[00:01] In less than 10 months, a few could sow the seeds that would But let me explain it to you because I said it like this, oh, what a snake oil salesman, going to give you a technical overview, okay? So that you can better understand what I mean [00:15] . The vast majority of cryptocurrencies that have led the upward movements cryptocurrency ecosystem are currently attacking key price levels that, if lost, would confirm larger-degree reversal structures. I've been [00:28] mid-November of last year about the head-to-shoulder pattern of Bitcoin that projects it to lose the base in April of 2025 at price levels close to $44,000. Something that , although I understand that it [00:41] might shock many people, right? That's impossible. If someone in the previous cycle, when Bitcoin was above $50,000, had been told, said yes? No, that's where the real opportunity lies. In those [00:54] but which, if you simply consider them at a technical and probable scenario, well, if it happens, that's where the seed is really sown, and that's what I , right? As I mentioned, Bitcoin could very well approach [01:08] levels of $44,000 and this structure could ultimately be executed, which would only lead to a 50% correction of the entire previous bullish cycle . From those areas, the normal thing would be to generate a [01:20] sideways movement of 5 or 7 months, where we would see the big players accumulate again before launching a new cycle that might take it close to levels of $200,000 by 2028. But you know what, [01:34] if you go to Sol Solana, what do you see , the same thing, man? In other words, probability, right?, which will be confirmed when the base of this channel is broken, but there are certain signs that lead me to suggest that a breakout from the [01:46] upper end. Because? Because we've seen a failed attack on the 2021 highs. Attack, breakout, all-time highs, and then down. It sounds familiar, right? And all this is happening after a rise from the lows of the previous cycle of 3500%. [02:03] Obviously, the reversal pattern, if confirmed, will be confirmed when Solana falls below $110. In other words, we can already have a good year in 2026 so that it does n't fall more than 15% from these levels. If that happens, I'd easily put it [02:16] below $50. And you tell me if it's a good opportunity. But if you go to XRP, the same thing happens. XRP has a textbook double top, although I based on Elliott Wave theory as a clear impulsive upward movement [02:30] in five waves and we will soon see a correction proportional to the dollar, I'll probably become interested in this asset again in the long term, right? And when it loses the 1.7% level, [02:44] we could see a major collapse of this cryptocurrency, because it would again be confirming a reversal structure that chartists call a double top. And do you know what happens when such a clear level of support is lost? Many [02:56] and in a short time a very powerful downward trend unfolds, which leads that cryptocurrency to have an excess of sellers, an excess of panic, and that is where the reversal structure of that entire fall begins to take shape, [03:12] the so-called accumulation zone. What we said before. Well, as you can see, these are ecosystem, we could say, right? Bitcoin, Solana, XRP, and many others key levels that, if lost, will provide the best buying opportunity for the [03:27] next few years. From my point of view, what this means is that it could only be a few months before the seeds of the next millionaires three years, because this ecosystem has a spectacular future. And today we'll talk [03:41] about this, but not before saying hello to this lovely person here, Yomo Inversiones, who has been subscribed to the channel for 2 years. Do you see that little red heart? each of you has been subscribed to the channel. Thank you for the support, thank you for [03:55] A small gesture towards you all that really helps me a lot. Thank you. Come on, come here. We're going there. Pay attention in the next few minutes because I'm going to be that will give us a very high probability of where the [04:09] rebound. Or not that, but where the minimum of this cycle might be. We haven't talked, hey, we're talking, Carlos, in this cycle, in this video, about an opportunity for this year 2026 that will make us millionaires, wow, millionaires, right? [04:23] Stay calm, perform well, learn, and if not in this cycle, then in the 'll be 10, it doesn't matter. The important thing here is to learn something new every day, apply it, and try to improve ourselves, okay? [04:37] In other words, if you've moved away from criticizing people for what they say, and you realize how complicated it is to have sustained performance in this market majority, you'll realize how difficult it is. If you take a close look at yourself and [04:52] come a time when you have made so many mistakes that most of your come sooner or later as long as you keep the magnifying glass focused on yourself. Okay, what I you can see