LIVE: Trading Crypto and Prediction Markets! [Kalshi]

[00:00] Another day, another slide in crypto prices.  Bitcoin hit a 365 day low today. I got a   notification on my phone and that is very  depressing whenever this is your full-time  

[00:14] industry. We're going to be jumping into not only  the crypto markets. Do I think we can go even   lower from here? What altcoins are maybe looking  like good long-term buys or maybe even that they   could dip lower? And on top of that, of course,  we will be jumping into a more profitable section  

[00:30] of markets right now, which is prediction markets.  I have a few selections over the course of today.   We'll live trade a little bit of stuff as well,  and just go over where I'm finding value and edges  

[00:42] in the prediction market sector, especially in a  time period where it's very hard to make profit   in the crypto market. So, without further ado,  let's go ahead and jump right into it. Before we  

[01:04] jump into it, as always guys, if you're new to the  channel, my name is Hustle. We're live three to   five times a week with videos and live streams to  help you win across crypto and prediction markets.   So like the video down below and subscribe to  the channel. If you're watching on Twitter,  

[01:20] just hit the little heart button down below  as well. And just a big shout out to Kalshi,   the official sponsor of the live streams here on  In the Game. If you go in on Kalshi and trade $25,   they'll give you $25 absolutely free right on top  of your account. So, check out Kalshi down below  

[01:37] in the description. Let's just go ahead and jump  into it. We'll start with crypto before we start   having some fun in the prediction market sector.  And yeah, not a lot of fun happening in the crypto   space. I mean, really, Hyperliquid has been the  only thing saving our portfolio over the course  

[01:55] of this time period. It's been really rough.  We see Bitcoin down 18% over the 30-day time   period. Ethereum, Vitalik sold 800K worth of  ETH last night. I mean, can he read the room  

[02:08] like where we're at right now? Bit Curious Mom,  haven't watched since the Pegasus days. That is   better time periods than right now in crypto. I  can tell you that. I'm so glad you're back in my   algo. I appreciate you stopping in. 2022 has been  a long time. So, awesome to see you here in the  

[02:25] chat. Champ, what's up, my brother? Hope you're  doing well. Well, we jump into prediction markets.   I know you've been in those trenches recently.  But first we're going to start with crypto. Like,   this market's been absolutely brutal, guys. And  to be completely honest with you, I wouldn't be  

[02:38] surprised to see a slide closer to that 67,000  level. It's getting to the point where a lot of   people are thinking, "Yeah, we can go lower."  you know, oh, I'm shorting the markets. So,   you have to be wary. The whole crowd on crypto  Twitter is starting to move towards ultra bearish,  

[02:54] like the industry is over. Just short, you'll make  money. I don't know that that's necessarily the   case, but I wouldn't be really surprised to see  us grind down towards that 67,000 level. Which is  

[03:06] where actually the ETFs did initially go live for  people like BlackRock and other institutions. So,   for Bitcoin, 67,000 is kind of like if we go lower  than 67, I think we're in some pretty big trouble.  

[03:20] And usually, you know, the bottom would be marked  by October 2025 to October 2026. So, we still have   traditionally whenever it comes to the four-year  cycles time period, we still have eight months  

[03:35] to go before we see actual, you know, a bottom.  So, really have to buckle up here. Maybe around   midterms, Trump can save our bags. And it's crazy  to think that Trump's on Twitter, some of these  

[03:47] clips that he's been during interviews saying that  he's done so much for the crypto industry. I don't   know about that. I really don't know about that.  And looking across altcoins right now, Solana,  

[04:00] I do have an open short on Solana. I wouldn't be  surprised to see this slide to 95 93. I am taking   profits on it actively though just because the  market is probably overdue for a bounce at this  

[04:13] point in time. Hyperliquid up 30% this month which  like I said is basically saving our portfolio by   itself which is awesome to see. In a time period  so gloomy in crypto. This is one of the only coins  

[04:26] in crypto that I had been advocating to dollar  cost average whenever the market was tanking. And   at these levels here at $20, like and we look at  the alt chart here, that level was just screaming   to buy. We saw it at $11 in April of 2025. We  hadn't seen $20 since May of 2025. And now we're  

