[00:29] We are live. Okay.
[05:03] is actually the trade um I am set up to take right now. So, this is a limit order. And 7 72,000 um $20 is my entry. So, once price get
[05:17] there I am targeting. Now, this is a B plus plus a B setup um is not A setup. I'm going And why I'm taking this trade and I will explain
[05:29] I'm again why I'm in this Solana trade and why I'm also set up for this Solana And again why I'm keep I'm holding back on that we'll need for this trade. So, this is Tuesday.
[05:43] This is for crypto and I'm analyzing as you all know, all the time, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana. So, let's get to it. Now, what you have to understand first is that we have to start from the higher time frame.
[05:57] Crypto had a massive drop. Um you can see this very massive drop. I've been talking about $44,000, right? Bitcoin $44,000. I tell you guys it's possible. It is still very possible.
[06:11] Um if I go to the weekly time frame, as a matter of fact, a matter of fact, um possible I will see crypto come down
[06:26] to this zone, but irrespective of whether it comes down here or doesn't can still trade can trade it down, trade it up. The the rule is always if this and that. Okay, if this
[06:40] happened, then we do this. If this happened, then we do this. Now, on the macroeconomic standpoint, this is the reason why Bitcoin dropped, in fact, crypto market dropped, and why it could even
[06:53] >> [clears throat] >> Even lower. I'm going to show you that. On the macroeconomic standpoint. Now, let's let's look at I I explained this similar thing yesterday in the
[07:07] in the Forex analysis. So, if you go to Forex Factory, May 13th, CPI report came out. CPI report came out. CPI is Consumer Price Index. And you can
[07:22] CPI is Consumer Price Index. And you can see here that the previous was 0.2%. see here that the previous was 0.2%. The forecast is 0.1%. The forecast is 0.1%. Actual is 1%. So, imagine that
[07:35] Actual is 1%. So, imagine that um just 1% increase is predicted, but we um just 1% increase is predicted, but we then have 8 um 0.8%. That is the increment we have. This is actually really, really massive. So,
[07:48] actually really, really massive. So, what this means is that Let me explain the rate cut thing. When uh the Fed cut interest rates
[08:02] money into the economy. They want people to start business, borrow. They are just trying to stimulate the economy. Okay? You know, to have more jobs and all that.
[08:15] cut what then happens is that people have more disposable income to put into riskier assets like the stock market, cryptocurrencies, and all that. So, if if you will have more disposable
[08:31] that the probability that crypto goes up in the probability that crypto goes up in price is becomes very, very high. And one of the factors that determine if interest rate is going to be cut
[08:44] interest rate is going to be cut or raised is the CPI. We also have the PPI. This is the um What is it again? Can't remember. Okay, this is actually PPI, not CPI.
[09:00] I can't remember what what's the PPI is again. Maybe I'll just look it up. Okay, the CPI was actually CPI was actually on um Tuesday 0.4.
[09:12] And PPI is even higher. This are um rate so it's more like the PPI but PPI has to do with producers now. What um the cost of production, basically. So, if this is this high
[09:29] the Fed will not cut interest rate. As a matter of fact, the probability they raise interest rate is high. So, if interest rates keep getting raised, um the US dollar becomes stronger
[09:43] from the economy. And people will not put money into risky assets like cryptocurrencies. And therefore, we should expect the fall of cryptocurrencies. So, if you're thinking bull season, bull season, when is it
[09:57] coming? Uh Forget about it for now. crypto to drop further. Expect many of these coins to drop further. So, the
[10:09] the macroeconomics has basically given us But, we still have to use technical analysis to be able to determine where to enter and where to exit.
[10:22] So, let's get to the chart for proper technical analysis. Now, looking at this, um you can see from this we started having a drop around here when um the news
[10:36] news The news came out. I will go back. So, from the 13th, we have the CPI um the CPI. From the 12th, we have the CPI. From the 14th, we have the um
[10:50] 14th, we have the um We had um PPI. So, this is the 12th. Uh this one the CPI came out and it it fell. It came back up. Then within with the with the um PPI, it
[11:06] further. Now, from the technical analysis standpoint, on the higher time frame, we have this We've been having these record structures in this region. So, this is a record structure here.
