How I Made $70K Betting MLB in 2024 - Complete Strategy Guide

[00:02] baseball it's now baseball season so I'm making a video about how to make money betting on the MLB I know MLB betting is not as popular people think baseball is boring it's not as popular as betting on the NBA or betting on the NFL but MLB

[00:18] betting can actually be super profitable so last year in 2024 MLB made me more money I made $69,000 total betting on the MLB it was more profitable for me than betting on the NBA and betting on the NFL and what people forget about the

[00:34] MLB that's awesome is there's so many games there's 162 games in the MLB games there's 162 games in the MLB regular season whereas you take football NFL there's only 17 games so more games

[00:47] means more surface area for the sports books to cover more games means more opportunity so that's a good thing you know um so I'll give you a simple example is let's say simply you have a 10% Roi on every single bet you place

[01:02] over the course of the NFL regular season if you're betting every single season if you're betting every single Sunday you're going to make 10% time 17 170% Roi over the course of the regular season whereas for the MLB you know 10%

[01:16] season whereas for the MLB you know 10% time 162 games would be 1,620 per Roi which is obviously much better because you're compounding your money much quicker if you have an edge because there's so many s there's so

[01:29] many games MLB you know during MLB season there's typically 10 12 games a day more games more opportunity to make money and because there's so many games you're your your money is going to compound quicker if you have an edge so

[01:43] in this video I'm going to break down a bunch of different strategies for making money betting on baseball some of these strategies apply to other sports as well some of them are MLB specific things related to correlation but without

[01:55] further Ado let's get into it so my first tip and this is not unique to betting on the MLB but it's literally the core of profitable sports betting for any sport you bet on you got to be doing this and it's line shopping using

[02:09] multiple Sports books and always getting the best possible price so for example if you look at the Nationals Marlins game all these Sports books have different prices on both teams the betting Market is super fragmented super

[02:23] inefficient so you want to be using multiple books let's say we want to bet multiple books let's say we want to bet on the Nationals the Nationals are - 151 on BET online right you got to bet 151 to profit 100 they're the favored team

[02:37] to profit 100 they're the favored team on fliff they're minus 175 so for the exact same bet the Nationals to win the game on one sports book you have to bet 175 to win 100 on another book you only have to bet 151 to profit 100 so you

[02:52] need to be getting the best possible odds right if you're placing bets at- 175 on fliff when there's other Sports books offering - 151 - 155 you're

[03:04] going to make money it's like being a day trader and buying a stock having to buy a stock for 20% more than it's trading at in the market the sports betting Market is so fragmented so inefficient it's amazing it's a huge

[03:19] benefit to sports bets that there's so many books and they all set their own prices because you can shop around and always get the best price so this is completely different you know from like the financial Market you know if you

[03:33] want to buy a stock you're never going to see a stock trading at $151 on eade and $175 on Fidelity that doesn't happen the stock market's too efficient but in sports betting the Market's super

[03:47] inefficient it's super fragmented so you want to be using as many books as possible and every single bet you lock in I have a rule with myself any bet I ever lock in I ensure I'm getting the best possible odds right this is

[04:00] critical doesn't matter if you're betting on player props money lines run lines whatever totals you need to be doing this it sports betting 101 have multiple books um I've used over 50 Sports books since I started gambling

[04:14] and it's essential the second thing is take advantage of promos like a lot of people when I say oh you got to use multiple Sports books they think that's a bad thing it's not all of these Sports books like B MGM Caesars DraftKings

[04:27] they're super regulated they're not going to steal your money your money safe they take just a couple minutes to sign up for and most of these books give you sign up bonuses too they give you lucrative deposit matches you know at

[04:40] the time of recording this video DraftKings had an $1,000 deposit match so you put in a ,000 they give you $1,000 for free right that's a that's a pretty good promo for signing up FanDuel I think they have something like bet

[04:53] I think they have something like bet five get $150 for free if your first bet wins obviously that's a no-brainer you bet $5 on a favored team if they win you turn it into 150 so all of these books run sign up bonuses cuz they're all

[05:08] competing trying to get new customers and these promos are the easiest money absolutely want to be using multiple books taking advantage of all their promos bonuses discounts prize picks

[05:21] Taco Tuesday they'll have a lot of discounts on the MLB you want to be using all these promos to kind of maximize your Roi these promos are the gambling so you want to take advantage of them so I'm aware that getting the

[05:35] best possible odds it may not seem that important you know who really cares if we're betting 100 to win 100 versus 110 but in sports betting you got to remember nobody has a crystal ball nobody wins every single day it's all

