Gold Price Surge Explained — Full Breakdown & Transcript

[00:04] Today 10 grams of gold has become worth ₹155,000. Gold has become costlier by ₹3160 in just one day today. And if we talk about the last one year, gold is up 30% at this time. Now you might be thinking that this is just sentiment. What is so special about this? But

[00:20] brother, listen carefully. The price of gold is not just a price. The price of gold is not just a price. The price of gold is also the thermometer that measures the world's fever. [nasal sound] When gold is running so fast,

[00:33] it means there's something fishy going on somewhere in the world. There is something wrong. Somewhere trust in something big is being lost. Then Sona runs away headlong.

[00:45] So today I will tell you what that problem is. And I will explain it to you in such simple language that even if there is a 10 year old child in your house, he will understand the whole thing. I will explain it in such a simple way. So brother, please understand it carefully till the end. Because

[01:01] in the end I will tell you one thing which these big banks and research companies never tell you openly. Because it is our job, brother, to tell you the truth. I will brother, to tell you the truth. I will give you the complete analysis. So let's start brother.

[01:18] Suppose there is a school. Real money is not accepted in that school canteen. Tokens work there. Principal sir gives 10 tokens to every child and one token gives one samosa. Everyone is happy with this system. Everyone is having fun. Now one day the Principal Sir

[01:35] felt that the children were a little angry. Let's [nasal sound] give them more tokens. He gave each child 100 tokens instead of 10. Now just think what will happen with this? The same number of samosas are being made in the canteen as were being made earlier. The

[01:51] made earlier. The number of samosas has not increased but the tokens have increased 10 times. So what did the samosa seller do? He said that now one samosa will cost 10 tokens, brother. This is what inflation is.

[02:06] And here understand one thing very carefully. The value of samosas has not increased. The samosa of the samosa has remained the same. The value of the token has decreased. Samosa has not become expensive.

[02:18] of the token has decreased. Samosa has not become expensive. Your token has become cheaper. Now try applying this to the real world. The currency in the world is the dollar. currency in the world is the dollar. Understand it like this. And the Euros are all the same canteen

[02:31] tokens. Governments can print these whenever they want and as per their wish. Billions of rupees can be created by pressing a button and taking a decision. No one can print gold. Gold has to be

[02:46] dug out from under the ground. It takes months of hard work. It costs crores of rupees. One has to wait for years. And that's all there is below ground. Brother, no man can increase gold more than that. No Prime Minister,

[03:01] no President, no bank, no one can create 1 gram of gold from the ground by pressing a button. Nature has given as much as it can. Now this is the only line brother.

[03:13] Understand it here. The whole story unfolds in this. Paper money can be printed. Gold cannot be printed. So whenever the world starts doubting paper money,

[03:25] people rush to buy gold. And when the whole world starts buying whole world starts buying gold together, the price of gold starts falling. Now let's come to the real question. Why is gold running away right now ? There are three major reasons for this at this

[03:40] time. You will be a little surprised to hear the first reason. You will be left thinking after hearing the second reason You will be left thinking after hearing the second reason and the third reason is scary brother. So listen to reason number one first. You might think that gold is being bought by people getting married or by those

[03:54] who have a lot of money. No brother, not at all. At present, common people are not the biggest buyers of gold. The biggest buyers are the

[04:06] central banks of the countries. Now what is a Central Bank ? I will explain this to you also. Every country has a big bank which manages the treasury of the entire country. Here we have that

[04:18] treasury, the Reserve Bank of India, which is called RBI. In America it is called the Federal Reserve. In short, it is called Fed. These banks are not for common people. These are for the entire country. Now listen to the figure. Last year i.e.

[04:35] Now listen to the figure. Last year i.e. in 2025, central banks across the world had purchased 863 tonnes of gold. I'm talking tons. Not kilos but tonnes and a big research company named UBS estimates that this year also these people will buy around 950 tonnes more gold.

[04:55] Now you think for yourself, when the buyer is not a common man but the entire country, then how will the price come down brother? Now let me explain reason number two. For many years,

[05:07] every country in the world has kept its treasury in US dollars. But now that confidence is beginning to waver. Let But now that confidence is beginning to waver. Let me explain this to you with a story. Suppose all the children of a class deposited their pocket money savings with a boy named Rohit.