how I actually do what I'm saying live, and how, [05:07] pretty accurate, right? Look, what you see here on the screen is the standard deviation of the amount of losses made across the entire Bitcoin blockchain. In other words, when [05:19] we have one of these red valleys that goes above the blue horizontal line, it when that happens, it shows us these blue verticals, okay? And at that time we have an upward standard deviation of the losses made at a [05:34] historical level. And that's what it usually tells us when we have more losses than usual; it's usually a very good area to the majority, and you know that's very difficult, right? In fact, if I leave, we'll be going back [05:47] to the last cycles because going further back is pointless. Notice how in the entire low zone I'm going to remove this and I'm going to remove this explained to you what happens when we have these blue vertical lines. [06:00] good buying areas, understanding that right now we would be in a stage of the 2018 cycle very similar to this one, or in a stage of the 2022 cycle very similar to this one. Therefore, what it's trying to tell us, look, is that it has [06:13] current cycle, it has already taken us out by a standard deviation in the $4,000 zone, which in hindsight, hey, were good buying zones, but to sell this range, which we were discussing here, you can go to the channel, [06:26] you'll remember that video of the exit moment, you decide, that was the selling zone, okay? But now they'll probably give us a new shopping area soon. Where could this new shopping area be located? Well, I'll [06:39] tell you about it through this channel when we have a standard deviation of the amount of losses made, which in the previous cycle were good areas true that in the previous cycle, well, look, right?, we would already be talking [06:52] look, right?, we would already be talking about a buying zone that was perhaps somewhat unsuccessful before the final capitulation. And this other purchase, well, yes. So, ideally you should average out purchases in high-probability areas, not go all in on everything. [07:04] Imagine you have $00 and here you put in 25, here you put in 25, here you put in 25 and the structure clearly breaks, I'll buy on the next pullback." Here or [07:16] here, it doesn't matter, you've averaged in a very, very good price zone. That's what I would start doing from the middle of this year, okay? or even from the next signal this graph gives us, which I'll bring you through this [07:28] follow me, okay? Basically, we have a peak here in red, as you can see down there , but we haven't yet broken through the blue line. When we get there, where the next [07:41] next rebound to continue losing ground. Let's not get confused, because now you tell me, "No, Carlos, but what I'm interested in knowing is the cycle's low point, more or less in broad strokes ." I'm telling you, look, this [07:53] graph that shows us the multiple reserve risk, this, holy [ __ ], what movie? What is this? Basically, it measures the holder's trustworthiness. Okay, here we have some historic bands, uh, when there's a lot of confidence, when they're [08:06] confidence, obviously, if you understand correctly, it's a selling point. And when there is little trust, which you understand well, it's a buying zone. the last two cycles, we realize that the buying zones, well, [08:20] than expected, but already at a stage where it was worthwhile to start doing the earlier, right? average. If we also go back to the previous cycle, you'll notice that this came out more or less around here, in all these areas. Tell me [08:33] if those weren't good areas for averaging. I think so. Where would it be marking it for us now? Well, notice that this would be indicated to us when the black line, which marks a more or less replica of the price of [08:45] Bitcoin, breaks down through this green line. And that could more or less happen when Bitcoin loses 78,000, 75,000, when the April lows are lost , then what would we be seeing here? This shoulder, head, shoulder, and be [09:02] careful with that because we might have a false signal or a premature signal before the final capitulation. A sign, you see, premature before the final capitulation. I'll bring it to you this way too, okay? [09:15] tells us about the miners. As you know, miners are part take into account. What this shows us is, well, it compares the daily income of miners with a 365-day average of miners' income [09:31] . In other words, when we have some upward excesses, those are usually when they are trending downwards, they are usually good areas to buy, and currently Remember that we are talking about a historic band that [09:46] buying zone for us. Very good shopping area, very good shopping area, very good shopping area, good shopping areas. Even this year has also shown us some very good buying areas. We don't even have that signal right now [09:58] . Therefore, everything points to a possible final capitulation that lows, but rather