[05:49] about getting an edge and winning long term right the best sports betters are going to have an Roi around 10% there's nobody who is winning all of their bets that's just not true so let's say for example you go 500 and 500 betting on

[06:05] the MLB over the course of a season you place a th000 bets here you can see your profit and loss based on the odds you're getting if you're betting at minus10 you're super unprofitable you're going to lose $88,000 if you're betting at

[06:18] profitable you're going to have made $10,000 over the course of the regular season so line shopping getting the best possible prices really matters long term

[06:30] every bet I definitely don't win every bet but if you're getting the best possible odds that's really going to help you you know get to a positive Roi in any sport this isn't just for baseball and make money long term so I'm

[06:45] going to rip through a bunch of betting strategies in this video and honestly most of these strategies they're sharp they're data driven I don't just Place random Bets with my gut so most of these strategies they they work they'll make

[06:58] you money when you're betting on the MLB but they also work for other sports however we are going to discuss some MLB specific betting strategies the first one I want to discuss is called Arbitrage betting it's an amazing

[07:11] strategy it's actually how I started sports betting and what's really appealing about Arbitrage is you're making risk-free profits if you're doing it correctly you have no chance of losing and I've made fulllength YouTube

[07:26] losing and I've made fulllength YouTube videos on Arbitrage betting um on this YouTube channel but basically it's a pretty simple strategy all sports books set their own odds right we've already gone through that so when two books get

[07:40] super out of sync have vastly different odds what you can do is BET The over on one book the under on a different book to guarantee a risk-free profit so

[07:52] you're basically day trading inefficiencies in the sports betting Market you're capitalizing on spots where Sports books are making mistakes to ensure a risk-free profit so I'll give you a simple example that ARB Thief

[08:07] gave out on Twitter um he's an odds Jam user he's a professional sharp Sports better and what you're going to see is he bet on Draft Kings on the game to go under 18 12 runs this was a live Arbitrage bet and he got this wager at

[08:23] Arbitrage bet and he got this wager at -40 on FanDuel he bet the over at plus -40 on FanDuel he bet the over at plus 172 odds so he playing the over 18 1/2 on FanDuel the under 18 1/2 on DraftKings so one bet is going to win

[08:37] one BET's going to lose so we can go through the math really quickly cuz I think that's useful so let's say the game goes over right if the game goes over 185 runs he's going to lose his bet on DraftKings he's going to lose

[08:51] on DraftKings he's going to lose $490 but on fandel he's going to win 310 right his stake was $310 time time 1.72 he placed this bet $310 time time 1.72 he placed this bet at plus 172 odds so that's 533

[09:06] bucks2 so if the game goes over he loses 490 on DraftKings he wins 53320 on FanDuel his net profit is going to be 4320 now if the game goes under 18

[09:20] 1 12 runs 18 or less he's going to lose $310 on FanDuel where he bet the over and on DraftKings he's going to win $490 time1 over 140 350 so he's going to make

[09:33] once again $40 in profit so it doesn't matter he's fully hedge he has no risk betting it's not even really gambling you're day trading inefficiencies in the sports betting market and if the game goes over or under it doesn't matter

[09:50] regardless of what happens ARB Thief is making a r-free profit of approximately $40 so that's really the power of Arbitrage betting it's a risk-free sports betting strategy where you win no matter what happens so I wanted to go

[10:05] through some Pro tips for Arbitrage betting and the first thing is you want to use as many sports books as possible and place as many Arbitrage bets as possible in a given day so for example that same odds Jam user ARB Thief he hit

[10:22] another Arbitrage bet for $68 this Arbitrage play it wasn't between FanDuel and DraftKings it was between FanDuel and Caesars for a between FanDuel and Caesars for a risk-free profit of $68 I'll let you go

[10:35] through the math if you want to so Arbitrage betting you're day trading discrepancies inefficiencies in the sports betting Market you never know which sports books are going to have the best and the most profitable Arbitrage

[10:49] opportunities on a given day so you want to use as many books as possible also when you're Arbitrage betting you're always placing two bets on two different books one one bet will win one bet will lose but you're going to end up with a

[11:03] profit regardless so long story short the more books you use the better every Arbitrage bet you lock in is free money that you're going to get back later that day that's really the power of Arbitrage betting is compounding so you're

[11:18] compounding you can grow your bankroll very quickly when you're Arbitrage daily returns you're not betting on Games 2 weeks away right you're betting on games that day so even if you can make a risk-free profit of 3% you know

[11:34] it adds up pretty quickly you can think about it too you know like let's say you about it too you know like let's say you can hit two Arbitrage bets a day for $30 profit each that $60 risk-free profit

