[00:02] reached 1000 subscribers, I had to make a short video to break away from the theoretical stuff, project explanations, and the kind of talk that focuses on beginners in investing. Let's talk a little about trading, which is almost a daily occurrence. But today's video is a
[00:15] bit unusual because its title is also unusual: Is it even possible to trade without any experience in analysis at all, or is it not? I'll prove to you with evidence that yes, it is possible, and I'll have you look at the short positions in recent days and see for yourself if this actually worked
[00:31] or not. But all I want from you is one condition, and there's no other. This condition was discussed in your video, "How to Turn $1,000 into $1 Million." For those who watched that video, if you haven't, then watch this one. The main purpose of that video wasn't to
[00:46] turn $1,000 into $1 million, as we said in the video. Unfortunately, some people in the comments actually said...  So, you made a million dollars? Prove it to us first! This kind of talk clearly means they haven't seen the video.
[01:02] ultimate goal we want to achieve, which is actually more important than you actually transferring a million dollars. Without it, you won't even be able to trade with the money. Without going on too long, talking about commitment. All I want from you today is to be committed, nothing more, and to
[01:18] apply what we're going to say. Although I'm against this type of content because it reinforces your steps and tells you what to do if you find this and what to do if you find that, it's completely different. But for a beginner whose experience is barely 5%, this saves them from the haphazard recommendations
[01:33] coming from all sides. However, for someone who belongs to a different school of analysis, of course, adhering to your school is more important than anything else. And the most important strategies we can mention are the hypotheses that can be derived from this method.
[01:47] But it only confirms the signal, nothing more. And for our beginner brothers, I'll just keep working on this for a month, which is almost over, God willing. It'll only take a month and a half, or two months at most, and then it will be finished, God willing. You'll have the analysis in your hands,
[02:02] and you'll also have learned commitment. If this is your first time following us, like and subscribe and go online.
[02:14] situation is like this: nothing is visible, everything is white except for the candles, as you can see. So, what do we want to show? I'll tell you right away. We want to show two things: volume and moving averages. These are what we'll combine and use in
[02:29] our method. So, how do we show the volume? It's very easy. You'll go to Ketter's Date, press the arrow, type "volume," and press it once. You'll find it there. Here's the
[02:42] want.  Now we need to adjust the settings for the column. What do we do? You double-click on it and then set it all to one color, for example, blue in the style.
[03:25] moving average. What do I do? We'll go to the
[04:05] set it to one. Here we're dealing with the moving average, and I don't want you to understand everything right now. If you're determined to understand this, wait until the end of the video. We'll explain all the terms we've discussed. But my point is, I'm trying to explain
[04:20] something to you now to prove that even if you don't understand anything at all, you can succeed if you understand anything at all, you can succeed if you stick with it. Okay, we'll click on the style setting, hide stick with it. Okay, we'll click on the style setting, hide the third and fourth settings, and then we'll change. We'll choose
[04:32] any two colors we want, for example, blue. And the second one... no, not black, make it yellow. No, not yellow either. This color is fine.
[04:47] I've finished the second one too, but what's left? Make the font a little heavier. So, font a little heavier. So,
[05:00] Everything's fine now, no problems. How do we work?
[05:21] we enter. What makes the entry happen is when I scroll down and see the candle where the breakout occurred. Then I scroll down again to see if it's above the black line (the one that's enter. If it's not, then we'll use the old page. Do you understand
[05:36] anything? Let me repeat all of this now, don't worry. We'll go back to the beginning, you'll understand everything. So, what is this blue line? It's the moving average we chose to be moving average we chose to be nine. So, if we click on it, the one
[05:55] I chose to be nine in blue in red (depending on the color you choose), the important thing is that the one above, the nine, is choose), the important thing is that the one above, the nine, is above the red. Okay, so what does that mean? The
[06:11] smaller one will enter as soon as the opposite happens, and the two smaller ones will go will enter as soon as the opposite happens, and the two smaller ones will go below the larger one, and I'll exit.  Okay, let's start from the beginning and show you what I'm trying to say. Let's take this as an example.
[06:25] and show you what I'm trying to say. Let's take this as an example.
