---
title: 'The Easiest Markets to PROFIT on Polymarket & Kalshi'
source: 'https://youtube.com/watch?v=CBLLTqeWeiY'
video_id: 'CBLLTqeWeiY'
date: 2026-08-01
duration_sec: 851
---

# The Easiest Markets to PROFIT on Polymarket & Kalshi

> Source: [The Easiest Markets to PROFIT on Polymarket & Kalshi](https://youtube.com/watch?v=CBLLTqeWeiY)

## Summary

This video presents three prediction market niches that the creator claims are the easiest to profit from long-term on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi: live in-game sports betting, niche esports leagues, and domestic soccer. The speaker shares personal data, specific examples, and strategies for exploiting soft lines and avoiding crowded markets.

### Key Points

- **Introduction to Profitable Niches** [00:00] — The video previews three prediction market niches that are easiest to profit from long-term: live in-game progress betting, esports, and domestic soccer leagues.
- **Use Data to Find Your Sweet Spot** [02:19] — The creator recommends analyzing your own account data to identify where you consistently make and lose money across prediction markets before focusing on specific niches.
- **Niche #1: Live In-Game Progress Betting** [02:36] — Live in-game betting, especially baseball totals, allows traders to exploit odds that shift after the first few innings when momentum becomes clear.
- **Baseball's 162-Game Opportunity** [03:28] — Baseball teams play 162 games, so pregame odds shift significantly by the 2nd or 3rd inning. Live totals like over 9.5 at 62% become great propositions when runs are scored early.
- **Niche #2: Esports with Low Liquidity** [06:52] — Esports leagues like the Call of Duty League have low liquidity and little attention, creating soft lines that are easier to profit from than major events like the World Cup.
- **Niche #3: Domestic Soccer Leagues** [10:22] — Instead of betting on the World Cup, the creator focuses on domestic leagues like the Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga, and Ligue 1, where there are many games and more edges.
- **Bet 'No' on Weaker Soccer Squads** [11:59] — The smart play is to bet 'no' on the weaker squad rather than 'yes' on the strong favorite, because draws and anomalies still win the proposition.
- **Avoid High-Liquidity Events** [12:38] — The World Cup attracts casual bettors and huge liquidity, making it a tougher market to beat. Domestic league games offer more mispriced lines and long-term value.

