[00:04] here we are going to be doing some live streaming today on stake going to be playing some Plinko right now I have a balance of $1,500 in my stank account
[00:16] I'm going to try to riffle through this entire balance twice so I'm going to be entire balance twice so I'm going to be doing I think $500 at a time uh $1 balls each ball has the opportunity to win 1,000x I've done a couple of
[00:30] 1,000x I've done a couple of calculations regarding Plinko um this is what I found the expected loss for almost every combination that they have in Plinko is going to be about 1% uh that's including the high risk medium
[00:44] risk and low risk uh this is what that distribution looks like red being high risk yellow being medium risk and green being low risk so there are several different configurations that you can play you can change the risk level I've
[00:59] levels you can change also the number of rows uh the lowest being eight that means one row here third fourth fifth 6th 7th and eighth row but we are going
[01:11] 6th 7th and eighth row but we are going to be playing with 16 rows that offers the biggest variance uh we are going to be playing high risk as you can see we're playing high risk with the potential of winning
[01:24] 1,000x if we go to low risk uh it's only 16x being the top here of course with low risk you also have more opportunities to win here you only have one slot that actually loses money that Center slot the slot one slot next
[01:42] to that Center slot you break even so whatever you bet you make that money back U if we look at high you see that the inner five slices
[01:55] you lose 80% of your money and that is going to happen I believe around 60% of the time let's see if we go back to this chart if you add up all these probabilities here you're going to come up with oh wow okay it's actually
[02:12] 79% so 80% of the time you're going to lose 80% of your money but you're going to make it back on these outer tiers so if you haven't signed up for stake online you can go ahead and do that sign up for stake. us if you're in the US
[02:26] sign up for stake.com or whatever the TLD that course responds with your country is use the welcome code Jack Ace that'll make you eligible for promotions that I'm going to be doing hopefully as we get more users signed up through me
[02:40] and then also everyone is eligible for rakeback basically you earn money based on how much you play so let's go ahead get started I'm going to be doing I think I'm going to be doing $1 balls and I'm going to be doing blocks of about
[02:54] I'm going to be doing blocks of about 500 at a time so let's see let's get started I'm gonna try to do about 500 at a time you can see there's a steady stream
[03:10] time you can see there's a steady stream of uh losses down there I don't know if we're going to hit the 130 multiplier we probably will not hit the Thousand
[03:25] bet $195 and lost 63 that's pretty bad I expect to lose maybe about 10% of the money that I gamble money that I gamble with it's only when you hit those outer
[03:48] two slots that you start to approach that 1% house
[04:00] wow we hit oh what' we hit we hit the 130 awesome I haven't hit that before I've been playing this for the gold coins for quite a while and have yet to hit the 130 that's my first time hitting the 130 that's awesome so I'm actually
[04:15] up now gambled about $370 uh let's continue
[04:37] so we're going to stop at around 500 where we're
[04:49] at yeah that's 5 so just a little bit over 500 there folks and we are down $23 over 500 there folks and we are down $23 $24 that's about 5% not doing too bad $24 that's about 5% not doing too bad that 130 hit was uh unexpected surprise
[05:01] yeah it is an RNG determining where the balls land I don't think physics is balls land I don't think physics is involved at all uh I think once you it's going to go in and it plays an animation of it hitting that slot so um
[05:16] here we go here's the next thousand or actually where we're at after that uh we're currently down a little bit over 10% um just going to much as many balls as I can try to hit that 130 try to hit
[05:40] this uh I will make it available I I'll have screenshots available on my site jack.com pretty soon and if you join my patreon I will have the spreadsheet available the spreadsheet also includes the graphs
[05:55] these graphs this shows you the distribution and and how much of it is responsible for your overall expected value if you look at the expected value value if you look at the expected value for all three risk levels for the 16
[06:09] row configuration of Plinko they're all around 99% you're going to receive 99% of the money back at you gamble on
[06:21] average uh but obviously with the highrisk you highrisk you have the possibility of winning 1,000x um with the low risk you only have the possibility of wi oh I hit another 130
[06:34] Dam awesome yeah I'm not recommending Plinko at all but uh just wanted to show you some of the statistics that I've generated regarding this game this is a negative expectation game but we're just hoping to get lucky
[06:48] game but we're just hoping to get lucky here up every time we hit that 130 we end up being positive so that's
[07:03] good so that's about 1500 there guys after 1500 we're still up we're up three bucks not too bad but I think at the end of this I'll probably be down
[07:15] around 5% I've hit that 130 twice so that's going to help out a lot if I hit the 1,000 if you look at the graph or if you look at the chart on the left hand side you'll see you'll hit that 1,000x every
[07:31] you'll see you'll hit that 1,000x every 67,000 drops so we're only going to be doing 3,000 so probably won't be hitting it very unlikely we're going to hit it it very unlikely we're going to hit it but you know there's always
[07:51] that's pretty awesome I haven't hit and I've been playing a lot in preparation for this live stream I've been testing things out playing for the gold coins things out playing for the gold coins okay I think we're at almost 2,000
[08:08] 2,000 again after 2,000 uh we're still up that's pretty incredible Brett says he liked my follow NACI video for roulette yeah um not just these live streams but check out my other edited videos on my
[08:24] site if you're on Twitch I'm also on YouTube I have a lot of produced videos that I do where I evaluate roulette systems so yeah guys check them out check it out chat we have gone through $2,000 I was expecting this to take a
[08:38] lot longer um I'm going to try to go to around 3,000 we're going to try to hit that 1,000x uh I'm very hopeful but you know like I said 3,000 spins is likely we're make a dent in this one in 67,000 chance of hitting that 1,000x
[09:00] so and I think at least twice the ball just launched wa whoo we hit the just launched wa whoo we hit the th000 dude dude we hit the Thousand man holy [ __ ] look at that yeah just like I said like when
[09:13] I've seen it happen it just launches way off to the side holy smokes that was incredible look at that guys look at that we hit the th000 X guys whoa what the Yeah if you guys haven't had a chance to sign up you guys should sign
[09:26] up for stake. us use my signup code Jack Ace uh if you're not in the US you can sign up at stake.com just use my sign up code Jack Ace you'll be eligible for Rick back and we'll be doing some promotions hopefully later next month
[09:40] thanks guys for showing up really appreciate it always gamble responsibly appreciate it always gamble responsibly and peace out donkeys