Roulette Strategy: Betting on the Hottest Dozen
60sThe opening hook explains a clear, actionable roulette strategy based on statistical trends, which is highly educational and engaging for viewers interested in gambling systems.
▶ Play Clip"The title promises a strategy taking off, but the video shows it failing, which is misleading yet honest about the outcome."
The video demonstrates a roulette betting strategy that targets the 'hottest dozen' and places bets on a specific number and its neighboring double street. The presenter walks through a live session, explaining the progression system and the importance of hitting the six-line bet for profitability. Despite 37 spins, the strategy fails to reach session profit, highlighting the risks and variance involved.
The strategy involves identifying the hottest dozen from statistics and selecting a number (10, 22, or 34) based on that dozen. A $5 bet is placed on the corresponding double street (e.g., 19-24 for the second dozen) and 50 cents on the chosen number with neighbors.
The starting bet is $10.50: $5 on the six line (19-24) and 50 cents on 22 with neighbors. The jackpot numbers are 20 and 22, which are adjacent and covered by the neighbors bet.
On a loss, the bet increases by $5 and 50 cents. On a win, the bet decreases by two levels. The progression continues until session profit is reached, at which point the strategy resets.
The strategy covers 9 numbers (six line plus neighbors), but only 2 are jackpot numbers, making it statistically more likely to lose. The presenter notes they are 'favorite to lose' in terms of covered numbers.
A win on a number pays $220, but since the bet was $10.50, the profit is only $40. The presenter emphasizes that hitting the six line or jackpot numbers is necessary for meaningful recovery.
After 13 spins, the strategy has not been in the green. The presenter notes that all winners have been the lowest-paying numbers, not the six line, which is crucial for the strategy's success.
The presenter mentions that over 37 spins, mathematically, the jackpot numbers should hit twice. However, the session is not going as expected, with the six line not hitting at all.
The six line (19-24) has not hit in 30 spins, despite an expected frequency of once every six spins. The presenter expresses frustration and notes that the strategy relies heavily on this bet.
After 37 spins, the session ends with a loss of $124. The presenter acknowledges the strategy was unlucky and suggests possible adjustments, such as changing the progression rules.
The roulette strategy, while logically structured, failed to achieve profitability in this session due to the absence of six-line hits. The presenter suggests that variance and the specific progression rules may need adjustment for better results.
What is the starting bet in this roulette strategy?
$10.50: $5 on the six line and 50 cents on the number with neighbors.
01:31
How does the progression work on a loss?
The bet increases by $5 and 50 cents each time.
02:02
How does the progression work on a win?
The bet decreases by two levels.
02:16
What are the jackpot numbers in the example?
20 and 22, because 20 is directly next to 22 and covered by neighbors.
02:02
What is the expected frequency of hitting the six line?
Once every six spins, statistically.
18:12
What was the final loss after 37 spins?
$124.
21:52
Strategy Based on Hottest Dozen
The core idea is to use statistical trends to select a number and a double street, which is a common but risky approach.
00:02Progression System
The progression increases bets on losses and decreases on wins, a classic martingale variant that can lead to large losses.
02:02Unlucky Streak
The session highlights the variance in roulette, where even a statistically sound strategy can fail due to short-term luck.
08:47Six Line Absence
The six line not hitting in 30 spins is a statistical anomaly, demonstrating the unpredictability of roulette.
18:12Final Outcome and Adjustment Suggestion
The presenter suggests modifying the progression rules, showing the importance of adaptability in gambling strategies.
