[00:11] What is up, guys? Live stream part two. Part two. What is up, guys? I figured I would rip a quick stream. We got a lot of sports tonight. We got a got a lot of sports tonight. We got a lot of sports tomorrow. So, [00:24] what is up? How is everybody doing? Happy Friday evening. Thanks for joining me. Let's [ __ ] go Louisville. Hopefully you guys are in the sea of Discord, bro. I mean, seriously, dude. You guys should be in this Discord when [00:39] I'm too lazy to live stream. I mean, or it's too late at night, I'm tired or some [ __ ] What's up, guys? What's up, guys? Let's run some bets. But join the Discord. There's a free play section. I hammer out bets in there when I'm bored. [00:52] Um, how are our Mariners looking, dude? We need a hit from JP Crawford, too, for We need a hit from JP Crawford, too, for the DraftKings pick six slip. the DraftKings pick six slip. Let's get a hit, bro. Um, anyways, let's [01:05] get into it. What book do you guys want to look at? Prize picks. We got prize picks. Flex Friday. I gave out a play previously, but let's see if we can find anything amazing. [01:18] So, let's start out on prize picks. You guys like prize picks? There is some guys like prize picks? There is some good value on prize picks. yeah, you can. Yo, so the first play we have is Kahan Buouet. [01:34] Yo, let's get this going. So, again, I ran prize picks in the previous stream. I've already live streamed. Obviously, this game's a few days away, but I don't really give a [ __ ] if I'm betting on stuff tonight or a few days away. I got [01:46] a ton of sports books. I'm in Virginia. Virginia is one of the best states for sports betting. So, the first play we're going to go with. Damn, dude. There's a lot of [ __ ] Let's see if there's any college football as well. There is. [02:00] Michael Jackson. What a name, dude. Michael Jackson. This is for the Purdue game tomorrow. Over in receiving yards. Yo, so check out this play. Michael Jackson over 47 and a half receiving yards. So, this is [02:15] just right off the odds jam sharp money tool. Bro, I need a hit. He got walked his first at bat. Dude, nothing is more frustrating than betting on a guy to get a hit and he gets walked. But anyways, you can see on Profitex, Profitex is an [02:30] extremely smart sports book. It is a peer-to-peer site, but the people setting lines, liquidity that is being offered by trading firms, hedge funds, [ __ ] like that. So, you can see they have Michael Jackson's under offered at [02:46] plus 126. So his under is obviously the underdog outcome if it's being offered at plus 125 plus 126. So his over is the heavily favored outcome. But let's go. Let's get in a slip. Dude, there's a lot [03:01] of [ __ ] today. What the [ __ ] All right, so back to the NFL. Come on. So we have little Jordan Humphrey. Am I getting his name right? Bro, what a name. Yo, what do we think about our boy Little Jordan Humphrey? [03:17] What do we think about our boy Lil Jordan? We like him over two and a half receptions. Um, his unders plus 122. So, his over is the heavily favored outcome. And again, prize picks is a fixed [ __ ] payout [03:30] sports book. Whereas for Mlen, right, you take the over under, same payout. So, for uh I don't even know how to pronounce this name. I I'm not even pronounce this guy's name? This is a guy from Arizona. Um, his we want to be on [03:46] his under. His over is offered at plus 122. But anyways, Alex, shut up. Finish your slip. I'm done with the slip. Get it locked in. Five really good picks, all crossed markets. Absolutely incredible, dude. Can somebody please [03:59] put the link in the chat? Can somebody please put the link in the chat? Yo, can you guys see my screen? So, we have four NFL picks, one college football pick. Get it locked in, dude. His name is T-Mac. [04:14] T-Mac. I just don't know how to pronounce his first name. Respect T-Mac or else. Arizona wide receiver, bro. [04:33] Okay, get this [ __ ] locked in. Let's run it. Take the bet, bro. There we go. Okay, so I got it locked in. Bet MGM or FanDuel? Big BWA is currently [04:46] Bet MGM or FanDuel? Big BWA is currently on a five stream streak. Yo, Big Bwa, dude. Five in a row is crazy, dude. Sometimes I stream at 2:00 a.m., Sometimes I stream at 2:00 a.m., sometimes I stream at noon. So, you're a [05:00] dedicated [ __ ] I love it. Big Ba, what a name, bro. Yo, what are the best shields on Dabble? Or should we do some FanDuel? Dude, Dabble has infinite value, bro. What are the best shields on Dabble? [05:21] most insane bet ever. Unfortunately, it's for the NBA, which is a few days away, but if you guys don't like it, you can replace with Lil Jordan Humphrey can replace with Lil Jordan Humphrey again. So, we have Alprin Sangun [05:34] over five and a half assists. Dude, we got NBA back on [ __ ] Tuesday. Is that not crazy? It's crazy, dude. Dude, his under is It's crazy, dude. Dude, his under is offered all the way up to plus 145. If [05:49] his under is offered at plus 145, that means the market makers, the trading firms, they want to bet his over at minus 145. It's a favored outcome. And dabble's another fixed payout sports book. [06:03] Yo, what's the best shield available right now? So, again, if you're not able right now? So, again, if you're not able to do college, you can replace with um this game's actually tonight, so I wouldn't mind some games for tonight. Uh [06:16] we have Jesus of Nazareus of or sorry, what's this guy's name? Na, not Isaiah. Na Hunter under 16 and a half receiving yards. Yo, what's the best shield available right now? Baker Mayfield, one and a half [06:31] Baker Mayfield, one and a half touchdowns. McCaffrey touchdown. Yo, Mc Merchant 21 is currently on a fivegame streak. So, let's go here. Wait, what? What was it? Uh, Baker Baker Mayfield. Baker, not Bakerfield. So, Baker [06:48] Mayfield over one and a half passing touchdowns. Is there no payout shift? And are you [ __ ] kidding me, dude? They just removed Sangon. You guys probably locked it in too quick. Damn, bro. [07:06] pretty annoying. So, I guess I'm just going to run little Jordan Humphrey again. Over two and a half receptions. No. Wandell Robinson. Wait, why are they No. Wandell Robinson. Wait, why are they adding in a payout shift now? [07:28] Jackson III. What a name. Anyways, here's the play. Again, I'm max limited on Dabble, but regardless, this is a slip. I just got locked in. My phone will pop up. You can copy it directly on the app. [07:47] useless? I have over 40K, dude. I have no idea. I literally don't know anything about Twitch. I just started live streaming because I thought it would be fun, but I'm not a streamer. Yo, but what I was going to say about um uh [08:03] you know what's very interesting about this book is again well I've already like shields are essentially like goblins on prize picks. They're supposed to reduce your payout. They're supposed to be the easy wins. So Mayfield was a [08:19] shield, but they don't change your payout. They're still giving us a 6x payout. So, a lot of times you can pair a shield with two other plus EV picks and then you have an insanely good dabble slip, an insanely profitable [08:31] slip. Whereas, like prize picks, like if you include two goblins, they reduce your payout from 6x to 2.5x because prize picks isn't [ __ ] stupid. But on dabble, they just like forget to do it sometimes. [08:47] sometimes. I have 63k. I have 126k. Call the number. What's up, Anonymous 420? Someone said call the number. Yo, anyways, here's the dabble play. Um, what book do you guys want to look at, [09:01] what book do you guys want to look at, man? Are the Mariners still winning? [09:14] I can't do college football. Can you do some replacements? Yeah, sure. Um, so what you could replace with also they just Wow, dude. They respect my they just Wow, dude. They respect my flow so much. They just remove it. I'm [09:28] be a trader, you got to trade against a really smart hedge fund. You're just like, "Not not trading, bro." Anyways, what were we gonna say? [09:43] Lil Dude, how do you find this guy? Lil Jordan is such a it's a name. Um damn. So they removed Baker. Somebody said Gibbs touchdown was also good. So let's see. [10:00] No payout shift. No payout shift. So this seems solid. Let's just make sure the shield is actually good. So again, these shields on dabble. Any pick in a threeman, you're getting minus 122 odds. So, if we look at Gibbs, yeah, I mean, [10:16] that's a crazy good play. It's like a minus 200 favorite to score a touchdown. So, this would be another option if you wanted another dabble slip. wanted another dabble slip. You can see my screen right here. [10:33] No