EL ÚNICO MÉTODO para GANAR DINERO con las APUESTAS DEPORTIVAS ✅ 100%

[00:02] with sports betting is covered in this video. We'll start with how sports betting works, then I'll explain why 95% of bettors lose their money. I'll also tell you which bets are impossible to win with

[00:19] 100% certainty. After that introduction, we'll, of course, see what the only strategy is for making money in sports betting. I'll finish the video by showing real results so you can see that

[00:32] this strategy really works. After watching this video, you'll only have three options: decide that it's not for you and therefore stop betting, continue making losing bets for fun (but at least knowing that you're going to lose), or

[00:48] implement the method I explain and start making money with sports betting. Any decision you make will be fine because at least you'll have made it with knowledge. How sports betting works is something

[01:03] many of you probably know, but others don't. Bets and the payouts for each bet are related to the probability of that event occurring. Let's look at a simple example: a tennis match in which both players have exactly a

[01:18] 50% chance of winning. What will we be paid for betting on either player one or player two? 2s will be 2 for every Euro bet. The odds they

[01:30] are paying us are proportional to the probability of victory. Let's look at another example: same match, but the percentage changes, and now 70% is for changes, and now 70% is for player A and 30% for player B.

[01:44] Therefore, the odds they will pay us also change and will become 1.43 for player A and 3.33 for player B. As you can see, if the probability of a team or player winning changes, the odds also change. Now I will explain about the

[02:00] draw. But first, I want to show you the relationship between probability and odds. If we take the second example and bet 1000 times on player number

[02:12] two, having a 30% probability of winning, we will win a total of 300 bets. winning, we will win a total of 300 bets. 30% of 1000 is 300, which multiplied by the odds of 3.33 gives us a total of $1,000 in

[02:27] 3.33 gives us a total of $1,000 in winnings. In the end, we neither win nor lose. And that is the objective of bookmakers. And now, yes, regarding the A draw is exactly the same, but the proportions and odds are distributed across

[02:40] three instead of two. In this bet you 're seeing, instead of having two options, we have three: team one wins, a draw, or team two wins. The only difference is that if the probability is divided, the odds

[02:54] probability is divided, the odds are also divided, resulting in 66% for a Villarreal victory, 28% for a draw, and 12% for Maccabi. Now I'm going to explain why 95% of people who bet lose. With the

[03:09] calculations we did before, placing 1000 bets theoretically means you won't win or lose, and that's where the bookmakers' trick lies: the commission they charge. You don't realize it, but they charge it. And this is a

[03:25] hidden commission, because if they asked for it for every bet you place, most people wouldn't bet. They know this and therefore hide it. This hidden commission is called

[03:37] the payout. Let me show you with an example: a tennis match where both players have exactly a 50% probability of winning. If we win, as we've seen, we should be paid 2 for every dollar bet. However, that's not what they

[03:52] bet. However, that's not what they pay us; they'll pay us less, for example, pay us; they'll pay us less, for example, 1.85 for every dollar bet. We'll calculate it this way: We'll always lose if we bet on a

[04:05] player 1000 times. Since they have a 50% chance of winning, we'll win a total of 500 bets. If we multiply that by the odds of multiply that by the odds of 1.85, we get a total of

[04:19] 925 just from hidden commissions. You can verify this yourself: go to any bookmaker and find a bet with two options to calculate the probability. You just have to divide one by the odds, for

[04:33] example, 1.85, and multiply it by 100. That way, you'll get the probability as a percentage. You calculate the two probabilities, and if there were no commission, the sum of both probabilities

[04:46] should give you 100. But as you'll see, the sum won't be 100; it will be higher, and the difference is the commission they're charging you. You can also do this with matches where... There's a tie. And that's why

[05:00] matches where... There's a tie. And that's why 95% of people who bet lose their money. Watching this, it seems impossible to win, but the reason I'm making this video is because it is possible, and I'm going to show you

[05:13] in a second. But first, I want to talk to you about bets that you're talk to you about bets that you're 100% sure to lose in the long run. As we'll see in a second, there will be bets you can win, but