[11:48] you guaranteed yourself that you can use and just save up or you can use that money that $60 risk-free to bet on parlays or more risky bets but $60 risk-free profit every single day right over the course of a month that adds up

[12:03] $1,800 guaranteed profit risk-free profit which is you know essentially how you see people on social media on Twitter who have all green calendars they're making money they're winning

[12:16] every single day and it's because they're only Arbitrage betting I love risk-free profits if you're doing it correctly some days maybe you only make $20 risk-free other days is maybe you make $200 risk-free and some things I

[12:32] wanted to mention about Arbitrage are you want to move as fast as possible these are market inefficiencies so when you're Arbitrage betting it's important to be fast you really are day trading inefficiencies discrepancies between

[12:47] books so these opportunities aren't going to last forever right you want to move fast to get these Arbitrage bets locked in and your goal as a sports better is lock in as many Arbitrage bets as possible in a day because that means

[13:01] you're making as much risk-free profit as possible so you can actually see and again I said Arbitrage betting it works for any sport is I found you know today

[13:13] the day I'm recording this video a risk-free profit of 12772 and this Arbitrage opportunity was between profex and noig so profit X and

[13:25] between profex and noig so profit X and noig are betting exchanges so betting exchanges are peer-to-peer betting sites in long story short what that means is profit X and noig have no limits you can bet however much money you want you're

[13:39] never going to get your bet sizes cut down you're never going to get limited regardless because these are peer-to-peer sites like on profit X they don't care if you're up $100,000 or down $100,000 profit they're never going to

[13:53] limit you because it's peer-to-peer right you're betting against other people so long story short I found this Arbitrage bet on the Yukon Florida March Arbitrage bet on the Yukon Florida March Madness game and I bet on profit X I

[14:07] played Florida spread on noig the other betting exchange I played Yukon spread and you can kind of see on my picket how Arbitrage betting works on profit X because Florida only won by two points on profit X I lost

[14:24] on profit X I lost $4,300 on noig I won $ 4,426 $4,300 on noig I won $ 4,426 so one bet won one bet lost and I ended up $126 guaranteed profit from this

[14:37] Arbitrage opportunity so it works for any sport um it works for any League it's a super effective strategy it's risk-free daily returns and again it adds up quick the reason I started sports betting with Arbitrage is I

[14:52] didn't have a lot of money I was just starting to gamble and all I wanted to do was make money and Arbitrage betting really is the best way to do that because if you're doing it correctly you won't ever have a losing day which is

[15:04] incredible so one thing I wanted to mention because I hear this a lot is people will say I don't want to Arbitrage bet I'm worried about my accounts getting limited or banned I've never been banned by a sports book

[15:18] that's not really a thing and limits are part of the game right I've used hundreds of sports books at this point on some books I've never even placed an Arbitrage bet if you're crushing a sports book you know there's a good

[15:32] chance they're gonna eventually they'll cut down your max bet size that's what's nice again about profit X and noig which are peer-to-peer betting exchanges is they will never limit or cut down or change your max betting limit but for

[15:47] example on DraftKings I just tried to bet on the Dodgers to win the World Series DraftKings was offering the best possible you know odds at plus 290 and you'll see draftking didn't take my bet for $1,000 or $500 they only let me bet

[16:02] for $1,000 or $500 they only let me bet about $ 250 I got limited but you know and you may be like oh that's crazy but at the same time I'm up over $217,000 on DraftKings this is a buck I've been using for 6 years so you know

[16:17] it's kind of part of the game like I'll take some betting limits for $200,000 net profit on DraftKings there are going to be Sports books that limit you and I don't even Arbitrage isn't even the main strategy that I use for

[16:32] sports betting nowadays and I'm still getting limited by some books as I rack up bigger and bigger profits my bet sizes seem to get lower which is why I've started to use these betting exchanges like profit X and noig more

[16:45] and more what I wanted to mention as my second tip for making money betting on baseball is take advantage of the lwh hanging fruit right like I like making easy money so that's why I talked about Arbitrage betting at the start of this

[16:59] video but another easy way to make money is taking advantage of promos so when I started sports betting and was betting on baseball every day I would get home from work and I would check every sports book I used bmgm DraftKings FanDuel four

[17:14] profitable promos odds boosts profit boosts discounts i' check for the easy money because again even if you're just playing promos and you have a smaller Bank rooll you can make thousands of dollars a month if you're using multiple

[17:29] no-brainer promos so I'll give you a no-brainer promos so I'll give you a simple example is one very popular MLB betting promotion on FanDuel sports book one of The 100 plus books I've used at