[06:45] Go past the red line in this area. Right here, in this spot. So, the
[07:37] You could have exited here. Who are you to exit here?" It's very difficult to exit here. Look, if you left the peak exactly to exit here, you have to have studied analysis very well, know the reversal zones, know that there is
[07:52] resistance in this area, know that this candlestick pattern indicates something specific, know that these three candlesticks together indicate something else specific, know that the bullish momentum confirms the trend, and know other things along the way. When you've studied all these things, you'll find yourself
[08:06] making the decision to exit in this area. But if you do n't know this, then you'll just wait until the police action happens, which we...  It's agreed that this is evil, so I don't think 65% or 66% is bad either. This method generally doesn't succeed every time, but it succeeds much more often than it fails. And
[08:21] when it fails for you, it has an advantage. You'll see that now. Okay, when do I enter again? I'll enter the new devils. I've already exited here. When the upward crossover happens again, you'll enter. Well, the second upward crossover happened at this red candle. Right here, it's perfect. So, I
[08:36] enter in this area. No, wait, let me see the volume. Yes, I'll go down and see the volume. Here's the volume. This is the black line. Okay, so I actually enter here in this area. Okay, I'll get this too. So, what do I do now? I entered after the candle closes. After the candle closes,
[08:50] I enter. And by the way, we're working on the daily timeframe. So, I'm now getting the backtesting or testing the strategy on the daily timeframe. You advise you to...  Using it on a timeframe less than one hour is not recommended. I mean, I advise using it at
[09:05] one hour is not recommended. I mean, I advise using it at night. If you're going to use it on hourly timeframes, maybe four hours. That's what I'd recommend. Okay, let's see when the crossover will happen again downwards so we can exit the trade. Has there been a crossover here? No, there hasn't. Here, the blue line
[09:20] touches the red line and goes back up, but it doesn't go down. So, I won't exit; I'll continue in the line. Okay, you're with me. Let's see where it ends. Let's take a look ahead so we can see what happens. Let's
[09:39] take this with us. Notice, five times the current value. The
[09:53] blue line is with the red line. Here, there's a differential; it touches it and goes back up. Okay,
[10:06] crossover here. When the candle closes where the crossover occurred, we'll exit. So, it's perfect.
[10:30] You can actually make trades that earn huge profits without having studied anything. Okay, it
[11:03] and let's see if you succeed or lose, or what you'll do. Why would you exit with a loss? Because the second crossover happened in this area.
[11:19] You exited with a loss at this candle. By this, it's a 10% loss. Okay, I'm still 20 times the 2000% profit. 10% loss. Okay, I'm still 20 times the 2000% profit. Now I've lost 10%. So, after you lost all this, Now I've lost 10%. So, after you lost all this, what happened? Look at the price. And
[11:46] you. Most likely, when you see one successful trade and another successful one after it, you'll become arrogant. Arrogance is the worst thing in things like this. You'll find yourself entering with 5% instead of 50% all at once. No, I've made three consecutive successful trades. The
[12:02] No, I've made three consecutive successful trades. The right thing to do is to enter the first time. Believe me, that's what will happen. So, the point is that consecutive successful trades make a person arrogant, especially if they don't understand and don't  Committed means that even though you
[12:18] initially entered with the intention of being committed, arrogance can be fatal in the financial markets. So, let's continue and look at a new entry point in this area. A green candle
[12:43] So, there's a touch at this area, at the green candle, but the blue line hasn't yet crossed above the red line. Now, it has crossed above the red line. Enter the trade. Look at the volume. Go down and look at the volume. Yes, here the volume is below the
[12:57] black line. So, this trade is invalid for me. I don't enter it. So, I still don't enter this all this loss. Okay, okay, let's continue. There's a loss, I'm going crazy.
[13:11] loss, I'm going crazy. Okay, let's continue and look at a new entry point here in this area. Is it this candle? No, it's the next one, which is this one. Look at this candle because the blue line has indeed crossed the red line. I see that the volume is low. Enter.
[13:26] red line. I see that the volume is low. Enter. The trade didn't enter the market immediately, The volume here is less than the black line, so we didn't enter the trade. However, as long as
[13:40] the price is above, or as long as the breakout has occurred and is still in effect, and the waiting for strong volume to support my signal before entering. So, I should have entered here. No, I won't enter
[13:53] here. So, where should I enter? I enter when the volume is high here in this area. That's a the volume is high here in this area. That's a bit of a late entry. You entered a bit later than if you had entered here. But, okay, let's see the
[14:20] exit point here. The exit point happened. What do I do when it closes and I exit What do I do when it closes and I exit here? Therefore, a 24% or 25% profit on here? Therefore, a 24% or 25% profit on the trade. If you were a bit more experienced, you wouldn't have exited
[14:32] here; you would have exited here. Look, you would most likely have exited in this area. would most likely have exited in this area.
