[00:00] This is my September just looking at player props. I'm up over $6,500, a 13% ROI, and a large piece of this money came from one specific strategy, attacking Ajdian's sharp money tool.
[00:13] In this video, I'll show you exactly how the tool works, how I read the tool, which plays I attack, and which ones I pass on. Let's get into it. The sharp money tool tracks sharp bettors on Novig and ProfitX. These are two prediction markets where there's no limit to how much you can trade or earn on these platforms.
[00:30] So take a look at this right. Prop Seek Z tweeted this one out on F. This is Christopher Sanchez under 6.5 strikeouts on Fandle at minus 132 odds. So let's break this down because this point is legitimately insane.
[00:45] This is game two of the wild card series between the Phillies and the Braves. And as you can see right here, someone has posted over $160,000 on NoVid. And they're offering you and me to bet the over 6.5 strikeout.
[01:00] Which means they want the opposite side. They want the under. So if they're offering us to bet the over at plus $135, that means they want the under at minus $135. Or as you can see on this board, Vandal's giving us the best price at minus $132.
[01:14] And then another book, Bovada, is offering us at minus $135. Now pay attention to the top left-hand corner here, the 1,000-P limit. This is Pinnacle's limit on this player prop. They're only taking $1,000 on the under.
[01:28] But there's someone on No Big that's offering over $116,000. So in terms of confidence or conviction, it's fairly safe to say that this individual really liked the under. And guess what happened?
[01:41] Sanchez got exactly six strikeouts and is under cash. Rule number one of the sharp money pool. We want to know what pinnacle, circle, or better line. What's the sharp book's limit? And then we want at least a 3x multiplier or higher.
[01:54] So in the Sanchez example, well, this is 162x multiplier because pinnacle's taking $1,000, and we have $162,000 in it, right? So we want at least a pinnacle or circle showing limit on a player cross We want at least or more The higher that the number is being posted by the sharp better than no big
[02:13] profit action, the more confidence or conviction I have in the play. But we're not going to bet the mortgage on this play. We're going to still stick to a 1-3% unit size here. Figure out what your bank role is. Then times that
[02:25] by .01. That's 1% of your bank role. That's one unit. So the most you'll ever put down on these plays is 3%. If you're doing anything more than that, then you're just truly gambling on one play, right? While Sanchez in this play hits,
[02:39] we don't want to put 40 or 50 percent of our bankroll down on one play. Rule number two is timing. I would prefer to attack these plays two hours or less before the game starts, because if we see someone that's posted this much for free, like on Sanchez, and it's 45 minutes before first
[02:56] pitch, that provides me even more confidence on this play. But if you're looking at the sharp money pool at, say, 8 a.m., and we're being recommended to take a play that's maybe not starting until 7 p.m. Eastern time, there's a large gap in terms of time.
[03:11] So the closer that we get to tip, first pitch, or kickoff, that's when I have the most confidence in play. Rule number three is we're still staying price sensitive. I'm not just taking this play on any single price. So the idea here is look at what the sharp bet is posting.
[03:25] What's that price? We will go five cents above that play. So when this fan changes here, the sharp better clearly wants to play at minus 135. I would be willing to go up to minus 140. I'm not taking this at minus 170 or even at minus 155.
[03:40] But at minus 135, which is what the sharp better wants, I'll move five cents above that price and still grab it. Let's go through some examples in the sharp money tool. And this works for DFS, like better price picks or underdogs.
[03:52] It also works just for Vandal, DraftKings, Caesars, and GM. Here we go. It's funny, great. Again, you can see, Pinnacle's limit, $1,000. Somebody wants this play at minus 125 odds, because they're offering us to bet the over.