[04:50] sitting here January, February of 2026, up 132%  year-over-year. And on the monthly chart, during   one of the biggest market collapses and worst  sentiment that we've seen in quite some time,  

[05:03] we're seeing Hyperliquid up 30% at this point in  time. So, let's just break it down piece by piece   here with crypto. Do I think we can go lower?  Yes. I wouldn't put all my chips in that basket,   however, because everyone on crypto Twitter  now is a bear. And when everyone's too bullish,  

[05:19] it usually pays to go the opposite way. When  everyone's too bearish, it also pays to go   the opposite way. Will everyone be a genius  thinking that we're going to go lower? We'll   see. I have my eyes set on 67,000 for Bitcoin.  So, if we hit that level and go lower than that,  

[05:34] then I do think maybe we are in a little bit  of trouble. If there's one coin I'm DCAing in   the market today, it's probably Bittensor or TAO.  It's under $200 at this point in time. I just feel   like that is a crazy crazy undervalued price  for something that is leading the AI sector.  

[05:51] I think Hyperliquid probably cools off just a  little bit during this time period. So for me   the one coin that I would be DCAing other than  Bitcoin of course would be Bittensor TAO. So I'm  

[06:04] actively watching Solana. I'm watching Hyperliquid  to see if it cools off a little bit and also TAO.   It is good to have our Hyperliquid bags packed and  have that as such a big piece of the portfolio in   a time period where it's not a lot of fun stuff  going on in the crypto markets. But let's just  

[06:21] jump into where we are actively making money  which is actually the prediction market side   of things. I mean we have been absolutely cooking  in the prediction market trenches between mention   markets, sports, government shutdown markets, all  that good stuff. We just can go look at some of  

[06:37] our positions we played out today. We actually  had an esports one here that's pending payout.   This one I wish I got more shares in because he  didn't end up speaking, but regardless profit   there. I'm trading the Chipotle earnings call  later today. We'll give you the scoop on that  

[06:53] one. Get it scoop, scooping the proteins into the  burritos. I do have an EFL Cup play as well. We'll   get into and I did take a long shot stab that  the government shutdown will last another day,  

[07:05] but it looks like I might be cooked on that  one. But I didn't put too much money on it. So,   let's just roll through here one by one. And I am  trading the Chipotle earnings call today. I think   that there's probably good value on this. And  for some reason, earnings calls have been doing  

[07:20] very well for me. We'll start with mentions.  We'll roll into sports in just a second. But,   mention markets have really been a money  maker for me during this time period.   Just being able to study some of these press  conferences between Trump and Kash Patel from the  

[07:35] FBI and Mamdani the New York mayor or announcer  markets for NBA, NFL, etc. And they're actively   adding college basketball, they're adding UFC  on the weekends because they know football's  

[07:48] coming to an end and us degenerates that need to  trade mention markets need something to trade.   So they're actively adding more sports which  is phenomenal. But we can actually go through   here and you can see a lot of earnings calls.  Reddit, Snapchat, Chipotle today, EA, Google,  

[08:04] Coinbase. So, there's a lot to trade during this  time period for mention traders. And I showed the   graphic of volume on the mention market side of  things. The growth is insane. Just the other day,  

[08:18] just the other day, it was $350 million in volume  on mention markets. Prediction market seems like   a guess market. Well, it's guessing if you don't  do your research, but it's not guessing if you   actually do your research. So, you utilize tools  like mention metrics, for example. You can jump  

[08:35] in here. You can utilize this and go in let's  just say politics. Let's choose let's just go   Karoline Leavitt. You know, she always does the  White House press briefings. And let's just say  

[08:49] stupid. There's always strikes for stupid question  for her. So stupid. Karoline Leavitt, no, it's   not showing up there. Let's just say Biden. Biden  always comes up. She says it about six times every  

[09:02] time she speaks. You can find data like this.  So you can guess if you don't do your research,   but if you actually do your research and utilize  some of these softwares out there that will help   you get an edge, then it's definitely not  guessing. And as far as earnings calls go,  

