the best play possible for those group stages&nbsp; because there weren't big upsets, but there&nbsp;&nbsp;
[02:32] were big draws. So you were able to hedge that&nbsp; position. So we were able to come out in profit&nbsp;&nbsp; during the group stages, and that was really&nbsp; thanks to the info shared in this first video. Today is more so focused on the knockout stages.&nbsp; Let's look at the knockout bracket here. We can&nbsp;&nbsp;
[02:50] see we got a lot of action. I believe the World&nbsp; Cup now with 32 teams. So there's 16 games this&nbsp;&nbsp; round, eight games next round. There's going to&nbsp; be four games, two games, and then one game. So&nbsp;&nbsp;
[03:03] we have about 25 to 30 matches left, more or less,&nbsp; just quick math off the top of my head. We can see&nbsp;&nbsp; here some of these results coming in. And you can&nbsp; see a lot of these have been tightly contested,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[03:16] highly defensive matches. So that's going to&nbsp; factor into our strategy. A lot of these teams&nbsp;&nbsp; now are going to try to park the bus if they&nbsp; are underdogs. Teams like Paraguay yesterday,&nbsp;&nbsp; teams like Morocco. The Netherlands really&nbsp; didn't do the majority of the attacking,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[03:32] and we'll take you to penalties." And&nbsp; Morocco was able to win that game. So, how are we planning to trade the knockouts?&nbsp; Let's just jump right into it. First and foremost,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[03:45] some of these matchups you see right now: Norway&nbsp; versus the Ivory Coast, or France versus Sweden,&nbsp;&nbsp; or later tonight, we have Mexico versus Ecuador.&nbsp; And I'll actually show you some of my positions&nbsp;&nbsp; right now. So for today, I have under three and&nbsp; a half goals on Norway versus Ivory Coast. Now,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[04:02] this is going to definitely play a factor for my&nbsp; first initial strategy, which is goal totals. And&nbsp;&nbsp; opposed to the group stages where a lot of these&nbsp; high-class squads were scoring a ton of goals,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[04:15] you can actually come through here, and let's&nbsp; go over to Norway versus the Ivory Coast. This&nbsp;&nbsp; is actually going on right now. And you can see&nbsp; here I have $1,000 on $1,088. Really, it was about&nbsp;&nbsp;
[04:30] $900 in risk on under three and a half goals. So&nbsp; to me, after watching all those games yesterday,&nbsp;&nbsp; the highest scoring being Brazil and Japan at 2 to&nbsp; 1, these teams are really trying to park the bus,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[04:44] trying not to expose their backline, trying not&nbsp; to get beat. A lot of these teams are willing to&nbsp;&nbsp; play for that overtime, extra time period, and&nbsp; then also penalty shootouts because if you get&nbsp;&nbsp; to penalties, truly anything can happen. So for&nbsp; me, in a lot of these tighter contested matchups,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[05:00] even though I think Norway is better than the&nbsp; Ivory Coast, they've been playing quite nicely&nbsp;&nbsp; throughout the tournament. So for me, I have&nbsp; under three and a half goals. And of course,&nbsp;&nbsp; the standard line is two and a half, but I&nbsp; was able to get this at 74 cents. So a nice,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[05:15] 33% or so return on investment if this was to&nbsp; come through. Right now, this game is in the&nbsp;&nbsp; second half. Let's just check in. 63 minutes in&nbsp; the books, and this one is one to nothing, and&nbsp;&nbsp;
[05:29] we would have to have sacrificed four goals for us&nbsp; to lose that position. So that's a big one for me. I'm going to be looking at the knockout&nbsp; bracket throughout the tournament, and&nbsp;&nbsp; just kind of looking through these, I think France&nbsp; and Sweden might not be applicable for this one,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[05:45] but Portugal and Croatia certainly. I don't&nbsp; see a ton of goals there. When you look at&nbsp;&nbsp; stuff like Belgium and Senegal, I think that's&nbsp; going to be a pretty tightly contested defensive&nbsp;&nbsp; matchup. Mexico versus Ecuador, I would be very&nbsp; surprised to see that one become a goal fest at&nbsp;&nbsp;
