AI Summary
This video explains the concept of a 'middle bet' in sports arbitrage, where you can win both bets if the outcome falls in a specific range. The presenter compares it to a standard surebet but highlights the potential for higher profits when both bookmakers pay out.
Chapters
A middle bet is an evolution of a surebet, guaranteeing a win and potentially winning both bets if the result lands in the middle.
In sports arbitrage, you place complementary bets on the same event with different bookmakers, e.g., over 2.5 goals with one and under 2.5 with another.
A middle bet occurs when bets overlap, e.g., under 2.5 goals and over 1.5 goals. If the total goals are exactly 2, both bets win.
With odds of 1.85 for under 2.5 and 2.30 for over 1.5, betting 55€ and 45€ yields a profit of 1.75€ or 3.50€, or 5.25€ if both win.
The presenter learns from an expert who has lived off sports arbitrage for 7 years. He offers a free Telegram and paid courses.
The expert and his partner created a tracker for surebets and middle bets, cheaper than alternatives but with pre-filtered bookmakers.
In basketball, a middle bet on total points (under 158.5 and over 156.5) can win both if the total is exactly 157.
A tennis middle bet involves handicaps, e.g., one player wins by more than 5.5 games and the other loses by less than 4.5 games.
Middle bets offer a chance to win both bets when the outcome falls in a specific range, providing higher profits than standard surebets. With practice and the right tools, this strategy can be a reliable income source.
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Study Flashcards (6)
What is a middle bet in sports arbitrage?
easy
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What is a middle bet in sports arbitrage?
A middle bet is a type of surebet where you place complementary bets that overlap, allowing you to win both if the outcome falls in the middle range.
00:01
How does a middle bet differ from a standard surebet?
medium
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How does a middle bet differ from a standard surebet?
In a middle bet, there is a possibility of winning both bets if the result lands in the overlapping range, whereas a standard surebet guarantees a win on only one bet.
02:16
Give an example of a middle bet in football.
easy
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Give an example of a middle bet in football.
Betting under 2.5 goals with one bookmaker and over 1.5 goals with another. If the total goals are exactly 2, both bets win.
02:29
What is the profit if both bets win in the example with odds 1.85 and 2.30?
hard
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What is the profit if both bets win in the example with odds 1.85 and 2.30?
If both bets win, the total profit is 5.25€ on a total stake of 100€, a 5.25% return.
04:26
Which sports are best for middle bets according to the video?
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Which sports are best for middle bets according to the video?
Basketball, tennis, and American football offer the most middle bet opportunities.
06:38
What is a handicap in tennis betting?
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What is a handicap in tennis betting?
A handicap is a bet on the margin of victory, e.g., a player wins by more than 5.5 games.
08:24
💡 Key Takeaways
Middle Bet Concept
Introduces the core idea of winning both bets, which is the key differentiator from standard surebets.
00:01Overlap Example
Clearly illustrates how overlapping bets can lead to double payout.
02:16Expert Testimonial
Provides credibility by referencing a person who has lived off this strategy for 7 years.
04:54Best Sports for Middles
Practical advice on which sports to focus on for maximum opportunities.