[09:16] these are some of the easiest ones to do research  on. They're recorded. You can go watch each of the   last, 20 quarters of some of these companies  and their earnings calls. So, definitely not   guessing if you're putting in the research. If  you're just jumping on here and saying, "Hey,  

[09:31] I like Carne Asada Steak. I'm just going to  say yes on that." That's definitely guessing.   But as far as today's Chipotle call, I like  Al Pastor. No. I just feel like for this one,  

[09:44] it's one product that they recently had the carne  asada. So, speaking of the carne asada, I think   they mention that before they mention Al Pastor,  but I actually got 200 shares at 10 cents. So,   I'm only risking $20 and this could actually pay  me out $200. 180 in clean profit if they do not  

[10:04] say the words al pastor. I feel like they might  talk about new product offerings or other stuff   like that, but maybe not specifically mention  the al pastor. And this is getting bought up.   It's actually almost double the price. Double  the price of whenever I bought it. So it's at  

[10:20] 17 cents right now. I bought this at 10 cents.  Brewing I mean it's with every market, you know,   I could you could hop on crypto every day in long  or short. That's guessing, right? So it's the same  

[10:32] with everything. The more work you put into it,  the less it's a guessing game. But share purchase,   I have yes. And honey chicken, I have yes. This is  an upcoming product offering for Chipotle. Those  

[10:44] are smaller positions. They'll make up for the  money I put on Al Pastor if those do cash. But   I'm more focused on Al Pastor and I will be live  trading it. So, whenever this is live at 4:30,  

[10:56] we will not be here. We're not going to stream for  two hours today, but during the 4:30 time window,   I will be trading this. And I will say I will  limit sell this if it goes up. So, the good thing  

[11:08] about this as well is we can literally go in here  and say, "All right, I bought this at 13 cents."   You can see on the right side, just like anything  else in crypto, you can set a limit order and you  

[11:20] can sell at a take profit, a stop-loss, or you can  buy or sell at a certain price that triggers your   trade. Same thing with prediction markets. We can  jump in here and I bought this at 13 cents, let's  

[11:32] just say, or that's the current price it's trading  at that I could sell it. So right now if it goes   up to 85% chance of no. So let's say 50 to 70%  through the call they have not said al pastor and  

[11:46] I want to exit if this hits a certain price point.  I can set the limit price. I'll just go like 75.   That's still really fair. So I could actually exit  here and it'll sell all my shares if we get to  

[11:58] that level. Or I could even set a limit order just  to cover like part of my position and let the rest   ride. So, that's actually something I might just  go ahead and do. And you can cancel these orders  

[12:10] at any time. I said to sell half my position if  the no price gets to 75, which will then cash me   out above my profit. And I'm basically riding  the trade risk-free. So, I'll be live trading  

[12:22] this and actively looking out to get profits on  the Al Pastor. I like Al Pastor, I might actually   just ate lunch, but the Chipotle call is probably  going to make me hungry again. Everything altcoin.  

[12:35] Do you use any Intel apps for prediction markets?  Yeah, so I like to use like I just displayed this   one. Mention Metrics. I like betmore.fun. That one  has pretty good metrics for Polymarket traders. I  

[12:50] also use whale events or Event Quant. Let me just  whale events here. Event Quant is pretty good. It   has bond opportunities, arbitrage, and also you  can search up different mentions here. So, yeah,  

[13:05] I use a lot of different softwares. The two I  use the most are Mention Metrics and Event Quant,   which is this one here. But, I would say Mention  Metrics the most because I trade mention markets  

[13:20] so much. And you can go through earnings calls,  politicians, electoral speakers, from the Senate   to the House to different governors or mayors  of certain cities. So, it's a really in-depth  

[13:34] tool and that's the one I probably use the most at  this point in time. We actually have a really cool   product offering launching this week. So, just to  show you guys really quick, let me pull something  

[13:48] up for you. In case you know, I am still with  Cryptobanter. I know obviously I've been posting   on my channel specifically for quite some time.  And you guys might not even know that I'm still  

[14:01] with Cryptobanter, but we still do work together  quite closely. And actually, we have something   pretty cool launching alongside Chart Hackers. So,  Dylan, one of the sharp chartists and traders on  

