Crypto Trade Setups Before Fed Decision — Full Breakdown & Transcript

[02:37] gentlemen, may I have your attention, please. The show starts in 10

[02:49] 8 7 6 5 3 2

[03:03] 1 Go. So, if you're a trader, you know that this

[03:15] week is the Fed week. Uh because especially FM FM FOMC if you attended yesterday live, you would know that

[03:28] I talked about this. I need to be sure that Okay, you know I talked about the about about this in yesterday's live.

[03:40] And we said that a major interest decision is coming tomorrow, which is exactly 36 hours from now. And most traders I will not trade until then. And that is

[03:56] actually the right call. Because exactly 36 hours from now, the interest rate decision is going to be made. But the thing is that it is the forecast is that it's going to remain the same. Nothing is expected to

[04:08] change. Let me quickly show you this on Let me quickly show you this on um Forex Factory. So,

[04:21] is the this is UTC +1. Um this is a statement and the forecast Um this is a statement and the forecast is three. The what it is is 3.75 and the forecast is still 3.75. This might not change.

[04:35] Okay, but if this changes, then we expect some changes in the market. What do I mean? This is a state of crypto. This is actually the trade we are in. And if we see either an increase or a

[04:51] decrease in interest rates, this is going to change drastically. But if nothing happens, we should just expect the charts to just continue the way it's meant to continue based on price action. So, today,

[05:05] I'm going to detailed I'm going to talk about three things here. One is this Ethereum trade that I'm currently still in. And we'll talk about Bitcoin. What are we going to trade in Bitcoin?

[05:19] the possible entry that we'll take in Solana. Then, as a bonus, now this bonus is going to be is not going to be the replay. This is a special bonus for those who are attending live.

[05:36] We'll look at Euro USD, the trade that I looked at yesterday. And we are about we are in the zone of entry. Okay, we are actually in we are And even Great British pounds USD, we are also in

[05:51] the zone of entry. I'm going to talk about the exact place I am entering so place the trade and just let it play out. Okay? So, welcome. Let's start this live. To

[06:04] start, we usually have a tradition and which is which is I want to know where you are attending the live from. So, go to the comments and just tell me the city and the country

[06:16] you are attending live from. So, for example, um Lagos, Nigeria. attending live from. Now, in the comments already, I have seen someone

[06:28] comments already, I have seen someone that is from South Africa. So, I have to know how to Matso So, you're welcome, South Africa, Pretoria. Happy to have you here.

[06:44] where you are attending live from in the comments section.

[07:08] He's from Isan Ebado in Oyo State. Welcome to the live show. So, just drop your where you are attending live from in the comments so we can continue this this is a trade I actually called out. So, if you are attending this live,

[07:24] you should have made money. So, last Monday or last Tuesday, it's a week ago, Monday or last Tuesday, it's a week ago, I called this out. I said that one I called this out. I said that one I marked a zone over here.

[07:38] that attending that live, I marked the first zone here. I said that if we break above this zone, that on the retracement, we can enter here and to go long to this zone. And I said and you can see here that that

[07:52] above this zone and a retracement. So, this trade was not taken. But have a break we have a confirmation entry here, which is what which which is what we had. That we're going to enter this trade and

[08:07] that is actually what we had here. Okay? And you can see that this trade for the Ethereum has been play playing out fine. This is the final target this target. But this is the target you can look at. Now, the chart

[08:20] over the weekend did this. there's a pattern I've noticed that when you see a lot of the times is a trade you can confidently take

[08:36] without um we can we can confidently trade. So, to see what I mean, so you trade. So, to see what I mean, so you look at this chart. We had We had um

[08:53] this. Let me redraw it again. We have a gap here. This is a fair value gap. Okay? We had this drop. And I we're going to have a drop like

[09:08] this. It formed some kind of a circle. I've seen it a lot of times where if you form like

[09:22] an arc like this, it drops. Sometimes it goes like this. It's from the top. Um the arcs come like this and it goes up.

[09:37] exactly the pattern that I see [snorts] that played out here. And we are heading to this target zone. So, for this trade, what am I I'm meant to do?

[09:52] You mustn't trade at every time. This is the time where you just wait for your trade to play out. There's no point in taking another trade at this point. This is like this is the target we're heading for. This risk reward ratio is a

[10:06] 3.45 risk reward ratio. And if you look at this, to this point. This region.

