Bots for Betting / Value Bets? OVERVALUED BETS.

[00:03] Baggins' resource. Today I'm recording a new video for you in which I'll try to explain to you what boulders are and how to find them. Yes, because I've read a lot of information on the Internet, but I have n't seen anything sensible. Let's

[00:16] figure out what a boulder is, what a different bet means. Here's a small illustration I drew in Paint. It means that if we have an abstract tennis players of equal strength, and accordingly, the odds on them should be 1

[00:30] the odds on them should be 1 and 9 and 1 and 9. Why 1919 because the shoes are disgusting. The bookmaker also has a margin. It doesn't matter how you win or lose. The bookmaker sets

[00:44] the odds based on the money line and based on the probabilities. He also sets a margin. Therefore, the bookmaker, as I'll say again, doesn't care whether the tennis player wins or loses. He will adjust his odds based on the

[00:58] money bet based on the probabilities. Thus, the bookmaker probabilities. Thus, the bookmaker will earn in any case. So, odds are 1 and 9 and the second tennis player also have odds and I hope

[01:12] they are equal in strength, but an hour before the match, for example, information comes out that one of the first one, she was injured, she was injured, for example, she fell and injured her arm or leg, and this event

[01:29] that she fell and was injured, the injury directly affects accordingly, if the bookmaker does not change the odds, the odds will be the same. the odds, the odds will be the same. If we bet on the cafe on the

[01:43] second tennis player was not injured with odds of 19, this will be overvalued. The odds of 19, this will be overvalued. The bookmaker underestimated. The bookmaker underestimated, which means either he did not have time to change his line and at

[02:00] that moment, when you what information if we bet on the second tennis player at odds of 1 and 9, it will be a value bet on me. Why, because then change the odds based on the probability of the first tennis player, he will already

[02:15] give 2 and 3, and on the victory of the second tennis player, he will already give 16, that is, the moment of time when this information came out, we read it and made a bet at

[02:27] odds of 1 and 9, this odds were Overvalued and the whole point of searching for surebets is to look for inflated odds and bet on them, that is, the

[02:39] bookmaker's line itself. How to do this is actually quite difficult now, I'll explain some parameters why, because most people, that is, directly search for half the bet manually. It's

[02:55] very difficult manually because we need dispersion. Dispersion is the volume of bets, that is, the spread of bets. Essentially, we don't care when we bet on other events. We don't care whether this one wins or not, not the grid we bet on

[03:12] or not, but because over the long term, over the long term, of 1000 bets, 2000 bets, of 3000 bets, these three kopecks, you see, the odds, they will beat us by 14.3 kopecks, will give us an advantage.

[03:27] Essentially, when we bet, we need to guess more than fifty-three- four percent from our bets, and over the long term, that is, these three long term, that is, these three kopecks, they will bring us a profit. Yes,

[03:39] but what's the problem with all these received bets? When you test your algorithms for searching for a boulder, you don't know their bets. Will they significantly bring you profit? That is, you need to develop

[03:52] the dispersion. To understand whether your algorithm is making money when searching for boulders, you need to download the dispersion. Make thousands of bets. While you've made thousands of bets, for example, let's open a

[04:04] bets, for example, let's open a calculator. I don't remember the calculator now. make 30 bets per day, multiply the dispersion by 30 days.

[04:20] Once you develop a thousand lines, in just a month, this is very long. Moreover, you need to manually search for 30 bets per day. This will take you a

[04:32] lot of time. It's not a fact that at the end of these thousand bets, you are important to your algorithm. That is, they will show you the profit directly. They can also show the loss. Therefore, it is

[04:48] precisely to develop the dispersion and understand whether your algorithms are making money or not. This is probably the most difficult boulder on inserts because you do

[05:02] boulder on inserts because you do n't know in advance. And again, manually searching for moon bets is very time-consuming. Most people, that is, professionals, use automation, there are various tables, various

[05:16] various tables, various software, they write their own bots that help them search for boulders and bets according to their algorithm because manually Again, ten thousand bets, it will take you, well, six months, that's for sure. That's why