to an interesting area from which it is worthwhile to looking for the last dollar, because as you know, the heroes' stretch is both [10:13] upward and downward. On the downside, the heroes' stretch is bought and says, "No, no, I won't buy until it gets here." But you little bastard, if you're down 60% from the highs, start positioning yourself, [10:25] man. Okay, we'll talk about it. We'll talk about the declining heroes' stretch on this channel too, okay? And in time, in time. We've talked about the heroes' stretch in the break of $94,000. Recently, there has been [10:38] talk, and there will be talk, about a downward trend throughout the highs. Okay? Okay, let's look measures the price of Bitcoin in comparison to its fair value, that is , how much the price of Bitcoin is compared to the [10:53] bought, known as the realized price. If we have a that realized price by many, we will obviously have a selling opportunity. And the same goes for the downside; if we look for a signal very similar to the one we [11:08] previous cycles, notice when it has given us a buying zone. Well, in some spectacular buying zones, spectacular buying zones, and we haven't had a previous cycle. As you can see, we are more or less in the average part, [11:24] . As you can see, this particular signal doesn't averaging is interesting so soon, but rather it gives us a very strong low zone [11:37] , which I believe will happen again this year, and perhaps that zone will be there this year, and perhaps that zone will be there when the $5,000 level is lost. I don't know, You must be the ones who [11:52] better or for worse, of your decision-making, because risk management is what makes and will always make the difference. And obviously adding to all of the above, there is this graph which tells us about the realized price of the [12:06] long-term operator. Basic costs. What are basic costs? the average price not of all bitcoins on the chain, but the average price of the holder's Bitcoin. And when the price of Bitcoin [12:19] crosses below this blue line, that's where the best buying opportunities are. At least he gave it to us back in 2019, he gave it to us back in 2022. So why wouldn't he give it to us now in 2026? If [12:33] executing a return structure of all previous increases. A previous rises. Now, Carlos, what price levels are found in that area? Look, it's currently at around $40,000, as you can see there, where it says 39,500. But keep [12:48] in mind that if months go by and Bitcoin remains above that level, it is likely that this price will remain sideways or even sideways upwards. And previous cycle it was passed, it showed us the minimum at 20,000 and it broke through $5,000 [13:03] downwards. So, if this stays at, let's say, 40,000, 45,000 and reaches the peak of the cycle's low, the heroes' stretch, which I'm not going to little bit in case I have to average around those areas, right? That peak is aiming for [13:17] $40,000, $35,000. Look, I'm not going to be the person who says, "That's impossible." Why is it impossible? Because so far, both technically and on-chain, as well as during liquidity cycles and [13:32] midterm years, liquidity is reduced, with the S&P 500 falling by an average of 15-something%. may be wrong, that we are going to find good opportunities. Hey, they're going to be in the 60s, they're going to be in the 65s, in [13:46] the 50s, since there are so many weeks left, we'll have much more information in the future to determine the possible minimum in Bitcoin or the possible downward leg of the through this channel, so remember to subscribe. And moving on to the [14:00] Quan Fury section, notice that MicroStrategy is trying to get going at levels close to 150, 160, but it doesn't succeed and doesn't succeed and doesn't succeed. And what has Bitcoin done? Already having that hint [14:13] of the $94,000 level and falling sharply. Therefore, now is where I have to think, hey, MicroStrategy is going to deviate from what I expect for Bitcoin over the next two months. Ask. Or MicroStrategy will [14:27] follow what Bitcoin does for the next two months, which is what I, Carlos Lozano, believe, that Bitcoin will, well, MicroST will follow Bitcoin. So, at this point we could have a 1 2 3 4 structure and there might be [14:40] MicroStrategy that takes it to levels close to $100, where we will then see a strong rebound to probably continue falling. And it's worth noting that, somewhat said earlier in the introduction of this video, I mentioned that these [14:54] cryptocurrencies, which are shaping the recent years, are breaking through those necklines, something that MicroStrategy has already done. Look, she broke it, didn't [15:07] she? Here you see a distribution structure of some, uh, we take this, we're talking about how many, 365 days. But in the previous cycle the distribution structure was also 350 days, but after the sharp drop there was [15:21] an accumulation zone of, look there, more or less a year as well. Then it's very