[14:14] the channels, we actually have a cool product  launching because we've both been working with   Kalshi regarding prediction markets coming up  probably this week. So you guys can be excited   about that. It's absolutely free. So we just want  to provide value to you guys that are actually  

[14:29] trading prediction markets and looking to get an  edge because that's exactly what we're trying to   provide on these live streams and we want to kind  of make it more communal. So we have something   opening for you guys this week that's going to be  really exciting. Farva Pickle, Adam, what's going  

[14:44] on? And Adrian, what's going on? Yeah. Adam, if  that's you, we got a pretty cool product launching   with Chart Hackers. That's going to be a really  good time. But let's just get back to the mentions  

[14:56] here. So, yes, Al Pastor, no. And then I have  share purchase. Yes, they have said share purchase   on three straight calls. So, you can go back on  Q3, Q2, Q1, they said share purchase. And I think   Honey Chicken might be mentioned as an upcoming  product offering. So, those are smaller positions  

[15:10] though. Those are the ones I'm on currently. And  we'll move on to the next market. Another one. I   know on our last video we did. So, I'm going  to go here, view channel on the prediction  

[15:25] market video we did here, full prediction market  guides. For Kalshi, I was talking about how for   sports specifically, I try to live trade these  things. This is something that I do not want to  

[15:39] treat it like sports betting. I feel like that's  how you're going to lose money. So, for me, I've   been actively trading in and out of games while  they're going on, like buying teams with momentum,  

[15:51] selling them whenever their price rises, or if  a team starts pulling away, just getting a good   size on a team and letting it run. So, as far as  today's sports, I do have one pre-market play and  

[16:04] it did just start here. You can still get the  same price just about as what I had traded.   We have Arsenal and Chelsea. And I'm going to  actually pull up the site that I use to track some  

[16:19] of these games. And we'll go to Arsenal Chelsea.  So we can see here that it is an aggregate score   of 3 to 2. So in the EFL Cup, you play two sides.  You get one road, one away game. Today Arsenal  

[16:33] is at home and they are really gunning for the  treble. For you guys who aren't sports advocates,   the treble means they're trying to win the  Premier League, the League Cup in their country,  

[16:45] which is the EFL Cup, the England Football  Cup, and also the Champions League. And they   could legitimately win all of those. They were the  first team ever to win all their phase matches in   the Champions League. So, right now, this is only  five minutes underway and it's Arsenal Chelsea.  

[17:02] And while I do think that Arsenal wins, all they  need to do is tie or win and they move on to the   next round. So, yeah, exactly, Adam. I feel like  it's one of those years like Arsenal could finally  

[17:16] break their long-standing spree of disappointment  and they could legitimately get the treble. So,   looking at this match, you could trade, 53% if  you believe Arsenal is going to win. However,  

[17:28] they're not playing their full starting nine.  Or 11. Yeah, starting 11, I think it is. But,   the Arsenal line is 54 cents. The no is 48 cents.  If you don't think they're going to win, you could  

[17:44] look there. I really actually like Chelsea No at  79 cents. Right now, I have 250 shares on Chelsea   No. And what this means with soccer matches, I  really like this because Chelsea no gives me the  

[17:58] option that Arsenal can win or they can tie and  you actually still win that trade. So that is   something I'm on pretty large. I have 250 shares  and honestly as the game goes on I might add a  

[18:11] little more. So that's something I'm on currently  that I really like. Not Arsenal to win, not there   to be a tie. I am trading Chelsea No. I just feel  like Arsenal moves on today without losing the  

[18:25] match. So, they can tie or Arsenal can win and  we'll be able to take this home. And then you   can see here the advance like you can trade teams  to advance to the next match. I do think that if  

[18:37] Arsenal's price was a little cheaper, I'd probably  take that. But for now, I'm going to stick on   Chelsea no at 80 cents. I feel like that's just  it's good value because Arsenal's the better team   here. Arsenal clean and we win that. So that is  something we're actively monitoring at this point  