[05:23] Why? Because Rohit is considered the most trustworthy. He never [nasal sound] steals anyone's money. Always keeps track of everything. But then gradually some things start bothering the children. The children see that Rohit has

[05:38] taken a lot of loans. Every week he is asking for money from someone or the other. So the children start getting scared that one day he might not be able to return our money. So what did the children do? They withdrew their savings from Rohit and

[05:55] withdrew their savings from Rohit and In this story, Rohit is the dollar and the real thing is gold. This is called

[06:08] dedollarization. That means brother, stay away from the dollar. means brother, stay away from the dollar. The more distance you keep from the dollar, the better. And this is not just my point. Look, Goldman Sachs is

[06:25] hunger for gold of the central banks of emerging countries has not yet been satisfied. And this de-toleration And this de-toleration trend will continue to provide strong support to the gold price from below. [nasal sound] Now let's come to the third reason. I was able to explain these two other reasons in two ways, right

[06:39] ? Please tell me by writing in the comment box brother. Tell me what is the best, no one tells it like this. By giving an example from the story. Now listen to the biggest reason. Here I would like to tell you to listen to this part with a little extra attention. This

[06:54] little extra attention. This is a special thing. The third reason is that the entire world is currently in debt. Michael Widmer is a senior analyst at Bank of America. He has listed three major dangers.

[07:08] Which most people are taking lightly at this time. The first threat is uncertainty about the Fed's leadership. this time. The first threat is uncertainty about the Fed's leadership. That means, in whose hands will the central bank of America be in future ? What will he do? This

[07:22] is not clear right now. The second threat is the structural fiscal deficit of governments. Now this word may seem a bit heavy to you, so I will explain it in an easy way. Fiscal deficit means that the government's expenditure is more than its income. Meaning income is less and expenses are more. For example, if

[07:39] you understand it like this, someone's salary is Rs 30,000 and his expenses are Rs 400, then here structural means that this is not a matter of just one month. This is happening every month. This has been confirmed every month. And the third danger

[07:56] he pointed out is that the share of gold in investors' portfolios is currently share of gold in investors' portfolios is currently historically very low. That means, brother, understand that the shopping has just started. And if you combine these three,

[08:12] I will explain them to you in simple language. If the government's expenditure is If the government's expenditure is always more than its income, then how will that shortfall be met ? And by printing more tokens and printing more rupees and dollars,

[08:30] And by printing more tokens and printing more rupees and dollars, and as soon as more tokens are printed, our and as soon as more tokens are printed, our canteen story will be repeated. The value of each token will decrease. Every rupee, every dollar will become cheaper little by little and the

[08:45] value of the thing which cannot be printed will keep increasing and that thing is gold. Now let's come to the part you're probably waiting for the most. What is the prediction of the world's

[08:58] largest research companies regarding gold ? Let me tell you this also. All these targets which are in ounces, these people give, that is, understand it as per the international market. Therefore, along with every figure, I

[09:13] will also tell you the rough calculation of 10 grams in rupees so that the real picture becomes clear to you. Because look, we are Indians brother. Are Indians. We understand everything in terms of money. I do n't understand an ounce of founce. So I will say ounce also but will explain it as rupee.

[09:26] So I will say ounce also but will explain it as rupee. which means 10 grams of gold can be available for around ₹167,000.

[09:39] 10 grams of gold can be available for around ₹167,000. Goldman Sachs' target is $4,900, which means 10 grams of gold can be bought for around ₹1,70,000. JP 10 grams of gold can be bought for around ₹1,70,000. JP Morgan's target is $5000 i.e.

[09:52] around ₹174000 per 10 grams. Bank of America's target per 10 grams. Bank of America's target is ₹6000 i.e. around $8000 is ₹6000 i.e. around $8000 per 10 grams and now the biggest figure is

[10:08] UBS says that if the tension in the world increases further then gold can increases further then gold can go up to $200. That means

[10:20] go up to $200. That means 10 grams of gold can cost around Rs 2.5 lakh each, meaning 10 grams of gold can cost only Rs 2.5 lakh. And Bank of America has America has also given the figure of $8000 by 2027 in an extreme scenario.

[10:34] also given the figure of $8000 by 2027 in an extreme scenario. how much is a? That is around ₹277000. your mind, right? I think let's go tomorrow and buy as much gold as we can, brother.

