---
title: 'Sharp, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies'
source: 'https://youtube.com/watch?v=FDDwSPD_ekw'
video_id: 'FDDwSPD_ekw'
date: 2026-08-19
duration_sec: 2578
channel: 'OddsJam: Sports Betting, Free Picks & Best Bets'
---

# Sharp, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies

> Source: [Sharp, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies](https://youtube.com/watch?v=FDDwSPD_ekw)

## Summary

This is a streamed sports betting session in which the creator walks through a live list of picks and shows how to find value by comparing soft sportsbooks with sharp peer-to-peer exchanges. He explains cross-market betting, arbitrage, optimal PrizePicks and Underdog slip construction, profit boosts, and why speed matters when the market moves.

### Key Points

- **Liquidity reveals the sharp side** [01:01] — Luke Reynolds over receiving yards is a strong play because the under is being offered by a trading firm at plus money, meaning the firm wants to bet the over side. Liquidity from trading firms is a stronger signal than casual bettors.
- **Cross-market bets have the clearest edge** [01:56] — The video says cross-market bets are the best because you have the highest confidence in your edge when comparing prices between different books and exchanges.
- **The optimal PrizePicks slip size** [02:36] — The best type of PrizePicks entry is a five- or six-pick flex play, because the math works out to roughly -18 or -19 juice compared with other entry types.
- **Books hold about 5%, so boosts are huge** [08:10] — The average vig or hold that books bake into mainline markets is about 5%. That means even a 30-50% profit boost is a massive edge if the underlying bet is sound.
- **Follow the exchange liquidity** [10:56] — When $10,000 in liquidity sits on Jets plus 7 at minus 103 on a sharp exchange, that is a signal a trading firm wants that side. You can often copy that bet at BetMGM/FanDuel at better prices.
- **Arbitrage always leaves a +EV leg** [11:48] — Whenever a market is crossed or an arbitrage exists, one of the two sides has to be +EV. You can bet both sides across different books and guarantee a risk-free profit.
- **Underdog prices around -116 juice** [17:55] — Underdog fantasy gives some of the best payouts in DFS. In practice, you should assume each pick carries roughly -116 juice, similar to viewing the slip as a normal sportsbook parlay.
- **Shields and missing payout shifts** [23:41] — High-confidence players like Chris Kredder over 1.5 shots serve as 'shields'. On Dabble, if the app glitches and does not apply the payout shift, you get a much higher multiplier with no hidden penalty.
- **Move at trading speed** [29:30] — When the streamer was a quant trader on Wall Street, you could not take 14 hours to decide whether to make a trade. Speed matters: wait too long and the edge disappears.
- **Soft book vs sharp book play** [31:57] — With Jerry Jeudy: BetMGM offered his over at a better price and Novig/Profitex had the under sharper. Since one side must be +EV, you can always put the slot side against a dumb book to beat the hold.
- **Go cross-market down the list blindly** [35:34] — On BetMGM and Hard Rock, the creator recommends going down the cross-money tool list blindly, taking every crossed market. Because these books are slower, the edges are repeatable.
- **The sharp books list** [42:19] — The sharp books are Circa, Pinnacle, Betris, Bookmaker, Novig and Profitex. Novig and Profitex are especially sharp when liquidity is high because they are peer-to-peer exchanges.

## Transcript

So, what I'm going to be going with is again just Jaylen Warren's over, right? Like the super sharp exchange exchanges you have trading firms offering his you have trading firms offering his under at plus 135, which means are you
[ __ ] kidding me, dude? It's already bumped to minus 150. apologize. I did not think they were going to bump
I did not think they were going to bump things that fast. Damn, dude. Um, let's though. You guys want to do prize picks? It's flex Friday. I know probably not everyone was able maybe to tail the play I gave out on Twitter, even though it
was ridiculously good. Dude, these Have you guys been seeing this NBA preseason value? It's absolutely insane, bro. So, the first play we're going to go with is Luke Reynolds, tight end for Penn State, over in receiving yards. It's an
incredible play. There is a ton of liquidity, right? His under is being offered by a trading firm, these quant hedge funds, trading firms, who are the market makers on these peer-to-peer betting exchanges. It's not your [ __ ]
neighbor or your sister or your [ __ ] hot ass ex-girlfriend who dumped you, bro. It is literally trading firms setting these lines. If their offering is under at plus 122, that means they want to bet the over at
plus 122. But damn, dude, we got a lot of [ __ ] Calvin Ridley. What do you guys of [ __ ] Calvin Ridley. What do you guys think about Calvin Ridley?