## Transcript

I've probably traded every type of market  that there is across Polymarket and Kalshi.   We're talking mentions markets, political races,  entertainment, I've done Rotten Tomatoes scores.   You know, I've seen everything across the board.  In this video, I'm going to go over the three  
niches that I've actually found to be the easiest  to profit long term. And if you focus on these   niches, I think that over time, your bankroll is  going to continue to stack and you're going to   start to find that this is your sweet spot. So,  it might not be for everybody, but these are the  
three niches in this video that I think are the  easiest to gain an edge in if you're smart, do   your research, and really just dial in. So, let's  go ahead and jump right into it. Guys, if you're   new to the channel on In the Money, we go over  everything that you need to win across crypto,  
prediction markets, and more. So, links down below  in the description as well. Like the video and   subscribe to the channel. I do want to give a big  shout today. We are launching our official In the   Money Discord and I mean we are honestly off to a  really hot start. Prediction markets yesterday we  
went 3 and 0. The Call of Duty League traded  as well and first day of the Discord we were   absolutely cooking. You're going to get all the  information from me and my team across crypto   prediction markets and more only $49 a month. And  I believe you get a 3-day free trial. So, a very  
good proposition here. If you want to jump into  the group and profit with us across crypto and   prediction markets, hit that link down below in  the description in the money.live. Let's go ahead   and just jump right into it, guys. Obviously, like  I've always said in prediction market videos here,  
when you open up Kalshi, I mean, it's overwhelming  or Polymarket, whichever one. You go through here,   there's so many different markets. You can  really get caught up in a ton of different   things. And I think some of the most popular  ones are obviously sports, politics, crypto,  
and mention markets. But for me, I've always found  that whenever I diversify a little bit too much,   that's whenever I start to burn my bankroll  across prediction markets. But whenever I stick  
to specific niches, I really do start to find a  sweet spot. One of my sweet spots is sports, okay?   But there are different things like I mean I'll  be honest I probably shouldn't be placing money on   golf or tennis. Those aren't my forte. I know some  people who are experts in that so I'll take their  
advice on that. But I have found three specific  niches to be my most profitable. And this is   backed by data. There's many softwares out there  as well. You can plug in your account and it'll   tell you where you're making money consistently  and where you are losing money consistently. So,  
after doing analysis on my account, I've found  that these three niches have been the most   consistently profitable and honestly whenever I  look at the data, probably the easiest to exploit   across these markets. Number one is going to be  live in-game progress betting. So, what we're  
talking about here is, you know, you go to sports,  let's say, and let's go to baseball. Baseball is a   perfect example of this. I have made a ton of cash  this year on Kalshi specifically on live in-game  
baseball. And what I mean by that, so you can see  here Tampa Bay and Boston. You click on the odds   on this game. You can see here Boston is a 52%  favorite to win this match. And we see here Tampa   Bay to win by over one and a half or Boston to win  by over one and a half. You can kind of manipulate  
these odds. But with baseball, they play 162  games. A lot of these odds pregame really shift   by like the second or third inning. And if you  want to take advantage of softer lines or be able  
to actually navigate what you're seeing inside of  the game, doing this in game is perfect. If it's   0-0 after the third inning and the total is still  7 and a half, even if the no is now like 55 60%,  
that's a great proposition. I've really nailed  down a ton of profits by live playing totals on   baseball. Or there's six runs in the first three  innings. All of a sudden, you can still get like  
over nine and a half at, you know, 62%. I love  taking those propositions. If the bats are hot and   you know you're going into the bullpen early, if  you know anything about baseball, if your starting   pitcher gets knocked out of the game early and  you're using a bunch of bullpen arms, it probably  
bodes well for offense in that type of a game. So,  I really like to navigate in-game totals whenever   it comes to stuff like baseball, for example.  American football's right around the corner. We're  
going to absolutely crush American football this  year. Really excited about that because momentum   is everything in American football. You can feel  when a game-winning drive is being put together   or you know in a high-scoring game you can kind  of manipulate those odds and cash in on totals  
etc. So, in progress betting as well, like during  the NBA finals, it was such an easy play to like   swing trade, you know, Spurs early, sell, and  then navigate to the Knicks towards the ends of  
the games. Like, really live in-game is so much  easier to exploit than pregame. Just, you know,   typically speaking, you look across the baseball  lines, most of these are, you know, between 50/50.  
I'll make sure we're just on pro baseball. I don't  want to see like the foreign leagues, but yeah,   like most of these games are between 65 and 50%.  Like a lot of them are 50/50 for the most part,   but by the third or fourth inning, you're going to  know the momentum of the game, you might start to  
see a team pull away, runs start being scored, or  if you think that, hey, by the third inning it's,   you know, 0-0, but Tampa Bay, you know, is looking  a little better, you come in here, you know,   Tampa Bay, maybe to cover one and a half. Like you  can come in here and take advantage of those lines  
very easily on in-progress betting. So that  is number one, live plays. Like some of these   odds are really tight pregame, but during the game  you can really swing trade these to your benefit.  
Number two is esports. This has been this year I  think I've made more cash on prediction markets on   esports than like I've made more on esports than  the World Cup for example. And I mean the World  
Cup we've been very solid other than a few random  you know outliers. The World Cup has treated us   very well. But esports is something if you know  anything about the background of me or my channel,  
I came into crypto 2017. I got into  crypto gaming 2020 2021 and, you know,   I'm a gamer at heart so I pay attention a lot to  some of these esports leagues and like Call of   Duty League for example I find so easy to exploit  as far as profits go. You click on esports here.  
Let's go over to Call of Duty. And the reason  I'm saying that is if we go to League of Legends,   let's see like tomorrow I know T1 plays Carmine  Corp. Let's see here. There's not a lot of volume  
