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Best Setup to Hit Targets with Trends in Mini Index and Dollar

0h 19m video Published Jul 10, 2026 Transcribed Jul 23, 2026 W Wall Street Invest
Intermediate 10 min read For: Traders and investors interested in Brazilian and international markets, particularly those trading mini-index futures and forex.
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AI Summary

In this video, Norton analyzes the Brazilian and international markets following the release of lower-than-expected inflation data in Brazil, which triggered a significant market surge. He explains how to trade on news days, using shifted moving averages and other indicators, and discusses the impact of geopolitical events like Trump's announcement on the Iran ceasefire.

[00:02]
Market Surge on Inflation Data

Brazilian markets surged after June inflation figures came in well below expectations (0.16% vs expected 0.4%), reducing pressure on interest rates and boosting stocks.

[01:39]
Trump's Ceasefire Announcement

Trump announced via social media that the US-Iran ceasefire agreement is finalized, causing a brief market drop and oil price spike, but markets quickly recovered as traders became desensitized.

[03:28]
Mini-Index Surge to 180,000 Points

The mini-index surged to nearly 180,000 points, a level not seen since late May, driven by broad-based gains across sectors like banks (Itaú +4%) and Vale (+2%).

[05:31]
Trading Strategy on News Days

Norton advises against using the standard 'Angle Boing' opening strategy on news days. Instead, he recommends buying on positive news, as he did, going long after the first candle closed.

[08:05]
Profit Taking and Stop Loss Levels

Norton exited his long position with 1,700 points profit using a stop gain on the second VAP band. Conservative traders could exit at the first band for 500-580 points.

[09:02]
Resistance and Support Analysis

He identifies a resistance region at 179,000 points using the Bookbook indicator (order book summary) and a slow stochastic oscillator above 80 indicating a potential reversal.

[11:43]
Shifted Moving Averages for News Days

On news days, Norton uses shifted exponential moving averages (9-period, shifted forward by 1) instead of traditional 721/921/620 MAs. He also uses MACD with parameters 26,12,9 on 5-minute charts.

[14:43]
International Market Analysis

Norton analyzes the S&P 500 on a 5-minute chart, noting that Trump's news had a bigger impact on US markets. He recommends using traditional moving averages for international markets on quieter days.

Trading on news days requires adapting strategies to the market context, using shifted moving averages and focusing on key economic data. Norton emphasizes the importance of understanding how news impacts different markets and adjusting entry and exit points accordingly.

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"Title promises a setup for hitting targets with trends, which is delivered, but it's more of a news-day analysis than a pure trend-following guide."

Mentioned in this Video

Tutorial Checklist

1 00:02 Check economic calendar for key news events (e.g., inflation data release).
2 05:31 On news days, avoid standard opening strategies like 'Angle Boing'. Instead, assess the news impact and decide direction.
3 06:00 If news is positive, go long after the first candle closes. If negative, go short.
4 11:43 Use shifted exponential moving averages (9-period, shifted forward by 1) instead of traditional MAs. Set MACD to 26,12,9 on 5-minute chart.
5 12:10 Enter when the shifted MA crosses above the non-shifted MA, confirmed by two green candles and green MACD.
6 12:50 Place stop loss 100 points below the moving average. Set take profit at first or second VAP band.
7 14:00 Stop trading after 2 PM on Fridays to avoid giving back weekly gains.

Study Flashcards (7)

What was the actual inflation rate for June in Brazil compared to expectations?

easy Click to reveal answer

Actual: 0.16%, Expected: 0.4%.

04:06

What is the 'Angle Boing' strategy?

medium Click to reveal answer

A strategy where if the second candle of the day breaks the high of the first candle, it triggers a sell entry.

05:31

What moving averages does Norton recommend on news days?

medium Click to reveal answer

Shifted exponential moving averages: two 9-period EMAs, one shifted forward by one period.

11:43

What MACD parameters does Norton use on a 5-minute chart?

hard Click to reveal answer

26, 12, 9.

11:56

What does a slow stochastic oscillator above 80 indicate?

medium Click to reveal answer

A downward reversal is likely.

09:55

What is the Bookbook indicator?

hard Click to reveal answer

A summary of the order book showing sell and buy orders.

09:15

Why did Norton advise against trading after 2 PM on Fridays?

easy Click to reveal answer

Because it's a treacherous day where gains from the week can be lost.