value on Fliff lately, dude. I do feel like Fliff has been more dry. feel like Fliff has been more dry. I don't know, man. But I do agree. It's been a little drier than I would have been hoping. Boys, you never you never [10:45] want anything dry, dude. You want everything wet. You want a wet board. You want everything in life wet. Um. Yo, but Hard Rock, a lot of you guys are asking for Hard Rock plays again. I [11:00] truly believe Hard Rock is the most beatable sports book in the world, dude. Bro, Louisville, how is Louisville not favored? They were up seven to zero. They were plus five and a half. Now they're plus two and a [11:15] and a half. Now they're plus two and a half and up 14. me pretty aggressively. They're only going to give me 12 bucks on this [11:29] [ __ ] but it's a super good play. Again, it's just a cross market. The reason I like cross market betting so much is you just have a hundred basically 100% confidence in your edge, right? Whenever there's an arbitrage [11:43] right? Whenever there's an arbitrage opportunity like right here and there's a lot more liquidity behind this at plus 127, this at plus 127, right? 1.8K in liquidity being offered [11:57] right? 1.8K in liquidity being offered on Profitex. an extremely sharp book with their line set by trading firms. So basically whenever you have arbitrage the under on a different book, guarantee a profit. So one of the two bets by [12:10] definition has to be profitable. And 99.999% the stupid [ __ ] sports book, which is Hard Rock. Profitex is a very smart [12:24] Hard Rock. Profitex is a very smart book. So essentially, you don't actually have to arbitrage bet. You can just find the cross market and run it. So here we mainline markets, they're still giving me only 10. What the [ __ ] dude? Why is [12:39] Miami so bad? Carson Beck interception. Are you [ __ ] kidding me? George Springer, that is the last thing I needed, bro. What the [ __ ] dude? Um, very annoying. And that's probably [12:54] why the spread was like that. But anyways, I ran it. Charlotte plus 12 and a half against Temple. Super good value on Hard Rock minus 105. [13:07] well. Dude, why is there so much value on Hard Rock, bro? If you have access to Hard Rock, you have no excuse to not make like a billion dollars. make like a billion dollars. Um, [13:23] okay. So, let's see what we have here. Screw Hard Rock. What do you want? Bad MGM, FanDuel. What do you guys want? Bad MGM, FanDuel. What do we want? Nobody tells me in the [13:37] chat ever what sports book to look at, dude. So, there's some good value currently on. [13:57] some good value on FanDuel. Again, bro, a parlay is literally just a combination of bets. So, it's very simple. If every bet in your parlay [14:09] is plus EV, then your parlay will be plus EV. So here we have three NFL picks. It's super easy to like play these because Odds Jam has oneclick bet. So I just click a bunch across markets. It makes the parlay for me and then I [14:23] just [ __ ] lock it in, dude. So here's the play. FanDuel play. Where is this [ __ ] Uh three pick parlay on FanDuel. Get it locked in. Should we do more prize picks or underdog? Yo, what did you guys want [14:37] to do? Cam Thomas has asked, "Can we swap bank accounts?" Underdog. Yo, so this is what I just got locked in. [14:54] [ __ ] Come on. Come on. Let's see if this works. Now, that did work. We already ran the sleeper promos on the previous stream. [15:15] underdog slip? You guys want an underdog play or what? Nobody helps me out with what sports to look at, bro. Nobody helps me out. What sports book [15:27] to look at? Hey, we're gonna do an underdog play or a bad MGM play. Sometimes what I like to do, so like Bet MGM is a book I'm unfortunately pretty [15:39] heavily limited on. So a lot of times what I'll do is I'll just filter for, you know, mainline markets only because typically mainlines you get higher betting limits on. And again, I use a ton of these [ __ ] books because [15:54] granted there's, you know, for every game there's probably like 30 times more player props compared to mainline markets. So here bet MGM is going to give me like 3675 Kent State game under 50 half minus 105 [16:09] odds and like yeah sure you could just run a player prop but so this is Michael Mayer that's John Mayer's little brother. Oh that's actually not horrible. 