[17:42] one of The 100 plus books I've used at this point is Dinger Tuesday so FanDuel runs this promo during MLB season and the way that Dinger Tuesday works is if you bet $25 on a player to hit a home run FanDuel will give you a $5 bonus for

[17:59] every single home run hit in the game so if the game has five home runs they'll if the game has five home runs they'll give you a $25 bonus $5 per home run five home runs means a $25 bonus so if you look through the league average

[18:16] you look through the league average right most MLB games average about 2.5 home runs per game so FanDuel is essentially giving you 12250 in expected essentially giving you 12250 in expected value the average MLB game has 2.5 home

[18:30] runs right FanDuel is giving you a $5 bonus for every home run hit in the game so FanDuel is giving you $1250 in bonus value for every single game you bet which is incredible if you think about it some days there's 10 MLB games going

[18:45] on so just taking advantage of fanduel's promo Dinger Tuesday 10 games right 10 promo Dinger Tuesday 10 games right 10 games $1250 in expected value that's $125 a promo value from FanDuel just for one promotion

[19:02] from FanDuel just for one promotion Dinger Tuesday so what I used to do um last MLB season and that's what I'll do this MLB season is I'll look through the this MLB season is I'll look through the odds right for good home run value I'll

[19:15] try to find the best play on FanDuel the best hitter with value on FanDuel for each game bet $25 on that player to hit a home run some players will hit a home run some won't but regardless it doesn't matter because I'm getting $1250 per

[19:32] home run or per game $5 per home run in the game some games will have zero home runs some games will have five home runs but it will average out to giving you about 12250 in value per game that's your expected value and then on top of

[19:47] that if you can find home run picks with you know that have an edge that are plus EV this promo is going to be even more profitable so you know $15

[19:59] in value for a 10 game MLB Tuesday is pretty incredible Dinger Tuesday super profitable promo on fandel that's just one example of a super profitable MLB betting promo that you should be taking advantage of so next we have correlation

[20:16] and this really only works on DFS apps like prize picks Underdog fantasy dabble and better picks these are DFS pick a maps that have fixed payouts but what

[20:28] you can do is you can find correlated outcomes and stack them together so on better I had an absolutely massive day you can see all these plays had overall the same picks CE Abrams young the same names keep popping up and every single

[20:45] slip one I was limited already on better not from Arbitrage on better picks you actually can't even play straight bets so Arbitrage betting isn't even possible I was just limited on better because I crushed the this book and made like 60k

[21:00] last year so they were already limiting me to like $50 or $100 per play but regardless what I did is I stacked correlated outcomes so you can see an

[21:12] example of one of the slips right here is I paired together Dylan CE over in strikeouts and then a bunch of Nationals players the Padres who Dylan CE was pitching for were playing the Nationals so I paired CE over and strikeouts with

[21:29] a bunch of Nationals players to go under in hits runs things like that whatever play had the best value and all of these picks are positively correlated if Dylan

[21:41] picks are positively correlated if Dylan CE is throwing a great game in fact in this game he actually threw a no hitter which is insane if Dylan CE is throwing a great game he's more likely to go over in strikeouts and the Nationals players

[21:56] are more likely to go under in hits run singles hits plus runs plus RBI kind of all the major stat types so all of these picks are positively correlated even hitters on the same team stacking them to go under those plays are positively

[22:12] correlated if the Nationals are just you know not getting on base then every player on the team is less likely to get at bats and they're all more likely to go under if a team's playing really well they're more likely to go over together

[22:26] which you can actually see and another correlated better slip that I ran you can see in this play instead of stacking unders together on better I stacked overs together um there were two picks that had good value Crawford over and

[22:43] hits and same thing with Cal Raleigh over in hits I paired these together if the Mariners have a great game maybe players on the Mariners get seven six at bats right both players are more likely to get on base more to get more hits

[22:58] they're more likely to go over together so these plays are positively correlated so on DFS apps like prize picks better Underdog fantasy dabble there's a lot of exploitable correlation in the MLB you can comment you know on the video if you

[23:14] have any questions about correlation betting but regardless in this video so far we've covered a bunch of different strategies first you got to be line shopping every single pick you lock in you need to be getting the best possible

[23:28] op the best possible price that's the core of profitable sports betting we've discussed Arbitrage betting hedging to guarantee a profit taking advantage of the super profitable promos and now we've discussed correlation so if you

[23:42] have questions about any of these different profitable sharp MLB betting strategies comment them on the video I'm always happy to answer any questions you have and thanks so much for tuning in um I really look forward to this MLB season

[23:55] and giving out picks on social media Twitter live live stream like I always do and yeah have a great rest of your day