21:39[00:02] beta and it's presented to us by Dom. I'll explain the strategy before we get on the table. So, it might take me two spins before we actually get money on we're doing. So, the first thing we are going to do is go to our statistics and
[00:17] hottest dozen. Right now, the second dozen is 40%, okay? Now, [snorts] each has So, if if the hottest dozen was the
[00:30] number. If the second dozen was hottest, then 20 22 would be our number. And then the third, 34. So, that bottom right number on those dozens, okay? Then, what we're going to do is put $5
[00:46] if it's the first dozen, we put $5 on the 7-12. If it's the If it's the second dozen, 19-24. Third dozen, 31-36, okay? people call them double streets. We're then also coming to our numbers
[01:03] and having our neighbors to five, okay? We're going to pick, like I said, it's either 10, 22, or 34. 50 cent on one of those numbers, by five, okay? And then, we're going to progress
[01:18] through our progression I'll talk about when we step back as well. So, let's just double check that the second dozen is still the hot one. It is. Can we get We can. Let me get the bets on straight away,
[01:31] $10.50 starting bet. Looks like this. So, we've got that $5 on 19 to 24. And we've also got those 50 cent bets which are covering 22 and obviously neighbors. So, ideally,
[01:46] 22 and obviously neighbors. So, ideally, we want this in 22. going to do on a loser repeat the bet, simply add $5 and 50 cent. Okay? You can see here our jackpot numbers
[02:02] jackpot numbers are 20 and 22 because 20 is next to 22 directly next to it but it's in those neighbors. we hit a number, it's a winner. If we hit the six line, it's a winner. The
[02:16] progression is come back two levels when we hit a winner. It all depends on the number or reset in session profit. And on the loser, we are simply going up $5 there
[02:30] at how many numbers we cover. Now, it depends on how many jackpot numbers you dozen, second dozen, or third dozen. At the minute with this setup, we have two jackpot numbers. Like I said, 20 and 22. So, we have that six line covered plus 1
[02:46] So, we have that six line covered plus 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9. So, 9 plus Is that close? No, I don't think it's close enough. In fact, it's nowhere near. Let's just get the bet on and I'll
[02:59] continue what I'm talking about. Uh $5 and 50 cent on 22. So, we're going up $10.50 every time we lose. I I need to recount. I sort of forgot what I was saying. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9.
[03:15] what I was saying. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9. Did I say nine last time? of them are jackpot numbers. So, we are favorite to lose in terms of how many favorite to lose in terms of how many numbers we've got covered.
[03:33] Okay, not to worry. Just repeat the bet. $5 and 50 cent. $10.50 each time. When we um win, hopefully we do kind of soon, we are going to come down two levels. So, that would go to 15 and
[03:49] to $1.50. So, you got I have a You got $5 on the number and 50 cent $5 on the $5 on the number and 50 cent $5 on the on the six line, 50 cents on the at the minute. Let's keep on trying. Repeat the bet. $5
[04:07] Let's keep on trying. Repeat the bet. $5 and 50 cent. assuming that the middle dozen is not a jackpot is not the hot dozen anymore, but we're not getting off this set up until we get to session profit and
[04:22] until we get to session profit and reset. what we're on, 22. Looks like we picked the wrong one at the time for the time being, but it could all change if we hit a jackpot number.
[04:35] It's not happening for us. $220 down so far. Let's keep going. $220 down so far. Let's keep going. $5 on that six iron, 50 cent on 22. I'm not changing, but uh that second dozen is still the hot dozen. If it hits the
[04:49] first dozen again, I think the first dozen would go to the hot dozen. And basically, that hot dozen picks if you're going 10, 22, or 34. this hole. We're going to need basically 20 or 22 to land to even kind of
[05:05] recover. That's kind of close. Oh, right. So, to win, but we're only down two levels. but we're only down two levels. So, we're going to 25
[05:27] We hit the numbers, and it only paid us $220. Well, I say only paid us, it made us about $40 profit, but we're already $220 down, so profit, but we're already $220 down, so we need to hit more of those.
[05:41] Ideally, we want that six line or obviously 22 or 20. Hit a number, we're going to come down another two levels. What were we on? We're on 25 so doing 15. 2 3 15
[05:56] 15. 2 3 15 which means we're doing $1.50 here. but the six line is more profitable and obviously the six line and the numbers obviously the six line and the numbers is where the money's at.
[06:17] We wanted 20. One like I said is profitable which at least lets us reduce our bets. So we're actually back to base bet here which isn't ideal but
[06:30] we've completely reduced Well, I say we completely We haven't completely reduced anything but we've reduced the chances of us going bust here. I've got too much money on the numbers. I can see already.
[06:43] numbers. I've got a dollar on the numbers. Yeah, sorry I lost you another $5.
[06:55] So what I'm going to do is just go up here $5. Oops, what am I doing? time we had five and one it should have been five and 50 cent. Sorry about that.
[07:10] How much does that mean I lost? 11? 11 numbers covered 50 cent each year. I It could have gone the other way. We could have won extra money.
[07:24] have I'm going 22 so we're just going to go back one level.