clear. For me, well, for me it's not obvious [15:33] crystal ball. It's very clear to me that before MicroStrategy, and Bitcoin, returns to all-time highs, we're going to see a major downward trend first, because we simply have a wave here; it needs a rebound, a drop, and [15:47] have a wave here; it needs a rebound, a drop, and then that structure of more than a year accumulating, where we'll be talking about this channel for several weeks, several months, and we'll discuss it and see it here and there. [16:01] the coming months, and obviously I'll be operating everything you see on the screen, the platform you have here, which is One Quan to carry out this type of entry and exit operations, [16:14] use. You can also trade shares with and without leverage. In the description of this video you have a tutorial where I explain exactly how to take advantage of all the goals, all the star sections of Quan Fury. And you [16:27] defensive portfolio setup that I uploaded a week ago, where I buy shares by the way, have already had a pretty strong performance. We're Costco at these levels, since I bought that stock, and currently [16:42] Costco has risen 11%. I also talked about Proocter and Gumble. Proctor and also made live in that video . And I'll be bringing you an update to that video soon. So remember to download the platform, see [16:56] next video, because maybe something I bring you might be technical analysis section, for the next few minutes, you and I will try to escape from emotions, which is very difficult, okay? Because [17:11] had been told, "Bitcoin is going to go looking for price levels of 15,000," say, no, that's difficult. Because? because I didn't have the knowledge and experience, the results I have today. And I [17:24] Ultimately, everything I say on my channel is because it has worked for me. probably never would have imagined in the past and my life has changed; the to the hours of dedication I have put into this and the hours I have spent scrutinizing [17:39] myself to improve my decision-making. So, no past, what matters is what you can learn from that experience to do together here, you and I, okay? Look, [17:53] in the past, what you're seeing here is a reversal structure; all of this upward movement to generate a correction proportional to the previous rises, from which to generate accumulation and return to the [18:05] upward path, because what is not in doubt is the macro structure of Bitcoin. I adoption and in terms of technical analysis, everything points to Bitcoin reaching $200,000 this decade. And I think that's where the [18:19] buying, because this is going to reach 200,000, but about having a good technical analysis to determine levels from which to do a DCA, thus there are many people who say, "Look, if I buy at the highs and buy at the lows, [18:34] I have an average price of 65." I mean, yeah, I know, but if you sell at the peak and start averaging from 65, what do you think of that? No, that one's better. Already. What's happening? You have to focus on yourself, you have to [18:46] study a lot, and that's what we do here, at least that's what I try to do. Help. The goal of this channel is to help, help, and help. Okay? Good. a clear impulsive movement from point A to point B, and let's leave [19:00] emotions out of it, it moved in this way. Accumulation, impulse. Accumulation, impulse. Accumulation, impulse. Accumulation, impulse. Distribution, promotion. Distribution, [19:15] promotion. And from here we'll see what happens. Okay? But in the same way that the asset has moved from $15,500 to $126,000, it will move from $16,000 to the cycle lows with aggressive downward structures, sideways movements [19:29] redistributions of the previous distributions that form a macro distribution of this entire structure, because I can also bring all this to to the monthly structure and what we're seeing here, notice that there's very little left [19:44] to close this monthly candle. It's probably the... Well, seeing it. We are seeing a cleanup from the high of the previous month. We have cleaned up the on screen. Okay, let's put it here, so it's visible. [20:00] There, you can't see it there. No problem. Let's put it here. That's where we'll really see it . Look. There it is. Can you see that we've cleaned the maximum amount from last month and we've picked up the wick downwards? This is a cash grab. So what is [20:14] the asset most likely to do now? Well, take the most important liquidity point it has below, because after 3 months of strong retreat, the normal thing is for the asset to take a breather, go to take a macro liquidity point to [20:28] resume the downward path, thus generating a larger correction proportional to the previous rise. And for me, this is And when this level is lost, that's where this structure will be confirmed. [20:41] sales are going to be much more aggressive than anything we've seen so far, because everyone will see it. Everyone will see it. And you have to realize that if I go