[ __ ] I do kind of like this play. Yo, this isn't an NFL play. I'm going to try to do a sixman on prize picks. Am I crazy, bro? Over. This is another cross Dude, we have a lot of stuff. We have Calvin Ridley's over. That's another
cross market. I mean, again, cross market bets are the best because you have the highest confidence in your edge.
This play you could get on FanDuel, but again, like I don't have unfortunately college football player props in um uh in Virginia. which kind of sucks, but this is super high liquidity, this Luke Reynolds play.
But anyways, let me just finish this slip. Okay, so we have under in passing yards, right? Again, if his overs being offered at plus 124, a trading firm wants to be on
the under at minus 124. When you go through the math behind prize picks, I've made a ton of videos about it. You guys should watch it. Um, the best type of slip is a five or a six pick flex play. I mean, you can literally go
through all these the math and you're basically just getting minus18 or 19 juice. Kind of depends, but um let's see. Oh, baby. Why is there so much value? Sorry, sorry, sorry. I didn't mean to do
Sorry, sorry, sorry. I didn't mean to do that. So, we have Hank Bey. Yo, let's do a six flex. We're not [ __ ] in here. Um I mean, this play is solid, but that's kind of my guy. Well, I mean, I guess if
he goes under in rushing attempts, it's because the commanders have such a big lead. Jakori under in rushing attempts. It's not a horrible play, but let's see if there's anything even better. Oh, baby. Sheesh. Why is there so much
value on dabble, bro? What the [ __ ] What do you guys want to do, man? the hot girl at the bar. You want to stock the hot girl at the bar. Alex,
what do you mean? You want to bet on the book that is offering actually good here. Yo, what are the best dabble shields? Better shield is Zack Rkinsky over half of a point. Anyways, [ __ ] it. I'm just
going to run this as a fiveman. I know I said I was going to do a six-man, but again, it's I don't want to force a final pick. I guess, you know, you could include it's kind of up to you. Jakori under in rush attempts if his you know
under in rush attempts if his you know again on prize picks you do not need a billion bets. There's 10,000 lines on prize picks. [ __ ] it. I'll get a six flax locked in. There's a billion lines available on prize picks. We are trying
to zone in on the four, five, three. Well, not four, I guess. Five, six, sometimes three if there's three really good ones cuz minus 122 it's not that good ones cuz minus 122 it's not that much of a difference. Um, ideally we can
run a five flex always, but doesn't always happen that way. Anyways, what So, here's the bottom. Here's all the picks. Are you [ __ ] kidding me? So, this point, I'm just going to get it locked in because I don't want to waste
anyone's time in this chat, right? Price picks minus 119 for either basically identical, so it doesn't basically identical, so it doesn't really matter. Um,
old and it tastes horrible. That was the most disgusting thing I put That was the most disgusting thing I put in my mouth we have. Yo, boys. I know a lot of you guys like
my Hard Rock play there. Hard Rock Play is there's a ton of value right now on Damn, dude. There's a ton of value on Dabble. There's a ton of value on
Underdog. It's honestly a little overwhelming. is going on with this [ __ ] phone in Dabble, bro?