[04:05] So they want the under 5 and obviously this tool is just showing us the best price based off the sports books that you have a counselor Again sign up with as many books as you can because the more books that you have a counselor the more profitable opportunities that you have So we being recommended to bet this one better This individual put up They want this at minus Pinnacle only taking So number one here our first check is that this is a 12x multiplier by this individual alone This person wants it at minus Clearly they just penny jumping here So we got roughly between minus to minus
[04:41] five. We want the under five and a half. Now, when we're using this pool, guys, I'm ignoring the sharp sports books. Like, I'm not really paying attention to pinnacles or circus price because they have lower limits on these player spots. I will bet into the sharp books if
[04:56] the price is right. So, that means right here, I'd be willing to go up to minus 130 or minus 127. I can go grab this at candle. I can bet this at no big. I even take this at the score. DraftKings, it's a close call.
[05:09] Maybe you could go ahead and grab it there. Caesars, Hard Rock, a lot of options here when it comes to these books on this play. So I could go bet this at the rec book. I could also go throw this on my slip over on better. You can see same rules apply here.
[05:22] The play is being recommended for us on DraftKings, Splash Sports, and so on. This play right here in match three, under 5.5Ks. This one is a, I would bet this, it's very close to a 3X multiplier, 2.7X.
[05:34] Again, somebody wants this at minus 122 odds for $2,300. Somebody wants it at minus 117 and for $1,500. So this is a play I'd definitely throw on my better slip. Now, again, five cents above this is minus 127.
[05:47] Well, again, I can take this over at Fandle. Minus 128 is sent off. That's fine. Okay, but listen, no big. Draft came. You can grab this here at minus 125, which is a really good price. So I do leave a bit of wiggle room here, guys.
[06:00] This one is a maybe play. But between the Sonny Gray play and the Max Free play, I have a lot more confidence in the Sonny Gray play. Now, these other plays that we scroll down, if I don't see a sharp sportsbook limit on this,
[06:12] I don't have as much confidence in the play, right? None of these plays are showing a limit. You see Trent Christian here. There is a limit being shown in terms of him hitting the home run To be honest I don really like this right Pinnacle taking almost There only here This is a pass for me So any of these plays down here automatic passes
[06:30] So when you come over here to the filter section, there's a few things that you can do. You can just come over to the liquidity. You can type in a minimum liquidity, right? Like for these plays, we get to type in $2,000. That pretty much is going to exclude any of those plays that show
[06:43] below next seven days player props the last thing you could do if you're really sensitive about your minimum maximum odds you could do that here or also just the sports books that you have accounts
[06:55] with you can select those here as well if you want to try to short money to one week for free and then save 35% of your first month after the trial ends use code billy35 it'll be linked in the description below you can see here that the liquidity on free just jumped up a bit so this
[07:07] now meets my threshold but for those of you that don't like maybe the 3x minimum you can jump this up to 5, 6, 7x, right? You're going to have less plays on this tool, but you're also going to have more confidence or conviction when you do place those bets on those. So over here on the handle,
[07:21] I have the sunny gray, under 5.5 strikeouts, pulled up at minus 130 odds. This is 5 cents above the price that we saw on the sharp money tool. I'm going to go ahead and wager $250 right here, lock in great value thanks to the sharp money tool. Again, I'm throwing this in my bet
[07:34] tracker. All I'm going to do is just simply change the book, change the price, and change in what I'm going to put down for my wager size, click track, and now everything's in one convenient location with odds hands free.
[07:46] So that's the strategy. Look for crazy liquidity being posted by sharp bettors on no big and profit. Take a look at the sharp books limit. If it's 3x or higher, you're good to go. Skip out all the small stuff that doesn't make the cut there.
[07:59] Make sure that you still stay price sensitive with this strategy. Five cents is the max that we'll go from. So look at where the sharp bettor price wants it at. Move five cents above that. That's your limit. And then finally, make sure that you're only targeting this tool two hours or less before the game starts.
[08:15] The closer that we get to the start of the game, the more confidence we have in the play. Our jam's newest tool, the parlay tool, is here. And I tested it out to see if it's even worth your time. Because it's going to give you a bunch of different parlays. But are these parlays actually plus EV?
[08:28] Or are they a bunch of garbage? Click this video on the screen, and I'll see you in the next one.