[05:26] in well-known leagues like the Champions League, the Spanish League, the English League, the Italian League, the NBA, or any league with a large audience and a lot of betting, large audience and a lot of betting, bookmakers perfectly calculate

[05:39] the probability and therefore the odds. They spend billions and use thousands of data points for this, so you, with your laptop, looking at whether they've won their last five matches or if they never lose at home, aren't going to get any

[05:55] value, which is what I'm going to explain next, and therefore it will be next, and therefore it will be impossible to win in the long run. Of course, you can place a bet and win, but in the long run, you're going to lose

[06:08] due to the commission I just explained. Hence point two that I mentioned at the beginning: you can continue making losing bets. But at least you'll know that in the long run you're going to lose. And now, yes,

[06:21] the only strategy to win with sports betting is a single winning method or strategy in the long run. Before explaining this

[06:33] method, if at any point you're considering dedicating yourself to betting and earning a salary from it, I recommend you watch the entire course. It's 100% free, and I'll tell you everything you need to know, the best tips, and I'll show you the thousands of

[06:46] dollars I earn with this method, the thousands of bets I place so you can see I'm not a snake oil salesman. If you want to succeed, watch all the videos, use the same software, and don't fall into the trap of scammers. This method is

[07:00] based on value betting and is basically taking advantage of the bookmakers' mistakes. I've already said that in very well- known leagues they don't make mistakes, but in lesser-known leagues they do, and we're going to take

[07:15] advantage of that. Let's look at an example: two teams, and each team has a 50% probability of winning. However, the bookmaker makes a mistake and thinks that instead of 50/50, the probabilities are 70/30. Therefore, the

[07:31] bookmaker... It's going to give us odds of 1.43 for team 1 and 3.33 for team 2 instead of the $ for each dollar bet that we should be getting

[07:44] paid. In this case, I think it's quite obvious that we'll have to bet on team 2 since it's the team that's paying us more than it should be paying us— 3.33 instead of the 2. That's where

[07:59] the name " value bets" comes from: betting on a bet where we get paid more than we should be paid. Let's do the math. We're going to make this bet 100 times with a real probability of winning of 50%.

[08:16] Therefore, we're going to win the bet 50 times. If we bet 1 for each bet, we'll have bet a total of 100, and the winnings will be 50 bets

[08:28] won times 3.33, which would be 66.5. Obviously, we're not going to bet on that same match all the time,

[08:44] but we can place bets again and again that They have that value and in that way generate profits again and again with a draw. It's exactly the same with this strategy; making money in the long term is guaranteed, and I'll

[09:01] show you with data. I'm going to show you the bets in an Excel spreadsheet sent by the software I use, which I recommend, and you can see all these results in a link in the description. This Excel spreadsheet already has more than 17,000

[09:16] saved predictions, so the results are very reliable. The column that says "odds" is the odds we place on the bet, and the column that says "real odds" is the odds we should be paid. If you

[09:33] notice, when we place these bets, we are being paid more than we should be. That difference is the value, and since we are going to make money in the long term, the money generated thanks to this value is in the last

[09:50] column and is always increasing, whether we win or lose. The money is generated, and the column of euros earned is the money actually earned with our successes and failures. In the short term, there can be variation; we can

[10:07] win more than we should have won, or we can lose money even though we would have You may have won, but in the long run, the estimated profit and the actual profit will be exactly the same, and you can

[10:22] exactly the same, and you can verify this in the graphs for each month. The green line is the actual profit, and the blue line is the estimated profit. Sometimes our winnings will be higher than what was generated, and sometimes they

[10:39] will be lower, but in the long run, if you look at the totals with if you look at the totals with more than 16,000 bets, both will be equal. That's why making money in the long run is guaranteed.

[10:54] Obviously, you have to place bets above the odds to beat, which is the actual odds, and without fail. You know you have the link to this Excel file in the description. If you want more information about the software, you can click here,

[11:09] and if you want to see the entire free course, which I recommend, you can click which I recommend, you can click here.