Trading the Payroll: The Secret Revealed!
45sStarts with a dramatic live trade and a teaser about the 'secret of the payroll,' hooking viewers immediately.
▶ Play Clip"The title promises a 90% success rate, and the video delivers a specific, backtested strategy with a live example, though the claim is anecdotal and not statistically proven."
The video presents a specific day trading strategy for trading the US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) release on the Brazilian Mini Index (WIN). The creator, Viana, explains the setup, emphasizes the critical role of broker execution speed, and shares a live trading example that resulted in a profitable trade.
Viana introduces the video by showing a quick trade example and promises to explain the 'secret' of trading the payroll data, along with the concept of pullbacks.
The strategy is simple: use a 1-minute chart, wait for the 10:29 candle (one minute before the 10:30 release), and place a trade based on its color. If the candle is green, sell at the low; if red, buy at the high.
Viana emphasizes that the most important factor is the broker's execution speed. He claims that only XP and BTG did not skip orders in his tests, and he recommends BTG. He warns that order skips can turn a winning trade into a loss, especially with a tight stop loss.
He advises using a stop loss of 100 points and a take profit of 150 points. He stresses that the NFP is the most volatile economic indicator, so a larger stop loss is not advisable.
Viana criticizes Brazilian brokers for passing the blame (the 'Calcutta syndrome') when orders are skipped. He advises viewers to record their screens as evidence and to report issues in the comments to help others.
Viana explains the concept of a pullback: when the market retraces 50% of a leg, it often returns to the adjustment line (VWAP). He uses this to find better entry points, often after exiting at break-even.
Viana shows his actual trading session, including two break-even exits and a final profitable trade on the payroll. He also mentions using Profit Ultra to gauge algorithmic selling pressure.
He claims the payroll setup has a very high success rate, citing only two losses in 2024. He encourages viewers to backtest the strategy using replays.
The video provides a clear, actionable strategy for trading the NFP on the Mini Index, emphasizing the importance of broker execution and risk management. The creator's live example demonstrates the strategy's potential, but also highlights the need for a reliable broker.
What is the reference candle for the payroll setup?
The 10:29 candle on a 1-minute chart.
08:13
If the 10:29 candle is green, what trade do you place?
Sell at the low of that candle.
08:25
What is the recommended stop loss and take profit for the payroll setup?
Stop loss of 100 points and take profit of 150 points.
04:27
Which two brokers did Viana say did not skip orders?
XP and BTG.
02:01
What is the 'Calcutta syndrome' in the context of brokers?
When brokers pass the blame to each other (e.g., broker blames the platform, platform blames B3) and nobody takes responsibility.
05:14
What is a pullback in trading?
When the market retraces 50% from its high to its low, often returning to the adjustment line (VWAP).
10:53
What is the success rate of the payroll setup according to Viana?
He claims it has a very high success rate, with only two losses in 2024.
17:12
Broker Execution is Critical
Highlights the often-overlooked factor of broker execution speed in day trading, which can be the difference between profit and loss.
02:01NFP is the Most Volatile Indicator
Provides a clear risk management rule based on the extreme volatility of the NFP release.
04:27Simple Candle Color Rule
Offers a straightforward, mechanical rule for entering trades, making it accessible for beginners.
08:25Pullback Definition
Explains a common trading concept (pullback) in a clear, practical way, useful for understanding market structure.
10:53High Success Rate Claim
Provides a specific, testable claim about the strategy's performance, encouraging backtesting.