value here. any of these picks you wanted to run the best shield according to someone who texted me again because dabble is crazy dude it is basically like on prize picks right like on prize picks you start including these goblins
and [ __ ] guess what they do they reduce your payout from 6x to 4x for a three pick entry because you're putting in these reduced payout goblins on dabble sometimes they just like glitch out and
they don't add in the payout shift So, long story short, someone's saying, to make sure there's no payout shift, but Zack Wakinsky is a good shield. So, again, because I'm having issues, it's like I'd obviously run it. Um, these
three picks, you could pair any of them, two of them with that play. Um, but what were we talking about? Uh, underdog, FanDuel, uh, better. Let's already gave out a better slip, but you can see that Calvin Ridley play that
prize picks just bumped is on there. Um, let's see underdog. Let's see if I can rip something quickly. It's a little bit of value, but whatever. Let's see if there's um some sports book plays. So, for sports book,
because I want to use Odds Jam one-click bet. Odds Jam like is the most lit oneclick bet that will take you right to proper state because all these sports books have like, you know, whatever
books have like, you know, whatever different uh under six and a half receptions, $29. Are you [ __ ] kidding me? FanDuel
Chris Krider, one and a half shots is minus 210 and no payout shift. random number just texted me Chris Krider over one and a half shots is another really good shield you could have gone with on dabble. Anyways, so this Debo play is
very strong for FanDuel, but what were the FanDuel promos? Dude, they have so many promos. [ __ ] Okay, there's a lot of promos. 30% college football boost. Bro, what is
going Look at all this [ __ ] man. Again, a 50% boost. You got to remember like the average vig or hold that Bucks are baking into their market for mainline markets is like 5%. So even if you're blindly betting, let's see who's going
yard today, boys. Yo, who's hitting a home run? You guys like my FanDuel plays? You [ __ ] better like my FanDuel plays. I [ __ ] give them out. Yo, what do we think about Ian Hap home run?
Cubs are making this a series, dude. So, with the profit boost, this goes up to plus 730. Seems pretty good. And then if you want to be a degenerate like me, are you serious? They're giving me 4357 only.
Oh, this game's not till tomorrow. My bad. My bad. I thought it was tonight. What's the best home run bet for tonight? Randy the best home run bet for tonight? Randy Rosena. Yo, who do we Oh [ __ ] Carrie
Carpenter. Dude, I kind of [ __ ] with this play. Carrie Carpenter home run. this play. Carrie Carpenter home run. 700 bucks. I'll take it for 500. That's my home run bet of the night. Carrie Carpenter. Okay.
[ __ ] dude. What other promos did they have, though? Cuz again, these promos, easiest money you're going to make. WNBA. Same game. We should bet on the WNBA. Get a 30% profit boost token to use on an anytime touchdown wager of the
Jets game. Yo, dude. She uh yeah, this girl kept trying to hit up my friend. She's like in love with him. Anyways, what do we want to do? Um, what do you guys want to look at, man?
just so many promos, man. Um, I'm overwhelmed again. Bet MGM and Hard Rock are [ __ ] amazing books. You should absolutely be on them. But you are going to get limited. Like a lot of people are like, "Ah, you don't talk
me to write a song about them? I live stream every single day and I'm limited on like half these [ __ ] books, bro." And by half, I mean 98% of them. Um, but just the limits are obviously the beat part. But like look at this play on Bet
they going to give me. This is a mainline market. Usually mainline markets have, you know, higher betting limits because the sports book, it's easier to price mainline markets as opposed to all
the different prop lines for a given game. So for Jets plus 7 minus 102, on this. So again, this is just bad MGM. And why
do we like this play? Because it's really good, right? Profitex literally has $10,000 in liquidity. So some trading firm is saying, "Hey, I want to
be on Jets plus 7 at minus 103." So you're basically copying the top trading firms and hedge funds when you're cross market betting, but you're getting better prices in general, right? Like,
better prices in general, right? Like, dude, what the [ __ ] Um, where's Jets plus seven? Right? So like $10,000 in liquidity. So there's some trading firm offering this line and saying like, "Yo, we're trying to be on
Jets plus 7 at minus 103 and we're getting minus 102 on Bet MGM." Granted, I wasn't able to get it for 10K, which is why, you know, trading firms set lines on no limit sports books like Profitex and Nove. But again, one of
these two bets has to be profitable. That is why you love crossmarket betting, right? Whenever there is arbitrage, one of the two bets, Jets plus 7 minus 102 or Broncos minus 7. They did just beat
the Eagles, but then again, everyone can beat the Eagles. Washington Commanders are the best team in the NFC East. I mean, that's a fact. Everyone knows it. But yeah, dude, Commanders are going to run
train through the NFC this year. It's going to be [ __ ] ridiculous. Um, but you could arbitrage bet this to guarantee a risk-free profit. So even if the ARB opportunity is small, the point is more that one of the two bets has to
be plus EV, which is fascinating. Derrick Henry, that looks good. I mean, MGM. You literally just go down the [ __ ] list and bet it all
right. Whenever a stupid sports book like Bet MGM, the issue with player props is typically like once you're up like 40k on MGM, this is what they do to you. They just give you like $20 a bet, which obviously isn't the end of the
world, but it's not exactly fun. $4,000 in liquidity here. Puka under 97 half. That is a ridiculous line. I get it. He's [ __ ] Puka. But 97 half against the Ravens, who they're probably going to be up 85 points on by halftime. Yeah,
I like the under 97 half. I can't lie to you guys. but anyways, what were we talking about? FanDuel, I think we were talking about. So, what I wanted to find is ideally some college football value for tomorrow
promo or something like that. Harvard's playing right now. Oh [ __ ] Um, not that So, second quarter money line. I don't want to bet some weird [ __ ] So, what do we want to go with? New Mexico State
versus Boise State. We got a FanDuel profit boost. FanDuel is the only book giving you plus money. You can see the Sharp Books. Bet Online and Pinnacle. They have the under favored. We're getting plus money plus 102. So, like,
yeah, that seems solid. Panthers. I already have so much money on the Panthers. Dude, why do we have so much money on the Panthers, bro? So, here you have a locked market, right? One of these two bets has to be profitable.