[14:45] I expect that without even seeing the ground
[15:07] the touch happen? Is this a touch or not?  The intersection and the larger one work, and we see, no, this is an intersection, the entire intersection is
[15:23] above the black line. So what do I do now?
[15:41] this a touch and breakout, or what he said, or a break? Oh, look, a candle closed and there was a break, the blue line went down, so I'll exit at this point. Let's see what else.
[15:54] Here, after the candle closes, you find yourself with a 22% profit. Okay, great. And after you made a 22% profit, what happened? I'll enter again. Why do I enter again? Because here
[16:06] the breakout happened, and then there was another breakout, meaning the blue line went up again.
[16:18] our money or our trade. So what do I do next? I'll enter again because the line bounced back up. Enter after this candle closes. bounced back up. Enter after this candle closes.
[17:00] or a break, or the blue line crosses above the red line, you  You'll enter, and every time the opposite happens, you'll exit. You'll take them all; you won't leave a single one except the one that's trending.
[17:12] In that case, I'll wait for the volume to increase and be above the black line, the blue line above the red, as long as the blue line is above the green. Okay, clear. Now let's look at above the green. Okay, clear. Now let's look at another application.
[17:31] this area. Okay, what happens next? You'll find yourself exiting at a loss again. Okay, what happens next? You'll find yourself exiting at a loss again.
[17:58] desk here; you'll find a very simple desk. Where is the breakout? Here, a normal. So, there are two consecutive losing trades. But what happened after them? Look at
[18:15] this big drop. I mean, I lost on two consecutive pages, but what happened was a big drop. So, what did I lose? I lost my money, or my trade.  I was losing all of this. Look what
[18:27] happened: a 63% drop. No, it's okay to lose that 6%, which is in this area, and exit which is in this area, and exit the trade to protect myself from losing 63%.
[18:54] Your indicators are saying, "Okay, let's see the new entry." A
[19:33] sharply. Right here. Second, let's stay right here. The blue line dropped below the red line by 81% or 80%. Okay, then I enter again. I enter again in this area with a new trade. Here's the blue line again
[19:59] Okay, what happened next? The price dropped all of this. You protected yourself from losing. Look how much? 25%? No, I'll lose. I'll only lose 3%. No problem. I exit the trade. Then there's a new entry. This is in the current situation. So, here we've reached the point where the price...  We
[20:14] entry point from the red candle where the blue
[20:33] the trade from here and are waiting to see where the next bounce will be—whether it will be near or far, only God knows. So, what are the advantages of this strategy? Its advantages are that what are the advantages of this strategy? Its advantages are that it's easy and suitable for anyone, at any time,
[20:47] and without experience. However, capital management is crucial. For example, you can't enter two trades consecutively and then enter with 50% of your capital in the third trade. And I'm not saying that by the third trade, you've already made your choice. That won't work. You must commit to
[21:03] entering with only 5% of your capital, and you should have the other 95% distributed across other trades on other currencies using the same system. What are the other advantages of this strategy? Another advantage is that you can make a single trade that becomes the trade of a lifetime.
[21:18] For you, it's like the first trade we started with. Look, the trade we started with, the one you Look, the trade we started with, the one you Why? Because the reason that would make you exit hasn't happened yet. So you do n't care about anything
[21:33] happening in the market. You're completely relaxed. There are statements being made, a lot of talk going on. Look, there are red candles appearing, people get scared and sell, people get scared and sell at that point, and the price continues. There are no problems because it's destined to continue. But then you find the
[21:48] analysts coming out, one saying the price will go down and another saying the price won't go down. You're relaxing your mind from all of that and you don't care about the whole day. You're waiting for the condition that the blue line goes below the red line, and it doesn't get any easier than that. You don't care about anyone. And then you find the
[22:03] analysts on Twitter coming out together, arguing and creating space for each other.  You know, the arguing and creating space for each other.  You know, the work of the spaces, I mean the interior,
[22:17] I'm talking to you. You don't understand now. They're telling you about themselves, like what they'll give birth to. They argue with you and say, "The wave is four at a time," and someone tells you, "A useful wave," and "A comedic wave," and stories like that, and you're sitting there not understanding anything they're saying. Of course, they're
[22:31] all on your head, meaning people are talking correctly, but I'm talking about what you mean. If you're sitting you'll find yourself... what are they saying? I do n't understand anything. But I'm telling you this should make you... don't get involved with these people at all. You shouldn't get involved with any of this. So the advice is, do
[22:46] until you learn to be an analyst yourself, analyze for yourself, manage for yourself, and sort things out. And you'll find yourself fading away. There's a 10% loss in this area. You would have known this if
