[00:02] the market moves, things happen, and you can go on with your life things happen, and you can go on with your life without watching this weekly episode, but this This week, on Wednesday, April 29, three things will happen at the same time [00:16] that have never coincided on the same day before. The Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision, and I have to tell you that Bitcoin has fallen after eight of the last nine meetings of the Z, so we'll see what happens, but [00:30] statistics or probability are in its favor. The four major Max 7 companies report their results on the same day, and any one of these can send global markets crashing in a matter of minutes. Meanwhile, the law that will [00:43] regulate the crypto market in the United States is about to be passed. All this is happening while Bitcoin is trying to break a key resistance for the third time in a row, with cycle indicators in the alert zone, [00:57] short-term holders also in losses, and with a market structure that, if you look at it coldly, doesn't tell you that the worst is over, but rather that the worst is yet to come. If you have Bitcoin, if you have cryptocurrencies, if [01:10] you have open positions, stay tuned because this week's episode is very interesting to you. Welcome to Cryptoldía, the only weekly show you need to know what's happening in the market, what to do with your money, and [01:22] what opportunities to take advantage of before other investors. And remember, if you do n't want to miss it week after week, subscribe now, we're starting soon. [01:36] the week, and the first thing is to summarize a little bit about the situation between the United States and Iran and in this whole war and conflict that we are having in the Middle East. And what we know is that recently there was a [01:51] kind of extended ceasefire by Donald Trump, where the president said he wanted to extend the ceasefire with Iran until Iran presents a proposal to end the conflict permanently. But despite [02:08] this moment of apparent calm, Iran responded by saying that the extension announced by Trump would mean nothing. "Teeran should respond militarily," a senior Iranian advisor said in response to the [02:22] US president. So, to summarize and not dwell too much on this topic, what is clear is that there is still no clear ceasefire and we are still in an environment of macro and [02:36] geopolitical uncertainty, and therefore Bitcoin and the entire cryptocurrency sector, which is still a high-risk market, [02:48] important piece of information that will be revealed this week, as Eric mentioned at the beginning of the show, is that four of the seven major companies will be reporting results this Wednesday, when this video is being released: Google, [03:02] Microsoft, Meta, and Amazon. And Apple Why is this important for the crypto sector? Because basically, these are five of the companies that primarily drive the US economy and stock market, [03:17] and any decision or outcome that might be, for example, very negative or more negative than expected, can push the stock markets down. Therefore, a correction in the S&P 500 or the NASDAQ can also drag [03:31] Bitcoin down with it. In these weeks, the best thing to do is not to over-operate, not to make hasty decisions, and to watch everything from the sidelines. Let's not try to [03:51] most of the time we're going to come out worse off . And then, finally, another very important piece of information is that during May [04:05] Clarity Act of the United States, which is the key law for the regulation of cryptocurrencies in 2026, will probably be approved and come into force. This law has been in the approval process since the end of approval process since the end of 2025 and it seems that May will be [04:20] the definitive time when it will come into effect. But equally important, in the next segment of this show, we're going to talk about why this law may not be as positive as it seems in terms of its potential impact [04:35] on the price of Bitcoin . Now let's go over the three beginning of this video, and I'm going to explain one by one why this is a crucial week. The first piece of news is that Strategy, Michael [04:48] Sailor's company, has surpassed BlackRock in the amount of Bitcoin it holds, and that's perhaps not the best sign in the world. It has become the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, with 818,334 bitcoins, as you can see here, [05:08] after its latest purchase of 3,263 bitcoins for 295 million, which it announced just yesterday. of dollars, and this meant that it improved or had more bitcoins than all the other corporations that are also making [05:21] Bitcoin purchases, basically. So, for now, and it's also important for you to see, he says that during this 2026, from the beginning until now, he has a return of 9.6% because he has been buying during all [05:35] the drops. And the reality is that this, well, uh, is good news, yes, because it means that those in the big leagues continue to trust in say, we trust in Bitcoin in the long term, but there is also a slightly negative side, which is that it is getting closer and closer [05:48] long term, but there is also a slightly negative side, which is that it is getting closer and closer basically means that it has a large percentage of the supply and therefore price. Even so, from my point of view I think Michael Sailor is a great [06:02] someone who's doing this for the future, because they're not going to dampen things or bring everything down by selling all their bitcoins and driving their idea, but beyond that, the less [06:17] diversified