[10:19] at. But because one, here, this one above here. Let me Let me pull here, okay? This is the low. This low is what

[10:34] okay? This is the low. This low is what led to that local structure. low, then we should also be then we should also be be taking out this particular low.

[10:49] We should also be taking out this particular low. Then we might be stopped at this low because this low is acting as a golden zone to this local structure we have over here.

[11:06] keep going down till we it's time for us to start going down to take out this to start going down to take out this this bottom low that we have over here.

[11:18] you still want to respect this zone because yes, this is is the what we're trying to do. and just does another thing and just go. Okay? So even from here,

[11:33] Okay? So even from here, if you see some sort of confirmation that it's going to go up in this region, then you you just take a long position. you want to keep trading down. So this is the Ethereum play. Now, what

[11:48] if you didn't take this trade? Okay? And you still want to like you still want to go and take a take trade uh because, you know, what what you want to What are you going to do?

[12:00] Then this is a possible entry. Now this is a more riskier entry, but it's a possible entry. So for that, I'm going to go to the So for that, I'm going to go to the 5-minute time frame.

[12:14] frame, like I said, this is like a messy chart, okay? Um we had we had this break, this particular break over here.

[12:33] considering the break, this one. So this one is an internal break. But if you look at this trade by was was driven by two actions.

[12:46] One is this move here, this demand zone, pushed this trade down, but you can see the pushing down didn't do anything. It didn't really Okay? Then we had another consolidation here.

[13:01] And that consolidation pushed this through. And you can see when it pushed it through, we then had a this break of structure. Again, it is still an structure. Again, it is still an internal break of structure.

[13:16] this becomes um here is the order block we had. I want to mark it out.

[13:31] I'm just going to go ahead and call it the 15-minutes um supply zone. Okay? We still have a fair value gap here that has not been taken out. So what do I expect to happen? If you look at this particular low here,

[13:52] what do I expect to happen? Um even if you're even if you're trading, like I said, here is a more riskier

[14:05] a more riskier trade, you still want a higher probability more riskier trade. in. This is the high probability trade. But if you're looking for a more

[14:17] you're taking a more risky a a riskier trade, you still want to look for the high probability one. So looking at this, how do we trade this? This is a zone. This particular zone is

[14:31] Now, this thing can actually go ahead and hit this target. Here is the target. This line here is the target, okay? Of course, if you look at the bigger time perspective, this should be the next

[14:46] We can use this as a target. This thing can go from here and go and Uh but to get a better entry, you want to wait for this to go to this point

[15:01] and do this. Always enter in a confirmation. Then you can now enter this trade to take it down to this point to take it to this point. This is the day trade that I'll be

[15:16] To do this, you don't want to do this on the 15-minutes time frame because you don't see the structure clearly clearly. All I want to do is one, set an alert at Okay? This region is an alert. This alert is

[15:31] uh because I'm not going to be in my chart all the time, >> I'm not going to be in my chart all the time. So I want to set an alert so that whenever price touches this zone,

[15:46] I'll just receive an alert and I can come to my chart and look for this. Again, I don't want to do this on the 15 minutes. I want to do this on the 1-minute time frame. That is That is how low you want to go.

[15:59] Okay? You want to wait for your for price to get into this zone. I mean, let me mark it again. You want to find its way into this zone.

[16:15] When it's in this zone on the 1-minute, you want to wait for this and this. So this is a break of structure. This is a change of character. Once this happened, then this is how to

[16:28] take the trade. Simple short position from the point where we see change of character. Target the top. You can now go all the Target the top. You can now go all the way to this point.

[16:44] Um for example, even though this thing Let me show you what I mean so you get it clearly. Uh let's look at this one. So you see, zone, but this would have been a trade. Look

[16:57] Look at what I mean. So over here we have a break of structure, internal break of structure over here. Then we then have this point. And that is the point you want to take

[17:11] And that is the point you want to take your short position from. Now you want to go all the way to the low. So I'm just showing you

[17:23] a real example. Okay? But for me, if I'm not getting an opportunity, I won't be taking this trade. So this gives me opportunity. If I'm taking this zone, it's even more

[17:36] I'm saying you should take. Um what I'm trying to say is I'm just giving you examples so you see how you get the change of character, break 1-minute time frame. So you want to wait for this to get to this zone.