1925 on this. That's a [ __ ] crazy good play. Highly liquid market. [16:24] High cross percentage as well. So check this [ __ ] out dude. So, here's another play on BMGm. Sorry. This is Michael Mayor. Yo, check this [ __ ] out. Yo, follow the channel. Michael Mayor. You can get it on Hard [16:39] Rock as well, right? Minus 110 minus 110. Profitex super sharp book plus 116. But more importantly, way more liquidity at plus 115 plus 114 from a market [16:52] maker. So, that's an arbitrage opportunity. You could just bet both sides. You could go over to profitex hedge no limit sports book guarantee a risk-f free profit. Bet MGM is the dumbest book in the world along with [17:04] Hard Rock. So the value is clearly on the Bet MGM side. But let's go to Underdog is pretty dry right now. Underdog is dry as the [ __ ] bro. Let's see here. Let's try New Jersey because Newer. So yeah, not a ton of value on [17:19] underdog to be honest. Let's see better. Some people are asking for better. We hit a ton of underdog plays earlier. Better has a [ __ ] ton of value. Better has a [ __ ] ton of value. Yo, better has a [ __ ] ton of value. [17:32] Um, dude, this is crazy. [17:48] today, but if someone wants to put a link in the chat, I mean, there's clearly a lot of good [ __ ] right now. Um, I mean, granted, a lot of these picks are the same, but you could run Lil Jordan Humphrey over two and a half, [18:02] Kon Buouette under two and a half, Mlen under four and a half, Michael Jackson over, Tyler Algier over in rushing attempts. Every book has this over, heavily favored. It's across [18:15] know, for all these books like the optimal slip and stuff like that. on better. You You really want to be running five mans, five pick entries. [18:27] You really want to be running five pick entries. Why are you posting pornhub.com entries. Why are you posting pornhub.com in my chat, dude? [18:41] It's pronounced Kahan Booty. Bro, you got to be kidding me. again, I've done tons of videos. I've linked this spreadsheet. Uh, somebody [18:53] probably has it in the chat. If you're curious and you really want to nerd out platforms, you can check it out. If you don't believe me that on better five pick entries are optimal, you know, you can go through the math for yourself. I [19:07] can go through the math for yourself. I don't really care. Um, but let's see. Let's see if there's another prize picks we could do because it looks like [ __ ] yeah, we got some college football and [ __ ] popping up. [19:19] So, check this out. Oh, so this is for the UNCC game tonight. Um, Tron Grizzly under 55 and a half receiving yards, heavy liquidity at plus 119. [19:43] these [ __ ] picks are the same, but I don't really care, dude. Uh, for anyone who joined the live stream late, this for you, [19:58] do think they removed one of these plays, let's see if we can get in a sixman cuz six pick entries are much more fun. So, we have Keshan Booty. name's pronounced. That would be the dumbest [ __ ] name of all time. [20:14] um under two and a half receptions. Yo, so here would be a solid five pick. Let's actually see if there's any replacements that we like better. So Nate Frisier. Oh [ __ ] Oh [ __ ] Oh [20:30] [ __ ] Yo, you could actually run this pick. There's two good picks I kind of like. So in the Georgia game, you have Nate So in the Georgia game, you have Nate Fazir to not score a touchdown. [20:44] Yo, check this out. So, again, if you can play college football, I know some of you guys are going to complain, I can't play college, man. Um, but this is a solid play, right? FanDuel is giving you plus money. A lot [20:57] FanDuel is giving you plus money. A lot of these books, you talking about, dude? You got sent a 1099 form for what? Could [21:33] Yo, but anyways, so it's kind of up to you if you can play college or not. Again, if you don't want to run any of the same picks again, you don't have to do that, obviously. One, two, three. [21:55] [ __ ] I really hope Louisville wins, dude. I really hope Louisville wins, dude. We got big money on Louisville. Let's go, [ __ ] Take the bet. There we go. Okay, so I ran the prize pick slip. [22:08] chat, that'd be awesome. Um, [22:25] MGM. Someone was asking for Bet MGM plays. So, we can take a look. I mean, you guys love Bet MGM. It's crazy, dude. Everyone in the chat always begging