FanDuel. One of the two bets is profitable, bro. So, why are there all these promos? I don't know, but we're going to use them. Verify my location.
going to use them. Verify my location. Verify my location. Yo yo, why is Verify my location. Yo yo, why is FanDuel
in. Yo, does Sleeper have any promos right now, dude? There are so many promos. This [ __ ] is insane. Wow. Um, what the [ __ ] Sheesh.
but [ __ ] it. I want a home run parlay. I should have didn't. Again, if every bet in your parlay is plus EV, there's a random I kind of like this yellow plus a Rosena. But if every bet in your parlay is plus
EV, then your parlay is going to be plus EV. It's very simple. Um, what were we talking about though? Underdog sleeper. Dude, why are there so many sports books that I value? It's insane. And why is Dabble so janky? Why is this so janky on
Dabble so janky? Why is this so janky on my phone? Yo, is D is dabble janky for anyone else? What the [ __ ] is going on? Sleeper. I mean, Debo under five and a half receptions.
That seems pretty good. Yeah, that's definitely good. So, dude, the Commanders literally the best team in the NFC East, bro. The Eagles team in the NFC East, bro. The Eagles lost by 17 points,
bro. 17 points. And the Phillies got eliminated. Also, I've never met a true Eagles fan, dude. They're all [ __ ] bandwagons. So, Debo's under is a 2.05x
bandwagons. So, Debo's under is a 2.05x payout, but you have to remember like um payout, but you have to remember like um a 2.05x payout means plus 105. You're betting a 100red to win 205, right? That's what I don't know why they
put their odds in payout format or decimal odds. It's a little confusing, but Odds Jam just kind of like converts it to American odds. Usually these like boosted ones are absolute trash. So, I don't know.
Sometimes I'm wrong, but usually these are these are trash. Oh, sorry. Um, sorry. Um, damn. What were we just talking about?
What were we just talking about? Underdog. [ __ ] Lock in Alex. Dude, I am locked in. Oh [ __ ] Yo, so here we have Aen Wilson Oh [ __ ] Yo, so here we have Aen Wilson over 14 and a half RAS. Ain Wilson. So
Everyone knows her. She's the MVP of the league or some [ __ ] like that. Yo, so Ain Wilson over 14 and a half rebounds plus assists. Okay. Underdog fantasy
play number one. You can see every sports book, every data point in the favored. Damn, dude. There's a lot of good [ __ ] good [ __ ] Oh, baby. Yo, roll with me. Roll with
me. We are building an underdog play. I'm doing an underdog six pick entry. I mean, that's the best type of slip. Underdog is they give you the best payouts in the DFS industry. It's minus It's minus 116 minus 116
juice. So the same way when you go to FanDuel and you like whatever you see FanDuel and you like whatever you see minus 114 minus 114 basically on underdog fantasy you should just assume that you're getting minus 116 juice
it so is Noah Gray play we already locked in so they're not going to let me uh I I think we did at least on the stream yesterday or [Music]
[Music] um so we have three picks so far. I think I may have already run Puka's under and receptions. Yeah, I did. So, under and receiving yards. You could include Puka if you wanted to. Under and
play. Um, but anyways, shut up, Alex. Yo, who do you guys want to win tonight? So, again, hits and really matter which one you take. Over half of a base over half of a hit.