[07:39] we're back at base bet and we're still $109 down. But, we have hit our worst winners. Every winners so far, have been the numbers. If we hit those six lines, we're going
[07:52] into a bit more profit. And obviously, if we hit the jackpot well. Come on, 22. >> 29 black is a winning number off the >> Right. We're At least we're not increasing our bet. How much did we win
[08:06] there? We were $109 down, now we're $101 50 down. So, we won $6.50 there, which is obviously better than losing, but for us to get into the profit, we're
[08:18] going to not need to start hitting some six lines or jackpot numbers. And unfortunately, we're probably going to need to hit some six lines or jackpot numbers at higher levels. And to get onto a higher level,
[08:30] we're going to need to increase our bet, which we're going to do now. $5 and $0.50 on 22. This has not been We're 13 spins in, it's not been in the green. We are slightly on the unlucky side.
[08:47] 15 winning numbers, what's that leave us with? Um nine with? Um nine My goodness, what's 37 minus 22 losers? And our winners have been our worst winners. We haven't hit that six line at
[08:59] winners. We haven't hit that six line at all yet. >> It's a winning number. We're going to come down a level. two levels. So, you just sort of tread water here.
[09:15] 101.50. Well, can we kind of increase it? We're 101.50 down, lost, did our progression, hit our worst winner, and went into the profit. green and not trying to get our money back. That'd be absolutely fine.
[09:36] >> Okay. Congratulations, and let's start over. Congratulations, and let's start over. $5 on the six line, 50 cent on 22.
[09:50] What we're really banking on now is 20 and 22. And to be honest, just that 19 to 24 would really help us out. Because that's going to return $60 and it's a $21 bet. It's going to be nice $40 profit, which we need.
[10:08] winner. We're going to come back down to base bet. Five. And 50 cent. So you can see this sort of grand here. We were $124 down and we're sort of
[10:21] following the progression here and we're now 9250 down. So what's that recovery? That is about $30, which on its own isn't bad. It's just this bit got us isn't bad. It's just this bit got us into deep trouble.
[10:38] $32.50 in about 10 spins, we'd be doing okay. We just haven't been able to get okay. We just haven't been able to get out of that hole yet.
[10:51] increase by five, increase by 50 cent here. See our second dozen our second dozen is now the coldest dozen, but we're not moving off that until we complete this until we get into session profit.
[11:11] to sort of swap over. Remember your number, put the six line on, remember number, put the six line on, remember what progression you were at. Repeat the bet. $5.50
[11:26] on 22. I can't believe we are 18 spins in and that 19 to 24 has not hit.
[11:39] But we're not going to go back to session profit. we'll be in session profit and we can reset.
[11:54] >> Rouglen. Let's go again. Repeat the bet. $5 and then 50 cent. 19 spins in.
[12:09] feels like you hold on, hold on, hold on, eventually hit 20 or 22. Shoot into profit. We do 37 spins, then mathematically speaking, 37 spins, we mathematically speaking, 37 spins, we should hit jackpot numbers twice.
[12:28] over. >> Hey, repeat the bet. Five and 50 cent. We're on a slow death here. The most we were down was 220. We're now 197. If we lose this, if we
[12:42] we're going to be at the lowest point that we have been. >> Bets are closed. Good luck. >> We need to hit that six line.
[12:59] round. Hot number. >> At least we got a winner. So we've been >> At least we got a winner. So we've been down two levels, which is 15.
[13:11] 22 would have been a massive difference there. this would have just completely collapsed, wouldn't it? Because that's
[13:26] collapsed, wouldn't it? Because that's six line has disappeared.
[13:38] Okay. Lost. Repeat the bet. Five and 50 cent.
[13:50] And it Hang on. And can it hit a jackpot number in enough time?
[14:02] And one of our six numbers, that's 19 to 24, has not come in yet. 22. Getting to 22. 31's okay.
[14:14] But not ideal. All right, we're going down two levels. We're going 10. And I guess we can put one here. Let's have a look at these stats. So, we were have a look at these stats. So, we were minus 160, went down, hit
[14:26] our number, which like I said before is our worst winner. And we're $1.50 worse our worst winner. And we're $1.50 worse off than we were.