14:00

💡 Key Takeaways

📊

Inflation Below Expectations Sparks Rally

Key economic data point that drove the entire market movement discussed in the video.

00:02
💡

Trump's Ceasefire Announcement Impact

Shows how geopolitical news can cause temporary volatility but markets quickly adjust.

01:39
🔧

Adapting Strategy to News Days

Illustrates the importance of context over rigid trading rules.

05:31
🔧

Shifted Moving Averages for Faster Trades

Provides a specific technical adjustment for news-driven markets.

11:43

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AI-generated clip ideas for Shorts based on the transcript

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[00:02] Denares de Trade video. My name is Norton, and today the markets, for the most part, surged, especially here in Brazil, because today, folks, at 9 AM Brasília time, the latest inflation figures for

[00:14] last month, June, were released, and they came in well below what they expected. And as I've been this channel, both the index we posted at 8 am on our YouTube channel and on our Instagram, and here on YouTube where we do live streams and

[00:28] trade analysis videos, when inflation falls there is consequently less pressure on interest rates, whether they tend to stay the same or fall. This causes the stock market to rise because less money will go into fixed income, fewer people

[00:42] will invest in fixed income, and consequently the stock market will have more investors, since fixed income, such as a CDB, a savings account, an RCI, or a debenture, will no longer be as attractive. Sure, today interest rates here in Brazil are around 14% per

[00:57] year. It's a very high interest rate, but there could be a cut in the coming months, in these upcoming meetings until the end of the year. There is a forecast to raise interest rates by the end of next year, returning to 14.5%, almost

[01:11] 15% today. And this news that was released, showing inflation lower than they imagined, is actually a very important and very positive piece of information. But June was the month that brought peace to the war in the Middle East, right?

[01:25] So the pressure on oil, the pressure on rising transportation and fuel prices, was much less than they had imagined, because the war had more or less ended. However, today, July 10th,

[01:39] Trump announced via his social media that the ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran is finalized. In other words, it was live with the team, the market plummeted at that moment, creating a massive

[01:53] drop, consequently affecting both Brazil and the United States, and oil prices market no longer believes what one person says, or what another person says. So, the so many things, one person says one thing, another says another, but the market isn't as

[02:06] the very beginning, oh my God , right? People weren't seasoned yet, and things were going to send oil prices soaring to around 80 or 90 again. Okay? With this, Mirind is up 2.5%, Meridora isn't falling as much, it's down 0.1%, V is up

[02:22] 2%, and Petrobras, incredibly , even with the drop in oil prices, which are now negative, is still up 1%, with the positive news about inflation here in Brazil. Itaú rises 4%, a huge increase for banks here in Brazil. The

[02:35] huge increase for banks here in Brazil. The Nasdaq is up 0.4%, the index is up 0.3%, and oil is currently down 0.2%, while gold is also down about 0.5%. So let's analyze today's chart. Okay guys, I'm going to show you how to operate

[02:48] in a diary of breaking news, which was the case today, alright? But before you go, subscribe to the channel, and leave a comment below, okay? Criticisms, praise, and suggestions are always very welcome so this video can reach more people and, of course, so we

[03:03] here on the channel, okay? Let's get to today's video. And remember everyone, next week the "straight to the point" course starts, on Tuesday, July 14th, and there are still very few spots left for the live online class. Yes, you have

[03:15] lifetime support, both from me and from Japa, and you can retake the course as many times as okay? So, leave it here, the link is in the description, my phone number is on the screen, as well. Registration is open. So let's get

[03:28] first analyzing the market here in Brazil, specifically the mini-index, we can see the surge in price today. He not only surged at the start of the day, then went sideways, then climbed again, and just now hit a

[03:41] high close to 180,000 points, right? It had been a long time since I'd returned home with 180,000 points. The last time was at the very end of May, the entire month of June was practically at 0-0 in decline, and now the market has started to pick up

[03:54] we access the economic calendar here on Profit, I use the Profit platform from description so you can access the Touro Brokerage platform for free , okay? Oh, the accumulated inflation rate over the last 12 months is at

[04:06] 4.64, below expectations. This is very good news. And the inflation rate for the month of June, with an expected rate of 0.4%, came in at 0.16%. In other words, folks, this is a very important and very good economic data point, which came in

[04:21] below expectations. So, the news came as expected, folks. Look at the stock chart; the only stock that's down today among the 91 mini-index stocks is PRI, which is down 0.20%, but

