[00:17] Happy uh happy Wednesday. I guess I guess it's happy Wednesday.
[00:35] I don't know. Let's see why. Come on, Twitch. [snorts] Yo, what's up, guys? How's everyone doing? Happy Wednesday. Goat money man doing? Happy Wednesday. Goat money man Monahan. Good afternoon. Let's cash.
[00:49] So, let's get to it. How does that sound? That sound like a good plan. What book do you guys want to start out on? Pick six. What do we want to do, boys? What do we want to do? Also, join the SVA Discord.
[01:05] I've said this before, but like when I'm too lazy to stream, I literally hammer out plays in there. So, definitely join the Discord. Daddy Alex. Okay, let's maybe don't call me that. [ __ ] Daddy Alex, bro. Let's see what we got going
[01:23] on, though. So, I already used this promo. So, they have a Brock Bowers gimme pick. They have a 30% League of Legends boost. Anyways, I'm just going to start firing. Tail what you want to tail. Oh [ __ ] Oh, baby. I guess we're
[01:36] tail. Oh [ __ ] Oh, baby. I guess we're starting out with college football. Okay. Okay. So, the first play I'm going to go with, this is on Rebet. Rebet is a sports book legal in nearly all states,
[01:48] is the under in the Toledo game. Shut the [ __ ] up, Facebook Dan. Dude, it is dealing with you yelling at me for not doing hard rock. Um, where is this? Toledo game under 42
[02:02] half. This is the first play I'm going to get locked in on rebet. So, [ __ ] yeah. We already gotten one good play. This is rebet. Some of you guys in the chat were asking for rebet. Dan, there's other people
[02:16] aside from you. Oh [ __ ] You can actually get this at better odds. You can get this at minus 110 on Hard Rock. So, it's even better on Hard Rock. Unfortunately, I'm not in a state. Dan, bet this on Hard Rock. Um,
[02:28] unfortunately, I'm not in a state where Hard Rock is legal right now. But regardless, Novig, which is a really smart, a really sharp book, is crossed or arbitrage with both Hard Rock and Rebet. [snorts]
[02:42] they'll take more. Maybe they'll take more. Maybe they'll take more. They will take more. under 42 half Toledo versus Northern Illinois Huskies. [snorts] Two two schools I've never heard of. But anyways, whenever arbitrage exists, so
[02:57] this is arbitrage. You can get the over at plus 116 on Novig. A super sharp book with trading firms setting their odds. You know, Hard Rock is crossed arbitrage with Novig. So you could bet the over on Novig, under on Hard Rock guarantee a
[03:13] risk-free profit. So, we know by definition one of these two bets has to be profitable. The over or the under. Hard Rock is the super stupid sports book. Same thing with Rebet. So, that's the play you want to be on. [snorts]
[03:26] the play you want to be on. [snorts] 2.6K in liquidity crossed. Higher your edge. But, let's see what else we can get going on. Dude, that play on BAM, I got him under 24, which was crazy. But anyways, let's start getting
[03:39] in some slips. I know some of you guys are going to be upset with me like, "Yo, dude, this game's not till Saturday. Chill the [ __ ] out." You know, like, or actually, it doesn't even matter. They bumped they bumped him. Josh Allen.
[03:55] We're doing a prize pick play first. Great breakdown, Alex. Thank you. We Great breakdown, Alex. Thank you. We need some Fliff, G. Uh, I don't see much value on Fliff, to be honest.
[04:09] to be honest. Eh, I guess I I lied. Kent State, dude, literally every day of the week. Obviously, no NFL today, unfortunately. What's the Thursday night game? Raider, bro. Absolute snoozefest.
[04:26] Um, anyways, I'm locking in this play. I'll give you guys a sec to bet it. This book, uh, Fliff, unfortunately, they've started to bump lines a little bit quicker. So, when we're all trying to rip lines together at the same time,
[04:39] just one massive line, we're all trying to rip it as hard as possible. And they already bumped it. Like, what is going on, man?