[05:34] automation gives you many advantages, but again, this is not a cheap distinction. Therefore, when you place boulders bets, you also need to take into account that you need to bet a

[05:49] fixed amount in this bet, on average, this is no more than one and a half percent of your gaming bankroll, because variance can minus. For example, we need to make 1000 bets,

[06:06] and our balance, for example, is thousands of rubles. Let's take this: we will bet accordingly one percent, respectively, 10 one percent, respectively, 10 rubles each. Our graph and the final over

[06:20] the course of 1100 watts may look something like this. This starting point. Here, that is, our thousand rubles, the graph might look something like this: a sharp drop and then a rise, rise, rise, that is, you

[06:36] then a rise, rise, rise, that is, you can go into the minus, for example, I don’t know, can go into the minus, for example, I don’t know, 50 denominations, yes, that is, lose half of your gaming, crawled half of your gaming bank, but over the long term, over the

[06:49] long term, this dispersion is rocked if our algorithms are chosen correctly, that is, we rock the romka and we directly have this carpet value, it’s

[07:05] and we directly have this carpet value, it’s big, then over the long term, again, this will bring us a profit, but at first, this can lead us into a small minus, can lead us into a small minus, so when you make it, make his

[07:19] loonie bets, you should always understand that you need at least 100 denominations of that you need at least 100 denominations of gaming in order to directly gaming in order to directly rock the dispersion. Now, let’s

[07:33] figure out about bookmakers. It’s worth mentioning that in nasty bookmakers, it’s best to place bets directly on boulders and bets. Well, probably the ideal, where professionals end up,

[07:48] where professionals end up, is Pinnacle Pina Colada, but what else are you doing there? is Pinnacle Pina Colada, but what else are you doing there? Vios, so what else are Vios, so what else are there? In general, large

[08:01] Asian bookmakers, large Asian bookmakers, which are directly loyal to professional players because in our recreational areas In general, CIS offices

[08:13] because in our recreational areas In general, CIS offices we take the bookmaker's line and directly take the profits from Abakan.

[08:26] directly take the profits from Abakan. And the bookmaker's office has a negative attitude towards the CIS, especially towards Valu Cheka, that is, towards those who take the profits. And over the long term,

[08:39] cut. You will need to create accounts. At one point, Valu Cheka, that is, those people who beat the bookmaker's line, several bookmakers are tired of it all: constant

[08:54] tired of it all: constant changes in drops to constant registration of new accounts, and they simply switch to the Mercedes Pinnacle bookmaker. Pinnacle is the largest bookmaker, it is the bookmaker that

[09:08] calculates probabilities best of all, it is the best drunk bookmaker, but it is also a bookmaker with a very strong bookmaker line, that is, this office is the best to read in the area of probability. Yes, this office always has the

[09:23] best, the best verified line, the best odds. But if you can beat the Pinnacle lines, as for the bookmaker, but far from many, you

[09:35] can earn money at the Pinnacle bookmaker, and many professionals end their careers. Pinnacle spinach or practically no one cuts accounts, and even if they cut, they stand, leaving the possibility of

[09:48] betting there, there are 50 dollars, 30 dollars, that is, without problems, so we are all professionals, ending our journey directly in the bookmaker's office at Pinnacle. So I think you understand that making

[10:06] half a bet you need to be guided by automation, which withstands automation, acquire, that is, where to find and services that allow you to find boulders bets. Here I chose several services,

[10:18] and immediately from the Russian-language market, this, of course, resorted to the link again, I will leave under the video, as we see there is a section here recorded a video about this, here is

[10:36] the service itself, which in general is a bot that finds boulders bets for you, gives your task simply to place as we see the bot over the entire period of operation of the role of nine percent, that is, the profitability of the turnover is a very large good swarm, and by betting

[10:53] you will definitely go into the plus. Here is the scale, that is, the time scale of profit, that is, here you can see how time has changed the state of the account in a given period of time, winnings, returns and losses, the

[11:09] percentage of wins are shown, as I already I said, 52 percent, and the average odds are 218. Here you get odds, you can bet. I don't remember the cost, three thousand