[04:34] PRI, which is down 0.20%, but all the others are up. Vale is up 2%, banks are up all the others are up. Vale is up 2%, banks are up almost 4%, Itaú and BTG are up 5%, Bradesco is up 4%, the former Eletrobras, which is now Áxia, is up 4%, Petrobras is up 0.8%, Equité is up 3%, so the increases we

[04:49] 're seeing here aren't just a small 0.1% rise, no, they're more than 1% for each company. And each company has significant weight within the market, right? So it's actually quite Norton, analyzing a finished graph is easy." Do you agree? I mention this in all

[05:02] my analyses, right? It's easy to comment when an engineer is already in the know. It is good. easy to talk about tactics. I completely agree. The goal of Wall Street, educational. So this video is to guide your entries and how you should

[05:17] market, okay? So today the market has already opened for those who say: "Ah, Boingo and today I lost money." Guys, today is not a day for you to trade Angle know what Angle Boing is, it's the opening price action I use, where if the second

[05:31] candle of the day breaks the high of the first candle, it triggers a sell entry, right? I place the stop gain above the first candle's position, and the stop loss proportionally. Norton, would today be a good day to operate Angle Boy?

[05:45] inflation in Brazil, which is a very important economic indicator, happens once a know? That's not good, is it, guys? For God's sake, right? What do you do on those news was overwhelmingly positive. What do you do? You're buying it, right? Even before you

[06:00] team, and as soon as the first candle of the day closed, I went long, the opposite of what Bógico did, because I was analyzing the whole scenario. In fact, gigantic bullish candle. Then people asked during the live stream what that candle 12 was

[06:13] all about. That's because candle 12 was the candle that opened the stock auction here in Brazil, because the stocks open at 10. So, since it was a very strong rise and here in Brazil, a very large buying flow came in and that's why the

[06:27] right when the B13 market opened here in Brazil, okay? My market has risen sharply since the opening, even without accounting for the gap, and reached a gain of 3,400 points in 1 hour , a 2% increase. Exceptional,

[06:42] driven by news about the news is all about understanding the impact of that news and how you should trade accordingly. So if inflation had come in higher than

[06:56] crashing down now. The market would be turning to dust right now, wouldn't it? It probably fell 3,400 points, but given how it came, it came in below expectations, which is very good news. Next week you can trade again, but it will be inflation

[07:09] 14th, at 9:30 AM Brasília time. Is this a day for you to operate the ingo booingo? Of course not, okay? If inflation comes in lower than they expect, folks, in the United States, then we'll have something interesting that

[07:22] American market soaring puts pressure on the market here in Brazil. The only thing preventing Brazil from skyrocketing is if we look at the yield curve, right? Because the yield curve here in Brazil is positive, meaning there's a forecast for rising interest rates

[07:36] even with positive inflation data , lower than they imagine. There is still a positive yield curve, there is a chance of a cut until around October of next year, to around 13.8%. Yeah, and then

[07:49] go back up. Why, guys? Because there 's still the uncertainty surrounding oil, which could worsen the war in the Middle East, causing oil prices generating a massive inflationary effect worldwide. So this is

[08:05] I leave off from my operation? When I bought it, news broke right away. I made first Kando, 5 minutes in, I left my stop game, I was a little daring, I left it on the second band of the VAP, right? In terms of points, guys, in terms of points,

[08:20] contract. In terms of points, that's 1700 points earned, right? It was quick. It trouble, I bought it, and it was already heading towards our target right there. In about an hour, he more cautious trader. What would you do? It would be released in the first band, VIAB

[08:36] Band. I would exit here, look. It's a much more conservative stop, a much more relaxed stop, conservative stop, a much more relaxed stop, without much stress, right? It's 500, 550 points, 580 points, more or less. So this is the ideal, okay? Well, if you're a

[08:49] more aggressive trainer, even a little, wanting to leave the third band, I think that's today, right? So, that's quite an you can do besides analyzing news throughout the day,

[09:02] personally quite like to use, which is analyzing resistance and support regions. I was even commenting with the people on the live stream that this Kend 35 was a decision candle, that it was a candle where the market hit this high,

[09:15] which is called the resistance region, and I put an indicator called the Bookbook indicator, which is actually a summary of the order book, as we tool here in the corner. The sell orders are in red, and there are two