That's the same [ __ ] bro. Um, AJ Barner is kind of lit, but I do like this. Under half of a first quarter targets a game. Dude, that seems like a
targets a game. Dude, that seems like a no-brainer. Um, a half,
longest reception. This is beautiful. Yeah, bro. This is a good play. And again, if you go through these payouts on underdog, somebody put the link in the chat. Here's the first three picks. Douggee Hamilton under two and a half
shots on goal. NFL play. Ain Ain Wilson over 14 and a half RAS. And then we got some other random [ __ ] Really good play. So, underdog is lit. It's lit. Probably not as good as Dabble, to be honest. Yo, you guys have
giving you like four more seconds. You guys piss me off sometimes with how slow you are tailing this [ __ ] Um yo yo link link link link link link Um yo yo link link link link link link link first three picks final three picks
link first three picks final three picks log it in or else I will uh what do we log it in or else I will uh what do we want to do bro we got prize pick [ __ ] am I done for the day on prize picks let's see
yeah prize picks they only let me bet like five slips per day so you're seeing sure there's some more value on prize picks but whatever ever. Yo, underdog has not bumped this. Aen Wilson, none of these plays. Again, if
you wanted to, I've just already run them. You could run Puka's under or Noah Gray's over. I wouldn't run Jackie Young under an assist. It's just like, well, oh [ __ ] actually that play makes more sense to take.
right? Because we're taking Aza and Wilson's over in rebounds plus assists. So those plays would be positively correlated. Only one of these beautiful, strong, independent women can get assists at the same time. So if Jackie
Young goes under an assist, a little bit of correlation, not like maybe super strong with um Azen Wilson over 14 and a half rebounds plus assists. What do we want to do, boys? What do we want to do?
slip. That's awesome. There's a ton more value. Wow, dude. We are fading the [ __ ] value. Wow, dude. We are fading the [ __ ] out of Bejon Robinson, bro.
Bejian's like under and rushing attempts. Sheesh. Jeez. Um,
There's a lot of [ __ ] available right now. Um, this play even more liquidity, right? Minus 119 prize picks in a five pick flex play. The over is being offered at plus 128 for a ton of liquidity. This is
not your neighbor or your sister betting $1,500 on a peer-to-peer betting exchange offering, you know, liquidity on some random [ __ ] rookie who's not
a random rookie. He's actually very good to be clear. But that's not your sister offering 1.5K in liquidity on his over at plus 128, therefore wanting to bet his under at minus 128. But this plays crazy good. Damn. Um, but whatever.
Let's see what we have here. Let's get rid of prize picks rid of prize picks and um let's see. Dabble or something.
Are any of these sleeper discounts good? Or not the discounts, the boosts? I'm Or not the discounts, the boosts? I'm not sure.
Dude, I gotta stop giving out better plays on Twitter because then I get the [ __ ] daily limit thing. Um, but that's okay. Let's see. do one more dabble slip. I'm a little annoyed with it because again, I can't
Oh [ __ ] Yo, Jerry. Judy. This play actually looks good. Judy over three and a half receptions. But what I want to do is I want to see this guy's shield if it's still available. Whoever
texted me that Chris Krider play, I'm not sure if there's anything better. So Chris Krider over one and a half shots on goal. Again, this is a shield. This is a shield. Dude, why do I always show it so bad? It
says a.7x payout, but the question is, do they actually add the payout shift? do they actually add the payout shift? This Octavian play is absolutely insane.
Octavian Smith under 43 and a half. His over is being offered at plus 128. And then we have Dylan Ravioli. What the [ __ ] is his last name? Dylan Ravioli [ __ ] is his last name? Dylan Ravioli under 251 half passing yards.
No payout shift. So, whoever shouted that out, thank you. That is a good find. What a lit stream. Yo, so Dylan Raol Raola Ryola
Rya the dating app where you see celebrities like [ __ ] Don Lemon. I bet a lot of you guys would like that [ __ ] Yo, Dylan Raola under 251 half passing yards. Octavian Smith under 43
over one and a half shots on goal with this which is a shield but there's no payout shift. I just locked it in again. You should be able to um copy my plays directly from
the app. Damn, dude. That's crazy. It is crazy how much college football value is how much college football value is available on Dabble.
Still available. No movement. What other books do you guys want to look at? I mean, I do say this a lot. You do want to follow the hot girl at the bar, which, you know, not gonna lie, a lot of times
is dabble, but the thing that obviously sucks about it is just uh limits, sucks about it is just uh limits, limits, limits, limits.