[17:51] And when it does this, this is when the trade is taken. Now, this might actually just go from here and do this and go down and never come up. Then it's fine. We mustn't take any trade. You have to wait for the setup.

[18:05] doesn't happen, we don't do this. So sometimes, trading is also not taking a trade. You don't force a trade. You wait for the market to say, "Okay, I'm doing this.

[18:18] When I do this, let me go ahead and trade. If I don't do this, no problem. trade." Um other ways you can actually get trades is by is from this region. So um but this this becomes scalping and I

[18:32] get into scalping. If you start breaking below like this, um then for example, if you break below like this because already here already, we have a change of character. Um

[18:45] because of that, this makes this a break of structure. into this zone. And so if this actually happened, if we then we have means that we're having

[19:00] means that we're having Let me remove this. So if we're now having this instead, down this way, you want to wait for a retracement. You still want to wait for that change of character, okay?

[19:14] that change of character, okay? Then you now trade from this zone Then you now trade from this zone to this zone. this is it on Ethereum. So let me do a quick recap before we move to the next

[19:27] um coin. One is this. attended yesterday um Monday um um last week Tuesday class, this is the trade we got into and trade is

[19:40] playing fine. It's playing fine. This is the target. Risk reward ratio 3.45, which is very good, especially if you're trading with a very good account size. Then

[19:52] that if you look at this structure, we have a break of structure a break of structure here. And this zone brought about this drawdown, but it didn't lead to any break of structure

[20:04] Then we now had another consolidation here. And this supply zone is what moved the this structure here. So, this becomes

[20:17] a point of interest to me. Okay? So, with that, we can now go down to 5 minutes first to look. You know, on 5 minutes, we see that we a zone of interest, which is this zone of

[20:30] interest. And this is a trade that we didn't take. ahead and remove it. Now, what I'm looking forward to now is if the price gets to this region, I have already put an alert here. Then I want to go to the

[20:44] 1-minute time frame and look for a change of character within this zone to trade this to uh the low that So, tell me if you're getting the value from this and if you

[20:56] understand what I am actually saying, just go to the comment and give me a one the comment if you understand what I'm saying. If you don't understand what I'm saying, just give me a two in the comments. I like this feedback to

[21:08] understand if you are getting this or if you're not getting this or if I should look for a better ways to explain some of these things. Now, information before we continue, copy me,

[21:20] to copy me, um um using the link in the description, you will see now that we are in the the countdown for the beta

[21:33] Beta testing is like it's starting next week. And we're going to test the week. And we're going to test the platform and break it down for the next to make sure everything works fine before we make it available for the

[21:46] public for everybody to start using the platform. It's a platform where these to get into my Discord where I drop all these things in real time, you can also use the link in the description. It's at the fever.com. That

[21:59] is where I drop my real chart the chart because you get to do this with me on Mondays and Tuesday. After that, everything is on Discord. Now, let's look at um Bitcoin. Okay?

[22:14] Let's go to Bitcoin and we'll look at Solana. Bitcoin has been very bullish. Like, even though Ethereum Look at Ethereum. When this way broke structure, it's coming down, but Bitcoin

[22:27] is remaining bullish. And if you've been following the lives, you will know that saying that if I if we break above this line, for Bitcoin. That I'm I'm bullish that it's going to

[22:42] keep This is going to go up. Okay? And I said again that if we don't break above that I'm targeting 44,000. video on it. 44,000,

[22:56] um if this line doesn't hold and we start breaking down, 44,000, we can see a crash. And in 44,000, we can go do very we can do very But if this line holds and we break above

[23:11] above this line, then we are good to start going high. But me, I'm actually tending towards we coming down more before going up. But

[23:23] again, the way we trade is if this happen, then we do this. If this happen, this you this this is what I want to happen and just trade based on what you want to happen. You have to actually check if the market This is what I This

[23:36] But if but I'm not just trading that. I'm trading what the market is saying, happens, I do this. If it doesn't happen, I don't do anything. If it doesn't happen, I look at the setup again to see what is happening So,

[23:50] let's look at Bitcoin. We've been having from this region, okay, where we had some trade earlier in the month, we've been having um from here, change of character, break

[24:03] of structure, break of structure. Let me mark them so I can start marking them from here.