[06:01] the end of the day. Argentina, Cape Verde, Cape&nbsp; Verde has played very solid defense over the&nbsp;&nbsp; course of this tournament. So, there are a lot of&nbsp; games that I'm going to be targeting goal totals,&nbsp;&nbsp; but the opposite way. I'm going to be going&nbsp; a lot of unders, whereas in the group stages,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[06:17] I was going over most of the time. And then also,&nbsp; I'm taking advantage of "nos" again against these&nbsp;&nbsp; underdogs. So like today, you could have gotten&nbsp; Ivory Coast at 70% just not to win the match.&nbsp;&nbsp;
[06:30] That is a very, very good proposition. And also, I&nbsp; got Norway not to win by more than one and a half,&nbsp;&nbsp; which means if Norway just wins by one, I win that&nbsp; selection. It was a little bit better price. It&nbsp;&nbsp;
[06:44] was in the 60s as opposed to going against Ivory&nbsp; Coast directly. But this is definitely a type of&nbsp;&nbsp; a round where yesterday you could have gone "no"&nbsp; against Paraguay. You could have gone "no" against&nbsp;&nbsp; either Netherlands or Morocco. Really, most people&nbsp; would have gone against Morocco. Even though&nbsp;&nbsp;
[06:59] Morocco did advance, and that was not a surprise&nbsp; to me, but I think to a lot of people today you&nbsp;&nbsp; could go Ivory Coast "no." I think that Sweden's&nbsp; a little too expensive today, for example. But&nbsp;&nbsp; just looking at some of these matches, you could&nbsp; probably go Cape Verde "no." You could look at&nbsp;&nbsp;
[07:15] something like Croatia "no," Austria "no," Bosnia&nbsp; "no," just depending on the percentages. So,&nbsp;&nbsp; that protects you if there's a draw or if the&nbsp; other team wins, you win that selection. So,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[07:30] it is a perfect hedge. And also, I'm taking&nbsp; advantage of spreads. So that is what we are&nbsp;&nbsp; on right now. Just Norway not to win by more than&nbsp; one goal. Also, later today I have France to win,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[07:43] and then I have Mexico versus Ecuador under two&nbsp; and a half goals. So this goes back to that first&nbsp;&nbsp; strategy. I just think a lot of these teams are&nbsp; going to be more physical. They're going to be&nbsp;&nbsp; really putting out their best defense while also&nbsp; trying to put an attack out there. You don't want&nbsp;&nbsp;
[07:57] to get compromised on that back end, especially&nbsp; with some of these tighter matched teams. So that&nbsp;&nbsp; is strategy number one. I am certainly looking&nbsp; to play spreads because I think that these games&nbsp;&nbsp; will be very close, and you can alternate these&nbsp; spreads. You can manipulate these spreads on&nbsp;&nbsp;
[08:12] Poly Market. And then number two, I'm absolutely&nbsp; looking to exploit the goal market because to me,&nbsp;&nbsp; I would be very surprised to see a lot of three to&nbsp; three games throughout this knockout stage. A lot&nbsp;&nbsp;
[08:25] of these teams, and especially the lesser teams,&nbsp; are just going to be really parking the bus,&nbsp;&nbsp; trying not to sacrifice a goal as&nbsp; opposed to going full out attack,&nbsp;&nbsp; and then the counterattack is going to beat&nbsp; these lesser teams. These teams are going to&nbsp;&nbsp;
[08:39] definitely play defense. So that's strategy&nbsp; number one, is definitely exploiting totals. Before we move on, also I do want to give a&nbsp; shout. If you want to follow all of the action,&nbsp;&nbsp; so get all of my trades, get all of my&nbsp; team's trades across prediction markets. We&nbsp;&nbsp;
[08:53] are opening up the In The Money Discord just&nbsp; for $49 a month. Literally, probably one of&nbsp;&nbsp; the highest value per dollar ROI that you can&nbsp; get out there if you're joining a server, and&nbsp;&nbsp;
[09:06] especially for prediction markets. We're one of&nbsp; the first catered Poly Market and Kalshi servers&nbsp;&nbsp; out there. You'll get all of my selections,&nbsp; strategies, etc. So check out inthemoney.live&nbsp;&nbsp; down below in the description. It's just $49&nbsp; a month. We haven't even opened this yet. So,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[09:22] you will be literally first in line. And we've&nbsp; been absolutely crushing this World Cup alongside&nbsp;&nbsp; some of the traders that will be joining me.&nbsp; So, check out inthemoney.live down below. Number two, another market that I'm certainly&nbsp; going to be taking a look at throughout this&nbsp;&nbsp;
[09:37] tournament is both teams to score. So, now that&nbsp; we are in the knockouts, a lot of these teams,&nbsp;&nbsp; yesterday we saw three different games. All three&nbsp; of them were both teams to score, and they were&nbsp;&nbsp;