[18:54] in time. And then going back to mentions markets,  we can roll back over here. We have two basketball   mentions tonight. And I have been really enjoying  the basketball mentions. Also Super Bowl mentions  

[19:07] this Sunday. And if our production team is  available, maybe Sunday morning we could throw   in a bunch of Super Bowl. We could do a specific  Super Bowl stream or something like that. So,  

[19:19] we could figure that out. But, I think that  whether or not we do or not, I could do on Friday,   we could go over all of the Super Bowl stuff. But,  the sports mentions have really been good for me   because it's something that I actively watch and  I feel like I have a good cadence on what some  

[19:34] of these announcers like to say or don't say.  During the Boston at Dallas professional game,   so this is in 4 hours and 50 minutes. We can look  at some of the strikes here. Let me see. Injured   injury. Allstar trade traded. Yeah, I feel like,  you know, a lot of these will hit here. Jordan is  

[19:57] really high priced here, which probably means  that the someone on the announcement team is   named Jordan or that on the players is a first  or last name Jordan. That's typically whenever   this is super high priced. American Airlines is  the arena they're playing at. I've been really  

[20:12] liking in match in not matches. Matches sounds  like soccer. I'm too caught up with my Arsenal   trade right now. But Boston at Dallas, I would  say I usually like buzzer. No, I like MVP. No.  

[20:27] But during this game here, actually Jaylen Brown  is playing probably his best season he's ever had   at this point in time without Jayson Tatum. So  he could be a legitimate, you know, fringe MVP  

[20:40] candidate. So, I don't know that I love that one.  But moving into the Phoenix and Portland NBA game,   I really don't see why the heck they would mention  MVP. There is no former MVP. There is no current  

[20:52] MVP. There is no MVP candidate on either of these  squads. So, I actually really do like the no MVP   in this match. So, I'll go ahead. No, I want  to trade in contracts. I will go ahead and take  

[21:11] 100 shares of MVP no in the night game tonight.  So, this one doesn't start for another seven and   a half hours. Probably no urgency, but I like  to get my positions in early and be able to  

[21:23] trade. And what if this price goes up to like  75 80 to the no then I can actually sell that   for about 15 cents of profit every dollar. So,  that is one mention that I do like tonight. And  

[21:36] really it's a slow day. There is Kash Patel on Fox  News in two and a half hours. He is the director,   the head of the FBI under Donald Trump. The market  I can honestly say I don't really trade Kash  

[21:50] Patel, so I'm not going to jump in here and just,  you know, try to figure out what the head of the   FBI is going to say whenever. Honestly, that's not  my cup of tea. I really thrive on Trump markets,  

[22:02] Mamdani markets, and lately earnings calls have  been treating me well. So, you know, if I hit that   10-cent to 100 cent trade on Al Pastor, I might  just make a burrito run later tonight. Who knows?  

[22:15] That's what I'm currently looking at at this point  in time. But, yeah, I think due to a slow day,   there's really not much that I'm actively looking  to trade. It looks like the government shutdown.  

[22:29] My $8 is going to peril there. But hey, it was  $8 for a hundred. I had to take that stab at   this point in time. I do have one already for  the Super Bowl this weekend, actually. And I   think that this is really interesting is you can  trade on what companies you think are going to  

[22:44] advertise during the game. And I think some of  these are locks. As you can see here, I actually   I had an early trade on OpenAI. If you guys watch,  you know, TV lately or sports, OpenAI and ChatGPT  

[22:59] have been doing a ton of commercials. It's those  ones where like someone's like working out and   then the text will scroll through the screen and  then it ends at OpenAI ChatGPT. So, I definitely   did believe that they were going to do that. And  I was actually able to cash out here at 99 which  

[23:16] was great. So, I did actively make $16 on that  trade. We'll take it. But moving on down the line,   I have Coinbase. So right now, I have 115 shares  of Coinbase to have a commercial during the Super  

[23:30] Bowl. I think that this is the best value across  the board. And you might say, well, Hustle,   why do you think that? You know, let's just go  Google. Let's go Coinbase big game predictions.  