Not at least that I see. So, we could do more dabble slips. Again, it's just these top two picks. Can you guys see them? Sorry. It's these two guys see them? Sorry. It's these two picks and then Chris Krider over
picks and then Chris Krider over one and a half shots on goal. do you guys want to look at? Where else are there good promos that I'm missing?
Where are their good promos that I'm missing?
wanted to, what you could even do is say, "Fuck it. I want to get more aggressive, right?" And you could run these final two picks, which is Frisier over half of a touchdown. Mai Frisier in
the Michigan State game. So, obviously, you want to take his over and rush plus receiving touchdowns as opposed to his over. And then you could opposed to his over. And then you could run this Hank Bey play under 66 half
receiving yards. So, you could run all of these plays with Chris Krider over one and a half shots, which again is just like a goblin on prize picks, but they're dumb as [ __ ] And they don't add in the payout shift. So, as you can see,
you're still getting a 20x. No payout shift, dude. That's actually insane. Mariners or Tigers? GOAT? Who just texted me that? Um, again, I'm on the I'm on the Tigers. Tigers money line. You got scoop on the mound.
game, but I get the feeling it's going to be boring as [ __ ] Like Dodgers Phillies yesterday until that dumbass. Dude, imagine being that pitcher. He He shouldn't even go back to Philadelphia. I'd be worried for his safety. Like
seriously, that guy better have security. Those Philly fans, dude, it is just freaks that live in Philly. They are crazy in that ugly ass city. are crazy in that ugly ass city. Anyways, what do we want to do?
Is there more underdog rise bigs? Let's see. Let's see. So, we've kind of ripped through all the good plays. This Hunter Simons play is also on prize picks under 173 half. Jackie Young under five and a half
assists. Dude, George Kirby. Oh my gosh, dude. This play is crazy. What is prize picks doing? What is prize picks doing, boys? Check this out. His over is literally plus 146.
Yo, guys, lock in. If you still use prize picks, yo, check this out. Check it out. Check it out, dude. We have George Kirby under 14 and a half outs. George Kirby under 14 and a half outs. His over is being offered at plus 146.
So, his under is therefore the more likely or the favorite outcome. We have Jackie Young. She's absolutely beautiful. Under five and a half assists. Yo, so we have two picks. Come on. Come on. Come
on. Alex, go faster, you slow [ __ ] piece of [ __ ] I hear you guys. I'm listening to you guys. I'm going as fast as I can, dude. Give me one sec. So again, why do you run three mans ever? Is sometimes you just want to lock
in a play that is so insanely good. So you could lock in this play as fast as Lightning. You should be moving as fast as Lightning. A lot of you guys aren't, dude. When I was a quant trader, when I worked on Wall Street, you cannot take
worked on Wall Street, you cannot take 14 hours, dude, to answer, do you want this trade or not? You have to be moving otherwise you literally just miss every good trade and you suck and then you get fired because they think you're slow as
[ __ ] and dumb as [ __ ] So, and they already removed Jaka Merritt. So, I already removed Jaka Merritt. So, I would just run these three.
Um, damn, dude. That's lit. So, let's see here. kind of same thing on underdog. Uh
better again, I already gave out a play, but if there's any promos, there's some decent value. Ridley over. That's what prize picks bumped. And then you have the Jakori play that prize picks actually just bumped.
What were we talking about? There's an ass ton of promos right now on pick six, but I think I gave out most of them. Although I could be wrong. I don't Although I could be wrong. I don't remember. Um, Arkansas plus 360 looks
okay, but I'm just going to hold off for now. It's nothing to run and bet. Owners box has a promo on Scooball, but I don't see much value. That's another DFS site.
off some bets on some of these sports books. Um Pat uh Fairymouth under one and a half receptions plus 140. That's arbitrage to
Novig. So one of these two bets has to be profitable. Again, it's a very simple betting strategy. Do I know anything about this guy? No. I know he has the dumbest last name in the world. His last name is [ __ ] fairy mouth, bro. Damn.