[04:52] Pick six when you can, please. I love riding dudes because of with you. Sorry, that was because of me, Auto Flipper. Well, thanks, Auto Flipper, for getting the line bumped on us. Um,
[05:13] prize picks? What do you guys want? You guys want to ride five dudes or you guys want to ride six dudes? How many dudes you guys want to ride tonight? So, the [ __ ] [snorts] Ah, that was my charger. Anyways, that's
[05:25] okay. Build the slip. First play we're going to go with NBA play. This play's going to go with NBA play. This play's crazy, dude. Kyle Filipowski. He's the white NBA player. There's not many of them. So, you know. Oh, shoot.
[05:40] Dude, this play on BAM. I mean, it got bumped from 24, but it's still crazy good, dude. Under 23 and a half pas. So, again, Prize Pix is a fixed payout sports book. I know all you probably already know that you take BAM over
[05:54] under, you get the same payout. Well, his over is a plus 133 underdog. actually plus 134 but only a little bit of liquidity. Plus 133 there's a lot
[06:06] more and then plus 131. So NOVIG is basically telling you these market makers who are setting the odds offering liquidity on these peer-to-peer betting exchanges trading firms like Citadel Securities. They're saying, "Hey, BAM's
[06:19] over is a big underdog. So we want to be on the under. Prize picks for a on the under. Prize picks for a threeman. We're getting minus 122 odds." Oh, Duncan Robinson, you sexy little white boy. All right, final play is
[06:33] going to be Duncan Robinson. I kind of miss seeing him in a Heat jersey. Now he he he got sent to Where is this? Duncan Robinson over one and a half assists. Robinson over one and a half assists. Where the [ __ ] is this, dude?
[06:46] sec. I'm trying to finish this slip. I got two plays so far in this prize pick slip. I really like both of them. Kyle Filipowski, super heavy liquidity. His over is plus 132. Market makers, that's where they're offering it, which means
[07:01] where they're offering it, which means they want to bet his under at minus 132. Cooper flag under six and a half rebounds. Boys, do we like fading the rookie? Yes, we do. Three picks. Three picks. Three picks. Three picks. Three
[07:14] picks. I'm running a threeman. Threeman. Let me know in the chat what other books I'm getting locked in. I got to plug in my computer.
[07:37] in as quick as you can. Three pick entry [snorts] on prize picks. It's beautiful. You guys like it? Yo, somebody put the link in the chat. Someone put the link in the chat.
[07:55] Yo, pick six, please. I'll take a look at pick six. I'm obviously, you know, never gonna force a bet if there's no value, but we can see. value, but we can see. We'll see, right? Okay. So, Philipowski
[08:09] betting the unders, man? There's never good spots, I feel. Well, usually the value's on the under because most of the square degenerates, which is basically everybody who's not in this live stream, um, they just bet overs, dude. There are
[08:24] a lot of people who have never bet on an under in their life. I look at some of under in their life. I look at some of these accounts. It's literally insane. People just don't bet on unders. Um, anyways, I promised I would do some
[08:37] other sports books. We could do better. We could do Dabble. We could do DraftKings pick six. Although DraftKings pick six, it just doesn't seem like there's as much value right now. Granted,
[08:51] maybe I'm lying. Eh, nothing crazy. I'm going to live stream a few times today because we have a really good NBA slate tonight. How many NBA games we got? One, two, three, four. Yeah, I mean, we got 11 games, but
[09:07] I'm never going to force a bet, obviously. So, we'll hold off now and we'll try to focus on the hot girl at the bar. As a sports better, you always the bar. As a sports better, you always stalk the hot girl at the bar. Why?
[09:20] Never know which book is going to be [ __ ] up their lines on a given day. we're going to go with. So, this is the line that unfortunately before we could snort it, [snorts] it got bumped on um uh it got bumped on uh prize picks. Josh
[09:35] uh it got bumped on uh prize picks. Josh Allen under 22 and a half pas or sorry passing completions. His over is literally offered at + 141. He is a right market makers are offering his over at plus 141. That's crazy. I
[09:51] know games not today. Alex, why don't you do games today? I don't know. Why you do games today? I don't know. Why don't you find your own bets, bro? Um, going to be a cross market. It's actually just going to be a line
[10:04] actually just going to be a line discrepancy. Julian Seai under 310 half. discrepancy. Julian Seai under 310 half. I hate the name Julian. Um, under 310 half passing yards. Every other book has his line at 293 half. Sell the stock at
[10:18] his line at 293 half. Sell the stock at 293 half if it's trading in the market or sorry, sell the stock at 310 half if it's trading in the market at 293. But Dabble is popping right now. This is literally insane. So we have Isaiah
[10:33] Hartinstein over in PAS. That's another cross market. Again, crossed markets are the preferred bet type because you just have an extremely high confidence in your edge whenever there's arbitrage. You know, by definition, one of the two
[10:47] plays has to be plus EV. Please allow location access. Bro, what the [ __ ] Okay, I got it locked in. Again, I am max limited on Dabble. [snorts] Um, I think it's I truly believe it's, you know, probably the easiest sports book
[11:02] in the world to beat and make a [ __ ] ton of money on, but uh they have cut down my bet sizes. Yo, 79 people have already tailed. You can tail directly from the app. What is the best shield available right now?