[24:18] um change of character, break of structure here, I'm not even looking at the bigger one. structure here. Then if you look at here also, this is a

[24:32] break of structure. So, it is clear that Bitcoin has been a good rally, break of structure all the And we are still there. Okay? So,

[24:48] what does this mean? This here is a very critical zone. And I said this zone is a zone where if it breaks above and start going up, then I'm bullish. Right now, I'm still very bearish.

[25:02] things. One is if you take the Fibonacci tool and put it from here and draw it all all the way to the top, this is my golden zone. I'm going to draw it out now. From this this here is

[25:17] draw it out now. From this this here is my golden zone. Now, if you check within the golden zone,

[25:31] within the golden zone, if you check it, you will still see Now, it's here. You will still see You will still see an order block on the 1-hour time frame.

[25:45] So, this is my 1-hour demand zone. So, what does this tell me? This tell me that one, if you look below here, this

[25:59] below here, this place is um relatively more efficient price action. So, if if we break below this line, I expect us to break further. Okay? To go to this side efficiently.

[26:14] Uh it's a relatively efficient price action. Not perfectly efficient, but action. Not perfectly efficient, but relatively efficient. what's looking at this, if you check over here,

[26:27] we have here is a equal high. Literally equal high. So, when you have equal high, I always mark them as liquidity because price tends to always come back to take

[26:42] that equal high. Now, um all this

[26:54] taken. All this one here also considered as liquidity. Liquidity um taken. Okay? what can Bitcoin do? One is if we are continuing with

[27:11] the break of structure that we have been seeing, BOS, it means that when we get into this zone, we should start looking forward

[27:23] confirmation entry to go higher. do all this while, like

[27:37] throughout this month, break of structure, go, break of structure, go, structure again. So, this is a zone which I expect it's going to go higher from.

[27:51] But you have to really wait for change of character in this region to do that. The market have to show you that, okay,

[28:03] The market have to show you that, okay, I'm ready to start going. but if we don't do this, let's say we now break below this. Like I said, if we

[28:16] break below this line, there is a high probability that we are going to break to this line. This line gives me the first sense of breaking to this region or below this particular low

[28:31] give me the first sense of that we are going lower. But the confirmation that we are going lower comes when we break this line. That's why I drew this thing here that if we go break if you break like this,

[28:43] then retracement, we're going lower. If we break below this line, this line again, then we are going lower. we're going lower, I'm expecting us to

[28:58] start attacking You see all these? If you break the first one, you are possibly attacking all this one, all this one. Then since this is a major break of structure, this is a region you might want a retracement from or if you

[29:12] break further, then that 44 K that 44 K is what is is is likely. Hope you guys understand this.

[29:25] For Bitcoin, I'm considering this zone. I'm doing nothing here right now. I'm considering this zone for a change of character to go long. But if you break below it, then my orientation changes and I want to look

[29:40] for positions to go short. If this, then we do that. If this happens, then we do that. For Solana, it's very similar.

[30:05] bullish. They are I know bullish, they are bearish. It's only Bitcoin that tends to be very bullish. And because we have a break of structure, this is Solana right now.

[30:19] Because I did a break of structure, this then becomes a change of character. Okay? And because it's a change of character, we drew this golden zone earlier in the week. I think it was on it was on last Tuesday last week.

[30:33] this. And you can see that it has came into this zone. And just tap into it. And rejected from here. But if you look at here, this what what

[30:47] we have here, this is a This is the low This is the low that led to this break of structure. that led to this break of structure. And formed this high.

[31:00] And formed this high. All right? So, between this low and this high the market has been ranging. range. We have not had structure.

[31:13] So, the trade is only um reasonable to take a trade if we do either of these things. It's either we break above this line

[31:30] Uh-huh. Or we break below this line. Right now, I'm favoring breaking below this line. line. Unless there's an interest rate decision that could flip the whole of

[31:44] this thing. Come um tomorrow. That's in the next 35 Come um tomorrow. That's in the next 35 hours there about.

[31:56] just simply click here. Put an alert on this line. This is a waiting game for me. The only trade I'm just like I'm I likely take is Ethereum trade. basically waiting game for me. So, what

[32:10] is the possibility here? The possibility is that if we break below this line this one then we are going to head for this particular

[32:22] line, this low. If we break this low then we're heading for this low. Why? Because we've had a change of character here. So, breaking this is more like a change

[32:34] of character to go lower. And when we break it, we're coming here to come and take out this particular low. So, how do we do that? One, if you look at this um region, let me go to the 4-hour time

[32:47] um region. So, if you look at this region, you will see that the price action here has been quite efficient. And this is the last supply zone that we have.