[11:19] This is also another one. It's another one here. And this is another one here. So, that we have here, here, this region now
[11:33] here, this region now is this region now is the order block. Okay? The order block, the demand zone that led to that this particular break of structure.
[11:45] So, there is high probability. So, it is expected that price should move from and go up to break structure again
[11:58] to break structure again based on
[14:13] >> Okay. Just want to make sure I can be heard. Okay, can you hear Can you guys hear me now?
[14:28] hear me. Okay? So, we have Okay, I found this on the website. As I was saying, this is the
[14:44] over here is the demand zone.
[15:01] type one. And we've got somebody said I can't hear anything, and another person said, "Yes." So, I don't know which is which. somebody else said, "Yes." So, if you can hear me, just type one
[15:15] So, if you can hear me, just type one so I know I can be heard.
[15:27] >> Okay, I can be heard. Good. Good. Good. So, as I was saying, is that from technical analysis standpoint, this is a breaker structure here. And this breaker structure
[15:42] here, this zone over here that gave rise to this breaker structure. So, it's expected that we should get confirmation from this low and our target should be this.
[15:59] and our target should be this. Now, our target should be this high. target here. But, will this happen? With the bearish nature of
[16:13] um Bitcoin, this might not actually happen. Okay? If we break below this, then we can keep going. So, what I'm going to do is to zoom into this particular region now and see
[16:27] this particular region now and see what the market is showing here. particular region. Now, from this region, like I said, this is the demand zone here. Let me bring it
[16:43] out. This zone is a demand zone that we should be we expect price to rise. So, normally, I want to see a confirmation entry.
[16:57] So, if I see price go above this, I see price go go above this, like this I see price go go above this, like this way, If I see price do this, I want to buy. So, this is That is why I say this is
[17:13] not an A+ entry for me because we are coming from a demand zone. I won't have an issue in actually But now I'm looking at technical analysis. Price
[17:27] may go up from here. I'm also looking at fundamentals. Um we are very the the the the we are very the the the the the um risk assets market is actually
[17:40] the um risk assets market is actually very bearish at this time. So therefore trade. So I'm going to go to the 5-minute time frame to show you how I came about this trade. So for this trade
[17:59] change of character or break of structure at this point. Okay. This is a BOS.
[18:12] demand zone here. Which I have marked with this purple color. which I marked with the yellow line. And you can see the overlap here.
[18:26] So if you now go deeper short position from here. The confirmation is this. structure here. This is a change of character here.
[18:40] And I've now drawn my Fibonacci. I'm set it take this trade from the 62 level. My target is um you can actually do a target of um
[18:54] three. But my target here is three points. My target here is 75
[19:07] 8 45. So again, I want to state again entry entry for me on this trade is
[19:23] That's my entry. My stop loss for this particular trade is over here. 77380.
[19:35] And my take profit is here. 77 um 848. So, like I said,
[19:47] this is a B plus. If this actually goes ahead and fail and we'll go higher, then I'll start looking for to take this higher. I'll start looking for um entries to go higher. But based on the way I trade,
[20:01] this is break of structure here. This is the area of interest. This is the uh confirmation entry we're having here. So, I'm taking this trade. And the issue I have with this is just that we are coming from a
[20:15] that price should actually go up from here. And I shouldn't be going short from here. But based on um the macros, I'm just taking this trade. Now, I want to go to Ethereum and show
[20:30] you the same thing. So, for Ethereum, back to the one to the one hour time frame. I have this as my 4-hour demand zone. So, price
[20:44] should go up from here actually. Okay? Price should go up from here uh based on that. But again, based on macros, I might see price even go lower.
[20:56] So, this is still a B plus setup. But for Ethereum, I don't have actually have trade from here. So, if you look at this break of So, if you look at this break of structure here,
[21:10] over here, if I take my feed and draw it, that this last with a golden zone. frame, this also tap into the 15-minutes demand
[21:25] So, therefore, I should look for a confirmation entry here on the on the 5-minutes time frame. On the 5-minutes, they have not been confirmation. Now, we have confirmation on Bitcoin.