[09:28] buy orders. In other words, you have a lot of sell orders in this region here, and it was a region, and... ball ball ball, what we're talking about, 179,000, 1000, is a very important resistance region that was previously a support region. If

[09:40] here, you can see that it was a support region, this region of 179,000 points was already a support region , right? So it was very likely reaching that region. What happens? When I arrived in that region, the market was

[09:55] relatively sideways. You can use an indicator called a slow tachastic oscillator, and when it's above 80, what does that indicate? A downward reversal indicates that will likely start to fall. I only use client touch in period three when

[10:08] trend, we're going to use another similar indicator called RSI, okay? It was about him in several videos here on the channel, okay? What happens? It was formed here that it

[10:20] 's at 35, ah, it closed with stocking above 80, am I going to go short anyway? No, if K36 breaks the low, I will go short. If it breaks, okay? lucky here, the stop loss was a little above the high, 100 points above that high,

[10:34] and a buy signal was proportional to that, okay? So when you do this here, it's a very interesting type of operation , right? Whether we like it or not, it's a super fast operation, so it's difficult for that to happen. He went in short, he already caught

[10:47] I mentioned to you, which is that I'm going to analyze the American market on the 31st, which same website I showed you here now. Look at this, everyone. news site, it's actually the financial juice. So he

[11:03] filters through various sources of information, various portals and news outlets, including even Trump's own social media, right? He posted at 11:32 AM: Iran, but the United States has made it clear, without mincing words, that the ceasefire is

[11:17] over." In other words, if we look at 10:32, 11:32, sorry, it was precisely in year 31 that the market plummeted, oil skyrocketed, but then the market returned to normal and even went up again , because the market, folks, is

[11:30] already hardened, okay? This is just a very serious matter that will greatly alter the market in relation to the wars in the East and Middle East, okay? So, that's how you operate on a news day, right? If you analyze the bands. Did today's

[11:43] Since it's news day, what do you do? You don't use the You don't use the traditional 721, 921, and 620 moving averages. What do I use? Shifted moving averages are two nine-period exponential moving averages, but

[11:56] one of them is shifted forward by one period . I use the standard McDonald's hole pattern. Since I'm trading on a 5-minute chart, I use 26 12 9. If I were trading on a timeframe shorter than 2 minutes, I would use 55 26 9. I would only change the MACD parameter.

[12:10] . How was my entrance, everyone? For those who were using, you know, the moving average crossover. Here at 10:25 AM, if you observe, there was a crossover of the averages, where the shifted moving average, which is purple here

[12:23] or fusilli or pink, it doesn't matter, is below the green one. In other words, the first sign of a possible upward trend. It crossed upwards, two candles confirming the trend, candle 18, candle 19, two green candles and MCD also in green

[12:35] color rule for. Ah, but McDonald's is negative, it doesn't matter. It's green. It's closed. always be that after the two kenos are confirmed, the entry here is in keno 20 when the market returns to the non-displaced moving average, which in this case is green, right? The

[12:50] entry point is a stop 100 points below the moving average, which would be more or less here, oh my god, right on the limit, a offset moving averages, compared to traditional ones, generally perform

[13:04] faster trades, scalping operations, entering and exiting quickly. Generally. Okay? Well, sure, there will be days when the stop loss is much higher, but most of the time the stop loss, both for the game and the loss, is very similar and much, much faster

[13:19] than the 620-day moving average, for example, right? Damn, I missed the entrance here, would it be possible to get on at number 27? It would also fall on number 28, because he crossed again here, right? No. 22, 23, MCD at Cour Verde. Entrance here at Ken 27, right? It's the Kend 31 that was brought in, it did

[13:33] n't have a MCD in white. 32 is n't the same, is it? This was interesting, , right? It crossed downwards, two candles at 37 and 38, entry and sell when the price returns to the average. It was here in Kendrick 43. Why didn't I go into Kendrick 44? 44

[13:48] MCD was white, right? Sell ​​entry here when the market returned to the average of the CAN. Very calm. And here's another high-speed crossing. And of course, folks, it's Friday, time for sex, right? Friday afternoon arrives after 2 PM,

[14:00] forget about the market, okay? You have to be honest, guys. Forget about the market. Those who met their goal, met it; those who didn't, won't meet it anymore. That's it, it's not operating anymore, okay? when, folks, everything you worked during the week gets returned to you. So it's a treacherous day, huh?