[11:18] Alex, you're my favorite white. Alex, why don't you stream Runescape? Dylan Gunther shot on goal shield. So, let's see this. So what we can do is let's replace Dylan Gunther shot on goal. So this is
[11:32] what's crazy is Dabble has shields that shift. That doesn't work. Nick Schmaltz's point, dude. It's sad that I know these hockey players names. I knew this guy's name was Nick. It's [ __ ]
[11:46] this guy's name was Nick. It's [ __ ] up. They had a payout shift. This stream [ __ ] Let's [ __ ] go. I have no idea what that means, but anyways, if you're limited on Dabble, the one I guess bright spot [gasps] is
[12:01] you can literally just replace one of the picks with another plus EV pick on Dabble. Three pick entries are mathematically optimal. Three or five pick, but you know, three picks, it's like, why not just run three if it's the
[12:14] same thing? It's not like underdog. On underdog, six mans are mathematically optimal. Again, I literally have done videos on all this [ __ ] entries. You're essentially they're just charging you minus 116 juice. So any bet
[12:31] you place, you should just assume that you are getting minus 116 odds. dude. These Bucks are so stupid. [laughter]
[12:44] We could try to do an underdog play. DraftKings pick six. I know you guys are getting on your knees begging for it, but there's just not as much value right now. [snorts] We could try to rip an underdog play.
[13:03] Again, the only problem with underdog is it kind of pisses me off cuz you're trying to do I mean, I try to do a six-man, then they bump half the [ __ ] I want to bet. Should we try to do an underdog play,
[13:16] guys, or should we just skip it today? Yes. Yes. Yes. Yes. Everyone's saying Yes. Yes. Yes. Yes. Everyone's saying yes. Okay. Well, uh, I'm glad I asked. Stephen Castle. [snorts] I love his last name. Stephven Castle.
[13:31] Why do I have such a shitty last name, bro? Monahan. It does sound like money hands, which is a very accurate description of me, but um just not not as sick as castle. Yo, so I got two picks so far. Again, underdog minus 116.
[13:49] That is the price they are charging you for any bet in a six pick entry. For three pick entries, it's minus 122, which is why it's important to know the optimal slip type on [snorts] all of these platforms,
[14:03] dude. So, we want to be on Aaron Wiggins. Nope, that's not the Wiggins I want to take. Where is Aaron Wiggins? Where is Aaron Wiggins? What are you doing, dude? Where is Aaron Wiggins, man?
[14:19] Aaron Wiggins. Okay, so now he's here. I guess I just had to refresh. So, we're going to want to run a flex play, a six pick flex play. Aaron Wiggins has unders offered at plus 130. Dabble is once again a fixed payout sports book. You
[14:34] take is over. You take is under. You are getting the same payout regardless. Cad's under. I don't have a problem with that. [snorts] but I'm dead straight serious. You guys better be ready to tail because they
[14:48] bump things faster than a whip. So, we have Bo Nicks to not throw an interception. Broncos kind of fell off, but I don't mind this against the Raiders, too. The Raiders suck at a Thursday night football play locked in.