06:38Full Transcript
[00:01] In the world of sports arbitrage, survettes, matchbaiting, and all that, there's a concept, an operation called a middle bet. It's practically the same, but you can win even more money. That's why I
[00:13] treat it like an evolution of a Charmander Million. Why? Because, as I said, it's exactly the same as a middle bet; that is, you're guaranteed a win no matter what happens. If you want to know more about how all this works, I have
[00:25] another video that I'll link here where I explain it in detail. But in this case, the middle bet, as I mentioned, is that you can win even more money; you can win both bets. Anyway, in this video, I'll explain very quickly how it works, a
[00:37] sports arbitrage, you place a bet with different bookmakers, for example, one with b365 and another with William Hill, which are bookmakers. You bet on the same sporting event, for example, a football match between
[00:51] Barça and Madrid, but you also have basketball, whatever, and you have to place complementary bets. For example, with one bookmaker, on the same match, you might bet on over 2.5 goals, that is, 3. 4, 5, 6, or whatever the total number of goals is, or at
[01:05] another bookmaker, you can bet on there being fewer than 2.5 goals. And although you can always find these bets, it wo n't always be a sure thing when the odds (what they pay you on each bet) are
[01:18] related. For example, in this case, there would be a sure thing if, on more than 2.5 goals, they pay you around 75. That is, if you bet, for example, 62 euros, then 62 times bet, for example, 62 euros, then 62 times 1.75 would pay you 108.50 euros, of
[01:33] which you have invested 62. And at the other bookmaker, if the odds were 290 for fewer than 2.5 goals and you bet 38 euros, they would pay you 110. Therefore, if you make both bets simultaneously at the same time in both bookmakers, you would be investing a total of
[01:48] 100 euros (62 + 38) and you would win either 108 or 110. One of these two things will happen, no matter what. Look how I explain it here. In this football match, if there are 00 goals left at the end, then the total number of goals is zero. If there are 10 or 1 goals left, then they score a
[02:03] total of one goal, and so on with all possible results. So, if one bookmaker offers bets on under 2.5 goals and another on over 3.5 goals, you're guaranteed to win one of the two bets. You see, in one you lose, and in the other you win.
[02:16] But this changes a bit with a middle bet because there are options where you can win at both bookmakers. For example, if one of the bets at William Hills is that there will be under 2.5 goals, meaning two,
[02:29] one, or zero goals in total, while at another bookmaker, Better 65, you'll also find bets on over 1.5 goals, meaning two, three, four, five, or more goals. So what happens? Well, if
[02:41] the total number of goals is exactly two, you'll win the bet at both bookmakers. You see? No. If there are 11 or 20 goals left, for example, the total number of goals is 2. And they're going to pay you because you correctly predicted the under 2.5 goals bet, because two goals is less
[02:55] than 2.5 goals. But they're also going to pay you on the over 2.5 goals bets, because two goals is more than 1.5 goals. So it's a sweet deal where there's a cover, okay? You cover all the results on one side and
[03:08] all the results on the other side, but there's a middle part, this part in this case, the second, where they pay you twice on both bets. Although, favorable. They're paying 1.2 here and 1.3 here, so you'll see that
[03:22] the numbers don't add up. But if, for example, William Hill paid 1.85 for under 2.5 William Hill paid 1.85 for under 2.5 goals, you could bet 55 euros, okay? That would be 101 euros at 1.85. And on the other hand, at bet365, if the
[03:35] over 1.5 goals bet is paying 2.30, there are more odds combinations, okay? I'll explain later. If you bet 45 euros, which is multiplied bet 45 euros, which is multiplied by 2.30, you get 103.50 euros. So,
[03:47] if you place both bets simultaneously on William Hill, and instead of 65 (because that's what you in this case for a Middleweight), you would be betting a total of 45 euros plus 55 euros, for a total of 65 euros. And if the bet on Beta 65 wins, since you
[04:02] 've bet a total of 100 euros, the profit would be 3.50. Okay, on the other hand, bet 65 euros, then the total profit would be 1.75 euros. But what happens if, by
[04:14] chance, the result lands right in the center of the bet? Well, you would be winning 1.75 euros on the would be winning 1.75 euros on the
[04:26] the 3.50 euros from the b365 bet. If you add them up, you would win 5.25 euros, which, compared to 100 euros, would be 1.75 euros. The total euros you bet is 45 + 55, which is a 5% return. The good thing is that these five euros you just
[04:40] trade on a match—in this case, Barça vs. Madrid, used as an example, but you can do it with various matches, not just football, but also tennis, basketball, American football, and so on. You can do it several times a day,