[09:49] all one to one at certain points in time. So, that&nbsp; caters to the unders like we were talking about.&nbsp;&nbsp; But number two, it caters to both teams scoring.&nbsp; And if I was to look across the board here, I&nbsp;&nbsp; could totally see Portugal, Croatia one to one at&nbsp; some point in time. I could even see Austria break&nbsp;&nbsp;
[10:07] the line and score against Spain. Bosnia and USA&nbsp; maybe not. Bosnia's attack is not the best, but&nbsp;&nbsp; then again, they could absolutely break through.&nbsp; A match like Australia and Egypt, both teams to&nbsp;&nbsp;
[10:20] score. I absolutely could see that. Something&nbsp; like Switzerland and Algeria, maybe not. There&nbsp;&nbsp; will definitely be times like yesterday both teams&nbsp; to score was money in the bank for the Morocco&nbsp;&nbsp;
[10:32] game and especially for the Japan game. And&nbsp; I tweeted out yesterday, this was one of my&nbsp;&nbsp; picks. My favorite play yesterday was Brazil and&nbsp; Japan. Both teams to score, and this one cashed&nbsp;&nbsp; by the beginning of the second half. So that's&nbsp; another market I'm definitely looking to exploit.
[10:48] So so far, we are going "nos" still against&nbsp; the lesser sides because even if they tie after&nbsp;&nbsp; regulation, it doesn't count for penalty kicks. So&nbsp; it's just regulation time plus stoppage, the extra&nbsp;&nbsp;
[11:01] added time. The 30-minute overtime period does not&nbsp; count for these regulation plays. So yesterday,&nbsp;&nbsp; "no" Paraguay, "no" either Morocco or Netherlands,&nbsp; paid out quite nicely. And today, people who are&nbsp;&nbsp;
[11:15] on "nos" against the Ivory Coast are already&nbsp; looking like that's going to be a pretty secure&nbsp;&nbsp; profit, as long as this game holds, which there&nbsp; is 20 minutes left in this match. So "nos" against&nbsp;&nbsp;
[11:27] lesser sides. That still stands from the initial&nbsp; Poly Market profit video for the World Cup. Number&nbsp;&nbsp; two is goals, but more so I'm targeting unders&nbsp; in this tournament. I am not targeting overs.&nbsp;&nbsp;
[11:40] I think that a lot of these teams are going to&nbsp; be physical. They're going to be chippy. They're&nbsp;&nbsp; going to be playing defense. Number three is both&nbsp; teams to score. We've seen it every single match&nbsp;&nbsp; so far, other than this one, which I did not&nbsp; play both teams to score in this one as I am&nbsp;&nbsp;
[11:54] on the under three and a half goals. But I do&nbsp; think both teams to score will be quite a nice&nbsp;&nbsp; selection throughout. And especially, like I said,&nbsp; looking at this bracket, I can see a ton of games&nbsp;&nbsp; lining up where it might be two to one, one to one&nbsp; after regulation. Some of these games like France,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[12:11] Sweden could be three or four to one. That's not&nbsp; one I'm going to take the under on personally.&nbsp;&nbsp; But this is where I'm finding value, especially&nbsp; after day one of the knockouts. But just seeing&nbsp;&nbsp; the way that these smaller teams are playing. I&nbsp; say smaller because Germany, Netherlands, Brazil,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[12:29] even the way that Japan was playing, and then&nbsp; watching right now how Ivory Coast is playing.&nbsp;&nbsp; They're playing very conservatively.&nbsp; They know they need to break through,&nbsp;&nbsp; but they also know they can't let Haaland beat&nbsp; them on the backside. And you're going to see&nbsp;&nbsp;
[12:42] a lot of that from these smaller teams&nbsp; throughout the rest of the tournament. So those are the three angles I'm really looking&nbsp; to exploit: "nos" against the weaker side,&nbsp;&nbsp; also unders and manipulating that line to two&nbsp; and a half, three and a half depending on the&nbsp;&nbsp;
[12:56] game and depending on the values. If I can&nbsp; get under three and a halfs in some of these&nbsp;&nbsp; tightly contested matchups at the 70% range,&nbsp; that is an absolute play for me. Obviously,&nbsp;&nbsp; this is matchup dependent. You need to do&nbsp; research, look at these teams, the matchup itself,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[13:13] etc. And then number three also is both&nbsp; teams to score in some of these very,&nbsp;&nbsp; very competitive matchups. We've seen&nbsp; every single side so far other than this&nbsp;&nbsp; one go both teams to score. So, we'll see&nbsp; what happens here after today's matches.