17:12[00:02] Hey everyone! Look how crazy the market is going to get now! Viana, you're going to trade right now? Yes, I'm going to place a buy order. If it goes up, I'll buy, take 150 points of loss. Let's go! I bought it, it has to go up, duh! It
[00:20] loss. Let's go! I bought it, it has to go up, duh! It paid, I won! But the thing is going down, what kind of witchcraft is this? That's what I'm going to explain to you, the secret of the payroll today, right after the intro, and I 'll also talk about pullbacks. So
[00:33] 'll also talk about pullbacks. So come welcome! I'm Viana, it's a great pleasure to have you here on my channel. You
[00:47] know, go ahead and leave a like, subscribe to the channel, activate the bell, and follow me on the other network for other tips and content. Become a member of this channel too, the link is here. In this video, guys, about payroll, I stopped trading
[01:03] guys, about payroll, I stopped trading for a while, I came back, and many people are like, "Wow, Viana, it's an entry that makes sense, I've already done the replays here." It's rare to get a "L," you understand? If you do the replay, I'm going to teach you
[01:17] today how to trade the PIR. It's very simple, you won't have any doubts. I'll tell you... I guarantee you'll know exactly when to enter the payroll data, without a doubt. It 's very simple, you just need a little agility, and the
[01:31] a little agility, and the main thing is what I'm going to talk about now. Let's go to the chart. Well, folks, first of all, there's a technique for trading the payroll data that's very easy. I 'll put it on the screen right now. There are
[01:45] also teach it in "Operating Candles". There's no secret to the one- minute chart, but there's one thing you have to pay close attention to: the broker you're using. I've tested it on several,
[02:01] and I can tell you that the only two brokers that didn't skip only two brokers that didn't skip orders were XP and BTG. And why am I saying this? Because you saw at the beginning of today's video that it seems like the
[02:16] market went down and paid me. It happens that there's a delay, that is, a It happens that there's a delay, that is, a lag in showing you the position because, since there are many trades like that in milliseconds, the platform takes time
[02:34] to show you what's being drawn, let's say. So, at that moment, which I 'll show you again here, the market seems to have gone down, right? But it paid me, even though I... I bought it
[02:51] me the upward movement it me the upward movement it made, but the broker paid me, the execution by the broker was very good. I can tell you that with all the
[03:04] other brokers, I would even like you to leave in the comments which broker you use and if you skipped the order or not. So put there, you use broker X, didn't skip the order, or skipped the order,
[03:19] because when the order is skipped and our Stop is very small, what happens? I'll draw it here, uh, happens? I'll draw it here, uh, supposing that
[03:31] supposing that the 10:29 candle, I'll explain it nicely here, okay? So the strategy
[03:44] So the strategy entered at the high of the 10:29 candle, 1-minute chart, it was a buy, and then imagine that my order was skipped, that is, the market went like this,
[03:59] I get 150 points of profit here, I don't get it, great, but since the order was skipped, that's what the order was skipped, that's what
[04:11] I bought here, and then it falls and gives me L, to here, like the... "It's very short, 100 points, there's no point in using a long Stop Loss here, okay? It starts the movement, it does n't even move a tiny bit down, it
[04:27] goes and pays in a millisecond, okay? Don't risk more than 100 points in an operation like this with extreme volatility. Nothing has more volatility, no economic indicator, not even GDP or interest rates, nothing has more volatility
[04:43] than the payroll, okay? Payroll in the United States. So, if your order jumps and you're using 100 points of Loss, you'll end up taking that loss because any little movement here is 100 points, okay?
[04:58] So execution is the secret here. Look who would have thought, right? That who would have thought, right? That Brazilian brokers don't offer an adequate service. And I always say it's the Calcutta syndrome. You call the broker and they
[05:14] 'll say, 'Oh, it's An Lógica,' you talk to An Lógica and they'll say, 'Oh, it's B3, B3,' they'll probably say, 'Oh, the problem with the broker is one passing the buck to the problem with the broker is one passing the buck to the other,' the Calcutta syndrome, it's one passing the buck,
[05:28] one pushing the buck to the other, one pushing the buck to the other." Trying to blame each other and nobody takes Trying to blame each other and nobody takes responsibility. So firstly, record the screen at responsibility. So firstly, record the screen at the moment of the mistake. Secondly, I don't
[05:41] can see there's no link there, right? I have a partnership with a Forex broker, right? I have one with Zero Markets and with Hantech. The link is in the description, okay? But I don't have a
[05:53] partnership with Brazilian brokerage firms, precisely so I can tell the truth. I would like to have a partnership with BTG again. I think I'll really use BTG. I won't say why I
[06:09] don't use XP anymore, I didn't have a good experience using XP, but good experience using XP, but their execution is very good, okay? I won't say what happened. If you have problems with brokerage firms, I would really appreciate it if
[06:23] you left them in the comments because this helps other people open accounts with good brokerage firms. Oh, Viana, I have an account with such-and-such brokerage firm and my order skipped. Oh, they charged me
[06:37] Any problems you have, leave them in the comments of this video, you'll be doing a service to the nation, okay? Public utility, okay? Many people have doubts when choosing, take advantage, people! I'm not going to say anything here, I've already