to the monthly one, it's very similar to what happened here. We have [20:53] 3 months of losses, 2 months of increases, and 3 months of losses that have already left us very close to the lows. Look, if this repeats itself, what I'm saying is that, apart from the volatility of February, we could even [21:05] visit the 80,000s and have a rebound towards 93,000, 95,000, 100,000, and all of this would still be part of a larger redistributive structure to give continuity to the movement. Then it is highly likely [21:18] that one, two, and three months of negative results will follow. And when that level is broken, which I consider very important, which are the April lows, in just one month, Bitcoin could easily drop 15 to 20,000. In this case, it [21:32] went back 40% in one month. If it falls 40% in a month, we wouldn't be at falls 40% in a month, we wouldn't be at $44,000. that you get a 30% discount. A 30% increase brings it to $52,000. It makes sense to you, it doesn't make sense to you . I don't care because it doesn't have to [21:46] happen. This is my stage. I prepare for this and when the asset reaches the level that I consider to be of high probability, I take action. I can combine all of this very well with Solana. Solana has been [21:58] in a distributive structure for more than 2 years. Carlos, why is it a distributive structure? Because here it has generated movement in five waves. 1 2 3 cu and it takes the high from the previous cycle, it generates a peak of fomo, gua gua gua. [22:11] All the memories are nonsense, so what's going to happen now? I'm telling you, with a very high probabilistic scenarios. This is all part of a distributive structure for this movement, so that when Solana loses $10, it will plummet [22:25] likely see it at levels close to $ 30-40 this year, where a very good buying opportunity will be generated. I really think so, and we'll see how this video ages, okay? It's not about hitting a triple, it's simply based on my [22:40] experience, my knowledge and the thousands of hours of dedication I have , mathematics applied to financial markets, leveraging high probability scenarios and among them this could be one of [22:53] them. Be careful that we do n't have a 30% drop in Solana this year, 2026, this as a distribution structure. And if I see it this way, okay? They'll take it, he'll go, "Damn, from top to bottom, look, [23:09] Yes, I know. Yes, indeed, that's what we 're saying. XRP, well, you'll remember we've discussed XRP on this channel , we were talking about the whole exit zone in XRP above mid-price levels, [23:25] the videos of the heroes' section for $1.50 and up , whoever wants to take the risk, boom, who looking back now would n't have sold there. It's not the same. I mean, look, let this be [23:39] I can put myself first because it also taught me in the past with XRP. When we see a movement in XRP of 400, 500% in a few weeks, [23:51] of 400, 500% in a few weeks, my friend, that's it, it's over. It's the legislation, I don't know what, it's the regulation, it's the banks, the fundamental thing is that you forget that it's already discounted in the price. What's going to [24:07] happen? What's going to happen is that all the smart money that was bought before , so how are we going to see that reflected in the graph? We will see it with a lateralization where in this [24:20] case the previous jumps are cleared, generating a peak of FOMO. Go watch that point. And if they're telling you the same thing I'm telling you, it's probably worth following them because, in the end, since those levels we [24:32] 've had a 50% drop in XRP, so we have to safeguard our money and regardless of whether it might rise to $ from there; that's the heroes' stage. When the 1.7 level is broken, this entire base will be confirmed as a loss [24:49] of a distributive structure. The loss is here, the previous highs, a peak is generated, smart money sells heavily and takes who were buying at these levels still think they are good [25:04] buying points on each pullback and are buying what smart money is selling so that when this level is broken sharply, bought here, all the retail stores are going to sell. No, I'm not saying you should do it [25:17] are not prepared for this type of volatility and these excesses will take XRP to levels below the dollar, where an excess will also be generated which the asset will begin to move sideways and embark on an [25:32] sideways and embark on an upward path to probably see it above price levels of 5 or 8 in the year 2028. We'll see what happens. That's all. I hope I have helped you and am helping you with this, but well, [25:45] . I love you all very much. Tomorrow I'll bring you an interview with a Leo Traders academy so you can also see a little bit of the perspective of someone who has started to absorb all [25:58] this knowledge from within. That student's name is Matías and he's a really great guy see you tomorrow. Big hug. Goodbye family and have a happy week. Co to co, ciao.