yet because they just posted this market. I would  assume there's going to be six plus figures on   that game tomorrow. There's a lot of liquidity and  a lot of money and volume that goes into these big   leagues like League of Legends for example. But  if you go over to like the Call of Duty leagues,  
even the biggest match of the day only  has $14,000 on it. Optic versus Paris,   that's probably the premier match of today.  Even FaZe and the Falcons has 23,000. Thieves  
in Minnesota G2 has 15,000 on it. And the first  match of the day has the most. It's 36,000. So,   I'm assuming people are trying to, you know, hit  the first match and move on to the other ones.   But some of these lines are just so soft. When you  look at like, let's just go G2 versus Thieves. I  
don't think that this goes five maps for example.  Even at 75%, I think that's a great proposition.   I think Thieves win 3-0 or 3-1. They're coming off  a really bad loss yesterday. And there's not a lot   of competition in these markets because of the  liquidity. The liquidity is low and most people  
don't pay attention to the Call of Duty League for  example. And if we look at the picks yesterday,   we had Paris yesterday to beat Toronto. That was  an easy win. We had Optic in Miami under four and   a half. Easy. Optic 3-0ed. And then FaZe Vegas  and G2. I figured G2 was good enough to win one  
map. And that's exactly what happened. We had  the over three and a half maps and it went to   four maps. So, I feel like these esports leagues,  I'm not going to call it a small league. Like,   everyone knows Call of Duty, but as far as the  esports scene goes, it's definitely one of the  
least popular leagues, but I find that where it's  so easy to make profits over the long haul. So,   I absolutely love playing Call of Duty esports,  and even, you know, there's times like CS2   tournaments are great money. Good League of  Legends tournaments are great money. Just  
there's more eyes on those matches. So, I think  more niche esports like Call of Duty for example   are super easy to profit on, especially if you  pay attention. Like I watch these matches like   I'm fully entrenched in making sure I understand  which teams are hot, which players are hot,  
what game modes they're doing well at, etc.  So, yeah, that's kind of what I've been doing   as far as esports. And you can see here like on  my funded account, yesterday we hit every single  
pick on Call of Duty. One thing I don't like  is WNBA. I've not been cooking on WNBA, but,   we hit on that. These League of Legends plays  cashed, soccer cashed, etc. So, a lot of my  
success yesterday was just off of esports on  this funded account, for example. And, I think,   it's a $10,000 funded account. If you want to  trade with other people's money on Polymarket,   by the way, Funding Predicts link down below in  the description. You can actually get 20% off  
an account if you purchase with the link in the  description. So yesterday on my funded account, I   made $178. Gross profit was 178 and, yeah, it was  I mean a really good day across eight trades. So  
very happy with that on a $10,000 funded account.  So, and that was mainly just off of Call of Duty   yesterday. And then last but not least, the third  niche that I think is really easy to exploit,  
especially if you follow it exclusively is soccer,  but it's not going to be what you're thinking. So,   obviously, everyone is playing these World  Cup matches. Everyone becomes a soccer fan   every four years for the World Cup. But for me, I  pay attention religiously to the Premier League,  
to La Liga, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, all these  different leagues because this is where you can   find profits. This is where, you know, if you're  digging in week to week, let's go to the Premier   League, for example. A lot of what I like to do.  Let's go to fixtures. This starts next month. So  
about a month from today, we have Arsenal versus  Coventry City. What I really like to do in Premier   League is play totals, either over under a certain  amount of goals. But what I really really like is   even if it's a low ROI like Arsenal Coventry City  at home for Arsenal, Arsenal is the best team in  
the league currently. No on Coventry City is the  play there. I don't know the percentages yet,   but you want to go against the weak squads, but  not necessarily yes on the strong squads because  
there are random draws. There are things that  happen. Man City versus Bournemouth. Bournemouth   is solid. A lot of people on that match are  gonna think, oh, go Man City. But actually,   I think the smart play is going Bournemouth,  no, like they won't win the match. So,  
even if it's a tie, even if it's a draw, you still  win that proposition. Aston Villa and Brighton,   I'd probably go Brighton, no. And Brighton's at  home, so that's probably a pretty good percentage   if you were to take that. So, in my opinion,  going very savvy on domestic soccer leagues,  
you can make a ton of cash over the course of a  season, going against the weaker squad, rather   than going yes on the stronger squad. That is  how most people lose money. They look at a match,  
they say, "Oh, wow. Arsenal's an 80% favorite  to win this game. That's a lock." And then they   tie and everyone on that side loses money. Whereas  you could just go on Coventry City no or let's say  
Brighton no against Aston Villa and actually cash  in even if there's an anomaly of a draw. So that's   what I did last season in the Champions League, in  the domestic leagues. Bundesliga is great for goal  
totals. So you know World Cup is great and all  but everyone's watching it. Everyone's betting it.   There's so much liquidity. It is a tougher market  to beat. There is not as many games going on. But   on any given Friday, Saturday, Sunday, over the  course of the next eight months, 12 months really,  
whenever all these different leagues are going  on, there's so many games, you will find edges,   you'll find mispriced lines, you'll find  percentages that favor you in the long term,   and we'll exploit those right here on the channel  and of course in the In the Money Discord, guys.  
So, if you enjoyed the video today, be sure drop  down below, hit that like button, and subscribe to   the channel. The three easiest niches that I have  found to exploit on prediction markets. I'll recap   just quickly. Esports, live in progress plays.  So, while the game is going on, you can really  
swing the odds in your favor. You know, playoff  momentum, etc. And then last but not least, not   the World Cup, but domestic soccer leagues. We're  talking England, we're talking Spain, France,  
Germany, their local leagues. That's where you  can really make a ton of cash by paying attention.   World Cup is great and all, but everyone's  playing it. Everyone thinks they're an expert,   but at the end of the day, the real money is to  be made grinding out these leagues week to week.  
So guys, like the video down below, subscribe to  the channel for more, and I'll see you guys on   Monday's video. As always, trade responsibly, my  friends, and of course, stay bullish, my friends.