the supply is, the less the supply of an asset is distributed among fewer . It's also important to mention that, as you can see here, the average price of all his purchases since he [06:31] started accumulating Bitcoin is 75,000 , we'll see later, but we're around 78,000 or 76,000, sorry. So we're right at that price or slightly above the break- [06:46] because this is also a statistic that we love to look at and it's important to keep it in mind. Bitcoin has fallen after eight of the last nine Fed decisions. We're heading into the tenth decision, which is today. So you [07:00] may already be seeing what the acceptor's decision was by the time this video is released. In any case, the important thing—and this is really cool because it's clearly shown in a table—is that the last 10 decisions, nine decisions, [07:12] the Fed, sorry, have been, except for the one on May 7, 2025, which went up 48 hours later, all of them have gone down 48 hours later, but by 4%, 4.7%, 4.5%, 8.7%, 4.5%, 8.7%, 4.5%, 4 ...5%, 4.5%, 4.5%, [07:25] later, but by 4%, 4.7%, 4.5%, 8.7%, 4.5%, 8.7%, 4.5%, 4 ...5%, 4.5%, 4.5%, we'll see, and here's the interesting part: we'll see what happens today, right as you 're watching this video, and how the price is affected 48 hours after [07:40] move on to the third piece of news, which is more of a technical analysis, but Bitcoin has tried to break the $9,000 barrier three times again, and all this week it also reached 79400, [07:55] which was the highest of the last 12 weeks, and again it fell back in a matter of hours. So this is the third failed attempt to break through that $9,000 barrier. And according to on-chain crypto data, the [08:10] reason is structural. And what does that mean? That in that area, holders who bought between one and six months ago are accumulating, and they are all obviously losing money because, 12 weeks ago, prices [08:24] were all much higher than they are now. This means that all these people who are invested at higher prices have averaged out, but their average price is perhaps around $0.00, and that's why every time it reaches [08:36] $69,000 and change, they are selling. So we see strong resistance there . The next real resistance level, which we'll discuss shortly, is at 82,000. Bitcoin goes before it falls back down. [08:50] And now we move on to the myth versus reality section. What does this mean? We're going to be talking about that false FOMO that is often provoked or created in the market, and then you really have to look a step further to see what is [09:05] really happening. And this Genius Law, as I mentioned at the beginning, is going to be approved this May, and there are many people, many investors, saying that once it is 100% approved, that's when Bitcoin will [09:19] take off. But what usually happens in the crypto market and other markets with this type of news? When a piece of news is already known worldwide, it's normal to buy the rumor and sell the news. [09:34] What does this mean? The Genius Law, which will be in place from 2025, is practically approved and has already been proposed. All these increases and everything that the crypto sector or Bitcoin in this case should increase due to this law is [09:48] probably discounted by the market, and therefore you have to be very careful about waiting for the exact moment when the law comes into force, because that's when I buy crypto because it will surely explode, not by a long shot. In fact, the opposite usually happens [10:02] in the markets. Obviously we don't know what's going to happen, but the opposite usually occurs. It's news that everyone is waiting for, and as soon as it happens, that's when the big funds, institutions, and [10:15] smart market players take advantage to sell, because that's when inexperienced retail investors enter, taking advantage of the news, and it's the exit liquidity of these big players. And in addition to this, we have to add that [10:29] inflation in the United States has again reported 3.3% inflation in March. In other words, inflation in the United States is rising. What does this cause? This basically means that there will be no decreases [10:45] in interest rates in the short term. And this is an uncertainty, a context and a scenario that does not favor risk assets. Therefore, it is much more important to understand where the economy stands, [11:00] especially in the United States or at a macro level, and how this may influence risk assets such as Bitcoin. and not so much how it will explode after a news item, because that is not as [11:14] relevant to the price of an asset like Bitcoin in this case. Let's move on to the more technical analysis part and also the do this from Pioneers, which is the exchange we use today [11:27] to operate in the market and to buy cryptocurrencies. And below in link to be eligible for a welcome bonus of up to $1,000. The truth is them for a while now, and they work very well for all aspects, from operations like [11:40] buying and holding crypto to other automated bot strategies working very well. We're also looking for those key areas to position ourselves, both betting that the market will fall and betting that the [11:54] time is right. But in any case, let's move on to showing you. These are the know that we update week by week in what areas of interest or what technical support the Bitcoin chart has after having all this [12:09] rise that we had up to 125,000. Remember that we had this sharp drop to these areas, but right now, as I was just talking about, since the I was just talking about, since the April lows, which are around [12:23] here, since the April lows, we