[15:02] Why not? Sam Hower against the Wizards. The Wizards have no defense. Although Stephen A. Smith was saying on his show he does think the Wizards can make a title run if they just figure out some things within, you know, maybe the first
[15:15] obviously from Virginia, so I'm a pretty big Wizards fan, so I'm pretty excited about that. Um Stephen A. Smith was also saying even though Jaden's injured, you know, almost certainly the Washington Commanders are
[15:30] still going to win the NFC East because the rest of the division is just extremely weak. The Eagles look horrible. I mean, they can barely win a game. What did they bump? Damn. So, they bumped one play. They bumped Wiggins,
[15:43] but we still have five very good picks. Obviously, I don't want to pair under. That doesn't make any sense. So, we can run Cooper Flag. be [snorts] very
[16:00] five more seconds to get this locked in. Underdog, I'm trying to go through plays as fast as possible, but it's crazy, man. These books be bumping [ __ ] man. These books be bumping [ __ ] Unfortunately,
[16:21] haven't bumped it. [snorts] They didn't steal our lines today, dude. I hate when people try to steal our lines. We're all trying to take these lines together. They just like come in and they rip them away. They, you know,
[16:34] they reduce your line. They bump your line before you're able to bump your line before you're able to bump your line. It's crazy. You know what I mean? The world is a crazy place. What do we like? Hey, why is there no DraftKings PX
[16:49] value? Why is there no DraftKings PX value? Again, I'm currently not in a state where uh FanDuel where uh FanDuel or honestly any book is legal. So, that
[17:03] obviously kind of sucks, but now we have some pick six value coming up. If you wanted a FanDuel play, the best play currently available is Eigor under N and currently available is Eigor under N and a half PRs.
[17:15] There's a lot of crossed markets. Marcus Mariota to score a touchdown plus 600 on FanDuel. That's crazy early value for this weekend. Plus 600's crazy. I mean, you can see here, you don't just have to look at the
[17:29] fact that this is crossed or arbitrageed with Novig, an extremely sharp book. You these other sports books, they all have Mariota priced around like plus 300. You're getting double the odds. Typically getting double the odds, you
[17:44] unsurprisingly. But let's see what these pick six plays are. Cade Cunningham. [ __ ] Cade. Let's fade. [snorts] You guys like fading Cade tonight.
[17:57] You guys like fading Cade tonight. Cade Cunningham. Under and PAS better, bro. Please. Alex, I caught my grandma on Novig. What do I do with her? Bro, if your grandma's on Novig, send her ass to Citadel
[18:10] Securities, bro. She will be their next hire. Cade Cunningham under the Dude, I am all over Claxton tonight. Do you guys trust Claxton?
[18:24] points plus rebounds. Oh boy. Cross market bats again. You have the highest confidence in your edge. So, you can see Cad's over is offered. Yo,
[18:37] Yo, I kind of [ __ ] with this Dvenenzo under
[18:52] I'm thinking what do I want to go with as my final slip or sorry final pick. as my final slip or sorry final pick. Aaron Gordon under in PRs. Aaron Gordon under in PRs. PJ Washington over in Pas. Every other
[19:05] DFS book has his line a full point higher. Demar D Rozan under 32 and a higher. Demar D Rozan under 32 and a half. Pas. Yep. I'm fading Demar. I don't even care. I love this. I love riding these
[19:21] dudes, bro. I just throw them all together and we just ride. Cad's overs offered all the way up at plus 127 plus 126. This is absolutely
[19:34] plus 127 plus 126. This is absolutely beautiful. Also looks great to FanDuel. How much will you let me bet? Give me 5K. Demar De Rozan minus 158 favorites go under. Every other book has his under as a massive favorite.
[19:48] Why you only give me 2750? You [ __ ] cheap [ __ ] Anyways, it's better than dabble. I guess here's the play. Three man. Run it. Ain't nobody like Cade.
[20:07] You guys like it? Do you guys like that play? Three pick entry. Again, they have a profit boost promo. I already ran it with an NHL slip, but if you haven't already run the promo, you could run the promo. Dude, why? Why, man?
[20:23] Why the Airbnb do I get? I got these naked ass [ __ ] on the wall behind me. It makes me look like a creep, dude. I did not put those up. To be clear, I did not put those up, you know. I did not put up that. Just so we're dead straight
[20:38] put up that. Just so we're dead straight and dead clear. Shout out Alex for real. I need better real bad.
[20:51] Underdog slip. I think the Jazz could win tonight. Why not the Dancenzo play? win tonight. Why not the Dancenzo play? because I like the Demar play better.