[14:15] after lunchtime, ugh, after 2 pm I think it's too risky. I even briefly entered the market during this upward trend, but So this is the kind of thing you have to do when it's news day,

[14:27] follow this data, the yield curve, the news, right? Regarding inflation, understanding significant impact on the market as well. Now let's analyze the international market and what by the President of the United States on his social media. Okay, folks, analyzing the

[14:43] international market, we're here on the Black AO platform, alright? Regarding the international market, I use two, okay? One of them is called FX Globo, which I 've been talking about for quite some time now; it 's the broker I use for

[14:56] international markets, mainly the Forex market, right? But for using Ninja Broker, because they have their own platform, and they cool. I'll leave the links here in the description. And for students who download

[15:11] the Ninja platform and want to trade on the official American market, I here. Win a Fibonacci course. It's a paid course, okay? No need to deposit, no need to do anything. If you want to test it out, test it on the simulator; you don't need to

[15:24] register there and you can already have this platform to test and start as well. Clicking the link in the description, Ninja 3 team, you'll click here on "get started," okay? By clicking here on "get started," you will

[15:37] you going to do, guys? You will enter your name and email address. So, I'll put here, for example, [email protected], okay? Click here to subscribe. It will then confirm your email. So, to

[15:50] the link in the email we sent to the email address you registered there, okay? your spam folder. By clicking there, guys, you'll be redirected directly, download the platform right away, okay? You have to send it, you saw how simple it is, and you win the

[16:05] you going to win? You can send me a message; my phone number is for free, it's this course right here, okay? What course is called Fibonaccioponto, okay everyone? It's a course that costs 800 but is now 450, but it's

[16:17] So let's analyze the market here in Brazil today. So the link is SP500, which is the American index. I'm on the 5-minute chart, okay? That drop he had here on K-139 was precisely at the time the news came out in the

[16:30] United States, right? So much so that the American market also surged today. If we look at the stocks that make up the American market, you can see that it's pretty evenly matched, right? The target is up almost 6%, Microsoft is at 0%. NVIDIA, which

[16:43] has the most weight in the indices today, both in SD DAQ and SP500, is up SPECX is not part of any index, but a major company is down 2.5% and Tesla is up 0.5%. You can see that the companies that are rising are rising quite a bit, both

[16:58] Meta and Nvidia. That's a very heavy burden. And the companies that fall are practically at break-even. Apple, Amazon, and Google are companies that are practically at break-even. So if we analyze the context here, the S&P 500 is

[17:10] of that news regarding Trump's speech was much greater in the American market than here in Brazil, right? Because Brazil was in party mode, right? Lower inflation, lower interest rates, and a rising stock market , right? The American market might enter

[17:23] party mode starting on Tuesday the 14th , depending on inflation, or maybe it's the end of the party, right? So the SP500 goes up, everything you use to trade here news about inflation here in Brazil will have no impact on the United States, no, zero. It

[17:37] No moment will impact the American inflation index here in Brazil. Yeah, this has nothing to do with it, right? But what happens there impacts Brazil because of countries, on the United States and China, right? So, for example, the shifted moving average

[17:50] was a much quieter day for trading, there weren't those movements, interesting day to use traditional moving averages in international markets, especially in the SP500 and NASDAQ indices, which here at FX

[18:04] Globo, I'm using 0 from FX Glob here, right? It's UT100, right? It's going up 0.34%. It's UT100, right? It's going up 0.34%. Jones is up 0.36%, gold is down 0.5%, and oil had that surge , you know, that candle that caused it to

[18:18] spike, but then the market returned to where it was and the price of a barrel went back up to around 75 . But he's still on high alert, despite the calming of his alert. At any moment, things could escalate very rapidly,

[18:32] video has helped you feel more confident trading on news days, especially here in Brazil, with mini-index futures, mirrors, and also in international markets, okay? So remember, do you want to learn? If you didn't

[18:44] did understand but want to improve your strategies, or you're a trader who isn't have a "straight to the point" segment starting next week. Registration is now open, it starts Tuesday night, my phone number is on the screen, and

[18:57] , okay? Same phone number, the link is in the description so me directly. And of course, folks, the support is for life and you can retake the course as many all very much. Leave a comment below if you traded today,

[19:11] what you thought the market would do, and what you plan to do in the coming days. Did it go well, did it go wrong today? Any questions? See you in our next lesson. Leave a like, subscribe to the channel, and turn on notifications. Hugs and see you in the next class.

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