have had a rise of around a rise of around 18-19%. In fact, the high we saw at 18-19%. In fact, the high we saw at 79,400 was 21% from its lows of just [12:35] about 4 weeks ago, right? Since the beginning of April. What does highs for several weeks and we've broken, as I said before, that high that we've been as I said before, that high that we've been holding for the last 12 weeks, [12:49] can we expect at these points? We can expect some rebound up to the 80s and something, but for me these are interesting positions to start building those positions betting that [13:03] the market is going to fall, because I think that as we have said several times we have liquidity both to the 70,000 barrier which is an area, if we look here, it is a historical area where we had highs in the impulses of January 2024, [13:18] early 2024 and that we could not break through for several times. Then we really we may look for liquidity in these points again later. We'll see if it holds strong or if we continue [13:31] holds strong or if we continue falling to that 55 barrier, will be incredible positions to build long-term Bitcoin portfolios. how we have this resistance we were talking about at the on-chain level as well [13:47] , from many wallets that have been in losses for the last 1 to 6 months and are waiting for that 780 barrier to start selling at these points. And in fact, the biggest barrier would be [14:00] found around 84,000, where we also have quite a few wallets waiting for that point to take profits or to avoid more throughout the fall, especially those who bought in the 120, 110 and [14:18] we'll see what happens, but we believe that structurally we are still bearish and this has just been a pullback in a really happens. Okay? Let's continue with the part about the fear and greed indicator, okay? [14:32] Notice how we've superimposed it on the Bitcoin price chart here, this point for several weeks now, talking about being able to make talking about being able to make purchases from 60-something to 1000. Now [14:45] that we're at 78,000, what we're saying is about making possible sales. We are at a points, meaning neutral would be between 46 and 54. Here we have it in fear, but not in extreme fear as we would have it down here. So for now, these [15:00] are points, from my point of view, to take profits from those positions we had here to wait for the price of Bitcoin to go lower, which is what the chart has historically shown us. In fact, [15:13] this structure is very similar to the one we saw in the previous bull market. Notice how we had those two peaks, those two all-time highs, and then fell, allowing us to have an upward rebound where we have the opportunity to get out [15:27] before we fall again , right? Well, we have the same thing, don't we? Up, down, up again, momentum here, this rise to take . We fall down here, we accumulate again to break out at this point, [15:41] we fall down here, we accumulate again to break out at this point for that last capitulation zone, right?, that we are waiting for at these points, for it to reach that capitulation zone around 60-55 to [15:55] restart the bullish rally from 2027 onwards. So this year is going to be tremendous for building those long-term Bitcoin positions that will bring us all the ones we built during 2022 [16:09] and 2020, which we can later sell at prices four, five, or even ten those points. I don't know if we'll find 10 times more here, but what is clear is that there are good multipliers or good investment opportunities [16:22] from these points. We also have the MVRV Z score, a general idea, gives us the temperature of the market by gives us the temperature of the market by comparing it with [16:35] the realized price and with market sentiment. So, in this case, at these points, we're around zero, we're at 077. The ideal accumulation points, or what has always [16:48] in previous bearish cycles, in previous capitulations, is when it has entered that zone of around 020 or below, right? In fact, notice how we reached 026 here; we didn't enter, [17:01] we are waiting for it to drop to this area to accumulate again for the waiting for these zones again, which are the complete capitulation of the cycles, to buy again. So right now we're at 077. Good time to [17:15] take profits and wait for that possible final drop. Yes. And we also have the price calculated, okay? The realized price is the average price at which all wallets bought their bitcoins. In other words, if we were to take the average of all [17:29] at what price they bought Bitcoin, and we have the average of all of them, we find that the average price realized, the average purchase price of all Bitcoins, was 54,000. That's why we talk so much on this channel about those [17:42] 55,000 or so moments that will be incredible for building position. So this is the view we have today, which we discussed last week and which we still hold very similarly, to expect good points for Bitcoin at a [17:55] technical analysis side and from the on-chain metrics side. And now I'm going to explain the strategy we're using at Pionex, which is precisely the exchange where we operate, but which is giving us [18:09] incredible results, especially even taking advantage of market downturns. As Eric just explained with different data and technical analysis, we expect at least several more months of a bear market where Bitcoin will [18:22] likely have corrections, and if Bitcoin does, the rest of the altcoins will follow suit. That's why we're taking advantage of a strategy that consists taking advantage of a strategy that consists of short investing, betting [18:35] that certain cryptocurrencies will fall when they meet certain conditions. It's giving us when they meet certain conditions. It's giving us you can see the results, not just ours, but the community's. I'm [18:48] only going to show the results from this weekend, okay? Today is the 28th, April 28th, Tuesday. I'm going to show you from the 25th, as you can see here, [19:00] April 25th, which was a spectacular weekend where we shared a lot of opportunities. Look, here we have a person who shared four Isa here today, record earnings and operations. Thank you for everything you contributed [19:13] today. Gaining confidence in hindsight, it's a shame not to have invested 1000 per operation. Since we started on one, that's 38 consecutive operations. positive. Thanks, Kevin. All operations were positive. This method is [19:27] fantastic. I'm amazed compared to the operations we were doing. That they last, look, on the same day one person, one, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, seven happened this week, and especially today, has made absolutely no sense. [19:42] All operations were positive, all of them. This is crazy. This person also had one, two, three, five positive trades and if we keep going down we can see a lot of results. This is also from a single person. Here we [19:57] also have Nuria, here Abel, 10%. What I accomplished on this day. Thank you person, Elvira, who shares one, two, three, or five with us in the same day. A 6-minute express, a 10% discount in 6 [20:11] 6-minute express, a 10% discount in 6 minutes here. Okay, thanks. Sometimes going in after pays off. Here it goes. Not bad. How crazy. I think it wasn't person, Vegoo, who shares on the same day one, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, seven [20:26] operations, sorry, 7, 8, 9, 10 positive operations on the same day, on April 26, this Saturday. And if I keep scrolling down, there are just more results from the entire community. So this is the method, the Cheng method that [20:43] are now using to make a spectacular profit from market downturns, by shorting the market under certain conditions. And if method consists of and want to see if you have the possibility of joining the [20:58] academy to also copy our trades and fully understand this strategy, know that you have a link in the first line of the description to schedule a call with us or someone from [21:11] our team. This call is for advice to understand your situation and see if we can help you. And then in that case, if you see that this whole strategy suits you, our academy, and we also see that [21:26] you can qualify for a position, you will be able to achieve these kinds of results. So you have the link in the first line of description, you schedule a call in the calendar at a time that suits you and it will be half an hour [21:39] . Top Kevin. The truth is that So, let's do a recap of because this week is not a normal week, as we said at the beginning. [21:51] historical catalysts coinciding on the same Wednesday, April 29th. Today, at the time this video is released, the Fed announces interest rates. Bitcoin has fallen in eight of the last nine Font decisions, with an average drop of [22:04] 5.6%. Furthermore, the four major stock exchanges are also reporting earnings, so any disappointment could drag down the S&P 500, and the S&P 500 could drag down Bitcoin. And the Clarity Ad is also progressing in the [22:16] Senate, and that news, which the market has been buying into as a rumor for months, when it's approved, well, it's always said that you buy the rumor and sell the news. Therefore, if that rumor ends up becoming [22:29] narrative excuses left to justify that possible downward rebound . And while all this is happening, Bitcoin is stuck at a resistance level of 78,000, 79,000 and change that it has tried to break several times. In fact, [22:43] the last three have failed. The MVRV has also had a boost and we have to is, take profits at these points. The realized price is at $54,000, we are currently at $75,000 and also the short-term holders are all [22:57] in losses more or less around the $84,000 barrier. On the other hand, we also know that Strategy is buying all of its bitcoins. He has already reached the 800-something-1000 [23:10] bitcoin barrier and has bought them for an average of $5,000. bull market; it's more a picture of a market that has rebounded strongly, that feels better, but that surely has a week ahead, which [23:23] could even break everything and lead to that possible downward correction. Does know, nobody really knows, but this is what it means. If you have positions that you can't afford to see fall another 20% or 30%, [23:39] fall another 20% or 30%, this week is giving us some peace of mind or tranquility that the market may not always provide. time, that price, and that opportunity to act [23:52] before that move arrives, not after it has already happened. We don't always say that we shouldn't sell on red candles , but rather on green candles. So here everyone has their own risk management. So review it and don't [24:04] confuse, above all, hope with strategy, because regarding strategy I remind you what Kevin said, which is that we have been various strategies for some time now, and in the link in the description you also have a video of [24:18] what we are doing, with what criteria and how we are operating even when the market falls. So as always, it's a pleasure to have you join us in these kinds of videos. If you like it, then leave us a like, subscribe to the channel and as [24:30] like, subscribe to the channel and as always, we'll see you next week.