[21:04] for better again. Better is Jake Paul's DFS app. I'll give you guys a slip real quick. Sounds like people are down to ride some Sounds like people are down to ride some more dudes.
[21:18] Dude, we have been hot on better. So, first play we're going to go with is Josh Jacobs. I call him handsome little boy Josh. We have Josh Jacobs under 18 and a half rushing attempts. His over is a big underdog. So, we have some early
[21:33] value. Bro, why do I have so much money on Nick Claxton? Why am I betting so much money on Nick Claxton? Why? Why am I doing it to myself? How much do you guys trust Claxton? He has gone over the past three games.
[21:50] He has gone over the past three games. any sick line discrepancies to look at? It looks like there's some lineup news in this um Thunder game.
[22:09] Alpin Sangune over nine rebounds. Yo, you guys like Sangune tonight? Oh [ __ ] Never mind. What the [ __ ]
[22:28] You could also replace with Pritchard, but regardless. Yo, this uh Wiggins play again, we missed it on pick six. They bumped it. Or sorry, maybe that was on Dabble. I don't even remember. Wiggins over 14 half is crazy good. I mean, his
[22:42] under is literally a plus 140 underdog. You have to remember there are literally You have to remember there are literally like, you know, 50,000 lines up on each of these sports books at any given moment. We're just trying to zone in on
[22:55] the three picks on better that have the highest edge. They have like 10,000 lines up, 15,000, whatever. You don't need a bet on every player. You're need a bet on every player. You're looking for the needle in the hay stack.
[23:08] It's just like getting married. I mean, a lot of you guys are in high school. especially in the Twitch chat. Everybody is in high school in there. You guys have a lot of life to go through. You know, you don't need 40 girlfriends. You
[23:22] just need to zone in on the three dudes you want to ride hardest that are a little life advice for you. You know, [snorts] you're looking for the needle in the hasttock. So, that Wiggins plays crazy.
[23:36] I'm in love with it. Um, what else do we want to do? Dabble, flat. Oh, Drummond over six and a half points. You
[23:51] guys like Oh, Drummond points tonight. Do we like it? Again, the NBA, in my opinion, probably the best sport to bet on just because there's so much line movement. Yo, I'm playing it Drummond over in
[24:05] points plus 105. It is crossed. It is arbitrage. Therefore, by definition, one of the two bets has to be plus EV. Check it out. Where are you, handsome fella? It's very simple logic. You have a very stupid, easy to beat sports book. Fliff
[24:21] is arbitrage. You can get his over and his under at plus money. Flip a very soft, easily beatable book, is arbitrage with profitex, a very sharp book. So, with profitex, a very sharp book. So, the value is going to be there.
[24:34] You shooting a stepdad scene in that room. Yo, again, man. Again, I'm being room. Yo, again, man. Again, I'm being very clear here. I did not put this up, okay? I did not put this up. This is how it came. I did not put up these naked
[24:50] girls on the wall. OKAY? I DIDN'T PUT THEM UP. It came like this. I'm just choosing to not take them down. You see, there's a difference. [snorts] Anyways, let's go. Dabble.
[25:05] Okay. So, Dabble is the hot girl at the bar. So, we have Kyle Mongani. Dude, I have no idea who any of these guys are. Who the [ __ ] is Kyle Mongani? I thought this guy was a college player to score a touchdown. I mean, his over is massively
[25:20] favored. You don't just have to look at Novig, THE EXTREMELY SHARP PEER-TO-PEER betting exchange. You can also look at these other sports books, dude. Like, every sports book has them as like a minus 200 favorite.
[25:34] Like every sports book has him as like a minus 200 favorite. You can see that right here. Every sports book has them as like a minus 200 favorite to score a touchdown. Granted, there are a lot of one-way markets in there. So, a lot of
[25:48] times these books are kind of juicing the [ __ ] out of their one-way markets. Rip some lines. So, again, on Dabble, you can copy my plays directly from the app. Maybe we try to do a fiveman as well. Alex, what is a fiveman? Great,
[26:02] school kids in the chat who can't put it together. You guys have no math skills. It's literally embarrassing. I literally have to be your dad. Um, five mans are also solid.
[26:28] shields. I'm too lazy right now. Um, I need to walk to Starbucks. I've only I need to walk to Starbucks. I've only had two cups of coffee today.