[14:56] is nice to go back down to base bet in terms of bank roll management. But when we're at this level here, 146.50, not ideal. That I don't think that that happens. You're
[15:10] I don't think that that happens. You're not this far down if those winners are six lines. So, maybe if you wanted to try this out yourself, you say, "Okay, two numbers or a six line." Something along those lines. With it,
[15:22] no, we haven't hit that six line. We've just hit a winning number. Repeat the bet. 18 is close to that six line, and it is a winning number, but it's just not good enough.
[15:34] Just go through these numbers. So, we How typical is that? The last numbers, How typical is that? The last numbers, 19 and 18. Our jackpot number is 22. 19 and 18. I'll tell you what, this this graph here would look completely
[15:47] different if we were either side of that number.
[16:01] I mean, it's nice to win a bit of money. 139 Yeah. I mean, to win what we're winning, 850? Uh 750, sorry. We're winning $7.50, which is nice, but
[16:15] again, all of these winners have been our lowest winners, our our numbers, our lowest winners, our our numbers, rather than our six line.
[16:27] >> Don't really mind losing, because I feel like we need to increase our bet a bit like we need to increase our bet a bit to get back. So, five and 50 cent.
[16:39] We're 27 spins in, not been in the green once.
[16:52] remarkable to go the full 37 spins without hitting that six line. I'm not just asking to hit that six line. >> 25 ready to win a number of this. Don't congratulate yourself, Mr. Aro. >> All right, repeat the bet.
[17:05] >> All right, repeat the bet. Five and 50 cent. Five and 50 cent. Come on.
[17:17] I'll be honest, that's a good looking graph. terms of obviously that six line hasn't been unlucky in terms of wins and loss probability. I don't think so. 12 to 16
[17:31] about right. Go on get stay in 22. It's bouncing in 22 and then it pops out. bouncing in 22 and then it pops out. We've got to come down two levels.
[17:48] Oh my goodness me. I tell you what, the the sector targeting is pretty good. Uh we're around 22 and we've gone 9 18 18 18 which is right
[18:00] next door. Like four times we've been right next door.
[18:12] that six line hasn't turned up. I mean, I can believe it. That six line should come up one in every six.
[18:26] in terms of that six line. So, in 30 spins, we should have at least hit that six line five times. Is that right? Five times or five times. Is that right? Five times or six times? Five times I think.
[18:44] All right, we'll repeat the bet. $5 here, 50 cent here. Hit that six line just one time in the video, please. Just so I can I don't think this is going to make it to $100, but just so I can show you that those
[18:59] wins are bigger than what we've been previously doing. Like our biggest win here was 220 to 168. So, that's not a bad win, but that was our lowest potential win.
[19:18] number. Congratulations. >> Repeat the bet. Five. 50 cent. Now, section saying is you need to change your six line. I think that that's going
[19:32] to be difficult to do because we should technically if we like reset, we'd be on that first dozen now and our number would be 10. So, if it was landing in that six line there from seven to 12, we'd be winning.
[19:46] But that would just be too difficult to do, to be honest. Especially on a speed table. >> 30 red is the winning number. >> All right, coming down two levels. 10.
[20:02] So, that if we were on the first dozen following the winner, that would have been a six line payout. Profit would be pretty good.
[20:14] it, but um you you'd definitely make a mistake at some point.
[20:26] >> Right next to 20, a jackpot number. It's just not happening for us, is it? Uh five guys? We're on 34 spins. We've got three left.
[20:40] We are going to go the entire session without hitting that six line. Which this strategy just needs it needs to land on that six line, otherwise this to land on that six line, otherwise this is what the graph looks like.
[21:01] bet, but we hit it. And the graph looks a little bit better. So, that was our lowest lowest bet. Oh, we're not reset them because we're not in session profit. Um that was our lowest bet and we made 158
[21:16] to 121. So, we made $30 there. Now, you can imagine if we were on step three, step four, step five, if you were on step five, that's $150 profit. At least we managed to hit it once.
[21:39] but we're already at base level. This is our last spin, guys. Uh never got into the green, but I do think it's been unlucky in terms of those six lines because the progression has come down to on a winner.
[21:52] just not enough. So, maybe we recalculate this one as hit two numbers and then come down, or maybe come down one level on a number coming down two levels on a six line.
[22:06] You can have a play around with this yourself. 37 spins, $124 down. strategy in. It's not going to go through to the next round. Let me know I'll see you in the next video. Cheers, guys.
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