[33:02] So, what this mean then means is if we break then the retracement into this zone

[33:18] the retracement into this zone is a short position for us to go down. even if we don't retrace to this zone if you see that the if you see a change of character within the golden zone right now on the

[33:33] then it's a good trade to take. So, that is that. So, we've looked at Solana um Ethereum Bitcoin. And you see the setup I'm going to take

[33:49] if any of these things plays out I am entering that particular trade. Now, that is only available for those who are attending live. And which is um the forest

[34:02] the forest asset we looked at yesterday. We looked at We looked at um EUR/USD. This is a trade I told you guys I'm

[34:16] already in. And I told you guys yesterday that I'm I'm already at break started going up. And you didn't get to my break even. So, this trade is actually still on. This is a target below. But there's even a more

[34:30] profitable trade that can be taken right now. If you look at this Okay? but I don't know I wasn't I didn't just take this trade from this region.

[34:44] I wanted this break to happen. So, we have this break this morning. So, therefore, what do we do? Because of this break this is my this becomes my golden zone. But I really want this to start retracing

[34:58] upwards before we take a trade. Before we draw the Fibonacci, but let me have here. So, if you look at this, this is a golden zone.

[35:14] from what I call it OTE. I knew it was golden zone before I even started ICT back then. So, I'm just using that OTE. So, if you look I want to go back to Let me go back to the 1-hour time

[35:30] Okay, 15 minutes rather. So, if you look at the golden zone. Now, look at something again. Within this golden zone we have Let me go to that Let me go to um 10

[35:44] Okay. 15 minutes is fine. We have this order block, this one. All the way high. Is it two? Two things are lines here.

[35:57] This is the 15-minute supply zone. So, I can go ahead and remove this um Fibonacci tool, even though this chart has not shown me it's coming up yet. So, I might still come back and I

[36:09] might stay I might only remove it when it is done but look at this. So, this becomes the region where I'll be interested in. So, if this chart

[36:22] comes up this way now I I just gives me again confirmation entry this is going to be a very, very profitable trade. This is high

[36:35] that is meant that is going to be very profitable. And your target, the first target is going to be simply this region here. this region here. To this this region.

[36:50] talked about this yesterday, but this hasn't formed yesterday. The same thing with GBP/USD. Um the same thing. I want to draw my Fibonacci from because

[37:03] we're still going lower. We have not We have not shown me um some things. So, if you take it from over here to this zone. So, the golden zone is still falling

[37:16] within this particular demand zone we're having here. So, a retracement be patient right now. A retracement to this zone

[37:30] then you want to short this and take it low till we get to this particular low. So, that is that. Mind you, the iPhone challenge is still on. And I

[37:45] still have the phone here with me. So, this is going to go to one of what one trader. That trader is going to go to Mike.

[37:58] link to join the challenge is in the description. In the challenge, you simply show me you can trade. Signals are going to I still going to be dropped there. You can choose to use the signal. You can choose not to use the signal.

[38:12] go going to the group is live. You can get into that particular group. Um we start on Monday and we'll run this. I want to know who's going to win this. And this also gives you a personal opportunity to be a trader inside Coffee

[38:27] opportunity to be a trader inside Coffee Me, the platform we are building. The the potential is like enormous. The potential is really really

[38:40] So, we're no longer holding lives on Friday. It's just Mondays and Tuesdays, 7:00 a.m. Nigerian time, 7:00 a.m. UTC plus

[38:52] one. I'll be here again to show you guys what I'm doing. But if you want to stay connected with me throughout the throughout the week to see the actual entries I've I've taken and how I monitor them, you want to get

[39:04] into Discord. To get into Discord, go to afibib.com. That is where you actually get the full resources, the training and everything to finally understand like I mentioned inefficiencies, order block,

[39:18] All these things you will learn in them even before seeing those things and actually taking the trades a lot of trades yourself. So, I will see you guys trades yourself. So, I will see you guys on in in in Discord. I'll see you guys

[39:31] on Telegram. And I'll see you guys in the next live. Stay connected and the next live. Stay connected and have an awesome day.