Bet MGM is giving me jack [ __ ] Beat him up too bad. You know, when I started sports betting, Bet MGM was one of the first books I used. So like this play for example, right? You're getting plus money on Jerry Judy's over and his o
under. One of the two bets has to be plus EV because I could literally bet his over on Bet MGM, his under on Novig and guarantee a risk-free profit. One of these bets has to be profitable. Novig is smart. It is sharp. It is the sharp
book line set by quant trading firms. Bet MGM is dumb as [ __ ] So you literally that's the scale of the decision-making process. You don't need to like overestimate this [ __ ] It's not that complicated.
that complicated. Um, so we definitely want to be on this. Jerry Judy, Judge Judy. Yo, is he related to Judge Judge Judy. Yo, is he related to Judge Judy? I don't know, dude. Bad MGM's lit.
want Hard Rock plays. At least that's what I'm seeing in the chat. What other books do you guys want to look at, man? So, let's see here. Dude, Hard Rock, it's same [ __ ] They they a lot of times, bro. Yo, who is Tim Patrick? Like
even gonna lie to you guys. Hard Rock's not going to give me much. Apparently, I have a bonus bet from some promo. So, let's throw the bonus bet on it. Bonus bets, you want to put on things at long odds regardless.
So, Tim Patrick crossed market, right? So, that's arbitrage. His over or his So, that's arbitrage. His over or his under at minus 32 32 has to be plus EV. You literally look at FanDuel. This is why you need to be using multiple sports
books. This is why you got to be using multiple books, dude. FanDuel literally has this at plus 1,800. We are getting plus 4,000. You're getting like triple plus 4,000. You're getting like triple the odds of the rest of the market.
Damn, I look [ __ ] jacked. Yo, Hunter Renfro plus 650. Yo, that's another good play. You can see here they say, what are they giving me? 11.45 maximum. What are we doing?
Then they say, "No, we're actually giving you 10." Okay, cheap. But again, it's so easy to lock in these bets with Odds Jam one-click bet. You just literally hit the button. It takes like two seconds. 1294. Thanks, Hard Rock.
Tons of liquidity. Higher liquidity and a higher arbitrage percentage indicate higher confidence in your bet. Yo, are there any The problem is with Bet MGM and Hard Rock, what I should probably do is just filter out player props since
player props typically the lower liquidity betting markets, they give you lower betting limits or sorry, the less liquid, less active markets. So like here on Colts minus three and a half, they give me $25. Wow, thanks Hard Rock.
Mercury plus two and a half. You guys like the Mercury tonight? That also looks incredible to Pinnacle. Pinnacle has them as big favorites. Um, you can actually see Bet MGM is the only book with the aces favored to win.
They've already moved the Judge Judy line. Yo, so Mercury plus two and a half at minus 105. That's a very solid play. Let's go, boys. What else did we have Let's go, boys. What else did we have here? Let's see. Better prize picks
here? Let's see. Better prize picks underdog. based on his name. Kevin U over 68 and a half strokes.
Sheesh, man. Again, better is just another fixed payout sports book. So, if there's a promo, I'm not sure if there's a promo. His over is heavily favored this dude. He should probably take the over. But
He should probably take the over. But what I wanted to do what I want to do is let's remove I mean bad MGM and Hard Rock you just use the
cross money tool go down it blindly and you are going to make a [ __ ] ton of money. It is literally that simple. It's that simple. Jaden Daniels rushing attempts cross market right arbitrage. One of the two bets has to be
profitable. That's why you like it. Damn. FanDuel's giving me 14 bucks. That's why you like it because you have such a high confidence in your edge whenever there's arbitrage. It's like I one side either the top or the bottom
his over at minus 138 or under at plus 141 has to be a really good book bet. And then it's just like okay well which sports book is sharper and Novig and Profitex are super sharp especially when liquidity is high. Bree Hall is literal
ass. Let me actually throw that in. Well, I'll bet it afterwards. I don't the location. What other promos did they have? So, they have a profit boost. They have some profit boosts as well. I know you guys
love my FanDuel play, so I'll try to give you something. So, let's go here to player touchdowns. It's only This is the K Adams boost. Dude, a lot of people a lot of you guys are obsessed with KA Adams. You need to chill the [ __ ] out,
dude. You guys need to chill the [ __ ] out on the internet, dude. All I see is K. Adams propaganda. Um, horny [ __ ] So, let's see. What do we have?
