Analyzing Matches for Corner Kicks
44sShows the step-by-step process of combining statistical and visual analysis for betting, appealing to those seeking an edge.
▶ Play ClipAI Summary
In this video, sports analyst Gustavo Bauman demonstrates his method for analyzing football matches to profit from corner kick betting on Bet365. He combines statistical data with visual game analysis to identify high-value betting opportunities, emphasizing a long-exposure strategy called 'le'.
Chapters
[00:01]
Match Analysis Approach
Bauman shows how he analyzes a match both statistically and visually, combining the two factors to make informed betting decisions.
[00:57]
Corner Kick Statistics
Teams that average 3+ corners per game tend to score at least 2-3 more corners late in the game, especially against weaker opponents.
[03:01]
Live Operations with Students
Bauman watches matches live with students from his training method, using visual resources to complement statistics for corner market bets.
[04:12]
Combining Factors for Confidence
He combines statistical data with visual game reading to reinforce entry decisions, identifying opportunities when market conditions align with his strategy.
[05:09]
Long-Exposure Corner Strategy
Bauman uses a long-exposure corner strategy called 'le', waiting for market symmetry and high EVV bets within his work profile.
[05:24]
Green and Red as Consequences
Wins and losses are consequences of a well-executed strategy; consistency comes from focusing on win rate rather than individual results.
Bauman emphasizes that profitable betting requires preparation and discipline, with green (wins) and red (losses) being natural outcomes of a sound strategy. He encourages viewers to focus on long-term win rates rather than short-term streaks.
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Mentioned in this Video
Study Flashcards (5)
What is the name of the long-exposure corner strategy mentioned by Bauman?
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What is the name of the long-exposure corner strategy mentioned by Bauman?
easy
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It is called 'le'.
04:56
According to Bauman, what should bettors focus on instead of worrying about individual losses?
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According to Bauman, what should bettors focus on instead of worrying about individual losses?
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They should focus on the win rate and success rate of their strategy.
05:51
What two factors does Bauman combine in his match analysis?
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What two factors does Bauman combine in his match analysis?
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Statistical data and visual game analysis.
00:28
What does Bauman say about teams that average 3+ corners per game?
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What does Bauman say about teams that average 3+ corners per game?
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They tend to score at least 2-3 more corners late in the game, especially against weaker opponents.
01:31
What is the 'notebook bug' mentioned by Bauman?
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What is the 'notebook bug' mentioned by Bauman?
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It is a bug on Bet365 that prevented him from working a limit line.
04:26
💡 Key Takeaways
🔧
Combined Analysis Method
Bauman explicitly states he uses both statistical and visual analysis, a key insight for bettors.
00:01
📊
Corner Kick Pattern
Teams with high corner averages tend to increase corner count late in games, a valuable statistical pattern.
01:31
⚖️
Green and Red as Consequences
Bauman reframes wins and losses as outcomes of process, not luck, emphasizing discipline.
05:24
💡
Focus on Win Rate
He advises against worrying about short-term streaks, a core principle for consistent betting.
05:51Full Transcript
[00:01] show you in practice how I analyze a match analyze a match statistically and visually. Up to this point, the example I'm going to show you is from a game
[00:14] I worked on. Okay, so I'm going to show you what I did in the analysis. What was my thinking versus how I was following this match? It's important that you know this. So I analyzed it statistically and I
[00:28] 'm also analyzing the game; I'm combining the two factors. In this entry that the computer screen for the video, I want to invite you, if you're not yet subscribed to the channel, take the opportunity to subscribe, and if you
[00:42] leave a like. My name is Gustavo Bauman, I 've been a sports reporter for over 4 years, and it's a great pleasure to have you here with me in this video. Let's go then to the content. The average number of
[00:57] The average number of The only games where they didn't score 3 corner kicks were in the game against,
[01:10] corner kicks were in the game against, obviously, a much stronger team, and a game on the day... 18/03/2022 against Al Shabab, who are also very strong, they scored a number of goals, but none were scored against, only one.
[01:31] three away games. playing like this, will score at least
[01:43] two or three more corners at the end of the game. I'll probably look for a slightly longer line.
[02:46] [Music] So it's paid, is that what you wanted?
[03:01] waiting for the limit, now we have money in our pockets to work with. have money in our pockets to work with. This limit has already been paid, right? was watching this match along with some students from the
[03:17] training method. Well, we have a room in the codes exclusive to students where we do live operations. One of the fundamentals of one of the strategies we use is the visual resource of the
[03:30] matches. Okay, this will bring advantages to you because statistics, just from the graph there, you won't be able to know. Okay, besides, today it's very especially in the corner market, being interviewed with the crumpled lines that
[03:44] the market is offering for... People, we never really know why a game with several stoppages, injuries, and the game's prognosis is very uncertain based on the graph; you can't tell if that line has value or not.
[03:57] So we use visual resources, but you also saw that I used statistical data from the teams. I need this statistical data to read the game sometimes, but this
[04:12] read the game sometimes, but this reinforces my ability to make my entry with even more confidence. So I combine several factors, and then I identify that I have an opportunity there. Okay, this game still had
[04:26] possibility of working a limit line, but the bet365 market didn't allow it because of that famous " notebook bug" (if you already have this bug in your account, comment here). So I anticipated an entry that I could have made later on.
[04:42] I saw that I had an opportunity offered by the market, and that opportunity that the market offered, along with my strategy, which is a long-exposure corner strategy that I
[04:56] call "le," so I saw the opportunity coming together. With my strategy, and there I managed to combine the two, I had market symmetry. It's a bet that has more EVV, it was within my
[05:09] work profile, so I simply have to do what I'm doing: being in the market. I don't know when the opportunity will appear. My role on this side, and yours too, is to be prepared so that when it appears, you're
[05:24] in the market. Green and Red, folks, are the consequence of a job well done. We will inevitably take Red, but the construction of a
[05:36] profitable bettor, a consistent bettor, the profits of a consistent bettor are made up of a few Heads during the month. That's why you ca n't worry about one, two, or three straights in a row, okay? Because sometimes
[05:51] they are part of your strategy. The important thing is for you to understand the win rate and the success rate of your strategy. In this link below in the video description, there will be a video talking about win rate;
[06:07] it will appear here in the card for you as well, okay? So that's it, folks. This was the way I analyzed this match up to the entry point. You saw that it show the game here on YouTube, but you saw that it was quite
[06:21] straightforward. I analyzed it. I analyzed everything, matched it all, made the entry, and as I said, Green Red is the consequence. We're in this together, until next time.