[11:21] But this is probably the only product on the Russian market that can be used. Furthermore, the value-bet service is a free service. I already gave a link to it. The bad brains, which means they give

[11:40] boulders and bets absolutely free here. Well, mostly foreign offices are here, and you can use this service on the Pinnacle Betfair exchange. But again, there aren't many events here, many are erroneous, that is, no one. The service sometimes makes

[11:54] mistakes, but its advantage is that it's free here, that is, absolutely free boulders and bets. Monetarists in live mode. Further, Monetarists in live mode. Further, fish betting service is foreign. I think it's

[12:09] fish betting service is foreign. I think it's Austrian. There is also a boulders service here. It Austrian. There is also a boulders service here. It has to lock. The monthly subscription costs has to lock. The monthly subscription costs 69 euros, for a year it costs 400 euros. It's a

[12:21] very good service, has proven itself well on many on many foreign forums. I read reviews about it foreign forums. I read reviews about it here. Basically, when betting on

[12:33] Valu, other types of bets, you will need to use either Asian or large European offices. Unfortunately, there are no Russian offices on consoles thanks to this

[12:45] thanks to this service. Further, Being a model is a fairly well-known service, anyone who has used it knows the cost of a monthly subscription here is 50 euros, the cost of a monthly subscription for fibroids is

[13:01] 125 euros, but you can read further here about the differences. There is a service called Super Myth, but in further here about the differences. There is a service called Super Myth, but in reality there aren't as many Val Boulder

[13:16] 2 bets as I would like, and it will be very difficult to gain variance here, so unfortunately, there used to be a lot of value bets here, that is, I monitored strong ones, it unfortunately, now it's impossible, so I use this service for seconds,

[13:31] but he also knows the ATF service, stay, and ATF service, stay, and this service is also paid. The cost of the full service is 40 euros per month. Here you can choose your country,

[13:44] the bookmaker, the odds you want to see for boulder bets, and receive boulders and bets directly. I think it's clear that all these services are paid, well, clear that all these services are paid, well, except for under the brain, it's not clear that the

[13:59] service will not give you absolutely free bets, that is, waves, so be prepared for the amount. I also advise you to take the amount if you put it on the moon boulders and bets. The balance should be taken at least 300 dollars or euros, so that when you

[14:19] least 300 dollars or euros, so that when you reach the turnover, you There was at least some profit because, for example, the profit can reach 20-30 percent in a month. If you bet roughly 10 rubles,

[14:33] you bet roughly 10 rubles, you won't earn anything. Let's now figure out the dispersion. There is such a thing as dispersion, I already said, that is, the thing as dispersion, I already said, that is, the spread of bets is 1100 for you, two thousand

[14:45] which we can see some specific result that some specific result that we either have or don't have. we either have or don't have.

[14:59] if you do boulders, bets on odds from 1.8 to 2.5, odds from 1.8 to 2.5, why? Because there is a boulder and bets up to which are on high odds, on odds of 8,

[15:12] on odds of 75, and by betting on such odds, you can have an unrealistic spread. What does this mean? That is, if we bet on odds of 1825, yes, we need to guess approximately

[15:30] yes, we need to guess approximately 52-53 percent and after a thousand bets, we will get some kind of result. Some result will already be visible. Are we on the right path when searching? A boulder of their bets or not if

[15:45] when searching? A boulder of their bets or not if we bet on odds of 35, the we bet on odds of 35, the money scale of our money line, our finances, can be like this, for example, yes, that is, we can go down, down, down,

[15:58] and then gradually, gradually, gradually rise, and here a very large dispersion is required. Here, when betting on odds of 35,

[16:10] when betting on odds of 35, somewhere around 5,000 bets are required to make 6,000 bets. somewhere around 5,000 bets are required to make 6,000 bets. Because in general, how can I explain it to you? It means when we bet on high odds, we need to

[16:24] guess, well, on average, there is 30 percent. If we are talking about odds of 56, If we are talking about odds of 56, we need to guess 20-30 percent of the bets we make, and for now, we are taking this distance because it can

[16:39] be mistaken. You can start betting up to odds of 5-6 and yours will not look like this, that is, your graph will look, for example, you can immediately go up to, but then you will go down, then, that is, it can