[23:53] And here we go. Let's take a look at this. So this  last week, literally within a week ago, Kalshi and   Coinbase have launched their collaborative efforts  to have prediction markets on Coinbase. If you  

[24:08] open up your Coinbase app, I showed this on a few  videos ago on my Kalshi walkthrough on Friday,   but you can open up Coinbase on your phone  and on these little bars here, one of them is  

[24:24] literally predictions right next to crypto deriv  trading and cash. You click on predictions and   you can see here explore. You can trade all these  prediction markets right on Coinbase now and all  

[24:38] they have they already have your information.  So like you're already basically KYCed to go   and set up to trade on Coinbase. Like prediction  markets are taking over everything. And I feel   like the people who are early to this industry  and find an edge could literally be one of the  

[24:52] next waves of wealth generation slash successful  traders online. Like I think that this industry   is going to create a lot a lot of millionaires  over the course of time. But looking at this,  

[25:05] they have this promotion going now. I don't  know if they'll particularly advertise this   during the game because I think you would have  to do it before the game, but they are doing   a competition where all Coinbase users that do  predictions can put six predictions in of your  

[25:23] choice. Anything you want, you can just choose  six from the big game. So, anything during the   Super Bowl? Will the game go to overtime? Who  will perform at halftime? Like with Bad Bunny,   like Cardi B is like 61%. Anytime touchdown,  who's going to win the first half? Who will  

[25:40] attend the game? Will Lady Gaga be at the game?  Will Elon Musk be at the game? Will Taylor Swift   and Travis Kelce be at the game? Which brands  will advertise? They have that one as well. So,   I do feel like Coinbase with the prediction market  angle now, they probably will advertise something  

[25:57] to do with that. But on top of that, before  even they announced this, I have a feeling,   and for some reason, they have like the  best philosophical ads. When Coinbase does  

[26:09] an advertisement, it's like if you were to fit 21  million Bitcoin into a single shipping container,   it would only take one shipping container.  But if you put the amount of money that the   Fed prints every single day, it would take like  175 shipping containers worth of cash on how much  

[26:27] they're inflating the dollar. So when you look  at that like this, it makes you think, you know,   and they have these great advertisements. I feel  like they have the budget. They're going to jump   in here and do some really philosophical ad or  they're just going to advertise trade the big  

[26:40] game on Coinbase. So for me, I might add more  to this before the game gets here. Coinbase at   65 cents. I think that's pretty fair value. So,  that is one I will probably be adding more to,  

[26:52] but right now I have 115 shares of I might work  up to 250 shares. As we profit over the course of   the rest of the week on certain markets, I might  move some more capital into that play. But, that's  

[27:06] really the last one I'm going to go over today.  We're about 30 minutes in. There's no live events   other than the Chelsea game, which as you guys can  see still is 0 0. So, that is one I will actively  

[27:18] be monitoring as I have an open position for 250  shares there. But right now, I'm on Chelsea, no,   so Arsenal can tie or win and we win that. I  am on Coinbase to have a commercial in this  

[27:30] weekend's Super Bowl. I have MVP, no in Phoenix  at Portland. That's for Mention Markets. As well   on the earnings call for Chipotle. Honey chicken,  yes. Share purchase, yes. and no to El Pastor. We  

[27:46] don't want them talking about Al Pastor chicken  today on the Chipotle earnings call. That's what   I'm looking at currently. And like I said, I  will be just monitoring this Arsenal Chelsea   match. It's unfortunate that we can't live trade  sports here because we can't watch them on stream  

[28:03] without getting literally taken off YouTube. So,  that is pretty tough. I would love to jump on here   and like actively do these sports trades with you  guys, but it's kind of hard because of copyright  

[28:16] infringement, and I like my YouTube channel quite  a bit, so I don't really want to lose that. And I   hope you guys do, too. So, if you're enjoying the  prediction market content, the crypto content,   and if you're looking forward to our product  launch later this week, like the video down below,  

[28:30] subscribe to the channel as well. You can do this  on Twitter as well. Hit that little heart button   down below and we will see you on tomorrow's video  right here on In the Game. As always, I know it's   a hard time in crypto. But trade responsibly,  my friends, and stay bullish, my friends.