[06:52] said I use BTG, and I've already said that to this day I've only never seen orders skipped on BTG and XP, even though I really like XP, I can't say their execution is bad. And Genial too, Genial has a wonderful execution, it used to have the best
[07:07] execution in Brazil, I don't know how it is today. Now, the other brokers... I've also used them all and unfortunately I don't recommend any of them. Oh, to trade the payroll, it's very simple, 1-
[07:33] and any news works, but I'll talk about the payroll. The payroll happens at
[07:47] 10:30 sharp. The reference because many people think the trigger is at the time of payment, but not that you're going to
[08:01] trigger is at the time of payment, but not that you're going to read the candle – you're only going to read one read the candle – you're only going to read one candle, and it's very simple to read one minute before, so it's one candle. So, on a 1-minute chart, each candle
[08:13] currently on a 5-minute chart, each candle represents 5 minutes, okay? So the reference candle at 10:29, if it's
[08:25] 10:29, if it's green, you sell at the low, you put a knot in the... At least in my head, it worked when I learned how to take 100 points of gain for
[08:41] take 100 points of gain for 100 points of loss. Today I'm taking 150 in game, I'll put it in green here,
[08:56] game, I'll put it in green here, 150 in game and 100 in loss. If it If it 's
[09:15] red, the format doesn't matter, okay? If it's like this, I'll it's like this, I'll place a buy order, I won't click buy, sell at market. No, if I click and
[09:29] hold shift, I place a buy order. If I hold control, and I think it control alt, I sell, I place a
[09:42] sell order. So, since it was red, I'll always do the opposite, a always do the opposite, a buy order up there, 150 points of gain, same thing, 150
[09:57] thing, 150 for loss, which is what happened today, including a buy order,
[10:16] S loss. Put it here in the correct color to make it more didactic, down here, green, saying I win. Okay, that's all, folks, nothing more, just
[10:28] Okay, that's all, folks, nothing more, just that. I'll take this opportunity to talk to you that. I'll take this opportunity to talk to you about... Today's trading is as it went. I'll share the operational data now. It triggered a sell entry down here, hitting
[10:41] breakeven. That is, exiting at 0 to Z0, it moved 112 points, 110 points here, 115 (I don't remember exactly), and then returned to 0 to Z0. It came back here
[10:53] came back here and triggered this sell entry. I entered a sell position and made a profit. So this is a pullback. What is a pullback? The market moves 50% from its high to its low, so this is a pullback.
[11:06] For example, this line you see here is the adjustment. So what see here is the adjustment. So what happens is, it went up, returned to the adjustment, and it would have been possible to enter a buy position here. This is a
[11:18] buy position here. This is a pullback. Ah, it fell, returned to the adjustment. I could have clicked sell here, but I waited for a red candle here rejecting it. And also, the VAP (Value Added Percentage) – you can back the VAP, or you
[11:31] can simply measure the size of a leg. For example, the market went up from here to here, where it's halfway, the halfway point is around here. When it returns here, I look for buy entries. Okay, so I wait for the candle to give me a
[11:46] trigger, like, "Oh, it closes a little hammer here, right?" or "It closes a full-bodied candle like this, right?" Then I go and buy, or simply on the touch. So, pullback, that's it. I love entering pullbacks. Generally, I enter
[12:01] pullbacks when I exit at break-even, like what happened here in the first candle, right? Look, it hit break-even, so I enter again, right? I should be short down here. I'm in profit, I'm short here, right? Or still here, right? So it's always thinking like this: "
[12:16] I'm in profit." The pullback gives you an entry at a better point, right? You wouldn't be short down here, right? It's like you're in this
[12:28] trade, but with a bonus up here. You wouldn't be short here, so you exit the trade at break- even. And guys, a lot of people complain, "Oh, I took a lot of Break-Eva." Me too, guys, I take a lot of Break-Eva, okay? Especially because here
[12:41] on the channel I don't trade using average pricing, and for those who don't use average pricing, you have to use Break-Eva, it's more annoying. There will be days when I exit at break-even, but it's... How a beginner should start is how you're going to win in the market.
[12:56] I know what I'm talking about. I could easily tell you how much you have, like 100,000. Let's put 10,000, then enter with 100 contracts, and do the crazy average price. But no, it does n't matter if you have 1
[13:08] one contract and do what I'm saying. You managed to close a month in the positive, then you do the average price, join my live trading room, and you get months of live room access. Schedule a meeting
[13:22] with my team to ask for a discount or a better package. But don't forget to participate in my " Trading Candles" course, which was re-recorded at the end of the year. So it's brand new. It was
[13:37] first recorded in 2020 and has been re-recorded now, and I put it in the correct order that you should learn. Today I have experience as a teacher, unlike in 2020 when I was just starting out, my
[13:51] first experiences. The classes were in 2020, right? I started in 2019. So today, after tens of thousands of students—where I counted, it had already passed 40,000 students, it must have passed 50,000 now, I don't know—and I've dealt with a lot of people. I know where the
[14:07] students' pain points are, which trades they should learn first, how they should learn them. So this course was re-recorded with a lot of care course was re-recorded with a lot of care to give you a
[14:22] sequence that makes more sense, right? For beginners, if you follow the sequence, the plan I have in "Operating Candles," and you also get a live room with me twice a week during the trading session. I even do live auctions