for Bet MGM plays. Okay, we can do some BM MGM. So, we have [22:40] BM MGM, we got FanDuel. What do we think about Will Smith home run? Massively crossed market. Yo, do you boys like Will Smith home run 535 ball. [22:53] Yo, do we like Will Smith? I just ran him. Um, cross market. Yo, Jaylen Herz under in passing attempts again as they sharp better. A lot of people think, uh, so Bet MGM bumped the previous play to minus 120. A lot of people think like, [23:07] oh, you should only place a few bets. No, you should place every [ __ ] plus EV bet. All that matters is, is a bet plus EV or is it not plus EV? It's all that matters. And most of these books have max betting limits. So to maximize [23:21] profits, you actually need to place a lot of bets. But what were we talking about? Oh, Jaylen Herz, right? This is available on Hard Rock. It's also available on Bet MGM arbitrage, right? So you could bet [23:36] MGM arbitrage, right? So you could bet the over on Novig or Profitex. The under on Bet MGM to guarantee a risk-free profit. So one of the two bets has to be plus EV. And again, it's very simple. [23:48] You know, NOVIG is the smart book. If any book is crossed with Novig, there's and there's a high amount of liquidity, there's like an 100% chance, dude. Gino Smith to not throw an interception is plus 160. That's another solid play. [24:04] Free, dude. Um, dude? So, Bet MGM is a crazy book. I mean, you could just rip plays all day [24:16] long. So, we're already fading Rico rushing yards, but here's like Rico rushing attempts, a high amount of liquidity, a large ARB percentage, crossed market, got the over [24:30] on Profitex, under on Bet MGM, make a guaranteed profit. You know, again, Bet MGM is the dumbass [ __ ] sports book. It's also crossed with DraftKings. So, the value is going to be here. Here. [24:43] [Music] So, Rico under 15 and a half rushing attempts. That's the [ __ ] you want to be on. Um, what are we talking about, dude? on. Um, what are we talking about, dude? What do you guys want to look at, man? [25:02] Alex, my girlfriend keeps cheating on me with a guy named Javvante. Dabble value just popped up. Yo, so we can look at Dabble. Dabble. Let's see. dabble. [25:17] cross market betting, the math, the strategy, I didn't want to stop going through it every time. Anything but college props. Let's see what we can do, boys. Um sheesh, man. FanDuel is kind of [ __ ] [25:30] sheesh, man. FanDuel is kind of [ __ ] crazy, dude. even though Bet MGM they give me like a dollar to [ __ ] $50 a bet, it takes [25:42] two seconds to lock these in. Michael Carter over two and a half receptions. I button. They're not going to let me bet much on it because I'm limited, but it's an arbitrage bet. It's a plus EV bet. [25:54] It's very simple. Let's see if there's is there any touchdown scores? Not on Bet MGM on Hard Rock. Hard Rock probably offers, in my opinion, Hard Rock the biggest inefficiencies, the craziest [26:06] touchdown score value. Look at this play. Well, that play I think we already got locked in. But look at this [ __ ] dude. Chris Brooks at this [ __ ] dude. Chris Brooks plus 650, [26:21] dude. Like, this is crazy. Cross market minus 590 on Novig with a [ __ ] ton of liquidity. Higher liquidity. Every other book has this guy like plus 350 to score a touchdown. Hard Rock's giving you like double the odds. I mean, they only let [26:36] me bet like $10 on all of these, but it's fun. Also, last week, I'm pretty sure we hit Tim Patrick like plus 10,000 or no, plus 4,000 or 5,000, something like that. Here's another one, dude. Ben Urosac, [26:50] dude, I thought that said Ben sack for a second. Um, plus 3,000 to score a touchdown, bro. No other book. Every other book is giving you [ __ ] plus a thousand, dude. Literally like what are they doing? You can literally just [27:03] [ __ ] click the buttons. It's crazy. But anyways, what were people asking But anyways, what were people asking for? Um, uh, flip rebet prize picks. Is there anything new in Dabble? Let's see. Um, [27:18] nah, kind of same [ __ ] Let's see. Dabble, though. Maybe there's some line discrepancies. Nothing crazy. [27:30] Uh uh uh uh. Alex, you're my favorite sports betting [ __ ] Alex, you have someone's yearly salary in your rebet [27:42] someone's yearly salary in your rebet account. Prize picks username.