[Music] Yo, so Jaden Daniels, why is this not Yo, so Jaden Daniels, why is this not verifying my location, bro?
offering decent value? Because the K Adams boost, it has to be on FanDuel. Bo Nicks to rush for a touchdown. Is that crazy, boys? Is that crazy? Bon
Knicks to rush for a touchdown. Check it out. He's plus 250. So once you include the profit boost, you're getting plus 326. They only give me 10 bucks. And again, like that that actually seems really good because that
would be arbitrage. Novague has his under at minus 310. So then the markets crossed again. You can probably basic I mean you can you can kind of put this profit boost on whoever you want to and I can almost 30%'s a lot
you want to and I can almost 30%'s a lot even even for player props. Um what time is it?
Murray, dude. Kyler Murray supports supports animal cruelty, dude. Um, Andy looks dumb and the Cardinals suck. So, let's see here. We're going to fade both
these guys. So, here, dude, these books are weird. Here, FanDuel gives me 342. You have two cross markets, right? This is arbitrage to profitex.
over 31 and a half receiving yards. Yo, take the bat, bro. Come on. They got to take the bat, bro. Come on. They got to stop doing this. They gota Yo. So, and then let's see here. Watch this,
So, and then let's see here. Watch this, boys. Is if we go back to Dabble and then we go to New Jersey. Dude, so we literally you got on prize picks
George Kirby under 14 and a half outs. Now on dabble he's 13 and a half and that play actually seems to have some pretty good value. All right, so we got it locked in. Hall under Murray under Dabble. Dude, why is
Dabble Look at this [ __ ] Look at it. Look at it. Yo, here's all the good plays. It's literally insane. You could run any of them in a fiveman or a threeman. Again, those are the optimal slips when you get nerdy and you go
through the math. I've done it for every book. You can just search it on YouTube. Dude, why is there so much value? I don't know. I don't know. Oh, why is don't know. I don't know. Oh, why is this site not working, bro?
I mean, this play's crazy. Profitex literally some trading firm is offering is over at plus 145. We're getting his under at minus 122. That's insane, dude. So, here's all the good plays currently on Dabble. I mean, again, include a
shield if you're able to cuz my phone's not connecting. I don't really want to sit here all day long and just take you through it. I mean, this guy is a massive favorite, dude. Every book has this guy like minus 190 to
score a touchdown and it's a massively crossed market. Mai Frasier. crossed market. Mai Frasier. Um, his grandpa invented the freezer and um, anyways, here you can see all the good bets. So, pair two of them or four
of them with the shield. Dude, there's so much. But again, I don't know what is going on on dabble on my phone, so I really don't want to waste time on it right now. Hard Rock Onyx odds. Uh,
Hard Rock Onyx odds. Uh, BM MGM. Uh, nah, nothing really new. I mean, there's limitless bets on BM MGM. Like, here you have a massively crossed market on Thornton. Check this out. Like, right.
Tons of liquidity on Novig. You could arbitrage bet it to guarantee a risk-free profit. Bet the over on MGM. Follow the hedge calculator. got the under right on Novig. You make a risk-free profit. So, more importantly,
one of these two plays has to be plus EV that MGM is the stupid as [ __ ] sports book. Hard Rock is the or sorry, uh Novig is the very sharp sports book. So, it's literally as simple as this. The issue is, you know, I get such low
it takes two seconds to lock in these bets with oneclick bet on Odds Jam. You just click the [ __ ] bet button and it literally takes you right there. So within the span of a minute, I would just go down and rip them all. Even if
you're limited, these plays are so insanely good. You have an extremely they're crossed markets and you know one of the two bets has to be profitable and you know it's always going to be the bet on B MGM or Hard Rock or FanDuel because
they're the dumb as [ __ ] books. Same thing with DraftKings. Same thing with books, you don't believe me, I don't really give a [ __ ] You can ask chat GPT. The sharp books. The sharp books are Circa, Pinnacle, Betris, Bookmaker,
are Circa, Pinnacle, Betris, Bookmaker, Novig, and Profitex. Profitex and Novig specifically when liquidity is very high because again they're peer-to-peer. Um, but anyways, this gets boring to do on
stream, but I could What is this play? RJ Harvey under six and a half rushing attempts. No problem with it. Some of these bets they give me like 50 bucks and then some they give me like $14. I have no idea what's going on. Um, you
could also parlay them, right? You can parlay cross markets. If every bet in your parlays plus EB, your parlay is plus EV. Um, but regardless, that's all I got for you