[14:35] the trading session. I even do live auctions with you, and that will help you a lot to clear up doubts, to hang out with people who are on the same path as you and who have already reached where you want to go, which is my case and the case of some students who
[14:49] live room too; many are in the live room today, they continue, and they've already turned the key. So it's a good place for you to make friends instead of bringing your friend who isn't. Interested in day trading or anything? Join the
[15:03] live trading room and let's make a living from the market! Okay, I'm going to show you today's trading and how it went because I recorded it. Let's go! Well guys, I was on the auction screen, as you can see, and I didn't have
[15:16] time to show you me clicking on the first candle, but I entered there, look, I entered on the first candle, look, as you can see, that screen I was on before was the auction screen. And then I exited at 0 to 0, I placed this
[15:33] And then I exited at 0 to 0, I placed this other sell order here, it went through, and I other sell order here, it went through, and I exited with another break-even point on the VAP. And then I 'll show you, after two break-even points, I entered the PB of the adjustment. I'll
[15:46] put it here for you to see. And then I entered again because it was rejected on the VAP, rejected on the adjustment, closed below the VAP, and I'm also looking at the players VAP, and I'm also looking at the players who are selling. I also use Profit
[16:00] Ultra to help me see if the algorithms are selling, and here are the players I'm looking at who are selling. Leave a comment if you want me to make a video just about Profit Ultra. Okay, I'm not going to make
[16:14] any trades. I'm just going to show you Profit Ultra. What I look for in it, leave it in the comments. And here I am again, right? After two breakevens, right? I got five points in the first one, 10 points, so it's a good broker, right? BTG
[16:29] paid me. BTG, let's do a partnership again, I'm thinking of going back. I was with BTG for almost 2 years, I went to XP, I went to Genial, and I miss it, you know? I'm going to
[16:42] contact them to close a partnership again. I'm recommending you for free, again. I'm recommending you for free, right? And Carol also always used BTG. Well, here I am protected. Hopefully, I don't get another breakeven, three breakevens and
[16:58] get another breakeven, three breakevens and I get pissed. It always comes out like that, but today there's the payroll for us to trade, right? I was away from the payroll for a while, and many people said, "But Viana, it's an entry, it's the entry with the highest
[17:12] success rate." Yes, payroll is the entry with the highest success rate. Doubt me, that's what I always say. Look for yourselves, open replays, it's just one day, the first Friday, open the last first Fridays, there you go, and do it. A replay
[17:27] will show you when it gives an L (loss), it almost never gives a loss. In 2024, I think it had two losses, right? And the risk-reward ratio is 150 points of gain for 100 points of loss, so it doesn't give back even a single day of gain, do you understand? So open the replay, you
[17:42] 'll see with your own eyes. Let's go to the payroll. Well, I'm here at the to the payroll. Well, I'm here at the 10:28 candle, the 10:29 candle will open soon. Okay, let's get
[17:54] 10:28 candle, the 10:29 candle will open soon. Okay, let's get ready. Look, let's set up a strategy with 100 points of loss for 150 points of gain. Oh, and if I press shift I buy, if I press Alt I sell. On the trade, it's the
[18:11] control, right? I'm closing background tasks here so the computer runs smoothly, so there's no problem. Oh, it was your computer, right? The computer works fine all the time, but
[18:24] Of course it's not the computer, right? It's the execution, either from B3 or the logic board or the brokerage when it skips the order. So I'll leave my computer here just running Profit and... The screen recorder I
[18:37] use is OBS, you can download it, but you don't need OBS to record just the screen. I have it for streaming and everything. You can download a screen recorder from Google, just Google "screen recorder". 5:43 already positioned to buy here
[18:51] because there's a red candlestick. It went all the way down, I'm holding there. Look at this craziness! Look at these two lines you see there, green and yellow, that's where the candle should be. The
[19:08] candle isn't following, it's already gone up and it looks like it's down there. But what happens is the candle has already gone up, but the platform, the brokerage or B3,
[19:20] couldn't show it. Look, there you see, the candle going up, and the market is down there, meaning it's already down there, and the candlestick that the platform is showing, I think, is taking too long to show the candlestick pattern there,
[19:35] to show the candlestick pattern there, right? Look at the delay there is, the delay there is, right? Look at the delay there is, the delay there is, and that's why many brokerages give you a loss. But they should
[19:49] reimburse those who have problems. And he recorded the screen. So what happened? Look, I placed a buy order here, he went there and paid, but it took a while to draw went there and paid, but it took a while to draw the candle for me here, right? And he paid the
[20:03] 150 points. I hit the day's target with the payroll. So, Trader, tell me, did you win? Did you get the payon? Leave your questions in the comments, and until the next video. I want to learn how to trade on a dry chart without indicators, looking only at candlesticks,
[20:18] the famous Price Action, with videos teaching step-by-step all the rules of the method and essential tips to win in Day Trading. The course is on trading candles through the Hotmart platform. The link to access all the
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