[21:38] There has not been confirmation here. So, confirmation, I wouldn't want to call this a confirmation because this is not actually a break of structure. This is a liquidity sweep. So, my confirmation for Ethereum comes
[21:52] I see price go below this line. If you go below this line, then I can now pull a Fibonacci to take a trade either from the 62 from the uh from the 62
[22:08] or from the 0.5 level. And the target is actually this bottom here. So, Ethereum, no trade yet. For Solana, I actually have the same setup as I have for Bitcoin. Um let me go to the highest time frame
[22:23] Um let me go to the highest time frame and start from there. again, I've already had a I had a very profitable trading week last week with
[22:35] Um but based on this, we have a change of character here, which means that this should go up, okay? Um but what we're seeing here is, again,
[22:48] having, market is dropping. I should normally expect price to from this region here, to from this region here, like from this region,
[23:08] But why I'm actually really bearish on crypto is just because of the the the macroeconomics analysis that just came out. out. Okay?
[23:30] 1-hour time frame, uh what do we have for Solana? for Solana? I'm actually going to go lower to the um what do you call it? to the
[23:43] to the 15 minutes first. Over here, we have the same thing, a break of structure on the higher time frame, this one.
[24:03] you can see that this demand zone over here, this should be like a 1-hour demand zone, 1-hour supply zone, rather. We've actually tapped into this zone. If I still go ahead and pull a Fibonacci
[24:17] from here, from this top here, you will see that we are clearly in the golden zone as well. So, when I went down to the 5-minute time frame, there is actually a
[24:30] confirmation entry here. So, we had this confirmation entry. We have um this is a is actually double structure here.
[24:52] This is also another break of structure here. And over here we have this we have this change of character from this one.
[25:08] internal. And this also
[25:27] And this also becomes a record structure here. a record structure here. Okay? So, based on this my bet is that we once we get back to the 62
[25:45] we should have we should go down from here. Uh okay. Maybe I could adjust this to this okay. Maybe I could adjust this to this way.
[25:59] So, if you're taking both the Bitcoin and and the Solana, you might want to split your position. Split your position in the sense that um if you are say you're risking a $50 for this particular or $100. You might
[26:13] want to split it and risk 50/50 for this trade. Um so, you don't get overexposed in case this didn't go the right way we expected it to go. So, from here we're almost entering. I'm almost going in. Entry is
[26:29] um 85.37. Stop loss Stop loss 85.96.
[26:44] Stop loss is 85.96. Uh my take profit take profit is 83.4. It's This is short position.
[26:58] So, this is my set up for Bitcoin. I should be into this trade right now.
[27:11] to check. Let me check.
[27:59] um entry for me for This is my set up for Bitcoin. I say this is is B set up because of this supply um demand zone we have here. Ethereum,
[28:13] I'm waiting for further confirmation on Ethereum before I could consider taking set up I have for Solana. Let's have a very for Solana. Let's have a very um profitable trading um week.
[28:27] I will see you guys on Monday again. I have a video coming up this week. It's video. So, make sure you watch for it. I further explain this confirmation entries on the on the 1-minute and also
[28:40] entries on the on the 1-minute and also on the 5-minutes time frame. Again, um one way to minimize um to minimize the your stop loss getting hit is just wait for this confirmation entries.
[28:59] question. Is there any question? The the our iPhone trading challenge is If you have not joined, you want to join, you could be the winner of this particular iPhone. Just go to um afb.com. You could go to
[29:16] channel. Is the link is in the description. When you get there, you see a pinned message that leads you to the challenge. That is just You just simply enter your UID and trade normally.
[29:29] At the end, you might actually be the winner of the iPhone. If you don't win the iPhone, there's also a second place prize and a third place prize. The AFB, the
[29:43] the um copy me app, where you actually copy my trades and where you actually copy my trades and the trades of better traders, is being tested right now. Once the test is done and everything is good, we should
[29:56] be launching. So, we're hoping to launch by end of June. So, um join the wait list if you have not. So, guys, let's have a very lovely trading uh week.
[30:09] uh week. Bye, everyone.