[10:47] But wait wait brother, now let me tell you what I had promised you in the beginning. tell you what I had promised you in the beginning. The thing that these companies do not tell openly. The thing that these companies do not tell openly.

[11:01] Often and I am not saying this. His own record says this. You can look at the past and see. Goldman Sachs cut its

[11:13] own target from $5,400 to $900 in June this year. He reduced the entire $500 in one stroke. Why did you do it ? He himself has given two reasons for this.

[11:26] First, the flow of money into gold ETFs is decreasing. And secondly, it said that the rate cuts that were expected from the Fed have been postponed. And not only this,

[11:38] gold has also fallen by more than 10% in March this year. So what do you understand from this? Look, this is not a one-way street. This goes both ways. It can go up as well as down.

[11:50] So those who excite you by just showing you big targets are actually telling you half the story. And half a story is always more dangerous than a complete lie. So now the last and most

[12:06] important question is what should you do in all this? So let me tell you four things. Listen carefully. First of all,

[12:20] [Nasal sound] See and understand the reason for this. Gold is not something that makes you rich. See and understand the reason for this. Gold is not something that makes you rich. Gold is something to save. This is insurance for your portfolio. Understand this. This is not the engine. Secondly, if you are

[12:36] buying with the intention of investment, then do not buy jewellery. There is a making charge on jewellery. GST is charged separately. When you go to sell it, the goldsmith will cut it in different ways in the name of weight and purity. Brother, your buying rate and selling

[12:52] rate will be different. You will be at a loss. All your profits are eaten up in these three places. All your profits are eaten up in these three places. So yes, if you are buying it to wear at a wedding then it is a different matter. Brother, you are not an option for that. You will have to

[13:06] buy jewellery. That is not an investment. According to me, jewellery not an investment. According to me, jewellery is an expense and there is nothing wrong in it. If you need it, buy it brother. There is no problem. Now listen to the third thing. The

[13:19] cleanest way to invest is through Gold ETFs. Or gold mutual way to invest is through Gold ETFs. Or gold mutual funds or nowadays there is also SIP in gold and crypto. I will tell you that one also. Now see, the gold

[13:34] remains digitally in your name. There is no fear of theft, no locker rent, no making charges and selling is as easy as buying. Now let me explain a little about the Gold SIP that I talked about through crypto. Look, today

[13:50] in crypto you can do SIP in Bitcoin. You can do SIP in Ethereum. not available everywhere. And I have given the customized link of Coin DCx in the description. From there you can open an account and do KYC.

[14:03] And yes the link we have given is customized. You can also get free bitcoins from there. If you use the code given on the screen, you will get free Bitcoin worth ₹100. [nasal sound] And if you do any trading in the future, like there is

[14:15] trading in gold also. as you may know. You can also trade in gold. If you don't know then I will tell you brother. You can do it only on Coinsc. Now the best thing about gold is that it is

[14:29] easy compared to other markets. So learn a little about gold prediction. Learn a little technical analysis and you can create an income opportunity by trading in gold. But yes, it is necessary to learn for that. Ok? So

[14:43] you can also trade by trading in gold. The link of Coin DCx is given by me. And you can also do SIP in gold by going to the same Coindix. Ok? Now the fourth going to the same Coindix. Ok? Now the fourth thing which is most important. Do

[14:56] n't invest all the money at once. Apply it wherever you want. Not all at once. Buy a little bit at each dip. Because see, gold has

[15:13] place where you should rush into it thinking it is cheap. Nor is it a place where you should sell everything out of fear. So whatever you do at this time, do it wisely. This could be a good opportunity to trade, brother. Even when gold goes up, there is a trading opportunity. Even if

[15:28] gold goes down, there is still a trading opportunity. Ok? You will have to take care of the remaining investments. So if you understood today's talk then So if you understood today's talk then

[15:42] who has not yet understood the meaning of money properly. Because the thing that we learn after facing difficulties at the age of 35, if someone learns it at the age of 10, then his entire life changes.

[15:55] So in the end, I would like to say one important thing brother, this video is only for financial education. This is not investment advice at all. I am not a SEBI registered investment advisor. Investments in commodities and mutual funds are subject to market risks. All the

[16:10] targets I have told you are estimates from different research companies. There is no guarantee of this. Please consult your registered financial advisor before investing. If you want to trade in gold or do SIP in gold, then

[16:25] we have given the link of Coin DCS in the description.