[04:54] There are people who dedicate themselves to this, and I, in fact, am learning from a man who has literally been living off this for seven years, so he has a lot of experience. I'll leave his Telegram in the description of
[05:06] free Telegram account where he helps you. He also gives courses where he teaches this; he's a genius, he knows a lot, he's very dedicated to his students. In fact, he explains things to me tricks and that he's been making money with this for seven years. In fact, I've seen him
[05:20] win, well, not in five minutes, maybe 5%, which might only be constantly because he knows how to find the right opportunity. I'll tell you more about trackers later, but I've also seen him earn 170 euros in three hours. What he does is
[05:34] spend maybe three or four hours a day, maybe five, depending, doing this whole sports arbitrage thing in general, and I've Now he's teaching me, and I'm going to do it too. As I said, you have
[05:47] free, and he helps a bit there, but he also has courses where he definitely teaches how to do sports arbitrage, both pre- match and live, where you can make much more money. He and his partner have
[06:00] just created new software; it's a tracker for Schuberts and Middles bets, opportunities and features than any other tracker, for example, Schubert.com. Okay, it's cheaper, it 's also paid, but it's cheaper than
[06:13] many more. The only disadvantage is that you ca n't yet filter by bookmakers or by profit percentage; that comes pre-filtered by him, since he knows a lot, and that way you can see exactly which bookmakers are the best. More
[06:26] opportunities arise from this, so you can create an account and take advantage of it. You In fact, speaking of him, he sent me some examples of middle betting, which is what I wanted to show you. Okay, the other day we were going together, and it's super
[06:38] interesting. You should know that, well, I've explained the example of football, but there aren't as many middle bets in football. You see, there are many more in basketball, tennis, and American football. Okay, those are the sports where the most thousands appear.
[06:51] basketball where we can see here that there's one betting house and this other one. Okay, they're kind of overlapping here, and here's the coupon from one of the if I can zoom in so you can see it a little better. Maybe you see it a little
[07:05] blurry. But well, at least you'll understand how things work. Look, on one hand, okay, we have this match, which is the mobiles against Yoyan Carros. Okay, I don't know much about who these teams are, but that doesn't matter. What matters is that
[07:19] things add up. For example, we have a bet that there will be example, we have a bet that there will be less than 158.5 Total points in a basketball game: you add up the points, just like in football, where you add up the goals.
[07:31] In this case, you add up the points, and if there are fewer than 158.5, meaning 158 points or less, you win this bet. On the other hand, we have this option where there are more than
[07:43] 156.5, meaning there's a middle option where you'll definitely win the bet one way or the other. But it's also possible that other. But it's also possible that the total will exactly be 157. 157 points is less than
[07:57] 158 and at the same time more than 156. If that happens, you'll win the bet on both sides. And that way you'll gain more profit, which doesn't happen because in this case it's a bit improbable since it's exactly 157 points. It doesn't matter.
[08:11] You'll win one way or the other, and that's how you keep adding them up. I'm going to show you another example with tennis. It's the same; I'll try to zoom in, but here's the betting slip from one of the bookmakers, and here's the other. In this
[08:24] case, it's a bit more complex because the bet involves... The topic of handicaps, as I explain, handicaps could be a whole other video, but it's like winning by advantage. For example, in this match, Cressic and Maxim win against
[08:39] Berretini Mateo. Okay, those are the two players. So, if Cressic and Maxim win, but win by a difference of 6 games or more (more than 5.5), well, that's one bet. And the complementary bet—and this is important— is that the other guy, Berretini Mateo,
[08:54] is that the other guy, Berretini Mateo, loses, but by less than 4.5 games. Okay, that's a handicap issue. I'll explain it properly in another video, measure where you're guaranteed to win one way or the other, and there's a possibility that you'll
[09:07] other examples, okay, this could go on forever, but it's so you can see how it works. And I think with this video you can understand what handicaps are. Thank you so much for being here. Smash that Like button if you
[09:19] description to learn more about this in general, and I'll see you in the more about this in general, and I'll see you in the next video. Thank you very much.