[13:28] I do want to give a shout out as well. I know a&nbsp; lot of people are looking to trade Poly Market&nbsp;&nbsp; and maybe don't have access to a ton of capital.&nbsp; But that changes now. You can actually get funded&nbsp;&nbsp;
[13:41] on Poly Market through Funding Predicts. I think&nbsp; it's one of the best values out there actually for&nbsp;&nbsp; a 10K challenge. So, you pass this challenge,&nbsp; they'll give you $10,000 to trade with for&nbsp;&nbsp; $72. You can use the link down below and get 20%&nbsp; off as well. If you trade and hit the target,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[13:57] they will fund your account with $10,000,&nbsp; and then you keep 90% of the profits. So,&nbsp;&nbsp; you don't even have to risk your own capital.&nbsp; That was the platform I was showing you guys today&nbsp;&nbsp;
[14:09] on these markets, and I'm actively looking right&nbsp; now to get a 25K account funded. I'm in progress&nbsp;&nbsp; on that challenge as we speak. So, that's the way&nbsp; I plan to profit in the group stages. And then of&nbsp;&nbsp;
[14:22] course, last but not least, I would check out the&nbsp; Share app because you can see the most profitable&nbsp;&nbsp; traders. There are guys making millions of dollars&nbsp; on the World Cup right now, and you can literally&nbsp;&nbsp; get notified on their action. You can follow&nbsp; them, get push notifications to your phone,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[14:35] and then literally instantly copy trade them.&nbsp; So, if you don't feel like you have an edge,&nbsp;&nbsp; there are smart traders on there, and you can&nbsp; follow my picks on there as well. I also put&nbsp;&nbsp; some of my action through the Share app. So,&nbsp; I'll link down below Funding Predicts if you're&nbsp;&nbsp;
[14:48] looking to potentially get capital to trade with&nbsp; on Poly Market, and then also the Share app. But&nbsp;&nbsp; above all else, it's been a very profitable World&nbsp; Cup so far despite some of the shocking upsets in&nbsp;&nbsp;
[15:01] this last round and the draws in the group stage.&nbsp; But because we are more so exploiting the "nos"&nbsp;&nbsp; over the "yeses," that's really balanced itself&nbsp; out, and we haven't been burnt too hard on those&nbsp;&nbsp; selections. So, that's my strategy moving forward&nbsp; in the knockout stages. We're going to have some&nbsp;&nbsp;
[15:17] live streams for some games coming up as well.&nbsp; So, guys, subscribe to the channel down below if&nbsp;&nbsp; you're new. We talk about Poly Market, investing,&nbsp; crypto every single week here on this channel. And&nbsp;&nbsp; like the video down below. It helps us get in&nbsp; front of more people who are prediction market,&nbsp;&nbsp;
[15:31] Poly Market enthusiasts just like yourself. I'll&nbsp; see you guys on tomorrow's video. As always,&nbsp;&nbsp; trade responsibly, my friends, and&nbsp; of course, stay bullish, my friends.