[22:58] you were a good analyst or if you were  It's possible, even analysts sometimes lose; it's perfectly normal. saw this with Australian shares; there were about three deals involving guards. But the point is, you don't need people who can make you change your mind constantly. One person will tell you, "Hmm, a wave, a push, and the wave, I don't
[23:14] know what," and another will tell you, " Well, there's a pattern," and so on. They tell and when you hear all this, your biggest dream will be for someone to tell
[23:27] you whether to exit or enter, "What should I do now?" So I'm telling you, don't rely on anyone. If you commit to investing only 5% of your capital in a deal and adhere to the conditions we mentioned, you'll achieve 80% success. Now, let's go back to what we discussed in the episode about
[23:44] how to turn $1000 into $1 million. Just a moment, what's the point of all this? Let's go back to what we talked about in the episode about how to turn $1000 into $1 million. video is commitment, but this time I'm proving to you that commitment can actually make you successful even if
[23:56] you don't understand anything about analysis. So imagine how things will go if you understand analysis and are committed at the same time. Let me tell you, the hardest thing in the world is commitment. It's the hardest thing in the financial markets. Why? Because the financial markets
[24:13] were created for us traders to lose. They weren't created for us to make quick profits and all that. No, not at all. They were created for us to lose, you and I. Every candle you see before you reflects the psychological state and mood of the traders. Each candle represents a
[24:28] very strong struggle between the bears and bulls, or buyers and sellers, and the fights that happen between them appear on the chart, as you can see. So it's natural that you're affected and find yourself taking the simplest advice in the market: buy at the bottom.  At the peak,
[24:43] or buy at support and sell at resistance, you're doing the exact opposite. You find yourself buying at resistance and selling at support because your emotions are affected by what's happening in the market. So, if you can commit, keep your cool, and ignore everything the market says, do it and believe me, you'll win. The
[24:58] only condition is commitment. The second condition is arrogance or exceeding the specified entry limit on a single page. Capital management also has a lot to discuss, which we can talk about another time. If you want to leave the video, leave now because what's coming is for people who want
[25:13] to understand what these lines on the screen mean. I don't want to give you just empty information because I don't like that kind of content. Let's content. Let's
[25:27] three lines in front of you—the blue, red, and black ones below on the volume—these are moving red, and black ones below on the volume—these are moving averages, and here we're using the Moving Average Expansion. Moving
[25:40] Moving Averages: There are two types of moving averages. One is called the Simple Moving Average, and the other is called the Expensive Moving Average (or SC). called the Expensive Moving Average (or SC). Let's go to the board
[25:55] first. The Simple
[26:23] closing price of the last 21 candles. Okay, candles, or the last candles. The number you specify has a different calculation method than the Simple Moving Average.
[26:36] So, how does the Simple Moving Average calculate moving averages? It calculates their sum divided by their number. We know the rule for moving averages: the sum divided by the number. Here's the thing:
[26:55] number is multiplied by a specific factor, and each factor is different from the others. Why does it do this? Because it calculates the last factor, meaning the last candle. So, for example, if we assume these are the nine candles and
[27:09] closing price.  You take all of them and divide the total number of closing prices by their number to get the sample, which is this. Now, if you want to get the expansion, what does it do? It takes the last number, the last closing price, and multiplies it by a specific factor. Then it takes that closing price and multiplies it by
[27:22] another factor, different from the first. Why does it do this? Because, for it, this price is more important than that price, and that price is more important than that price. What does that mean? It means the most recent is the most
[27:43] multiplied by a specific factor so that its weight in the equation, or its weight in the equation, is heavier than the weight of the other candles. This gives me a number slightly different from the sample, and candles. This gives me a number slightly different from the sample, and therefore its update to the price will be heavier
[27:57] therefore its update to the price will be heavier than the sample. Its update is more important than the sample than the sample. Its update is more important than the sample because it pays more attention to the last closing price than the previous one, and so on. Therefore, if you plot both on the
[28:10] chart, you will find that this  Closer to the candles, try drawing both on the chart with the same value. For example, choose the Simple Moving Average (SMA) chart (9) and see that both are
[28:23] closer to the price because it uses the latest and greenest indicators. whole video doesn't just become a repetition of the previous one, with me telling you to go here and there. Like I said, I don't like this kind of content. So if this is your first time watching, please like and subscribe. See you in the
[28:37] first time watching, please like and subscribe. See you in the next video! Peace.