[16:54] be chaotic. It is a correct graph indicator, that is, this is the starting and ending point of your balance. It will be shown only your balance. It will be shown only after a new 5100 Then and while you're

[17:06] gaining, you can go into a huge minus, and it will take a lot of time. That is, you won't be able to understand from the start whether you've chosen the right path or not. whether you've chosen the right path or not. So, you've settled on odds of 1825 2

[17:20] You need to make fewer bets to see if you're on the right path overall. Yes, because this is a common

[17:35] because this is a common problem, you also need to look at which offices you're betting with. For example, I said again that it's good to make a contour bet on large Asian companies. But let's look at this example. For example,

[17:49] the bookmaker 1x, but I think it's no secret to anyone. It intends to inflate its odds. His luin, his lunar bets, cantharidin, ex-

[18:01] His luin, his lunar bets, cantharidin, ex- bed, it's just darkness. Also, an example for you of how to bed, it's just darkness. Also, an example for you of how to look for Valu and at an exhibition. For example, here I am, as he said, there is a god. The Pinnacle office is the largest

[18:13] Asian bookmaker. It offers the most accurate line, the most professional there analyzes the line better than anyone, reads probabilities, and there are the best odds there.

[18:26] If you, for example, go sideways, we would have fewer books, which Pinnacle has, and let's say for one match, you have odds there, for example, here Let's odds there, for example, here Let's open Paint 1919 again, and you go to

[18:38] WinXP, look, let's say, at the victory of the first team, 21 points to the victory of the second team, there are 1 and 9, or there are 18. That is, you see that the bookmaker intends to eliminate the placing bets on odds that are higher than the

[18:53] Pinnacle odds, and over the long term, you can play in the plus very well-established line. Professionals play there. Professionals move the money line to one of the Matt, everything is wrong, one of the bad ones steals the line on one of the bets, there is

[19:10] no large turnover, that is, there is no way to get the right lines. Therefore, if you simply bet on one of these, on odds that are higher than Pinnacle, and over the long term, at a distance, by 2 units per unit, if you

[19:26] bet higher, you will directly play in the plus. That's actually what I directly play in the plus. That's actually what I careful always making forks, or rather, making boulders and bets and

[19:41] testing various search algorithms. How to search in general for boulders and bets, that quite simple. It is necessary that you keep various information on foreign news sites.

[19:56] specifically if because first of all, this information appears on the club's website before information appears on the club's website before or there are news sites for football, football analysts in England, Lithuania in general, despite what you bet in general,

[20:14] a bet on Volyn, what does a lunar bet mean? You need to make your own assessment of this match, that is, you need to analyze all the information about this match, for example,

[20:31] from the match Dnepr vs. Petrov, you need to analyze this match and, for based on the probabilities of how you assess the strength of this match, that is, which team is stronger than them or weaker, injury, there are many factors to analyze and

[20:47] you need to set your odds. Then you directly need to compare them with the odds of 2 mix and bookmakers. If the probabilities you set show that the odds of 2 place bookmakers, for example, on the victories of the first

[21:00] team, are overstated, then you can place a bet and over the long term, this will directly bring you profit. All links guys, on the difference, I also want to recommend you a forum here or by others

[21:16] recommend you a forum here or by others here, this is a foreign forum, there is a lot of useful information here regarding the shaft regarding other matches regarding forks, you can go and read who is not He knows English and

[21:29] can use Google Translate. There's a lot of useful information that I wanted to share with you guys. Subscribe to the channel, like it, join our group, and find free forks. I'll

[21:46] leave a link under the video. I'm posting absolutely free forks there. If you have any questions about the Boulder matches, because it's clear that I ca n't tell you everything in these 20 minutes. If you have any questions, write to me either on

[22:01] Telegram, it'll be under the video, or in our group. I'll be happy to in our group. I'll be happy to answer. Actually, all the services for searching for answer. Actually, all the services for searching for Boulder matches also gave a 3-bet rating. That's all.

[22:14] Boulder matches also gave a 3-bet rating. That's all. Thank you all, guys. Bye. Thank you all, guys. Bye.